Breaking
Away From
Reforming
The Fiscal
The Fiscal
System
Bind
Breaking Away From The Fmcal Brad Reforming
The Fmcal
System
Rosario G Manasan
pOs Philippine
Institute
for Development
Studies
Copyright Phfl,ppme
eD 1994 by the institute for Development
Printed in the Philippines and conclusions m this those of the Institute
Studies
All rights reserved The findings book are those of the author and
interpretations not necessarlly
This is Part II of a bigger study entitled 'PIDS Remew and Outlook of the Philippine Economy for 1993 1994 which was presented m a symposium jomtly sponsored by the PIDS with the Nat,onal Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) and the Congressional House Committee on Socloeco nomm Affairs on November 25 1993 at the Westm Philippine Plaza Please
address
all mqumes
to
Philippine institute for Development Studies 4th Floor NEDA sa Makatl Bldg 106 Amorsolo St Legaspl Village Makatl 1229 Metro Manila Philippines Fax No (632) 816 1091 Tel No (632) 893 5705 892 4059 ISBN RP
971 9
94
564 500
013
3
Contents
List of Tables
v11
List of Figures List of _xes Foreword
v111 vln IX
1
INTRODUCTION
1
2
rMPROVING GOVERNMENT REVENUE PERFORMANCE
5
Reformlnl
the Tax System
6
and eomposzhon
7
Trends
Tax structure
12
Taxes on income and profits Import dutles and taxes Excme taxes
12 14 18
Sales
21
tax and
hcenses
Tax euaszon
23
Evamon
of the mdlvldual income tax
23
Evamon
of the VAT
24
Sources
of evaslon
24
Reformzng tax admm_strahon Too much centrahzatlon Weak
systems
and
27 27
procedures
28
Low level of computenzatlon
28
Low compensatlon oftax collection _s_nt_l
31
Proposed
tax enhancement
Reformin I Local Government Exploring
the Potential
meat_U_i_ Taxation
of User Charges
User charges
zn government
User charges
zn LGUs
hosplta_s
.
31 34 4S 50 53
3
IMPROVING THE ALLOCATION OF PUBLIC SPENDING
SS
Trends and Patterns
SS
Aggregate
natlonal
Economlc
categories
government
expendztures
of natlonal
55
government
expendztures
56
Current Capital
expendltures outlays
Functlonal categones expendztures
56 71
of natlonal
government 72
General pubhc admmistratlon Social service sectors
72 72
Economic
75
sectors
Publ,c Sector Investments
and Growth
Composztzon of pubhc sector By level of government
77
znvestment
77 77
By sector
79
Trade off between Granger
current
causality
and capztal expendztures
between
public expenditures Results from macroeconometnc Impact of pubhc investment Subsidies
sector
investment
BOI incentz ues
4
product
and 82 85
simulation on pnuate
sector
88 90
Food Authority
Petroleum
growth
85
and Tax Expendltures
Natzonal
economic
82
pnclng
107 109
CONCLUSION
111
BIBLIOGRAPHY
1 13
THE AUTHOR
119
LIST
OF TABLES
1
RaUo of Na_onal
Government
2
Tax and Revenue
Effort m Selected Asmn Countries
3
RaUo to Tax Revenues
4
Buoyancy
5
Indlvldual Tax Rate and Corporate Income Tax Rate m Selected Aman Countries 1990
6
Coefficlent
Value of Imports
Tax Revenues
8 9
9
1975 1991
11 13
and Dutaes CoUected
Average EPR and Standard Exportables
8 10
of Major Tax Groups
and Average Effective Rates 7
to GNP 1975 1992
1980 1990
16
DewaUon by Major Groups
and Importables
17
Compara_ve Yield of Sales Tax and VAT 1987 1992 Potential Revenue from the Indlvldual Tax
22
and the Level of Tax Evamon
23
10 11
Potential Potential
25
12
of Indlwdual Distribution
13 14 15
and Assessment Personnel by Revenue Reglon General Government Expenditures General Government Revenues Revenue Structure of Local Governments 1980 1991
16
Assessors
Revenue from the VAT and the Level of Tax Evamon and Actual Number Income Taxpayers of Taxable Returns
Market Valuation
1985 1990 Fried m 1990
26 29 35 36 38
and Advertised Market Prices
for Selected Prlces of Property
1992
42
17 18
Buoyancy of Revenues of Local Governments CoUection Rate for Baslc Real Property Tax
1980 1990
19
Region 3 Cost Recovery Levels Income and Expenditures
20
Sapang
43 44 1987 1989
51
Palay D1st_nct Hospltal Level of Cost Recovery
from the Revolving Drugs Fund Comparison
1989 1990
Profitabfllty
Enterprises and Comparable Private Sector Run Facdlties 1988 National Government Expenditures by Economlc Classification
54
22 23
on an ObhgatJon Basls as a Percentage of GNP NaUonal Government Deficlts 1975 1992
60 62
24
National
Government
Expenditures
on an Obhgataon Basis 25
Pubhc Sector Investment as a Percentage
Between
52
21
of GNP
City Government
Operated
1975 1992
Pubhc
by Sectoral Clasmficatlon
as a Percentage
of GNP
1975 1992
73
by Level of Government 79
26 27
Pubhc Investment by Sector as a Percentage Relatlonahlp Between Economic Growth G and Government
28 29 30
Expenchtures
31
80
E
82
Reallocatlon of Expendlture from Current Revenue Foregone by Type of Incentives Factor Bias of BOI IncentJves of BOI Reglstered
of GNP
to Capital Outlays
84 90
Capital Labor RaUo
F_-rns 1986 1992
Scale Bias of BOI IncenUves per Firm of BOI Registered
93
Average Number of Workers Fn-ms 1986
1992
94
32
Economywlde
Average Number of Workers per Ylrrn 1986 1989
33
Location Bias of BOI Industries
34
m Total Number of Projects Employment and Project Cost Economyw_de D1st_nbution of Number of Estabhshments
1986 1991
Employment and Book Value of FLxed Assets of Large Estabhshments Across Reglons 1986 1989 35
Market Bias of BOI Incentives
95
Share of NCR and Reglons III and IV 96
99
Share of Export Actlwties
m Total Number of ProJects Project Cost and Employment ofBOI Reglstered Firms
1986 1992
102
36
Internal Rate of Return of a Hypothetical Firm Under Selected Incentlve Schemes m ASEAN Countries 1988
106
37
NFALosses
108
38
Cost of Dehvermg NFA Submdy
1986 to 1991
LIST
1991
109
OF FIGURES
i
National Government
Tax and Non Tax revenues
2
NaUonal Government
Expenditures
3
Per Capita National Government m Real Terms 1975 1992
4
Pubhc Sector Investment as a Percentage
1992 of GNP 1975 1992
5 57
Expenchtures 58
by Level of Government
of GNP
78 LIST
1 2 3
as a Percentage
OF BOXES
Increased Pubhc Investments Financed Use of HCV for Import Valuatlon Pricing Access to Forest Lands
by Domestlc Borrowing
2 19 47
4
Mopping Up of Excess laqulchty
63
5
Dynamlcs
67
of Domestlc
Debt
Foreword
In November 1993 the Phfllppme Institute Studms (PIDS) launched the PIDS Review_and
for Development Outlook of the
Philippine Economy (PROPE) as part of Its continuing analysm of the mtua_on and outlook of the Phlhppme economy For its maugu ral presentahon the PIDS focused on the country s fiscal cnsls as the special theme of the report ldenUfymg It to be the period s most crmeal concern and the one posing the biggest challenge to the country s economic performance and prospects Thin present volume deals with the specml topic of the inaugural PROPE report on the Philippines fiscal poslhon SpecLfically it analyzes the roots and effects of the current fiscal bmd provides estimates on the magmtude of leakages from the revenue system and offers opportumtles and measures that can help release the fiscal brad that ties the hands of government fiscal planners and decls_onmakers By pnntmg this part or special theme of the PROPE report as a stand alone pubhcatlon thereby expanding its circular_ton to m clude sectors outside the formal pohcymakmg circle the PIDS hopes to impress to a larger audience the enormity and urgency of the problem -- that if left unattended and understated it may stymie all other efforts to improve and sustmn the economy Hopefully by explaining the msue m more detanl more people wall come to understand and advocate measures that will help resolve the sltu atlon It m with this hope that the PIDS is pleased to present volume
this
PONCIANO S INTAL JR Presldent September
1994
1 Introductlon
The
past
pubhc
two years
sector
economlc
hmlted
sustain
More
to pump
prlme
the
projects
It m possible
mmulatlon
P5 bllhon
and
where
turns
negatlve Clearly
of _reconcflmg Fiscal balance
the government
overemphamzed
Thus
and
deficits
pre
infrastructure step
toward
the economy A counterfac
were increased
by
revealed
that
e m the first two years
that
the
it
(Box 1) fiscal
challenge
in the medlum
cot tnbuted
the Importance
to sustmnable
rnents
with growth
crises
revlval
m the Immediate
to respc nd to the
undemably
s
restraints
_orrowlng
poslt_
of
as a first
to the fifth vear has
of_payment/economlc glves rise
lnveo
domestlc
lower fiscal deficits
deal wlth m the past which
sector
program government
de D1os (1992) proposed
the ec nomy
remmns
from the thlrd
mlsmanagement
power
be relaxed
through
The strln
economic
fiscal
and monetary restraints run large fis al deficlts
public
whale the effect on output
and Thus
to ]umpstart
financed
stimulate
of the
to support
poverty
restricted
financing
targets
term by slackening fiscal cannot afford to contmually tual
and
monetary
from
posltlon
the st-_bdmatlon
(IMF)
for long term growth
that monetary and fiscal rewwng the economy While
under
the economy
government
needed
fiscal
and allevmte
Fund
excessive
present
open to the government
growth
Monetary
_mportanfly
vented
the
and fiscal celhngs
International
ability
that
the optlons
recovery
gent monetary the
showed
to the country
term
series has
of
had
to
of a prudent
fiscal pohey
m the long run
cannot
be
:2
ROSARIOG MANASAN
BOX 1 Increased Publ,c Investments Financed by Domestm Borrowing The effects of _ncreastng capital outlays by P5 bilhon in current prices
which is financed by increased domestic borrowing
was
stmulated ustng an extension and update of the PIDS NEDA Macroe conometnc Model The shock or change in the baseline scenario is apphed =n1986 (period 1) and the effects are monitored up to the year 1990 (penod 5) A five year s_mulatlon period _srequtred m order to account for dynamic adjustments and medium term _mphcations of the pohcy change Specifically
domestic borrowing entails interest
and amorttzat_on payments which affect the economy after the loan proceeds are spent From the results (Table A) tt is evident that private expenditures are crowded out by domestm debt financing primarily through the r=se in the interest rate Comsumpt_on spending manages to post a gain _nthe first penod but dechnes thereafter Output expands _nthe first year Because of the short term nature of domesttc debt the bonds are assumed to be redeemable atthe end of the penod Thus upward pressure =smaintained on the interest rate up to the second period and this results in further cuts m prtvate investment
The need
to meet _nterest obhgatlons causes a reduction in producbve spend Lng(as mdmated by a drop In government comsumphon expenditure CG) and the double cr-,wdwng out effect leads to a drop m output beginning _nthe th rd pertod wNch lasts untd the end of the simulation pertod
BREAKING
AWAY FROM
THE FISCAL BIiND
3
Table A Scenario 3 Deflctt Financing by Domest=cBorrowmg Variable
Period 1
2
3
4
5
Percentagedewatsonfrom thebaseline GDP GNP CPI TBILL
0437 0 449 0 616 7 675
0 085 0 081 0 319 2 459
0 063 0 066 0 102 0 864
0 111 0 113 0 016 0 475
0 126 0 126 0 020 0 175
CP CG CONSPR IDER
0 012 0 596 0 966 0 912
0 045 0 409 1 132 0 615
0 091 0 063 1 064 0 492
0 105 0 023 0 855 0 394
0 098 0 023 0 789 0 361
GOCF XD MD
3498 0 144 0 483
0520 0 046 0 051
0219 0 067 0 196
0354 0 100 0 191
0368 0 103 0 162
31 834
17 239
2 045
1 235
0 688
9 006 9 946
8 759 9 690
DEFNG
Devfatlonfrom baselineOnmllhonUS$) TRABAL BOP
17 839 19331
5 543 5 813
10 645 11 581
Variable definitions
Source
GDP GNP CPI
Gross Domeshc Product Gross National Product Consumer Price Index
TBILL CP CG CONSPR IDER GDCF XD MD DEFNG TRABAL BOP
Treasury Bdl Rate Personal Consumphon Expenditure Government Consumption Expendtture Total Private Construchon Investment _n Durable Equipment Gross Domestic Capital FormatLon Dollar Exports (million) Dollar Imports (million) Nahonal Government Deficit Trade Balance (mtlhon $) Balance of Payments (mJlhon $)
Josef T Yap and Ceha M Reyes Phd_ppmes
1993
F_scal Pohcy Alternahves
_nthe
4
ROSARIO G MANASAN Good
fiscal
buffeted ment
management
by competing
spending
mg need
items
had
government
expendlture
recent
Today
stock
and
country serwces
adjustment
All these
mclous are
ther
reduce
cycle
taken
government
some
items
spending
expenditure
cuts
extremely
prove budgetary
m the
mstltuted
Thus
limited
hlgh
with
the
stablhzatmn take
the sustained
place
pursult
to reduce
govern
may be trapped
fiscal
revenue
government
from the former
the fiscal adjustments
and
m
capital
deficlts
unless
performance
budget
and
fur allocate
more efficiently
and less spending
gains
comes
m expected
government
m
constrain
that w111inevltably
program
cuts
has to expand social to protect the most
imply that the government
of low growth
is a press program
severely
that
m
govern
of government
the government safety nets
burden
sector
of the severe
stablhzatlon
At the same tlme
to _mprove
More revenues the potentml
of the
fiscal
increasing
investments
maintenance
processes
adjustment
revenues
steps
are
the
Is to be sustained
of the structural m the
from
the
the brunt
of bamc infrastructure
groups
structural
If growth ment
as part
s growth potentlal Yet and provlde adequate
vulnerable and
and capltal
to absorb
inadequate
a shortage
since
On the one hand
on maintenance
These
years
is not easy
clalms
in recent
opportumtles Nonetheless
allocation
w111both be needed will far exceed years
because
were dominated
for incremental there
However
the latter
are ways
budget to further
by cuts im
2 Improving Revenue
Government
Government
revenues
Taxes
the government
remain
mg for 86
percent
of the
percent
of the gross
non
revenues
tax
from public program percent
sector
account
may
come natmnal
national
which
from
s pnnclpal
conmst
year
and
source
non
proceeds
of total (Fig
tax
ofmcome
user
sources account
revenues
(GNP) m 1992
of grants
and
for 14 percent
of GNP) m the same
tax
government
product
enterprises
Performance
or 15 2
In contrast
charges
income
from the pnvat_atmn
government
revenues
(2 5
1)
NonTax Revenues14/
Tax Revenues86 /
Figure 1 Nat=onalGovernment Tax and Non Tax Revenues 1992
6
ROSARIO G MANASAN
Whde capltal rece:pts from the sales of government accounted for a slgnlficant portion of non tax revenues the potentml
income
pnvatlzatlon
program
from thls source unwinds
m the next
run however add:tlonal revenues tlzatlon program were accelerated foreign
grants
essenhally
of the US base
few years
the government
in the 1990s
asslstance
facdltles
In examining
as the
In the
short
s control
wlth the general
(ODA) worldwlde
from the country
the scope
to dwindle
could be generated If the pnva Moreover the contrlbuhon of
fall outslde
will hkely follow a downtrend m officlal development
Is expected
corporations since 1987
and
dechne
and the removal
m 1992
for increasing
and
restructunng
pubhc
revenues th_s chapter therefore focuses on taxes and user charges alone The first two sectlons address Issues related to central and local government of user charges
taxes whde the thlrd section assesses as a source of government revenues Reformsng
the potential
The Tax System
In 1986 the government restructured the tax system extenslvely Whde prewous efforts to change tax pohcy were p_ecemeal m nature and
generally
measures of the
concerned
represented country
measures
s tax
that
with
revenue
the first attempt system
comprlse
In hne
the Tax
following
major
art:culated Package
revenues weight
components
the
make
up
the
holding
2) increase of spouses
tax rate on interest
tax
reform pohcy
were
Equity
Package 1) a shlft from the schedular to a more global taxing redly:dual income from compensation business exercise of professlon rate income taxation
1986
at a comprehenslve with
Reform
dlctated by the need for government objectlves also recelved conslderable The
generation
the
not
solely
and efficiency Tax
Reform
approach m trade and
m personal exemptions 3) sepa 4} an increase m the final with
income
(17 5 percent)
and
royalties
(15
percent) to a umform rate of 20 percent 5) the phase ou_ of the final withholding tax prevlously lewed on dlvldends 6) the unlficatlon of the earlier
dual tax rate
to 35 percent place
of the
(of 25 and 35 percent)
7) the mtroductlon sales/turnover
tax
on corporate
of the value and
a host
added
of other
income
tax (VAT} m taxes
8) the
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHE FISCAL BIND convermon rates
ofumt
9) the abolition
general rewslon and 11) further In the changes vlew
rates
used
of export
taxes
for exclse taxes except
those
in the valuation of real property reduction in tariff rates 1
last
six years
primarily
of a series
conslstent
formerly
7
government
to respond of fiscal
with the
had
to the need
of the
reform
i0) the
for tax purposes
to raise
programs
1986
on logs
to introduce
adjustment
spirit
to ad valorem
more
tax
more revenues
in
But not package
all were
Some
the Import levy Imposed m 1991 were put in place because were admimstratxvely and pohtically convement But they generally
seen
on long term The
as hlghly
dlstortIonary
subsectlons
sigmficant
gains
be done
They
hlghhght
also
for increasing even as certain revenue
that
while
a perverse
effect
show
In the last six years the fact that
tax
moblhzatlon
still more
the
biggest
remain
to
opportunity
tax revenues at present lies in tax administration structural changes have been identified Many of the
changes Impact
on the basts
having
growth
foUowmg
achleved
proposed
and
like they were
in tax
structure
Thzs makes
were
st doubly
of adminlstratlve
shown
important
to bear
negative
to increase
revenue
mnouat_ons
Trends and composstson The 1986 Tax Reform
Package
together
wlth the other
tax measures
put in place in the ensuing years resulted m a slgnificant improve ment in the tax effort 2 Thus the ratlo of total tax revenues to GNP chmbed
from
an
average
of 11 3 percent
in
1975
1985
to 15 2
percent in 1992 (Table 1) This development allowed the Phihppmes to somewhat catch up with the tax effort of other Aslan countries Despite behind Thailand
thls
improvement
the performance
however of Indonesla
the
country
Malaysia
contmues South
Korea
to lag and
(Table 2) a
1 This last item xs not usually wewed as part of the Tax Reform Package but as the mare element m the Tariff Reform Program 2 Tax effort xs defined as the ratao of tax revenues to GNP 3 Singapore s tax to GNP ratao is low because a conslderable portaon of thelr revenues comes from government capltal investments i e non tax revenue
Table 1 Ratio of Nabonal Government Tax Revenues to GNP 1975 1992
=
(In percent) t97585 197582 198385 198692
Taxrevenues
11 26
11 87
1059
1356
1 Bureauof InternalRevenue
6 94
7 20
6 65
9 05
a Incomeand profits
2 85
2 90
2 79
Corporatetncometax
1 10
0 76
1988
t098
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1276
tl 36
1340
14 10
1445
1523
7 85
8 71
8 01
8 97
9 66
9 21
9 77
4 29
3 21
3 24
3 45
4 11
4 61
4 84
5 12
1 48
1 85
1 44
1 82
1 63
1 67
1 77
1 98
2 24
Indlvtdualincometax
0 83
0 70
0 97
1 38
1 O0
1 08
1 O0
1 20
1 51
1 64
1 67
Others
0 17
0 02
0 35
1 06
0 78
0 33
0 82
1 24
1 34
1 22
1 21
b Excisetax
2 02
1 94
2 12
2 47
2 75
3 36
2 46
2 72
2 68
2 01
2 02
c Sa_estaxandhcenses
1 48
1 61
1 34
1 83
1 55
1 80
1 55
1 72
1 94
1 92
2 03
d Otherdomesttctaxes
0 59
0 75
0 40
0 46
0 34
0 30
0 55
0 42
0 43
0 44
0 61
3 82
4 07
353
4 34
2 93
386
3 15
4 20
4 27
5 10
532
a Importdutiesandtaxes
3 6I
3 86
3 32
4 33
2 83
386
3 15
420
4 27
5 10
532
b Exporttaxes
0 21
0 21
0 21
0 01
0 ll
0 002
0 0004
0 51
0 60
0 41
0 '_7
0 20
0 20
0 20
2 Bureauof Customs
3 OtheroEces
Source ofbasic data Bureau ofTreasury andOepartrnent ofFinance
_" 0 23
0 16
0 13
0 14
o >_
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHE FISCAL BIND
9
Table 2 Tax and Revenue Effort m Selected Asian Countries (In percent of GNP) Country
Tax Effort
RevenueEffort
Indonesia(1990)
1981
20 93
Malaysia(1989)
1745
26 45
Phdlpplnes(1992)
15 23
1772
Singapore(1989)
13 79
23 18
Thailand(1990)
1900
20 28
SouthKorea(1990)
1654
1827
Source Asian Development Bank Hand in hand system a notable
with the improved revenue change in the composition
taxes
took place
in recent
direct
taxes
proportion comprise
to total
and
taxes
The marked
constitutes
rise
a positive
m the
share
development
of The
contributed by taxes on income and profits (which close to 95 percent of aggregate dlrect taxes) expanded
dramatically percent fraction
years
performance of the tax of national government
from an average
in 1992 Conversely of total taxes between
licenses
of 24 4 percent
in 1975
1982
to 33 6
excise taxes accounted for a dechnmg 1987 and 1992 Meanwhile sales tax
as well as import
duties
and
taxes
maintained
their
share through the years (Table 3) Despite the increasing share of direct taxes In 1986 1992 the bulk of natlonal government taxes continues to come from indirect taxes More significant different relative
tax
the
revenues percentage
are
changes
Taxes
of GNP
losses
in their and
by almost
importance
levels
profits
when
when
two percentage
of the
measured
measured points
as a
in 1986
in the three percent level in 1976 1985 Import internal revenue taxes also recovered In 1986 they
from import points
in the relative
on income
rose
1992 after hovering duties and Indlrect 1991
changes
groups
to GNP
proportlon
than
suffered duties
to reach
in 1981
became
1985
striking
5 3 percent
The
resurgence
as it increased of GNP
m
1992
of
by two even
Table 3 Rat,o to Tax Revenues (In percent) 197_85 1975-82 t983 85 198692
Taxrevenues
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
199t
1992
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
1 Bureauof IntematRevenue
61 60
60 64
62 81
66 74
7t 47
68 20
70 53
66 96
68 55
63 78
64 16
a Incomeand profits
25 27
24 40
26 35
3t 62
29 24
25 37
30 34
30 70
32 70
33 49
33 60
Corporate_ncometax Indlvldualincometax
9 77 7 33
641 5 87
13 94 9 15
1363 1014
t3 10 9 07
14 27 8 49
14 37 8 80
1243 8 98
1253 1068
1368 11 38
14 69 1095
Others
1 55
0 16
3 26
7 84
7 07
2 61
7 17
928
949
843
797
b Excisetax
I795
1632
1999
1824
2502
2635
21 69
2030
1903
1394
1324
c Salestax and licenses
13 18
1361
12 66
1348
'_412
14 12
1368
1281
13 73
1328
1332
5 20
6 32
3 81
3 41
3 10
2 36
4 82
3 16
3 08
3 07
4 O0
3389 32 02
3432 32 53
3337 31 38
31 99 31 91
2672 25 74
3025 30 23
2769 27 68
31 34 31 34
3029 30 29
3533 35 33
3492 34 92
1 87
1 79
1 98
0 07
0 97
0 02
0 0033
4 50
5 05
3 83
1 27
1 82
t 55
1 79
1 70
1 18
0 89
0 93
d Otherdomestictaxes 2 Bureauof Customs a Importdut=esandtaxes b Exporttaxes 3 Otheroffices
Souroe ofbasK: datB Bureau (YTreasury andDepadment ofF_nance
m_
I_
i
BREAKING AWAY FROMTHE FISCALBIND
11
surpassing its peak of 4 5 percent m 1983 (Table 1) One observes that the increased dependence on direct taxes m 1976 1992 did not result from the replacement of redirect taxes by direct taxes Rather it followed the marked rme m the overall direct tax effort without an accompanying reductlon m the overall mdzrect tax effort In short the yield of redirect taxes measured agmnst GNP did not dnmmsh while that of direct taxes increased slgmficantly Concomitant with thin progress the buoyancy of the tax system with respect to GNP rose from 088 m 1976 1985 to 134 m 1986 1991 {Table 4) 4 The improved tax buoyancy has been such that _ts 1986 1991 level did not only rise above the 1981 1985 level (0 92) but also surpassed the 1976 1980 level (1 09) Table4 Buoyancy Coefficientof MajorTaxGroups 19751991 19761985
19801985
19861991
Alltaxes
088
0 92
1 34
Income/profit Indlwdual Income tax
094
1 12 0 44
1 62 1 08 1 20 3 20 1 26
Corporate incometax Passive Sales/l_cense tax
095
1 18 5 05 0 69
SalesNAT + otherpercentage tax Exc_se tax Otherdomestic tax
102 0 77
0 83 138 187
149 0 58 141
Import dutiesandtaxes
076
0 49
1 66
Source
Author'sestJmates
4 Buoyancy refers to the ratao of the percentage change m tax revenue to the percentage change m aggregate income GNP w_th the revenue changes mclus_ve of the increments m revenues brought about by thscre_onary tax measures It measures the responsiveness of tax y_elds to changes m economm ac_wty
12
ROSARIOG MANASAN
Tax structure
Taxes gate
on income
tax on income
