2016 Year in Review
Canadian Real Estate Investment Banking
2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review Table of Contents Introduction 1
“We expect many of the driving factors from 2016 to persist in 2017, and believe current pricing fairly reflects prevailing property fundamentals and the economic outlook.� Alex Avery Managing Director, Equity Research CIBC World Markets Inc.
Economic Outlook
2
Equity Market Commentary
3
Equity Market Capitalization
5
M&A Market Commentary
7
Distribution / Dividend Commentary
8
Bank Market Commentary
9
Real Estate Public Debt Market Commentary
10
Property Transactions
12
2016 Year-End Monitor
16
Public Real Estate Trading Performance
20
2016 Leadership in Real Estate Investment Banking
26
Introduction Chris S. Bell & Mark G. Johnson Co-Heads & Managing Directors, Real Estate Investment Banking
A Year of Haves & Have Nots 2016 was a mixed year for the Canadian real estate sector, with some market segments experiencing robust activity levels, while others struggled under the weight of weakening fundamentals and an uncertain economic backdrop. Overall, Canadian real estate equities delivered healthy performance during 2016, with the large-cap weighted S&P/TSX REIT Index achieving a 11.0% price increase and 17.4% total return over the calendar year. However, this strong annual performance was front-end weighted and masked weakness during the second half of the year. From January to July, the S&P/TSX REIT Index recorded a total return of 20.9%, with real estate equities supported by a continued low interest rate environment and strong demand from generalist investors ahead of the creation in September of an eleventh Global Industry Classification Standard (“GICS”) sector for real estate. In contrast, the second half of the year saw some weakness in the sector, with the S&P/TSX REIT Index delivering a negative return of (3.0%) on the back of heightened interest rate concerns and challenging fundamentals impacting select sub-sectors and geographies. In terms of capital raising, public real estate investment trusts ("REITs") and real estate operating companies (“REOCs”) got off to a slow start in 2016, with the first quarter seeing only $670 million of public equity and unsecured debt raised by real estate issuers. However, new issue activity picked up in the second quarter and continued through the balance of the year. In aggregate, 2016 saw Canadian real estate issuers raise total capital of $6.9 billion, up from $5.4 billion in 2015. Notably, equity issuance rose markedly on a year-over-year basis, with REITs/ REOCs raising $4.1 billion in new common equity and convertible debenture transactions, up from a mere $1.9 billion in 2015 (which represented the lowest level of issuance observed since 2008).
130
120
120
110
110
100
100 90 Mar-16
Source: Bloomberg.
May-16
Jul-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
From a macroeconomic and geopolitical perspective, 2016 was a year characterized by a number of largely unanticipated developments – most notably, the United Kingdom’s surprising vote to leave the EU and, more recently, the election of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States. Looking forward into 2017, the markets continue to face a highly uncertain economic environment. There are a wide range of potential macroeconomic catalysts, including President Trump’s nascent fiscal and trade policies, the potential for further interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve and risks of further fragmentation within the European Union. Any of these or other major developments could have a significant impact on the broader macroeconomic environment, and the Canadian real estate sector in particular. If nothing else, it is likely to be another interesting year. As always, we thank you for your business and we look forward to working with you and your colleagues on the opportunities ahead.
S&P / TSX Capped REIT Index 10-Year Price Performance
130
90 Jan-16
In contrast with real property markets, 2016 was another slow year for public M&A activity in the Canadian real estate sector. The year saw only one notable public transaction, being the $2.1 billion privatization of InnVest REIT by Bluesky Hotel and Resorts Inc.
150
150
125
125
100
100
1-Jan-07 = 100
1-Jan-16 = 100
S&P / TSX Capped REIT Index One-Year Price Performance
The Canadian property market remained active in 2016, with total transaction volume of $11.4 billion, (vs $11.7 billion of volume in 2015). Similar to the last year, the domestic property market continued to be characterized by very robust activity in certain markets and anemic transaction volumes in others. 2016 saw significant transaction volume in the office sector, with a number of trophy assets in Toronto and Vancouver changing hands. In contrast, Alberta continued to see weak trade volumes. While real property transactions in Alberta picked up slightly over the prior year, activity remained below historic norms as the province continued to grapple with the fallout from depressed oil prices. Given recent stability in global energy markets, 2017 may well be the year in which activity in the Alberta property market returns to more normalized levels.
75
75
50
50
25 Jan-07
25 Jan-09
Jan-11
Jan-13
Jan-15
Source: Bloomberg.
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 1
Economic Outlook
the policy outlook is clearer. The currently healthy industrial property market in Canada has some exposure to these risks should they materialize.
Avery Shenfeld Chief Economist, CIBC World Markets Inc.
Canadian short term interest rates have remained grounded by Bank of Canada policy. The tame trend in non-energy inflation and wages, combined with uncertainties in the growth outlook, should keep rates unchanged for the next six quarters. With U.S. Fed hikes likely to somewhat exceed what is currently priced into markets, the Canadian dollar could slip a few cents over the balance of the year, supporting tourism-related demand and the hotel sector.
Rebalancing Growth The Canadian economy won’t have a tough time jumping over the low bar set by the anemic economic growth achieved in 2016. The largest swing factor will come from the energy sector which is expected to start digging itself out of a capital spending recession, alongside the stimulus from federal infrastructure dollars. But while the base case forecast is for better times ahead, U.S. protectionism poses a significant downside risk. While oil prices aren’t high enough to justify any major greenfield oil sands projects, a $50-60/bbl range in 2017-18 will be supportive for capital spending in shale and light oil plays as well as some smaller additions to oil sands capacity. Add in increases in crude output, and the energy sector will swing from a roughly half percent drag on growth to an equivalent boost in 2017. Still, Canadian growth is likely to be held below 2%, trailing the U.S. economy in the coming year. Exports and related capital spending are a key uncertainty. Typically, the improved momentum we’ve seen in the U.S. economy in the latter half of 2016, the recovery in oil and some metals prices, and a likely continuation of reasonable growth stateside this year, would be expected to improve the outlook for exports. But there’s a cloud hanging over exporters given the uncertain course of U.S. trade policy, one that could delay capital spending decisions that are needed to expand Canada’s export capacity. Proposed U.S. corporate tax reforms would impose a stiff penalty on American companies using imported inputs. That risk, and protectionist rhetoric from the Trump team, might be enough to stall Canadian business investment spending until 2016 – Canada / U.S. Exchange Rate
Real estate equities underperformed the broader market for parts of the last year in the face of a climb in bond yields, which were pulled higher by U.S. Treasury yields as the market began to anticipate a string of Fed hikes. Canadian 10-year rates could edge up to 1.75% this year as a result of similar forces, but the bulk of the correction in bonds is likely behind us. The anticipated stability in rates will provide a better backdrop for real estate equities in 2017. As for the economic fundamentals key to operating performance, the news will be more mixed. The recovery in the energy sector will fall well short of what’s needed to soak up spare office real estate capacity in affected cities. Elsewhere, economic growth should be sufficient to avoid large imbalances. Retail sales volumes are projected to grow somewhat more slowly in 2017. We’re coming off record auto sales and a period of soft wage gains. Furthermore, we will likely see a squeeze on buying power from higher gasoline prices. Look for a narrowing in the gulf we’ve been experiencing between retailing recessions in oil provinces and healthy gains elsewhere. Mortgage rates remain supportive for housing. But coming off lofty levels, housing activity could cool in terms of new construction volumes and resale turnover, with price momentum in national averages slowing in response to the past year’s policy developments.
2016 – 10-Year Government of Canada Bond Yield
$1.50
$1.50
$1.40
$1.40
2.0%
2.0%
1.8%
1.8%
1.6%
1.6%
1.4%
1.4%
$1.30
$1.30
1.2%
1.2%
1.0%
1.0%
$1.20
$1.20
0.8%
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
Source: Bloomberg.
2 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
D
0.8% J
F
M
Source: Bloomberg.
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Equity Market Commentary Alex Avery Managing Director, Equity Research, CIBC World Markets Inc.
Good Income, Moderate Outlook of Challenging Conditions, Fair Prices The S&P/TSX Capped REIT Index delivered a 17.4% total return in 2016 (+18.7% for the unweighted CIBC REIT Index, skewed higher by select M&A, notably InnVest REIT), slightly lagging the S&P/TSX Composite Index’s 20.1% total return. The 2016 performance was well above the long-term average +12% total return (last 15 years), and outperformed the FTSE/ EPRA NAREIT Global REIT Index (+7.1% in US$ terms) and the MSCI U.S. REIT Index (+8.6% in US$ terms). Performance was influenced by Canadian dollar and oil price volatility, moderating property fundamentals, and interest rate volatility. One of the more notable developments for the REIT sector in 2016 was the creation of an 11th Global Industry Classification System (GICS) sector for real estate, which helped explain, we believe, a good part of the strong REIT performance. By July, the S&P TSX Capped REIT Index had risen 20.9%, reflecting strong demand from generalist investors in anticipation of the GICS sector creation. Helping the GICS rally was the continued decline in the Government of Canada 10-year bond yield, which reached a year-long low of sub 1% in July. However H2/2016 was witness to a moderation in REITs’ performance, reflective of growing concerns about Fed rate hikes, a slowing of the inflow of capital associated with the aforementioned GICS changes, and a general acknowledgment of modestly softer underlying fundamental conditions.
apartment REITs (+22.9%), and industrial REITs (+22.4%). The remaining property types included +20.2% from the diversified REITs, +17.2% from the office REITs, +17.0% from retail REITs and +11.5% from seniors housing REITs. The best-performing REITs in 2016 were InnVest REIT (+40.6%, on M&A), Pure Industrial (+36%) and Morguard Residential (+34%). Among the larger-capitalization real estate issuers, the best performers in 2016 were Dream Office REIT (+22.7%) and CAP REIT (+21.8%). At the end of 2016, the unweighted average yield for our research coverage universe of REITs was 6.4% (6.2% for the S&P/TSX REIT Index), compared to 6.9% a year earlier (5.8% for the S&P/TSX REIT Index). The average REIT yield spread over ten-year Government of Canada bond yields ("GoCs") of 468 basis points ("bps") at December 31, 2016 was close to the historical average, having contracted 73 bps during the year, from a wider-than-average 541 bps at the end of 2015. The increase in GoC 10-year bond yields contributed 33 bps to the spread contraction in 2016. Cap rates remained quite steady in 2016, on average, with a widening out between the highest and lowest-quality properties. Market sentiment has oscillated from a focus on and/or fear of interest rate increases to deflation fears, and we expect these fears to remain present as long as our low interest rate environment persists. There have been notable declines in market cap rates for prime office properties and apartment cap rates outside of Alberta, while market cap rates elsewhere remained largely unchanged. The current interest rate environment is still suggestive of continued benefit from a favorable cost of debt and declining interest costs, as mortgages refinanced through 2017 are, on balance, at higher rates than the current prevailing levels, allowing for the utilization of longer term debt and cash flow certainty.
Among listed Canadian REITs (unweighted), hotels were the strongest performing sub-sector in 2016, delivering a 23.6% average total return (aided by M&A), followed by the
S&P / TSX Capped REIT Index Weighting as at December 31, 2016
15%
15%
Multi-Family
HR
REI
CAR
SRU
AP
REF
CUF
D
GRT
AX
BEI
0% MST
0% CRR
5%
AAR
5%
DRG
10%
NVU
10%
Source: CIBC.
300
20%
Commercial
01-Jan-07=100
20%
Historic Relative Performance (Total Return) – Last 10 Years 300
S&P/TSX Index S&P/TSX Capped REIT Index
200
200
MSCI U.S. REIT Index
100 0 Jan-07
100 0 Jan-09
Jan-11
Jan-13
Jan-15
Source: Bloomberg.
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 3
We expect Canadian REITs to deliver total returns of between 5% and 15% on average in 2017. We are forecasting funds from operations ("FFO") growth per unit among S&P/TSX REIT Capped Index constituents of 1% on average (3.5% including all covered REITs), primarily reflecting modest same-property NOI growth and continued interest cost savings on refinancings (average shopping center REITs +3%; diversified commercial REITs -0.2%; Canadian office REITs +0.9%; international office REITs +4.6%; industrial REITs +6.6%; residential REITs +3% (domestic) and +9.3% US based; retirement/LTC REITs +4.1%; and hotels +4%). At year-end 2016, the average 2017E FFO multiple for our research coverage universe of REITs was 12.0x, and was 12.9x for the Capped REIT index, close to the 10-year average (~12.8x), well off the highs of 16x-17x seen in 2013 and in early 2007. Current valuations also reflect a ~5% discount to our conservative estimates of net asset value, reflecting discounts to fair value for investors with a long-term horizon, but also capturing the potential for near-term volatility. In summary, we expect many of the driving factors from 2016 to persist in 2017, and believe current pricing fairly reflects prevailing property fundamentals and the economic outlook. We expect returns from REITs (unweighted) in 2017 to average between +5% and +15%, driven by 3.5% average FFO growth, attractive current distribution yields of over 6% on average, and constant multiples. A high current REIT yield spread of 468 bps to the 10-year GoC bond yield, an average discount to NAV of 5.4%, moderate property fundamentals and continued low benchmark bond yields are all supporting factors in our outlook.
