An Analysis of Economic Policies Affecting the Philippine Coconut Industry

Page 1

Philippine Institute for Develogment Studies _hrking Paper 83-08

AN ANALYSIS OF THE _C POLICT_ AFFECXTNG THE PHILIPPINE OOCENUT INDUSTRY by Ramon L. Clarete and James A. iRoumasset


AN ANALYSIS" OF.THE ECONOMIC POLICIES AFFECTING THE PHILIPPINE COCONUT INDUSTRY

Ramon L. Clarete

The coconut agricultural

industry

for k

generally

regarded

exports earners. coconut

as a predictor

products

feration

period

suggestion

importance,

the industry discussion

of low coconut

prices

policies

prolonged

period

for causation.

has intervened

a major

economic

major

of

source been

activity.

foreign

Coconut

exchange

and exporter

of

in the world.

of government

unprecedentedly

for general

has been the top producer

it are the focus of a public current

Being

users

it has, by its performance,

one of the country's

The Philippines

With such

in the Philippines.

rural population,

have also been

A. Roumasset**

has long been one of the largest

land and labor

of income

and James

more heavily

and the government as coconut

since

1980.

in the industry of low prices,

Relative

to earlier

in the industry

policies

farmers weather When there

years,

the

is a proli-

in the context there

in

of an

is the compelling the government

in the last decade

with

Paper presented at the Workshop on The Impact of Economic Policies on Agricultural Development sponsored, jointly by the Philippine Institute of Development Studies (PIDS) andthe Philippine Council for Agriculture and Resources Research and Development (PCARRD) on March 25-26, 1983, Tagaytay City. ** Research Intern, East-West Professor, University of Hawaii.

Resource

Systems

Institute,

and


the

export

tax,

the

Coconut

Oil, Mills

related

programs, One

of

the

CCSF

has

depressed

UN]COM,

issues

the

the

to .lower

the

benefits

offered program

productivity. since

products.

The

Bank,

were

purchased

While

indeed

during

the

impacts.

producer

The

turn

small

a.d

describe

the

of

by

it.

;] (] ram;_ t: i (' .increase

for of

the

C(7SF rev,.,nue

ha_s

the

owu,,r,

CCSF

r_,w.,n,u,.

out

the

of

governme_-)L there

t;ri.s paper's

that

limit

source

benefits

to

widely giving

major

export

purpo:_,

Th-i_ wc'dgt, i_

l)rote(:tion farm,.rs

cite

is

the

used

to

consumer

11_i_ed

to

.tax drive

compet'iri(.,),

of

levy

has

Coconut

Planters

has

increased

:,my au;,ivt ic ,,.:rudyof" it._ economic

prim;irv

the

today,

been

[nit,front i,n_ i,_ {h,- iudu._try

is hardly

the

country's

also

its

the

history,

Foremost _n

wl',ether

whether

CCSF

and

copra.

the

country

itself

of

After

the

UNICOM

prices

not

been

otl,(..rror_muÂŁ-based

and

direct

Proponents funded

has

of

other

been

entire

and

levy

a

Another

its

United

and

has

o_l

CCSF

are

in

mj [li,,g company

progrnms

Some

d:i.scuss_on

industry

1979).

price:_.

the

this

the

scheme

cooking

1970s,

policies

the

replanti.g

of

1973

It- in

The

in

by aiming

subsidize

merit

these

in

on

(UCAP, oil

t.he o_tabl, isbment

coco,Jut

surface tax

largest

helped

coconut

to

prices

also

replanting

the

largest

farm

being

].:_Jes,

(UN]COM),

the

levy,

coconut

from

a wedge

between

border

;_ppnr,,ni!v wi(hq%t.,d by

l.ower for

fi I| ti_._ gap.

It,,,,

ll;ivi._..,

pri_'.es

f_)r

I.'{llI_l_r_/l:

t!*,.

;

CCSF

(,(,pra

('l'l/'(}l}llt

levy

governproducers

Oil,

.'.r_.

and

mills.

relatively

availablv. an

ow-,rv.iew

government

(,1" thp poli.cies

coco,nil nrft.eting

inrlusl the

rv

(.qect'i.on

industry

1). (Section

we 2)


-3-

and present effects

summary

statistics

of these policies.

effective

protection

discussion discuss

(Sections

on the CCSF levy,

ownership

In section production

policy

This

resource

we also attempt

by a

We also program,

cost

and

(Section

5).

(DRC) of copra

in the major

in Section

and

is followed

Bank and the UNICOM

earned

The results

7 _,where

coconut

regions

4, 5, and 6 will be

to provide

directions

for

reforms.

I.

I.I.

trading

The Coconut

the industry

and processing.

are the main products 15.93 billion

over 90 percent while

Small a million quarters

is made

Figure

the three in the marketing

milling,

Industr_

An Overview

Generally,

about

exchange

are nominal

integration

the domestic

per unit of foreign

of the economic

and its benefits.

Planters

6, we measure

summed up in Section

3 and 4).

the vertical

Coconut

- (Section 6),

indicators

its revenue

program,

of the United

are indicative

The primary

rates

the replanting

which

gathered

coconut

make

farms

sector.

reported

Copra

farmers.

and nuts

Out of this,

in cocosut

to produ<:e dessicated sector.

ii_ the 1970 census,

five (5) hectares.

among

In 1980, for example,

by coconut

up the production

had a size under

products.

into co|)r;_,an input

the rest was utilized

production,

the interrelationship

of coconut

in the production

was processed

three sectors:

i il|ustrates

channe]s

nuts were

farmers

up of

Of

oil

coconut.

the rough19

about

The average

half

three farm size was


_4--,

2.4

hectares.

•consumed

About

locally,

United States

'18 percent

Tile

remaining

manufacturer_

products

percent

product:ion was

the coconut

in

exported

t980

was

mainly

meal,

to

the

flow to their

cooking

in miIZing.

copra

A few mills

oi]. and other

consumption.

of coco-chemlca1:;, they make

The

The oii mÂŁ11,ers also produce

a by-product

for domestic

buyers.

the oi'.], millers/exporters,

oil to produce

Together

products

made up of town and barrio

are primarily

and exporters

and coir,

industry,

sector

or copra

the crude coconut

based consumer

carbon

82

and dessicators/exporter._.

copra cake/pellets refine

sector,

the trading

users of these products exporters

t-he rota!

and Europe.

From the production u,qers through

of

Other

charcoal

up the processing

coconut-

users are the

and activated sector

of the


Figure

I.


-6-

in 1980, the industry corn.

Coconut area.

eultlvated percent

farmland

was 3.13

A total

of which were

million

coconuts about

were

_215.2 Next

exchange 1rig

to minsral

in

as copra;

locally

as manufactured

was

and

i,illion nut_,

value

crops

plmnted,

82

was _9.3

equivalent

bill_on.

to the r_tlotsl

export._ were value

the second

was UZ$820.5

of total merchandi._e exports

percent

is

described

was exported

to

Thus,

income

of

(12.2

lr_ Figure

as coconut

yercent),

homemade

blggest

foreign

uLi]llon, representIn 1980. 2.

Of

the

oli and copra

as dee:_icated cocoz_t.

area

total meal;

6

The rest wa_ consumed

oll

than

was 46 plants

(1.5

percent),

in 1980.

of

the industry.

42 percent

of the total

The tr_e density

in the rest of the country.

nuts was

dlstrltution

and approximately

in Mlndanao

hlgher

average

the geo_aphlcal

farm

trees were

deesloatlng

Tagalog.

all

Their

coconuts

oll

I presents

relatively

national

of

Their

among

coconut

and 6.7 percent

of the total

coconut

tr'ee. _. had been

and

(2.5 percent).

Table half

value

1980, 71.1

percent

foodnuts

cocor_t

p_r'cent of the entire

prices).

the country.

utllizatlon

produotlon

of land next to rice and

or 25

farad) wa,_ 15.93

of copra.

products,

of the

14.2 percent The

tons

(1980

of

hectares

u_lllon

of these

top contrlbut(_,

bllllon

earners

user

bearing,

metric

the

mill_on

of 420

The total production about 3.9

was the third largest

_r

bearlng

In Luzon,

tree.

especially

The

in Central

About stock

Vlsayas

In terms of y_el_,

bulk of coconut

in Metro

M_nila

of

the

oli mills

and Southern


Utilization

Figure 2. of Coconut Production:

Coconut Oa

0

C_:a_

0

Coconut

1980

_,4_,0.803 _,_38

TOTAL PRODUCTION 2,0_9,T40

"4

2So/.

I_r_aCtured

Ot

_:) w

Z49,841

IAE¢a,,q


t,c.,._ Infc,-_._ticn ;dx_t the C_o_mt Industry, _.'i P,e._ial, Piilit%,i_w_s: 19;0

_Kli

i__..

i_<.-, i: !]_=,........... • _ • "" _,"-, i.=-z, -. -_... - -

................. •C,'.:,_a i :',_ _.";.Z ....... _._,'..._;_ :_,_,o , ' -.

Tru_ P,._r llc_tare

Yiel_ (_mts put bearir_]tree)

Z_,ual P_ted Pilling Ca[_city (IZ cop/a)

llilling Units

Dc_aicati,_i l'lalt_

3,126

417,362

133

46

3,324,600

55

Ii

133,': 51 2,314 _._._ Cn8 "" "_" _ ,L].2

144 176 133 14o 171 .:,,

,15 49 45 _63 3.1

I,446,000 _-

38 _

_

1,2_6,00B 1CO,oOC

35 3

_

if0,7!u i4,73_, 3,:,<,,'_-_ >..,_,.,7

177 ±_u :L"<; ".;53

._ 40 31 27

!7._ _,.._ ...._.,_ '-""-_

_,_.r.,. :_":'.

,:5 lr

]_.

")<

1,W.

=.".

:',_:-3 13 ._ :_"' _<._ ,"'

_

::_

A_'eaPI._,u¢,_ '_,or61 C6corat to Cccu,_t Tr¢:_ (I,C00 }_u.) (l,O.qOtrees)

"

_ .

"" • _

,.,..J," _-_ IL "_ .:,,,_' 1,":,' ,_ _ _7 _

.......

'0

":"

"r'".

L?

--

"1"9

36.9,l_C' 45,_..;0 306,650 37,500 1,,_,u ,500

8

7 4 1 20

--

_ _"

'_I


-9-

1.3.

