Finland - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

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Finland - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts Published on July 2011

Report Summary Finland's new 200Mb's service supporting the government's National Broadband Plan for 2015BuddeComm's annual publication, Finland - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media markets in Finland. It includes data from the including the regulator's 2010 market reports as well as operator statistics to Q1 2011. Although turnover in Finland's telecom sector fell steadily between 2006 and 2008, aggravated by the impact of the financial crisis, some recovery has been seen since. This which should continue at a slow rate during the next few years: the key operators are committed to increasing investments in mobile and fibre networks, so allowing consumers to make greater use of IP-delivered content. More than half of total turnover is from the mobile sector, the remainder from fixed network operations, where revenue continues to fall in line with lower access and call charges, and lower use by consumers having switched to mobile-only and VoIP solutions. Finland's broadband penetration is far ahead of the EU average. The market is dominated by the main telcos TeliaSonera, Elisa and DNA. Wireless networks are provided nationally via MNOs and Digita Oy's network (based on 450MHz spectrum), as well as regional WiMAX and WLAN networks. Finland's regulator closely monitors the country's broadband development, comparing strategies with those of its neighbours Sweden, Denmark and Norway. This is partly to encourage regulatory and competition measures where they have proved successful elsewhere. The structure and prices of regional broadband markets also vary among the Nordic countries, with Sweden and Finland having the most favourable end-user prices regardless of connection speed. The government's Broadband Action Plan aims to deliver fibre-based broadband for all citizens by 2015. The Plan would deliver 100Mb/s services nationally, a significant improvement on the minimum 1Mb/s envisaged in 2004. To finance the State contribution the government auctioned frequencies in the 2.5-2.69GHz band at the end of 2009, with some of the proceeds going towards network rollout and the shortfall being met by a tax on telcos based on the number of their broadband subscriptions. The number of fixed-line broadband subscriptions is likely to remain stagnant to 2012 as a number of consumers switch to mobile-only solutions. However, growth will steadily resume thereafter as fibre-based networks, supplemented by 100Mb/s and 200Mb/s DOCSIS3.0 offers from cablecos, are made more widely available. The mobile sector has been equally successful, with penetration also above the EU average. Finland has one of the most advanced mobile markets in the world and has been an early adopter of emerging technologies: the country launched the world's first commercial GSM network, it was the first in Europe to award 3G licences, and it has trailed only Norway and Sweden in launching commercial LTE services. The country has also been at the forefront in utilising sub-GHz spectrum for 3G. There are around ten major mobile network operators or service operators in Finland, though 98% of the market (by subscribers) is controlled by a triopoly of the established players TeliaSonera, Elisa and DNA. These MNOs host several resellers and MVNOs, while Ă…lands Mobiltelefon operates a network in the Ă…lands area. There are several mobile service operators which also provide mobile broadband services, as well as players offering mobile broadband together with fixed broadband services, but without mobile voice services. Market competition as well as regulatory measures have gradually reduction the price of mobile calls and services: indeed mobile call charges in Finland are the cheapest in Europe, while Finnish mobile broadband subscriptions are also among the least expensive. Finland became the first country in the world to launch DTTV services based on the MHP, in 2001. The switchover from analogue to digital broadcasting was completed in 2007 ' digital TV is now broadcasted in five national multiplexers with a varying coverage and channel offering. In 2009 DNA was contracted to build a network to transmit HDTV nationally. In mid-2011 the company was awarded the licence to operate the third DTTV multiplex, bringing total capacity to 11 HD and about 15 SD channels. Multiplex D is primarily reserved for mobile TV. Key telecom parameters ' 2010; 2012

