Sänkt restaurang- och cateringmoms
Delbetänkande av Utredningen om sänkt moms på vissa tjänster Stockholm 2011
SOU 2011:24
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Restaurang- och cateringbranschen, inklusive restauranger på hotell, 2010.
Antal arbetsställen Antal anställda Omsättning, mnkr (exklusive mervärdesskatt) Omsättning/arbetsställe Omsättning/anställd Anställd/arbetsställe
Restaurang- och cateringbranschen, inklusive restauranger på hotell 24 453 92 981 74 477 3 045 738 800 996 3,8
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16–24 år 25– år Totalt Andel 16–24 år
Antal anställda i olika åldrar inom hotell- och restaurangbranschen 2004 32 550 61 309 93 859 34,7
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2006 34 206 62 846 97 052 35,2
2007 38 899 68 402 107 301 36,3
2008 40 137 70 576 110 713 36,3
2009 39 392 72 443 111 835 35,2
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Figur 6.1
Marknadens utbud av arbetskraft
Lรถn Utbud
Antal arbetade timmar
" " H5+" )/3(3" 0'&.(+" %64(+#$0" (3" $+C('0'$.$+(0" 4$)" 2())$3" 1+&'&," -9:" $+C('(" $4" '46" (11(#'(+<" =(3" 1/+0'$" (11(#'(3" &33(C5+" $''" ,(3" :/.+(" )/3(3" ./+" $''" ,('" C)&+" 2(+" )/30$2'" $''" 1/+45+40$+C('$" ;521/+'" 2(," $''" &3'(" $+C('$<" =(33$" (11(#'" #$))$0" +/)+#$#/#$!-+*11*,#*-" (1'(+0-2" ,(3"&33(C5+"$''"4&"(+05''(+"N07C0'&'7(+$+O"1+&'&,"2(,"$+C('("2(,"%68 1/);," $''" 7'C7,('" $4" $+C('0#+$1'" /#$+<" =(3" $3,+$" (11(#'(3" #$))$0" $-,!%+#*11*,#*-" -9:" &33(C5+" $''" 4&" &3'(" C(:/4(+" $+C('$" )&#$" 2?9#('" 1/+" $''" 7%%+5'':6))$" 46+" (#-3-2&0#$" 0'$3,$+," -9:" ,5+2(," 2&30#$+" 7'C7,('" $4" $+C('0#+$1'<" =('" 5+" &3'(" 0;5)4#)$+'" 4&)#(3" (11(#'" 0-2" ,-2&3(+$+@" 2(3" (3)&.'" (2%&+&0#$" 0'7,&(+" '(3,(+$+" 07C0'&'7'&-308 (11(#'(3"4$+$"0'/+0'@",5+$4",(3"%-0&'&4$")7'3&3.(3"$4"$+C('07'C7,('<" H5+",(3"(+C;7,3$")/3(3"0'&.(+@"/#$+"253.,(3"7'C;7,(3"$+C('0#+$1'" (1'(+0-2",('"C)&+"+()$'&4'"0(''"2(+")/30$2'"$''"$+C('$<" .-"&*-*/0(1'2/'(*#&"+,*(-"' R1'(+1+6.$3" %6" $+C('0#+$1'" C(0'520" $4" $''" $+C('0.&4$+3$" C(:/4(+" $30'5))$" 2533&0#-+" 1/+" $''" #733$" %+-,79(+$" 4$+-+" -9:" ';530'(+<" R1'(+1+6.$3"%6"$+C('0#+$1'"0'?+0",()0"$4",('"'-'$)$"(1'(+1+6.('+?9#('"&" (#-3-2&3@",()0"$4":7+"%+-,7#'&-30'(#3&#(3"0(+"7'<" R''"9(3'+$)'"$3'$.$3,("&3-2"%+-,7#'&-30'(-+&"5+"$4'$.$3,("2$+8 .&3$)$4#$0'3&3.<" Q4'$.$3,(" 2$+.&3$)$4#$0'3&3." C('?,(+" $''" 45+,('"
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$4",('"0-2",(3"0(3$0'"$30'5)),("%+-,79(+$+"0;73#(+";7"1)(+"$30'5)),$" 1/+('$.('" :$+<" R''" 1/+('$." 0#$" $30'5))$" 06" )53.(" 45+,('" $4" 2$+.&3$)8 %+-,7#'(3"5+":/.+("53")/3(3<"D&.7+"*<V"4&0$+"(1'(+1+6.$3"%6"$+C('08 #+$1'<"=(3"3(.$'&4$")7'3&3.(3"%6"(1'(+1+6.(#7+4$3"&33(C5+"$''"45+,('" %6"2$+.&3$)%+-,7#'(3"0;73#(+"2(,"$3'$)"$30'5)),$<" Figur 6.2
Företagets efterfråga på arbetskraft
Lön
Marknadslön
w
Efterfråga q
Antal arbetade timmar