almost
equal
tax yield income 1)
andprofits and
increases
profits
Revenues
from
taxes
on income
rate dunng from taxes
rate of growth
(9.3 4 percent
the mdlwdual
income
revenues percent
m the
tax
the
corporate
profits
registered
(Table above
Compared with other direct Income exhibited the fastest
annually)
in 1986
tax (21 3 percent income
to the
in the last SL_years
and
the period on passive
from the corporate
due
on the average)
Income
income
of the aggre
improved
points
of the mdwldual
and the tax on passive
average growth taxes revenues
performance
dramatically
{0 6 percentage
to GNP ratio tax
The revenue
1992
Revenues
yearly) followed
from
In contrast
tax grew at a slower
pace
(19 3
yearly)
The tax rate
hikes
on interest
income
well as the high Interest
rate regime
cancelled
revenue
the
dlmdends
negative
The
schedular
pomtive
to a global
particularly
effect
revenue
system
the expanded
and
royalties
m 1986
m the last six years of ehminatmg
impact
of the
and the reforms
coverage
as
completely the
switch
tax from
on the
m tax administration
of the withholding
system
also
blunted the antmlpated revenue loss from the following 1) lowered mdlmdual income tax rate on business and professional income 2) Increased personal separate computation ductlon
of the tax holiday
bus Investment
(such
loan transactions
the corporate
and 3) the newly tax habihty However
as an investment
incentive
Code of 1987 and the existence
m the tax structure back
exemptions of spouses
as those
to reduce
income
tax take
where
their
promslon
separately
allowing
equalized
spouses
effectively
in the Omm
of certmn
firms
enter
tax habflity)
loopholes
into back
sermusly
to
eroded
5
On the whole the prowsmns of the 1986 also promoted efficleney and equity Manasan the
introduced the mtro
to compute the
marginal
Tax Reform Package (1990) showed that their tax
tax
rates
liabilities on the
pn
5 Firms have an mcentave to engage m tax arbitrage by takang out loans and mvestang the proceeds m high 3neldmgq_reasury bills In thas arrangement interest income is taxed at a rate of 20 percent while corporate income net of the interest expense is taxed at 35 percent
BREAKINGAWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND mary
and
stracting
secondary
earner
from evasion
a more more
the
neutral
progressive
the corporate profitable income
tax
and
inherent
structure
she argued
Table
is roughly
rate
S shows
comparable
ab
resulted
earners
and
that
the blas against
in the dual
Finally
that
system
non wage
Moreover
tax rate removes
in place
countries
also demonstrated
to the global
of wage
tax structure
income
enterprises
prevlously
She
the switch
treatment
13
m m a
umfymg
large and/or
structure
that
that
the
with
those
was
Phlhpplne of other
In the region Table 5 Indw,dual Income Tax Rate and Corporate Income Tax Rate In Selected Asian Countries 1990 (In percent)
Countnes
MaximumMarginalRate Ind,wdualIncomeTax
CorporateIncome Tax Rate
Indonesia
35
35
Malaysia
40
40
Ph=hppmes
35
35
Singapore SouthKorea
33 50
33 30
Thailand
55
35
Source Manasan (1990) forcorporate income taxrates
In 1992 Republic Act 7497 was passed permitting mamed mdlvlduals to claim personal exemptions equal to P18 000 each prowded
both spouses
If compared
wlth
the cost
the P9 000 personal this
provlsmn
It reverted
of hying
exemptlon
While this amount mdlcators
allowed
led to a substantml
P2 bilhon) wlthout The S1mphfied 1992
were working
the ]ndlvidual
it is out of hne wlth
for single indwlduals
loss m revenue
any clear efficiency Net Income Taxation income
is not large
(equal
Thus to about
gains (SNITS) was also enacted tax to the schedular
system
m
14
ROSARIOG MANASAN
It reduced
the tax rate on business
trade
and professlonal
income
to 3 30 percent in contrast to the 0 35 percent rate for compensa tlon income However SNITS restricted allowable deductions against gross income to seven types employees raw materials and supphes
of direct business
cost salaries of rental teleeom
mumcatlon and utilities expenditures depreclatlon interest ments and contributions to government accredlted orgamzatlons
Expendltures
advertmements
are
on transportatmn
no longer
pay relief
representatmn
tax deductlble
and
as prevlously
prac
tlced However _t replaced the provmion for a 10 percent optmnal deductmn w_th one that allows 40 percent optlonal deductmn SNITS clearly sought to plug the leakages m the system arising from overstatmg tax deductmns particularly those related to trans portatmn
representatlon
tance of Imposing But at this point remains unclear
and
advertmmg
expenditures
The tmpor
celhngs on deductlons cannot be overemphamzed the dlrectlon of net revenue gain from the SNITS Some anecdotal ewdences mdlcate that the SNITS
may result in a lower tax take than antlclpated Some also pointed out that the 40 percent optmnal deductmn may be too liberal for certmn groups of taxpayers Income sphttlng for mlxed income earners and the reduced tax rate also work to lower the effective tax rate Moreover the return
to the schedular
of efficlency Import on
problems duties
_mports
are
system
assocmted
and taxes the
most
once again Implies
with that system
Of all indirect Important
taxes
in terms
the recurrence
as noted duties
earher and
of revenue
taxes yield
Although their proportion to total taxes dechned from an average of 32 5 percent in 1975 1982 to 31 4 percent m 1983 1985 the share of import
revenues
again
chmbed
to about 35 percent m 1991/1992 dutles and taxes combined proved of all the major tax types Measured imports 1980
relatlve
regained 1985
Thus
to GNP
m 1986 Import
m the succeeding
years
(Table 3) In those years to be the blggest revenue
import earner
national
1992 duties
upwards
the and
government two percentage taxes
stood
revenues points
from lost m
at 5 3 percent
of
GNP m 1992 from a low 2 8 percent m 1985/1986 (Table 1) Thin m even greater than its peak level of 4 6 percent of GNP m 1980
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHE FISCAL BIND Moreover
tariffs
and
taxes
15
on imports
combined
surpassed
all
other types of taxes m terms of growth rate m 1985 1991 wlth an average annual rate of increase of 26 4 percent during the period Imtlally m tariff
thls development was surprising given the overall reduction rates under the Tariff Reform Program started m 1981 A
number
of factors
program
on tariff
moderated revenues
effect m 1983/1985 balance of payments
the
expected
First
negative
an import
dutlable
however Third
imports
the share the
Scheme
to total
of non
mtroductlon (CISS)
efficlency
m
of the
1987
On the whole
imports
dutlable
began
Comprehensive
somewhat
to capltal Impor the likely drop m in the proportion 1988
In 1988
to inch up again
Import
improved
the changes
took
m response to a Second the wlth
m 1986
imports
of the
surcharge/levy
and then again m 1991/1992 {BOP) cnms in those years
drawal of the privilege of government corporations tatlon free of tax and duty in 1984/1985 blunted revenues from thls source Table 6 shows a dechne of non
impact
Superwmon
customs
m the tariff
collection
rates
and
m the
coverage of exemptions appear to have largely cancelled each other out as suggested by the fairly even estimates of effectlve tariff rates on total imports total
imports
m 1980
tapered
when the import m tariff revenues from the robust
1987
Although
off in 1987
the effectlve
1990
a trend
levy took effect in 1991 Finally m the last SLXyears resulted growth
m Imports
during
tariff rate on
reversal
occurred
the rapld to a large
growth extent
the period
EO 470 which hopes to further cut down tariff rates and restructure the tariff system over a five year pemod took effect in 1991
While
the revenue
effect of EO 470 is expected
its posltlve effects on overall competltlveness ductlon In the level and variation in effectlve well documented
{Table 7)
An outstanding to the use of the
Issue on the tariff system home consumption value
to be negatlve
through protectlon
further rates
re are
still emsts Thls relates (HCV) as the basls for
computang tariff To date the Phfllpplnes m the only country in the world which does not use either the Brussels Definitlon of Value (BDV] whlch and value
freight Some
is essentaally or the sectors
based
GATT system argued
that
on the export whlch since
price plus insurance
m based
on transactions
the HCV is generally
higher
Table 6 Value of Imports and Duties Collected and Average Effectwe Rates 1980
1990
(In b,ll,on pesos)
Total_mports Dutiableprnporls Non-dubabte _mports /otototal Totalimportdubesandtaxescollected
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
48.080
54030
64120
82.220
99710
92060
98697
124108
137206
225240
290082
37850
42780
54280
44270
61760
54370
70701
101153
103114
148013
187202
10230 2128 11453
11250 2082 10603
9 840 1535 12141
379,50 4616 15839
37950 3806 17329
37690 4094 16590
27998 2837 16965
22955 1850 25627
34092 2485 24866
77227 3420 38231
102880 3547 46514
7867
7 38t
8 551
12088
14199
13497
13013
1801t
17614
28197
33692
2478
2237
3578
2806
3051
24CO
2533
24 12
2583
2485
2078
1725
1575
2731
2299
2482
1841
1781
1708
1905
1800
2382
1962
1893
1926
1738
1802
1719
2065
1812
1697
1603
1636
1366
1334
1470
1424
1466
1318
1451
1284
1252
1161
TotaldutJes collected EffecWe tariffrates
Totaltrnport dubes andtaxescodlectec_ totaldurable_rnports 30 26 Effectrve tariffrates To_aldutP_,s collected/ totaldurable=reports Effecbve tanffrates Totaltmport dubes andtaxes collected/total =mports Effective tanffrates TotaldutJes collected/_al tmports Source ofba_cdata
Bureau ofCustoms
_> ,._
I_
== Table 7 Average EPR and Standard Deviation by Major Groups Exportables and Importables (Using pnce comparison) Sector
1979
1985
SD
1986
SD
1988
SD
1990
SD
1995
SD
Group 03 96
03 22
AIlsectors
06470 04904 11655 03937 07564 03649 07084 02539
Exportables
00690 0069t
lmportables
11756 10226 14507 08072 09053
07514 08806 04810 04904 03806 02620
01229 00900 03737 00503 02616
00521 02632 00353 02365 00265 02094
00414 00327
Agnculture fishery and foresb'y
28-96
00594 00411 00325
0384 02002 02642
Exportables
NA 0 0849 0 0967 0 0570 0 0967 -0 0570 0 0967
Importables
NA 07962 02088 04833 02702 04928 02627 03527 01152 03109 00414
Manufactunng
09330 07335
15895 06017 10604 05549
Exportabtes
00445 00455 01113 00119 00989 00128 00994
Importables
02710 10727 18010 08693
11724 08024
10080 03582 04925 02804 03446
11194 05055 04787 03927 03221
Source Medalla Erl_ndaM AnAssessment ofTrade andlndustnal Polcy1986-1958 PIDSWo_ngPaperNo 90-07and Medalla Erlinda M "Tanff Reform Assessment presented att_ePhitlpp_ne Economic Sooety Annual Mee_ng onDecember 131991
,..:j
>_ :Z E_
18
ROSARIO G MANASAN
than the BDV or transactions raises the tariff on Phihpplne competmveness
value tmports
of local products
its continued use effectively and reduces the international
Medalla
et al (1993)
shows
that
while the wedge between the HCV and the mvome value is not very high on the average inter industry variation is quite substantial As such the dlstortlonary impact of the use of the HCV may be more slgmfieant than what the average HCV to lnvome value ratio lnd_ cates Moreover estimates suggest Excise goods
the revenue (Box 2)
taxes
and
impact
Of all the major
servmes
excise
IS not
mdlrect
taxes
as
taxes
large
as
earher
lemed on domestic
on alcohohc
products
tobacco
products petroleum products fireworks clnematographm automobiles and certain product goods classified as non
films essentml
goods provide
the most
m terms
of their
in total tax revenues
share
slgmficant
revenue
yield
Measured
of the national
government
and
their raze relative to the GNP excise taxes are also larger than any of the tax components on income and profits The traditional role of excise taxes
has been maintained
m recent
years
despite
its sluggish
growth (10 8 percent) m 1986 1991 other tax categories (average growth
compared with the growth of rate of all tax revenues m the
same
and
period
settled
at 19 1 percent)
its own growth
periods (18 0 percent m 1976 1982 and 32 9 percent The share of exc_se taxes in the total tax revenues government
rose
from an average
20 percent
in 1983
1985
contribution continuously 3) It exhibited a mmllar
of 16 3 percent
After peaking
m earher
m 1983 1985) of the national m 1976
at 26 4 percent
1982
to
m 1987
its
dropped to 13 2 percent m 1992 (Table trend when measured relative to GNP
Excise taxes remained steady at about an average of two percent of GNP between 1976 1985 Rising from 1985 onwards it peaked at 3 3 percent of GNP in 1987 From then on it took a downtrend and stood
at two percent
The poor from a number
of GNP in 1992
performance of factors
of excise F_rst
(Table taxes
the excise
1) in recent
years
tax on petroleum
resulted products
diminished when the excise tax on fuel oll was abohshed m August 1987 and the effective tax rates on other items were reduced m 1990 Second
some
cigarette
manufacturers
avoided
or evaded
paying
the
BREAKING AWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND
19
BOX 2 Use of HCV for Import Valuat=on Since the Jnactment of the Ph_hpp_neTanff Act of 1990 the dutiable value of imported articles depends on the price at which the good ts freely offered for sale in the usual wholesale quantities _nthe domestic market of the exporting country at the time of exportation Th_s price is also referred to as the Home Consumption Value (HCV) The actual determination of the HCV was rather spotty over the years because of the hmlted resources that the Bureau of Customs (BOC) was able to allocate to verify the HCV) Since the Society Generale de Surveillance (SGS) was engaged to inspect and value imports the use of the HCV for import valuation has been raised Importers have complained that the use of HCV for tariff assessment tend to overvalue imports and effectively _ncrease the cost of doing business _n the country w_th d_re _mphcatlons on the international competitiveness of Phdlppme exports and the country s ability to attract foreign investors The results of Medalla et al (1993) demonstrate that the HCV valuation system indeed raises the dutiable of imports and thus further d_storts the protection structure Table B shows that the weighted average ratio of HCV to invoice value (IV) is equal to 1 11 after the globahzatlon of the CISS The study also noted that inter industry vanatlon Jn the HCV IV ratJo Is qu_te substantial w_ththe ratio varying from 0 95 for mrscellaneous manufacturers to 1 18 for machinery and transport equipment The antra industry dtspersion in the HCV IV ratio as measured by the standard deviation Jsalso uneven The study concludes that the wedge between the HCV and the IV translates into an additional tanff on imports
The unevenness
_n the HCV IV ratio
across and within industries imphes that the use of the HCV produces a highly arbitrary impact on the protection structure Consequently the use of the HCV introduces additional distortions that are not fully predictable from the nominal tariff rates Note that Medalla s numbers tend to underestimate
the true Increment
_nthe cost of _mported goods because _tdoes not take transactions cost _nto account SGS officials md=cated that the number of appeals submitted to the BOC SGS Import Valuation and Class=ficatlon Committee increased _n recent months The appeals process _s not costless to firms and consider able amount of resources has been expended on th_s The use of the HCV also deters the flow of foreign _nvestments It does so not only because _traises the cost of doing bus_ness _nthe Ph_hppmes but also because _tmakes doing business In the country more cumbersome
4 20
ROSAPIO
G MANASAN
Note that the Phthppmes_sthe only country _nthe world that has not adopted the Brussels D_fit itlon of Value (BDV) or the General Agreement on Tariff and Trade system which is based on transactions value Thus foreign investors who are more familiar w_ththese systems find that they need to acquaint themselves to a new system when they enter the Phfl=ppmemarket At the very least they vLewedthis as an _rksomeand burdensome process From the policy perspective tt _sthus tmperabvefor the Philippinesto shift away from the use of the HCV VVhdethe country s economic managers agree on the disadvantages of the continued use of the HCV they are very concerned about the negative impact on government revenues that such a move wdl entail In this regard it is important to point out that the reduction intariff revenues estimated by Medalla ranges from 3 9 percent (P2 8 billion based on 1992 revenues) to 6 5 percent (P4 7 bdhon) depending on whether the elastlctty of demand for imports _sNgh or zero These numbers are lower than official estimates Table B Average HCVIIV by Commod=tyGroup March 16 December 31 1992 Stmple Ave SITC
Description
Std
Weighted Ave Std
HCVIIV Dev
HCVIIV* Dev
0
Food
1095
0328
0947
0042
1 2 3
Beveragesand tobacco Crudematprlals=ned=ble Mineralfuels
1 208 1 292 1 186
0 394 0 685 0 426
1 054 1 130 1 120
0 044 0 013 0 008
4 5 6 7
Anlmaland veg oils and fats Chemicalsand products Mftdgoodsby matenal Machineryand transport
1 341 1 381 1 609 1 191
0841 0 755 0 925 0 440
1 118 1 063 1 044 1 183
0012 0 062 0 122 0 031
8
equtpment Misc manufactures
1 361
0 873
1 076
0 004
CommodltlesNEC M_xed
1 355 1348
0661 0712
1 126 1 166
0033 0006
All commod=tlesexceptSITC9
1 291
0713
1 110
0033
9
Value ofimports isusedasweght Source Medalla etal 1993 Notes BOCBureau ofCustoms NECnotelsewhere clasared SITCSlandard IntemaIional Trade Classification
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHE FISCAL BIND correct
taxes
brands
through
Some
bllhon
transfer
analysts
behind
GNP m terms the
present
exert a negahve revenues In June
1993)
Congress
mlsclasslficatlon
revenue
loss
the tax base
Thxs last point
tax rates
on
and
the
Th:rd
of growth excise
impact
1993
pricing
estimated
per year {Monsod
whether
21
are
demand enacted
at about
generally
rinses
too high
and
the
such
P3
lagged msue
that
consequently
a law revaslng
of
of
they
on
tax
the exeme tax on
clgarettes following acnmomous debate and intense lobbying from various interest groups Unfortunately much of the debate centered on the relative real problem ease
merits
of specific
hes m the system
m reducing
tax hablhty
and
ad valorem
s loopholes through
taxation
whlch
transfer
cigarette manufacturer and wholesalers/traders ficat:on of brands While the mlsclasslficatlon
when
permltted
pricing
the
relative
between
the
and the mmclassl issue appears to have
been adequately resolved the use of marketing frms to avold paying the correct taxes is only i_artlally addressed by the mtroductlon of the floor tax 6 Moreover the new law continues to wolate GATT rules by maintaining their
the higher
domest:cally Sales
tax and hcenses
fastest
growing
growth
rate
increase
tax revenues
from
1992 (Table 3) Similarly 1 4 percent
ofGNP
level m the last
18 years
relative
to
12 5 percent revenues
annual rate of
a big shift from its
sales tax and hcenses
m 1982
1985
tax
hcenses
and
m 1985
from sales
m 1985 to two percent (Table
the thlrd
wlth an average
Thls marked
sluggnsh
became
wlth a 19 1 percent
tax groupings
on a yearly average the share of sales
expanded
clgarettes
hcenses
1991
compared
to be one of the most
revenues
tax and
m 1985
Of the major
only 15 8 percent Consequently
from
Sales
tax category
for aggregate
on imported
counterpart
of 20 3 percent
past performance proved
rates
produced
expanding
by
to total
tax
to 13 3 percent
m
tax and hcenses m 1992
rose
its highest
1)
6 Abstracting from the floortax and the classdicatton msue the provasxonthat apphes a 20 percent mark up to the reglstered manufacturer s price to arnve at the construc tive pnce effectively raxses the revenue by 20 percent However _t tends to penahze firms that used to pay the correct taxes relative to those that avoided doing so
22
ROSARIOG MANASAN The VAT s mtroductlon
m 1988 largely accounts
for the credltable
performance of sales tax and hcenses The first two years of _ts Implementatmn were problematm The ratm of revenues from sales tax/VAT and other percentage taxes to GNP dropped from 1 4 percent m 1987 to 1 2 percent m 1988 and 1 37 percent m 1989 But it has recovered
since
emerging
then
reaching
to be a better
revenue
1 6 percent earner
than
m
1992
It Is slowly
the sales tax (Table 8)
Table 8 Comparatwe Yield of Sales Tax and VAT 1987 1992 (In mdhon pesos) 1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
VAT
59312
71467
101345
130793
150957
181129
OPT
34734
21449
24136
28143
35077
37171
Total
9 404 6
9 291 6
12 548 1
15 893 6
18 6034
21 830 0
140
1 17
1 37
1 48
1 47
1 59
% to GNP
Other percentage taxes areincluded inthisanalysis because theVATreplaced some ofthese taxes Manasan Improved
(1990)
showed
efficmncy
ETR (t e the sum from the successive outputs
taxes
that the introduction
by reducing
on inputs
into inputs
as well as the variation
percent
to a range
taxed
an average estabhshed inputs percent
under
Thus
(whmh
tax it replaced
of the ETRs
be achieved
rates
the dmtorttons
the
present
rates
current
14 4 percent
The difference
measures
arising
or
that
she
some
the
inputs
are
was halved
noted
gains
exempted
proposals
of 1 3 34 6
from
of 3 3 percent Manasan also more progresswe than the
VAT stall accounts of goods
to 6 5
between
the extent
therefrom)
However
mdmatmg
if the number
thin supports
tax
m the ETRs from a range
of 7 2 percent to an average that the VAT m shghtly
sales/turnover
effectwe
etc ) from
of 0 4 13 3 percent
the nominal
mdmatmg
average
of direct and indirect taxes on output resulting layers of taxes on output taxes on inputs mto
percent
ETRs and
the
of the VAT greatly
that
taxes
on
for more
than
50
m efficmncy
could
from VAT is reduced
to further
refine
the VAT
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHE FISCAL BIND Meanwhile tribute
the gross
to the hlgher
today
(Lamberte
gross
recelpts
recelpts
23
tax on banks
cost of financlal
1990)
Because
was
mtermedlatlon
of thls
found
to con
m the country
it is recommended
that
the
tax be abohshed
Tax evasion The previous
section
of the tax system greatly evaslon
indicates
that
changes
and its admlmstratmn
tmpose
more revenues new
weakens
taxes
w_thout
It should
the progressltnty
the structure
m the last half of the 1980s
improved revenue performance zn recent years zndzcate that
collecting
in both
However estzmates of tax vast opportunzt_es exzst for
the need
to razse tax
also be emphasized
rates
that tax
of even the best designed
or to
evaszon
tax systems
Evaszon and updated
of the mdwldual zncome tax Table 9 presents revised estimates of the potentml revenue from the mdw1dual
income
The
tax
somewhat m 1985
spotty
numbers
suggest
occurred
to 34 percent
that
some
m its collectlon
improvement
rate
albelt
from 26 9 percent
m 1991
Table 9 Potent,al Revenue from the Indw,dual Tax and the Level of Tax Evasion Collect,on
Potent,al
Actual
Rate
Revenue
Revenue
Difference
Evas,on Rate (%)
(%)
Year
(PM)
(PM)
(PM)
26 9
1985
21 949 60
5 912 0
16 037 6
73 1
383
1988
1550474
59400
95647
61 7
28 5
1988
27 887 30
7 947 0
19940 3
71 5
35 1
1990
46 20030
16 2060
29 994 3
64 9
340
1991
61 11210
207446
403675
660
Source Potent,al revenue author's est,mates Actual revenue Bureau ofInternal Revenue
24
ROSARIOG MANASAN Despite
the progress
rate of the mdlmdual
achieved
income
to date
m reducing
tax Table 9 also shows
to increase the government tax collection machinery Uncollected
the evamon
the big potentlal
take by improving further revenue from the mdlwdual
come tax amounted to some P40 4 bflhon (or 22 2 percent government tax revenues) in 1991 Evaszon tax/VAT
o/the
mdlcate
31 7 percent
VAT Potential
revenue
that
collectmn
while
the
in 1985 to 27 8 percent
estlmates rate
in 1989
ofnatlonal
from the sales deteriorated
in 1992 (Table 10) Undeniably were problematlc However
seems
Improved
that
It has
from
it has recovered
1990 to reach 38 4 percent years of VAT implementatlon to show
the m
considerably
since
the early emdence
in the last