Toronto, Ontario 2016 S&P / TSX REIT Total Return by Sector
Average S&P / TSX REIT Yield vs 10-Year GoC
30.0%
20%
20.0%
15%
10.0%
Source: CIBC.
4 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
Retirement
Industrial
Retail
Office
Diversified
Hotels
MultiFamily
0.0%
Spread Between REIT Yield and 10-Year GoC Yield Average REIT Yield
20% 15%
10%
10%
5%
5%
0% 2007 Source: CIBC.
0% 2009
2011
2013
2015
Equity Market Capitalization
Equity Capitalization Up At the end of 2016, there were 43 REITs and one limited partnership (“LP”) listed on the TSX, with a combined equity market capitalization of $96.4 billion. This compares to 43 REITs and one LP listed at the end of 2015, with an equity market capitalization of $85.5 billion. While the aggregate number of REITs / LPs was unchanged, the composition was not, as InnVest REIT was privatized in August 2016 (equity market capitalization of ~$1 billion) and Killam Apartment Properties converted from a corporation to a REIT in January (year-end equity market capitalization of ~$0.9 billion). On a same issuer basis the equity market capitalization yearover-year for REITs and the one LP increased $10.8 billion or 12.7%.
Equity Capital Markets Issuance Back from the Bottom 2016 marked a rebound in real estate equity issuance. After a slow Q1, which mimicked a quiet new issue market in early 2014 and 2015, Q2 2016 was characterized by a significant increase in equity issuance activity. That trend continued through the balance of 2016, and a total of $4.1 billion of equity was raised by real estate issuers over the year, compared to $1.9 billion raised in 2015.
The equity market capitalization of real estate corporations (“REOCs”) also rose in 2016. This increase was supported by the addition of a new REOC, Mainstreet Health Investments Inc., which had an equity capitalization of US$302 million at year end. On a same issuer basis, the equity market capitalization year-over-year for REOCs increased $2.2 billion or 17.5%.
The amount of capital raised in 2016 represents a 112% increase from 2015 and a 61% increase from 2014. The $4.1 billion total included: (i) $3.3 billion of follow-on offerings; (ii) a US$109 million (C$141 million) offering to fund a reverse take-over (“RTO”) for Mainstreet Health Investments Inc.; (iii) $391 million of convertible debentures, and; (iv) $200 million of preferred equity.
The market capitalization of all REITs / LPs and REOCs increased by 13.1% over 2016 to $111.6 billion (compared to $98.7 billion at the end of 2015). At the end of 2016, the total sector split by market capitalization between REITs / LPs and REOCs was 86.4% and 13.6%, respectively.
Although no REIT IPOs were completed this year, the abovenoted Mainstreet Health Investment's RTO was analogous to an IPO. Mainstreet Health Investments’ US$109 million raise was completed at a 7.4% yield and resulted in the creation of a new US$302 million market cap issuer focused on the acquisition and ownership of seniors housing and care assets in the U.S. Real Estate Historical Equity Issuance by Type
Real Estate Equity Market Capitalization — Year End
$billions $8 Follow-Ons Converts $6 IPO / RTO
$billions $100
$8
$80
$6
$4
$4
$2
$2 $0
$0
$100
REOCs REITs
$80
$60
$60
$40
$40
$20
$20
$0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
$0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: CIBC.
Source: CIBC.
Real Estate Equity Market Capitalizations (Over $95 million) – Year-End Ranking $billions $4
$23 $9 $7 $6 $5 $5 $4
REITs
$3
REOCs
$2
TPH
PRV.UN
GDC
PAR.UN
TNT.UN
BTB.UN
MR.UN
INO.UN
SMU.UN
MEQ
APR.UN
HLP.U
ACR.UN
SVI
ONR.UN
MRD
SOT.UN
WIR.UN
PLZ.UN
RUF.UN
SRT.UN
DRM
IIP.UN
HOT.UN
DIR.UN
MRG.UN
SIA
WFC
EXE
KMP.UN
NWH.UN
TCN
MRT.UN
DRG.UN
NVU.UN
AAR.UN
AX.UN
MST.UN
MRC
CRR.UN
GRT.UN
GZT
D.UN
BEI.UN
BOX.UN
CUF.UN
AP.UN
CSH.UN
REF.UN
CRT.UN
CAR.UN
FCR
SRU.UN
HR.UN
Source: CIBC.
CHP.UN
REI.UN
$0
BPY.UN
$1
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 5
2016 Real Estate Equity Issues Launch Date
Issuer
Security
Type of Issue
Size
Issue Price
Since Issue1
(C$millions) 15-Dec-10
Morguard North American Residential REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$60.0
$13.75
(0.9%)
05-Dec-16
AHIP REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$115.1
$10.20
2.5%
07-Nov-16
Temple Hotels
Rights Offering
MKT-Treasury
$50.0
$0.68
3.4%
01-Nov-16
True North Commercial REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$28.8
$6.35
(3.6%)
19-Oct-16
Milestone Apartments REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$192.6
$18.45
3.0%
12-Oct-16
Northview Apartment REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$74.8
$21.15
(5.1%)
03-Oct-16
Pure Industrial Real Estate Trust
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$143.8
$5.35
4.5%
26-Sep-16
Pro REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$29.9
$2.25
(5.8%)
15-Sep-16
Mainstreet Health Investments
Subscription Receipts
BOT-Treasury
$98.43
US$10.10
(7.2%)
14-Sep-16
Cominar REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$200.0
$15.65
(5.9%)
25-Aug-16
Automotive Properties REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$40.3
$10.50
1.7%
17-Aug-16
Slate Office REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury / Secondary
$58.3
$8.45
(6.5%)
16-Aug-16
True North Commercial REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$33.0
$6.20
(1.3%)
10-Aug-16
Allied Properties REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$230.2
$37.80
(4.9%)
04-Aug-16
First Capital Realty
Common Shares
BOT-Treasury
$172.6
$22.60
(8.5%)
27-Jul-16
StorageVault Canada
Common Shares
BOT-Treasury
$57.5
$0.85
69.4%
25-Jul-16
Agellan Commercial REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$46.0
$10.25
4.1%
14-Jul-16
DREAM Global REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$97.8
$9.00
5.0%
12-Jul-16
Pure Multi-Family REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$37.3
$7.64
5.3%
11-Jul-16
Canadian Apartment Properties REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$165.1
$32.20
(2.6%)
06-Jul-16
NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$66.5
$9.80
4.1%
05-Jul-16
Inovalis REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$46.0
$9.50
(3.4%)
05-Jul-16
AHIP REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$103.5
$10.35
1.1%
05-Jul-16
True North Commercial REIT
Trust Units
MKT-Treasury
$9.0
$5.85
4.6%
28-Jun-16
WPT Industrial REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$90.04
US$11.05
7.4%
14-Jun-16
BTB REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$32.5
$4.55
(1.8%)
08-Jun-16
Artis REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$115.0
$13.20
(3.8%)
06-Jun-16
Slate Office REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury / Secondary
$51.3
$7.85
0.6%
06-Jun-16
Pure Industrial Real Estate Trust
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$149.8
$5.05
10.7%
30-May-16
Summit Industrial Income REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$34.2
$6.05
5.5%
26-May-16
Mainstreet Health Investments
Common Shares
IPO-MKT-Treasury
$141.25
US$10.00
(6.3%)
16-May-16
First Capital Realty
Common Shares
BOT-Treasury
$115.0
$21.10
(2.0%)
12-May-16
Killam Apartment REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
$98.0
$12.00
(0.5%)
12-May-16
Crombie REIT
Subscription Receipts
BOT-Treasury
$131.6
$14.70
(7.6%)
18-Apr-16
Sienna Senior Living
Subscription Receipts
BOT-Treasury
$138.3
$15.85
2.8%
18-Apr-16
Brookfield Office Properties
Preferred Shares
BOT-Treasury
$200.0
$25.00
8.3%
31-Mar-16
NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury
22-Mar-16
Milestone Apartments REIT
Trust Units
BOT-Treasury / Secondary
10-Mar-16
Plaza Retail REIT
Trust Units
02-Mar-16
Slate Retail REIT
Rights Offering
2
$69.3
$9.20
10.9%
$181.5
$16.50
15.2%
BOT-Treasury
$23.0
$4.60
8.7%
MKT-Treasury
$46.4
$13.71
9.8%
Total 2016 Real Estate Equity Issues
$3,712.6
2.9%
2016 Real Estate Convertible Debenture Issues Launch Date
Issuer
Type of Issue
Coupon
Size
Conversion Price
(C$millions)
($ per unit / share)
Maturity
08-Dec-16
Morguard REIT
BOT-Treasury
4.50%
$175.0
$20.40
31-Dec-21
06-Dec-16
NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT
BOT-Treasury
5.25%
$80.5
$12.80
31-Dec-21
28-Nov-16
Mainstreet Health Investments
BOT-Treasury
5.00%
$60.36
US$11.00
31-Jan-22
06-Jul-16
NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT
BOT-Treasury
5.25%
$74.8
$12.75
Total 2016 Real Estate Convertible Debenture Issues Total 2016 Real Estate Equity & Convertible Debenture Issues Based on local currency and as at December 31, 2016. 2 Not included in total as the deal closed in 2017. 3 Based on a CAD/USD exchange rate of 1.3152 at the date of launch. 4 Based on a CAD/USD exchange rate of 1.3050 at the date of launch. 5 Based on a CAD/USD exchange rate of 1.2920 at the date of launch. 6 Based on a CAD/USD exchange rate of 1.3409 at the date of launch. Source: CIBC. 1
6 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
$390.6 $4,103.2
31-Jul-21
M&A Market Commentary
2016 Sees Slow Year in Public Real Estate M&A 2016 was a slow year in M&A, with only one transaction launched and completed for a value of $2.1 billion. This compares to five transactions launched and completed with a total value of $3.6 billion in 2015. In August, Bluesky Hotels and Resorts completed the acquisition of InnVest REIT in an all-cash transaction pursuant to which Bluesky acquired all of the outstanding units of InnVest it did not already own for consideration of $7.25 per InnVest REIT unit. The acquisition price represented a 37% premium over InnVest's 30-day volume-weighted average unit price of $5.28.
May-16
Value
Close Date Aug-16
$billions $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Canadian Real Estate Public M&A – Transaction Volume (2012 – 2016) # of Transactions 6
2016 Real Estate M&A Transaction(s) Launch Date
Canadian Real Estate Public M&A – Transaction Value (2012 – 2016)
5
Target
Acquiror
($millions)
Primary Asset Class
InnVest REIT
Bluesky Hotels and Resorts
$2,137
Hotel
4
2
3
1 0 2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Toronto, Ontario CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 7
Distribution / Dividend Commentary Changes in Distributions and Dividends 2016 saw a number of distribution / dividend policy changes for Canadian-listed real estate entities. Overall, 20 entities increased their distributions / dividends and four entities decreased their distributions / dividends. Select notable changes highlighted in the tables to the right include: ••
Milestone Apartments REIT and American Hotel Income Properties REIT changed the currency of their distributions to U.S. dollars to better reflect the underlying cash flows of their businesses.
••
StorageVault Canada declared an inaugural quarterly dividend.
••
Facing operational headwinds, several issuers with significant exposure to Western Canada decided to reduce their distributions during 2016. This included Temple Hotels, which announced that it was suspending its dividend earlier this year, and Melcor Developments which reduced its dividend by 20%.
Distribution / Dividend Increases Change in Distribution Issuer Allied Properties REIT (AP.UN)
Current 2015 Dist. / Div Year End
Dollar Amount
Percent
$1.53
$1.50
$0.03
2.0%
American Hotel Income Properties US$0.65 REIT (HOT.UN)
US$0.641
US$0.01
1.7%
Boardwalk REIT (BEI.UN)
$2.25
$2.04
$0.21
10.3%
Brookfield Office Properties Canada REIT (BOX.UN)
$1.31
$1.24
$0.07
5.7%
US$1.12
US$1.06
US$0.06
5.7%
Canadian Apartment Properties REIT (CAR.UN)
$1.25
$1.22
$0.03
2.4%
Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN)
$0.56
$0.55
$0.01
2.0%
Choice Properties REIT (CHP.UN)
$0.71
$0.65
$0.06
9.2%
Brookfield Property Partners (BPY.UN)
CREIT (REF.UN)
$1.83
$1.80
$0.03
1.7%
CT REIT (CRT.UN)
$0.70
$0.68
$0.02
2.9%
Granite REIT (GRT.UN)
$2.60
$2.30
$0.30
13.0%
H&R REIT (HR.UN)
$1.38
$1.35
$0.03
2.2%
InterRent REIT (IIP.UN)
$0.24
$0.23
$0.01
5.2%
US$0.55
US$0.491
US$0.06
11.2%
Morguard North American REIT (MRG.UN)
$0.64
$0.60
$0.04
6.7%
Plaza Retail REIT (PLZ.UN)
$0.26
$0.25
$0.01
4.0%
Slate Retail REIT (SRT.UN)
Milestone Apartments REIT (MST.UN)
US$0.81
US$0.78
US$0.03
4.0%
SmartREIT (SRU.UN)
$1.70
$1.65
$0.05
3.0%
StorageVault Canada (SVI)
$0.01
$0.00
$0.01
na.