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>> Get this Report Now by email! Sector | 2010 | 2012 (e) | Broadband: | Fixed broadband subscribers (million) | 1.36 | 1.35 | Fixed broadband penetration rate | 29% | 31% | Mobile broadband subscribers (million) | 1.63 | 2.75 | Subscribers to telecoms services: | Fixed-line telephony (million) | 1.25 | 1.18 | Mobile phone (million) | 8.397 | 9.10 | Mobile SIM penetration (population) | 141% | 144% | (Source: BuddeComm) Market Highlights Mobile broadband now makes up more than half of all broadband subscriptions. Sector growth has slowed in recent years but consistent development is expected in coming years in the wake of upgraded networks and the wider availability of capable handsets.DNA has become the largest cableco following its purchase of Welho in mid-2010. The company has inaugurated a 200Mb/s service to support its commercial HDTV offering. The operator is also an MNO, well position as a quad-play provider.The regulator's auction of spectrum in the 2.5-2.69GHz band in late 2009 cleared the way for network operators to further develop LTE. The long term of the licences (valid until 2029) has meant that operators have been encouraged to invest in network upgrades. DNA launched HSPA+ mobile broadband with this spectrum in 2010, before migrating to LTE in 2011. TeliaSonera launched the country's first commercial LTE service in late 2010, while Elisa has contracted a hardware provider for its launch.The frequency coordination agreement reached between Finland and Russia in 2011 enables Finland to use the 800MHz band for LTE services: mid-2011 the regulator issued trial concessions to operate services in the 791MHz-801MHz band.Mobile data is still dominated by SMS, though the new LTE networks will enable customers to make use of a greater range of high-end applications from 2011 onwards. Data traffic doubled in 2010 and is expected to reach 65,000TB in 2012, compared to 16,000 in 2009.FttH has thus far made only a small impact in Finland, and is promoted principally by housing associations and local governments. Fibre is largely a preserve of the larger cities, while in smaller centres commercial activity is being stimulated by funds made available through the government's National Broadband Strategy. The government and regulator have targeted a national fibre or cable network enabling 100Mb/s connections across the country by 2015. The regulator estimated that by 2015 about 94% of connections would be within reach of the network. The cost of connections was estimated at between '2,000 and '3,000 per household, with some more remote areas costing up to '10,000 per household.To support the National Broadband plan, TeliaSonera has accelerated its investments in fibre-based broadband while in mid-2011 the provider SSP Yhtiรถt, part of the Finnet Group, contracted Alcatel-Lucent to deploy Gigabit Passive Optical Network (GPON) in its network.Following the end of analogue TV transmissions, freed 470-850MHz band potentially allows up to 55 channels for mobile TV. The government has licensed a fourth digital broadcasting network dedicated to mobile TV (to Digita Oy). In late 2008 DNA was the first MNO to launch mobile TV in Finland, on Digita's DVB-H network Operators are experimenting with appropriate business models to attract consumers. Finland's success in this market would buck the trend seen elsewhere in Europe, where mobile TV has largely failed.This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in Finland. It provides further information on: Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;The impact of the global economic crisis;Telecoms operators ' privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards in 2010;3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE;Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;ARPU statistics and forecasts. Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Content

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>> Get this Report Now by email! 1. Key Statistics 2. Telecommunications Market 2.1 Overview of Finland's telecom market 3. Regulatory Environment 3.1 History 3.1.1 New Regulatory Framework (NRF) 3.1.2 Revised NFR 3.2 Regulatory authorities 3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Norway 3.3.1 Privatisation of Telecom Finland 3.3.2 Interconnect 3.3.3 Access 3.3.4 Number portability (NP) 3.3.5 Carrier preselection 4. Fixed Network Market 4.1 Fixed network operators in Finland 4.1.1 Overview and statistics 4.1.2 TeliaSonera 4.1.3 Finnet Group 4.1.4 DNA 4.1.5 Elisa Corporation 4.1.6 TDC Finland 4.1.7 Tele2 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure 5.1 National telecom network 5.2 Next Generation Network 5.3 International infrastructure 6. Broadband Market 6.1 Overview 6.1.1 National Broadband Strategy 6.1.2 Universal Service 6.1.3 Broadband statistics 6.2 Cable modems 6.2.1 DNA 6.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL) 6.3.1 Very High-Speed Digital Subscriber Line (VDSL) 6.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks 6.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL) 6.6 Mobile broadband 6.7 Wireless broadband 6.7.1 Wireless LANS 6.7.2 WiMAX/WiFi 6.7.3 Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) 7. Digital Media 7.1 Digital media 7.1.1 Key general trends 7.1.2 Business models ' bundled services 7.2 Digital TV