Patterns

Increasing observed output to

from was

coconuts

of

growth

area

down rate

was

in

the

the

1950s,

steady

capability

to

1970s

when

the

growth

Copra

and

coconut

generate

products.

mix

from

of

coconut

oil

of

coconut

processing

last

leadership

of the in

trees

gestation area

were

coconut

2.1 percent

in

1960s

period

planted

for

and

was

two per

year

value the

last

the

decade.

country

impressive

trees

the

same

main

This

to

foreign

shift 1950s

to have

and

in

the

an

period.

growth

The

growth

negative

rate

decline

period. been

in

rate

exports,

rate. of

the

of

25.5

the

rate

But eroded

their in

the

percent.

exchange

1960s

implies same

0.3

the

increasing

annual

copra

dropped

in the

their

For

appeared

a significant in

most

an average

for

the

at an

from

decades.

by

of productivity.

growing

the

at

more

(discounting

Recovering

been

copra

explained

that

recorded

their

have

the

of

of

a result,

the

2.7 percent

exchange

of

was

fr_

than

increased

foreign

oil

rate

growth

production

5 percent

There

during

about

they

rate

As

apparently

rather

value.

the

at

the

is

exports

and

2).

stock

1970s.

trees

oil

and

Normally,

However,

in

during

(Table

decade.

while

was

the

last

planted

accelerating

1960s)

growth

coconut

an

industry

area

1960s

at

the

year

at

in

constant

in volume

per

the

and

both of

to

the

of production

coconut

half

in

growth

7 years.

trade,

increase

percent

the

planted

yield

In

of

during

rate

second

growing

growth

of

of

1950s

slowed

The

rate

the

is about

apparently

rates

rates

also

7 percent

of.Changes

earners

export-product to

the

dominance

intensification

among


-1C,_

Table 2. .'Growth tlates and Some CtmnBes In The Coconut Industry: 1955 - 1980 (In percent)

......................................... 1955-1960 Growth

Rates = Area PZanted Total Trees Coconut Produotion Yield

0.8 2.0 2.8 2.6

Value

Share

m

;;;-;;;

I

6LO 5.0 2.1 2,0

5.0 _,0 7.0 2,8

-0._ 2.0 8.0 2.0

25.0 5,0 8.0 3,0

2_,0 5•0 5.0 10.0

of Exports: Coconut Oil Copra Dessleated Coconut Copra Meal

3.0 3.0 10.0 3.0

27.0 _.0 J_.0 20.0

30.0 0.3 31.0 20.0

in Total Export Values: Coconut Oil Copra Dessicat.ed Coconut Copra Meal

11.0 77.0 9.0 3.0

24.0 6 1.0 9.0 6.0

5_.0 29.0 9.0 8:0

Un_te_ Europe Others

ITS.0 ,4.0 8.0

51.0 43.0 6.0

_I .0 43.0 16.0

Volume of Exports: Coconut Oil Copra Dessioated Coconut Copra Heal

AveraKe

Source:

of

States

ten

years

m = m m

1961-1970

-

(1951-1960).

Basic data drawn t'rom Phillppln_, Coconut Authority and BAECON, Ministry of AEriculture (fur Area Flanted and Trees). The United States and Europe have been the =aJur t_yers o£ the country's coconut products. The country had apparently d_verslfied its markets durin8 the last decade, as shown by the increase in the share of the rest o£ the wurld to total export value from 6 to 16 percent. The new markets fur cocom_t products included the Soviet Union and Chtrm.


-11-

l._

Prices

Fluctuating

incomes

Thls Is illustrated domestic part

prices

of

in Figure

ton,

Ooeo_t

ton).

palm

oil,

It is

another.

This

- a finding

entire

w_Id

to 1980.

and coconut

oli,

In the lower

given

shows

the plot of world

prices

in pesos

of soybean

and palm

kernel

(in US dollars

to note

how these

prlees

moved

how

that

pr_duoKion

from 1955

of copra

these oils are close

fur the elasticity

of this and the fact

and

copra

illustrates

relevant

world

of the industry.

considerably.

oil,

interesting

oilseeds

prices

The upper part of the figure oil,

are characteristic

illustrates

oils and

domestic

fluctuated

fePmers

3 which

of vegetable

the figure,

pep metric

of coconut

coconut

of food

issue

oils and fats

so closely

substltutes

discus_ed

oil oonstltutes

only

per metric with

_one

in Section

one

another

3.

Because

about 5.8

percent

in the last decade

[UCAP,

of the 1981],

%

the world The

d_and price

periods t acute

for Philippine peaks

in

shortages

1974 of

coconut and

ell is likely

1979 were

the _aj_

rather

to be hlghly unusual.

elastic.

During

food oils and fats in the world

both followed

&

weather-induced during are

shortfall

these years

substitutes

aUJ-ava%ed

fc_ mineral

chemicals.

Accordingly,

been

by

caused It was

the

government

intervened

the poliCy

responses

elaborate

have

affected

on

supply.

The

the situation. oil

sOme

the high

during

will

their

in

in their swltching

non-food to

these

thereby

first

price

peak

the CCSF

levy

the industry.

oils,

uses, from

further

(which

section

where

like coconut produotlon

mineral

ell must

increasing

started

of edible

in OPEC ell

e.g.,

and the subsidy

to the dlsappearanoe

this in the next

Increases

Vegetable

OPEC prices,

with

price

in

their

1973)

we discuss

of have

prloes.

that

progrem..Ttmae

ell from

oil,

the were

the market.

We

the policies

that


Z 0

:e rq

_, ,_'_"_ _,_ "_ I_ "_¢'_

I:OZ i r_¢'*

Z

_J_

_.,_

(I_. _

!

(

1


-13-

Before general An

the

1970s,

scope.

the

economic

policies

affecting

the

Industry

were

The import controls in Lhe 1950s and the decontrol progrnm

and the consequent retention scheme in the 1960s were overall economic policies for these years. Except for two insignificant industry tazes,i hardly any Induatry-speclflc policies. decreed during

In contrast,

there were

more of the latter were

the 1970s.

Another diÂŁterenoe in the policy pattern during these periods was in the eztent of taxation.

Relative to earlier years, there were a_cre and heavier

explicit taxes on the industry in the last decade. we present chronologlcally

With this as an overview,

the Important policies which have affected the

industry.

2.1. sefore the 70s The system oi*import controls in the 1950s_ which in effect undervalued foralgn exchange, Implicitly taxed exports in general. The exporters lost by the dit/erenoe between t_e free market and offlcal values of their foreign exchange earnXngs. export

volume

in

order

Thus, exporters had to avoid

this

ant incentive to understate their

implicit

export

tax.2

A better picture emerged in the 1960s wlth the decontrol program and the gradual devaluation of the peso.

However, implicit taxation on export8 in

1

These taxes were authorized to be collected in 195q and 1955, respectively, in order to finance the PhÂŁ11pplne Coconut Administration. Together, their' rate was eI.50 per m.t. copra.

2

Some evidence supporting this can be fc_nd in Darrah and Tion_on

[1969],


se_mrel this

eontlm_ed

scheme,

with

the

exporter=

.-ete=_tlon

were

allowed

scheme policy to retain

of the Central

a portion

of

exchange revenue that they could sell at free market rates.

their

Bank.

Under

fceelgn

The rest, however,

were to be exchanged at the lower offlclal rates, constituting a tax on their exports.

Thls scheme was lifted An 1965 [Power and Slcat].3

2'2

the

The floating rate policy in 1970 ushered in explicit taxation on exports in pnoral.

Largely in order to siphon off the windfall profits gained by

exporters with the devaluation of the peso, the government through Republic Act r

(RA) 6165 explloit1_ taxa(__aJor exports in general.

The tax was assessed on

the f.o.b, value of exports. The Or_ÂŁ_l

plan in 1970 was to lower its rate every year until It would

have been phased out in 197_.

Bowever, Presidential Decree (PD) 230 made

export taxatlon a Permanent policy of the government in 1973 [Yoln_o Qulntos]. percent

3

and

The decree aAao fixed the rate of the tax at 6 percent fer copr_ _ far

processed

coconut

products,

as shown in

Table

3.

Another general polloy to note was embodied in the bilateral Laurel-Langley agreement between the Philippines and the United States. _tartlng 19_t oooozpat ell and copra meal exports to the US, provided they were within qUota IAmlta, were exempted from US duties. The agreement explred in 197_.


- 15 Table

3

The CCSF Levy and Export Tax Rates on Coconut (pesos/mr copra)

Products:

1970-1981

Copra Exports

Proceed Coconut

CCSF Levy Period Covered Year

Actual Rate

Average* Rate

Levy

Percent of Export Price

Exports

1970

....

I0

8

1971

....

8

6

1972

....

6

4

1973

8/10 - 12/14 12/15 - 12/31

150 250

60

4

6

4

1974

I/i - i/i0 I/II - 5/23 5/24--11/5

250 550 1000

770

21

6

4

1975

i/I - I/I0 1/11 - 5118 5119 -12/31

700 400 300

350

21

6

4

1976

i/I - 12/31

300

300

20

6

4

1977

1/1

300

530

21

6

4

1978

3/16 -12/31

600

1979

1/I

600

600

13

7.5

4

1980

i/i - 5/27 5/28 - 7/12 7/13 -12/_I

600 700 suspended I000"*

24

3*

2*

i000"* lifted 500

31

lifted

lifted

1981

-

3/15

-12/31

i/I9/9 9/10-10/2 10/3 -12/31

* weighted average.. ** on exported copra only. Source:

Philippine

Coconut

Authority

800


-16Another proces_d

Th_p

exports.

purpose of the export exports were taxed

Xn

1979,

increasing

thla

due to low

coconut

the rate

differential.

was

producers

this

to

company the

and

oompany,

the

converted

to

Its

because

of

business

of

receipts.

It

industry

its

Z.2.3. _

exports

thereby was llfted

and

its

the

the

vertical

processing

shape entire

the

producers

To establish to

cocotmt These

COCOFUND levy integration,

of nature

hiatopy,

Company._

This

could the

and

invest

ownership

farmers

upon

receipts

were

in of

payment to

of

be

company,

magnitude, of

coconut

from

the COCO_ND

ton (st) of copra

Investment

products.

their of

Cocormt

issued

'1972. Called

per metric

products.

were

of

stock

\

idea

helped in

percent

levy was to be collected

starting

whereby

their

receipts

small

trading

of

sale

of

the

instrument

trading

shares

a fixed

at the rate of _5.50

the

the

Despite

to 7.5

the tax on coconut

o_ ten years

underwrite

COCO_ND

during

levy

1970s

to

become

processing

this

the

to

increased

was passed whereby

fixed

utilized

was

In 1980,

for a period

tax was

be

was

Levy

In 1971, RA 6260

levy,

copra

prices.

2.2.2._e _

coconut

f_

tax was to promote forward integration. two-percentage points lower than other

their of

the

the

was

_.e.

products, most

significant

farmers and

important

due

An the

going to

the

into

the

COCOFUND

production

levy

on

CCSF levy.

CCSF_.V.y5

The government collects the tax directly from copra uaere, who in turn deduct the tax ÂŁrom their buying prices far oopra. In ot_ler words, the price received by the farmers is the market price of copra at the farm _ess the COCOFUND levT. This same collection procedure is followed far the CCSF levy.

5

For

a more

levies,

detailed

see David,

disousalon

1977;

UCAP,

on

the history

1979; Clar_te,

of 1980.

the COCOFUND

and

CCSF


-17As stated imposition prices ment

above,

of the CCSF ].evy.

of basic then

day m.

coco-based

Imposed

dlsappearanoe products

st To

4)

ceilings

cooking

was oll

to

about

90

Phlllppli_

Cooomtt The

capture

premium

valuation National

The of all

Economic

for copra

and 20

In a end of

1974

bid

the subsidy

after

premium (PCA)

was

exports

and

subsidized

supplying

the

"by

the

the producers

fc_

Thus,

this purpose.

to change

It further

or after

their

productlon.

subject

to continue

duty

in

_e

PD It

depending

decreed

duration

time that

their

of

that the

voldinE

two new u.-_s of the levy:

to pay

by

Executive

exporters

res_ectlve (NEDA). coconut

the export

the national

thereby

some

funds

Order

No.

l'or the

b_se

425

from any favorable

the dlfferem-e

Authority

coconut

the levy

and to allocate

197_

on

for processed

to increase

to

to soar

I0, 1973 for

one year

by coconut

assessed

Development percent

continued

program.