three
years Again
the gains
VAT system
to be had
continue
is P47 2 bflhon or 3 5 percent only
P18 1 bflhon
amount
of evasion
P29 1 billion m 1992
ts being
revenue
of GDP while actual
collectlon
other
tax evamon
measured
observable
and
of GDP
leakages
estlmates
year
government
is hldden
cannot
of the
m 1992 reached
Implies
that
the
amounted
to
tax revenues)
are not preclse
whmh
errors
Thls
in that
of national
Is something
measurement
reform
VAT s potential
or 1 3 percent
(or 13 9 percent
Admlttedly
from an admmlstratlve
to be large
Because and
be assumed
what
not
directly
away
Thus
the estimated evamon levels are at best approximate However the magnitude of tax evasmn levels are so huge that even If one allows a margin of error as large as 50 percent the tax system remains substantial Sources usually
takes
of" evasmn
7 Manasan
the followmg forms
non
(1988)
the estlmated
noted
that
flhng of tax returns
leakage
tax
m
evasion
overstated
deductions and non reporting and/or understated income/sales Comparing the actual and the potentlal number of Individual income tax fliers reveals that outright non fihng of tax returns major source of mdlmdual mcome tax evasion Table 1 1 shows 7 This section draws heavily from Manasan (1988)
is a that
Potential Revenue from theTable VAT 10 and the Level of Tax Evasion
Year 1985
Potenbal Revenue
Potential Revenue
Actual Revenue
Difference
Evasion Rate
Collecbon Rate
_:
{Inre,ilionP) 9 428 0
% of GDP 1 65
(In milSonP) 2 996 0
(In millionP) 6 432 0
(%) 68 2
(%) 31 8
F
1989
364140
394
101345
262795
722
278
1990
39 3950
368
13079 3
263157
66 8
33 2
1991
454430
365
15095 7
303473
66 8
33 2
1992
47 1910
352
18 112 9
29078 1
81 6
384
Source Authors e_mates
26
ROSARIOG MANASAN
only 22 5 percent m 1990
of potentlal
The Economlc
{1992) noted income
Intelhgence
a slmdar
tax
taxpayers
problem
The problem
filed their income
and Invest_gatlon
emsted
Bureau
wlth regards
also exasts m other
types
tax retums or EIIB
to the corporate of taxes
Table 11 Potential and Actual Number of Individual Income Taxpayers 1985 1990 PotentialNumber
ActualNumberof
Actual/
of Indwldual
Individual
Potential
Taxpayers
Taxpayers
(%)
Year 1985
10074 039
2 336 337
23 19
1986
9 247 644
2 093 335
22 64
1988
10 544 154
2 434 520
23 09
1990
11 651 988
2 619 271
22 48
Source Potential number ofindividual taxpayers author's estimate Actual number ofwndMdual taxpayers Bureau ofInternal Revenue Whale many thetr
tax
tax hable
returns
transactions many of these
mdwlduals
and
such
is needed
(because
corporatlons
opt to file
to expedlte
certain
e g wlth banks or those related to travel abroad) tax fliers underdeclare thelr income or recelpts Many
taxpayers
appear
to adhere
to the following
collectlon
agency
does not know
precept
wdl not hurt
What
the tax
the taxpayer
Another n-nportant source of evaslon _s overstating expenses and allowable deducttons in the case of self employed mdlwdual income taxpayers
and corporate
taxpayers
or NTRC (1986) reported claimed
to gross
slgmflcant gross ers
posltwe
income
income
t_me
to gross of overstating
the
a posltwe
Center
estabhshed
a
of deducttons
to
income
correlation
to actual
for corporatlons
deductions
(1988) ratio
levels of mdlvldual
tax (due to audit)
income
Tax Research
m the ratio of deducttons
Manasan
between
she also found
the ratlo of the deficiency prevalence
Moreover
relatlonsh_p
and the gross mcome
At the same
of deductions
The Natlonal
a wlde dlsperslon
tax and the ratio
All these
for tax purposes
taxpay between
lndlcate
the
BREAKINGAWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND Theoretlcal probablhty fence and that
suggest
that a hlgh penalty
penaltles
and/or
the
Iukehhood
of being
the legal sanctlons
continues
to be a crltlcal
thy that m recent months such forthcoming than ever before study
stratlon
and
system
also identified
other
that encourage
weak
evamon
will be discussed
Reforming
m greater
points
It _s notewor
seems
to be more
m the
tax admml
low computemzatlon
level m
of the BIR/BOC to access of hard to tax mdlwduals m the following
section
tax administration
Various studies mlnlstratlon
identified
the following
Too much centrahzatzon BIR has
detail
right dlrectlon BOC to enforce
concern
commltment
the major collecting agencies and mabfllty avadable data on the true income/receipts These
caught
are not hlgh enough to actually discourage evamon The of special tax courts and the passage of new law prowdmg
stiffer penaltles on tax evasion are steps m the However resoluteness on the part of the BIR and
The
rate and a high
of detectlon can effectlvely deter tax evasion The preva magnitude of tax evaslon m the country thus mdlcate
exlstmg
pumshed creation
hterature
27
a hlghly
centrahzed
Issues
The NTRC (1986 orgamzatlonal
concerning
tax ad
1991) noted structure
that
the
Both
the
central office and the regional offices heawly engage m the actual collection audit and mvestlgatlon of taxpayers This arrangement has led to a number of mefficlenc_es m assessment and collection enforcement The centralized procedure audit has led to substantml
m issuing the Letter of Authority to delay m the assessment process For
instance
found
Manasan
months on the average credit and the issuance
(1993a)
that
It took
from
three
to six
between the receipt of an apphcat_on for VAT of the Letter of Authority to audit Also under
present rules collecting accounts receivable under the jurlsdlctlon of the national office
exceeding 20 000 falls This sltuatlon has not
helped unclog the plpehne collection of uncollected dehnquent accounts as the number of accounts receivable has remmned high
28
ROSARIO G MANASAN
over time
Thus
greater
delegatton
of authority
should
be pursued
within the BIR to enable the central office to concentrate on pohcy formulation program planning and evaluatlon of the management effectiveness of the lower level offices regmnal offices should focus on momtonng and evaluating Under such a set up personnel reallocated uneven and dmtncts
since the dmtnbutlon of revenue personnel m hlghly does not match the actual work load m some revenue
(Table
12)
Recent
pronouncements
clals are fully aware of these pmonty to decentrahzatlon Weak
systems
and
master hst of taxpayers tormg of tax comphance that and master
the revenue dmtncts operataons across revenue dlstncts should be
mdlcate
posslblhtles
procedures
and
The
mgmficantly Manasan
absence
identlflcatlon
system
BIR offi
attached
of an
high
updated
contributes to the poor morn (1991) uncovered for instance
revenue dmtrtct offices found it dlfficult follow up dehnquent accounts because file of VAT taxpayers
that
have
to Identtfy stop of the absence
The introduction
with the msuance
ofa umfied
of a unique
fliers of a
taxpayer
Taxpayer
Iden
tlflcatmn Number {TIN) to all taxpayers regardless of the type of tax they pay will go a long way m improving the system Increased computerization Meanwhile
will also make it easier to maintain the TIN system the NTRC (1986 199 I) identified the need for a clear
cut and defimtlve the assessment
pohcy on selecting workload
audlt
cases
Thin should
at the BIR to manageable
levels
Is tempting
to concentrate
on the audlt of large taxpayers
of revenue
producUvlty
such
result
of increasing
a pohcy
concentratmn
may lead
of collectmns
reduce While
It
for reasons
to the unwanted
from few taxpayers
(de Jantscher et al 1991) Thus a schelI_ whereto a specific percentage of returns per income bracket m selected for audit should also be consldered The NTRC (1986 1991) als0 recommended more vlgorous program of collectmn enforcement ment been partly baslc
the need to adopt a The non enforce
of warrants of distraint and levy on property that have already msued remains a major problem The study attributes thin to the lack problem
of revenue
of phymcally
selzure locating
agents defaulting
and
partly taxpayers
to the more
Table 12 D,stnbut,on of Taxable Returns Filed ,n 1990 and Assessment
Personnel by Revenue Regton
Average No ofTaxable Number of Assessment ReturnPer Assessment
Revenue Region Total
Total 1 2andCAR
BaguloCity Tuguegarao Cegayan andCorddlera Admln_sb'abon Region
,.3A 3B 4A
SanFemandoParnpanga ValenzuelaBulacan Manda
(1) 1694067
481and4B2 QuezonCdyandMa_tl 4C SanPabbC_ty 5 LegaspCdy 6A 6B 7 8 9 10A 10B 11A 11B
IlodoQty Baco_nd C_ty CebuC_ty Tacloban Cdy Zamboanga Qty Cagayan deOroCity BuPJan Qty Cotabato Cdy DavaoQty
Source
BIRAnnualReportasc_ted knNarwhal TaxResearch Center(1991)
Individual Corporation Pertnersh_p Personnel Personnel (2) 1672,052
{3) 20605
(4) 1410
55993 76520
446 370
I2 10
126 69
448 t 114
77077 173752 178043
76400 172276 173681
611 1369 3874
66 107 488
1t8 165 315
653 1053 565
505248 91562 55866
495931 90941 55602
8964 594 264
353 27 --
591 90 62
855 1017 901
433 848 1046 182 243 330 116 249 668
42 58 108 5 35 18 11 19 51
60 t08 140 59 57 65 45 59 86
955 507 685 669 718 886 695 571 794
56820 53825 94701 39298 40662 57253 31133 33425 6759"=
E
(5) (6)- (1}/(5) 2,215 765
56451 76900
57295 54731 95855 39485 40940 57601 31260 33693 68308
.11
_. m
30
ROSARIOG MANASAN Low level ofcomputenzatmn
(starting
m the
mld
computerlzatmn mg obsolescence quate
Although
1960s)
remains pnm_tlve of the mainframe
maintenance
the BIR has a long hmtory
of computer
the acute
use
its present
Thin was attributed computer system
backlog
m data
state
to the grow their made
procesmng
and
lack of an integrated
database
Instltutlonahzmg greatly enhance the
a major computenzatlon program agency s collectlon enforcement and
ment
functlons
computemzatlon
It should
m the BIR (Crown
be
will greatly
emphamzed
improve
Agents
and
the
1993)
however
collectlon
of
would assess
that
while
collectlon
en
forcement It will not cure all the 111s that currently plague the tax admmmtratlon system Better systems and procedures w111lead to better collectlon performance even wlthout the benefit of increased automatlon
(see preceding
sub
sectlon 1
Manasan (1988) noted that increased computemzatlon make It earner for the BIR to access mformatlon lodged d_vlslons Bureau and
within
the BIR and m other
of Customs
Industry
and
government
Socml Secunty
System
Department
way the BIR would be able to seek out more aggresmvely mdw_duals and corporatlons who do not file thelr returns
tax hable
ability
to access
Exchange
of Trade In thls
tmn through greater bat underdeclaratmn
and
hke the
Commmmon
The greater
Secuntles
agencles
would m other
these
computemzatmn of income
external could First
sources
of mforma
also help the BIR com It w111 be earner to
operatmnahze presumptlve income taxatmn (whereby tax m as sessed not on the basra of declared income per se but on mdlcators of income) 1982)
Following
specified
the experience
amounts
of income
ated wlth for instance bales boats mrplanes employment
Related
prohlbltmg the dmclosure impedes the BIR s access
Second increase
computer
countries
may be presumed
{World Bank to be assocl
ownership of remdent_al property automo and race horses forelgn travel and
of servants
(and accretmn thereto) therefore m m order
m other
to thin
the
Bank
Secrecy
Act
of mformatmn on bank deposlts greatly to reliable mformatmn on the net worth of mdlwduals
asmsted
the cost effectlveness
audit
An amendment selectmn
of BIR audlts
cnterla
S1mllarly
of thin law will greatly the enlarged
BREAKINGAWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND mformatlon
system
that
would
31
also result
from a major
upgrade
of
the computemzatlon level should make It earner for the BIR to estabhsh "norms and standard ratlos that its examiners can use m evaluating tlon System taxpayers
taxpayers returns
glven
reported
annual
checking
mformat_on
countries
deductlon
or DIF (whlch mark
clalms
measures mdlcators
up
hke
the
act_vlty
resulting
agenclesl
effectiveness
has
Func
of tax error
economlc
and dlscrepancles
from other
to maxlmlze
The D1scmmlnant
the probablhty
sales
from cross
been
of audlts
m
used
m other
(de Jantscher
et
al 1991) Thlrd
computerization
contact
between
presents
the
revenue
opportumtles
BOC operations ments
should
mmlmme
agents
for corruptlon
should
and
the
medmm
whlch
computenmng
processing
assessment
term
taxpayers
For instance
lead to mechamzed
clasmficatlonoflmports
m the
of tax docu
and paymentofdut_es
and taxes Under thls system only taxpayers tagged as hlgh ones will be subject to audlt (Alano and Medalla 1993) Thus
the
ongoing
computenzatlon
program
BOC whlch is expected to be completed m 1997 tax admmlstratlon m the medmm term
at the
risk
BIR and
w111greatly
improve
Low compensa_on of tax collectlon personnel Alano and MedaUa (1993) pointed out that the low wages of revenue agents compared w_th
the
blggest
large problem
amounts
that
m curbing
formance
based
mmlmlze
the dlspamty
tax
evaders
tax evaslon
compensatlon
scheme
between
can They
success
of private
to employ workforce
to corrup_on and
agenmes mmntmn
legal and
suggest
illegal
by using
and pumshment
at the BIR and BOC quahfied
the right combmatlon (hlmng and
finng)
that
the a per
to effectlvely
raceme
of revenue
w_th greater flexa will be a powerful They noted
hke the SGS can be traced a hlghly
provldes
be mstltuted
agents They argue that such a system coupled bdlty m hlnng and firing tax collection personnel dlsmcent_ve
offer
the
to then" abfllty
effiment
of reward
that
and
honest
(compensation)
32
ROSARIOG MANASAN
Proposed tax enhancement
measures
Since 1986 numerous tax measures have been proposed and enacted year after year because of the need to bridge the gap between projected revenue of these measures
and programmed government have the overriding objectlve
tlonal
However
revenues
the
analysis
expendltures of generating
above
shows
Most addl
that
thelr
impact on overall efficlency and equlty has not always been favor able At the same tlme the ceaseless stream of new tax measures leglslated
each year places
undue
burden
system whlch further exacerbates and enforcement m the country In pmnc_ple holes
new tax measures
m the tax system
not make
should
the tax system
should
meet
take into account
the trade
state
all of these
than
objectlves
off between
of tax collectlon
focus
on plugging
lead to efficiency
more regresmve
all tax proposals
on the tax admlmstratlon
the poor
gains
and
before
should
Because
pohcymakers
these
|oop not
should
sometimes
confllctmg
goals as they often mdlcate the impact of vamous tax measures on sustainable growth Also the cost effectiveness of each tax measure 0 e potentlal should recelve
revenue relatwe due conslderatlon
to the
Given the above perspective base
and
elsewhere system
ratlonal_ze
the
m thls paper
the earher not make
expemence
of collecting
it _s appropnate
motor
vehlcle
including
will lead to efficlency
cost
to broaden
reglstrat_on
as _t reduces
more
regresslve
As noted m the VAT
tax cascading
w_th the VAT It _s hkely that
the tax system
than
such
before
tax)
the VAT
fees
more goods and serwces
gains
the
Given
a move will On the other
hand transport studies show that the current revenues from road user charges do not suffice to cover the cost of road wear and traffic congestion studles
Associates
also show that
dlstortlonary pends
{Nathan
structure
primarily
Inc
registration They noted
1990
World Bank
1988b)
These
fees follow an overly complex that
on the axle load rather
damage than
done on roads
on total weight
and de
Conse
quently rigid trucks 0 e two and three axle trucks) appear to be under taxed relative to articulated trucks under the exlstmg system In contrast the tax and m the stock
proposed increase in the documentary stamp transactions tax the shlft from the ad valorem
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHE FISCALBIND to the specific
system
and the land documentary
convermon s_amp tax
3:]
m taxang dlstflled
splnts
tax do not (DST) would
hlgh cost of doing business m the proposed increase m DST on financml the cost
of capltal
It would
counterpart
certain
sectors
valorem drafts
tax
attorney
checks
Also
DST rates
m the
stock
thrust
to develop
much
need
the system
market
growth
sprats
and fermented
less buoyant
and
value
The pubhc
of tax revenues
a tamper
the
proposed
government ad valorem
frequent
adjustment
samply to mamtmn
debate
on the c_garette
land
the real tax shows
of the tax base
to tax avoldance)
convermon
the
tax wall make
actlon
that would make the tax less vulnerable wlth stricter enforcement of the law Meanwhile
to specafic
proof defimtlon
and
to hamper
the present
hquor
of
bonds)
wath the
will necessltate
legaslatave
powers for mflataon
and
at tends
Converting
m the tax rate through that thas case reqmres
and
penodacally
since
of
an ad
for the DST on bank
promes
tax _s mconsastent
investment
tax on dlstdled
as effectavely
m the DST (on stocks
the capatal
treatment
to the contentlon
except
receipts
not be adjusted
increase
transactaon
needed
Thus
warehouse
the proposed
Contrary
DST m most cases
it as not a Fixed tax
and
the uneven
an the banking sector compared and does not take into account the
risk m the latter the prevmhng
hquor
Ralsmg the the already
country In partlcular the instruments would increase
also exacerbate
of foreagn exchange transactaons wath those m the informal sector hagher
and fermented
seem deslrable further increase
tax
(one
coupled
would
deter the socaally optlmal shift m land use If the present classlficat_ton under the CARP law as v_ewed to be reflectave
tend
land of the
best land use then the conversaon from agricultural to resldentml commercaal or industrial use should not be allowed at all But thls as not the case deleterious Finally
allocatlve
_mpact
on
consumption
the land converslon expansaon
commodltaes are demrable
tax system other
they
economic
generate
tax would tend
if
to have
effects
while the proposed
on non essential on real property ter of the
then
to
m the excase tax coverage
and the amposatlon of a national tax to enhance the redlstnbutlve charac requxre
further
goals
Wdl the
enough
revenues
study exc_se
m terms tax
to warrant
of thear
on affluent the
cost
of
84
ROSARIOG MANAS/
collecting revenues
it? Will a natlonal tax on real property of local governments? Reforming
Pubhc
sector
center
wlth
finance local
Local 112recent
Government hlstory
government
adversely
Taxation
Is largely
units
affect tax
(LGUs)
concentrated accounting
at the for seven
percent of general government s expendltures or 1 6 percent of GNP m 1980 1990 (Table 13) The degree of fiscal decentrallzatlon ap pears ments
lower when measured in terms of revenues Local account for approxlmately five percent of total
govern general
government revenues during the perlod (Table 14) Thls has resulted from the fact that about 50 percent of total LGU income comes from external Thus
sources
mainly
the revenue
effort
transfers
from the
natlonal
of all LGUs m the aggregate
low with locally generated
revenues
not exceeding
percent of GNP m the 1980s The real property tax (RPT) is the
single
government has
remained
an average
major
source
of one
of locally
generated LGU income in 1980 1990 contributing 41 percent of total LGU income from local sources But its importance weakened in the 1980s its share in total local source LGU income dechned from 46 percent in 1980 effort hkew_se deterlorated
to 40 percent m 1990 Real property tax from 0 5 percent of GNP m 1980 to 0 3
percent m 1990 Meanwhile
(Table 15) revenues from
other
throughout the relatlve to GNP
period relatlve Revenues from
to total local LGU revenues and other local taxes shrank from 29
local
taxes
also
dechned
percent of total locally sourced m 1990 S1mdarly it contracted
LGU income m 1980 to 25 percent from 0 3 percent to 0 2 percent of
GNP dulnng
15)
economic
the
period
enterprlses
(Table kept
pace
0 3 throughout the 1980s Given the massive transfer slb111ties from
natlonal
In contrast
wlth
GNP and
of functions
government
LGU income remained
authol_tles
agencles
to LGUs
from
stable
at
and respon under
the
8 General government Is composed of the natJonal or central government and the local government unlts
BREAKING AWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND
35
Table13 GeneralGovernmentExpenditures (In millionpesos) Year
Total
NG
Local
1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991
119122 162487 173328 206613 265411 306435
110874 153444 162570 193316 247502 282824
8 248 9 042 10758 13297 17909 23611
Average 198085 198691
67502 205566
61532 191755
5 970 13811
% DIstnbubon 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991
10000 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000
9308 9444 9379 9356 9325 9229
6 92 5 56 6 21 6 44 6 75 7 71
Average 198085 198691
10000 10000
9116 9328
8 84 6 72
RatiotoGNP(%) 1998 1859 2414 2280 2180 2044 2261 2115 2466 2300 2429 2242
138 134 135 146 166 187
1788 2320
158 156
1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 Average 198085 198691
1630 2164
Sources Annual F;nanc4al ReportsDepartment of Interior andLocalGovemments andCommLss;on onAudit
Table 14
General Govemment Revenues NominalLevels(tnmdhon pesos) I
Average1980 1985
Total Taxrevenues Non tax revenues
Average1986 1991
t988
f
Total
NG
LG
Total
NG
LG
Total
NG
LG
50 101 43 540 6 560
46 721 41 163 5 558
3 380 2 378 t 002
148 813 121 218 27 595
141570 116368 25 203
7 243 4 851 2 392
118 360 94 203 24 158
112861 90 352 22 509
5 499 3 85t 1 649
Raboto GNP(in percent) I
Average1980 1985
Average1986 1991
1988
I
Total
Total 13 27
NG 12 38
LG 090
Total 16 80
NG 1598
LG 082
Total 14 89
NG t4 19
LG 069
Tax revenues Nontaxrevenues
1153 1 74
1090 147
063 0 27
1368 3 11
1313 2 84
055 0 27
11 85 3 04
11 36 2 83
048 0 21
PercentageDistnbut_on I
Average1960 1985
Total Taxrevenues Non tax revenues
Average1986 1991
1988
I
Total
NG
LG
Total
NG
LG
Total
NG
LG
1000O 10000 10000
93 25 94 54 84 72
6 75 5 46 15 28
10000 10000 10000
95 13 96 00 91 33
4 87 4 00 867
10000 10000 10000
95 35 95 91 93 18
4 65 4 09 682
o O
Table 14 (conbnued) NominalLevels(In millionpesos) I
1989
Total Tax revenues Nontaxrevenues
1990
I
Total
NG
LG
Total
NG
LG
Total
NG
LG
161066 128020
152411 122463
8 655 5557
190 170 157710
180 902 151 700
9 268 6010
231 321 189256
220 788 182276
10533 6980
33 046
29 948
3 098 32 460 29 202 RabotoGNP(In percent)
3 258
42 065
38 512
3 553
[
1989 Total Taxrevenues Nontaxrevenues
1991
Total 1763 1401 3 62
NG 1668 1340 3 28
r_
1990 LG 095 061 0 34
Total 1767 1465 3 02
NG 1681 1410 2 71
'<
1991 LG 086 056 0 30
Total 1833 1500 3 33
NG 1750 1445 3 05
I LG 083 055 0 28
PercentageDistnbubon [
1989
1990
1991
]
Total
Total 10000
NG 94 63
LG 5 37
Total 100 00
NG 95 13
LG 4 87
Total 10000
NG 95 45
LG 4 55
Taxrevenues Nontaxrevenues
100 00 10000
95 66 9063
4 34 937
10000 10000
96 19 8996
3 81 1004
10000 10000
96 31 91 55
3 69 845
Notes
LG- Local govemment NG- Nabonal govemment
i _.
t4 OlD Table
t5
RevenueStructure of Local Governments 19801991 Nominal Levels(inmillionpesos) 19801985 19861991 Average Average A Local sources 1Taxrevenues
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
3 380 2 378
7243 4 851
4616 3288
4 887 3 418
5499 3851
8 655 5 557
9 268 6 010
10533 6 980
1 Realproperty tax 2 Others
1 460 918
2872 1978
2080 1208
2 123 1295
2276 1575
2 733 2 824
3 728 2 282
4 293 2 687
I_Operahng andm=screvenues Ill Capital B External sources 1 Sharesfromnational taxes
993 9 2 980 2 335
2 202 191 7 621 5 234
1323 5 4 045 3249
1461 9 4036 3359
1634 14 7860 4 202
2 444 653 6 626 4 097
3 039 219 9 794 6 995
3 310 243 13366 9 504
2 Grantsandaids
496
2 253
734
633
3 604
2 457
2 693
3 396
3 Interlocalgovt trans 4 Borrowings
16 133
19 115
12 50
30 13
20 33
24 48
10 97
17 448
Totalincomeandextraordinary receiptsandborrowings (A+B)
6361
14864
8 661
8 923
13359
15281
19062
23899
o
r.,,9
(.9 o _/_
5_ N<
0
_ 0
0
0
0
_ 0
_
(_
0
03 0
0
o
0
_ 0
0
0
0
_ 0
0
0
0
C_ 0
0
,_
0
_ 0
0
0
_3 0
0
0
0
0
_ 0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
o
o3
_'--
l
_LO _--
¢0 0
m
0 C_'
o
-o_ O_
_
_ 0
m
E
8_ m
0
_ 0
e-
¢0 0
x
E
e--
_
0
E
k_J 0
_
cO 0
BREAKING AWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND
eJ
.