" " M2")/3(3"%6"2$+#3$,(3"5+"_@"0("1&.7+"*<V@"0#$"1/+('$.('"$30'5))$"j" %(+0-3(+"1/+"$''"2$F&2(+$"4&30'(3<"M2"1/+('$.('":$+"15++("$30'5)),$" 53" j@" C)&+" 45+,('" $4" 2$+.&3$)%+-,7#'(3" :/.+(" 53" )/3(#-0'3$,(3<" =('" C('?,(+" $''" 1/+('$.('" #$3" /#$" 4&30'(3" .(3-2" $''" $30'5))$" 1)(+" %(+0-3(+<" M2" 1/+('$.('" :$+" 1)(+" 53" j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3(*,1(%+45+1610&1' M2" 2$3" 0722(+$+" $))$" (30#&),$" 1/+('$.0" (1'(+1+6.$" %6" $+C('0#+$1'" 16+" 2$3" 2$+#3$,(30" (1'(+1+6.$3" %6" $+C('0#+$1'" -9:" -2" 2$3" 0728 2(+$+" $))$" &3,&4&,(+0" 7'C7,0#7+4-+" 16+" 2$3" 2$+#3$,(30" 7'C7," $4" $+C('0#+$1'<" [&))0$22$30" 7'./+" ,(00$" $+C('02$+#3$,(3<" D&.7+" *<]" 4&0$+"$+C('02$+#3$,(3"7'&1+63"(3"3$'&-3$)(#-3-2&0#"0'$3,$+,2-,())<" Figur 6.3
Utbud och efterfrågan på arbetsmarknaden
Lön Utbud
w*
Efterfråga Q*
Antal arbetade timmar
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Figur 6.5
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Tabell 1
Resultat av skattereduktion för hushållsnära tjänster
Fall
Basfall
Förändrad tidsanvändning Vitt hushållsarbete Svart hushållsarbete Övrigt vitt arbete Övrigt svart arbete Hemarbete Fritid Icke-arbete Nettoändring av vitt arbete Nettoändring av hushållsarbete Nettoändring av svart arbete Sysselsättningseffekter Vit effekt, nettotillskott1 Vit effekt, i procent av sysselsättningen
!"B"L
Mindre fördelaktiga effekter
Mer fördelaktiga effekter
5,40 -2,47 -1,35 0,01 -1,46 0,73 -0,85 4,05
5,10 -0,62 -3,98 0,36 -1,48 0,99 -0,38 1,12
5,73 -4,33 1,45 -0,90 -0,94 0,31 -1,32 7,18
1,46 -2,47
3,00 -0,26
0,46 -5,23
10 616
2 945
18 823
0,25
0,07
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Kapitalersättning
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Figur 6.7
Ökad efterfrågan och effekter på löneläget
Lön Utbud
Lönereglering
w
w*
Efterfråga
Q
Q2
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Antal arbetade timmar
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?@A'BC##DBE'
' '
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Offentligfinansiell nettokostnad av sänkt mervärdesskatt från 25 procent till 12 procent på restaurang- och cateringtjänster 2012, miljarder kronor
År Offentligfinansiell nettokostnad
!"5
2012
2013
2014
2015
Varaktig effekt
Långsiktig effekt
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4,1
4,4
4,6
4,6
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Figur 6.8
Fördelningseffekter för olika inkomstgrupper. Ökning av justerad disponibel inkomst, procent
0,4
0,2
0 1 2 3 Låg inkomst
4
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Figur 6.9
Fördelningseffekter för olika hushållstyper. Ökning av justerad disponibel inkomst, procent
Ensam 20-64 u barn Ensam 65+ Ensam m barn Sambo 20-64 u barn Sambo 65+ Sambo 1 barn Sambo 2 barn Sambo 3+ barn 0
0,2
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Figur 6.10
Fördelningseffekter för olika regioner i Sverige. Ökning av justerad disponibel inkomst, procent
0,4
0,2
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Sammanfattning av konsekvenser av sänkt moms på restaurangoch cateringtjänster från 25 till 12 procent