T_iegovern-

led

in

up, the

to invest.

imposed

i_Lins m_de

to launch

on August

The farmero added

was

which

heavily

prices

PD 41_ was issued

duty

in 1980, at the same

input

had gor_

was earlier.

Authority

duty

lost

inputs

slgnlflcantly,

products

per mt of copra,

of

of the

the windfall

situatlons.

levy

whÂŁohever

percent

prices in 1973 led to the

from a new levy on coconut

at D150

ot PD 27_.

rose

the government

the _SF

In 1974, however,

fOr

while

be rescinded

oriels;

the provlaloDj

Producers

the situation,

iDÂŁtlal_

products fee- these

market.

funds coming

of coconut

the cost of cocom_t

consumer

the fundlr4_ requlr_ent

the levy

increase

Since

prices

imposed

the rate

upon

the

controlled

remedy

276 (Table

prloe

_om

thelr losses with

set

the abrupt

between prices,

products.

market

the customs

as

The tax rates

to

set were

by

the

30 percent

This duty was lifted

tax was rescinded.

productivity, program

PD 582 w_

to replant

issued

towards

the country's

the

coconut

,t

farms with

a oooomat

hybrid.

It crested

the Coconut

industry

Development

Fund


-13(CIDF) for the Purpose.

The CCSF levy way the instrument to raise revenue for

this fund. In 1975, the PhilipplrwsCoconut Authcrlty (PCA) was allowed under PD 755, glven out

that year, to purchase, in behalf bf the _ocor_t farmers, the First

Unlteo Bank.

The oapltal it used in this venture wa_ part of the funds alloted

to it for investments under PD 41q. Coconut Planters Bank (UCPB).

TI_

bank bec_me known aS the United

The |ercent o£ equity held by the PCA in UCFB

fop the coconut farmers in general was 70 percent.

To glve this Percent to the

farmersp the PCA ruled that only those who owned COCOPdND recolpts would be eligible to own shapes of stock in the bank.

Ac_ordlngly, for each peso o£

COCOFUND reoeipts, the PCA gave to the owner

three sharee_"with a par value

of it.e0 each. The UCFB beome could invest

now the principal instrument by which

in pr_cesslng and

accordance with the vertlcal

trading of thelr',products.

coconut farmers This was in

integration progPsm of the government for the

£ndtlstry_ as spelled out in the COCOFUND law, RA 6260, and in PD 232 in 197]. But the most expllelt statement for this pr_gr_ Coconut Industry Code, PD I_68, in 1978.

was given by the Revised

To give the program more funds, PD

Iq68 created the Coconut Industry Investment Fund (CIIF) again through the instrumentality of the CCSF levy.

The CIIF has been _._nagedby the UCFB.

By 1979, 0CPB had bought out, with the CIIF, almo._ttwo-thlrd_ of the country's

total rated milling

oepaolty.

The newly aoqulrcd m£11s were

consolidated under ore company, the UNICOf4,with government authorization and full support, history

This veorganlzatlon contrasts dr_atloally

of the country,s milling

development can

business.

w_th the.eompet_tlve

The .events leading to this

be partially attPibuted to some faulty plannlng on the part o£

the Board o£ Investments (BOI).

Based on misplaced optim£_

abou_ future copra


"1gsupply,

the

BOI continued

in

the

second

hal# of

the last decade

to grant

incentives to investors in coconut ell mill_ng until the milling business was overQrowded. Qopra

The rated

supply.

This,

closed

down.

InstrUction

The

turn,

led

suspended Upon Lts

the

a sharp

on May 27p

to

by over

a tight

levy

domestic

sale,

the user

had to

content

a million

competition

tons for

the

copra

equivalent

to

tar

an expOrt the

relnt_odunedt

its

StabAlizatlon

Fund

depending thust

thereafter,

available mong

Xt_

is

destlned #400

clearance.

1980,

Letter

the

CC3F levy

Project

during

copra'

the

was

in PD 1699.

Development

_'_-domestic

of

shortly.

as provided

ton wa_ collected

An addlttoral

Fund. s first

consumptlon

(which

was to be paid by the exporters

Thus,

the

new levy

was rouEhly

tax oi" _I000.

CCSF levy name was

was lifted

changed

(CZSF).

In

upOn the

level

the

in

a new frame, Coconut

product

with

be discussed

prices

_5 days

per metric

export

_ereafter

will

_n cocor_t

reoeAved

the

shortly

of which

to resume

declare).

applied

sohedttle;

_600

unless

when they

1981,

_t

of

intervened

decline

1980

resumption,

An inAtlal

In

sovernment

(LOI) 926,

Follovtng

6

in

exceeded

The problem was highlighted in 1979 when some o£ the new ell aLlls

users.

variable

capacity

name

£cr

the of

f_ the

first

second

a month.

tlme to

quarter

coconut

"sliding

about

prices,

of

1982,

When it

the its

according

Coconut rate

was Industry became

to a specified

Ievy".6

The sliding levy rates can be Econd in Far Eastern Economic Review, February 12, 1982 issue. It also cme to our knowledge that the export tax was reintroduced in 1982. Other uses of the CC_F levy not covered In this sootier 8_el 1)The Coconut Farmers Refund, f_r the 1LEe Lnsuranoe progPms £or the OooOrn't £al_erej 2)The Scholarship Fund t whloh the chAldren oF the faa38er8 carl warm on competitive basis; and 3)The Copra Price Stabilization Fund, r_r Anventments An copra trading, also in accordance with the vertical lnteKratAon proarl as the CXIF.


Table THE LEC_AL BACKGROUMO OF THE (CST LEVY

Oecree/LOi/ lmplementimj Orders P.D. Z76

P.O. 414

i

Date Issued Aug. 20, 1973

Title

............

Important Provisions

Establishing Stabilization

the Coconut Consumer Fund

It started the CCSF levy to effecL a price for coconut consumer products. Supervised COCOnUtConsumer Stabilization Committee.

stabilization scheme by the Philippine

18, 1974

Further

Amen_in9 P.D. 232 As &_ended

PCCSCabolist_d and function given to PCA. CCSF levy collections were partly used for the vertical integration program and to absorb the pr_eiu_ duty. o

P.D. 582

Nov. 14, 1974

Further

Amendin9 P.D. 23Z As Amended

Established the CIDF for the replantin_ program. A perm4_;ent lvvy of PO.20/kilo from CCSI r levy rate plus initial CCSIr contril:ut!t:_.' nf PlO0 _il lion.

P.D.

755

July 29, |975

Approvin? the Credit Policy ef the Coconut iflduStry as ReCome_.ndedby PCAand Providing Therefore

Approved the purchase of the First United Coconut Plan_ers i_ank out of CCSF.

r'.D.

iC'33

N:r_. 8, !_77

Institu_.ing a Procedure f_r tr,e _anagement of Special arid Fiduciary Funds

I.-_p_i._itlv

P.D.

]46R

PCA Ad::_r;ist,-aL,;ve Order NC. I Series of 1979

April

t

I

June tl,

April

197El

May 4,,. 1979

LOT No. 9Z6

Sept. 3, ]g/g May

_,:__r_'

_/,

i9_O

Sept. 9, 19P,1

t_at

t_.e CCSr _s a s_eci_.,i _n_j :_d,Jc:,_r:. %,r._

r-, _.,,_ _e;,_, -'.._ed for '',_,0, -_,._C'n_ng_ '_ " v_rt'_Ca _, ._te_r_le_t _; .' "% "._c;_r_,l price $.e4h,:_ZaLfOn .'.c._eme C_SF aS _riva:... ;sta_,-_,::i C[!F, C,_conut F_r-_ers Pefuncl_ r'ror_:nted COCe,_[D Devei ,,':r:;.*_'_ ,t,_

]9, _;9

LO| No. 85;

P.O. 1699

Revisecl C_conut Industry

_e_la_ed

Bank (o b,.tu_,_ _ht, _:;_,!

i_l_eae_lT_. _.0.

,',_R.

_,t-.*_Ii_he,_ ;'_e_ e_t_L.s_d_ SC._:e_?.

Established the CPSF. Ai_,o.cates the Sur._;_ of the.7;u,"Sidy Fund t_-CllF. Sociai Arreliorat;onFund. an,,_ CPSF at 24, 4,3,and 35 percent, resl)ectively. Rationalizationof the Coconut O:,l Milling lfldus try

Established an_ gave._ul; ._,overn:_ent _upj.,nrt tn _)fllC:i._..

_rlACt Suspend|ng the Collect. ion of the CCSF Levy and Sir,:ilar Levies and Providing in Connection Therewith Appropriate Mea_u,"estO CuShion the Adverse Effects Thereof on the Coconut Farmers

S,_;,en/.c-,;

t_.._ ievy

|or"

.i_

.._.I.'_.

_.___i,!TS:'!Pd

thp

C_i'_.

The CESF le,-vw_s }ifte:l.*_-,, ;",-;,si_tl._al,:C_s, onl)-to be re;,_po',e_ a ,,,._n_.n?,_,ter'. Nn fO,"'_,'-.aiPre_._,te,'l,.'._:;i i_ec,--ee ha,F;FeL ;,e_n ;sxue,I.

l H o I


-21 -

As stated 1979 It

crisis

Of

PCA.

all

to the

oil mills

This

refer

policy

largest

has

only

Thus,

restricts

their

the UNICOM

of new

the approval

as the UNICOM of

is the restriction

competition

full

of the

policy.

coconut

oil

of the freedom

has not only become

copra

buyer

in both

the

in the country.

copra

and

___

of the various

in Figure

_.

to the exporter

relevant

we further pOlIQiSS.

copra, world Dd

equilibrium

For

for Philippine

of which

Finally,

discussion

but also the biggest

_

demand

the

ones wltbout

the second

of UNICON_

the establishment

One is the eoncentratlon

business. oil,

to give

to the

markets.

marketi_ is

it problbited

response

the creation

government

of existing

company;

polic,/, therefore,

illustrated

levy,

private

of coeo_t

The effects

dlreotly

the

of

two features.

seller

3.1. _

world

It authorized

to this in the succeeding

the milllnE

oll

oooonut

agencies

Furthermore,

into

The overall

the goverrnnent's policy

oil mills.

as the expansion

mills in a single of entry

relevant

company.

as well

We will

_O1 926 outlined

the country's

instructed

support

above,

while

d_and is

the

assume

user;

D_

demand

elastic;

reflects schedule

for

I) the

in

of D_ and $2.

are

produoinK

the and

to this schedule.

valor_

copra.

zell

tax and the CCSF

and evasions,

schedule

the ad

that:

(2) the producers

no ex_mptlons cost

be eoneeptuall_"

assume

the per unit levy

at the intersection

can

and (3) the export

is the margl_ml

while

above

of illustration,

to have

incorporates

domestic

discussed

is perfectly

or domestic

serve,

is defined

purposes

copra

S| S2

policies

The

export

Dw

tax.

distorted

The vertical

dlstanee


-22-

between

Pw and P

from Pw to Pu

[user's price),

2) the distance Nominal

is made up of two components:

border

the case of copra, (t) and the CCSF portionate

rates

prices

levy

(f).7

is primarily

Thus,

between

is the export

ban.

equal to the difference at which domestic trated

in Figure

to an export

supply 5.

case of export

tax plus

In

due to the export

tax

NPR as the pro-

- (t + f).

received

ban is equivalent

between equals

Thus,

(Pr) .

