2Q’11 PUGET SOUND MARKET REPORT
2Q’11 PUGET SOUND MARKET REPORT
Pierce County Industrial Market
Southend Industrial/Flex Market INDUSTRIAL STRENGTH
HISTORICAL VACANCY RATES & RENTAL RATES
The Pierce County industrial market is comprised of seven submarkets, totals just over 62 million square feet and is spread across 1,150
10.0%
properties. Net absorption reached positive territory at just over 225,000
8.0%
$0.33 $0.32
The Seattle industrial market continued to show
$0.31
square feet in the second quarter, which was well ahead of where the
6.0%
$0.30
first quarter ended. Overall vacancy also experienced positive gains
4.0%
$0.29
150,000 SF of positive absorption and a 70 basis
$0.28
point decrease in vacancy to 5.1%, most of which
over the first quarter, settling in at 8.8%.
2.0%
2005
2006
Market Area
2007
2008
RentalRates
Pierce County Industrial Overview INVENTORY Buildings
signs of strength in the second quarter, with
$0.27
0.0%
SF
Direct Vacancy
Sublet Vacancy
Total Vacancy
2009
2010
UNDER CONSTRUCTION Projects SF
quarter with little or no change in vacancy. Of the
GEORGETOWN/ DUWAMISH N GEORGETOWN/ DUWAMISH S
7.2%
0.0%
7.2%
103,740
(14,102)
-
-
total YTD net absorption of 723,000 SF, only 2,273
4,770,761
7.3%
0.1%
7.4%
20,960
(118,345)
-
-
North End Tacoma
67
2,112,040
5.5%
0.0%
5.5%
2,242
(13,358)
-
-
SF was realized in the second quarter.
Spanaway
56
3,432,830
6.1%
0.0%
6.1%
2,280
(7,021)
-
-
Puyallup/Sumner
268
20,907,468
13.2%
0.1%
13.3%
37,403
27,101
-
-
Tenant activity continues to be strong, as many
PierceCountyIndustrial/FlexSubmarket
49
1,435,574
9.5%
0.7%
10.2%
12,882
50,512
Other Pierce County Markets*
318
10,688,751
4.3%
0.3%
4.6%
48,180
82,742
-
-
companies are continuing their searches in the
PIERCE COUNTY INDUSTRIAL
1,150
62,053,101
8.7%
0.1%
8.8%
227,687
7,529
-
-
region too. Occupancy levels are beginning to rise
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2Q’10
Port of Tacoma/Fife
5.6%
Lakewood
6.3%
North End Tacoma Spanaway Puyallup/Sumner Tacoma CBD
3.2%
3.3%
4.8%
8.5%
9.0%
5.2%
13.9%
7.8%
4.0%
4.5%
1.2%
2.6%
1.9%
2.6%
2.1%
11.3%
2.1%
0.8%
10.8%
11.9%
4.0%
8.3%
6.2%
11.3%
5.0%
4.3%
6.8%
7.0%
Other Pierce County Markets*
3.9%
4.2%
5.2%
PIERCE COUNTY INDUSTRIAL
5.0%
4.8%
5.4%
Historical Total TEUs
3Q’10
4Q’10
5
FEDERAL WAY
9.4%
9.6%
4.4%
4.3%
4.1%
3.9%
5.6%
5.4%
14.5%
12.4%
5.5%
11.4%
2.3%
4.9%
6.9%
9.4%
institutional buyers and REITs eying the market’s
1Q’11
2Q’11
7.3%
7.9%
7.2%
4.8%
7.6%
7.4%
3.9%
4.0%
4.7%
5.5%
The Pierce County industrial market has been
6.0%
5.9%
6.2%
6.1%
12.2%
13.3%
13.0%
13.6%
13.3%
the most unwavering market in the Southend
13.3%
14.0%
13.8%
11.2%
10.2%
4.7%
5.6%
4.2%
4.4%
4.1%
4.6%
8.8%
9.0%
9.2%
9.1%
9.1%
8.8%
Historical Total Absorption
NORTHEND TACOMA
future stabilized assets.