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>> Get this Report Now by email! 7.2.1 Overview 7.2.2 National licences 7.2.3 Regional licences 7.2.4 Digital dividend 7.2.5 Broadband (IPTV) 7.2.6 Cable TV 7.2.7 Satellite-based digital pay-TV developments 7.2.8 Free-to-Air (FTA) TV 7.2.9 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV) 7.2.10 VoIP 7.2.11 Interactive TV (iTV) 8. Mobile Communications 8.1 Overview of Finland's mobile market 8.1.1 Mobile statistics 8.1.2 Operator market shares 8.2 Regulatory issues 8.2.1 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions 8.2.2 Roaming 8.2.3 Mobile Number Portability (MNP) 8.2.4 Mobile termination rates (MTRs) 8.3 Mobile technologies 8.3.1 Digital 8.3.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile 8.4 Major mobile operators 8.4.1 TeliaSonera 8.4.2 DNA 8.4.3 Elisa 8.4.4 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs) 8.5 Mobile voice services 8.5.1 Prepaid cards 8.6 Mobile Messaging 8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS) 8.6.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS) 8.7 Mobile data services 8.7.1 Overview 8.7.2 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS) 8.7.3 High-Speed Packet Access (HSPA) 8.7.4 High-Speed Uplink Packet Access (HSUPA) 8.7.5 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE) 8.7.6 Long-term Evolution (LTE) 8.7.7 Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplex Access (OFDMA) 8.7.8 Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA) 8.8 Mobile content and applications 8.8.1 Location based services 8.8.2 Mobile TV 9. Forecasts 9.1 Forecasts - Fixed-line broadband subscribers ' 2009 - 2012; 2020 9.1.1 Scenario 1 ' higher broadband subscriber growth

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>> Get this Report Now by email! 9.1.2 Scenario 2 ' lower broadband subscriber growth 9.2 Forecasts - Mobile 9.2.1 Forecasts ' Mobile ARPU ' 2009 - 2010; 2015 9.2.2 Forecasts ' UMTS subscribers ' 2009 - 2010; 2015 10. Glossary of Abbreviations Table 1 ' Country statistics ' 2011 (e) Table 2 ' Telecom revenue and investment statistics ' 2011 (e) Table 3 ' Telephone network statistics ' 2010 Table 4 ' Internet user statistics ' March 2011 Table 5 ' Broadband statistics ' 2011 (e) Table 6 ' Mobile statistics ' 2011 (e) Table 7 ' National telecommunications authorities Table 8 ' Telecom revenue ' 2003 ' 2011 Table 9 ' Telecom revenue, fixed-line and mobile ' 2006 - 2011 Table 10 ' Telecom revenue by sector ' 2009 Table 11 ' Telecom revenue market share by sector ' 2009 Table 12 ' Price differential for data and voice services ' 2007 - 2009 Table 13 ' Household penetration rate of select telecom services ' 2009 - 2010 Table 14 ' Telecom investment by sector ' 2009 Table 15 ' Telco operator assets and network investments ' 2003 - 2008 Table 16 ' Share of telecom revenue by sector (historic) ' 2003 - 2007 Table 17 ' Share of consumer telecom spend by sector ' 2007 - 2010 Table 18 ' Unbundled loops and access lines ' 2006 - 2009 Table 19 ' LLU, shared access price ' connection, monthly rental (') ' 2006 - 2009 Table 20 ' TeliaSonera LLU accesses ' 2006 - 2010 Table 21 ' Cumulative fixed numbers ported ' 2006 - 2009 Table 22 ' Fixed-line operators' market share ' 2005 - 2010 Table 23 ' Fixed-line connections and traffic in minutes ' 2006 - 2010 Table 24 ' TeliaSonera (Finland) mobile and broadband revenue ' 2007 - 2011 Table 25 ' TeliaSonera (Finland) subscribers by sector ' 2002 - 2011 Table 26 ' DNA financial data ' 2008 - 2011 Table 27 ' DNA revenue (consumer and business) ' 2008 - 2011 Table 28 ' DNA subscribers by sector ' 2007 - 2011 Table 29 ' Elisa fixed network subscribers by sector ' 2004 - 2011 Table 30 ' Elisa revenue by sector ' 2004 - 2011 Table 31 ' Elisa Group financial data ' 2008 - 2011 Table 32 ' TDC Finland financial data ' 2007 - 2011 Table 33 ' Fixed lines in service and teledensity ' 2000 - 2011 Table 34 ' Broadband market share by operator ' 2006 - 2010 Table 35 ' Fixed-line broadband market speed by rate ' 2007 - 2010 Table 36 ' Broadband market share by sector ' 2008 - 2010 Table 37 ' Proportion of broadband revenue to telecom sector ' 2007 - 2012 Table 38 ' Internet users and penetration rate ' 1995 - 2012 Table 39 ' Broadband subscribers by platform; cable, DSL ' 2000 - 2012 Table 40 ' Housing corporation broadband subscribers (regulator data) ' 2006 - 2012 Table 41 ' Broadband subscribers ' WLAN, BPL ' 2004 - 2011 Table 42 ' Broadband penetration by technology ' 2004 - 2010 Table 43 ' Broadband lines by service (EC data) ' 2006 - 2009