Tricon Capital Group (TCN)
$0.26
$0.24
$0.02
8.3%
Distribution / Dividend Decreases Change in Distribution Issuer Dream Office REIT (D.UN)
1
Dollar Amount
$1.50
$2.24
($0.74)
(33.0%)
₪1.84
(₪0.44)
(31.4%)
Melcor Developments (MRD)
$0.48
$0.60
($0.12)
(20.0%)
Temple Hotels (TPH)
$0.00
$0.15
($0.15)
(100.0%)
Distributions for Milestone Apartments REIT and American Hotel Income Properties REIT compared in USD equivalent at time of press release announcing currency change.
8 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
Percent
₪1.40
Gazit Globe (GZT)
Calgary, Alberta
Current 2015 Dist, / Div Year End
Bank Market Commentary
of bond market volatility. M&A related financings across sectors surged from ~6% of total activity in 2015 to ~13% in 2016, as lenders underwrote substantial acquisition bridge, term loan and revolving credit facilities to support an influx of demand from acquirers during the year.
Strong Fundamentals Despite Moderating Activity The Canadian bank market generated $258 billion of aggregate deal flow in 2016 compared to a record $270 billion in 2015. The market was characterized by a robust M&A environment and strong demand for new credit facilities. The marginally weaker Canadian dollar in 2016 translated into higher Canadian dollar equivalent values for U.S. dollar denominated credit facilities. However, overall activity moderated slightly as depressed commodity prices in the oil & gas sector (which typically represents more than one quarter of the Canadian market) drove lower corporate financing volumes for exploration & production companies. Refinancings continued to dominate bank market activity in 2016 (~70%), as borrowers remained focused on extending lenders’ commitments to existing loans in order to lock-in attractive pricing. In general, market pricing did not increase despite pressures from enhanced regulatory requirements and increased bank funding costs early in the year as a result Canadian Bank Market Volume by Purpose (2016) Project Finance 1.6%
On the real estate finance front, 2016 was shaped primarily by a number of large corporate revolver financing activities (extensions, upsizings and consolidations of existing revolving facilities), as Canadian REITs, particularly those with meaningful exposure to Alberta, continued to strengthen their balance sheets and liquidity lines. Larger corporate revolvers were also increasingly relied upon to support borrowers’ bond programs, as well as to fund property acquisitions. Bank pricing for institutional real estate borrowers remained largely stable in 2016, despite increased funding costs and enhanced pressure on lenders to price in geographic risk (i.e., Alberta exposure). Given the relative absence of real estate M&A trades and large portfolio transactions in 2016, new bank financing was mainly sought to fund value-add projects, as borrowers continued to focus on creating value organically. This was met with a healthy appetite from the banks, albeit with due consideration to sponsorship, underwriting metrics, and geography. Barring any major M&A activity and large portfolio trades in 2017, new bank financing is expected to fund activities of similar nature in the year ahead.
Canadian Bank Market Volumes (2012 – 2016) $ billions
Other 0.9%
$300
M&A 12.6%
$250 $200 $150
GCP New Money 13.8%
$100 $50 $0
Refinancing 71.1% Source: CIBC; GCP= General Corporate Purposes.
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Source: CIBC
Notable 2016 Real Estate Bank Deals Close Date
Borrower
Facility Type
Amount
Asset Class
(C$millions) Jun-16
RioCan REIT
Revolver
$1,000
Retail
May-16
Timbercreek Financial Corp.
Revolver
$350
Diversified
Apr-16
Artis REIT
Revolver
$200
Diversified
Feb-16
Dream Office REIT
Revolver
$800
Office
Jan-16
AIMCo Realty Investors LP
Revolver
$300
Diversified
Source: CIBC.
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 9
$1.0 $0.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: CIBC.
Real Estate Senior Unsecured Issuance by Rating in 20162 BBB (L) 21%
BBB 39%
Source: CIBC.
Source: CIBC.
2017 2
10 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
Thereafter
A Maple bond is a bond issued by a foreign entity in the Canadian Market. Excludes pension fund related real estate entities. For split rated companies, DBRS’ rating was used.
1
2026
At the end of 2016, Choice Properties REIT/LP and First Capital Realty had the most senior unsecured bonds outstanding at $3.05 billion and $2.55 billion, respectively.
2025
Real Estate Senior Unsecured Maturity Schedule $ billions $3.0 $2.5 $2.0 $1.5 $1.0 $0.5 $0.0
There were no first mortgage bonds issued in 2016, down from $400 million in 2015.
BBB (H) 40%
2024
OMERS Realty Corporation (not guaranteed by OMERS Administration Corporation) was the sole pension fund related real estate entity to be active in 2016, issuing $605 million in aggregate over two transactions.
$3.0 $2.0
2023
Fixed rate issuance from other repeat borrowers included CT REIT ($350 million), SmartREIT ($350 million), First Capital Realty Inc. ($300 million), RioCan REIT ($250 million), Cominar REIT ($225 million), H&R REIT ($200 million) and Allied Properties REIT ($150 million). There were no real estate sector Maple1 or floating rate note offerings completed in 2016.
$5.0 $4.0
2022
Choice Properties REIT completed a $350 million offering which included a $100 million 30-year tranche, marking the longest term ever completed for a senior unsecured issuer in the sector. Also of note, Granite REIT Holdings Limited Partnership completed the largest transaction in the sector during 2016, a $400 million 7-year offering.
$billions $6.0
2021
Issuance was largely driven by opportunistic financing, acquisition financing, maturities and issuers calling and refinancing existing bonds. No inaugural issuers entered the market in 2016 (inaugural issuance accounted for $1.1 billion of issuance in 2015). The average transaction size was $252 million (26% higher than 2015) and new issue terms ranged from four years to 30 years. All transactions in 2016, with the exception of a $25 million retail allocation of the $200 million Morguard Corporation transaction, were targeted towards institutional investors.
Real Estate Senior Unsecured Issuance (2007 – 2016)
2020
In 2016, the Canadian real estate sector saw $2.8 billion of new senior unsecured debt issuance via 11 transactions (excluding issuance by pension fund real estate entities). Although 2016 volume declined compared to the prior three years, activity levels were higher than the 10-year real estate annual issuance average of $2.1 billion.
2019
Continued Strong Supply of Real Estate Issuance
Looking ahead, the sector has $1.5 billion of senior unsecured maturities in 2017, more than double 2016's maturities of $730 million. Issuers with maturities include H&R REIT, Choice Properties LP, First Capital Realty Inc., RioCan REIT, Cominar REIT, SmartREIT, Dream Office REIT and Bookfield Office Properties Inc. Upcoming maturities are expected to be a larger predictor of issuance in future years as the sector begins to mature and issuance volumes stabilize.
2018
Real Estate Public Debt Market Commentary
2016 Real Estate Unsecured Debenture Issuance Launch Date
Issuer
Term
Maturity
(years)
Coupon
Size
Credit Ratings
Issue Spread
(%)
(C$millions)
(DBRS / S&P / Moody’s)
(bps)
Retail / Institutional
Dec-16
Granite REIT Holdings LP
7.0
30-Nov-23
3.873%
400
BBB / - / Baa2
250
Institutional
Nov-16
Morguard Corporation
4.0
18-Nov-20
4.013%
175
BBB (L) / - / -
315
Institutional
Nov-16
Morguard Corporation
4.0
18-Nov-20
4.013%
25
BBB (L) / - / -
315
Retail
Oct-16
H&R REIT
5.5
06-May-22
2.923%
200
BBB (H) / - / -
221
Institutional
Sep-16
First Capital Realty (Re-opening)
9.6
06-May-26
3.604%
150
BBB (H) / - / Baa2
217
Institutional
Aug-16
RioCan REIT
4.0
26-Aug-20
2.185%
250
BBB (H) / BBB- / -
160
Institutional
Aug-16
SmartREIT
8.0
28-Aug-24
2.987%
100
BBB / - / -
217
Institutional
Aug-16
SmartREIT
10.0
28-Aug-26
3.444%
250
BBB / - / -
244
Institutional
May-16
Cominar REIT
7.0
23-May-23
4.247%
225
BBB (L) / - / -
325
Institutional
May-16
CT REIT
5.0
01-Jun-21
2.159%
150
BBB (H) / BBB+ / -
143
Institutional
May-16
CT REIT
10.0
01-Jun-26
3.289%
200
BBB (H) / BBB+ / -
198
Institutional
May-16
Allied Properties REIT
Apr-16
First Capital Realty
Mar-16 Mar-16
6.5
14-Nov-22
3.934%
150
BBB (L) / - / -
300
Institutional
10.0
06-May-26
3.604%
150
BBB (H) / - / Baa2
205
Institutional
Choice Properties REIT
7.0
07-Mar-23
3.196%
250
BBB / BBB / -
220
Institutional
Choice Properties REIT
30.0
07-Mar-46
5.268%
100
BBB / BBB / -
325
Institutional
Total
$2,775
Source: CIBC.
Senior Unsecureds Outstanding by Issuer $ billions $3.5
$3.0
$2.5
$2.0
$1.5
$1.0
$0.5
$0.0 CHP.UN
FCR
REI.UN
CUF.UN
HR.UN
SRU.UN
CRT.UN
GRT.UN
D.UN
CRR.UN
AP.UN
MRC
REF.UN
AX.UN
Source: CIBC.
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 11
Property Transactions
Continued Bifurcation of the Nation The bifurcation of property markets that Canada witnessed in 2015 continued through 2016 and, in some cases, intensified during the year. The diversified economies of Vancouver and Toronto continued to observe capitalization rate compression for high-quality assets. Trophy assets being sold in these markets were met with unprecedented levels of interest from both foreign and domestic buyers in 2016. In contrast, the oil-dependent Alberta market continued to struggle, with weak leasing fundamentals starting to cause observable capitalization rate expansion. Canada recorded $11.4 billion of transaction activity in 2016, down slightly from 2015 levels. Foreign buyer activity saw substantial growth in 2016, accounting for 14% of transaction volume, compared to only 2% in 2015. The first half of 2016 saw a wave of high-profile office property transactions. In February, Forgestone Capital (on behalf of a foreign buyer) acquired Vancouver’s Royal Centre from Brookfield Office Properties for $425 million. In April, Ivanhoe Cambridge announced the sale of its 67% interest in the Bentall Centre office complex (also in Vancouver) to Anbang Insurance Group for $688 million; and in June, Anbang acquired the remaining 33% from GWL Realty Advisors. These two high-profile transactions were followed by KingSett Capital/AIMCo’s acquisition of a 50% interest in Scotia Plaza for $655 million in June from Dream Office REIT and H&R REIT, purchasing H&R REIT’s 33% position in the asset and reducing Dream Office REIT’s stake to 50% from 67%.
2016 saw a return of interest, albeit muted, in the Alberta market, with several transactions occurring throughout the year (in addition to the Oxford/CPPIB transaction highlighted above). Notable transactions included HOOPP’s announced acquisition of a 50% interest in TransCanada Tower from H&R REIT for $257 million in October and PIRET's acquisition of a portfolio of industrial assets in Calgary from Artis REIT for $171 million in November. These, combined with several other transactions currently under contract, suggest that activity in the Alberta market may be returning to more stabilized levels. Given Canada’s relatively stable economic and political landscape, the outlook for Canadian commercial real estate in 2017 remains positive. Though a lack of product coming to market will continue to be thematic in 2017, strong demand from both domestic and foreign capital sources is expected to further support pricing across all asset classes. Notwithstanding the potential for rising interest rates, demand for quality assets in core locations will remain given the amount of capital seeking acquisitions and continued limited supply in the Canadian marketplace.
2016 Trades by Purchaser Type
2016 Trades by Asset Class Retail 27% Multi-Family 12% Industrial 12%
While the second half of 2016 was quieter than the first, office trades remained robust. CPPIB acquired a 50% interest from Oxford Properties in Richmond-Adelaide Centre in Toronto, as well as Centennial Place and Au Claire Tower in Calgary for $1.18 billion, with the Calgary sales representing the first major office transactions in that market since the energy downturn began in late 2014. The second half of the year also featured a large hotel deal, with Shahid Khan Family Holdings acquiring the Toronto Four Seasons Hotel for $225 million from Kingdom Holding Company in September.