39
Table15(continued)
_ o Percentage Distr=bubon
19801985 1986-1991 Average Average A LocalSources
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
5314
4873
5329
5477
4117
5664
4862
4407
3739
3263
3796
3830
2882
3637
3153
2921
1 Realpropertytax 2 Others
2295 1443
1932 1331
2402 1395
2379 1451
1704 1179
1789 t848
1956 1197
1796 1124
II Operabngandmlsc revenues III Capital B Externalsources
156t 0 15 4686
1481 128 5127
1527 0 06 4671
1637 0 10 4523
1223 0 11 5883
1600 4 28 4336
1594 115 5138
1385 t 02 5593
1 Sharesfromnabonat taxes 2 Grantsandaids
3671 780
3521 1516
3752 848
3765 7 09
3146 2698
268t _608
3669 1412
3977 1421
_o
025 2 10
13 0 77
14 0 57
34 0 15
15 0 25
0 16 031
05 0 51
007 188
o _
I Taxrevenues
InterIocaIgovt trans 43 Borrowings Totalincome andextraordinary receiptsandborrowings
>_ 10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
10000
BREAKINGAWAYFROM THE FISCALBIND Local Government
Code
(LGC) of 1991
m'e able to generate an increasing sources Thls is partlcularly true whlch
wdl suffer
respons:bdltles
negatlve from
(World Bank 1993) revenue mob:11zatlon meaningful the success
It Is imperatlve
that
national
of resources
government
and expendlture
to local
government
For the other LGUs improvements is equally important if local autonomy
m local is to be
Financial independence of LGUs Is a key mgredlent to of decentralization mlhatlves Thus a clear under
A number
of factors
the central
m determining
underlying account
government the rates
the poor revenue
for the poor revenue
severely
at which
restricted
they may
performance effort of LGUs
the latitude levy local
16)
Similarly
the centrally
mandated
of LGUs
taxes
the prescrlptlon of umt rates rather than ad valorem rates local taxes other than the RPT made these taxes hlghly (Table
LGUs
portion of thelr income from local for some 20 percent of total LGUs
net transfer
standing of the problems of LGUs is in order First
41
Also
for most melastJc
postponement
of the
general revlslon of the schedule of fair market value of real propertles meant that untd 1987 the real property tax was lewed on grossly outdated
(1981/1982)
property
values
9 The results
of Tan
confirm findings from key informant lnterv-lews (Manasan that the ratlo of the _rue market value to the falr market the assessor The
Code
s schedule
vanes
also reduced
the
for tax purposes and exempted value below P175 000 Thus must be adjusted thelr true market
from 3 to 5 (Table assessment
levels
(1993) 1992a) value m
17) 10 on real property
remdentml buildings wlth fair market the schedule of fair market values
upwards to levels that more closely apprommate values to counteract the negative impact of these
changes on potentlal RPT revenues of fair market values should not
Where possible fall lower than
LGUs schedule the zonal values
9 Pres_dentlal Decree 464 (Real Property Tax Code of 1974) mandated that the schedule of fau"market values should be rewsed every three years In 1980 such a rew_aon was implemented However the revlslon scheduled for 1983 was contmu ously delayed t.fll 1987 Under the Local Government Code of 1991 a new schedule is supposed to be put m place not latcr than 1994 10 The Local Government Code of 1991 transferred the authority and respons_blhty to update and unplement the schedule of fair market values to IX]Us
42
ROSARIOG MANASAN Table 16 Assessors Market Valuation and Advertised Market Prices for Selected Prices of Property 1992 Assessors_ Market
Actual Market
Assessors_ Valuation
Value
Value
MarketPrice
(PIm2)
(PIm2)
(%)
Diliman QuezonCity Commonwealth Avenue
1 800/m2
8 000/m2
22 5
(DonMananoMarcosAve) AyalaHeightsSubdivision La VistaSubdivision XaviervllleSubdlwslon
2 000/m2 800/m2 800/m2
6 000/m2 2 900/m2 7 000/m2
33 3 27 6 114
3 500/m2
15 000/m2
23 3
Buend=aand Gu_ngua PasayRoad(commercialproperties
8 500/m2
41 000/m2
20 7
from EDSAto PasongTamo) PasongTamo(VJtoCruzto J P
2 800/m2
9 300/m2
30 1
RizalSt ) MakabAvenue(commercial
4 000/m2
3 8000/m2
10 5
Makati Forbes Park(residentalproperties boundedby EDSA Aim McKinley Pih Tamannd
resident=al propertiesfrom Gen Luna St to J P RizalSt) MakatiAvenue(commerc=al propertiesfrom PasayRoad to JupiterSt ) San MiguelVtllage
Agriculturalland Laguna Coconutland Fishpond
10500/m2
3 000/m2
6 4000/m2
50 000/m2
16 4
60
Assessors
Actual
Assessors
Market
Market
Valuation
Value
Value
MarketPrice
(PIm2)
(PIm22)
(%)
P18/m2 P120/m2
P50/m2 P421/m2
36 28 5
Source E A Tan RealProperty Taxation andItsPotential AsaMajor Source ofLocal Revenue =nPoverty Growth andtheF#scal Crtsss byDeDiosetal 1993
BREAKING AWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND
Table17 Buoyancyof Revenuesof LocalGovernments19801990 (In percent) Revenue Sources TotalRevenues I Localsources A Taxrevenues 1 Realproperty taxes 2 Taxesongoodsandservices Business taxes Occupation tax Franchise tax F=nes andpenalt=es MKscellaneous 3 Othertaxes Residence tax Amusements Sandandgravel Others B Operating andmiscellaneous revenue 1 Government services 2 Government business operattons Rentals Pubhcutlhtles Market Slaughterhouse Tollsonroadsandbndges Cemetenes Otherbusiness operations 3 Interest 4 Others Totaloperatingandserviceincome 5 Incomefrompublicenterprise orinvestments 6 Msscellaneous =ncome ContnbutJons Others C Capitalrevenue Salesofassets II External sources 1 Shares fromnat=onal taxes 2 Grantsandaids 3 Inteflocal government transfers 4 Borrowings
Buoyancy* 0 87 078 067 072 0 24 1 15 109 0 83 0 51 070 024 1 22 099 107 062 0 71 100 0 59 091 127 201 044 089 0 91 107 0 10 140 241 095 0 91 1 33 048 0 84
Buoyancy isdefined astheratJo ofthepercentage changeintaxrevenue to thepercentage change fn aggregate =ncorne GNP
ROSARIO G MANASAN estabhshed by the BIR for purposes and the estates taxes Meanwhile actlvlt:es and
the LGC perm:ts LGUs sectors that were formerly
taxatlon
Moreover
at whlch
most
revenue _mpose
the
Code razsed
local taxes
tlons the scope of taxes remains Second
of determining
the capztal
to :mpose taxes on some outslde the amblt of local
the mammum
can be zmposed
allowable
Desp:te
these
of LGUs authority to levy business and severely clrcumscr:bed and hmlted
local officlals
faded to maxlmlze
ra:smg powers (NTRC the mammum allowable
Property
Tax Codes
nominal
umt rates
and
chose
1981 rates
tax yields by mflat:on techmcal and poht:cal
In th:s expertlse
the use
rates
modzflca other
of thelr
types hmlted
1992) Many LGUs d:d not under the old Local and Real
to maintain
over the years
gains
desplte
thelr
taxes
the clear
at the same
eromon
of their
respect LGUs must acqulre the m setting local tax rates at levels
that are hlgh enough to maxlm_ze local revenues and low enough as not to dlscourage businesses from locating m thelr junsdlctlon Third the admmlstrat_on of local taxes has been mefficlent the
aggregate
property
tax
LGUs revenues
collect
less
(Table
18)
efficlency m collecting other types than that of RPT whose collect_on Poor LGU tax systems
and
admmlstratlon
procedures
that
than
60 percent
Whde
of potentml
no est:mates
ernst
so In real
of the
of local taxes they may be lower Is better orgamzed can be traced
currently
govern
to the
inadequate
assessment
Table 18 Collectmn Rate for BasmcReal Property Tax (In percent) Year
CollecbonRate
1983
58 61
1984
54 24
1985
46 85
1986
51 37
1987
52 82
1988
5430
1989
6815
1990
57 74
collec
BREAKINGAWAYFROM THE FISCAL BIND tlon
and
enforcement
The
45
Associates
(ARD 1992) noted that the required only need to be practiced conmstently I) estabhshmg (conducting bank
a tax roll for each a tax census
are key steps
m Research
improvements are rumple they These improvements include type
and developing
in thls regard)
Development
that
the
LGU admmlsters
an integrated
2) using
revenue
mdlcators
data
of presumptave
income prudently to arrlveat the _true gross recelptsof business estabhshments (thisinvolvesthe use of standard ratiosthat relate the amount of income with given levelsof easilyvcrlfiable expendi ture varlableshke utlhttes{electnclty/water) consumption
rental
number of employees and the hke) 3) sending tax billson a regular basis 4) consclentlouslymonitoring tax payments
and identifylng
and collecting tax dehnquencles and 51strictly implementlng sanc tions and penaltles (hke auctlonlng dehnquent
real propertles
closing business estabhshments imposing penaltles and sur charges at rates that are high enough to hurt}on erringtaxpayers Computerization ofrevenue operationsand greateraccess to mfor matlon maintained by other government agcncles (hke the BIR Regmter of Deeds) would alsohlghlyreinforcethe posmve effectsof the abovementloncd improvements on LGU finances With regards to the real property tax however
the biggest opportunity for Im
proving collection hes m proper records management Exploring User charges refer sector beneficiaries associated make
with those
to fees that of publicly
large
households
producing
the Potentml
private
and
firms
servlces
of User Charges
the government provlded goods benefit pay
Unhke
exacts from prlvate or servlces that are taxes
user
charges
part
of the
cost
for at least
they consume
As such
it has often
argued by many economlsts that user charges increase whde they raise revenues at the same tlme By collecting on the use of a pubhcly discourages funding
wasteful
the prowslon
the government wlth tax financing
produced
good or servlce
consumption of these
to avoid
goods
of such through
the deadweight
losses
user that
been
efficlency a charge
the government
good/s_rvlce charges
of
Moreover enables
are associated
415
ROSARIO G MANASAN Some
analysts
have
argued
that
since
user
charges
are
lewed
by the government on a quzd pro quo basis they effectively hmlt the access of the poor to needed government sermces However others have
shown
2here
are
that
thls
many
crltlclsm
subsldlzed
dlsproportlonately
benefit
University
of the
Phlhppmes
socialized
prlctng
government some
the better
scheme
can promote
relief
is misplaced
prior is one
off
Tertlary
out that
in LDCs education
example
as well
They
that at the
implementation
and efflclency
constraints
point
services
to the such
its equity
from Its fiscal
They
(government}
of the argue
objectlves
that
and find
by charging
all users
of the government service cost based fees and by surnultaneously installing well targeted programs to deliver the needed subsldles to the poor
In the case of university
of selective
education
thls may take the form
scholarshlps
The revenue potential plolted m the Phlhpplnes total national 15 3 percent
of user charges has Thus the contribution
government revenues in 1976 to 5 8 percent
not been fully ex of user charges to
continuously declined from m 1992 Measured relative to
GNP user charges were halved m the last 17 years from 2 2 percent to one percent This resulted largely from the government s failure to automatically adjust user producing the goods/servlces Some specific
examples
charges
of user
to reflect
charges
changes
in cost
m the Philippine
of
context
are presented below The subsequent section describes the possl bfllty of raising revenues from cost sharing or cost recovery through user charges m government hospitals The discussion tlal of user charges m LGU public enterprises follows Many charges
other The
charges sources
to capture is another
User charges Over
possibilities road
60
hospital Because
user
exist for the more tax
the economlc (Box 3)
in government
percent services hospltals
is one
of natlonal which
from
The exploltmg
use of user use
of forest
natural
re
hospltals government
are under
provide
effective
possibility
rent
on the poten
health
s health
the Department care
with
large
outlays of Health private
go to (DOH) beneflts
BREAKINGAWAYFROM THE FISCALBIND
47
BOX 3 Prtcmg Access to Forest Lands Phthppmeforestlandsareclass=fied as partofthe publicdomain hence they are not alienablenordisposablefor pnvateownership Accessto such land and the resourcesthereto such as the t_mber and nonttmber re sourcesminerals floraand fauna have beengrantedmthe formof licenses and permttsforresourceextract=onThe privilegeto harvesttimberproducts from naturalforestshasbeen grantedthroughhcensesof 25 year duration renewableonlyonce with the attendantItcenseapphcationfees and forest chargeson logsand the usualtaxes on processedwood products Various studtespomtedout however that stncethe Phlhppineforest charge systemdidnot reflect suchvalues tt led to the followmgeffects 1) wastefulprocessingand consumptionofwood basedproducts(delosAnge les 1993) 2) htgheconom=crent and rent seekingactiwties(Paderanga et a/ 1983) 3) and a btas for capttal_ntensiveloggingtechniques (delos Angeleset a 1993) Two mechan=sms were developedto =mprovepnc=ngof accesstotimber resources The firstfocusedon the longrecommendedstumpagevaluat=on system(e g Revtllaeta/ 1977 Cerna 1975) uponwhich to basea system of btddmghmberharvesttngrights The Natural ResourcesDevelopment Corporatton(NRDC) pdotedin the late 1980s which recommendeda mm_ mum bid price of 25 percentof the log price to _mplementm a T_mber ProductionShanng Agreement(TPSA) However followthroughacttwttes to thiseffortwas minimaldue to problemsassoctatedwiththe NRDC whtch was taskedwith the responsJbdlty of operationahzingthe TPSA The other attempt focused on developingan _mprovedsystem upon whichto base revisionsof forestcharges Studsesconductedto explorethe =mphcat=on of thesystemofforestchargesandtaxesapphedontheforest basedindustries indicatethe need for increasingforest charges(delosAngeles 1980 Saas tamomen1990 and Baut=sta1992) Alltheseindicatethe needsforadjusting forestchargesto enable governmentappropriat=on of economicrent PartA of Table C illustratesthe pre adjustmentlevelsof economicrent for both old growth and secondaryforest loggingfor extreme cases of inefficientand efficientfirms For old growthioggmg the low forest charge of P30 per cubtcmeter allowedeconomtcrentseven for inefficientfirms at 18 percentof total costs Upwardadjustmentsof forest chargeswell thus hkelyreduceinefficiency(causeshut downfornon viableoperattons)aswell as lowerthe size of the loggingsector The residualforest case mdtcatedin Part B lower loggingcosts on accountof lower infrastructurecostspertainingonlyto road and buddmg maintenance(versusroadconstructionfor old growthoperations) The high
48
ROSARIO G MANASAN
economic rent levels are indicative of the rewards that sustainable logging practitioners could have expected from the second growth forest assuming no total log ban is imposed Part C of the table shows the current situation under full _mplementatlon of RA 7161 which increase forest charges from P30 per cubic meter to 25 percent of the local log f o b price Under current log pnces Part C indicates that Ioggings even with the old capital intens_ve techniques under hgher forest charges is still wable Thus for as long as selective logging is allowed under conservation onented practices h_gher forest charges are expected to generate revenues for the government The current sh_ft_nuser groups from large scale logging to small scale communtty based logging in fact allows for h_gher econonlc rents from logging Part D of the same table indicates lower production costs with the use of less capital intensive logging log hauhng and transport technologies which are more appropriate for smaller s_zed logs The potential economic rents are h_gher as _nd_catedin Part C Assuming that these techniques are also less soil erosive then the shift from larÂŁa scale capital intensive logging toward community based labor intensive logging is favorable from the perspectives of equity efficiency and conservation The rewsion of the forest charge system through Republic Act 7161 passed in 1991 providing for a level that is 25 percent of the site specific f o b log price (ex forest pnce) is not yet fully implemented Pending ongoing studies on the system for determining local log prices an interim mechanism of basmg the forest charge on logging cost was developed A study by Bautlsta shows that this results in lower government appropriation of economic rent from logging and wood processing actJwties compared to DENR s administratively imposed Enwronmental Fee temporanly appSed in the previous year Moreover the system currently disregards the off site externaht_es of using upland areas Nevertheless the interim system results _n higher tax rates on the industries concerned compared to histoncal rates and represents upward adjustments of user charges for scarce t_mber resources With the current shift in forest cover from old growth to managed secondary forests and of user groups from large scale to small scale an _mproved .,ystem of charging the right price for exclusive access to a specific forest ecosystem and the resources therein has yet to be developed Such a system should have the following charactenstlcs (1) it must be based on the expected flow of products both timber and non timber and serwces from the land management unit through a perpetual period of t_me instead of being primarily timber resourse based and (2) it should allow for off site externahtles penalize erosive pratlces and reward environmentally sound practices sour e delosAngelesM S PricingEnv onmentalResourcesTheCaseof Foestry Water andAhrResources 1993
Table C Simulated Profitabd,ty Across Firm and Forestry Types 1987 1993 (In current pnces) A Old GrowthForest
B ResidualForest 1987
C ResidualForest 1993
D ResidualForest 1993
1987(capttalmtensive
(capitalintensive
(capitalintensive
(labor intens_e
logging)
logging)
logging)
Ioggmg)
Inefficient Firm
Efficient Ineffictent Firm Firm
Efficient Inefficient Firm Ftrm
Efficient Inefficient Firm Firm
<_
Efficient Ftrm
-% c_ > L-_
a b c
Roundwoodprice Produc_oncost Retumon_nvestment
2 932 1 341 1 319
2 932 80l 1 319
2 932 939 423
2 932 523 235
4 000 1 663 749
4 00O 927 417
4 000 1 331 599
4 000 741 334
d e
% pnce Forestcharges Excessprofit
45% 30 2416
45째/ 30 781 6
45% 30 1 540 45
45 / 30 2 143 65
45 / 1 000 588
45 / 1 000 1 657
45% 1 000 1 070
45% 1 000 1 925
(economicrent) percentof costs
18/o
98/o
164째/
410%
35/o
t79%
80째/
260%
Notes
a
._ u
Ex forestpace actual
b 1987costfor averagefirm=sbasedon artaverageof variousestimates(delosAngeh_s1989) me retat_ve costsforeffic4entfirmswereestimatedusLngMoncayos case stud,s 1993f_juresfor K trttens_ve Ioggtngts basedon 10 percentgrowthrate peryearof 1987cost of averagefirm labor_nlens=ve togg_ =sassumedto be 20 percent_eaber tf_anK _ntenslvelogging c ArLestimate assumedto be price based d As prowd,ed bylaw a fiatrate of P30per cubtcrneterwas In effecttn 1987 RA 7161providesfor a 25 percentof ex forestprtceeffective1991
t
SO
ROSARIOG MANASAN
and
possess
the
implementing
administrative
cost sharing
and
control
mechanisms
systems
necessary
the charging
for
of fees for the
services they promde represents a natural supplement if not an alternative to the regular budgetary allocations financed by tax revenues
that
A study
now support
(SGV Consulting
faclhtles
in Region
average
only five percent
1987 uted
their
1989 were
1991) showed
3 exhibit
by user
seeking
pricing income
and costing remittance
behavior
administrators The
of cost 19) (1 e
market)
and
On
the
hospitals
m
The study
attrib
the overall
area of government
of the
DOH hospital
recovery
m these
fees (Table
to both external
m the catchment
health
that most
low levels
of the expenditures
covered
thls poor performance
development
operations
hospitals
internal
level of and the
factors
practices for government hospital pohcy and the culture/orientation
(1 e
servmes the of hospital
and personnel)
study
pointed
system to steer in the tendency
out that
the mablhty
of the current
patients to the appropriate of patients to seek all types
DOH hospital
network
even if what
referral
health facdlty resulted of health care from the
they need
could
adequately
be
promded by lower level faclhtles Thls tendency is exacerbated the underpriced services of DOH facilities In turn this has creased
hospital
operating
full cost recovery dehvery
system
At the same time
the service
for all DOH hospitals
difficult
lower level facflltles
Also DOH gmdehnes and do not take
paying ability of different catchment costs across hospitals The study personnel
At the same
to attam
m the DOH
are themselves time
restrlctmns
resistant
recovery
level is qmte high m situations
to retain
the income
collected Fund
hmlt the user fees
uniform
the varying productmn some DOH
of income
gener
incentive to hospital In contrast the cost
where
from the user
m the Sapang
are the
to the idea of charging
on the retention
DOH hospitals severely to charge and collect
Drugs
prescribe
into account
areas and different further found that
ated by personnel
the Revolving
it more
the study noted that prices of hospital services on outdated gmdehnes that do not truly reflect
cost of providing
hospital
making
are underutfllzed
Moreover usually based rates
costs
by in
hospitals charge
Palay
are allowed An example
Hospital
is
(Table 20)
BREAKING AWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND
51
Table19 Cost RecoveryLevels Incomeand Expenditures 19871989 Region3 (Inthousandpesos) TypeofHospltal
t987
1988
1989
8 115050
7 29230
7 18990
2437330 4 72
6 10210 4 79
5 80170 327
29
28
24
3 73980
4 68620
9 62330
Expenditures income/expenditures (%) TertCary Number Income
9263830 4 04
14006020 3 35
12712250 7 57
5 4 92950
7 4 80740
6 4 87580
Expenditures Income/expenditures (%) AllLevels Number Income
11051400 4 46
11069420 4 34
9410400 5 18
42 9 81980
42 9 78590
37 1468900
22752560
25685650
22702820
4 32
381
6 47
Primary Number Income Expenditures Income/expenditures (%) Secondary Number Income
Expenditures Incomelexpendltures (%) Source
AStudyonUserFeesandCost$hanng/Recove_/in DOHHospitals(FinalReport) Department of HealthOctober 1991
52
ROSARIO G MANASAN Table 20 Sapang Palay District Hospital Level of Cost Recovery from the Revolving Drugs Fund 1989 1990
Totalcost ofdrugsand medicinespurchased
1989
1990
792 498
936 961
8 494
37 027
784 004
899 934
98 9
96 1
Totalvalueof drugsand medtcmesreimbursedfromthe mafntenanceand otheroperatingexpenses (MOOEs)budget Totalestimatedrevenuesgenerated Costrecoverylevel(in percent) Source
A Study onUserFeesandCostShanng/Recovery inDOHHospitals (F,nal Report) Department of HealthOctober 1991
Fortunately as part
with the transfer
of the devolution
restrictions
on income
program
retention
set up will substantially government ever
hospitals
LGU officials
of most mandated
no longer
improve
m cost
based
rate
setting
for cost recovery
that generate
drugs
medicines
should
vary
catchment flexlblhty rates
and
SGV Consulting
higher
prwate
medical
and
to use their m_t_atwe
level of cost recovery
and
3) hospital
as well as cost containment
(versus
supphes
wxth demographic area
operatwe
setting should social)
efforts
suggests
for govern be targeted benefits
non to attain
e g
recovery
characteristics
admxnlstratlon
to implement
of setting
s study
2) _ost
Income
in
how
to the costs of service with technical assls
that the following principles should guide rate ment hospitals 1) h_gher levels of cost recovery for services
the devolved
to the advantages
user charges at levels that are closely hrtked dehvery Moreover LGUs should be prowded tance
Thus
to become
to be sensitized
to LGUs
by the LGC of 1991
apply
the incentives
For thin incentive
have
DOH hospitals
should
levels of the
have
the
cost or cost
based
an overall
target
BREAKINGAWAYFROM THE FISCAL BIND User charges Like most
in LGUs
LGUs
cities
faclhtles
hke
services
waterworks
passenger
operate
markets
of city pubhc
quately
In the earned
In principle
pubhc
(MOE) in 1988 only earned
markets
slaughterhouses
and
include
the outlays
to them by other state of a number
costs
enterprises
(Table
governments
lngs with an operating this figure was found
these
as a group
P0 33 for every peso spent
dltures
and
sanitary
facilities
and road
enterprises
enterprises
and malntenance
aggregate
enterprise
do not
of these
run
Pubhc
utflltles
P0 20 per peso spent appeared
Consult that the cover
