These Harvard scientists think we'll have to socially distance until 2022 Johnny Wood Senior Writer, Formative Content April 20, 2020 WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM More likely, they say, is that the virus is here to stay, recurring intermittently as the seasons come and go, much like influenza. Until a vaccine is available, this could mean some form of social distancing will need to exist for many months, if not years. Some form of distancing restrictions could be required for more than a year. Image: REUTERS
People across the globe have been forced to adapt quickly to the social distancing brought about by the coronavirus pandemic. But while the world might be eager for a relaxation of the rules, the restrictions might be around for some time to come.
healthcare systems. Too little is known about the disease or the future course it will take, prompting researchers from the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health to run computer simulations modelling different ways the pandemic could play out.
In fact, according to a group of Harvard disease experts, some form of intermittent social distancing may need to be in place until 2022.
With social distancing rules in place and strictly adhered to, along with intensive testing and contact tracing of new infections, the simulations show it is possible to contain the spread of a virus.
That’s because once the initial wave of COVID-19 infections has passed, further outbreaks could occur. If lockdown restrictions are lifted at the same time, instead of in coordinated phases, a surge in new cases could overwhelm
However, with more than 2 million confirmed cases impacting countries around the world, the researchers believe this is an unlikely outcome.
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus announced criteria that should be met before countries consider easing lockdown restrictions. These include ensuring transmission of the disease is controlled, and that health systems have the capacity to detect, test, isolate and treat every COVID-19 case and trace every point of contact.
Officials echoed the call for physical distancing measures and frequent hand-washing to remain in place after lockdowns have been lifted.
Many residents of Barangay Holy Spirit in QC have embraced social distancing to help contain the spread of COVID-19.
Grocery store along Holy Spirit Drive Queueing at bank ATM along Holy Spirit Drive
Garbage collectors maintain physical distance among themselves Page from THE DOVE