Institution 21%
Public Non-Investment Grade 13%
Hotel 3%
Office 46%
Source: CIBC. Note: All figures based on transactions >$40 MM; IG = Investment Grade.
12 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
Public Investment Grade 17%
Private/Foreign 49%
2016 Portfolio Transactions over $40 Million Price
Size
($millions)
(Sq. Ft. / Units)
Interest
Purchaser
$1,175.0
4,200,000
50%
$173.01
863,986
100%
Three-Property Downtown St. John's Office Portfolio, St. John's, NL
$73.4
374,836
51%
Nine-Property Ottawa Office Portfolio, Ottawa, ON
$70.0
426,000
100%
KRP Properties
Four-Property Halton Office Portfolio, Burlington, ON
$64.8
435,443
100%
LaSalle Investment Management
Two-Property Office Portfolio, AB, ON
$58.5
231,900
100%
True North Commercial REIT
Redbourne Portfolio, Montreal, QC
$56.61
281,132
100%
Allied Properties REIT
Office Richmond Adelaide Centre, Centennial Place & Au Claire Tower, ON, AB The Nordelec Portfolio, Montreal, QC
CPPIB Allied Properties REIT Slate Office REIT
Industrial Nine-Property Alberta Industrial Portfolio, AB
$171.1
1,200,000
100%
PIRET
Five Self Storage Facilities, ON, QC
$66.9
-
100%
StorageVault
11 Western Canadian Cervus Equipment Properties, AB, SK
$55.7
350,000
100%
Skyline Commercial REIT
Three Self Storage Facilities, GTA, ON
$53.1
232,200
100%
SmartStop Asset Management
$418.0
805,0002 1,387,0003
100%2 50%3
17-Property Shopping Centre Portfolio, Various
$413.2
1,800,000
100%
Anthem Retail Portfolio, BC, AB
$362.0
1,400,000
90%
Crestpoint
Four-Property CPPIB Retail Portfolio, BC, AB, ON
$343.5
1,820,000
50%
RioCan REIT
10-Property Crombie Retail Portfolio, ON, QC
$143.4
791,000
100%
Private Investor
10 Loblaw Properties, BC, AB, SK, MB, ON
$117.1
681,167
100%
Choice Properties REIT
Downtown Toronto Retail Portfolio, Toronto, ON
$101.0
106,158
100%
Allied Properties REIT
87 Front Street East, 8-26 Market Street & 118 The Esplanade, Toronto, ON
$50.5
47,112
100%
Northam Realty Advisors
Four-Property Retail Portfolio, BC, ON, PEI
$42.7
405,000
50%
Five Shoppers Drug Mart & Loblaw Properties, AB, ON, NB
$40.9
394,000
100%
Choice Properties REIT
Retail 19 Retail Properties, Three Distribution Centres & Development Lands, AB, BC, ON, QC
Crombie REIT Anthem Properties
RioCan REIT
Multi-Family / Senior Housing BC Seniors Housing Portfolio, BC
$254.9
984
100%
Sienna Senior Living
Ottawa Townhome Portfolio, Ottawa, ON
$180.3
850
100%
CAP REIT
Three-Property Apartment Portfolio, Calgary, AB
$93.0
509
100%
Boardwalk REIT
Six-Property Apartment Portfolio, London, ON
$52.0
670
100%
CAP REIT
Two Private-Pay Retirement Communities, Various, SK
$40.5
158
100%
Extendicare Inc.
Total Portfolio Transactions
$4,671.1
Montreal, Québec Price inclusive of transaction costs. Relating to the 19 retail properties and development lands. 3 Relating to the three distribution centres. Note: All sq. ft. and units expressed on a 100% equivalent basis. Source: CIBC and public disclosure. 1
2
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 13
2016 Single Asset Transactions over $40 Million Price
Size
($millions)
(Sq. Ft. / Units)
Interest
Purchaser
Office Bentall Centre (Ivanhoe Cambridge Interest), Vancouver, BC
$688.0
1,474,000
67%
Anbang Insurance Group
Scotia Plaza, Toronto, ON
$654.5
1,976,690
50%
AIMCo / KingSett
Royal Centre, Vancouver, BC
$425.0
589,102
100%
Bentall Centre (GWL Interest), Vancouver, BC
$367.2
1,474,000
33%
Allstate Corporate Centre, Markham, ON
$148.6
575,969
100%
Crown Realty Partners / Crestpoint
141 Adelaide Street West, Toronto, ON
$125.1
187,945
100%
Hyrdo-Quebec
United Kingdom Building, Vancouver, BC
$115.0
212,000
100%
Private Investor
4701 & 4715 Tahoe Boulevard, Mississauga, ON
$98.3
301,231
100%
Triovest Realty Advisors
1200 Bay Street, Toronto, ON
$86.8
96,284
100%
ProWinko / Kroonenberg
250 University Avenue, Toronto, ON
$84.8
152,528
100%
Northam Realty Advisors
Kilborn Building, Vancouver, BC
$80.8
114,256
100%
Coromandel Properties
Valleywood Corporate Centre & 625 Cochrane Drive, Markham, ON
$79.7
317,040
100%
Redbourne Group
Discovery Parks Vancouver Building, Vancouver, BC
$72.0
164,364
100%
Low Tide Properties Ltd.
1166 West Pender Street (Revenue Canada Building), Vancouver, BC
$71.4
139,569
100%
Reliance Properties Ltd.
Burloak Towers, Burlington, ON
$64.8
435,443
100%
LaSalle Investment Management
901 King Street West, Toronto, ON
$61.0
254,449
50%
3000-3100 Steeles Avenue East & 7065 Woodbine Avenue, Markham, ON
$57.5
235,673
100%
Slate Asset Management
Renfrew Business Centre, Vancouver, BC
$52.0
81,662
100%
Private Investor
30 Eglinton Avenue West, Mississauga, ON
$48.0
165,060
100%
KingSett
2425 Matheson Boulevard East, Mississauga, ON
$47.8
187,614
100%
LaSalle Investment Management
4370 & 4400 Dominion Street, Burnaby, BC
$41.4
157,000
100%
Redstone Group
Canadian Tire Distribution Centre & 81 Acres of Trailer Parking, Bolton, ON
$285.6
1,400,000
100%
CT REIT
Molson Brewery, Vancouver, BC
$185.0
316,000
100%
Concord Pacific Developments
Sale-leaseback of Sears Distribution Centre, Vaughan, ON
$100.0
994,942
100%
Metrus Properties
3755 Laird Road, Mississauga, ON
$88.3
502,250
100%
GWL
Sale-leaseback of Sears Distribution Centre, Calgary, AB
$83.9
652,959
100%
CT REIT
12333 Airport Road, Caledon, ON
$64.9
568,000
100%
Bentall Kennedy
290144 Township Road 261 (Balzac), Calgary, AB
$63.2
502,809
100%
Fiera Properties
6849 72nd Street, Delta, BC
$60.2
153,081
100%
Investors Group
1 Century Place, Vaughan, ON
$54.3
670,500
100%
DuPont Fabros Technology Inc.
8400-8500 River Road, Delta, BC
$49.5
293,487
100%
Bentall Kennedy
2879-2965 Bristol Circle & 2151 Upper Middle Road East, Oakville, ON
$44.3
448,000
100%
LPF Realty Industrial
Park Place Barrie, Barrie, ON
$153.0
627,258
75%
Royal City Centre, New Westminster, BC
$114.7
361,386
100%
Dava Developments Ltd.
Woodbine Centre, Etobicoke, ON
$104.0
682,969
100%
Private Investor
Peninsula Village, Surrey, BC
$78.5
170,900
100%
First Capital Realty
17-19 Bloor Street West, Toronto, ON
$74.0
17,087
100%
Mappro Realty (Foreign)
Mission Junction, Mission, BC
$68.1
282,533
100%
LaSalle Investment Management
Big Bend Crossing Shopping Centre, Burnaby, BC
$63.9
302,000
100%
Private Investor
Terrarium Shopping Centre, Pointe Claire, QC
$62.0
381,547
100%
SmartREIT
1818-1862 West Broadway, Vancouver, BC
$56.3
na.
100%
Private Investor
Griffintown Retail Plaza, Montreal, QC
$56.0
108,200
100%
First Capital Realty
Bronte Village Mall & 680 Longworth Avenue, ON
$46.2
99,000
100%
Crombie REIT
950 West Broadway, Vancouver, BC
$46.0
23,000
100%
Hometop Enterprises Ltd.
RioCan Thickson Ridge, Whitby, ON
$45.0
186,000
50%
The Shops of Summerhill, Toronto, ON
$42.0
30,820
100%
Tricon Capital / RioCan REIT
Southwood Corner, Calgary, AB
$40.2
112,325
100%
Southwood Gate Corp.
Forgestone Anbang Insurance Group
Sun Life
Industrial
Retail
Note: All sq. ft. and units expressed on a 100% equivalent basis. Source: CIBC and public disclosure.
14 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
Canada Post Pension Plan
RioCan REIT
2016 Single Asset Transactions over $40 Million Price
Size
($millions)
(Sq. Ft. / Units)
Multi-Family / Senior Housing
Interest
Purchaser
Units
300 Regina Street North, Waterloo, ON
$84.0
412
100%
Timbercreek
Lord Lansdowne Retirement Residence, Ottawa, ON
$68.4
127
100%
Chartwell REIT
160 Chapel Street, Ottawa, ON
$67.0
370
100%
Morguard N.A. Residential REIT
Duke of Devonshire Retirement Residence, Ottawa, ON
$63.7
105
100%
Chartwell REIT
15 Maple Avenue, Barrie, ON
$62.0
169
100%
Starlight Investments
Vantage Towers, North York, ON
$57.0
329
100%
Minto Group
Parkway Park, Ottawa, ON
$55.7
418
100%
InterRent REIT
Auburn Landing Apartments, Calgary, AB
$51.2
238
100%
Boardwalk REIT
The Birkenshaw, Calgary, AB
$50.2
215
100%
Private Investor
1440 - 1442 Lawrence Avenue West, Toronto, ON
$46.3
na.
100%
Private Investor
30 Light Drive, Cambridge, ON
$44.0
127
100%
Revera Inc.
1770 Davie Street , Vancouver, BC
$43.0
61
100%
Reliance Properties Ltd.
460 Belmont Avenue West, Kitchener, ON
$43.0
172
100%
Realstar Group
The Taylorwood, Oshawa, ON
$42.8
101
100%
Rhapsody Property Management Services
Hotels Four Seasons Toronto, Toronto, ON
Rooms $225.0
259
100%
Shahid Khan Family Holdings
Fairmont Vancouver Airport Hotel, Vancouver, BC
$90.0
386
100%
InnVest REIT
Novotel Toronto Centre, Toronto, ON
$54.0
262
100%
Silver Hotels
Total Single Asset Transactions
$6,745.6
Total Transactions
$11,416.7
Vancouver, British Columbia Note: All sq. ft. and units expressed on a 100% equivalent basis. Source: CIBC and public disclosure.
