http://www.pacificenvironment.org/downloads/FitConf_Weber-%20PV_FIT_in_Germany-100712_

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Feed-in Tariffs in Germany Latest Developments

Prof. Eicke R. Weber Director Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE FIT Conference San Francisco, June 12th, 2010

Š Gerhard Stryi-Hipp


Photovoltaic World Market 2009 Market growth 2009: ca. 15%

PV market 2009: 7 GWp 2010est: 10.5 GWp Slouce: 2006/2007: IEA-PVPS, 2007-2010:National PV-Associations, pers. Estimations, Status 4/2010 Š Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010


Photovoltaic market development in Germany PV-Market Data Germany 2009 New installed

3.8 GWp

Totally installed end of 2009

9.8 GWp

Turn over

€10 Bln

No of jobs

63,000

No of PV component manufacturer in Germany

> 100

Average of annual market growth 2000 – 2009

62%

PV system price <100 kWp end of 2009 per kWp Production of solar electricity Share of solar electricity on demand Production of solar cells 2009 Production of PV modules 2009

© Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010

€ 3,135 6.2 TWh 1.1% 2.5 GWp GWp


PV module and system prices already dropped stongly 100%

96,0%

BSW-SolarPV-Systeme independent price Preisindex index for photovoltaic systems

95%

89,0%

90%

87,1%

85,5%

85% 80%

84,3%

78,4%

- 9,3% 75%

- 3,2%

72,4%

70%

65,3% 62,7%

65% 60% 55%

Annual average price reduction: 13.3% 13,3% Durchschnittliche jährliche Reduktion: Q42009: 2009:Durchschnittlicher Average price for PV-Anlagenpreis PV systems <100 kWp: Q4 €/kWp (ready VAT) < 100 kWp:3150 3.150 €/kWp (fertig installed installetiert, without ohne MWSt.)

50% Q2 Q3 2006 2006

Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007

- 25,6%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009

Source: Representative survey at 100 installers by EuPD-Research on behalf of BSW-Solar

© Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010

Q3 Q4 2009 2009


PV module price is back on the learning curve Learning Learning curve curve PV PV modules modules

1980

1990 2000 2005 2008

PEF 20%

source: NAVIGANT

Š Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010

Technological Technological progress progress

Wafer thickness 0,7mm


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