Prior years as of 4Q
2004
throughout the recession and once again finished
AUBURN
PORT OF TACOMA/ FIFE
OTHER PIERCE COUNTY LAKEWOOD
strong. The second quarter brought nearly 185,000
PUYALLUP/ SUMNER
SF of absorption and a 30 basis point drop in vacancy, which shows the elevating strength in this
RENTON
KENT
in the market and stability is returning, with many
Historical Total Vacancy
90
SEATAC/ BURIEN
Vashon Island
existing tenants seek expansion space and new
Tacoma CBD
Market Area
LEGEND
SouthendIndustrial/FlexSubmarket
-
405 TUKWILA
nd
18,705,677
108
ou tS
284
Lakewood
WEST SEATTLE
ge
SODO
Pu
The Kent Valley was relatively flat in the second
Port of Tacoma/Fife
Market Area
BELLEVUE
lease at AMB/Prologis Portside
VacancyRates
ABSORPTION 2Q Absorption YTD
SEATTLE
was driven by Smurfit-Stone’s 83,000 square foot
$0.26
2011
SOUTHEND INDUSTRIAL/FLEX SUBMARKETS MAP
OTHER PIERCE COUNTY
PARKLAND/ SPANAWAY OTHER PIERCE COUNTY
2009
2010
2011-YTD
Market Area
2Q’10
3Q’10
4Q’10
2010
1Q’11
2Q’11
Port of Seattle
1,584,596
2,139,577
656,045
Port of Tacoma/Fife
(29,872)
290,444
430,998
725,230
(117,842)
103,740
Port of Tacoma
1,545,855
1,455,467
465,100
Lakewood
20,343
6,598
(23,588)
(11,147)
(139,305)
20,960
of the year was Amazon.com’s full building lease
Puget Sound Ports Total
3,130,451
3,595,044
1,121,145
North End Tacoma
4,800
600
(1,050)
3,210
(15,600)
2,242
of Sumner Corporate Park’s 492,000 SF Summit
market recovery underway, the limited amount of large blocks
Spanaway
5,616
(20,051)
1,752
(10,375)
(9,301)
2,280
Puyallup/Sumner
244,057
(227,487)
74,350
(42,663)
(10,302)
37,403
building. In addition, Trader Joe’s is rumored to be looking in
of space and rising rental rates, those tenants that have been
Tacoma CBD
(23,070)
(10,468)
1,932
(34,966)
37,630
12,882
the South Sound area for a 500,000 SF build to suit option that
waiting in the wings may want to make their move on premium
OtherPierceCountyMarkets*
88,890
146,945
(29,623)
28,270
34,562
48,180
PIERCECOUNTYINDUSTRIAL
310,764
186,581
454,771
657,559
(220,158)
227,687
could break ground as early as fourth quarter 2011.
spaces and low rates.
Large blocks of space continue to be watched closely in the
Early indicators point toward this active market possibly
region. With more tenants rumored to have locked up several of
beginning to see new construction in the near future.
Gross Asking Lease Rates by Class Port of Tacoma/Fife Lakewood North End Tacoma Spanaway Puyallup/Sumner Tacoma CBD Other Pierce County Markets* PIERCE COUNTY INDUSTRIAL
$0.32-$0.38 $0.28-$0.36 $0.32-$0.38 $0.28-$0.36 $0.32-$0.38 $0.28-$0.36 $0.26-$0.32 $0.28-$0.36
$0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75
OPERATING EXPENSES* (PSF) NNN Free Rent
$0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14
3-6 months 3-6 months 3-6 months 3-6 months 3-6 months 3-6 months 3-6 months 3-6 months
the remaining available spaces there may be fewer than three
Rates/expenses are approximate
LEASE RATES (NNN) Shell Office
Market Area
market. The highlight of the quarter and possibly
spaces in the region that would be capable of supporting a 400,000 SF tenant by fourth quarter. Overall the Southend industrial market is strong and is showing signs of a quicker recovery than initially anticipated. With the
*Other Pierce County Markets Includes: Dupont,E Pierce,E Tacoma,Fort Lewis,Gig Harbor,University Place, E Pierce
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2Q’11 PUGET SOUND MARKET REPORT
2Q’11 PUGET SOUND MARKET REPORT
Seattle Industrial Market
Kent Valley Industrial Market
The Seattle industrial market is made up of 1,279 properties spanning
HISTORICAL VACANCY RATES & RENTAL RATES
six submarkets from Ballard to the North and Duwamish to the South.
The Kent Valley industrial market totals just over 112 million square feet
HISTORICAL VACANCY RATES & RENTAL RATES
7.0%
It accounts for a total of just over 52 million square feet. The overall
6.0%
$0.46
in 1,579 buildings and spans six submarkets. Net absorption for the
9.0%
$0.45
vacancy rate remains relatively low, finishing up slightly lower than the
5.0%
$0.44
second quarter was down considerably from the first quarter, ending
7.0%
near 29,000 square feet, with the YTD total now just under 750,000
5.0%
4.0%
$0.43
3.0%
$0.42
square feet. The overall vacancy rate for these submarkets remained
at 150,270 square feet, helping the YTD total gain reach 90,973 square
3.0%
2.0%
$0.41
feet.