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 15
2016 Year-End Monitor
2016 Year-End Real Estate Stock Monitor REITs Name (Trading Symbol)
Agellan Commercial REIT (ACR.UN) Allied Properties REIT (AP.UN) American Hotel Income Properties REIT (HOT.UN) Artis REIT (AX.UN) Automotive Properties REIT (APR.UN) Boardwalk REIT (BEI.UN) Brookfield Office Properties Canada REIT (BOX.UN) Brookfield Property Partners (BPY.UN) BTB REIT (BTB.UN) Canadian Apartment Properties REIT (CAR.UN) Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN) Choice Properties REIT (CHP.UN) Cominar REIT (CUF.UN) CREIT (REF.UN) Crombie REIT (CRR.UN) CT REIT (CRT.UN) Dream Global REIT (DRG.UN) Dream Industrial REIT (DIR.UN) Dream Office REIT (D.UN) Granite REIT (GRT.UN) H&R REIT (HR.UN) Inovalis REIT (INO.UN) InterRent REIT (IIP.UN) Killam Apartment REIT (KMP.UN) Lanesborough REIT (LRT.UN) Melcor REIT (MR.UN) Milestone Apartments REIT (MST.UN) Morguard North American REIT (MRG.UN) Morguard REIT (MRT.UN) Northview Apartment REIT (NVU.UN) NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT (NWH.UN) OneREIT (ONR.UN) Partners REIT (PAR.UN) Plaza Retail REIT (PLZ.UN) ProREIT (PRV.UN) Pure Industrial REIT (AAR.UN) Pure Multi-Family REIT C$ (RUF.UN)
31-Dec Close
Annual Change
Yield
20.7% 13.9% (1.8%) (0.8%) 25.8% 2.5% 0.7% (9.0%) 1.4% 16.9% 15.4% 14.2% 0.1% 10.1% 6.1% 15.4% 9.1% 18.8% 12.6% 18.1% 11.6% (2.0%) 13.7% 13.6% (50.0%) 17.3% 26.2% 27.6% 9.3% 14.0% 14.2% 7.8% 4.6% 6.4% 12.3% 27.9% 15.6%
7.3% 4.3% 8.3%4 8.5% 7.5% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1%4 9.4% 4.0% 3.8% 5.3% 10.0% 4.0% 6.6% 4.7% 8.5% 8.2% 7.7% 5.8% 6.2% 9.0% 3.3% 5.0% na. 8.0% 3.9%4 4.7% 6.4% 8.1% 7.8% 8.4% 7.4% 5.2% 10.0% 5.6%
29.5% 18.6% 6.3% 7.7% 39.2% 7.2% 11.8% (4.4%) 10.9% 21.5% 19.8% 20.0% 10.1% 14.4% 13.0% 20.6% 18.4% 28.6% 21.5% 24.5% 18.3% 6.8% 17.3% 19.3% (50.0%) 26.7% 31.1% 33.3% 16.4% 23.6% 23.2% 16.9% 12.3% 11.9% 26.6% 35.1%
6.1%4
22.4%
5.3% 9.5%
18.4% 22.7%
$10.67 $35.95 $10.46 $12.70 $10.68 $48.65 $26.23 $29.33 $4.47 $31.37 $14.65 $13.47 $14.72 $46.30 $13.58 $15.00 $9.45 $8.53 $19.55 $44.83 $22.37 $9.18 $7.46 $11.94 $0.07 $8.46 $19.00 $13.62 $14.89 $20.01 $10.20 $3.58 $3.40 $5.00 $2.10 $5.59 $8.30
1-Yr Total Return1
Pure Multi-Family REIT US$ (RUF.UN)
US$6.17
20.3%
RioCan REIT (REI.UN) Slate Office REIT (SOT.UN) Slate Retail REIT C$ (SRT.UN) Slate Retail REIT US$ (SRT.U) SmartREIT (SRU.UN) Summit Industrial REIT (SMU.UN) True North Commercial REIT (TNT.UN) WPT Industrial REIT (WIR.UN)
$26.63 $7.90 $15.05 US$11.00 $32.29 $6.38 $6.12 US$11.87
12.4% 12.1% 4.7% 6.3% 7.0% 5.5% 20.0% (0.7%)
7.2%4
11.9%
5.3% 7.9% 9.7% 6.4%
12.5% 13.8% 31.6% 5.7%
Average / Totals
9.8%
6.6%
17.0%
Weighted Average (by mkt. cap)
6.6%
5.6%
12.7%
52 Week High
Low
$11.04 $39.70 $11.25 $13.78 $11.16 $59.76 $29.73 $32.80 $4.78 $33.64 $16.14 $14.70 $18.33 $51.49 $15.79 $15.77 $9.45 $9.10 $21.47 $45.16 $23.85 $10.03 $8.70 $13.30 $0.25 $9.00 $21.33 $14.34 $16.26 $22.88 $10.91 $3.95 $3.91 $5.28 $2.40 $5.80 $8.81
$8.09 $29.09 $9.74 $10.45 $8.20 $38.47 $23.46 $26.00 $3.95 $25.98 $11.74 $11.07 $13.52 $38.50 $12.29 $12.46 $7.51 $6.02 $14.00 $35.60 $18.03 $8.78 $6.21 $9.80 $0.04 $6.50 $13.83 $10.10 $11.81 $15.63 $8.05 $2.91 $3.05 $4.19 $1.59 $4.10 $6.15
US$6.90
US$4.27
$30.36 $8.90 $15.12 US$12.34 $38.92 $6.59 $6.73 US$12.07
$22.32 $6.52 $12.60 US$9.13 $28.51 $5.36 $4.67 US$9.00
Units O/S (mm)2
Market Price / Cap ($mm) 2017E AFFO3
2017E AFFO Payout Ratio3
Ann. Dist.
27.9 84.7 56.4 149.8 21.9 50.7 93.5 780.7 42.2 136.2 191.3 410.1 181.0 73.2 147.9 206.8 125.2 77.9 114.0 47.1 300.5 23.2 72.1 71.5 20.6 25.8 91.6 46.5 60.6 55.8 88.3 87.2 33.8 99.4 47.3 245.7
$298 $3,045 $590 $1,902 $234 $2,468 $2,452 $22,898 $189 $4,274 $2,803 $5,524 $2,664 $3,389 $2,009 $3,102 $1,183 $665 $2,228 $2,110 $6,721 $213 $538 $853 $1 $218 $1,740 $633 $902 $1,116 $901 $312 $115 $497 $99 $1,373
10.2x 18.1x 8.5x 10.3x 11.0x 20.1x 19.9x 23.2x 10.4x 19.0x 16.4x 15.8x 10.9x 16.9x 13.2x 16.3x 11.9x 10.9x 11.8x 14.0x 13.7x 11.2x 19.3x 14.8x na. 9.5x 13.8x 13.6x 11.3x 11.0x 11.4x 9.6x 12.6x 14.8x 10.5x 14.3x
74.2% 77.1% 71.0% 87.4% 83.2% 93.1% 99.6% 118.9% 97.7% 75.6% 62.8% 83.3% 109.2% 66.7% 86.5% 76.2% 100.8% 89.2% 90.5% 81.3% 84.5% 100.6% 62.8% 74.6% na. 76.2% 53.9% 64.0% 72.7% 89.4% 89.1% 80.4% 92.6% 76.9% 105.0% 79.7%
$0.77 $1.53 US$0.65 $1.08 $0.80 $2.25 $1.31 US$1.12 $0.42 $1.25 $0.56 $0.71 $1.47 $1.83 $0.89 $0.70 $0.80 $0.70 $1.50 $2.60 $1.38 $0.83 $0.24 $0.60 $0.00 $0.68 US$0.55 $0.64 $0.96 $1.63 $0.80 $0.30 $0.25 $0.26 $0.21 $0.31
59.7
$495
13.7x
83.3%
US$0.38
326.3 46.0 35.4 35.4 154.7 34.9 33.4 41.4
$8,689 $363
17.2x 9.3x
91.2% 87.9%
$1.41 $0.75
$533
11.5x
83.5%
US$0.81
$4,996 $223 $204 US$491
15.5x 11.3x 9.9x 13.3x
81.6% 89.2% 96.3% 84.9%
$1.70 $0.50 $0.59 US$0.76
$96,4265
13.5x
84.3%
Total Return excludes reinvestment of distributions or DRIP participation. For dual-listed securities total return calculated using CAD unit / share price. Units outstanding include exchangeable units. 3 Based on SNL Financial consensus estimates as at December 31, 2016. 4 Based on USD spot exchange rate of 1.3441. 5 Includes WPT Industrial REIT as at December 31, 2016 market cap at its Canadian equivalent value as at December 31, 2016. Source: CIBC. 1
2
16 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
2016 Year-End Real Estate Stock Monitor REOCs Name (Trading Symbol)
31-Dec Close
Annual Change
Dream Unlimited Corp (DRM)
$6.76
(7.0%)
na.
Extendicare Inc. (EXE)
$9.88
2.4%
4.9%
First Capital Realty (FCR)
Yield
1-Yr Total Return1
52 Week
Units Market Cap Price / O/S ($mm) 2017E AFFO3 (mm)2
2017E AFFO Payout Ratio3
Ann. Dist.
High
Low
(7.0%)
$8.98
$6.09
80.9
$547
na.
na.
7.4%
$10.24
$7.62
88.6
$875
14.3x
69.2%
$0.48
na.
$20.67
12.6%
4.2%
17.3%
$23.31
$17.56
243.1
$5,025
19.3x
80.3%
$0.86
Gazit Globe (GZT)
$11.60
(6.1%)
4.2%
(1.0%)
$13.86
$9.79
195.5
$2,268
na.
na.
$0.49
Genesis Land Development (GDC)
$2.99
9.5%
na.
18.7%
$3.17
$2.01
43.8
$131
na.
na.
na.
Holloway Lodging Corp (HLC)
$4.92
(4.5%)
2.8%
(1.7%)
$5.30
$4.34
18.9
$93
na.
na.
$0.14
Mainstreet Equity Corp. (MEQ)
$33.11
Mainstreet Health Investments (HLP.U)
US$9.37
10.1% (6.3%)4
na. 7.9%
10.1% (2.0%)4
$37.98
$27.61
8.9
$294
17.5x
na.
na.
US$11.09
US$8.74
32.2
US$302
9.6x
75.8%
US$0.74
Melcor Developments (MRD)
$14.50
(0.4%)
3.3%
2.9%
$15.71
$11.30
33.3
$482
9.5x
31.6%
$0.48
Morguard Corporation (MRC)
$175.90
32.3%
0.3%
32.7%
$189.09
$122.00
11.9
$2,100
12.6x
4.3%
$0.60
Sienna Senior Living (SIA)
$16.30
1.0%
5.5%
6.6%
$17.94
$14.54
46.0
$750
11.3x
62.5%
$0.90
StorageVault Canada (SVI)
$1.44
77.8%
0.7%
78.7%
$1.49
$0.60
252.1
$363
25.7x
17.9%
$0.01
Temple Hotels (TPH)
$0.70
(28.9%)
na.
(28.9%)
$1.53
$0.66
151.6
$106
5.4x
na.
na.
Tricon Capital Group (TCN)
$9.46
4.4%
2.7%
7.3%
$10.34
$7.53
112.6
$1,065
na.
na.
$0.26
Wall Financial Corp (WFC)
$19.95
43.0%
3.0%
47.3%
$19.95
$11.95
34.0
$677
na.
na.
$0.60
9.3%
3.6%
12.6%
14.9%
3.3%
15.3%
Average / Totals Weighted Average (by mkt. cap)
$15,182
5
13.9x
24.7%
Preffered Equity Issuer / Series
31-Dec Close
Annual Change
Size at Issue
52 Week High
Coupon
Current Yield
Low
Launch Date
Call / Reset Date
DBRS Rating
($mm) Artis REIT - 5-Year Rate Reset Series A
$19.30
13.8%
$86.3
$19.80
$13.04
5.25%
6.80%
Jul 24, 2012
Sep 30, 2017
Pfd-3(L)
Artis REIT - 5-Year Rate Reset Series C
$22.90
23.8%
$75.0
$23.35
$15.03
5.25%
5.73%
Sep 10, 2012
Mar 31, 2018
Pfd-3(L)
Artis REIT - 5-Year Rate Reset Series E
$17.65
15.2%
$100.0
$17.65
$11.50
4.75%
6.73%
Mar 13, 2013
Sep 30, 2018
Pfd-3(L)
Artis REIT - 6 Year Rate Reset Series G
$17.49
10.8%
$80.0
$17.49
$11.99
5.00%
7.15%
Jul 18, 2013
Jul 31, 2019
Pfd-3(L)
Brookfield Office Properties Convertible Fixed Rate Series G
$25.24
0.1%
$110.0
$26.45
$24.98
5.25%
5.20%
May 28, 2003
na.
Pfd-3
Brookfield Office Properties Convertible Fixed Rate Series J
$25.20
0.3%
$200.0
$25.41
$24.96
5.00%
4.96%
Apr 13, 2004
na.
Pfd-3
Brookfield Office Properties Convertible Fixed Rate Series K
$25.21
0.4%
$150.0
$25.50
$24.88
5.20%
5.16%
Oct 22, 2004
na.
Pfd-3
Brookfield Office Properties 5-Year Rate Reset Series AA
$20.80
6.7%
$300.0
$20.98
$14.97
4.75%
5.71%
Oct 7, 2014
Dec 31, 2019
Pfd-3
Brookfield Office Properties 6.5-Year Rate Reset Series N
$18.50
11.8%
$275.0
$18.84
$12.50
3.78%
5.11%
Jan 11, 2010
Jun 30, 2021
Pfd-3
Brookfield Office Properties 6.5-Year Rate Reset Series P
$19.00
5.0%
$300.0
$19.05
$13.17
5.15%
6.78%
Oct 15, 2010
Mar 31, 2017
Pfd-3
Brookfield Office Properties 5-Year Rate Reset Series R
$20.81
10.1%
$222.1
$21.59
$14.50
4.16%
4.99%
Aug 25, 2011
Sep 30, 2021
Pfd-3
na.