Konsekvenser Offentligfinansiell nettokostnad 2012, miljarder kronor Långsiktig offentligfinansiell effekt, miljarder kronor Varaktig sysselsättningseffekt i helårsarbetskrafter Kostnad per jobb, miljoner kronor Minskning i administrativa kostnader, miljarder kronor
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Offentligfinansiell nettointäkt av höjd mervärdesskatt från 12 till 14,4 procent på bland annat livsmedel, omsättning av vissa konstverk, hotell- samt restaurang- och cateringtjänster 2012, mdkr
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xi ! m(∂xi / ∂m) / xi ∂xi / ∂y ymh " − # $ h % m(∂h / ∂m) / h xi y &
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mh (1 − T ') wh (1 − T ') *************************KIM* = = y (1 − T ) wh (1 − T )
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s *
dx dp ds *9* dp ds
dx dp ds * .%* ()'* .'(%,'$* "0* )>+)%>%7$"'* 5;4* >1-8)%* "0* )'* -,+)'* dp ds
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s* s* dx dp dx 1 ε −1 '0 s dp ds ds = '0 −s dp ds = '0 − As ε (1 − s) ds *
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Marknadsarbete Hemarbete Svartarbete Totalt arbetade timmar
Förändringen i det totala antalet arbetade timmar i ekonomin i Sverige vid en sänkning av mervärdesskatten på restaurang- och cateringtjänster med 10 procentenheter Innan en sänkning av mervärdesskatten Fördelning, Antal arbetade procent timmar, miljoner 80,6 769 744 17,1 163 305 2,3 21 965 100
955 000
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Efter en sänkning av mervärdesskatten Fördelning, Antal arbetade procent timmar, miljoner 83,0 792 650 14,7 139 430 2,3 21 965 100
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Tabell 2
Parametrar vid, samt resultat av, beräkningen av ökningen i antalet marknadsarbetade timmar i Sverige vid sänkt mervärdesskatt på restaurang- och cateringtjänster med 13 procentenheter
Ökningen i marknadsarbetade timmar vid sänkt moms på gruppen hushållsnära tjänster med 1 procentenhet
0,30%
Andelen restaurang- och cateringtjänster av gruppen hushållsnära tjänster
30%
Potentialen för frigjord tid vid sänkt moms på restaurang- och cateringtjänster relativt gruppen hushållsnära tjänster
0,2
Hur stor andel av den frigjorda tiden används till marknadsarbete relativt gruppen hushållsnära tjänster
0,25
Ökning i antalet marknadsarbetade timmar vid sänkt moms på restaurang- och cateringtjänster tjänster med 13 procentenheter
0,06%
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Laga mat Handla mat Totalt Totalt per år
Tidsåtgång vid matlagning i hemmet och inhandling av mat för kvinnor respektive män samt för en genomsnittlig individ, i antal minuter Kvinnor 46 25 71
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Statens offentliga utredningar 2011 Kronologisk förteckning