1.0%
$0.40
unchanged at 7.6%.
1.0%
first quarter at 5.1%. Net absorption headed well into positive territory
0.0%
2005
2006
2008
RentalRates
Seattle Industrial Overview INVENTORY Buildings
2009
Direct Vacancy
Sublet Vacancy
Total Vacancy
2Q
YTD
$0.20
0.0%
$0.39
2011
VacancyRates
ABSORPTION SF
2010
$0.30
$0.10
2005
2006
INVENTORY Buildings
Market Area
2008
RentalRates
Kent Valley Industrial Overview
UNDER CONSTRUCTION Projects SF
2007
SF
Direct Vacancy
Sublet Vacancy
Total Vacancy
2009
2010
$0.00
2011
VacancyRates
ABSORPTION 2Q Absorption YTD
UNDER CONSTRUCTION Projects SF
SoDo
239
11,921,392
4.9%
0.0%
4.9%
54,719
12,112
-
-
Auburn
317
24,709,326
3.9%
1.3%
5.2%
2,313
605,163
-
-
Gtown/Duwamish N
285
14,205,445
7.1%
0.2%
7.3%
139,852
75,493
-
-
Federal Way
53
1,855,596
17.9%
0.0%
17.9%
(6,363)
(14,215)
-
-
Gtown/Duwamish S
141
4,428,407
3.0%
0.2%
3.2%
5,667
11,577
-
-
Kent
708
49,141,635
9.6%
0.1%
9.7%
(65,370)
161,852
-
-
Ballard
88
2,110,841
2.2%
0.0%
2.2%
(5,500)
4,549
-
-
Renton
153
13,188,823
5.7%
1.1%
6.8%
30,970
(8,673)
-
-
West Seattle
72
3,306,501
1.7%
0.0%
1.7%
(1,380)
(16,059)
-
-
Seatac/Burien
89
3,834,790
9.4%
0.0%
9.4%
(1,407)
9,047
-
-
Other Seattle Markets*
454
16,146,527
4.5%
0.6%
5.1%
(43,088)
3,301
-
-
Tukwila
259
19,873,485
4.6%
0.4%
5.0%
68,797
(3,439)
-
-
1,279
52,119,113
4.9%
0.2%
5.1%
150,270
90,973
-
-
KENT VALLEY INDUSTRIAL
1,579
112,603,655
7.2%
0.4%
7.6%
28,940
749,735
-
-
SEATTLE INDUSTRIAL
Historical Total Vacancy
Historical Total Vacancy 2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2Q’10
3Q’10
4Q’10
1Q’11
2Q’11
Market Area
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2Q’10
3Q’10
4Q’10
1Q’11
SoDo
4.1%
3.2%
3.0%
2.3%
3.9%
3.8%
4.1%
4.7%
5.1%
5.5%
4.9%
Auburn
5.2%
4.8%
3.9%
6.0%
3.8%
4.2%
7.9%
7.8%
7.4%
5.0%
5.2%
Gtown/Duwamish N
8.3%
7.2%
7.6%
6.8%
6.1%
9.6%
8.3%
8.6%
8.2%
8.6%
7.3%
Federal Way
4.3%
2.4%
2.1%
2.6%
3.0%
7.6%
7.1%
6.8%
18.2%
18.7%
17.9%
Gtown/Duwamish S
2.0%
7.1%
2.9%
2.3%
4.2%
5.7%
5.7%
5.1%
3.7%
3.6%
3.2%
Kent
9.1%
7.1%
5.5%
4.1%
3.8%
8.8%
9.5%
9.7%
10.2%
9.7%
9.7%
Ballard
4.2%
4.1%
4.1%
3.0%
2.2%
4.6%
4.2%
4.2%
4.2%
3.7%
2.2%
Renton
5.6%
2.9%
3.6%
1.1%
1.4%
7.6%
7.5%
7.4%
6.8%
7.2%
6.8%
West Seattle
3.5%
4.1%
1.1%
1.9%
40.0%
1.3%
1.3%
2.0%
1.6%
2.0%
1.7%
Seatac/Burien
8.3%
8.3%
5.0%
4.3%
12.2%
13.2%
11.4%
10.0%
10.0%
9.7%
9.4%
Other Seattle Markets*
4.4%
4.2%
2.6%
2.4%
2.8%
5.6%
6.3%
5.9%
5.5%
5.2%
5.1%
Tukwila
5.1%
5.3%
4.9%
5.1%
3.3%
5.6%
5.2%
5.2%
5.2%
5.7%
5.0%
SEATTLE INDUSTRIAL
5.1%
5.0%
4.0%
3.6%
3.9%
6.0%
5.9%
5.9%
5.7%
5.8%
5.1%
KENT VALLEY INDUSTRIAL
7.1%
5.8%
4.8%
4.3%
3.7%
7.2%
8.2%
8.2%
8.4%
7.6%
7.6%
Historical Total TEUs
Historical Total TEUs
Historical Total Absorption