and
ade
fac111tles
operating
expen
operated
by city
in MOE
While pubhc
to be profitable
undertak
income to operating expense ratlo to be misleading The cost figure
on securlty
and
by clty governments
on maintenance
21)
are
Planning
International Inc (PADCO)/ (PHILNOR) (1992) estabhshed enterprises
the operation
waste
telephone
for profit hke business
Development Collaborative ants and Planners Inc
of pubhc
sohd
facd,t,es
fac_htles
primarily
earnings
a good number
slaughterhouses power
transport
operated
S3
engmeenng
of 1 84 dld not
servlces
provlded
city government offices Moreover the dllapldated of these facfl,tles mdlcate that actual MOE levels
are sub optimal The study level Imphclt 231 (whlch restricted faclhtles
traced
the roots
m the pricing has
been
of
repealed
that
deters
to the high enterprises
subsldy While
by the new Local Government
them
The Local Government on the
levels
serrate
The experience
households
LGUs
in other
are more wdhng benefits
this perspectlve
pubhc enterprise harnessed
from adopting
cost based
Code of 1991 effectlvely
of fees that
corresponding
Given
pubhc
run
PD
Code)
the rates LGUs can charge for the services of some of these the problem partly comes from the pohttcal orlentatlon of
local officlals
the
of this problem city
may
charge
countries
to pay user from the
performance
removes
for pubhc
lnd_eates charges
former
one sees the great
the hmlt enterprise
that
than
are easily
potential
on revenue
pricing
firms
taxes
identifiable
oflmproved
generation
and
because LGU
if properly
Table 21 Prof,tabm|=ty Compar,son Between Cm_ Government Operated PublmcEnterpr,ses and Comparable Pr,vate Sector Run Fac,htmes1988 (Values mnthousand pesos) Pnvate CI_ Govt
Operating
Profrt
(3) = (1)/(2)
Income
Expenses
(6) = (4)/(5)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
791 221
0 20
t0 272 099
7 475 623
1 37
182063
74 312
2 45
51 828
31 584
1 64
Telephonefaclbtles
6 907 182
4 935 791
1 40
Roadpassengertransport
3131 026
2 433 936
1 29
PublicUtlbbes
Operating
Income
Expenses
(1) 157647
Sector Operating
ServJcerrype
Operating
Profit
Sobdwasteand sanl_ry se_l_S Waterworkselectnclty/bght/power
Marketand slaugh_rhouse Cemeteries
146880 1 547
79 904 1 130
1 84 1 37
1 262 396 277460
684 018 177 166
1 85 1 57
Otherbusinessoperations
13670
85 871
0 16
349 218
233 196
1 50
319 744
958 126
0 33
22 433 245
16 045 626
1 40
Total
Note Other per_n_ge _,'(_aremduded =nth__alys__use t_ VATmp_ced some ofth_ _y,_
I_
>_
3 Improving Allocation
the
of Pubhc
Spending
In recent years maintenance and other operatJng expenditures (MOOE) and capltal outlays dramaUcally fell Whlle the government undertook
thin reductlon
the economy capltal
cannot
spending
financial
to achleve
afford
to continue
fiscal stabdlty such
an unabated
iflt is to grow m a sustained
posltlon
the
government
must
m the short
fashlon also
run
decline
m
Given its dlre
increasingly
seek
a
blgger value out of each peso it spends Thus It Is now nnperatlve for the government to rewew its spending prlor1_es To do thin the government
has to reconmder
that of the private economic
sector
development
_ts approprmte
glven Also
changing
role and scope ws a ws technologies
the government
has
and
to reassess
level of how
Itshmlted resources can be spent most efficlently and effectively in areas where government part_ctpatlon zs needed Trends Aggregate National panded
national government mgmficanfly
and Patterns
government
expendstures
expenditures m the 1986
on an obhgatlons 1992 period
barns
11 ex
nsmg to 22 3 percent
11 Government obhgatlon expenchture data are based on accrual accounting as such cxpenchtures are reckoned according to the tnne contractual obhgalnons are made In contrast government cash expenchture data are based on cash accounting whereto encpenchturesare reckoned relauve to the ttmc actual d_sbursemcnts forboth
56
ROSARIOG MANASAN
of GNP compared 2)
This
wlth an average
came
about
as
of 16 9 percent
aggregate
natlonal
exhlblted robust growth not only m nominal While total national government expenditures m real terms
m 1975
percent
m 1986
sharply
m 1986
These
1985
1992
National
1987
figures
budget
accounted
m 1975
m 1986 1986
1992
almost
Consequently of the nataonal net of debt capita (Fig
has
times
1992 Current
the
rose
came
1985
of the While
government of the budget
to 9 4 percent
of GNP m
level of 3 2 percent
from
5 3 percent
extent s capacity
to 4 2 percent
government
s current
pendltures
in the last
slx years
the
needed
outlays
in current capital
of GNP (Table
has serv
showed
m 1986
expendltures of GNP in 1975
outlays
contracted
22)
decomposition
followed
pnces
burden
much
11 6 percent
while
m 1985
debt
government
from
Further expenditures
service
per
expenditures
growth
1992
Moreover
level of P2 031 m 1981
to provide
government
expanded in 1986
1983
to which
in total national
expendztures
since
net of debt
from the rapid
expenditures to 18 percent
depressed
of national
increase
1985
Current
of the growth
of the national
well below its peak
mdicates
categories
largely
indicators
its 1975
expenditures
hampered the government ices to the people
The marked
1990
service
been
at P1 720 m 1992
Economic
increased
despite the substantial growth m the overall outlays government total national government expenditures
servace
3) Thls
of 10 1
dunng the period Thls is because service m the government budget
debt three
government
stood
average
this item ate up 40 8 percent
Thus
outlays
expenflltures
are mlsleadmg
for 18 9 percent
1985
1992
and
1985 (Fig
but also m real terms grew by one percent
by an annual
government
1989
however
and slze of the government explosive growth of debt debt service
It surged
m 1975 government
that
the rapid
of the
natlonal
the increased growth
ex
in three
current and prior years obhgattons are made Under the Modified Disbursement System the Department of Budget and Management first releases the Advise of Allotment (AA)which gives government agencies the authority to recur obhgataons or enter contracts Then it releases the corresponding Notice of Cash Allocatlon (NCA) which specifies the maximum amount of wlthdrawal an agency can make from a government servlcmg bank
26
F,gure 2 Nat,onal Government Expend,tures as a Percentage of GNP 1975 1992
I_
24
N
20
_ N
e n
18
_ N
t
16
p e cr
14 12 10 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980
1981 1982 1983
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989
v A
Total Expend¢tures
Total Net of Debt Servce
1990 1991 1992
== F,gure 3 Per Cap,ta Nabonal Government
Expend,tures
,n 1985 Pnces
1975 1992
3000 2800 2600
I 2400 n 2200
_ooo -
_/_
o 1800 s 1600 1400 1200
_)
1000
! 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
=
TotalExpendf(ures
째
TotalNetof Debt$e_ce
i
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHE FISCALBIND items
interest
t.tons
and
payments
current
expenditures
59
transfers
on personal
to government
sermces
corpora
Interest
payments
soared to 6 3 percent of GNP in 1985 1992 compared wlth an average of I 3 percent in 1975 1985 Personal sermees expenditure rose from four percent government 1985
corporations
to 0 3 percent
Interest even
pluses 1985
1992
of 0 1 percent
meet
s access
larger
would
of GNP in 1983
volumes
1980s
partly
1985
1) the national
under
of
sur
and 3 2 percent
of finance
s mopping
IMF Program
debt
issue
the national increasingly
tnggenng
reglstered
in
payments
government
sources
the
of domestic
reqmred to finance time the government
have
rise m the interest
the government
targets
that they the period
assumed
of government corporations and financial interest rates were rising and 3) the
to the foreign
On top of this hqmdity
during
out of the overall defimt
country
1992 (Table 23) The phenomenal
the guaranteed Imblhties mstltutions 2) domestic
to
of GNP in 1975
deficit
were netted the
may be traced to three factors
]shed
0 2 percent
transfers
(Table 22)
government
payments
government
government
Current
were so huge in the last seven years
the national
if interest
the national
of GNP
grew from
in 1986
payments
surpassed
Thus
to 5 6 percent
also
dnnln
up operation demanded
compared
vnth
to
much what
is
government defimt At the same relied on domestic debt in the late
the higher
interest
rates
during
the period
The government had to offer higher rates to make the larger volume of Its T bills more attractlve The government also followed a high interest
rate policy to keep the forelgn
upward
adjustments
m sermcing
exchange
its forelgn
rate down
habihties
to avmd
Thin led to an
explomve situation where the large stock of domeshc debt led to an ever increasing domestic debt sermce burden further exacerbating the fiscal defimt that had to be financed (Boxes
borrowing
4 and 5)
The salary adjustments ing the Aquino
granted
admmmtration
crease In national government These included the I0 percent July
by more domestic
1985
positions
the and
five percent the
30
percent
to government
partly
explmned
employees the dramatic
dur in
expenditures on personal sermces across the board salary increase in salary
increase
salary
increase
for career
executive
for rank and
file
Table 22 Nabonal Government Expend,tures by Econom,c Ciass,ficabon on an Obhgatlon Basis as a Percentage of GNP 1975 1992
19751985
19751982
1983 1985
1986 1992
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1690
1674
1709
2264
1920
23 I0
2105
2180
2377
2324
2395
t157 408
1087 435
1234 377
1844 5 56
1298 478
1896 469
1814 548
1864 569
2001 5 97
1885 5 49
1901 602
B Ma=ntenance andotheroperabng expend_tu[es 749
652
8 57
1288
8 20
1427
1266
1295
4 04
1335
1300
Tota_
I Current operating expend=tures A Personal services a Interests
130
092
172
6 27
362
1043
5 77
603
6 61
594
587
b Transfers
1 20
1 42
097
137
10
0 88
10k
120
153
140
19Z
1 tok:_algovernment
067
087
067
0 65
061
0 28
058
041
0 5t
055
125
2 toall9ovemment corporations
019
024
013
033
022
029
039
029
063
026
001
000
0 01
_ to nonfinancial government c_rporatJons 0 t8 3 toothers 035
0 24 05t
0 12 0 17
040
043
0 39
0 19
040
0 73
022
041
Š
073 346
34_ 240
268 256
108 246
000 296
320 264
304 268
327 263
361 241
284 237
,_ _>
tofinancral government corp0raUons
c Loanrepayment ands,nk,ng fundcontob d OtherMOE
204 296
,_
_0 Table 22 (continued) 1975-
19"/5-
1983-
1986-
19_,
1982
1965
1992
1986
t987
1_
1989
t990
1991
t992
5 34
587
4 75
420
622
415
291
317
375
4 39
4g4
A Landland_mprovements ands_ctureoutlays 161
212
B Budd_sandskuctures C Eqmpment
061 028
077 027
103
154
0 51
112
094
1 17
175
190
230
042 029
082 0 34
100 010
056 018
055 0 35
069 0 38
099 023
100 040
081 0 51
D 7nvestment outlay
227
237
215
064
209
070
030
061
052
040
051
018
000
0002
0002
023
024
025
031
<> II Cap_al outlay
a tolocalgovernment b toallgovernment corporabons 218 1 tofinancml government ¢orporabons1 17
232 0 86
202 151
043
206
069
027
030
027
014
019
2 tonon-financial govtcoq_oratmns 101 c toothers 00g
146 005
051 013
028 002
206 003
069 001
027 003
008
001
001
001
058
033
085
086
253
158
077
032
027
070
080
002
0003
003
003
00t
002
002
001
053
028
080
061
253
t14
062
017
020
064
011
1 tofinanaalgovernrnentcorpoxatmns 064
001
007
2 tonon-Jinanc_al gov'Lcorpoxabons0 48
0 27
0 72
034
Z53
114
005
005
023
0003
042
012
013
005
004
069
E Loar_ o_y a tolocalgovernment b toallgovernment coq)orabons
c.toofhem Source ofbasedata
005
_0
Deparl_ent ofBudget andManagemenL ot k,=
b_
Table 23 National Government Deficits 1975 1992 (In mdhon pesos)
19751985
1975t982
19831985
19861992
Overallsurplus/(deficJt) 67687
39050
28637 170225
Interest payments
43584
13527
Pnmarysulplus/(defiat) 24 103
25523
1986
1987
1988
t989
-31252
16693
23206
30057 384671
21 612
36905
1420 214446
9640
20212
1990
1991
1992
19567 -37194
26348
15965
45865
54714
71 114
74922
79 539
22659
35 147
33920
48574
63 574
% to GNP I _rl
Overallsurplus/(def_t)
2 25
2 46
2 01
2 55
5 24
2 48
2 92
2 14
3 46
2 09
1 17
Interestpayments
1 45
0 85
2 11
5 75
3 62
5 48
5 77
5 99
6 61
5 94
5 81
Primarysuq)lus/(deficd)
080
1 61
O 10
321
1 62
300
285
385
3 15
365
464
Sources ofbasedata Deparbne_ ofBudget andManagema¢ andBureau ofTreasury
I
I
63
BREAKING AWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND
BOX 4 Mopping Up of Excess Liquld,ty The national government s domestm debt started to pick up dunng the Aqutno government By May 1993 domestic debt of the national government stood at P541 5 billion or about P400 bdhon more than the outstanding publfc debt at the end of 1986 the first year of the Aqutno government (Table D) A factor behind this spiralling public debt _s the mopping up of excess liquidity Liquidity in the system increases if net foreign assets of the Central Bank (CB) improves
among other things
If a ceiling on hquldlty is imposed then
the increase in net foreign assets has to be offset by reducing net domestic asset This process Is commonly called the balance of payments (BOP) sterilization Balance of payments (BOP) sterilization is easily explained using the balance sheet of the CB In the balance sheet of the CB reserve money (RM) falls under the hablhtles column The assets column has two major items net foreign assets (NFA) and net domestic assets (NDA) In turn the NFA comprises two items international reserves (positive) and foreign habthttes (negative) The NDA includes a major item net domestic credit (NDC) to national government (r e the CB s lending to the national govern ment [NG] less NG s savings in CB) Expressed In an equation form we have RM = NFA + NDA Thus Jfa cethng on RM Is imposed then an increase JnNFA ts stenhzed by decreasing NDA NDA can be reduced if the NG increases its savings _n the CB Except for 1990 BOP registered annual surpluses since 1986 These surpluses Improved the NFA From a deficit of P133 bllhon Jn 1986 the NFA deficit declined to P108 2 billion in 1989 The BOP stenhzatlon in the Aqumo government
took the form of a
dechne of CB net credit to NG CB net credit to NG dropped from +P42 3 billion in 1986 to P29 5 bJlhon in 1989 TNs decline arose from the surge in NG deposit in the CB from just P16 4 Nlhon _n 1986 to almost P70 bdhon m 1989 NG savings m the CB came from the increased issuances of Treasury NIIs (T bills) for open market operations In 1986 total outstanding T bills reached P55 4 bdhon In 1989 tNs rose to P172 5 billion or an increase of P117 btlhon in three years This
operation
drastically reduced
the growth
of reserve money
64
ROSARIO G MANASAN
Tfe
ry Bill (I b il
O tst.= dl g p )
50O 450 4OO 350 300 250 2OO 150 100 5O O 1986
1987
1988
1989
RM grew at 31 7 percent m 1986
1990
1991
1992
1993
In 1987 the growth declined to 15 5
percent In 1988 RM growth settled at 16 5 percent In 1989 however RM growth surged back to 38 percent The increase can be attributed to the wage standardization of government employees among other things In 1999 a foreign exchange crisis took place BOP registered a deficit of US$185 million Thus NFA in 1990 swelled backto P140 5 btlhon As a result BOP stenllzatton efforts stayed "tt rain=mum levels In fact NG deposit in the CB dechned by P2 3 btllion BOP sterilization operation resumed in 1991 and 1992 (or even _n the first half of 1993) as shown in the data The BOP surpluses led to an upsurge in NG deposits in the CB which amounted to P137 8 bdhon in 1992 In terms of NG cash balances in the CB the level stood a lot higher P150 billion m 1992 As a result the growth In RM was pulled back to 12 percent in 1992 The mopping up operation increased the stock of domestic debt of the national government In 1991 domestic debt grew to P340 8 billion or an increase of P87 billion relative to the outstanding debt for 1990 In 1992 T bdls outstanding stood at P441 1 bllhon or an increase of P169 6B relative to the 1991 level As of May 1993 domestic debt outstanding stood at P541 5 bllhon and T bills at P482 2 bdhon The above analysis showed that the price that the economy had to pay for trlmm=ng down the growth =n reserve money _sdomestic debt accumula tion Generally thts is not sustamable because a nslng stock of debt makes it harder to sustain macroeconomlc balances since debt servicing introduces an additional burden
This is especially true for countries with large debt
stock to begin with hke the Philippines Therefore, adjustment via additional debt is usually not viable in the long run source
caesarCororaton PublicSectorDefiet andDomesticDebtHeavyBurdenof Phf ppneEconomicGrowth 1993
Table D Domesttc Debt of the Natmnal Government and Central Bank Balance Sheet
Domesbcpublicdebt(PB)
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
I992
1993
1444
161 2
207 2
237 2
253 8
340 $
NA
541 5
T btNsoutstandng(PB)
554
1059
1426
1725
1926
2135
441 1
4822
Reservemoney(EOY PB)
50 0
57 7
67 3
92 9
1087
1294
1448
NA
31 7 t33 3
15 5 132 3
16 5 1216
38 0 1082
17 1 1405
19 0 68 5
12 0 38 2
NA NA
(growth/) CB netforeignassets(EOY PB) Balanceof payments($M)
1242
264
516
447
185
1065
498
NA
CB netdomest_cassets(EOY PB)
1843
190 0
1889
20t 1
249 3
197 9
1067
NA
CB nelcred_tto NG(EOY P8)
423
32
173
295
275
432
1095
NA
NGdepostts_nCB (EOY PB)
16 4
42 6
58 2
69 6
67 3
75 3
137 8
NA
May1993 PB--tn bllJon pesos EOY-- end-of year It A -- notap_lcable
o
Cash Balances of the Nahonal Government by Locabon 1986 1992 Table E (In mLIlionpesos)
1986
1987
1988a
1989
1990
1991
1992
318
281
270
280
417
319
314
14403
39636
55512
68145
59587
73395
150270
PhlhppmeNationalBank
5496
5848
572I
5370
5377
8002
t6978
PhilippineVeteransBank
1502
1492
1492
1486
1486
1486
1486
LandBankof the Phd_ppmes
4712
2016
1773
1430
I523
2565
3954
DevelopmentBankof the Phtl_ppmes
2617
2361
1721
1530
416
414
4602
Treasuryvautt CentralBankof thePh_hpplnes
Phtltpptne AmanahBank Otherbanks Total
118
127
t43
105
91
91
79
2545
3t07
6179
7647
403I
4803
3969
31711
54868
72811
85993
72928
91075
181652
09
> O
Includes balances ofbank depomt accounts ofna'oonal agenoes under thenewdisbursement scheme So_rce
'_
Bureau ofTreasury Co > 2:
BREAKING AWAY FROM TIIE FISCAT BIND
67
BOX 5 Dynamics of Domestic Debt Box 4 shows that as of May 1993 the domestic debt of the National Government (NG) stood at P541 5 billion (B) NG s domestic debt increased by more than P400 billion since the end of 1986 the first year of the Aquino government It is shown below that at the rate the economy usmoving (i e =eal interest rate asstill structurally way above real economic growth)
the
present domestic debt accumulation behavior cannot be sustained If the present pattern _snot reversed it would be hard to sustain macroeconomic balances conducive to a sustainable economic growth because of heavy debt service burden Let the debt income ratio be 1
(1)
b-- B/(P Y) where B _sthe nominal stock of debt outstanding
P the general price
level and Y level of real output of the economy The debt income ratio changes through time by Ab This change can be derived by differentiating (1)
(2)
Ab = AB/(P Y) - b,(AP/P + AY/Y) = AB/PY - b*(_ + y)
where _ ,s the rate of ,nflat,on y ,s the real growth of the economy The increase ,n debt ,s equal to ,nterest payments which ,s equal to the debt outstand,ng t,mes the ,nterest rate , B less the nonlnterest budget surplus x wh,ch is written as the pnmary budget share t,mes nom,nal output Thus
(3)
AB=I*B-xPY Subst,tute (3) ,nto (2) and rearrange to obtain the follow,ng result
(4)
b--b(r
y) x
where the real rate of ,nterest is (, e 1 SeeDornbusch andFischer(1990) pages6278
r =,
=)
68
ROSARIO G MANASAN
Box 5 (continued) T
ry B
Iis
Outstanding
(t bin p
)
00 4O 400 35O 30O 250 2OO 150 100 5O 0
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
An unsustamable budget deficit pubhc debt problem occurs when (4) is posEtJve ] e debt Is mcreasmg relative to income Thts can happen in two cases Case 1 the debt service (the first term in the right hand side of the equatton) Is btgger than the surpluses in the pnmary balance x Case 2 the pnmary balance (budget deficit net of interest payments) is in the defictt The first case properly describes the Ph[hppme budget deficit pubhc debt ddemma There were surpluses _n the basic acttvttres of the nabonal government but th_'se were not enough to service debt (see Table m this box) The pnmary balance was negative only m 1986 In 1987 up to the present primary balance always remained positive In 1992 pnmary bal ance amounted to P63 3 Nlhon wNle Interest payment was P79 6 bdhon The national government has been borrowing more than the amount required to finance tts deficit For example NG s deficit m 1988 amounted to P23 3 billion The net increase m public debt amounted to P46 bilhon or an excess of P22 7 btlhon in 1989 the excess was another P10 bdhon There was no excess
however
m 1990 But in 1991 the excess soared to P60 7
Nlhon In 1992 the gap between the net increase m T bills outstanding and NG defic=t amounted to P153 3 bflhon Domestic government borrowing _sstill excesstve even when compared to the consohdated pubhc sector deficit (CPSD) especially rn the last two years 1991 and 1992 In 1991 the gap between CPSD and the net tncrease _ndomestic debt stood at P66 7 bdhon In 1992 the gap between CPSD and the net increase in T bills outstanding reached P143 5 b_lhon
BREAKING AWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND
69
Box 5 (continued) Box 4 attnbuted th=s excessive government borrowJng to the mopping up operation which in turn emanated from the tight monetary policy pursued by the government all these years The question anses Is th_s process susta_nableV This process Is h_ghly unstable and explosive because real interest rate _sstructurally way above real economic growth In terms of (4) r real interest rate _salways above y real economic growth It was only _n 1988 when real economic growth marginally exceeded real interest by 0 3 percent Since then the gap has widened In 1992 the gap amounted to 7 1 percent Th(s high degree of unsustamabfl_ty comes from the fact that the gap generates a snowball effect on the debt problem
High interest payments on exlsbng debt add on to the
existing debt level In the first half of 1993 average interest rate on T bLIIsd_pped to about 11 percent
With _nflatlon rate of about 7 percent
real _nterest rate shd to 4
percent The recent drop in interest rate however is just temporary the dechne came mainly from the slack tn the demand for loans because of the ongoing recession If the demand picks up then an upward pressure on interest rate would occur Th_s will therefore put a heavy burden on fiscal finances because of the huge stock of domestic debt and w_ll make healthy macroeconomic
balances very d_fficult to sustain _nthe future (Conhnued next page)
Box5 (continued) 1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
NatJona_ government(in b_thon pesos) Revenue Expendqture Interestpayments Balance Pnmarybalance Consolidatedpublic
793 110 5 21 6 31 2 96
1032 119 9 36 9 16 7 20 2
1128 1361 45 9 23 3 22 6
1524 172 0 54 7 19 6 35 1
1803 216 9 7t 0 36 6 34 4
2208 247 1 75 1 26 3 48 8
2424 2587 79 6 163 63 3
NA NA N4 NA NA
sectordeficit(Jnb_l]lonpesos) / toGNP
29 7 50
15 5 23
29 8 37
3Q1 43
57 8 54
20 3 16
28 1 19
NA NA
Domesticpublicdebl (in bdllonpesos)
1444
161 2
207 2
23/2
253 8
340 8
NA
Increasein publicdebt (Lnbillionpesos) T billsoutstanding(in billionpesos) Increasein T bill outstanding(/_)
55 4
168 105 9 50 5
46 0 142b 36 _
30 0 172 5 29 9
16 6 192 6 20 1
87 0 213 5 20 9
NA 44l 1 227 6
541 5 200 7 482 2 41 1
T bill rates(ave alLmaNntbes)(/) lr_flabonrate(/)
143 08
131 38
157 88
195 122
249 141
226 187
169 89
NA NA
GNPgrowth(/) (T billrate_ (inflationrate)(/) (GNPgrowth) (reaI interestrate)(/o)
41 135 93
5I _3 4 1
7L 70 03
58 73 17
43 108 65
03 39 36
09 80 71
NA NA NA
p_
May1993 Source Caesar Cororaton (1993)Pubflc Sector Deficit andDomestic Debt. Heavy Burden ofPhlhpptne Economic Growth
> rb _<
BREAKINGAWAYFROM THE FISCALBIND
71
employees m selected government agencles m 1987 and the creases under the salary standardlzatlon scheme implemented July
1989
These
adjustments
pace
with
mflaUon
Thus
sermces w_th
expenditure
1 1 percent
expenditure ment ment
may have
1985
sufficlent