Pr and Pw-

The export

ban is b.

levy.

prices

if we define

that rm_y reduce prices An export

tax; and

the policy-induced

[Pw) and producer

N_R=

policy

the CCSF

(NPR) measure

this margin

difference

Another

the export

from Pu to Pr, representing

protection

wedge between

representing

i) the distance

actual

border

domestic tax which

to an export price

demand. would

our corresponding

by producers tax

and the price

This

is illus-

be just equivalent formula

for the

export ban is

NPR-- -(t + b) 7 Note _hat the levy, f, is here expressed as a percentage of the fob world prioe: _ taxes omitted are the COCOFUND levy and the premium duty. The former is roughly one percent of the border price of copra. Although thslatter could be substantial, the exporters, nevertheless, paid only 10 percent of it. The rest was paid out of the CCSF levy, as provided in PD 414.


-23-

Since

b is not r.Jadily observable,

by dlrect_

oomparlng

however,

to

Power].

Direct

which

are

competltive example, however,

it

are

induced raises If

is able

curve

producers,

intersection

to collect

and

such

as

The

and S3.

to government

tax

marketlr4

(represented

profits

be taken,

[Hedalla

of other

the

effect

the

controls,

and

policies, of

the

agency,

|,rices ree_:ived by

producers

from

is a

aono_s_ist,

marketing

for

profits.

how marketing

proflts

The

the distorted

distorted

(P R). U

Potential

help

to lower

marginal

between

profits,

in ma_'ketlng.

equilibrium

difference

by the distance

NPH will

marketing

inefficiencies

new

then

as the government's

is

P W

export

_hould

time

the effects

by government

Is introduced,

33 .

of D_

lowers

the agency

6 illustrates

An additlorml

subject

by taxation

or

can be dissipated

Figure

formally,

Care

_P_

polio),.

levels.

then

prices.

looatlon

also capture

incorporate

prices

equivalent,

and border

of quality,

comparisons to

from the were

Its

copra

price

producer

domestic

far effects

s marketJ.ng

If

or

control

difficult

government'

differ

actual

it may be p_-oferable to estimate

producer

outlay deflned

and P

prices.

schedule at

of

the

Is due to the r

PwPu ), the CCSF levy

(RPr),

and the


The Copra ,Export Tax

Figure 4. Market With 'The and The CCSF Levy

Price

P p

S2

S1 w

D

u

w D'

I I

w

P r

i

I I i

1

I I

Dd

! 0

Copra Qd

••

q]]e Copra Export

Qp

Figure Market

Tax

and

S. With

The

Export

Ban

Price

I Dw

PU =

P

Dw

Dd

0

Qd

= Qp

"

Copra


3.3. _-___ the

If finite,

ion_-r,_n e]astxoi_y

then

of worla

Another

country's

copra

nopra,

increase

(Ed)

its monopoly way

by which

importers

instructing

efficiency

is by

it

w_'i,_ demano

tax, eq_al

fc_ Philippine

exploits

receipts.

of

im_os!t.g an expor_

d_and

the country

for

_,'. _.c___.+ _,-:. :._,,,i.,.,5._. " - ,-:, :

Lo the reciprocal

position

thereby

to capture

these

establishing

on

Philippine

coi_rar will increase

to maximize

depends

for

the

wurld

That is,

taking in addltlot_l _onopoly

profits.

demand

profits

export

from

marketing

Whether

for

is

of the elasticity

efficiency.

a government

export

copra

monopoly

such

Philippine

the

actions

c_covmt

products. Econometric underestimate due

to

for

in

could

Some

not activity

to trade

factors

and

in

other

change

in

to u_

ava11_b.le data

to

are larger

coconut

oil

the execution

Furthermore,

or" to. pol._tical res_)nse

tend

_.a not appropriate

re oresen_s

markets.

1971)8

elasticities

required

part o.f trade in _ree

Librero,

long-term

i_vestment

commodities

potentlall.v

1975;

First,

In addition,

elasticities.

contracts,

E d (Yelasco,

habits

in manufacturing.

be tied

these

of

elasticities.

changing

estimating

bilateral may

long-term

lags

substitutes

estimmte_

the contracts

factors.

to attempts

of

Some

of

to change

prices. The products

greater and

the higher copra

8

the less

substitutability immutable

the el_stlolty,

are perfect

is equal

the

substitutes,

to the wc_id

For example, 0.52 - 2._10.

in

demand

Velasco's

between

are the l_litlcal the limit,

estimates

factors

imp_,g_Lng on trade,

elasticity

f¢_ copra

range

col;ra and other

if Phi_ipplne

then the demand

elastlelty

Pt_i_ppJ.ne

from:

divided

copra

and other

types

for Philippine

of copra

by the P_ilipplnes'

0.93 - 2.73;

Coconut

ell


-26market and

share.9

other

Given

vegetable

dem_;_d elasticity

3._. _ The oooki_ Of

for

through

the

subsidy

program

normal

use

to

of

products

standard

in terms of

above,

while

coconut-based

consumer

low prices.

into

their

conversion

ca_ be seen

long-run

oi]_

world

products

By converting

respective

factors,

we

such

as

the volume

copra, equivalents,

can analyze

the entire

copra. 10

complying

with

If the actual wholesale ÂŁndlcated

the

coconut

large.

at artificially

these

3

between

o22eam_

provide

the progr_.

price,

by the area

thla out of the levy revenue,

Thls

in Figure

illustrates this particular approach, i then P allows the producers of the controlled u

the amount

9

saw

7

returns,

at Q . o

aims

to consumers

Figure

as we

r_e_mi_ _U_x

consumption

ceilÂŁng,

o$1s,

high substltutabillty

is likely to be quite

program

oll

the relatively

P IAP . U r

Domestic

P , exceeds u

P EDP m. u u

They

Hence,

if Pe is the price u consumer products t_ _arn

will

pt u

consumption

then producers

be compensated

the subsidy

wlll lose

exactly

be by for

(S) is: S:(P -P_)Q . u U 0

by the followlng:

dOW Pw

dO

Pw

Op

dQ

Pw

Oo

dp w Qw

dP w

w Op

ow

dp w

OWo

Qw

where P_ is the world copra price, and ow Q_, and Qw are respectively the total w_rld demand for copra, tTJe world demand for _hillpplr_ and ot_;er countries' copra.

10 Convertlng different units of different coco_t products in copra terms h_ been s common practice in the coconut industry. In fact, subsidy payments are based upon the volume of domestic consumption _ copra ter_s of cookln_ oil, soap, and other coconut consumer product_ whose prices are subsidized. The United Coconut Association of the Philippines (UCAP) provides an_ ocntlnuously updates a conversion factor m_trix for this purpose. See for instance UCAP, 198'[. -_


-27 "

Fi_ure The Expor_

Tax,

Copra

The

(:.

Market

CCSF

Levy

With and

The

Marketing

(,_Jntr)l

Price

s^ z SI

w

w

- \i///

w

Dd

0

Qd

Qm

Qp

Figure The EMport

Tax,

Copra

The

CCSF

copra

7.

Market Levy

with and

The

Price

Control

Price

p

S2

B

\

p

_E

I

/

o

D

Pr

_

iA

Qc

Qp

p* u

0

Qd

//

-/

/

D ,,

w

D'

w

copra


-28-

Table 5 gives our estimates of NP_ for coconut products from 1955 to i981.

The nature of the policies affecting copra producers prompted us to

present two estimates for copra. structure

(NPRF) and

The first was calculated u_ing the formal tax

the second was

computed by direct

price comparison

(NPRPC), the difference oÂŁ the two we bad discussed In se0tion 3.1.

We lumped

all processed products together under one estimate because they are affected by similar policies. _.I .I. The Second col_tmn of Table 5 presents our NPRF estimates fcc copra.

We

do not have entries from 1955 to 1969 since the export tax and the CCSF levy, the policies considered in our NPRF formula, were introduced only in the last decade.

The NFRFs are all negative implying that copra producers have been

recelvlng negative protection from the two policies. Looking at their period averages, the NPR_prlor to the imposition of the CCSF levy in

1973 was - 8 percent.

This became more negative, - 2_ percent,

from 1973 to 1979 reflecting the introduction of the levy.

From 1980 to 1981

the NPP_fell further to - 29 percent, representing increases of the levy's rate during these years. For the 1970e, the average NPR_was - 2_ percent. that on account of the export

This led us to conclude

tax and the CCSF levy, copra producers and

mld_lemen have been receiving, on the average, only 80 percent of.the border prlca of copra. We roughly by column 3.

verified this finding with our NPRPC estimates for copra sho_

With the exception of the first, all entries

are negative, again


-29implying

negative

protection.

Nomlrml Protection

Table 5. Rates For Coconut Products: 1955-19811 (in percent)

Copra Formal Tax Structure (N_F)

Year

Processed Pr_duct_ Direct Price Comparisons (NP_PC)

1955- 1961

Formal Tax Siructure (NPRF)

8

1962 - 1965

- 17

1966-

-

1969

5

1970 w 1972

-

8

__13

__6

1973 -

1979

- 2tl

- 18

m =1

1980 " 1981

- 29

- 422

-

1955-

1969

1970 - 1981

l

- 21

1

5

- 22

-

NPRs using the formal tax structure are reported in columns 2 and _. For processed products, the relevant f_mal policy i8 the export tax. For copra, the CCSF levy is considered in addition to its export tax. Since the other processed coconut exports have the same export tax rate as coconut oil, the N_Fe for the latter can be applied also for the former. 2 The rate reflects the UNICOH policy. Source: Basic data drawn from the Central Bank, the Philipplne Coconut Authority, the Bureau of Domestic Trade, and the United Coconut A_ocÂŁation of the Philippines,


-30-The system of

average

NPRPC

(via tariffs)

the retention

from

wh$ch

scheme

(I) The

dlst_rted

exchange

this

rate

apparently

was

passed

between

domestic

With

From reÂŁlectlng 1979, -18 very

1970

percent,

- q2 percent. Before

Despite

the

differences

the average

taillss

similarity between

the

This

is suggested were

and

creating

by the

_mnallzed

twice:

(2) The exporters

implicit the

export

17 percent

from - 17 percent

got

tax wedge

t, ax,

Then,

imposition

the average

with

NP_PC

two estimates.

the NPRF

and NPRF, First_

5 percent. 12

13 percent

it got worse

from

of the CCSF levy.

to the UNICOH

thi_,

half of the 1960s,

to-

to-

fall of the NPR average

closely

between

in the second

NPR deteriorated

the added

to answer very

scheme

of the export

Can this be attributed

This

Exporters

scheme.

improved

the dramatic

we attempt

pr_tectlon

prices.

this perlod

was

The

the peso and the introduction

the peso;

producers

of the retention

suuestlng

_ercent. 11

of the 1960s

to 1965.

overvalued

to copra

the introduction

interestlng

percent.

ca

to 1972,

half

the retention

and border

NPR ÂŁ_

1962

rate

with

the liftlr_

the average

from

18 8

to overvalue

in the the first

NPR of - 17 percent

than

_,e 196!

contlnued

average

lees

1955

from

clearly 1973 to What is

1980 to 1981,

policy? NPRPC

in the 1970s was - 22

average

there our

are

NPRPC

oftwo

21 percent. interesting

average

is less

11

The use of the offlcal exchange rate that artiflcaily overvalues the peso in convertlng the border price From units of foreign exchange to domestic currency for pur_ses of price comparlson resulted in positive NPRPCs for the second half of the 1950s.,

12

Thle margin is interesting because it should give us a rough estimate of the marketi_ cost from the wholesalers' warehouses to the boats. To illustrate, suppose we Just consider the average from 1967 to Ig69 alone (assuming that the retention scheme w_s still reflected in 1966 prices), the averse NPR was - _ percent (not shown in the table). Thus, marketing costs were rou_y _ percent of the border price of copra.