Sep 30, 2016
Sep 30, 2021
Pfd-3
Brookfield Office Properties 5-Year Rate Reset Series S
$18.50
1.7%6
$27.9
$18.97
$17.16
3M GoC + 348 bps
Brookfield Office Properties 5-Year Rate Reset Series CC
$26.35
5.4%7
$200.0
$27.48
$25.10
6.00%
5.69%
Apr 19, 2016
Jun 30, 2021
Pfd-3
Brookfield Office Properties Fixed Rate Series T
$20.41
5.7%
$250.0
$20.50
$14.36
4.60%
5.63%
Sep 5, 2012
Dec 31, 2018
Pfd-3
RioCan - 5-Year Rate Reset Series C
$24.97
11.0%
$149.5
$25.31
$17.44
4.70%
4.71%
Nov 17, 2011
Jun 30, 2017
Pfd-3(H)
Total Return excludes reinvestment of distributions or DRIP participation. For dual-listed securities total return calculated using CAD unit / share price. Units outstanding include exchangeable units. 3 Based on SNL Financial consensus estimates as at December 31, 2016. 4 Since IPO on June 2, 2016. 5 Includes Mainstreet Health Investments market cap at its Canadian equivalent value as at December 31, 2016. 6 Since conversion from Series R preferred shares on September 30, 2016. 7 Since offering closed on April 27, 2016. Source: CIBC. 1
2
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 17
2016 Year-End Real Estate Convertible Debentures Name (Trading Symbol)
31-Dec Annual Size at Close Change Issue1
Current OSB2 Coupon
Maturity
($millions) $100.00
0.9% US$88.0 US$88.0
5.75% Jun 30, 2018
$18.25
43.7%
Current
$22.81
Jun/Dec
BTB REIT (BTB.DB.E)
$101.50
2.5%
6.90% Mar 31, 2020
$6.15
39.6%
Current
$7.69
Mar/Sept
BTB REIT (BTB.DB.F)
$103.50
5.1%
$26.7
$26.7
7.15%
Dec 31, 2020
$5.65
30.8%
Dec 31, 2018
$7.06
Jun/Dec
Crombie REIT (CRR.DB.D)
$103.56
0.1%
$60.0
$60.0
5.00% Sep 30, 2019
$20.10
53.3%
Current
$25.13
Mar/Sept Mar/Sept
$23.0
$22.8
Crombie REIT (CRR.DB.E)
$103.51
1.4%
$75.0
$74.4
5.25% Mar 31, 2021
$17.15
30.7%
Current
$21.44
Dream Industrial REIT (DIR.DB)
$102.00
2.5%
$86.3
$86.3
5.25% Dec 31, 2019
$13.80
65.0%
Current
$17.25
Jun/Dec
Dream Industrial REIT (DIR.DB)
$101.75
0.7%
$20.2
$19.4
6.75% Nov 30, 2017
$12.37
47.6%
Current
$15.47
May/Nov
Extendicare Inc. (EXE.DB.B)
$106.99
2.6%
$126.5
$126.5
6.00% Sep 30, 2019
$11.25
21.8%
Current
$14.06
Mar/Sept
First Capital Realty (FCR.DB.E)
$100.25
(2.2%)
$57.5
$54.7
5.40% Jan 31, 2019
$22.62
9.7%
Current
$28.28
Mar/Sept
First Capital Realty (FCR.DB.F)
$100.90
(0.9%)
$57.5
$51.6
5.25%
Jan 31, 2019
$23.77
16.0%
Current
$29.71
Mar/Sept
First Capital Realty (FCR.DB.I)4
$101.24
0.7%
$52.5
$51.2
4.75%
Jul 31, 2019
$26.75
31.0%
Current
$33.44
Mar/Sept
First Capital Realty (FCR.DB.J)5
$101.00
0.7%
$57.5
$55.4
4.45% Feb 28, 2020
$26.75
30.7%
Current
$33.44
Mar/Sept
H&R REIT (HR.DB.D)
$103.00
0.5%
$100.0
$99.7
5.90% Jun 30, 2020
$23.50
8.2%
Current
$29.37
Jun/Dec
H&R REIT (HR.DB.E)
$99.98
(0.3%)
$75.0
$75.0
4.50% Dec 31, 2016
$25.70
14.9%
Current
$32.13
Jun/Dec
H&R REIT (HR.DB.H)
$102.50
0.3%
$75.0
$74.4
5.40% Nov 30, 2018
$24.73
13.3%
Current
$30.91
May/Nov
Holloway Lodging Corp (RLC.DB.B)
$92.25
7.3%
$118.4
$52.2
6.25% Feb 28, 2020
na.6
na.
Current
na.
Apr/Oct
Holloway Lodging Corp (RLC.DB.C)
$98.75
5.6%
$60.0
$40.6
7.50% Sep 30, 2018
na.6
na.
Current
na.
Mar/Sept
Killam Apartment REIT (KMP.DB.B)
$101.50
(0.5%)
$46.0
$46.0
5.45% Jun 30, 2018
$14.60
24.1%
Current
$18.25
Jun/Dec
Sienna Senior Living (SIA.DB)
$104.00
0.0%
$46.0
$45.1
4.65% Jun 30, 2018
$16.75
6.9%
Current
$20.94
Jun/Dec
5.00% Jan 31, 2022 US$11.00
12.1%
Jan 31, 2020 US$13.75
Jan/Jul
5.50% Dec 31, 2019
51.8%
Dec 31, 2017
$15.81
Jun/Dec
$30.75
US$95.50
Melcor REIT (MR.DB)
$101.50
Morguard REIT (MRT.DB.A)
(4.5%) US$45.0 US$45.0 1.8%
$34.5
$34.5
$100.01
(1.5%)
$150.0
$150.0
4.85%
Oct 31, 2017
$24.60
65.2%
Current
$99.95
(0.0%)
$175.0
$175.0
4.50% Dec 31, 2021
$20.40
36.9%
Dec 31, 2019
Morguard North American REIT (MRG.DB)
$101.20
0.7%
$60.0
$60.0
4.65% Mar 30, 2018
$15.50
15.2%
Current
Northview Apartment REIT (NVU.DB.A)
$102.00
2.5%
$23.0
$23.0
5.75% Jun 30, 2019
$23.80
21.3%
Jun 30, 2017
$29.75
Jun/Dec
Northwest Healthcare Properties (NWH.DB)
$101.75
4.9%
$40.3
$40.3
5.25% Sep 30, 2020
$14.20
41.7%
Oct 1, 2017
$17.75
Mar/Sept
Northwest Healthcare Properties (NWH.DB.A)
$102.00
1.0%
$22.6
$22.6
6.50% Mar 31, 2018
$13.70
37.0%
Current
$17.13
Mar/Sept
Northwest Healthcare Properties (NWH.DB.B)
$102.00
1.8%
$17.5
$17.5
7.50% Sep 30, 2018
$11.54
15.4%
Current
$14.43
Mar/Sept
Northwest Healthcare Properties (NWH.DB.C)
$102.50
2.5%
$38.8
$38.8
7.25%
Oct 31, 2019
$12.50
25.6%
Oct 31, 2017
$15.63
Apr/Oct
Northwest Healthcare Properties (NWH.DB)
$102.00
4.1%
$53.0
$53.0
5.50% Oct 31, 2020
$11.25
12.5%
Oct 31, 2018
$14.06
Apr/Oct
Northwest Healthcare Properties (NWH.DB)
$101.00
1.0%
$74.8
$74.8
5.25%
Jul 31, 2021
$12.75
26.3%
Aug 1, 2019
$15.94
Jan/Jul
Northwest Healthcare Properties (NWH.DB)
$100.25
0.2%
$80.5
$80.5
5.25% Dec 31, 2021
$12.80
25.8%
Jan 1, 2020
$16.00
Jun/Dec
$10.13
Jun/Dec
Morguard REIT (MRT.DB)
$12.65
Apr/Oct
$25.50
Jun/Dec
$19.38
Mar/Sept
OneREIT (ONR.DB.B)
$99.85
3.0%
$40.0
$40.0
5.45% Jun 30, 2018
$8.10
125.9%
Current
OneREIT (ONR.DB.C)
$100.00
11.1%
$36.3
$36.3
5.50% Jun 30, 2020
$7.20
101.1%
Current
$9.00
Jun/Dec
Partners REIT (PAR.DB.A)
$100.00
7.2%
$34.5
$34.5
6.00% Sep 30, 2017
$10.35
204.4%
Current
$12.94
Mar/Sept
200.7%
Current
$12.81
Mar/Sept
Current
$5.84
Jun/Dec
$7.19
Jun/Dec
Partners REIT (PAR.DB.B)
$99.75
10.8%
$23.0
$23.0
5.50% Mar 31, 2018
$10.25
Plaza Retail REIT (PLZ.DB.C)
$106.00
1.9%
$21.2
$16.9
7.00% Dec 31, 2017
$4.67
(1.0%)
Plaza Retail REIT (PLZ.DB.D)
$101.50
2.5%
$34.0
$34.0
5.75%
$5.75
16.7%
Jan 1, 2017
9.4% US$23.0 US$22.9
6.50% Sep 30, 2020 US$5.65
0.2%
Current
US$7.06
Mar/Sept Jun/Dec
Pure Multi-Family REIT (RUF.DB.U)
US$109.40
Dec 31, 2018
Temple Hotels (TR.DB.C)
$100.01
7.0%
$23.0
$22.8
8.00% Dec 31, 2016
$4.86
594.4%
Current
$6.08
Temple Hotels (TR.DB.D)
$97.50
17.5%
$34.5
$34.3
7.75%
Jun 30, 2017
$5.88
719.0%
Current
$7.35
Jun/Dec
Temple Hotels (TR.DB.E)
$95.00
26.7%
$46.0
$45.2
7.25% Sep 30, 2017
$6.68
806.6%
Current
$8.35
Mar/Sept
$93.00
31.0%
$38.0
$34.4
7.00% Mar 31, 2018
$6.52
766.2%
Current
$8.15
Mar/Sept
$110.00
(1.6%)
$86.0
$85.7
5.60% Mar 31, 2020
$9.80
14.0%
Current
$12.25
Mar/Sept
Temple Hotels (TR.DB.F) Tricon Capital Group (TCN.DB)
3 4 5 6 2
Call Features Annual Not Trigger Payments Before ($)
Artis REIT (AX.DB.G)
Mainstreet Health Investments (HLP.U.DB)
1
Conversion Price Premium to Dec 31 Close3
Or since launch date if issued in 2016. Based on latest disclosure. Premium = (Debenture Last Trade / Shares Per $100 / Common Last Trade) - 1. Shares Per $100 = $100 / Conversion Price. From August 1, 2017 to the Maturity Date, conversion price increases to $27.75. From March 1, 2018 to the Maturity Date, conversion price increases to $27.75. Convertible into 28.57 units of Holloway Lodging Corp. and $285.71 of cash per debenture.
18 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
2016 Year-End Canadian Real Estate Unsecured Debt Public Unsecured Debt
Coupon
Bid Spread 31-Dec-16
Spread Change vs. Issue1
Rating Issue Spread
Maturity
Size (C$millions)
Allied Properties REIT (Series A) Allied Properties REIT (Series B) Artis REIT (Series A) CREIT (Series A) CREIT (Series B) CREIT (Series C) Cominar REIT (Series 1) Cominar REIT (Series 2) Cominar REIT (Series 3) Cominar REIT (Series 4) Cominar REIT (Series 7) Cominar REIT (Series 8) Cominar REIT (Series 9) Cominar REIT (Series 10) Choice Properties REIT (Series A) Choice Properties REIT (Series B) Choice Properties REIT (Series C) Choice Properties REIT (Series D) Choice Properties REIT (Series E) Choice Properties REIT (Series F) Choice Properties REIT (Series G) Choice Properties REIT (Series H) Choice Properties Limited Partnership (Series 6) Choice Properties Limited Partnership (Series 7) Choice Properties Limited Partnership (Series 8) Choice Properties Limited Partnership (Series 9) Choice Properties Limited Partnership (Series 10) Crombie REIT (Series A) Crombie REIT (Series B) Crombie REIT (Series C) CT REIT (Series A) CT REIT (Series B) CT REIT (Series C) CT REIT (Series D) Dream Office REIT (Series A) Dream Office REIT (Series B) Dream Office REIT (Series C) First Capital Realty (Series H) First Capital Realty (Series I) First Capital Realty (Series J) First Capital Realty (Series K) First Capital Realty (Series L) First Capital Realty (Series M) First Capital Realty (Series N) First Capital Realty (Series O) First Capital Realty (Series P) First Capital Realty (Series Q) First Capital Realty (Series R) First Capital Realty (Series S) First Capital Realty (Series T) Granite REIT (Series 3) Granite REIT (Series 4) H&R REIT (Series B) H&R REIT (Series C) H&R REIT (Series E) H&R REIT (Series F) H&R REIT (Series G) H&R REIT (Series I)
3.748% 3.934% 3.753% 3.676% 4.323% 2.564% 4.274% 4.230% 4.000% 4.941% 3.620% 4.250% 4.164% 4.247% 3.554% 4.903% 3.498% 4.293% 2.297% 4.055% 3.196% 5.268% 3.000% 3.000% 3.600% 3.600% 3.600% 3.986% 3.962% 2.775% 2.852% 3.527% 2.159% 3.289% 3.424% Floating 4.074% 5.850% 5.700% 5.250% 4.950% 5.480% 5.600% 4.500% 4.430% 3.950% 3.900% 4.790% 4.323% 3.604% 3.788% 3.873% 5.902% 5.000% 4.900% 4.450% 3.344% Floating
190 234 254 144 188 161 128 210 233 228 201 250 259 269 85 162 125 166 121 185 156 244 75 110 117 135 145 191 245 221 152 186 139 196 272 221 298 80 88 99 115 125 132 147 152 157 171 182 193 203 213 244 89 137 116 166 120 115
(80) (66) 54 (52) (22) (25) (167) (65) (23) (62) (1) (5) (21) (56) (80) (76) (35) (24) (40) (50) (64) (81) (25) (18) (23) (20) (22) (35) 50 6 (3) (1) (4) (2) 82 na. 88 (185) (135) (141) (100) (105) (106) (93) (106) (68) (27) (25) 3 (2) 28 (7) (211) (93) (179) (85) (60) na.