m 1986
personal
1992
compared
of personal
sermces
from the rise m the
(DBM) data reveal that the government s personnel rose from one million m 1987 to 1 2 mflhon m 1990
comple
government
corporatlons
despite
some
ment
The Department
subsldles
(GOCCs)
improvement
corporatlons
of Budget
number Manage
trolled
to government
meanwhile
(Manasan
and
Intal
owned
of MOOE)
to 2 7 percent
contracted
m 1986
expanded of govern
1992)
The
pomt_ve nominal
1983 1985 crlsm To make MOOE m 1991 and 1992 development capital
and
Capztal outlays 1983
has
national
matters dld not
the need
been
primarily
government
of GNP m 1975
worst exceed
it suffered
of the government
by capital capltal
carried
sux years
outlays ment
This contractmn
of the national corporatmns
its own
account
occurred
government
Meanwhile regmtered
s
mostly
since
expendltures
outlays
of the
of the
natmnal
government continued to shnnk dechnmg from 5 9 percent m 1975 1982 to 4 8 percent m 1983 1985 and 4 2 percent last
it the
rehabflltatmn
of the fiscal adjustment
absorbed
dunng
the growth rate of other the mflatmn rate Thin
detenoratmn
Aggregate
1985
item posted
m the last seven years
setback
for thelr earher
The brunt
of the
current trans or dmcretmnary
thin expenditure
growth
from the
led to the premature
assets
3 percent
While
and real average
not yet fully recovered
bulk
period went to the Natlonal Food Admmmtratlon and the Off Prod
from
1992
con
performance
In contrast MOOE other than interest payments and loan repayments (1e the non contractual
portion
and
substantlally
m the operating
subsldles to GOCCs dunng the Authority the National Irrigation ucts Stabfl_zatmn Fund
has
to keep
for mflatlon
The expanmon
also emanated
employees
than
and
Natlonal
fers
more
adjusting
rose by 10 9 percent
m 1975
of government
were after
m m
of GNP m the
m the investment
partlcularly
natmnal
government
a turnaround
m 1987
those
to govern
investment and
started
on the
72
ROSARIO G MANASAN
slow upward climb reaching than Its average level J'_ 1976 lower
than
its peak
Functional The
lev 1 of 5 1 percent
categories
last
s_x years
of natlonal
saw
from the economic public admlmstratIon Generalpubhc eral
pubhc
cost
cutting
stratlon
3 6 percent of GNP In 1992 higher 1982 (Table 22) However this m still In 1975
government
national
government
admmzstratmn
measures
It figured
Government
proved
of the crisis years
among
1985
2 7 percent
the fastest
to two percent of GNP
(Table 24) Some reallocatton pubhc
Dunng
expenditures
declined
budget (net
of 88 8 percent for durable
in 1986
equipment
to the
stringent
items
In the last mx years level in the last
within
the
The share
m 1975
1992
This arose
build
ngs
and
m 1986
3 2 percent (Table 24) to debt 1983 the
s general
expenditures
percent ditures
in terms thelr
corporations)
1985 to an average
from the increased
marginally
service
sectors
serwce
1985 to 4 1 percent on social
of growth share
outlays
from
when measured relative net of debt service
total
sectors
ranked
to total national
rose from only second
of the
national
18 9 to 18 3 percent Increased
on the and real
in the last su¢ years
service
a reversal
In the
actually
to
structures
for the social
expenditures
While
dechned
social
Outlays
of GNP In 1975 These
sermee
1985
budget
1992
_t
18 years
government
of current
to government
of 92 5 percent
In 1990
Soclal service sectors National government expenditures social servlce sectors grew substantially in both nominal terms
admlni
in the govern
on agrarian reform social it rose from 1 2 percent of
of transfers
from an average
on gen
the Aqutno
growing
its highest
appeared
admlnlstratmn
total
reallocated
expenditures
to be remhent
ment budget next only to expenditures welfare and debt service Consequently reached
resources
service sectors and natlonal defense to general debt service and the socml service sectors
admlntstratmn
GNP in 1975
expenditures
from
pattern
in
government the share
of
23 3 to 30 3
government
expen
Table 24 Nabonal Government Expend,tures by Sectoral Classification on an Obl,gatlon Bas,s as a Percentage of GNP 1975 1992 1975 1985
1975 1982
1983 1985
1986 1992
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
t992
1690
16 74
17 09
22 64
19 20
23 10
21 05
21 80
23 77
23 24
23 95
6 82
7 64
5 92
5 52
6 94
4 95
4 16
4 54
5 26
5 94
6 45
Agriculture Agrarianreform Naluralresources
0 78 0 08 0 68
0 87 0 11 0 31
0 68 0 06 1 08
0 61 0 37 0 29
0 25 0 06 0 19
t 33 0 18 0 22
0 57 0 20 0 24
0 59 0 54 0 34
0 53 0 50 0 36
0 54 0 21 0 33
0 57 0 63 0 29
lndust_ Trade Tourism
0 27 004 0 03
0 36 005 0 04
0 16 004 0 02
0 12 001 0 02
0 05 0002 0 002
041 0006 0 02
0 10 001 0 03
009 001 0 03
009 001 0 02
0 10 001 0 02
009 001 0 03
Powerand energy Waterresources development Transportation andcommunlcabons Othereconomicservices
0 86 0 16 2 88 1 03
1 21 021 3 90 0 56
0 47 0 12 1 74 1 55
0 24 005 2 99 0 80
0 02 000 1 72 4 64
0 20 008 2 24 0 27
0 02 0 06 2 21 0 71
0 08 005 2 62 0 19
0 59 0 04 2 80 0 33
0 45 006 3 61 0 59
0 14 0 07 4 19 0 43
Totalsocialservices
3 19
3 50
2 86
4 14
4 22
3 58
3 76
4 29
4 52
3 91
4 43
Educabon Health
1 87 0 57
2 04 0 62
1 68 0 52
2 78 0 67
2 34 0 55
2 51 0 60
2 77 0 69
2 98 0 69
3 09 0 71
2 60 0 70
2 90 0 69
SoQalserv=ces laborandemployment021 Hous=ng andcommun=ty development0 51 Othersoc=al serv=ces 0 03
025 0 55 0 03
016 0 47 0 03
030 0 32 0 07
017 1 14 0 03
011 0 34 0 02
011 0 16 0 03
014 0 35 0 13
017 0 41 0 14
027 0 27 0 06
078 0 01 0 05
Grandtotal Totaleconom¢services
_>
_z
Table 24 (continued) 1975 1985
1975 1982
1983 1985
1986 1992
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
Nabonaldefense
1 78
2 22
1 28
1 31
1 29
1 29
1 56
1 41
1 30
1 22
1 21
Totalpubbcservices Pubbcadm=nlstrabon Peaceandorder Others
1 92 1 18 0 54 0 21
1 99 1 27 0 53 0 19
184 1 07 0 54 0 23
2 59 1 97 0 59 0 02
2 05 1 12 0 67 0 26
2 85 2 23 0 61
2 60 1 82 0 78
2 36 1 90 0 47
2 80 2 72 0 08
2 63 1 84 0 79
2 64 1 90 0 74
Debtservice
3 19
1 40
5 18
8 95
4 71
10 43
8 97
9 02
9 88
9 55
8 75
0 002
0 47
Unallocated
0 12
Net lending
0 19
0 53
0 28
0 80
0 58
2 53
1 14
0 62
0 17
0 20
0 45
0 11
Grandtotal debtserv_ce
1371
1534
11 90
1369
1450
1267
1208
1279
1388
1369
1521
Grandtotal debtservtcenetlendlng
1319
1506
11 10
13tl
11 97
1153
1147
1261
1368
1324
1510
2 31
2 75
1 82
1 96
1 90
2 34
1 87
1 38
2 01
1 96
Nabonaldefense peaceandorder
Sourceof baspcdata
Deparlrnent of BudgetandMar_agemenL
1 90
BREAKING
AWAY FROM
National real
and
THE FISCAL
govemment
BIND
7S
expendlture
real per caplta
terms
on
exhlblted
social
m nominal
welfare
a well defined
upward
trend
during the penod under study In 1986 1992 Its nominal growth rate accelerated to five tlmes that m the 10 year period ending m 1985 whlle its share m GNP almost doubled from 0 16 to 0 3 percent However
thls
increase
largely reflects typhoons
does
a reactlon
expendltures
an upward
tendency
tapered off m 1991 1992 tlon rose from 1 9 percent 1986
1992
per caplta last
whlle those
and health
the perlod
although
also both
grew from 0 6 to 0 7 percent
on education
m 1992
It
at that lame
on educatlon
during
change
Natlonal government outlays for educa of GNP m 1975 1985 to 2 8 percent m
for health
expendltures
18 years
pohcy
(volcamc eruptlons
that hlt the country
government
reglstered
a major
to the series of calamltles
and earthquakes}
Natlonal
not mdlcate
reached
In contrast
its peak
real per caplta
Real
(P329) m the
expendltures
on
health has not yet recovered the reductions It suffered dunng cnms years such that its 1992 level (P78) is even smaller than 1982 level (P85) In the soclal to total national
serwce
sectors
government
the share
outlays
of current
m the Aqumo years to total government
percent In the other social from 69 to 49 7 percent Economic the
sectors
economlc
sermce
to government
a result
growth
government
In education it m 1985 to 89 2
In health the share of current expen expendltures dechned from 93 to 90 4 service
The growth sectors
sectors
reduction
of national lagged
expenditure categories For 1986 nomlc sectors grew by 5 4 percent 10 1 percent
expendltures
{net of transfers
corporatlons) decreased m the period under study went down from 92 6 percent m the decade ending percent dltures
the the
was sharpest
government
behind
most
outlays of the
for
other
1992 expendltures on the eco in real terTns compared wlth a
m total national expenditures
government on these
expendltures
sectors
dropped
As from
7 6 percent of GNP m 1975 1982 to 5 9 percent m 1983 1985 and to 5 5 percent m 1986 1992 (Table 24) Moreover the share of the economlc servlce sectors in the aggregate budget sank from 40 4 percent
m 1975
1985
to 24 4 percent
m the last slx years
76
ROSARIO G MANASAN Desplte
thin contractlon
m the allocatlon
for the economlc
service sectors the agrarian reform sector emerged to be a blg winner m 1986 1992 The budget for agrarlan reform expanded by 60 8 percent on a yearly average m 1986 1992 compared wlth 3 7 percent m 1975 1985 Relatlve to GNP outlays for agrarian reform rose fourfold from 0 1 to 0 4 percent (Table 24) Thin m consmtent w_th the government s commltment to the land reform program In contrast power and energy water resources development and the trade and industry sectors figured as big losers Natlonal government expendltures on power and energy dlved from 1 2 percent of GNP m 1975 1982 to 0 5 percent m 1983 1985 and to 0 2 percent m 1986 1992 Those on water resources development plummeted from 0 2 percent m the decade ending m 1985 to 0 05 percent m the last sLxyears National government outlays on trade and industry fell from 0 07 to 0 03 percent (Table 24) Government expenditure on transportation and commumca tmn which was hit hard during the cnsm years regained some ground m 1986 1992 The expenditure level m 1986 1992 averaged three percent of GNP Thin m higher than the 1983 1985 level (1 7 percent) but lower than the 1975 1982 level (3 9 percent) In the economic service sectors no clear pattern emerged m the budget allocation between current and capital expenditures in the last 18 years In all the economic service sectors the share of current expenditures to total expenditures (net of transfers to government corporations) consmtently increased from 52 8 percent m 1975 1982 to 58 9 percent m 1983 1985 and to 63 1 percent m 1986 1992 A mmflar trend occurred m the power and energy sub sector In the transportatmn and commumcatmn sub sector the trend m the share of current expenditures took the reverted U form For instance the share of current expenditures stood at 43 3 percent m 1975 1982 then increased to 68 1 percent m 1983 1985 and dechned to 53 8 percent m 1986 1992 From the above the government seems to have shifted its resources from capital to current expenditures m sectors usually assocmted w_th pubhc sector investments (1e economic sectors) and from current to capital expendltures m sectors usually assocl ated with making current expenditures Largely however these
BREAKINGAWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND movements tures
slmply
during
evolved
peraods
of severe
from the reductaons
of fiscal restraint
Pubhc Because
77
Sector fiscal
(1983
Investments constraints
in capital
expendl
1992)
and Growth m the
last
half
of the
1980s
public sector investments plummeted in real terms from 1985 through 1989 While some real growth took shape in 1989/1990 this was eroded m 1991 1992 Pubhc sector investments followed a similar actual
trend
when
levels
of public
GNP in 1986 1987
1992)
depressed
does
sector fell way
1992 Medium
The years
measured
relatave
to GNP (Fig
investments
(equal
below
Term Public
Investment
level of pubhc
not augur
the target
well for the
sector
of
set under
Program s growth
Moreover
to 5 1 percent
levels
investment
country
4)
the
(MTPIP) m the prospects
last
six The
posltlve relataonshlp between economlc growth and public invest ment xs generally taken to be part and parcel of conventlonal wasdom or received knowledge However firm estimates of this relataonshlp s parameters partacularly for developing hard to come by Attempts to derive relataonshlp
between
economic
expenditures/ investments feedback relataonshlp exists d_tures
and
growth
public
growth on the between
countraes estamates
on the one hand
expendltures
ment crowds infrastructure Composition
and
and public
other show that 1) while a current pubhc sector expen
sector
infrastructure
Granger cause economic growth 2) public tures have a stronger output effect than operating
are scanty and of the emplncal
3) pubhc
sector
expenditure
sector capital expendl pubhc sector current infrastructure
invest
In pravate sector investment while pubhc sector non investment crowds out private sector investment of public sector/nvestment
By level of government National government investments on its own account climbed from 1 7 percent of GNP m 1983 1985 to 2 5 percent m 1986 1992 grew from 0 27 percent contracted
further
Capital outlays of local governments also to 0 32 percent In contrast those of GOCCs
from 5 8 percent
to 1 9 percent
of GNP (Table 25)
= F,gure 4 Public Sector Investment by Level of Government as a Percentage of GNP 10 9 8 P
7
r c
6
e
5
n
t
4 3 2
0 1978
t979
1980
Total Pubhc Sector
1981
t982
1983
1984
Nat onat Government
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
A
â&#x20AC;˘
LGUs
GOCCs
1992
z 3o _>
z
BREAKINOAWAYFROM THE FISCALBIND Thus
public investments
by GOCCs
m sectors
hke agriculture
development
suffered
power
severe
79
that are traditionally and
energy
and
dominated
water
resource
cuts Table 25
Publ,¢ Sector Investment by Level of Government, as a Percentage of GNP TotalPublic
National
Year
Sector
Government
LGUs
GOCCs
1978 1982 1983 1985 1986 1992 1986 1987 1988 1989
7 34 7 81 5 14 428 3 97 3 72 4 99
2 58 1 73 2 48 1 54 1 73 1 93 2 51
O34 0 27 0 32 0 13 0 19 0 22 0 26
4 42 5 81 2 34 261 2 05 1 58 2 22
1990 1991 1992
7 26 5 15 5 33
3 30 268 2 73
0 32 046 0 44
3 64 201 2 16
Source ofbasedata Na_nal 8tat_bcs andCensus Board 1992(prekm=nar/) By sector The share of the economic sectors investments dechned by roughly 12 percentage 1981 1985 and 1986 1992 But the contnbubon sermce canfly
sectors
and
by 8 1 and
that
of pubhc
5 S percentage
administration points
expanded
1992
munlcatton
Public
sector
dropped
investments
slightly
power
and energy
were halved
sector
investments
in water
factor
of three In contrast
strat_on sectors
from
in the economic to 3 9 percent m
in transportation
2 1 to two percent
from 2 3 to 1 2 percent resource
stgnffi
respectively
Relative to GNP pubhc sector investments sectors dechned from 6 6 percent in 1981 1985 1986
in pubhc sector points between of the social
development
and
corn
but those of GNP dropped
on
Pubhc by a
from 0 50 percent to 0 15 percent of GNP (Table 26) pubhc sector investments in general pubhc admml
(from 0 08 to 0 34 percent (from 0 65 to 0 86 percent)
of GNP) and expanded
the
socml
significantly
service
Table26 PublicInvestmentbySector as a Percentageof GNP 198t 1982
1983 1985
1986 1992
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
Gran(ltotal
8 14
7 81
4 08
4 28
397
3 72
499
726
5 15
533
General pubhc serv=ce
0 09
0 22
0 28
0 03
033
047
040
047
0 27
040
0 07 0 01
0 08 0 02 0 12
0 27 0 01
003
032 001
046 001
033 007
047 000
0 25 0 02
039 001
Defense
0 12
0 17
0 05
003
0 06
008
0 10
0 11
0 04
006
Educabon healthsocialhousing and
0 68
0 69
0 68
171
0 81
062
0 89
1 15
0 68
0 69
Education culture andsports/ 0 24 manpowerdevelopment others Healthnutrition andpopulabon control 0 06
0 27
0 30
028
0 42
037
0 39
0 51
0 39
0 30
0 04
005
005
0 07
009
0 09
0 13
005
0 03
! r;_
0 0 37 00
0 32 000
138
0 31
0 15
0 0 40 01 0 01
0 51
023 000 001
0 36
t_>=
Publ=c admlnlstrabon Peaceandorder Unallocable
Housing development 0 37 Soaal_ andcommunity labor andwelfare/employment OthersocJat services 0 01
Table26(continued)
Agnculture natural resources industry tradetounsm power
._.
1981 1982
1983 1985
1986 1992
1986
7 25
6 73
3 06
251
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992 <>
277
255
3 60
553
4 16
4 17 'zd
Agranan reform
0 02
0 02
0 03
001
0 02
005
0 17
008
0 01
Agnculture Natural resources Indust_ Trade Tourism
0 68 0 02 0 05
0 90 1 57 0 01
0 17 0 08 0 01
041 0 01
0 51 0 01
042 004 0 04
036 0 15 001
0 14 0 23 0 01
004 0 12
0 06 0 10
Power andenergy 283 Waterresources devt.andfloodconlrol 0 41
206 0 57
092 0 12
1 10 0 15
069 0 12
058 0 10
121 0 15
197 0 21
097 0 19
131 0 12
Transportation andcommunlcabon Other economic services
1 59
1 59 0 13
0 80 0 03
142
131 001
156
263 027
2 61 0 22
2 25 0 33
3 23
i _'_2 z
less 1ban01 percent. I.L
82
ROSARIO G MANASAN
Table 27 Relabonsh,pBetweenFconomlcGrowthG andGovernmentExpend,turesE OptionalLags G= f(G E)
E = f(E G)
Relat,onshlps
Totalexpend,tures a Current expend,tures a Capital expend,tures a Maintenance expenditures b
(31) (31) (34) (13)
(1 2) (1 4) (1 1) (3 2)
feedback feedback E causes G feedback
Infrastructure expend,tures b II Totalpubhc sector
(13)
(1 1)
E causes G
Totalexpend,tures c Current expend,tures c Cap,tal expend,tures c Infrastructure expend,tures b
(16) (31) (12) (13)
(1 1) (1 4) (2 6) (1 1)
E causes G feedback feedback E causes G
I Nabonal government only
E_rnabon penodfrom1960 1990 bEstlmatJon period _m 1975 1990 CEsbrnabon pedod from1970 1990 Source Manasan (1993b) unpublished
Trade off between current expenditures
and capital expenditures
In the sub sectmns that follow two dlfferent approaches analyzed the relatlonshxp between economzc growth and the compomt_on of government expendltures At the crudest level the test for Granger causahty was apphed between government expenditures and its components and economic growth As another optlon a macro model was used to estabhsh the impact of Increased government expendztures on output m a general equlhbrmm context Granger causahty between economic growth and pubhc expendz tures 12This sub section examines the question of whether 1) govern 12 A variable ts stud to Granger cause another variable _f the former and Its past values are good prechctors of the latter in a statistical sense regardless of the underlying theoretlcal relattonshlp
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHE FISCALBIND ment
expendltures
as the
rate
of GNP
government tween
the
Table
nabonal
data
economlc
real levels
Granger
expendltures
cause
economic
government
reveals
a feedback total
growth
However
dltures
relationship
and economic
between
pubhc
coefficients infrastructure
of the
these
Hsmo
(1981) growth on obh
was found
capltal
R2 = 0 89
of
on the other expendltures are shown
to
g = f(g,e)
capital
expenditure sector
economic
suggests
economic
expenditure
sector
current
A SUnllar relationship
of pubhc cause
total pubhc
the analysls
the
growth
and
and
is found economic
infrastructure growth
joint
expen
Moreover
slgmficance
of lagged
pubhc
sector
lZ
007+031 st +0000017 el 0000018 (165) (310) (234) F= 1453
where the numbers m parenthems are t statistics
2 0000014 (153)
the
of the
13 Towlt g = (364)
to
and real levels
expendltures
between
sector
real levels
of lagged
between
(based
expenditures
sector
growth
are found to Granger
F statistic
18 other
growth
Using data on real totalpubhc expenditures
alone relation
expendltures
infrastructure
expen
economlc
on the one hand
of national
government
PIDS NEDA
â&#x20AC;˘
a bl directional
growth
the
between
be
government
emsts
of applying
and maintenance
causes
exists
However
promotes
expenditures
government
economlc
natlonal
growth
relatlonshlp
here
expenditure
growth
causahty
from the DBM)
(the
government
the results Granger
Granger
that government
economlc
of government
expenditures
In contrast
Thus
defined
causality
to date
assume
a feedback
to estabhsh
exist between
and
that
27 summarizes
Uslng
growth
growth
studies
vanable
argued
real levels
current
Most
as causing
and that
procedure
gations
2) economlc
Model included)
assumed have
econormc
or 3) bl directional
IS an exogenous
expendltures variables
g and
growth
two variables
imphclfly analysts
cause
expendltures
Macroeconometnc d_ture
Granger
83
3
84
ROSARIO G MANASAN
Table28 Reallocationof ExpenditurefromCurrentto CapitalOutlays Period Variable
1
GDP GNP CPI TBILL CP CG
0 390 0 392 0 257 1822 0 088 6 047
CONSPR IDER GDCF XD MD DEFNG
0 597 0 554 4462 0 262 0 332 0 309
2
3
4
Percentage deviation fromthebaseline 0 132 0 073 0 053 0 1331 00734 0 0529 0 035 0 025 0 019 0 611 0024 0 026 0 068 0042 0 029 2 306 0808 0 270 0 475 0 446 1395 0 130 0 173 0 581
0423 0307 0578 0 076 0086 0905
5
0 039 0 0385 0 008 0022 0021 0 079
0 305 0 172 0 249 0 046 0 045 0 407
0 241 0 107 0 133 0027 0025 0 195
0 4768 0 625
04385 0 536
Deviations frombasehne TRABAL BOP
4 5344 5455
(InmillionUS$) 3 7485 1 5996 -4 270 1893
VanableDefinitions GDP GNP
Gross Domestic Product GrossNational Product
CPI TBILL CP CG CONSPR
Consumer Pnceindex XD Treasury RillRate MD Personal Consumption Expenditure DEFNG Government Consumption Expend=ture TRABAL TotalPrivateConstruction BOP
Source
Table10A ofYapandReyes(1993)
IDER GDCF
Investment inDurable Equipment GrossDomestic Capital Format=on DollarExports (million) DollarImports (million) NabonaL Government Det]clt TradeBalance (million $) Balance of Payments (million$)
BREAKINGAWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND In summary above
the results
indicate
that
8S
of the Granger
real levels
causality
of government
tests described
infrastructure
expen
dltures Granger cause economic growth However the relatlonshlp between current government expendltures and economic growth IS bl dlrectlonal in nature Thus we conclude that pubhc sector znfra structure current
expendzture pubhc
ts a good predtctor
sector
Results from macroeconometnc omy wlde effects rent to capltal
expendzture
macroeconometnc model Yap and of reallocatmg
outlays
they reduced
szmulatzon Reyes (1993)
government
the level of pubhc
sector
The outcome
Using studled
wh_le
the PIDS the ecor_
current
from cur
slmulatlon operating
whereto
expenditure
the level of pubhc
by P5 bllhon relatlve impact of these changes
over a five year period simulation In essence
growth
expenditures
They dld a counterfactual
in 1986 by P5 b11hon and increased expendlture tracked the
of economic
ts not
sector
capital
to thelr baseline levels They on key endogenous varlables
Table 28 summarizes the results show that
the
of thls exerclse demonstrates
results
the stronger
of thls out
put effect of capital expenditures as compared to current operating expenditures This can be attrlbuted to two factors (1) Government investment actlwty dlrectly adds to the capital stock and thus permeates
more sectors
of CONSGO (government tlve to changes
of the economy constructlon
In the general
impact of nominal investment spending
(2) The imphclt deflator expenditure)
price level thus
IS less senm
maintaining
the
m real terms relative to consumption
(Yap and Reyes 1993)
The statement
further
hlghhghts
the gains
that could
be derived
by generating savings via the streamhnlng of bureaucracy and using those resources to finance additional public sector investments Impact
of public sector
In the hterature crowds
there
out or crowds
offer some
evldence
investment is some m prlvate
that pubhc
on private sector
debate
on whether
investment infrastructure
investment
pubhc
A number investment
investment of countries crowds
tn
86
ROSARIOG MANASAN
or complements private investment while pubhc investment crowds out or substitutes for prlvate
non infrastructure investment (Blejer
and
1988)
Khan
1984
wlth severe tlve that
Chlbber
budgetary
_ts pubhc
to adequately
and Van W_jnbergen
constraints
investment
explolt
program
whatever
following
effective sector
explanatory
to GNP (ndcrp)
investment
to total
lagged
gnn
respectlvely)
were
were entered
as
The
(1+rl) Apnon
of pubhc investment
included
instead
m logar_thms
utlhzatlon
(cu)
credlt
real
to prlvate
sector
infrastructure
(sgn)
and
level
of sgu
except
of private
real
In both
rl which
investment
ifcapacltyut_hzatlonlslow
are included investments
pl
other things
GNP
cases
was set"red
all
entered as
the
pnvatemvestmentlsexpected