-31negative

_han that

as a surprise marketlnE

of the NPRF

si_ce we expected

expla_atlon

requirements

during

of

two

_hat all mills

products

were

the

of

f_oed

years were The

the

that ONICOM

conclude

a glut

la taken

apprOaCh

depressed

less

came

polieie_

of

was short

to 1974

since

than

and

1973.

a_d

provided

them

bid up copra profits.

of milling

1976

to 1979.

Our hypothesis

their respective

the subsidized

is

coconut

prices Thus,

consumer program

to increase

the NPRPCs

la

capacities

by the subsidy

than

the world

period,

this

copra

f_

these

to that

suggests

producers.

However,

by Table 5). In both periods, Thus,

it

of this finding

before

1980

Considering

is difficult alone.

ths eft'eat of marketing

But

from

dlfferontlal

by copra

market.

on the basis

to measure

average

that of the NPRFs.

in this

subsection.

this,

to

In fact,

controls.

let us now turn

to the

22_9___

have

surv_ved

by

helng

more

speculative

in

a

This

products.

Cgconut

mlght

the NP_PC

_n 1975 (not shown

profits

coconut

that

the price receive_

in

is needed

mills

noted

picture

of _pra

.I.2. Processed

The ot_er trading.

we

operatio_l

up in the next

NPRs for processed

producers

points

for marketing

different

of the other

This

than the _JPRF.13

alread7

the same

at less

and increase

dlffereDce

further

we had almost w_

1973 to 1979.

supply

1973

was operational

The producers

13 percentage was

copra

subperlods,

advantage

at capacity,

second

the UNICOM

13

The

_adlng

lees negative

1981 was

there

from

on account

finding,

to operate

the other millers. operate

this

program

ehortaKe.

utilized

supply,

otherwise

separate

Further_more, the subsidy

over

the period

margins.

As an

because

during

their


-32-

Like

copra

producers

of

negative

the

decade

relative ence

other

to

to

the

average

a strong

4.2.

Estimating

as

above

confirms their

York.

buying

price

following

relationship

between

of crude

for

of

coconut

oil

of

on

the

in New

York

procedure,

industry,

It

for

is

the

small

This

differ-

products.

production copra

in New

York.

coconut oil of

follow

Figure oil

price the

is

3

exporters in New

theoretical

($/ib)

(S/mr FOB) on Coconut

"ten

milling,

- 4 percent

prices:

Based oil

tax

of

presentation

(P/mt Costs

above

formal

prices

coconut

Multiply: Official Exchange Rate Less: Crushing and Administrative Add= Value of Copra Meal Credit Equals: Breakeven Price of Copra Less • CCSF Levy Equals: Domestic Price of Copra

the

the

received

figure

coconut

oil

the

Multiply: 2,240 Ib/mt ($/mt) Less: Freight and Insurance Costs Less: Export Tax a/%d Premium Duty tax

on

the

coconut

in practice,

copra

two

the

processed

coconut

a schematic

these

was

wholesale

observation,

is

on

- 21 percent.

50 percent

crude

of

also

and

Profits

domestic

prices

The

Price

about

oil,

this

bias

Based

However,

copra,

dessicators

have

products

tax. for

the

products

th_se

Marketing

that

the

export NPR

millers,

government.

for

policy

coconut

closely

base

the

oil

coconut

the

NPR

due

shows

exported very

from

average

Considering

the

processed

protection

str_cture, last

producers,

the

states

that

0il

(S/my

FOB

after

tax)

peso

rule"

has

each. US

cent

.FOB

come

per p_und

after

to be af

used coconut

in oi


-33in New York We

is equivalent

estimated

coconut

Appendl.x

oll in New York

time serles actual

in

of

to ten pesos

per hundred

I the average

relationship

and the "border

the latter,

we added

price of copra in Manila.

price"

of

the export

Thls

kilos

of copra

between

copra

the

price

in Manila.

tax and the CCSF

procedure

in HanLla.

provided

rough

of

To get the

levy

to the

verification

of

the ten peso rule. To

determine

producers, Elven

we

the

compared

measure market

used

price this

wholesale

whether the rule

of coconut

predicted

price.

conditions

1980,

the

predicted

price

predicted

border

9 percent

also ef the predlcted

This

we_ _45._2/100

result

suggests

levels

not known,

however,

profits

marketlnE

apparently the copra

durlnE

to lower

even more.

of

This

assumes

copra

then

the actual taken

to be e

that competitive

are shown

price

was about

the premium

prices

two years

the premiums

_nefÂŁ1clencles.

with

We

in Table

in Hanl/a

and the

15 percent

was @23.00/I00

6

of

the

k_s.,

oF

price.

copra

the first

is whether

contributed producers

For 1981,

that

in Hanila,

years.

the latter was

the actual

copra.

border

taxes)

copra

period.

price

between

kgs.

price of copra.

competitive

or

predicted

the difference

over

from

of copra

in the UNIC_M

T_i_ approach

the UNICON

profits

price

the relevant

profits.

before

of

York

of the fcrmer

marketing

The calculations For

(m_nus

marketing

the border

oil in New

price

existed

extracted

to predict

The premium

of Potential

below.

UNICOM

In

domestlc

were

depressed

of UNICOH's

we

either prices

estimated case,

below

their

operation.

What

constitute

the UNICOH

of copra,

thereby

is

marketinE

pollcy

has

penallzln_


-3_Table Predicted

I.

2.

NY price of coconut (US oents/ib)

Export

4.

CC3F Levy _ (_/100 kss.

6.

1981

30.00

25.00

300.00

70.00

price of and levy

price

1980 and 1981

1980

3.00"

copra)

Manila

6.

Prices in Manila:

of

Tax ($)

Predicted Manila copra, after tax Actual copra

Copra

oil

Predloted border price copra in Manila (_/100 kEs. copra)

3.

5.

and Actual

250.00 0.00

80.00

221.00

170.00

17 5.58

147,00

of

7.

Difference

_5._2

23.00

8.

Percentage of difference to predicted border price of copra in Manila

15.00

9.00

weighted

average


-35Copra

is the ma:.n input

to its producers the last decade

• 3.

estimated

our

oll

(CNO)

into

Effective [1979].

and

above,

for DCN.

of

on

rates

are

The penalty

to coconut

29_ fmco_u_ the EPRs

for

coconut

the

basis

using

is the major

The following

protection

_

coefficients copra

protection

dessicated

t/tree eubperiods

the input-output

meat

estimates

oil.

the CCSF levy and the UNICOM

Rates

_tves

As mentioned

coconut

14

7

tax,

of effective

_

coconut

subdÂŁvlded

2.

is a source

_

Table copra,

by the export

in prod_.cing coconut

of

input

during

oll millers.

coconut

from

policy

the method

policy

_ro_u0t8

three

(DCN)

provided

1970

products, to

1981,

reglmes. 14

We

described

for CNO, while

in Appendix it is fresh

are our findings.

discussed

in

this

volume.

Se_also

Tan


-3OT

_ffectlve

Pro_eetion

Table 7. _._[te_for Coconut (in percent)

Products:

1970-1981

Outline of Policies

Effective Copra

Protection Ratesl Coconut Oil

1970 - 1972

Export

Tax

- 8

+ +2.3

- 7.0

1973-

Export Levy

Tax,

- 24

-

-

Per led

1980

* 'I

1979

- 198i

1980

Des sicated Coco nut

CCSF

Export Tax, CCSF Levy, UNICOM

- 29

2.0

42.0

4.3

18,4 O

only

The maln inputs in the production Of coconut ell (CNO) and dessleated coconut (DCN) are respectively copra and coconut meat. The corresponding Input-output coefficients fur these were estimated using the method •described In Appendix 2. For the other inputs, It was a_sumed that their coefficients are fixed at: 7% for .CNO and 10% for DCN. The applicable tariff far these was 10%. In the case .of copra, however, the tradab/e inputs were negligible and were thus assumed to be zero. The ErRs reported here are averages of estimated annual EPRs.

Source;

Basic

data

Philippines

•drawn from

the

and the Philippine

United

Coconut

Coconut

Association

Authority,

of

the


-37-

oopra

-In

produQtlon,

the total unit Aooordlngly,

value

tradable, inputs

of copra

its EPR la equal

are

neglIEible.

to be the unit value-added needs

to its NPR which

we t_,'eated

Thus,

in copra

no addltlorml

production. discussion.

_.3.z. Y_mm_ o_z Except effective beom=e the

fur

protection.

slightly

CCSF levy

the marketed same

poli_

BeeallÂŁn_ was

two

negative

points

lower

in Table

CNO production.

7).

Thls

subperlod Thls the

by widening

2.0

to-

turnaround UNICOH

in

years.

differential the differential

In this year,

explains

partly

The

copra.

from

Since

in 1979,

the penalty

penalty EPR

completely

offset

the government

th*

started

(not reported - 2.3

in the

1979.

to promotion soared

a/ready

4 percent. 15

of the EPR from

including

products

the copra/CNO

the EPR was 0.9 percent

period

average

to

the

the differential.

had mitigated

failed

Since

a tax on all

on processed

tax of about

but

had essentially

for

tax rate

the increase

in the second policy

except

on

from an export

percent.

for CNO, it being

tax-

that

- 2.0

in the Table

the differential

two-percentage-polnt

to promote

the market

negative

EPR was - 2.3 percent

subperiod,

second

the export than

had been receiving

their

two subperlods

discussion,

by the oll exporters

But

the

fur

the export

was 68 percent,

tax.

aubperlod,

to do with

t_e first

previous

percentage

The

during

copra,

CNO miller_

In the first

had nothing

the

reoelved

first

lass

subperiod,

oonflguratlon-

coefficient

export

the last

to

.was even a

high

of

more dra_:......... _2

15

In a. previous work, the EPR for CNO was estimated to be - 5 peFcent fo_ 1974 [Tan]. Tan used the NCSO estimate of the input-output coefficient of copra in CNO, which was 33 percent.