H&R REIT (Series J) H&R REIT (Series K) H&R REIT (Series L) Morguard Corporation (Series A) Morguard Corporation (Series B) RioCan REIT (Series P) RioCan REIT (Series Q) RioCan REIT (Series R) RioCan REIT (Series S) RioCan REIT (Series T) RioCan REIT (Series U) RioCan REIT (Series V) RioCan REIT (Series W) RioCan REIT (Series X) SmartREIT (Series H) SmartREIT (Series I) SmartREIT (Series J) SmartREIT (Series L) SmartREIT (Series M) SmartREIT (Series N) SmartREIT (Series O) SmartREIT (Series P)
Floating
na.
na.
Floating 2.923% 4.099% 4.013% 3.800% 3.850% 3.716% 2.870% 3.725% 3.620% 3.746% 3.287% 2.185% 4.050% 3.985% 3.385% 3.749% 3.730% 3.556% 2.987% 3.444%
173 185 193 275 80 112 153 89 175 130 163 181 134 149 190 97 151 174 208 214 222
na. (36) (32) (40) (159) (123) (55) (52) (18) (30) (4) (41) (26) (106) (15) (71) (24) 4 (31) (3) (23)
Total
270 300 200 196 210 186 295 275 256 290 202 255 280 325 165 238 160 190 160 235 220 325 100 128 140 155 167 225 195 215 155 187 143 198 190 3M CDOR+170 bps 210 265 222 240 215 230 238 240 259 225 198 207 190 205 185 250 300 230 296 250 180 3M CDOR+165 bps 3M US LIBOR +108 bps 3M CDOR+143 bps 221 225 315 239 235 207 140 193 160 167 222 160 255 205 167 175 170 238 217 244
DBRS
S&P
Moody’s
May 13, 2020 Nov 14, 2022 Mar 27, 2019 Jul 24, 2018 Jan 15, 2021 Nov 30, 2019 Jun 15, 2017 Dec 4, 2019 Nov 2, 2020 Jul 27, 2020 Jun 21, 2019 Dec 8, 2021 Jun 1, 2022 May 23, 2023 Jul 5, 2018 Jul 5, 2023 Feb 8, 2021 Feb 8, 2024 Sep 14, 2020 Nov 24, 2025 Mar 7, 2023 Mar 7, 2046 Apr 20, 2017 Sep 20, 2019 Apr 20, 2020 Sep 20, 2021 Sep 20, 2022 Oct 31, 2018 Jun 1, 2021 Feb 10, 2020 Jun 9, 2022 Jun 9, 2025 Jun 1, 2021 Jun 1, 2026 Jun 13, 2018 Jan 9, 2017 Jan 21, 2020 Jan 31, 2017 Nov 30, 2017 Aug 30, 2018 Nov 30, 2018 Jul 30, 2019 Apr 30, 2020 Mar 1, 2021 Jan 31, 2022 Dec 5, 2022 Oct 30, 2023 Aug 30, 2024 Jul 31, 2025 May 6, 2026 Jul 5, 2021 Nov 30, 2023 Feb 3, 2017 Dec 1, 2018 Feb 2, 2018 Mar 2, 2020 Jun 20, 2018 Jan 23, 2017
$225.0 $150.0 $200.0 $125.0 $100.0 $100.0 $250.0 $300.0 $100.0 $300.0 $300.0 $200.0 $300.0 $225.0 $400.0 $200.0 $250.0 $200.0 $250.0 $200.0 $250.0 $100.0 $200.0 $200.0 $300.0 $200.0 $300.0 $175.0 $100.0 $125.0 $150.0 $200.0 $150.0 $200.0 $175.0 $125.0 $150.0 $125.0 $125.0 $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $175.0 $175.0 $200.0 $250.0 $300.0 $300.0 $300.0 $300.0 $250.0 $400.0 $115.0 $125.0 $100.0 $175.0 $175.0 $60.0
BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB BBB BBB BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB BBB BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H)
BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ -
Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 -
Feb 9, 2018
$168.02
BBB(H)
-
-
March 1. 2019 May 6, 2022 Dec 10, 2018 Nov 18, 2020 Mar 1, 2017 Jun 28, 2019 Dec 13, 2021 Mar 5, 2018 Apr 18, 2023 Jun 1, 2020 May 30, 2022 Feb 12, 2024 Aug 26, 2020 Jun 27, 2020 May 30, 2023 Dec 1, 2017 Feb 11, 2021 Jul 22, 2022 Feb 6, 2025 Aug 28, 2024 Aug 28, 2026
$200.0 $200.0 $135.0 $200.0 $150.0 $350.0 $250.0 $250.0 $200.0 $150.0 $250.0 $300.0 $250.0 $150.0 $200.0 $150.0 $150.0 $150.0 $160.0 $100.0 $250.0
BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(L) BBB(L) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB(H) BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB
BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB BBB -
-
$15,788.0
As at December 31, 2016. Includes H&R REIT Series J at Canadian equivalent value as at December 31, 2016. Source: CIBC. 1
2
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 19
Public Real Estate Trading Performance
Retail Automotive Properties REIT (APR.UN)
Choice Properties REIT (CHP.UN)
Crombie REIT (CRR.UN)
www.automotivepropertiesreit.com
www.choicereit.ca
www.crombiereit.com 300 300
$16 $16
800
$11
225
$14 $14
225 225
$15 $15
600
$10
150
$13 $13
150 150
$14 $14
400 400
$9
75
$12 $12
75 75
$13 $13
200 200
F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
00
$11 $11
0
$8
FF MM
JJ
D
AA
MM
JJ
JJ
AA
SS
OO
$12 $12
DD
NN
00 FF
JJ
MM
AA
M M
CT REIT (CRT.UN)
First Capital Realty Inc. (FCR)
OneREIT (ONR.UN)
www.ctreit.com
www.firstcapitalrealty.ca
www.onereit.ca
JJ
JJ
AA
SS
D D
N N
O O
3,000
$4.50
700
$15
225
$23
2,250
$4.00
525
$14
150
$21
1,500
$3.50
350
$13
75
$19
750
$3.00
175
0 F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
0
$17
D
F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
0
$2.50
D
N
O
F
J
M
A
M
J
Partners REIT (PAR.UN)
Plaza Retail REIT (PLZ.UN)
RioCan REIT (REI.UN)
www.partnersreit.com
www.plaza.ca
www.riocan.com 480
$3.70
150
$5.10
360
$3.40
100
$4.80
240
$3.10
50
$4.50
120
0
$2.80 F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
0
$4.20
D
J
Slate Retail REIT (SRT.UN) – C$
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
www.smartreit.com 1,500
$15
150
$37
1,125
$14
100
$34
750
$13
50
$31
375
0
$12 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
0
$28 J
20 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Volume ('000)
$40
Volume ('000)
$16
S
D
N
O
$32
3,400
$30
2,550
$27
1,700
$25
850 0 J
200
A
$22
D
SmartREIT (SRU.UN)
http://www.slateam.com/reits/retail/
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Volume ('000)
$5.40
Volume ('000)
200
Volume ('000)
$4.00
Volume ('000)
$25
Volume ('000)
300
Volume ('000)
$16
$12
Volume ('000) Volume ('000)
$15 $15
Volume ('000) Volume ('000)
300
Volume ('000)
$12
Diversified Agellan Commercial REIT (ACR.UN)
Artis REIT (AX.UN)
Brookfield Property Partners (BPY.UN)
www.agellanreit.com
www.artisreit.com
www.bpy.brookfield.com 2,200
$33
800
$11
90
$13
1,650
$31
600
$10
60
$12
1,100
$29
400
$9
30
$11
550
$27
200
0
$8 F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
0
$10 F
J
D
N
O
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
0
$25
D
N
O
J
F
M
A
BTB REIT (BTB.UN)
Cominar REIT (CUF.UN)
CREIT (REF.UN)
www.btbreit.com
www.cominar.com
www.creit.ca
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
2,300
$54
400
$4.65
825
$18
1,725
$50
300
$4.40
550
$16
1,150
$46
200
$4.15
275
$14
575
$42
100
0 F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
0
$12 F
J
D
N
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
0
$38
D
N
O
J
F
M
A
M
J
Gazit (GZT) — ₪
H&R REIT (HR.UN)
Melcor REIT (MR.UN)
www.gazit-globe.com
www.hr-reit.com
www.melcorreit.ca
J
A
S
O
N
D
2,000
$10
40
₪ 39
1,275
$23
1,500
$9
30
₪ 35
850
$21
1,000
$8
20
₪ 31
425
$19
500
$7
10
0 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
0
$17
D
F
J
M
A
M
J
Morguard REIT (MRT.UN)
Pro REIT ( PRV.UN)
www.morguard.com
www.proreit.com
J
A
S
J
$2.50
600
$16
150
$2.25
450
$14
100
$2.00
300
$12
50
$1.75
150
0 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Volume ('000)
200
Volume ('000)
$18
$10
0
$6
D
N
O
Volume ('000)
$25
Volume ('000)
1,700
Volume ('000)
₪ 43
₪ 27
Volume ('000)
$20
Volume ('000)
1,100
Volume ('000)
$4.90
$3.90
Volume ('000)
$14
Volume ('000)
120
Volume ('000)
$12
0
$1.50 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
J
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 21
Office Allied Properties REIT (AP.UN)
Brookfield Canada Office Properties REIT (BOX.UN)
Dream Global REIT (DRG.UN)
www.alliedreit.com
www.brookfieldcanadareit.com
www.dream.ca/global 200
$10
2,000
$40
750
$29
150
$9
1,500
$27
100
$8
1,000
$25
50
$7
500
$36
500
$32
250 0
$28 F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
0
$23 F
J
D
N
O
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
0
$6
D
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
D
N
O
Dream Office REIT (D.UN)
Inovalis REIT (INO.UN)
NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT (NWH.UN)
www.dream.ca/office
www.inovalisreit.com
www.nwhp.ca 400
$11
800
$20
1,200
$10.00
300
$10
600
$18
800
$9.50
200
$9
400
$16
400
$9.00
100
$8
200
0 F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
0
$8.50 J
D
N
O
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
Slate Office REIT (SOT.UN)
True North Commercial (TNT.UN)
www.slateam.com/reits/office/
www.truenorthreit.com
O
N
J
$6.80
600
$8.25
450
$6.25
450
$7.50
300
$5.70
300
$6.75
150
$5.15
150
0 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
0
$4.60
D
22 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Volume ('000)
600
Volume ('000)
$9.00
$6.00
0
$7
D
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Volume ('000)
$10.50
Volume ('000)
1,600
Volume ('000)
$22
$14
Volume ('000)
$31
Volume ('000)
1,000
Volume ('000)
$44
Industrial Dream Industrial REIT (DIR.UN)
Granite REIT (GRT.UN)
Pure Industrial REIT (AAR.UN)
www.dream.ca/industrial
www.granitereit.com
www.piret.ca 400
$6.00
4,500
$9
450
$44
300
$5.50
3,375
$8
300
$41
200
$5.00
2,250
$7
150
$39
100
$4.50
1,125
0
$6 F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
0
$36
D
N
O
F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
0
$4.00
D
F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
StorageVault (SVI)
Summit Industrial Income REIT (SMU.UN)
WPT Industrial REIT (WIR.U)
www.storagevaultcanada.com
www.summitiireit.com
www.wptreit.com 300
$1.55
1,200
$6.50
225
$1.20
800
$6.00
150
$0.85
400
$5.50
75
0
$0.50 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
D
800
US$12
600
US$11
400
US$10
200 0
US$9 J
D
N
O
N
US$13
0
$5.00
D
O
Volume ('000)
$7.00
Volume ('000)
1,600
Volume ('000)
$1.90
Volume ('000)
$46
Volume ('000)
600
Volume ('000)
$10
F
M
A
M
J
A
S
O
N
D
Hotels American Hotel Income Properties REIT LP (HOT.UN)
Holloway Lodgins Corp. (HLC)
InnVest REIT (INN.UN)
www.ahipreit.com
www.hlcorp.ca
www.innvestreit.com 100
$8
4,000
$10.85 $10.85
600 600
$5.10
75
$7
3,000
$10.40 $10.40
400 400
$4.80
50
$6
2,000
$9.95 $9.95
200 200
$4.50
25
$5
1,000
00
$9.50 $9.50 JJ
FF
MM AA
MM JJ
JJ AA
0
$4.20
S S OO NN D D
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Volume ('000)
$5.40
Volume ('000)
800 800
Volume ('000) Volume ('000)
$11.30 $11.30
0
$4 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Temple Hotels (TPH) www.templehotels.ca 1,400
$1.35
1,050
$1.10
700
$0.85
350
Volume ('000)
$1.60
0
$0.60 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 23
Residential Boardwalk REIT (BEI.UN)
Canadian Apartment Properties REIT (CAR.UN)
InterRent REIT (IIP.UN)
www.boardwalkreit.com
www.capreit.com
www.interrentreit.com 1,400
$9.00
800
$55
1,050
$32
1,050
$8.25
600
$50
700
$30
700
$7.50
400
$45
350
$28
350
$6.75
200
0
$40 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
0
$26
D
F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
N
O
0
$6.00
J
F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
Killam Apartment REIT (KMP.UN)
Lanesborough (LRT.UN)
Mainstreet Equity Corp (MEQ)
www.killamproperties.com
www.lreit.com
www.mainst.biz
O
N
D
600
$42
100
$13