being equal
The ndcrp
and the rl varmbles
to account for the posslble crowding elther through the decreased avaflablhty
sector
expected
against
variable
to be letharglc
private
real
was regressed
speclficatlon the lagged levels of real pubhc and non infrastructure investment (g11 and
variables independent
between
capaclty
share
sector
formulated ernst
(rl) ratlo of net domestic
pubhc
(y) 14 In an alternatlve sector infrastructure
be consclously
investment
variables
cost of borrowing
_t is impera
complementantles
pubhc and private investments Given thls perspectlve private the
In a country
hke the Phfllppmes
or through
the mcreased
rate of economlc
growth
out of prlvate of credlt to the
cost of money
(proxled
The hlgher
the
here by lag GNP) the more
prlvate investment is expected to be stlmulated FmaUy pubhc invest ment could e_ther spur or deter private investment depending on whether competing
the former
Is seen
wlth private
by the private
investment
sector
It _s expected
as supporting that
the impact
or of
pubhc investments wdl be felt after some lag because the capaclty of installed infrastructure rather than the investments m the current year will have _mpact on private
mvestment
at any given tlme
14 Followmg Chlbber and van Wijnbergen (1988) the estlmatlon equation was derived from an accelerator model ofprivate investment where actual stock of capital Is assumed to adjust to the desn-ed stock following a partlal adjustment mechanxsm The coefficlent of the adjustment _s then assumed to vary w_th government pohcles and other econormc factors i e the variables used as explanatory varmbles m the esumat_on equation
BREAKINGAWAYFROM TI-IEFISCAL BIND
87
The estlmatlon results for the first speclficatlon coefficlent for the raUo of pubhc sector infrastructure total
pubhc
and
sector
statlsUcally
that
pubhc
ment
mgmficant
lagged
The results
borrowing
expenditure
also show a rapld
for the
five percent
level
investment increased
credlt
cost
and
Thls tmphes out prlvate
of borrowing
to the prlvate
sector
that
through
When mated
the levels
of pubhc
investment coefficlents
investment investment
whlle 16
suggest the
former
has
the
However
financing
the
of pubhc
the
ratlonmg
effectlve
years
pubhc
latter
of
crowds
m the
non
m the equaUon
no slgmficant
the
by the fact that
for many and
of
at the
through
be explained
included
that
mgn
cost
not so much
infrastructure
were both
by the
of real
_s mgmficant
the domestic
Thls mlght
invest
as mdlcated
varmble
the financlal market was not yet hberahzed estlmatlon perlod (1973 1990} structure
m prlvate
coefficlent
investment but
level 15 Thls mdlcates
the wrong
sector
the to
(sg11 31 is posltlve
crowds The
has
to the private
crowds
years
adJustment
pl I varmble
is not slgmficant
net domesUc
three
at the five percent
infrastructure
low t statlstlc
credlt
investment
show that investment
out
effect
mfra
the esU on
prlvate private
15 The estlmatlon of the first speclficaUon ylelded the following result Inpl-
24 97+0421np11 (2 51) (I 19)
+067nderp+ (2 20)
+3481ncu+0 {237)
13 In(l+rl) (0 38)
141sg113 +0561nyl (1 72) (1 57)
R2=089 F_ 19 81 16 The estm_at_on of the second specdicatlon (after dropping all variables wh,ch had mslgmficant coefficlents) ylelded _armlar results Inpl=
834+086Innderp (1 55) (7 96) R_=091
0621ngnu3 ( 3 00)
+ 172Inyi(7) (3 27)
F_ 19 30
88
ROSARIOG MANASAN Subsidles
In prlnclple
government
for two pnnclpal
may grant
reasons
encourage
a more
speclahzed
lendlng
men
to production
access
given
and Tax Expenditures
to private
First
efficient
subsidies
it may devise
allocation
programs
subsldy
of resources
designed
credit
businesses
to the private
government
to encourage
farmers
incomes
to the Natlonal and
support
fall under
this category
them
subsidms
serve
as other
Government allocatlon percent went
may
from the government natlonal
to submdles
government
The
budget
are
reflected
to the usual the legmlatlve
be Imphclt acttwtms
Thus over
addltlonal tax outside budget
1985
stood
Other tax
as outlays personnel Given
Subsidies
m both
the execu
private
tax
just
tax expenditures
llke outlays
the government
for wages s hmlted
and
capacity
As such referred should
salarms
may sector
credits
deductlons are largely extra budgetary process because they represent revenues
Nevertheless
are
subsidies
of certain
exemptlons
national
program
government
tax treatment
1992
for oll prace
at 1 6 percent
review process
over two
in the
s expenditure
branches
cash
in 1986
a subsidy
budgetary
through
actual
barns
of submdles
not collected and therefore not programmed foregone from tax exemptions are sometlmes expendltures
and fertfllzer
revolve
On a cash
including
share
government
preferentlal others
price ceihngs
dmbursements
types
m 1975
subjected
(NFA) to bolster
programs not
s coffers
average
in the
tlve and
or may
government
of various
m 1990
in actlvltles
may provide subsl transfers from the
prescribed
housing
fisher
examples
subsldms
of the
support that
government
to are
are subsidies
to invest
Food Authority
Subsldlzed
and
Illustration
deemed to be winners Second the government dies for purely egahtartan reasons Current natlonal
programs
An example
to glve farmers
Another
sector
and
They that
fall are
revenues to as tax
be considered of government
to generate
resources
It lS essential that the relative benefits and costs ansmg from the various subsidy programs be evaluated The two case studms provided dins given
below
tame
to firms
doubts registered
on the cost effectiveness with the
Board
of the subs1
of Investments
(BOI)
BREAKINGAWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND and
to the NFA This paper
89
specifically
suggests
now being allocated to these programs put to better use elsewhere This paper rules
and
regulat10ns
govermng
product prices unnecessaraly to subsldLze the consumption severe
upward
t10nal price
BOI lncentsves
Since
and The
setting
of the country
m the
exchange
various
s mdustrlalLzatlon
to new and necessary
1967
the
to preferred
prepares
the
BOI
firms
Plan
29 presents provided
estimates by
the
fiscal
of thls function
cost
as
made the BOI
processes and
monl
with the
terms
foregone
due to the
of the revenue The
known
processes
of incentives
enterprises
BOI
m 1953
incentives
(IPP) annually
for avallment
tors comphance of BOI registered conditions of their reglstratlon Table
the
otherwise
of enterprises/products
apphcatlons
of tax
It was repealed
(EO) 226
As part
Prlorltles
apphcatlons
a number
many tlmes over since then lncentlves law came in 1987
admmlsters
industries
Investments
regnstratlon
incentives
the mterna
The first such law
granted
industries
was superseded of the investment
available
reglstered
petroleum
laws were enacted
strategy
which
wlth the issuance of Executive Order the Omnibus Investments Code is
the
rate and
tax lncentlve
Act (RA) 35 of 1946
its replacement latest revlslon
Since
of 011 and
011
war perlod
Repubhc
exemptlons
the
or lmphcltly be that the present
17
the post
as part was
exphcltly also argues
the resources
expose the government to pressures of these products during per10ds of
adjustments
of crude
that
of fiscal
and
incentives
to
industry rose almost fivefold in nominal terms m the last sux years from P2 2 bllhon in 1986 to P10 8 bllhon in 1991 Relatlve
to GDP
is not neghglble
the total revenue
Moreover
of GDP in 1986 to 0 9 percent
It grew
foregone quite
in 1991
from fiscal lncentlves
steadlly
from
But revenues
0 4 percent
foregone
from
17 Thls sectaon draws heavily from Manasan (1993c) 18 Manasan (1993c) compares the incentlves granted under EO 226 and those granted under Batas Pambansa 391 the leglslatlon in effect prior to the former
TabEe29 RevenueForegoneby Typeof Incentives (in pesos)
Taxdeduchons
째_
1986
1987
1988
1989
t990
1991
Average 19861991
110783 834
185279 437
199664 901
64 670 820
101 659 533
175584 411
837 642 937
Taxexempbons
1 028 905 786 4052 338 930 3 730 303 809 4 803 185898 6 044 317 587 7829241 961 27488293971
Taxcredits
1074482138 1664364987 3047531459 2064105465 2075448610 2824615398 12750548058
Total
2 214171 758 5 901983 355 6 977 500 170 6 931 962 183 8 221 425 730 10 829441770 41 076484967
Reallevel
2148429806 5332956858 5724423800 5243145135 5517920555 6210343519 30177219673
% toGDP
0 36
0 86
0 87
0 75
0 77
0 87
0 77
% to na_ona_government revenue
2 79
5 72
8 18
4 55
4 55
4 90
4 84
7 19
4540
2349
1805
1442
51 57
21 63
% to consolidated public sector Source Manasan (1993c) unpubhshed
> I_
BREAKINGAWAYFROM THE FISCALBIND BOI incentives
appear
91
to be more s_gmficant
to total
revenues
percent m 1991
of natlonal Revenues
of the
percent
of the consohdated
national
when measured
government
They
relative
represent
pubhc
Since the government
sector
deficit
has been scrounging
m 1987
1991
for new tax measures
every year to cover its growing fiscal deficit a quest:on whether the benefits arising from the fiscal mcentlve system its cost justified
Using fiscal mcent:ves on two grounds First
d_rectly counteract markets
and
genuine
:mperfect
wage duahsm and non tariff protection note
that
relatave relatave
the
as a tool for mdustrlal fiscal mcentlves may
market
fadures
informatlon
--e
g
mstltutlonal
pohcy was be used to
_mperfect
protectlon
structure
centers)
and
-- e g
I) penalizes
exports
manufacturing a more even
dlspersal of industries across reglons (because protected goods tend to cater to the needs of urban populations and mdustrles
capital
d_stortlons
to :mport substitutes 2) encumbers non to manufacturing sectors 3) dlscourages
of these
arises exceed
pohcy originating dlstortlons -- e g tariff and (Power 1989) In thls regard various studles
emstmg
only be accessed
2 8
government revenues m 1986 and 4 9 percent foregone from tax incentives amounted to 14 28
heavy
dependence
on Imported
through
the ports whlch
4) impedes
the development
inputs
fimshed because that
are concentrated
can
m urban
of small/medmm
try thls Is because large enterprises have the inherent m successfully securing favorable tarlff rates (Bautlsta
Indus advantage Power and
Assoclates 1979 Pernla and Paderanga 1983 Tecson et al 1990) More recent studies {Medalla 1986 Medalla 1990 and Pante and Medalla
1990)
protectlon
rate
d:mmlshed the import
confirmed
that
(EPR) and
the
as a combined hberaltzatlon
Slgmficantly
alter
whde dlspermon
result
program
the inherent
both
average
of EPRs
of the
tariff
m 1980 bmses
the
1990
answer
out that
Phd_ppme neutrallzed perceNed
investment the blases
pointed system outhned
to favor I) mdustrles
the
specific
m the natlonal
and
dld not
structure
system effectlve new ones9 The features
m the past reinforced rather above Thus BOI mcentlves locating
sectors
program
the changes
of the protection
Is the BOI mcentlve w_thout introducing
It was
across
reform
A question Is then ralsed m offsetting these d_stortlons is no
effectlve
cap:tal
of the than were reglon
92
ROSARIOG MANASAN
(NCR) relative to other regions tlon In the BOI reglstratlon mdustrles
{because
cost associated from the BOI use
tend
larger
smaller
the
choice
Power
1989)
lncentlves
tend
they
on
rely
firms
with both and because
than
through 1990
smaller
to favor
tntenslve
{because process)
firms
Manasan factor
1) the
indicated
by the
(Tables tapered
concentrated National and
mtenslty
Statistics
years
Finally
et al
that
to labor
of BOI pro3ects
In the
BOI
because Manasan
capital
increased
labor
ratlo
as
between
the scale bias of BOI incentives the average size of BOI firms Is
as the economy
wlde average
Regions
firm size dunng
the location blas of BOI BOI firms remain more
Ill and
IV than
Office (NSO) census/surveys market
showed
relatlve
31 and 32) 3) while off dunng the period
m the NCR and
4) the export
rates
IPP (Tecson
also
incentives
capital
tariff
data demonstrated that these blases still remain Her findings include the
15 fold rise
twice as large
the period incentives
in the
capital
1986 1992 {Table 30) 2) although decreased m the last seven years about
the fixed
more
wlth hlgh
1990)
neutral
capltal
generally
included (1986
(1993c) based on more recent of the fiscal mcentlves system following
are
3) sectors
cheapen
to afford
and avatlment of incentlves blased incentives whmh BOI
whmh and
of industries
non
are less able
reglstratlon the capltal
ones)
to unduly
of inadequate decentrahza 2) large relative to small
firms
m the
{Tables 33 and 34)
blas of BOI incentives
declined
in recent
{Table 35)
The
second
lustlficatlon
for the use
of fiscal
incentives
is their
alleged importance in attracting foreign direct investments The changes introduced under the 1987 Omnibus Investments were ostensibly tive with
its neighbors
offers roughly on
the
put in place equal
to make
Manasan inducements
profitability
of promoted
the Philippines
(1993)
showed
m terms firms
(FDI) Code
more competl that
the
country
of the incentives (Table
36)
impact
However
the
results of a number of studies (Allen 1979 Lindsey 1981 MITI 1988 Rana 1988 and Lamberte 1991) that examined the importance of fiscal Incentives ion tended
m stimulating
to show
were more influenced growth
macroeconomm
that
FDI inflow m more
the location
by market stability
declsmn
fundamentals and
pohtmal
systematm
of foreign
investors
(size of market stability}
fash
than
GNP the
Table 30 Factor Bias of BOI |ncenbves
Code
Capztal Labor Rabo of BOI Registered FInTls 1986 1992 (In real terms)
Indus'w
1986
1987
1958
1989
1990
1991
1992"
12525 29889 5818 63639 70329
51684 227.21 8184 38139 73930
20386 9063 8088 164122 377128
63037 4829 30 20 99661 122.23
31 32 33 34 35
Processed fcods Tex'Ceweanng apparel andlealher mdustees Woodandwoodproducts Paperandpaperproduc_ _nbngandpubl_shtng Chemicals andchemcal products p_eum coalrubberfptasbc
11972 6364 40 23 -28099
9554 11678 3122 34875 15591
20316 7548 12996 34306 72208
36 37 38 39
Non-metalhc mineral products e_cept products of pe_oleum andcoal Basemetalproducts products Fabncated metalprodudgma_me_' equ=pment Mmcellaneous manufactured products Manufactunng Agnculture Electnc_y gasandwater Mlnlrlg andquarrying Public utJT_es
134887 -6I 29 42 18 6795 19827 49753
11753 66617 8008 2184 9769 17782 7639 23179
44995 74g0 t5859 5997 17979 12370 334180 26476 134862
Tounsm-onented pro_erv_ exporters Expodnders Infras_ct_re/lndus_al servces Research anddevelopment projects Totaf Source ofbascdata
I_
33330
91357 252018 179334 46308 154620 92043 22594 37639 t4048 5124 24 12 2533 26779 34133 51450 28270 18820 16764 18969 1227409 1569460 69477 66375 41217 32054 45411 25364 107987
103240
76099
247317 858,9106 8091
10517
18960
30848
59406
159939 66633
576528 951516 38573 5t 08 115438 30129 922916 19621 t 43018
:>
L'q
i
293.22 3881 523746 75043 t 178t5
Selected Stabsbcs onPmjects Approved underEO226bysoc_" 1986-1992 Board oflnvesbnents Realtermscomputed byd=_hng project costbycapdalIo_abonPiNforIheyear(base1985) Sectoral dc._s_cabon under" manufactunng isbasedonNabonal StatJsbCS Ot_ce s dass_¢abon whchfollows Pl_hpp_ne Standard Industrial C_ss_..,atlon (PSIC)
1992_sfromJanuary toOctober only Source Manasan (1993c)unpubhshed
i,,o I_
Scale Bias of BOI Incentives Code 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
Table 31 Average Number of Workers per Firm of BOI Registered
Industry Processed foods Texblewearing apparel andleathermdosbqes Woodandwoodproducts Paperandpaperproducts _nbngandpubhshm9 Cherncars andchemtca_ products pe,Voleum coalrubber/plas_cs No_metalhc mzneral products except products ofpetroleum/coal Basemet_producls Fabricated metalproducts/.mach=nery equ=pment Mccellaneous manufactured products Manu'_n9 Agnculture Eledczoty gasandwater Mlr_ andquany_n9 Pubicubhl_es
1986 8046 23394 8890 460O 26O0 79706 6955 26259 12788 4367
1997 12763 23828 22452 23275 8533 6567 'l,6800 27921 20197 20929 13434 38225 135OO
Tounsm-onented pro;_:lstservce exporters
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992"
9668 20784 9523 10555 12789 42662 29,00 47866 23226 22497 20040 58 11 15855 87 67
14526 214I0 12614 6305 9575 t 17O0 7800 19036 15708 16875 8563 1697") 24696 5522
6800 16459 8465 8148 6307 10353 120,00 16665 18290 14220 8,160 25740 5t8 95 7961
15926 16662 12463 58 90 8427 12666 16250 14790 10308 13177 12995 9088 19353 8295
40 15 156 334 '_ 3217 11496 11929 150800 10338 9835 13083 179I3 92 11 12t78 2042
1679
8450
t90 84
17569
3600
16508
OO0 0 71
2333 18O0
14734
3767 12871
1967 12580
Export kade_s Infrasbucture/in_s_=al sewces Research anddevelopment projects Total Source ofbascdata
23605
20073
F,rms 1986 1992
20755
15231
Se4'ected Stabstcs onProjects Approved underEO226bySector1986-1992 Board oflnvestmef_ Sectoral dizsslficabon under manufactunng Isbased onNa'bon_ Stabstcs Offices classlEcakon whet= follows Phthppme Standard Industnar Classlrcabon (PSIC)
1992=sfromJanuazy toOctober only ,Source. Manasan (19931:} unpublished
I_
F
BREAKING AWAY FROM l HE FISCAL BIND
95
Table32 Economy wideAverageNumberof WorkerperFirm 19861989
Code
Sector
1986
1987
31 32 33 34
Processed foods 11774 13627 Textile weanng apparel andleather=ndustnes 19361 21846 Woodand wood products 12734 14816 Paper andpaper products pnnt=ng and 5812 6061
35
Chemcals andchemical products petroleum11306
1988
1989
6419 9250 7184 4402
8086 12992 7824 5255
12689
9600
10334
10238
11171
6025
7633
13249 9064
14013 10105
8102 7435
11766 9376
10335 12018 9115 16486 31710 3102 5027 4670
9222 13504 10076 16444 34595 3306 5307 5241
7650 6280 7460 9363 88Z,4 8868 16647 12577 27913 19737 2366 3102 3421 4359 4996
14742 14196
14564 15201
9914 14420
11059 14331
19871
20081
5609
5958
pubhshlng coalrubbedplast¢
36
Nonmetall¢ mineral products except products ofpetroleum andcoal
37 38 39
Bas=c _talproducts I abncated metalproducts/machinery and equipment M=scellaneous manufactured products
Manufactunng Construction Electnoty gasandwater
Mining andquarrying _holesale andretailtrade Commun_social andpersonal sen/ices FJnanc=ng =nsurance realestateand business services Transportat=on communcahon andstorage Pubhceclucatu_nal medical dentalandother
services Agnculture GrandTotal Source
Source
--
7573
-8255
198619871989Annual Survey ofEstabl_hrnents (ASE)1988Census ofEstabl_hments (CE) National Stabstcs Office(N$O) Except foragriculture in 1986198719881989 andforconst_'uc_m=nlng andquarry=ng =n1989figures refertolargeestabkshments Manasan (1993c)unpublished
m
Z
m
_ _
" 1
96
=
_
ROSARIO
_
G MANASAN
m
_g
_
_ N
e,_ •_
N
N
_
SREAKING AWAYFROM THE FISCAL BIND
O.
-
Q
Z
o-
CO
_ Z
97
o
98
___=
ROSARIO G MAN_
_._ |_
_.___ _ _ _
100
- _
_
g _
N
_
N
_NN_N_NN_NNN
N_NNNNN_NNN
N
ROS_O
m_
N
N
N
G _A_
N
_ f_g
Table34 (continued) 3 BookValueof FJxedAssets(inthousand pesos) (
1986 Total of whch MFG
Regions PhdcpJnes
__ 1987 Total ofwhich MFG
1988 Total ofwhich MFG
1989 1 Total ofwhch MFG
P.
285461564 75390697296549978 82533547255904245 98746866229390146 80580053 '=1
% D=slnbubon r Jr ill NCR IV V VI VII VIII IX X Xl XII
0 60 2 84 51 29 13 12
1 24 5 23 24 96 17 28
0 67 319 49 30 14 18
1 26 5 38 26 10 19 83
3 71 47 01 10 41
0 76 0 49 5 45 29 03 18 67
140 0 40 3 51 59 35 9 78
0 68 0 21 616 49 28 20 98
2 60 3 24 5 12 7 20 0 61 658 2 57 2 50
0 60 3 90 4 50 24 60 0 85 631 4 29 4 81
2 79 3 08 5 15 7 54 0 76 579 2 34 3 41
0 55 3 30 3 65 24 24 0 73 454 3 37 5 54
1 34 5 34 4 97 8 66 0 94 712 4 09 3 21
0 43 2 42 4 05 20 77 0 97 512 4 01 6 76
1 51 3 12 4 33 2 63 0 81 680 3 74 2 04
0 20 143 312 5 53 0 73 383 3 30 4 25
67 25
47 46
66 68
51 32
61 12
53 16
72 65
76 42
51 29
24 96
49 30
26 10
47 01
2903
59 35
4928
_:
Share f NCR Reg=on IIIandIV toTotal(inpercent) ShareofNCRtoTotal(in percent)
Sources ofbascdata Annual Survey ofEstal_tshments (ASE)19861987and1989 NabonalSta'osl_ocsOffice(NSO) Census ofEstab_shments (CE]1988Nat_onat SlaL._cs Otlice (NSO) Inallestabhshmerds inagnculturein 19861987and1988 Inallestabhshments (nagxlculture const,'u_andnunmg andquar_ng in1989 Source Man,san (1993)unput_tshed
_"
Table 35 Market B=asof BOI [ncent=ves Share of Export Acbv,ties m Total Number of Projects Project Cost, and Employment of BOI Reg=steredF=rms 1986 1992 A NurnberofProjects Totaldornesbcandexportproduct AgricuLture and fishery
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
95
727
619
925
625
432
289
1
362
109
126
45
38
31
3
11
24
20
15
9
91
6
457
766
560
379
249
3
349 4
9 29
7 1
Mining Manufactunng Energyrelatedprojects Olhers
PercenttoTotal
Oomesttcproducers
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
2 11
3 85
12 44
12 76
16 16
18 06
15 22
3 87
t8 35
24 60
31 t 1
44 74
41 94
1286
13 46
8 84
Agncuttureandfishery Mmmg Manufacturing Energyrelatedprolects Others
2 20
66 67
3 94
9 40
2 01 25 O0
77 78 93 10
42 86
_ o o
k_
If >z
Table35(conbnued)
I.,./
1986
1987
1988
t989
1990
1991
t992
Export producers Agriculture andfishery
9789 10000
9615 9613
8756 8165
8724 7540
8384 6889
8194 5526
8478 5806
Mrnlng Manufactunng
9780
3333 3333
5455 9606
5000 9060
2500 8714
3333 8854
9116
9799 7500
2222 1034
5714 10000
1987
t988
1989
Energy-related projects Others B Project Cost(inthousand pesos)
10000
1988
_:
._ z
1990
t99t
1992
Totaldomesbc andexport product Agriculture andfishery M=nlng
1753555 16616161 28793233 55354957 52721228 48927993 20539236 19885 8 244199 3 201510 4 005886 1 154091 1461300 3 136014 -30926 547066 5408434 10213579 2112049 403081
Manufactunng Energyrelated projects Olhers
1666767 207261 21901227 45617646 4 1353558 45354644 17000141 66903 7 877074 2 070751 295983 -128938 993275 13504
Table35 {continued)
&
Percent zoTotal 1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1050 0 00
7 71 777
4288 5144
3028 5371
5081 6655
7775 3675
6782 2137
1104
9500
3827
2333
4453
7863
7563
0 00
5 38 091
5757 9328
3933
Export producers Agriculture andfishery
8950 10000
9229 9223
5712 4856
6972 4629
4919 3345
2225 6325
3218 7863
Mmln9 Manufactunng
-8896
4018 5 00
6351 6173
2881 7667
2553 5547
1276 2137
0 00 2437
Others Energyrelated projects
10000
9909 9462
736 4243
10000 6067
C Employment Generation
t986
1987
t988
t989
1990
1991
1992
24072
150231
128183
147353
96176
57782
38386
45
72490
21844
10789
4 190
4 938
5553
Domestic producers Agncu,ure andfishery Mining Manufactunng Energy-related projects Olhers
Tota|dornesbc andexport products Agncuilure andfishery
I_
I_ I_-
Table 35 (conbnued) 1988
t987 1 111
1988 1 744
1989 5 927
1990 10 379
1991 2 903
1992 1 096
23 896
810
103 012
129425
81 607
4g941
29737
131
73 045 1 529
523 884
1 188 12
Mlnzng Manufactunng Energyrelatedprolects Olhers
PercenttoTotal
Domesl]c producers
t986
t987
1988
t989
t990
1991
t992
0 98
2 67
17 20
13 37
12 44
17 97
9 16
72 13
49 76
20 93
34 93
1217
7 73
12 88
5 25
Agriculture andfishery Uznzn 9 Manufactunng
0 99
57 90
4 47
6 77
2 98
77 06
96 38
18 51
90 27
99 02
97 33
82 80
86 63
87 56
82 03
go84
100O0
100O0
27 87
50 24
79 07
65 07
87 83
3 24
72 08
25 17
54 01
23 29
99 01
42 10
95 53
93 23
92 27
87 12
100O0
97 02
22 g4
3 62
81 49
14 82
100O0
Energyrelatedprojects Olhers Exportproducers Agncult_re andfishery Mznm9 Manufactunng Energy-related projects Others
Source ofbasic data Selected Stabsbcs inBO1-Approved Projects bySector 1986tolg_2Board ofInvesb_=nts Source_ Manasan (1993c) unpubtmhed
94 75
F_
Table 36 Internal Rate of Return of a Hypothetical Firm Under Selected Incentwe Schemes m ASEAN Countries 1988
Indonesta n=lO n=20
120
Malaysia n=lO n=20
PhBbppmes n=lO n=20
Singapore n=lO n=20
Thailand n=lO n=20
1 ReguJar taxes(noincentives)
90
103
111
103
115
t50
165
113
133
2 Taxholiday(m,n no ofyearsallowed)
NA
165
150
125
135
170
173
120
135
3 Taxhol_lay(max no ofyearsallowed)
NA
165
170
141
150
200
190
140
150
123
123
138
140
NA
NA
150
165
4 Dutyexempbon oncapital
135
153
5 (2+4)
135
153
194
174
175
170
170
173
165
170
6 (3+4)
135
153
200
193
193
184
200
190
190
185
NA
165
160
NA
NA
NA
NA
115
135
7 Exportal]owance onlya
NA
8 (2+4+7)
135
153
200
195
175
170
170
1725
170
175
9 (3+4+7)
135
153
200
200
195
t84
200
190
195
190 ;o
MemoItem Im u
025 b 015/025f035
012 040 + 005
No_e Theassumed _rcome si_eam used mthese calcufabons isthatwhich ymlds before taxIRRof 20 Assumes firmas100% exo(_ bTheanaly=s uses u= 35forIndonesia
02
0
02
035
033
035
i _.