16

This copra

is assuming that UNICOM did indeed collect marketing producers, However, if the premiums that we estimated (Footnote continued)

proflts from id the previo_


-38Percent. 16

Marketing

protection

profits

As An

the

case

with

percent.

It became

Coconut

less

that meat

of DCN).

shares

of coconut

the e_,_rt

also observed

value

trading

are

additional

sources

of

oc_

penalized

years.

copra

for ell mill_s.

4.3.3. _

we

in

tax.

from

became

is the main

millers,

1973

the desslcators

to 1979,

positive,

input

it is mainly

protection

(CNO)

The EPR for DCN in the first

negative

the EPR

Since

the negative

oll

used to produce

that

copra

subperlod

- 4.5 percent.

11 percent t during

in DCI4 (about

45

percent

copra

suffered

had

wlth

rather

been

was - 7 Final&y,

the UNICOH

of

the total

than DCN,

the export

it

tax and the

UNICOM, policy. In this and

ErR

for

affecting the

section, oooonut

the CCSF coconut

produots.

the coconut

production levy

of has

industry.

pertinent

we present

industry

the major

the

These have

coconut

been shown In

and interpret indicators

provided

describe

incentives

products.

to be the most

following

our empirical

estimates

how

•section,

we

will

polloles

and disincentives

Of the policies important

the

of NPR

single discuss

far

we mentioned, policy the

in the issues

to it.

5. _

5.1. Revenue

ÂŁ_g Levy

and sbu__tt

16(continued) subsection were marketing inefficiencies passed average ErR would still be - 2.3 percent.

on to copra

producers,

the


-39The size of the revenue from the CCSF levy has been of central importance in levy-related discussions.

Because it is legally defined as private, the

government which collects it is not constrained to make this infcrmatlon public.

However, official figures about it get published occasionally [David,

1977; Busl_ss

Day, 1980]o

Based on the latest infarmatlon, the total levy

collected until the third quarter of 1980 is _5.815 billion [Business Day]. Ur_ertunately, the figures that were reported are cumulative revenues fur perlods spanning several years.

It may be mere instructive to have a picture

about the size of Its annual collectlo_. estimates for the period _"om

Table 8 attempts to provide It.

The

1973 tlll 1976 were estimated in Clarete [1980],

based on David's report about the total colleetlon until the first quarter of 19_'7 [David].

Btartlng with

1977, the revenue was calculated as the product of

the applicable levy rate and the volume of production, assuming no evasion by _opra users. Thus, the total _

revenue until 1980 was about _7.316 billion

wlth the avera4_e annual collection o£ about _1 billlon. eI°5 blllAon than the mount • cr

reported in Buslr_ss Day.

the discrepancy As levy evasions.

This is greater by A possible explanation


Table 8. The CCSF Levy Revenue Estimate_: 1973-19801

Year

Copra Produotion Subjeot to Levy (million HT)2

Applicable Rate (_/HT)

Revenue (m111ion peso.q)

1973 197_ 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980

-, 2.3 2.4 1.8 1.q

530 600 600 700

113 1,024 695 765 1,219 1,400 1,080 980

I

.2

Estimates fo_ 1973 up to 1976 are from Ciarete (1980). Starting with 1977, the estlmatoP ls: RevenueffiCopra x Levy ,rate (rounded to the nearest m:LZlion pesoa), Three peroent of total produotion does not enter the market (Pounded to the nearest hundred thousand. For 1980, the ÂŁiguPe is total cooonut exports in eoprs terls. Adjustment wcs made to aco0unt for the _5 days in 1980 when the levy was suspended,


-41Table 9 shows how the lewj was allocated to its different uses since its inception

in

subsidy

1973

till

program;

program;

(5)

1981,

(2)

We distlnsuish

premium

du_y;

COCOFEDdevelopment

(3)

eleven

because

it

:

times.

had the

BUs£_s8

Fr_

1973

about

UCPB f_ 25.8

the

percent the

Coconut

levy:

(1)

PCA development

progr_;

and

(7)

Coconut

apportlor_ent

may

be regarded

as

typical

duration_

third of

of

total

amount

progr-_.

Refunds Fa_ers)

quarter

the

replsnt£ng

percent.

for

welfare

(4)

the

Day [1980] reported total dlebursements made oF the levy revenue

till

37.8

(6)

program;

of

The dlstrlbutlon of the levy rate bad been

The last

longest

maj.o_ uses

replanting

program;

Industry Investment Fund (CIIF). changed

seven

to

1980 (Table of

the

Subsidy

10).

About

revenue,

payments

billion

were deposited

amounted

coconut

fan_ers

(or

funds

for the

_563

m/lllon,

or

about

9.7

totaled

_2.2

with

to _1.5

the

billion,

insurance

percent

or

of

or

progr_ the

total.

The PCA rmoeived _567 m_lllon which it spent for its operatlons t research and other Investments For the Industry,s for

its

operations,

The CIIF,

which

Payments Ltll£on short

For were

1_,

up

to the

to

note

Based

the

is

managed

premium

expended

8 describes

program,

by the duty

amounted

to

flow

_5

costs,

H [Business

the

and its

The COCOFED got _309 m_llion other

UCPB, accumulated

on "operational

and bank charges

Figure

only

the

scholarship

development.

of

development

assets

._llior_ refunds

to _389

the

direct

insurance

on the

Busl_ss

benefits

program,

the

Day data

from

of withholding

_22

subsidy

and

Day].

the

this

scholarship (Table

_tll£on.

The remaining

levy revenue

from

the

different agencies supervising its various uses,

that

projects.

10),

levy

to

program the

the

disbursements

fanmers

It is interesting

coconut

and the

coconut

far_ers subsidy

made £_

include program. the


Table 8RF.AKD0YM OF LEVY RATESAND PERCT.NTAGE SHAR[ (in Plc.k.)

J i

Replanting Program

Subsidy

f ,

Premium Refund

PC/_ j COCOFED Oev.eloJ:_nL ;, _velo_raent

WeTfare Proclram

t _

; 1

CI |F

DuraLion

,",,ug. Io-oec.

14, 1973

15

I00

-

?

_c.

15-Jan.

10. t974

25

100

.....

:3

Jan.

[i-r:a'./ Z1,, 1974

55

i00

-

4

,".ay 22-i_0V. 5, 1974

55

55

-

30

30

13

13

Z

2

5

Nov. 6-Jan.

1q75

40

57

-

!5

2?

13

19

2

Z

,"0

6

Jan. II-.Uay19, )975

5

12.5

20

50

)]:

_'._

2

5

4()

4

/

May 20-Sept. 19, I975

-

20

67

R

27

?

6

3"._

4

8

Sept. 20-Oct..3t,

-

20

67

;

7l.

2

3o

1

9

Nov. 1-Warc.h1'3,1977

Z

_

20

67

5 .

},'

7

t._

}9-A,m. l/.

._2

53

20

3)

C,

,_

12

;C_

2L3

33

:

._._

1975

I._

;!_rch

;i

A_fn.18-Sept. 9, 1981

SourcP: rCSF.

l_.77

-

....... {.....

1

If),

-

(

-

15

4

25

2

-",

-

tOO

-

5

I

¢

6

!

,:

_d

_

6

I

/

6.,:

"

2

3.5

1'_

;,'_

._)

6

_7

-:

4

_:

13

i I,


_,_._ Table I0 DISBURSE_IENTS (I_F [HE ,.(.-F

g, al o_,nt (bil]i_n l_cJs)

Item I.

._..a

Replanting

Program (CIDF)

Percent

2.2

37.8

2. Subsidy Program

I .5

25,8

3. Coconut Farmer Refund

0,563

9.7

4. PCA

0,567

9,8

5. COCOFED

0,309

5,3

0,389

6,7

7. Premium Duty

().265

4,6

8

0,_22

0 _

6. Coconut Industry

Investment

Fund

Miscellaneous

TOTAL

Source:

5. _I 5

Business

T9

Da_, "Coconut Fund Nearing

P5 Billion,"

_00.0

September 1


Figure The Coconut

Cons,.m.,,er Stabilization

Fund

(CCSF)

Flo'+_

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CFP.

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25 % _T _IF

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35 % CPSF r [ [

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invested i )

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insurances

i

l

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I _,L,J'o ,..<_J_

! J '" ,i" :'> b , { ................... _ ' i

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s-:rp ius _,

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<£eednuts From

t

_<.,

_2

Subsidized 1 Refiners ....

"!" "_"_

i at ceiling prices . sell consumer products_---

I

J t

| 3


.-,1%insurance total

program

levy

revenue.

allooatlon revenue.

8,ive_ 17

The

A closer The

benefit

a

consumers

they

can

coconut-based

a_ms

with

predominant

the

Investment

Inc.

Palawano

by

sale_

progrem

wa_ Up

accepted

The

AII are

to _7,00

by

coconut

to

present,

had

nuts

per

All

been

_nd

per

and

aud

the

nuts

taxation

by

virtue

t/_.e_[r

program

if

they

coconut tall

is ai_lege4

_

CCSF

th_{n

_.,'_

A_rieultural Island

near

all

the

free

to

the

In

1980,

I'D 582.

have

levy.

the p_og_ to

an.r{

to

period

Bugsoc

buy them

of

contJ.__geut

of

_'rom the

he_.'t_re_ in

distribute

levy.

belief its.

African

Corporation

will

the

are

_ies_;ation

[.equiy'ed

governmenl_ will

of

country's

w_rlety

Dev-:iopment

t_;e

e;nt;i_"e

contingent

West

a shorter,

the

oil.

the

fc;,,-thi_. co_es

1,500

the

nut

from be

between

of

U_e

subsJ.dy

cookln_

cross

deVEloped

contract,

as

{:_;:-eent of

_eed

of

of

{_reen_

are

the

60

tree

t_hird

qualiflcat.ions

Thj.s hybrid

the

Investment

25.8

[,ercel-_tof

scbo].ar'?.hip prog_,_ms

such

F_mding all

._eed nuts far,nero° the

operatio_l. ther_

farmers.

alloted

(a

a

they

aeud_nic

2.020.

year

supply

exempted

the

was

the

about

ber_el':[tfrom

replant

variety.

(AII).

at

only

onl?/ 9

2. [_ree_t

that

the

the

hybri_I

of

Nat_o_Bl

supposed

COCOFED

te,_s

to

to

this

by

native

According

produced These

in

contract

by

coconut

dwarf)

yield

awarded

a

to

about

for

l)roduets,

The

government

is

and

_d

death

ccnatitutea

re%'eals

insurance

their

of

Malaysian

of

life

returns

22egr2a

The

17

these

which

accounted

5.3._

higher

the

ioo_. 8& the

COCOF£.5, progI_m

Furthermore,

plantations • the

the

subsidy

upon

children.

C_::c:_:::._._ar_::r. }I+:fund) _as

'ine 3chci_c'shlp...:_d

_o

from

respeetlvely

were

<.at %i_e It_

is

Serious

given for

no

the

_3

out

evJdenc_

that

proDle_s

may

of

scholarship

every

_60

prog_'_

the have

of

the

technology prevented

levy

is

widely

the

progr_

revenue.

