First Out, Last In amid COVID-19: Employment Vulnerability of Youths in the Middle East

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Introduction The COVID-19 pandemic has hit workers in the

aggravate youths’ plight in terms of both

Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region

unemployment and informality. Employers’

economies hard. Workers in these countries

drive toward cost-cutting, irregularization and

already faced precarious working conditions

gig employment will disproportionally affect

pre-pandemic. For decades the MENA labor

youths and other at-risk groups.

markets have failed to create enough decent

In response to the onslaught of COVID-19, MENA

jobs to absorb new labor market entrants. The

governments have implemented an evolving

public employment sector has been shrinking

range of measures to mitigate the health

due to economic reform programs in place

impacts. Egypt implemented relatively lenient

since the 1990s, and formal private firms have

responses to COVID-19 in the first half of 2020,

failed to fill the void, in part due to competition

and maintained the measures at a consistent

from the informal sector.

level longer, reducing them gradually ever

Over 60% of all workers in the region are

since

informally employed, while youths face even

Consequently, Egypt has retained positive

more vulnerability in employment on account

economic

of their missing work experience, skills that do

pandemic, albeit at less than half the pre-2020

not match employers’ needs, and their sheer

projected level. Jordan started out with a very

number (AlAzzawi and Hlasny 2020, 2022;

stringent regime as of the spring of 2020, but

Tzannatos 2021). Over 85% of youths are

did not maintain it long. It was hit with

estimated to hold informal jobs (ILO 2020a, b). 1

resurgent waves of the pandemic in late 2020

Vulnerability of employment can thus be said

and early 2021, requiring further restrictive

to be the most critical condition facing MENA

measures throughout the first half of 2021,

youths (Fehling et al. 2015), given that their jobs

scaled back only in the second half of the year.

lack job security and stability, paid leaves,

Jordan is thus expected to face lingering socio-

social and health insurance, and in many

economic impacts throughout 2021.

cases

physical

safety.

Such

vulnerability

appendix).

throughout

the

in terms of employability, job retention, and

2022).

attainment of decent working conditions.

Moreover, the regional youth unemployment

Lockdowns and social-distancing rules exerted

was already the highest in the world pre-

a heavy toll on all economic sectors in the

pandemic, at over 30% for males and 40%

MENA including manufacturing and industry,

for females, and COVID-19 is likely to further

1

rates

the

firms have faced particularly harsh prospects

are rare for those who start out in vulnerable Hlasny

in

without solid attachments to well established

transitions to better employment opportunities and

growth

A1

tackling COVID-19 across the region, workers

their careers as studies have found that

(AlAzzawi

Figure

Amid the market lockdowns implemented in

almost always stays with them throughout

employment

(see

but it was particularly the service sector –

The simultaneous oil price shock has also had far

opportunities and remittances, and the generosity of

reaching implications on both oil exporters and importers through the channels of migrant work

domestic social programs.

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