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHE FISCALBIND presence
of fiscal
mcentlves
Moreover
(hke Indones,
a) that wlthdrew
hurt
a move
by such In conclus,
teractmg
on
fiscal
cost
and
of the that
incentives
for exports
access
the
to ,nputs
drawback)
m attracting
at world
to ,mprove
the overall
government Nattonal
some
prices
deprecmuon
conslstently
The Nat,onal
Authority has
duty/tax the
3) setting
(NGA) has
been
a floor price
for palsy
a ce,hng
and through Because
a major
the ceiling
prices
of nee
loss
save the
avadment
role m marketing
the lead agency palsy
to protect
farmers
on nee import/export to engage
average
1987
not been
Umah
1989
very effectlve
the
and
that
prices
,nherenfly
prowdes d,rect sub to the NFA reached
1991
(Table
37)
Is thls
to the success of the NFA m carrying oLlt ,ts of a number of studles (Lantlcan and Un Clarets
imphclt
et al
m stabfllzmg
Clarete et al (T992) estimated est, mated three m11hon farmers from
income
of consumers
determined
,n an actlwty
of P1 2 b11hon m 1988
The
nee prices
by NFA s procurement
at the officlally
its monopoly NFA has
and
the welfare
are defended
stocks
nee
the Natlonal
m th,s area
1) stablhzmg
the
expense commensurate mandate? The results
benefited
and
of net
(NFA) formerly
entmls some losses the national government sldy to the NFA Natlonal government submdy
has
exemptlon
provtmon
Doing th, s could
price for nee to protect
d, sbursement
nevehr
However producers
on the 1991 mcentlves
played
tasks
The floor and
a yearly
the _t _s
to all fn'ms ,s recommended
chmate
Food Authority
the foUowmg
2) setting
and
Thus
Food Authority
and corn NFA
to warrant
system
be ehmmated
Also
based
m coun for indus
that prowde export
(through
investment
P4 bdhon
The government Grmns
those
be malntamed
carry over and accelerated
not seem
incentives package
partlcularly
that they were not
policy envlronment
FDI does
investment
BOI incentive
should
mdlcate
of countries
of the BOI mcentJves
in the overall
present
suggested
the experience
,ncentlves
the performance
the dlstortlons
trial promotlon
lOT
1992)
suggest
the price
that the NFA
of palsy
and nee
that less than 10 percent of the ,n the country could have actually
NFA subsldy
on palay
and
that
only
IO8
ROSARIOG MANASAN
about
two percent
country
could
of the
have
est:mated
benefited
10 mflhon
households
from the :mphclt
m the
NFA rice submdy
Table 37 NFA Losses t986 to 1991 (In bllhon pesos) Year
BeforeGovernment
Government
AfterGovernment
Subsidy
Subsidy
Subsidy
1988
1 779
1 100
0 679
1989
1 785
1 720
0 065
1990
1 026
0 900
0 126
1991
2 761
0 996
1 769
Total
11417
4 716
6 734
Source ClareteRamon Let al Securing Food Security Performance Assessment andFuture Directions fortheNFADecember 1992
Finally
C1arete
subsldy
program
receaved
by nee
from
the h:gh
et al showed
was
substant:ally
producers
cost
that
and
recurred
the
hlgher
total than
consumers
m the
cost
the actual
The dlfference
admmastratlon
of the
They pointed out the possabdlty of a bloated overhead hshed that m 1991 the NFA spent PI 52 to dehver subsady to farmers and consumers NFA s losses continually exceeded Thas mdzcates support
imphclt
the NFA had
its current
of the current added
that
to nat:onal
to the 1991
percent
expendltures
than
submdy comes subsldy
They estab every P1 of
draw
on ats equity
to
pmntmg
to the unsustamabd:ty
wathdrawals
from NFA s equity
are
then the sum of exphcat
and
subsldy
{Table 37) expendltures
hlgher
to effectavely
NFA amounts
the level of research
NFA
ahke {Table 38) In recent years naUonal government subsady
thus
If these
government
subsldy
b11hon m 1988
operataons
s:tuat:on
of the
to a yearly
Thas figure dunng
as more
the per:od
on irrlgatmn
average than
of P1 8 60 tames
and Is about
36
BREAKINGAWAY FROM THE FISCAL BIND Given
thin perspective
109
one can argue
that the momes
currently
spent on nce/palay on research and
price support through the NFA is better spent lmgaUon areas that are shown to have high
returns
terms
m relative
(David
et al 1992)
Table 38 Cost of Delivering NFA Subsidy 1991 (In b,ll,on pesos) Tradingloss LESS Subsmdles tofarmers
2 532 0 595
LESS
0 408
Subsidies toconsumers
Costof dehvenng subsidy
1 529
Source Clarete Ramon Let 8/ Securing Food Security Perfo_Tnance Assessment andFuture DiredJons fortheNFADecember 1992 Petroleum In the last
product
pricsng
two years
the price
of o11 m the world
exchange rate were fmrly stable These need to adopt a slmpler more transparent
market
and
petroleum products prlcmg mechanism One does not have far back into the past however to find out that the present is not sustainable
especlally
cost of oii is increasing In the months leading failed to adjust w_th rlsmg
petroleum
world
price
m a sltuatlon to the
1990
product of crude
the
developments masked the and more flemble off and
where
Gulf cnms
prlces
the landed
peso
the government
m a timely manner
off because
to look set up
of the strong
in step popuhst
protest As a result the natlonal treasury became P4 5 bflhon poorer since it had to effectively submdlze domestlc consumpbon of petro leum
products
dunng
Under the present
that system
prices of dflTerent petroleum and after pubhc
perlod
hearings
the government
products As such
fixes wholesale
and retail
based on pet_bons of off compames upward
adjustments
m petroleum
product prices become hlghly pohtlclzed Given tins perspectlve latmg off and petroleum product pricing is n-np_ratlve
deregu
110
ROSARIOG MANASAN De Lucla and Associates
of the pricing change hlghhghts nos 4 and
(1990} succinctly
outlines
the character
that _s necessary thls paper particularly 5 0) tying ex refinery prices (before taxes)
more closely with internatlonal pnces (u) brmglng the structure of retml prices (including taxes) more m llne with International relative prices
and the reailhes
complementary
of local demand
regulatory
msunng
that pnce
making
the
actions
changes
regulatory
(111)using
to stimulate
can be made
pnce
change
retail
prices
and
competition
(w}
_n a more tzmely manner
process
and
rules
{v}
absolutely
transparent -for both suppher and consumer pnces (emphasls supphed) (Vl) msul_ng that financial prices at a minimum cover full economlc tax revenues
costs
{wl) msunng
some
degree
of stability
of other
Several analysts proposed various ways of moving away from the extremely regulated pricing reglme prevmhng at present Intal (1987) suggested the use of a variable tax m tandem with a bamc tax on crude set
based
ell and
on the
refined
petroleum
followlng
products
conslderatlons
government the overall
the mcontlves to conserve energy cost structure of various industries
essentlally
a price
crude
off pnce
Oli price
according
off from some
One
of the
operates
contrast
The
mowng
options
long run
Fund
only subject
to the current
when
the world
m the flexible
of the current price
crude rate are
world
price of
reference
(1990} proposed
is reformulating
(OPSF) into a real stablhzatlon
to i'uced and
system
of the
and the impact on The variable tariff Is
tax rises
The changes
De Lucia
tax is
needs
It goes down when world
to the dexnatlons
the O11 Price Stablhzat_on that
tax
is hlgh or is increasing
determined crude
stablhzatlon
is low or is decreasing
The baslc
revenue
transparent
One way of doing
fund
procedures
in
this is to set up a
trigger price mechanism whereby retail price changes automatlcally to bring them in hne w_th mternatlonal prices once the OPSF hits the lower or upper
range
The other optlon rinsed De Lucla pointed where structure
out that
the Oli market is ohgopohst
small consumers
of a fixed band was absolute
price deregulatlon
this may not be rentable
is small by mtematlonal with slgmficant
are ill reformed
and/or
banners
However
m the Phthppmes
standards to entry
the supply and
have hlgh mformatlon
many costs
4 Conclusion
While it is possible to jumpstart the economy by slackening fiscal and monetary restraints
in the immediate term the economy cannot
afford
Thus
has
to continually to respond
deficits
to the
wlth growth
as the fiscal sector will likely fiscal
run large
challenge
in the medium is buffeted
be trapped
deficits
fiscal
fiscal deficits
of "reconciling
term
it take
steps
lower
fiscal
This is not an easy
by competing
claims
in the WClOUS cycle
unless
the government
of low growth
to improve
ance to reduce further selected government to reallocate government spending more
task
The government and
its revenue
high
perform
expenditure items and efficiently It should be
emphamzed that as a rule more revenues and less spending both be needed However the potential gmns from the former greater place
than
from the latter
in recent
years
opportunities
because
was dominated
for incremental
Nonetheless
the fiscal adjustment
_t should
by expendlture
budget
be stressed
cuts
are
that budgetary
cuts
will are
that took Thus
the
extremely
hmited
allocation
can still
be improved While
significant
in the last SLXyears preceding secnons increasing paper hUe
gmns
tax revenues
also identJfied enhancing have
important
to increase
been
at present
certain
However
structure
have
achieved
m tax mobihzation
more remmns to be done The analysis in the pointed out that the biggest opportunity for
negative
hes m tax administration
structural some
revenue
revenue
changes
of the impact
proposed This
from administralnve
that
The
are also reve
changes makes
m tax it doubly
innovations
112
ROSARIOG MANASAN
The revenue potential of user charges is not yet fully exploited m the Phthppmes Many analysts argued that user charges increase efficlency and raise revenues at the same time Also the concern that
user
charges
services
will hm_t the access
is misplaced
cost
sharing
state
owned
of the poor to critical
the paper
or cost recovery
argues
programs
pubhc
for more aggressive
partlcularly
m LGUs
and
enterprises
Recent nance
Thus
and
years
were
other
operating
marked
by dramatlc
expenditures
reductlons (MOOE)
m mature
and
capltal
out
lays While this was done to achieve fiscal stablhty in the short run the economy if it is to grow m a sustained fashion cannot afford such
unabated
dechne
infrastructure myopic
as it leads
which
in the end
Given seek has
rewew
premature
deterioration
value
its spending
more money
prlorit_es
its appropriate
can be spent
government doubts
reglstered
most
part_clpatlon on the cost
on Is
of capltal must
peso scope
stock
on capltal increasingly
It spends
In thls regard role and
that spending
to be spent
the government out of each
given changing technologles Also the government has
sources
particularly
on malntenance
posttlon
a blgger
to reconsider
sector ment
raises
to the
spending
scnmplng
necesmtates
Its dlre flnanclal to secure
then
m capital
Moreover
It must
the government vzs--ws
the private
and level of economic develop to reassess how its hmtted re
efficiently IS called
and for
effectiveness
effectlvely In this
in areas
regard
of the submdles
with the BOI and to the NFA for rlce/palay
thls
where study
glven to firms price
support
Th_s study also argues that the deregulation of the o11and petroleum product pricing Is imperatlve if future subsldles are to be avoided It is essentlal
that
made absolutely consumer changes a timely
prlces
the regulatory transparent and
m the exchange manner
that
price and
changes
change
automatic in dornestlc
rate and international
process
and rules
for both suppher prices prlce
be and
fully reflect of crude
odm
B1bhography
o
Blenvemdo
_ustoms
P Jr
and
Erhnda
M Medalla
and Tax Admlmstratlon
)IBM Government Thomas _outheast
"Direct Asia
Paper
Streamhnmg
Project
Investment
A Study
"Streamhnmg
prepared
for the PIDS
1993
of Japanese
of Motlvatlons
Enterprmes
m
Charactenst_cs
and
kttltudes ECOCEN Study No 1 Bangkok Economlc Coopera 1on Center for Aman and Pamfic Region 1973a "D_rect Investment of United States Enterprises m _outheast
Asm
_ttltudes
ECOCEN
ion Center
A Study
for Aslan
of Motlvataons
Study and
No 2 Bangkok Pacific
_Dlrect Investment ;ast
Asia
.udes _enter
A Study
ECOCEN for Aslan
Iournal
Report
Vol
Development
Inc
Mobd_zatzon
gram (LDAP)
USAID/Phlhppmes Bank
Dac_fic Countnes Manila tlsta Romeo M John Promotwn
Local
Studies
Coopera
Enterprlses
m South
Charactelnstacs
I and (ARD)
II
Asian
and
Wall
Street
Actwns
Asmstance
for Pro
1992 of Developing
Aslan Development Bank H Power and Associates
1979
AtU
Cooperatlon
Essential
Development
Key Indzcators
Pohc_es m the Phdlppmes
."or Development
and
1973b
of European
of Motivations
_GU Revenue n Development
Economlc
Region
Study No 3 Bangkok Economlc and Pacific Region 1973c
"The ASEAN 1979
_cmtes m Rural
Charactermtacs
Makatl
Phfllppme
Asmn
and
1992 Industnal Institute
114
ROSARIO G MANASAN
Ble]er Mario and Mohsm S Khan Government Pohcy and Private Investment m Developing Countries Internatmnal Monetary Fund Staff Papers Vol 31 No 2 1984 Bureau of Customs (BOC} BOC Annual Report Manila Bureau of Customs various years Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR} BIR Annual Report Manila Bureau of Internal Revenue vamous years Chhlbber Ajay and Sweder van Wljnbergen "Pubhc Pohcy and Private Investment m Turkey PPR Working Papers Pubhe Economics WPS 120 Washington D C World Bank 1988 Clarete Ramon L et al _Secumng Food Security Performance Assessment and Future Dwectmns for the NFA Report submit ted to the Department of Agriculture and the Government Corporatmns Momtormg and Coordinating Council December 1992 Commmslon on Audit Annual F_nanczal Report of Local Govern ments Quezon C_ty Commmmon on Audit various years Cororaton Caesar "Pubhc Sector Defic,t and Domestic Debt Heavy Burden of Phlhppme Economic Growth Unpubhshed 1993 Crown Agents 'Bureau of Internal Revenue Informatmn Systems Strategic Plan Report submitted to the Bureau of Internal Revenue 1992 Dav,d Crmtma Ehseo Ponce and Poncmno Intal Jr _Organ,zmg for Results The Phlhppme Agricultural Sector Working Paper Series No 92 08 Makatl Phihppme Institute for Development Studles 1992 de Dins Emmanuel and Assocmtes Poverty Growth and the F_scal Cnszs Makatl Phfllppme Instltute for Development Studles and Internatmnal Development Research Center 1993 de Jantscher Mflka Casanegra Carlos Silvan1 and Graham I-Iol land "The Audlt of VAT In Value Added Tax Admm_stratme and Pohcy Issues edlted by Alan Trot Washington D C Inter natmnal Monetary Fund 1991 delos Angeles Marian "Pricing Enwronmental Resources The Case of Forestry Water and Air Resources Unpubhshed 1993
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHEFISCALBIND
115
de Lucia and Assomates "Proposed Off Price lation in the Phlhpplnes Issues Options ommendattons
Report submitted
Dornbusch Rudlger and Stanley York McGraw HIll 1990 Economlc
Intelhgence
Hslao
Cheng
sahty 106 Intal
1985
ventlon
Mamla
Lamberte
Ms_no
Investment
Juhus
the Financial
nes No Studies
90 0S 1990
Lantlcan
Fiordehza
ketmg Trade Lmdsey
Center
1987 and
1988
Unnevehr
for Pohcy
Phfilpplnes
and
opment Manasan Return Analyms
Studies Rosario
Development
Studies
Contribution
"Foreign
II Makati
of Multmatlonal No
Direct
81 06
Investment
In Survey
Phlhppine
Quezon
Instltute
m the
of Pluhppme for Devel
1982 G
"Impact
Factor Prices of Incentives
of BOI Incentives
and Relative Factor under the Omnibus
1981 (PD 1789) and Investment Staff Paper Series No 86 01 Development
Group
and Agricultural
1987
Valencia
Research
Se
and Mar
Working
Economy
A Revlew of the Literature
Development
Paper
for Development
Pohcy
l_ce
of Pohcles
_Pdce Prlclng
Agricultural
"The Development
Ernesto
85
Foreign
Working
InsUtute
Firms m the Philippines D1seussion Paper City University of the Phlhpplnes 1981 and
Dkrect
An Assessment 1986
of the Philippines
Charles
Cau
7 (1981)
Off Prlce Inter
30
Phihppme
on the Phdzppme
Laguna
University
Sector,
Makatl
In UPLB
Issues
Income
1991
and Launan
Policy
Pohcy
Money
Savings
Relampagos
Affecting
1992
Economzcs
September
New
(EIIB) "Tax Evasion
Government
Financial
Unpubhshed
and
and
Redefining
Chromele `Frlvate
Bureau
of Monetary
"Towards
1990
Macroeconormcs
Unpublished
Modelling
Journal
Jr
Fischer
1989
Autoregresmve
Detectlon
Ponmano
to USAID/Phlhpplnes
and Invest_gatlon
m the Phfllpplnes
and Industry Deregu and Prehrnmary Rec
Studles
1986
on
the
Rate
of
Use A Comparative Investments Code of
Incentive Policy Act (BP 391) Makatt Phihppme Instltute for
116
ROSARIO G MANASAN
"Tax Evasion m the Phxhppmes 1981 1985 Journal of Phdzppme DevetopmentVol XV No 2 Makatl Philippine Instl tute for Development Studies 1988 An Assessment of Fiscal Pohcy m the Philippines 1986 1988 Working Paper Series No 90 06 Makatl Philippine Institute for Development Studies 1990 "Issues on GOP Comphance with VATPaying Registrants Indicator Report submitted to USAID/Phlhppmes 1991 "Fiscal Imphcatlons of the Local Government Code of 1991 JournalofPhdzppmeDeveloprnentVol XIX No 1 Makatl Phflxppme Institute of Development Studies 1992a "Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations Fiscal Federahsm and Economic Development m the Phflxppmes Working Paper Series No 92 04 Makatl Philippine Instxtute for Development Studies 1992b Assessment of the Streamhmng of Duty Drawback and VAT Credit Systems Unpubhshed 1993a _Rewew of Pubhc Expenditure in the Philippines Un pubhshed 1993b _nvestment Incentlves The Investment Priorities Plan and the Board of Investment Revlslted Paper prepared as background materml for the World Bank Phfllppme Private Sector Study 1993e and Poncmno S Intal Jr "Prlvate Sector Led Develop ment Strategy and the Role of Government m the Phihppmes Paper prepared for the Senior Pohcy Forum on the Private Sector Led Development Strategy and the Role of Government m Developing Countries Korea Development Instltute South Korea October 15 17 1992 Medalla Erlmda Assessment of the Tariff Reform Program and Trade L1beraILzatlon Tariff Commlsmon/PIDS Joint Research Project StaffPaper Series No 86 02 Makatl Philippine Instltute for Development Studies 1986 An Assessment of Trade and Industrial Pohcy 1985 1988 Working Paper Series No 90 07 Makatl Phflxppme Instltute for Development Studles 1990
BREAKINGAWAYFROMTHE FISCALBIND
117
_I'anff Reform Assessment Annual
Meeting on December 13 1991 Loreh de Dlos and Rafaehta Aldaba
Valuation Ministry
Manila
PHILEXPORT
of Trade and Industry
Tokyo
Mmlstry
Monsod
Paper presented
Sohta
_rhe Effects of HCV
1993
Wlute Paper on Internahonal
of Trade and Industry
_Calhng
a Spade
National
Report submitted
Tax Research
Center
and Complmnce Authority
Manila
(Tramlng
Let Smoke
"Phihppme
on
Report
trahzed
per No Studles
and
John
Studms
Staff
Powers
of Local
of Financing
for C1t
(DSUD) Project
Instltute
1992 Indus
Worlang
Pa
for Development
Jr
and
Makati
the Decen
V1ctorm P Her
Urban Phihppme
Dvnenswns
of
Institute
for
1983
and No
under
_rhe Philippine
W Paderanga
Incentives
m Asian Paper
Rinsing
and Performance
Phdippme
Phihppmes _ Report submitted Rana Pradumna "Recent Trends nomlc 1988
of Local
System
The Spatlal
"Investment
Investment
Powers
M Medalla
m the Phdzppmes
Development Power
1991
Rinsing
Development
Cayetano
Assoclates
Development
Revenue
Programs
Makatl
M
Unpubhshed
to USAID/Ph_hppmes Urban
Pohmes
Emesto
moso
and
1986
1992
and Erhnda
90 18 1990
Project)
zn Asm and the Pacific (,4 SGATAR
A Self Sustaining
Shelter
1990
1981
the
submitted
Fflologo Jr
trial Sector
on
High
and Development
Issues
Revenue
Unpublished
PADCO/PHILNOR
Pernm
Economlc
the
Revlew
TaxAdrmmstratlon
Tax and Tariff System
A Survey
Pante
Natlonal
Unpublished
Governments ies
Pluhppme
and Development
A Survey Governments
Sector
Get m Our
to USAID/Phlhppmes
(NTRC)
Tax Reform m Countries Manila NTRC 1990
Project)
Trade
1988
Donl
Eyes Pluhppme Star March 16 1993 Nathan Associates Inc "Plnllppme Transport way Subsector
at the PES
41
m a Protectionist
Regime
The
to USAID/Phfllppines 1989 and Issues on Foreign Direct
Pamfic Manila
Developing Asmn
Countries Development
Eco Bank
118
ROSARIOG MANASAN
Repubhc of the Phlhppmes Decree No 464) 1974 Ommbus
Real
Investment
Property
Tax Code
Code of198
7 (Executive
(Presldent_al Order
226}
1987 Local
Government
Code
of 1991
(Repubhc
Act 7160}
1991 S_mpl_ed SGV Consulting
and
Net Income
Tax System
Management
Sclences
(SNITS)
1992
for Health
(MSH)
A
Study on User Fees and Cost Shanng/Recovery m DOH Hospl tals Paper submitted to the Department of Health October 1991 Tan
Edlta
"Real Property
Taxatmn
Source of Local Revenues Cnsls edlted by Emmanuel Phlhpplne
Institute
Development Tecson Small
and
Scale
ment of the Phlhpplnes Manufactunng Industries ence of Selected Bank 1990 Umall
Dins
Center
Asian
"Rice Marketing
as a Major
Studies
and
the Fiscal Makat,
Internatlonal
1993
Llna Valcarcel
Medium
Its Potential
In Poverty Growth and de D1os and Assoclates
for Development
Research
Gwendolyn
and
and
Carol
Industries
Nunez
_rhe
in the Industrial
Role of Develop
In The Role of Small and Medium Scale m Industnal Development the Expert Countnes and
Mamla
Pmces
under
As,an
Development
Phfllpplne
Govern
ment Price Stabllmatlon In Pohcy Cons_deratlonsfor Structural Changes and Development in Philippine Agriculture by UPLB Agricultural Pohcy Research Program Laguna UPLB Center for Pohcy Yap
Josef
and
Development
T and
Phfllppmes 1993
Ceha M Reyes Report
World Bank Umverslty
Stud,es
"Fmcal
submltted
"Phfllppines Rinks and
Transport
Report Sector
- Devolutmn
Opportunities
Pohcy Alternatlves
to the As,an
World Development Press 1988a Phdzppme
1989
Report
1988
Development New York
Retnew
1988b
and Health
Serv,ces
No
12343
PH
m the Bank Oxford
Managing
1993
THE AUTHOR
ROSARIO
at the
Ph111ppme
Institute for Development Studies (PIDS) She undetakes dlnates the Institute s research program in pubhc finance
and coor and fiscal
pohcy
G MANASAN
specifically
enterprise
policy
taxation Holder
m a Research
Fellow
government
of a doctoral
expenditure
degree
and
in Economlcs
pubhc from the
Umverslty of the Ph111pplnes School of Economics Dr Manasan later took her post doctoral studies in economics at the Massachu setts
Institute Among
Economic
of Technology her important
Deregulation
latwn and Economic Llm and ]cs
Katsuml
1991)
Journal
Flscal
Economzc
_I'he Role of Fmcal
Pohcy
m the E1ghtles
m Deregu
_n the Phdzppmes
(Tokyo
Imphcatlons
Vol
Instltute Vol XIX
m ASEAN XXIX
Nos
edlted
by Joseph Econom
No
Countries
1 and
m
of Developing
of the Local Government
Development
Incentlves
Journal
are
Development Nozawa
of Phzhpp_ne
of Investment
works
in the Phlhpplnes
2
Code
1 1992 m the
1990
m the
A Revlew Phdzppme
Financing
PUbhc
Sector Development Expendzture tn Selected Countnes Phzhppmes (Mamla Aslan Development Bank 1988) and _rhe Public Enter prise
Sector
formance
in the 1975
Ph111ppmes 1984
- Economic
in Pubhc
Enterpnse
(Ljubl3una December 1988) Dr Manasan has served as adviser government International and private and fiscal issues over the years She
is a member
of the
ContmbuUon
Phlhppme
Vol
and consultant Institutions Economlc
VIII
and
Per
No
4
to numerous
on pubhc Soclety
Phlhpplne Statlstlcal Assocmtlon She has also attended sented papers m varlous local and international fora
finance and and
the pre