2009
2010
2011-YTD
Market Area
2Q’10
3Q’10
4Q’10
2010
1Q’11
2Q’11
Port of Seattle
1,584,596
2,139,577
656,045
SoDo
(7,363)
(52,834)
(56,245)
(140,328)
(42,607)
54,719
Port of Tacoma
1,545,855
1,455,467
Puget Sound Ports Total
3,130,451
3,595,044
465,100
Gtown/Duwamish N
82,441
(19,671)
49,936
203,111
(64,359)
139,852
1,121,145
Gtown/Duwamish S
2,836
26,559
62,547
88,952
5,910
5,667
(22,650)
470
-
8,178
10,049
(5,500)
West Seattle
(7,585)
(23,726)
15,188
(8,623)
(14,679)
(1,380)
Other Seattle Markets*
(78,013)
58,744
71,734
16,113
46,389
(43,088)
SEATTLE INDUSTRIAL
(30,334)
(10,458)
143,160
167,403
(59,297)
150,270
Ballard
LEASE RATES (NNN) Shell Office
Market Area
SoDo Gtown/Duwamish N Gtown/Duwamish S Ballard West Seattle Other Seattle Markets* SEATTLE INDUSTRIAL
$0.55-$0.75 $0.45-$0.65 $0.45-$0.65 $0.45-$0.65 $0.45-$0.65 $0.45-$0.65 $0.45-$0.75
Historical Total Absorption
2009
2010
2011-YTD
Market Area
Port of Seattle
1,584,596
2,139,577
656,045
Auburn
Port of Tacoma
1,545,855
1,455,467
465,100
Federal Way
Puget Sound Ports Total
3,130,451
3,595,044
1,121,145
Kent
2Q’10
3Q’10
4Q’10
2010
1Q’11
(412,586)
38,110
26,593
(807,594)
602,850
2Q’11
2,313
27,321
5,067
(204,912)
(189,871)
(7,852)
(6,363) (65,370)
(186,275)
(63,492)
(278,488)
(679,346)
227,222
Renton
41,020
3,807
78,705
102,933
(39,643)
30,970
Seatac/Burien
(12,374)
51,266
2,313
118,537
10,454
(1,407)
(1,715)
15,102
(14,834)
77,951
(72,236)
68,797
(544,609)
49,860
(390,623)
(1,377,390)
720,795
28,940
Tukwila KENT VALLEY
Gross Asking Lease Rates by Class
$0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75
EXPENSES & CONCESSIONS NNN Free Rent
$0.10-$0.15 $0.10-$0.15 $0.10-$0.15 $0.10-$0.15 $0.10-$0.15 $0.10-$0.15 $0.10-$0.15
1-4 months 1-4 months 1-4 months 1-4 months 1-4 months 1-4 months 1-4 months
*Rates/expenses are approximate
Gross Asking Lease Rates by Class
Market Area
2Q’11
LEASE RATES (NNN) Shell Office
Market Area
Auburn Federal Way Kent Renton Seatac/Burien Tukwila KENT VALLEY INDUSTRIAL
$0.32-$0.38 $0.35-$0.40 $0.32-$0.40 $0.34-$0.40 $0.42-$0.50 $0.34-$0.42 $0.32-$0.50
$0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75 $0.75
EXPENSES & CONCESSIONS NNN Free Rent
$0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14 $0.09-$0.14
3-5 months 3-5 months 3-5 months 3-5 months 3-5 months 3-5 months 3-5 months
*Rates/expenses are approximate
Market Area
*Prior years as of 4Q
Market Area
*Other Seattle Markets Includes: Seattle, CBD, Belltown/Denny, Capitol Hill/Central, Fremont, Lake Union, Magnolia/Queen Anne, Rainier/Beacon Hill, U. District, Waterfront
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Prior years as of 4Q
Market Area
2007
$0.40