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>> Get this Report Now by email! Table 44 ' Internet data volume ' 2008 - 2010 Table 45 ' DNA broadband subscribers ' 2007 - 2010 Table 46 ' Elisa broadband subscribers ' 2007 - 2010 Table 47 ' TeliaSonera Internet and broadband subscribers ' 2002 - 2011 Table 48 ' TeliaSonera broadband ARPU ' 2006 - 2011 Table 49 ' Forecast broadband delivery by technology ' 2015 Table 50 ' Fibre broadband subscribers ' 2009 - 2012 Table 51 ' Mobile broadband subscribers ' 2007 - 2012 Table 52 ' WLAN subscribers ' 2004 - 2009 Table 53 ' Digital TV subscribers and penetration rate ' 2003 - 2011 Table 54 ' Digital TV reception by technology ' 2007 - 2010 Table 55 ' Cable TV subscribers and penetration ' 1995 - 2011 Table 56 ' Sonera Cable TV subscribers ' 2008 - 2011 Table 57 ' Elisa cable TV subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Table 58 ' DNA cable TV subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Table 59 ' Satellite TV subscribers and penetration rate ' 1995 - 2011 Table 60 ' Mobile revenue as proportion to total telecom revenue ' 1998 - 2012 Table 61 ' Prices differential for mobile services ' 2007 - 2010 Table 62 ' Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change ' March 2011 Table 63 ' Mobile subscribers and penetration rate ' 1995; 1997; 1999 - 2012 Table 64 ' Calls and call minutes originating in mobile networks ' 2006 - 2012 Table 65 ' Mobile operators ' monthly ARPU ' 2004 - 2011 Table 66 ' Mobile market share by operator (regulator data) ' 2006 - 2010 Table 67 ' European roaming charges ' 2007 - 2011 Table 68 ' Cumulative mobile numbers ported ' 2004 - 2009 Table 69 ' Annual mobile numbers ported ' 2008 - 2010 Table 70 ' MTRs by operator ' 2006 - 2012 Table 71 ' TeliaSonera Finland mobile financial data ' 2005 - 2011 Table 72 ' TeliaSonera Finland blended ARPU ' 2003 - 2011 Table 73 ' TeliaSonera Finland mobile subscribers ' 2002 - 2011 Table 74 ' DNA revenue by sector ' 2006 - 2009 Table 75 ' DNA financial data ' 2007 - 2011 Table 76 ' DNA annualised monthly ARPU ' 2007 - 2010 Table 77 ' DNA mobile subscribers ' 2007 - 2011 Table 78 ' Elisa mobile financial data ' 2004 - 2011 Table 79 ' Elisa mobile subscribers in Finland and Estonia ' 2004 - 2011 Table 80 ' Elisa mobile operating statistics ' 2007 - 2011 Table 81 ' Elisa annualised ARPU ' 2008 - 2011 Table 82 ' SMS messages sent and annual change ' 1999 - 2011 Table 83 ' TeliaSonera SMS messages sent (historic) ' 2002 - 2006 Table 84 ' MMS messages sent and annual change ' 2003 - 2011 Table 85 ' Mobile data sent ' 2006 - 2012 Table 86 ' Forecast fixed-line broadband subscribers ' higher market growth scenario 2010 - 2012; 2020 Table 87 ' Forecast fixed-line broadband penetration ' higher market growth scenario ' 2010 - 2012; 2020 Table 88 ' Forecast fixed-line broadband subscribers ' lower market growth scenario 2010 - 2012; 2020 Table 89 ' Forecast fixed-line broadband penetration ' lower market growth scenario 2010 - 2012; 2020 Table 90 ' Forecast mobile ARPU - 2005 - 2010; 2015 Table 91 ' Forecast UMTS subscribers ' 2006 - 2010; 2015