900
$0.18
450
$38
75
$12
600
$0.12
300
$34
50
$11
300
$0.06
150
$30
25
0 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
0
$0.00 F
J
D
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
0
$26 J
D
F
M
A
M
J
J
Milestone Apartments REIT (MST.UN)
Morguard North American Residential REIT (MRG.UN)
Northview REIT (NVU.UN)
www.milestonereit.com
www.morguard.com
www.northviewreit.com
A
S
O
N
D
200
$23
680
$20
1,500
$14
150
$21
510
$18
1,000
$13
100
$19
340
$16
500
$11
50
$17
170
0 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
J
Pure Multi-Family REIT LP (RUF.UN) – C$ www.puremultifamily.com 720
$6
540
$5
360
$4
180
Volume ('000)
$7
0
$3 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
0
$10
D
D
24 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
0
$15 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Volume ('000)
$15
Volume ('000)
2,000
Volume ('000)
$22
$14
Volume ('000)
$0.24
Volume ('000)
1,200
Volume ('000)
$14
$10
Volume ('000)
$34
Volume ('000)
1,400
Volume ('000)
$60
Seniors Housing Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN)
Extendicare Inc. (EXE)
Mainstreet (HLP.U)
www.chartwell.com
www.extendicare.com
www.mainstreetinvestments.com 1,200
US$12
$15
1,575
$10
900
US$11
$13
1,050
$8
600
$11
525
$7
300
$5
0
0
$9 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
D
N
O
F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
400 300
US$10 200 US$9
100 0
US$8 J
D
N
O
500 Volume ('000)
$11
Volume ('000)
2,100
Volume ('000)
$17
F M
A M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Sienna Senior Living (SIA) www.siennaliving.ca 500
$17
375
$16
250
$15
125
Volume ('000)
$18
0
$14 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
D
N
O
Asset Managers / Development Companies DREAM Unlimited (DRM)
Genesis (GDC)
Melcor Developments (MRD)
www.dream.ca
www.genesisland.com
www.melcor.ca $17
120
$9
750
$2.80
150
$15
90
$8
500
$2.50
100
$13
60
$7
250
$2.20
50
$11
30
0
$6 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
0
$1.90
D
N
F
J
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
0
$9
D
N
O
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
Morguard Corporation (MRC)
Tricon Capital (TCN)
Wall Financial Corp (WFC)
www.morguard.com
www.triconcapital.com
www.wallcentre.com
A
S
O
N
D
1,400
$20
100
$180
15
$10 $10
1,050
$18
75
$160
10
$16
50
$140
5
$14
25
0
$120 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
700 700
$8 $8
350 350
$7 $7
00 JJ
FF
MM
AA
MM
JJ
JJ
AA
SS
O O
N N
D D
Volume ('000)
$11 $11
Volume ('000) Volume ('000)
20
Volume ('000)
$200
$9 $9
Volume ('000)
200
Volume ('000)
$3.10
Volume ('000)
1,000
$10
0
$12 J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 25
2016 Leadership in Real Estate Investment Banking
Equity Capital Markets – Leads and Co-Leads
March 2016
April 2016
May 2016
June 2016
$181,500,000
$200,000,000
$131,600,280
US$109,250,000
Milestone Apartment REIT
Brookfield Office Properties
Crombie REIT
Mainstreet Health Investments
11,000,000 Trust Units
8,000,000 Preferred Shares
8,952,400 Subscription Receipts
10,925,000 Common Shares
Co-Lead
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
June 2016
July 2016
July 2016
July 2016
$115,003,680
US$69,000,454
$37,313,760
$103,504,140
Artis REIT
WPT Industrial REIT
Pure Multi-Family REIT
American Hotel Income Properties REIT
8,712,400 Trust Units
6,244,385 Trust Units
4,884,000 Trust Units
10,000,400 Trust Units
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Sole Bookrunner
Sole Lead & Sole Bookrunner
August 2016
October 2016
October 2016
October 2016
$33,008,800
US$30,746,877
$61,774,309
$74,791,688
True North Commercial REIT
Adventus Realty Trust
Starlight Investments Ltd
Northview Apartment REIT
5,324,000 Trust Units
3,536,250 Trust Units
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
October 2016
October 2016
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Sole Lead & Sole Bookrunner
November 2016
December 2016
$192,599,550
US$74,800,600
$28,771,850
US$45,000,000
Milestone Apartment REIT
Mainstreet Health Investments
True North Commercial REIT
Mainstreet Health Investments
10,439,000 Trust Units
7,406,000 Subscription Receipts
4,531,000 Trust Units
45,000 Convertible Debentures
Co-Lead
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
26 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
Equity Capital Markets – Leads and Co-Leads
December 2016
December 2016
$22,500,000
$115,071,300
Firm Capital Mortgage Investment Corporation
American Hotel Income Properties REIT
22,500 Convertible Debentures
11,281,500 Trust Units
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Sole Bookrunner
Advisory – Leads and Co-Leads
August 2016
October 2016
October 2016
December 2016
$2,100,000,000
$1,400,000,000
$62,000,000
Undisclosed
InnVest REIT
Starlight Investments Ltd.
KingSett Capital
CIBC
Sale to Bluesky Hotels & Resorts
Consolidation of Multi-Family Funds I - IV
Sale of Terrarium Shopping Centre
Sale and Leaseback of 89 CIBC Banking Centres
Exclusive Financial Advisor
Exclusive Financial Advisor
Co-Financial Advisor
Lead Financial Advisor
Debt Capital Markets – Leads and Co-Leads
February 2016
March 2016
March 2016
August 2016
$375,000,000
$250,000,000
$100,000,000
$100,000,000
OMERS Realty Corporation
Choice Properties REIT
Choice Properties REIT
Smart REIT
Senior Unsecured Debentures
Senior Unsecured Debentures
Senior Unsecured Debentures
Senior Unsecured Debentures
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
August 2016
October 2016
November 2016
$250,000,000
$200,000,000
$230,000,000
SmartREIT
H&R REIT
OMERS Realty Corporation
Senior Unsecured Debentures
Senior Unsecured Debentures
Senior Unsecured Debentures
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead & Joint Bookrunner
CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review | 27
Corporate Banking – Leads and Co-Leads
January 2016
May 2016
May 2016
June 2016
$56,000,000
$82,000,000
$142,000,000
$500,000,000
RioCan REIT
KingSett Capital and InnVest REIT
Oxford Properties
Choice Properties REIT
Term Loan
Term Loan
Term Loan
Corporate Revolver
Sole Lender
Co-Lead Arranger & Joint Bookrunner
Sole Lead Arranger & Sole Bookrunner
Co-Lead Arranger & Joint Bookrunner
June 2016
June 2016
July 2016
September 2016
$71,000,000
$800,000,000
$100,000,000
$300,000,000
First Capital Realty
First Capital Realty
RioCan REIT and KingSett Capital
KingSett Capital
Term Loan
Corporate Revolver
Term Loan
Corporate Revolver
Sole Lender
Co-Lead Arranger & Joint Bookrunner
Co-Lead Arranger & Joint Bookrunner
Sole Lender
November 2016
$750,000,000
OMERS Realty Corporation
Corporate Revolver Co-Lead Arranger & Joint Bookrunner
28 | CIBC 2016 Canadian Real Estate Year in Review
CIBC Capital Markets Harry Culham Senior Executive Vice-President & Group Head Capital Markets
416 594-8293 harry.culham@cibc.com
Roman Dubczak Managing Director & Head Global Investment Banking
416 594-7015 roman.dubczak@cibc.com
Paul Farrell Managing Director & Head Canadian Investment Banking
416 956-6042 paul.farrell@cibc.com
Real Estate Investment Banking
Equity Capital Markets Benoît Lauzé Managing Director & Head Equity Capital Markets
416 594-8345 benoit.lauze@cibc.com
Tyler Swan Managing Director & Head Execution
416 956-3731 tyler.swan@cibc.com
Joe Kostandoff Managing Director & Head Syndication
416 594-7915 joe.kostandoff@cibc.com
Rob Magwood Managing Director
416 594-7190 rob.magwood@cibc.com
Chris Bell Managing Director & Co-Head Real Estate Investment Banking
416 594-7360 chris.bell@cibc.com
Mark G. Johnson Managing Director & Co-Head Real Estate Investment Banking
416 594-7156 mark.g.johnson@cibc.com
Jon Hountalas Executive Vice-President Business and Corporate Banking
416 980-3408 jon.hountalas@cibc.com
Jeff Appleby Managing Director
416 594-8182 jeff.appleby@cibc.com
416 980-7770 calvin.younger@cibc.com
Mark Driman Executive Director
416 594-7918 mark.driman@cibc.com
Calvin Younger Senior Vice-President & Head Real Estate Finance - Canada
John Quinn Executive Director
416 956-6085 john.h.quinn@cibc.com
Peter Kuretzky Executive Director
416 594-7247 peter.kuretzky@cibc.com
Sasha Sadr Director
416 594-7980 sasha.sadr@cibc.com
Mike Egden Associate
416 594-7674 mike.egden@cibc.com
Greg Kay Associate
416 594-8215 greg.kay@cibc.com
Chas Beatty Analyst
416 956-3293 chas.beatty@cibc.com
Joshua Lundy Analyst
416 594-7876 joshua.lundy@cibc.com
M&A Advisory Mike Boyd Managing Director & Head Mergers & Acquisitions
416 594-7554 mike.boyd@cibc.com
Scott Keyworth Managing Director
416 594-7060 scott.keyworth@cibc.com
Matthew Devlin Executive Director
416 594-5481 matthew.devlin@cibc.com
Debt Capital Markets
Corporate Banking
U.S. Real Estate Finance Michael Higgins Managing Director & U.S. Head Real Estate Finance
212 667-5601 michael.higgins@us.cibc.com
James Baranello Managing Director
212 667-5603 james.baranellojr@cibc.com
Institutional Equity Sales & Trading Ryan Fan Managing Director & Head Institutional Equity Trading Global Markets
604 891-6335 ryan.fan@cibc.com
Mark Herzog Executive Director, Institutional Equity Trading Global Markets
416 594-8563 mark.herzog@cibc.com
Institutional Equity Research – Real Estate Alex Avery, CFA, MRICS Managing Director Institutional Equity Research
416 594-8179 alex.avery@cibc.com
Dean Wilkinson, CFA Director Institutional Equity Research
416 594-7194 dean.wilkinson@cibc.com
Yashwant Sankpal, CFA Director Institutional Equity Research
416 594-7399 yashwant.sankpal@cibc.com
Susan Rimmer Managing Director & Global Head Debt Capital Markets
416 594-7535 susan.rimmer@cibc.com
Sumayya Hussain Associate Institutional Equity Research
416 594-7136 sumayya.hussain@cibc.com
Amber Choudhry Managing Director
416 594-8440 amber.choudhry@cibc.com
416 956-3807 zain.jafry@cibc.com
Marcus Seegmiller Associate
416 594-8516 marcus.seegmiller@cibc.com
Zain Jafry, CFA Associate Institutional Equity Research Rumjhum Shukla Associate Institutional Equity Research
416 956-6924 rumjhum.shukla@cibc.com
About CIBC Capital Markets CIBC Capital Markets provides a wide range of products and services across securities, credit, investment banking and research to government, institutional, corporate and retail clients in Canada and in key markets around the world. We are dedicated to delivering clear access to customized financial solutions that meet the unique needs and challenges of our clients across the globe. We have built a reputation as a strong, reliable banking partner that is focused on delivering personalized services and execution options built on innovative thinking and leading technology. www.cibccm.com
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