_!

out


-46-

from to

taking

adopt

off.

the

One

new

of

these

technology..

is

the

The

apparent

following

reluctance

might

be

of

an

coconut

explanation

farme_:_ of

_is

problem. The

hypothesis

inconsistent of

so

farmers of

with

situations

to do

hybrid

have

be

been

may

have

to

less

adopt

The alleged is measured nuts are at

new

!976;

the for

net

is profitable

private benefits

have been of yield

not

as

for

this

overestimated. in terms copra/

hybrid

high

benef!cs

yield. Yield the hybrid the native

has not been tested on a long-term basis for to local diseases and pests. Expected yield as

The

reasons.

The hybrid resistance

be

variety

1981).

benefit of this technology is its high in terms of nuts/trees. Unfortunately, most two-thirds of the average size of

may

be

estimated

from

its of this

experimental

As stated above, the hybrid there are additional husking copra from these nuts.

4.

Finally, a peculiar characteristic of this hybrid is that its trees are shorter. _lis_n advantage as well as a disadvantage째 The advantage is that the costs of gathering the nuts from the tree can be substantially reduced. On the other hand_ there may be additional costs associated with preventing these nuts from being stolen.

The

rationale to

technology it

bette_ adoption

make is

for

them

likely

to prove information of new

this

its

be

worth. might

rice

particular

replant to

a new adopted A

be

nuts are smaller_ costs in getting

growth.

3.

farmers

for

because

to

a wide

it

Mandac,

The

several

in

when

and

costs.

appears

farmers

hybrid

nuts. Thusu the yield advantage may For purposes of comparison, a measure t_ee should be used. 2.

change

technDlogy Herdt

this

than

overestimated

to

Low-income

in adopting

are

been

resistant

Ro_umasset,

reluctant

technology

are

evidence.

shown

1964;

new

1.

farmers

available

(Schultz, may

the

that

varieties.

variety

are

eventually

voluntar_

the

intervention

right

approach

in

not

the

form

clear.

by

program,

This implies that the same amount of

here,

farmers

modest just

taxing

A superior

ooconut with

of

as

coconut given

incentives in

the

case

ti_e and _f


-47-

5.4. The to

go

The

vertical

beyond

at

sent own

least

the the

and

An UCPB.

We

shares

were

According al.),

customary

functions

at

in

issue that

in

this

59 per

receipts,

only

49 per

cent

which

cent

these

by

a nationwide

FOND

well.

The

the

country's

of

of

turns

distributed

to

as

embodiment

which

recall

about

owned

seeks

75 percent

important

Progr _

program

bankers,

concrete UCPB

Integration

integration

their

processors, trols

Vertical

of

this

owns

the

PCA

the

sample

the

registered

receipts

was

about

of

those

who

had

s

icient

_%e

rated

the

coconut

become

U_[COM,

milling

farmers

traders, which

con--

capacity,

Xn principle,

repre-

the

the

with

the

farmers

levy

ownership

revenue

of

COCOFUND

Ministry

of

Agriculture

of

coconut

farmers

in owning

per

is

owners

Thus,

29

and

discussions

basis

them.

and

the

UNiCOM.

to

by

became

fan

Purchased

survey

enable

pzDgram.

the

was

the

UCPB

levy-related bank

to

the

cent

shares

sample at

and

the

time

of

It_

in

_975_

(Valiente the

UCPB.

proportion,

the

the

that

receipts

received of

of

of

_e

et

COCOOf

these,

farmers

survey.

who About

18 35 per

there

cent

was

register, cent.

a

the

Hence,

campaign

sample these

the by

proportion statistics

PCA

receipt

suggests

equity

only

of

Even

those

farmers

would

only

be

about

about

half

of

the

50 per

country's

other

18

Registering the COCOFUND receipts with the C_OFED to_% chapter preside_t or with the municipal treasurer establishes ownership of the receipts_ According to the survey, the remaining recipients gave the receipts to their landlords or to the PCA.

to

the

they

to

some

belonged

Furthez_oze,

if

the

have

UCPB_

all

them.

of

should

the

encourage

owners

that

register

part

that

in

to

to

farmers

equity

have

of

the

failed

coconut

UCPB

could

receipts

farmers

imply is owned

that by

individuals.


-48-

AS

a group,

farmers

remainder

is held

aggregate

resources

How 1970

much

census

1980),

per

year.

imposed these

year

1975

export

copra

to

at

some

to

depend

developments

monopolist. to

act

might in the

in

income

then The OPEC.

damage

the run

is

UCPB

below

economy,

country's undermine

of

than

of

bank's

s_e UNICOM

the

share

as

a

in the

P17 have

UNICOM

as

the

with

to

regards

to

UNICOM. oil.

foreign skill

in For

monopoly

oils to

In the

Considering exchange reading example,

to act

can

frustrate

the

economy,

supplier

market.

equity,

profits

attempting

revenue

oils

converted

bank.

stands

markets.

reliable

was

if UNICOM

its

in

levy

inefficiency

where

by

accumulated

and

the

copra

of COCOFUND

COCOFUND

coconut

economy

extra

of

the

long-run

substitutability bringing

tons

farmers

world

extract

3.04

in

and

for

productivity

about_04

risk

farm

1980

registerd

of

on

Using

If he

copra,

Based

a coconut

could

levels,

oils

to

reputation its

when

coconut

is

it can

He

exporter

and

damage

degree

Rather

goals fats

do

The

UCPB.

about

in economic

from

there

the

of

competitive

sole

of

pays

1972

invested

result

the

about

a receipt.

trading

the

it can

the

hectares.

purchased.

could

that

1975,

size

farmer

from

have

domestic

thinks

equity.

in

produces

average

was

invest

2.4

farm

transfers

on

total

In

average

was

given

could

volatile

high

1971

the

becomes

the

the

like

long

prices

the

receipts

This

solely

UNICOMmistakenly trade,

the

UNICOM

importance

world

he

buyer.

trade,

earnings

the

shares,

single

implies

he

UCPB's

owners.

fam_er

average

that

which

when

in

the

of COCOFUND

respect

purchases

its

for

to UCPB

largest

farms

implies

worth

to

all

figures,

This

with

this

of

of

million.

(PCARR,

conversion

P68

_706.5

figures 2/3

cent

former

coconut

and

about

was

bank's

a small

bottom

each

the

70 per

could

the

levy

by

own

of

coconut

the if in as

a

attempts UNICOM oil

and


-49-

One through

arglm_ent the

UNICOMa

shortage

of

selves.

This

acquired

copra

Luzon.

copra

had

supply

led

come

so%md

coconut

forced

Mindanao, the

issue

if

since

the

program

farmers.

distribution

policy,

as

a solution

claim

that

owned

the by

it

is

other

the

program

raises

general

relative

to

the

rest

the

at

most

do

indeed

income

could

have

control

position

possible

that

being

three

in

milling

above equity

the than

they

that

bank,

would

sectors

of

UCPB

be

They worse

the

- simultaneously.

the

the

in Luzon

purchased

copra

the

in

problem

practices

policy

promotes

farmers.

more

to

at

in

what

better

in-

overall

incomes

This

small

neutral

to

than

the

income

of

cannot

coconut

50 percent

and

n_t

off

Perhaps

least

about

it does

before.

at

them-

business.

coconut

gains

acute

among

as millers

to

avoid

arg_nent to

large

intraindustry distribution

coconut

farmers

in

population.

only

in the

UNICOM

hand,

if

of

milling

the

its

wizen an

monopolistic

oil

could

tightly

Mindanao

improves

out

compete

in

coconut

the

1979

those

-introducing

is

in

while

picture

we pointed

to

industry

copra

In principle, On

happened

millers

distributes

picture.

_illing

of

UNICOM

it

what

oil

procurement

effect

is the

the

the

a competitive

distribution

that of

to wasteful

from

essentially

i_

r_petition

an unintended

Another

is

UNICOM

Unfortunately,

hand, was

for

as

thus

follow

industry

this

raises

the

the

UNICOM.

that

they

exploit they

of

pay

coconut

farriers

Even

the

can

be

themselves. for

costs

in It

is even

trading about

the

with and entire

19 idea

of vertical

19

While economies likely, however,

integration.

of scale may be gained in integrating, it is more that the transaction costs to do it outweigh the

benefits, at least for the sector is made up primarily

coconut industry, of small coconut

wherein farmers.

the

farmers

a better

associated

- production, a question

if

production


-50-

6.

6.1. The

social

DRC

is

the

relative

More

an

all

of

units

the

foreign

1972) 20

markets,

face

the

This is markets prices

this

policy.

same

comparative

20

forCo_a

policy

advantage

changes

of

should across

margin,

various

it

is

less

than

unity

the

marginal

are

all

resources

DRC

for

is the

each

only

in

just

the

DRC

If,

DRC3

of

a given

products

only

DRC

also

DRC

and

EPE

rate

thus

partly

not

the

differences

one

level in

hold.

a reflection

in different

reflects

of

in

plus

distortions does

regions

that

in marginal

differential

incentives.

only approximately correct since distortions in the product can induce deviations in shadow prices of factors from market (Sieper,

1981).

_

equilibrium

expressed

indicator

are

Moreover,

the

protection

there

product

et.al.).

In the

markets_

another

indicates

zero.

product

is

(SER)

profitabi

equal

effective

indicates

social

will

advantage

equalize.

net

_e

activities.

(Pearson,

product

between

it

rate

to

however,

relation

i.e.,

exchange

total

earnings.

equal

is merely

the

production

shadow

comparative The

in

is

exchange

the

distortions

simple

foreign at _e

equilibrium,

the

1972).

net

exportable

to

if

is,

its

a given

DRC

domestic

That

m_asure

government

of

of

advantage

of

currency

(Bruno,

_"_neDRC of

of

With

of protection factor

Costs

(DRC)

small

only

distortions,

rate.

(Krueger,

of

competitive uses

exchange

a unit

ratio

advantage

of

cost

comparative

the

In general

of

of

of

efficiency

comparative

absence

resource cost

index

precisely,

lities

Resource

Definition domestic

domestic

Domestic


-51-

Thus,

we

(see

e.g_,

not

expect

imply

a cot/elation

Bautista

and

that

government

industries.

the

Rather

equilibrium

the

protected

sectors

this

ion

margin.

DRC

1979).

to

of

the

government

any

empirical

at

the

work

correlation

inherently that

society to

in

this

to protect

relative the

EPR

illustrates

cost

words,

and

However,

tends

relation

increases

In other

the

Power,

opportunity

dustries. at

between

inefficient

the

distorted

resources

resource

cost

is protecting

does

drawn

into

the

in unprotected

inefficient

in-.

product-

21 In this

section,

we

coconut

regions

of the

Western

Visayas,

Samar

above,

we

compare

First,

we

our

go

calculate

country; and DRC

over

the

Southern

Northern estimates

our

DRC

of

copra

Luzon,

_n

Mindoro,

Mindanao.