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>> Get this Report Now by email! Chart 1 ' Telecom revenue and annual change ' 2003 - 2011 Chart 2 ' Telecom revenue, fixed-line and mobile ' 2006 - 2011 Chart 3 ' Fixed-line operators' market share ' 2005 - 2010 Chart 4 ' Fixed-line connections and traffic in minutes ' 2006 - 2010 Chart 5 ' TeliaSonera (Finland) mobile and broadband revenue ' 2006 - 2011 Chart 6 ' TeliaSonera (Finland) subscribers by sector ' 2002 - 2011 Chart 7 ' DNA financial data ' 2008 - 2011 Chart 8 ' DNA revenue (consumer and business) ' 2008 ' 2011 Chart 9 ' DNA subscribers by sector ' 2007 ' 2011 Chart 10 ' Elisa cable TV and broadband subscribers ' 2004 - 2011 Chart 11 ' Elisa revenue by sector ' 2004 - 2011 Chart 12 ' Elisa Group financial data ' 2008 - 2011 Chart 13 ' TDC Finland financial data ' 2007 - 2011 Chart 14 ' Broadband market share by operator ' 2006 - 2010 Chart 15 ' Broadband market share by sector ' 2008 - 2010 Chart 16 ' Proportion of broadband revenue to telecom sector ' 2007 - 2012 Chart 17 ' Internet users and penetration rate ' 2000 - 2012 Chart 18 ' Broadband subscribers and penetration rate ' cable, DSL ' 2002 - 2012 Chart 19 ' TeliaSonera broadband subscribers ' 2002 - 2011 Chart 20 ' Digital TV reception by technology ' 2007 ' 2010 Chart 21 ' Cable TV subscribers and penetration ' 2000 - 2011 Chart 22 ' Satellite TV subscribers and penetration rate ' 2003 - 2011 Chart 23 ' Mobile subscribers and penetration rate ' 1999 - 2012 Chart 24 ' Calls and call minutes originating in mobile networks ' 2006 - 2012 Chart 25 ' Mobile operators ' monthly ARPU ' 2004 ' 2011 Chart 26 ' Mobile market share by operator (regulator data) ' 2006 - 2010 Chart 27 ' MTRs by operator ' 2006 - 2012 Chart 28 ' TeliaSonera Finland mobile financial data ' 2005 - 2011 Chart 29 ' DNA financial data ' 2007 - 2011 Chart 30 ' DNA mobile subscribers ' 2007 - 2010 Chart 31 ' Elisa mobile financial data ' 2004 - 2011 Chart 32 ' Elisa mobile subscribers in Finland and Estonia ' 2004 - 2011 Chart 33 ' Elisa annualised ARPU ' 2008 ' 2011 Chart 34 ' Forecast broadband subscribers ' higher market growth scenario ' 2010 - 2012; 2020 Chart 35 ' Forecast fixed-line broadband subscribers ' lower market growth scenario 2010 - 2012; 2020 Exhibit 1 ' EU 'NRF Exhibit 2 ' Access and the local loop Exhibit 3 ' Overview of digital media Exhibit 4 ' 2.6GHz auction results ' November 2009 Exhibit 5 ' Sample 3G infrastructure suppliers in Finland

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