Resilience in the Time of Covid-19: Lessons Learned from MENA SMEs

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Introduction The world economy was hit hard by the outbreak of

affected by the onset of the pandemic. Such an

the Covid-19 pandemic (henceforth the pandemic)

investigation may allow us to draw conclusions

in early 2020. The pandemic has led to sudden

about the resilience of these firms in time of crisis.

changes in the business environment, resulting in

The paper is concerned with SMEs because they

critical challenges for many firms in most sectors

represent a very important socioeconomic pillar

and in many parts of the world. The impact of the

that contributes to the overall economic activity

pandemic on the wider economy was large and no

through producing goods and services, generating

region was spared from the dire consequences of

jobs, and reinforcing economic competitiveness

arguably the worst health crisis in over a century.

(Eggers 2020). In addition, SMEs are considered the

The economic contagion of the pandemic was

backbone of many MENA economies. For this

broad and its spillovers were large, affecting the

purpose, we employ a recent enterprise survey of

demand and supply sides, and the real and

representative samples of SMEs from Jordan,

nominal

and

Tunisia, Morocco, and Egypt, all of which are non-

internationally. Therefore, the pandemic presented

oil-exporting and middle-income countries. The

the firms with insurmountable challenges (Duarte

survey takes a snapshot of the SMEs just before the

Alonso et al. 2020).

pandemic hit and follows them after the event. The

economies,

both

domestically

data set includes information on many firm

It is expected that developing countries are

characteristics such as the size of workforce,

disproportionately more affected by the crisis. This

participation in international trade, ownership,

is due to the fragile economic structures and

sales, investment, adaptation, and participation in

institutions in many developing countries, which

government assistance programs, among others.

makes it more difficult to deal with crises. For

The data obtained from the survey allows us to

example, many countries do not have resilient

compare firm outcomes after the pandemic first

health systems capable of dealing with the influx of

started (in Feb 2020) to pre-pandemic levels. We

a large number of people that may simultaneously

are also able to estimate difference-in-difference

become sick. On the other hand, governments may

equations to compare the effects of the pandemic

not have the expertise and/or resources to manage

the

crisis

and

mitigate

the

on firms that were able to work remotely, receive

worst

government

economic (and health) consequences for both

assistance,

or

participate

in

international trade versus their counterparts that

citizens and businesses. The countries of the MENA

do not do these things.

(Middle East and North Africa) region, especially the non-oil-exporting ones among them, similarly

We find that firms largely resorted to reducing

observed deteriorating economic conditions. It is

wages and hours of work instead of outright layoffs

expected that businesses in the MENA observed

to deal with the negative consequences of the

negative effects from the pandemic but it is not

pandemic. As expected, we find that some MENA

clear what these effects are. This paper aims to

SMEs were forced to (temporarily) close their

explore how firms - particularly the SMEs (small and

business at some point during the pandemic, but

medium-sized enterprises) - in the MENA region

the majority of firms adapt their business models

have been affected by the ongoing pandemic, and

to deal with closures and lock-downs. In addition,

how they adapted to its challenges. Namely, we are

the SMEs expect significantly lower sales and

interested in how SME outcomes that include labor,

investment levels in 2021 compared to 2019 levels,

wages, status, capacity to adapt, and revenues are

but there is clear evidence of recovery in Q2 versus 5


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