1. Svart på vitt – om jämställdhet i akademin. U. 2. Välfärdsstaten i arbete. Inkomsttrygghet och omfördelning med incitament till arbete. Fi. 3. Sanktionsavgifter på trygghetsområdet. S. 4. Genomförande av EU:s regelverk om inre vattenvägar i svensk rätt. N. 5. Bemanningsdirektivets genomförande i Sverige. A. 6. Missbruket, Kunskapen, Vården. Missbruksutredningens forskningsbilaga. S. 7. Transporter av frihetsberövade. Ju. 8. Den framtida gymnasiesärskolan – en likvärdig utbildning för ungdomar med utvecklingsstörning. U. 9. Barnen som samhället svek. Åtgärder med anledning av övergrepp och allvarliga försummelser i samhällsvården. S. 10. Antidopning Sverige. En ny väg för arbetet mot dopning. Ku. 11. Långtidsutredningen 2011. Huvudbetänkande. Fi. 12. Medfinansiering av transportinfrastruktur – utvärdering av förhandlingsarbetet jämte överväganden om brukaravgifter och lånevillkor. N. 13. Uppföljning av signalspaningslagen. Fö. 14. Kunskapsläget på kärnavfallsområdet 2011 – geologin, barriärerna, alternativen. M. 15. Rehabiliteringsrådets slutbetänkande. S. 16. Allmän skyldighet att hjälpa nödställda? Ju. 17. Förvar. Ju. 18. Strålsäkerhet – gällande rätt i ny form. M. 19. Tid för snabb flexibel inlärning. U.
20. Dataskydd vid europeiskt polisiärt och straffrättsligt samarbete. Dataskyddsrambeslutet, Europolanställdas befattning med hemliga uppgifter. Ju. 21. Utrikesförvaltning i världsklass. UD. 22. Spirit of Innovation. UD. 23. Revision av livsmedelskedjans kontrollmyndigheter. L. 24. Sänkt restaurang- och cateringmoms. Fi.
Statens offentliga utredningar 2011 Systematisk förteckning
Justitiedepartementet
Landsbygdsdepartementet
Transporter av frihetsberövade. [7] Allmän skyldighet att hjälpa nödställda? [16] Förvar. [17] Dataskydd vid europeiskt polisiärt och straffrättsligt samarbete. Dataskyddsrambeslutet, Europolanställdas befattning med hemliga uppgifter. [20]
Revision av livsmedelskedjans kontrollmyndigheter. [23]
Utrikesdepartementet
Näringsdepartementet
Utrikesförvaltning i världsklass. [21] Spirit of Innovation. [22]
Genomförande av EU:s regelverk om inre vattenvägar i svensk rätt. [4] Medfinansiering av transportinfrastruktur – utvärdering av förhandlingsarbetet jämte överväganden om brukaravgifter och lånevillkor. [12]
Försvarsdepartementet
Uppföljning av signalspaningslagen. [13] Socialdepartementet
Sanktionsavgifter på trygghetsområdet. [3] Missbruket, Kunskapen, Vården. Missbruksutredningens forskningsbilaga. [6] Barnen som samhället svek. Åtgärder med anledning av övergrepp och allvarliga försummelser i samhällsvården. [9] Rehabiliteringsrådets slutbetänkande. [15] Finansdepartementet
Välfärdsstaten i arbete. Inkomsttrygghet och omfördelning med incitament till arbete. [2] Långtidsutredningen 2011. Huvudbetänkande. [11] Sänkt restaurang- och cateringmoms. [24] Utbildningsdepartementet
Svart på vitt – om jämställdhet i akademin. [1] Den framtida gymnasiesärskolan – en likvärdig utbildning för ungdomar med utvecklingsstörning. [8] Tid för snabb flexibel inlärning. [19]
Miljödepartementet
Kunskapsläget på kärnavfallsområdet 2011 – geologin, barriärerna, alternativen. [14] Strålsäkerhet – gällande rätt i ny form. [18]
Kulturdepartementet
Antidopning Sverige. En ny väg för arbetet mot dopning. [10] Arbetsmarknadsdepartementet
Bemanningsdirektivets genomförande i Sverige. [5]
Tryck: E-print, Stockholm, 2011 ISBN: 978-91-7437-201-4