Following

first

the

input-output

with

data

and

OER

our

1976

of

Central our then

main

Visayas_

discussion with

shadow

the

the

pricing

SER. proce-

dure. 6.2. The

Data data

marketing Division

base

survey of

the

covered

a sample

accross

ten

complete

21

mainly

coconut

Ministry of

regions

the

Table

of

comes

th_

farmers,

farms

the

and

country.

nationwide

conducted

of Agriculture

2,850 in

from

by

(Valien_e,

about

550

_t teok

socio-economic the

et.al.)

coconut three

Special

years

Studies This

traders

and

study

distributed

(1975-1978)

to

survey.

ii gives

some

relevant

economic

info_aation

from

The DRC of processed coconut products _ere estimated on the 1974 input-output table (_utista and Tecson). in pesos, are: Coconut oil 3.48 Dessicated Coconut 4.96

the

survey.

for 1974 based The estimates,

From


-52the survey

the table,

standa_dlzlng converted

using

PCARR,

1980].

tbe regions.

More

defining

in calculating

them

the

growth

difficult

We replaced

to 1976 aversge

of

at different information

of land and capital

the impllolt

A different than

tlmlng

the values

values

1971

the

w_-q conducted

of BAECON

problem

averages.

invested

to standardize

yield

concerned

to be zeros

from

rate of credit

the yield

I_rlods, each

giving

the problem

region.

Thu'_, we

in cocormt

farmin_

to the cocormt

was the coconut

inf_mmatlorl from

to 1976

industry

yield

the survey

of

[see

for each of

with

the the

data for each of the regions. the

as what

treatment

of missing

the sur%'ey report

values.

Rather

dld, we ign_ed

them


-53Table 11. Econom:[c Information

Some

CQconut Farms, By _egion: (pez- hectare)

SSD Conducted

In:

Southern Lumen

1976

On 1976

MLindoro

Centrad _isayaa

Wee tern Visayas

S_ar

Nor thorn Ft[ndanao

1975

1977

1976

1975

1976

La bet U t!1 Iz ati on (Mandays) I : Planting 3.3 Fertilizing O. 9 Weeding 5.8 •Hayvest_ng 12.0 Copra Making 7.3

2.a 0.3 4.0 11.6 9.5

4.0 I.7 4.2 1_,2 13.5

5.2 0.9 3.9 1_.2 7,3

3.4 3- I 4.8 11.0 " 8.7

4.2 3. I 6.3 10.8 11.3

Value of Land and Invested Capttai2

...

(pesos) : Coconut Land Buildings Tools Work Animals

Average Yield3 (1000 nuts) Landlord share

1

2 3

3,316.47 109.54 41.75 '220.09

3,316.47 109.54 41.75 220.09

3.0_4 0.60

3.014 0.50

5,093.82 8_ .41 10.88 • I09.12

a.48a 0.70

5,708.28 2,681.26 80 .i8 62.33 14.20 71.52 202.37 266.23

5.0_17 0.77

4.875 0.7.5

3,B21.90 i25.07 30.61 226.65

5.3J_I 0.80

in the SSD/MA cocoaut survey, missing values were implicitly defined as zeros. In this table, they do not enter into the eal_ulation of average mandays. When contract and non-contract mandays are reported f_ an oporation_ total fc_- it is the wcJdghted average. Non-1976 values were converted to 1976 figures using the Implloit growth rate of oredlts to _ho eoco_mt industry. The average yield from 1971 to 1976 in nuts per bearing tree was taken for each region. This average was multiplied by the average number of be-_rlng trees per •hectare (147) to get the average yield in nuts per hectare.

Source: Basle Data A_Ioul ture.

drawn

from

Special

Studies

Division

and BAECON,

Ministry

of


-54'

6.3.

Shadow

Social For 1975), (MSC) If

the uses

needed

MSC

is

in

copra MSC

assumed

to was

that

market

taken

rural

to

The

just

assumed

hired

hold on

of

of

by

to

the

then

an

one.

method

marginal

labor

elastic,

close

Harberger

average

is met

be. the

equal

d to total labor

where

in

social

copra

most

of

(B_way, cost

production.

the

additional

increase

in

supply.

The

rest

will

come

and

that

its

Thus, from

existing

labor's

wages

Social The depreciation

Cost

shadow was

asstL_ption

distort

NPR

is

= MSC

the

MSB

of

the

Formally,

cost

upwards

operator's

latter

homogeneous,

implies

rural

labor.

nominal

the

market.

Thus,

the

protection

in

coconut

distortions

labor

Harberger

(d)

that

use

The

operating market

undistorted rate

shadowwage

for rate

MSB

copra.

wage was The

is

(l-d),

80 percent.

social

and

was

distorted

to W.

be

labor

indirectly

(W/(I+NPR))_

The of

be

the

(MSB)

relatively

(d) will

SWR

We

employed

benefit

production

substantial.

copra

(W} was equal

of

labor

we

a weighted

social

for

was

in the

rate,

labor.

We farms

wage

marginal

supply

of

Labor

is essentially

the

weight

of

shadow

which

the

labor

Cost

the

and

Pricing

by

labor

of

labor

54 per used

was

cent

up

determined

to

account

in production

by

adjusting

for' the (50%)

and

the

following: (b) the

cost (a) house-

interest

(4%).

of

Capital

interest calculated

rate as

used the

was sum

15 percent. of

one

percent

The of

annual the

rate

value

of

of land

and


-55trees and ten _reent

of the valse

of inve_ted

capital

in coconut

farms.

_le_1 The marginal the product

value

of its marginal

is approxi_mted the

aoelal

product

product

bY the landlecd's

of the land

and the world

share

used in copra price

production

of copra.

(s) multlplied

is

The former

by the average

yield

of

land. Roumaseet

land

and james

produot_vlty.

approximation

[1979]

In eases

has

where

_hown

s was

that s is an InereaslnE not directly

observed

of

function

the followlnE

was used:

(Yj- y') ............ ] (s*'- s')

_j = s'

(Y*'- X"} where

Oj

is

produotlvlty

the

landl_d's

of region

share

J, and

the mi_Limt_m a_d max/mu_

values

maximum

and

shares

dOWtT_ard

to

marketing Table

are

._0

oost

.55

the

in

in

region

j,

the superscripts

is

the

average

* and ,e indicate

of the superscri|.,ted variable.

.80 respectively

landlord

Yj

share

th_Is province.

in

respectively

Our mirdmum

[_oumas-_et, 1979].

Mindoro

The adjusted

to account l_,downer

land

We

for

and

adjusted

the higher

shares

are

shown

in

11.

O_ver.atgr's _ The

total

incorporate

_os_!

social

factor"

cost

wa_

adJusted.upwards

by

5

the.operator's

opportunity

cost _n

copra

production.

12 summarizes

the domestic

social

costs

in copra

percent

to

6.4. Table eoolal

rent

of land

wa_

approx_t_ly

soolal

cost of producit',_ copra.

50_,

the highest

The _;badow wake

share

production. of

The

the entire

bill was 25% of total

Sooial


-56-

cost.

The

combined

cost

farmers et.

opportunity

and

al.

and

cost

of

variation The

was of

the

average

of B0.14.

• 7.44

1976,

average

zoughly over

theOER

ratlve the

the

SER

regions

protection in

(0.55)

than

5%.

ton

of

Dividing

Thus,

suggests with

the

a

for

the

As

across in

1976

average DRC

copra the

copra.

in

share

comparative

made

by

in Valiente of

the

operator's

together

expected,

constituted

there

was

regions.

was

$258.97.

It

DRC

was

with

the

_6.05

OER

advantage 1976.

conventional That

The

the

with

for

12%.

outlay

costs

cost.

comparative

stronger OER

The

labor

about

reported

The

for

following

0.55

and

copra

1976.

as

total.

costs

at

marketing

both

social

social

third,

total

Land

measure

averaged

apparently

8% of

coefficient

1976.

advantage

about

at

deviation the

inputs,

per

standard in

other

entize

centered

came

the

total

return

capital

i.e.,

about

in the

average

t_hree-year

of

constituted

three-quarters

little

of

marketing,

traders,

(1979),

opportunity about

of

cost

is,

The

is

a a

which

was

was

0.81,

SER

was

practice,

32% compa-

dividing

the

DRC

with

advantage

for

all

the


-5?Table 12. Domestic Re._ource Cost.q in Copra Production, By Region: 1976 (per metric ton)

Southern Luzon

Costs (pe)os) Labor Rent Interest • Depreciation Others Marketing

513.57 726,30

75.68 94.43 6.19 1I0.00

Western Visayas

416.69 847.97 27,35 63.68 90.00

110.00

360.07 908.29 49.23 54.82 7.33 130.00

7.15

293,55 932.52 35.27 68.75

Northern Samar

3.98

Mindanao

332.32 969,22 _2.96 41.2_ 6.21 120.00

1526.17

1491.19

1452,84

1444.07

1509.7_

1511,95

76.31

74.56

72.64

72.20

75,_9

75,60

Total

1602.48

1565.75

1525.48

1516,27

1585.23

1587,55

258.97

258.97

258.97

258.97

258.97

258.97

(US $)3

DRC (pesos/US

$)

Comparative Advantage_ DRCIOER DRCJ SER

2 3

505.37 653.67 75.68 94 ._3 2.04 160.00

Centr _I Visay_s

Subtotal Operator 's Opportunity. Cost 2

Returns

1

Mindoro

6.19

6.05

5.89

5.86

0.83 0.57

0.81 0.55

0.79 0.54

0.79 • 0.54

6.12

0.82 0.56

6.13

0.82 0.56

The Harberger shadow wage rate is used. The figures reported here are corrected for household and operator's labor and for interest of the wages to labor (54 percent of hired labor costs). It Is estimmted at 5% of subtotal cost, Three-yeay average of f.o.b, copra prices centered at 1976. Assuming a shadow exchange rate of @!0.94 or 32 percent over the official exchange rate (= _7.44).

Source: Baslo data drawn from the Special Studies Division, Ministry Agrlcalture and United Coconut Association of the Philippines.

of


-58-

7. Con_cludln_ A___\k_s

The

coconut

producer

and

This

wedge

prices.

¢ompetitlon oopra,

levy

with

UNICOM.

it Is able

the expOrt

tax d_kive a wedge

is apparently

To the extent

to _y

lower

prices

widened

that UNICOH

to traders

between

border

by pollcles has market

which

and

limit

i_wer in buying

who in turn pay lower

price_

to produoers. The

unified

exports.

To

increased, without demand equal

the extent

thls may

for coconut

copra

goes

partly

hand

exchange

be justified.

But

in

hand

earnings these

If we have some evidence

ell is finite,

the country

wlth

control

earnings

can

can impose, an export

elasticity.

It is interesting

to note

the govern;,_ent intervention

the intervention were

undervalued

designed

foreign

tariffs.

The

Justified

by

incentives

were

domestic

edible

the

controls

nOt tied

believed

that

linkages

As

which

oil.

was

part

a subsidy

price

distortions

t_e

Jn marketing

(_(.om_t industry.

to an

of protective w;_s further But

of millin_

the

capacity.

led to monopoly. the price

cow,trois

the res_latlon

calculated

and the price Without

of

tax on oil

largely

subsidy

s_eciflc_tlon

of world

the BOI investment

due

the investment

with

of unification

given

First,

that was in turn c_nlsed by a system

led to subsidies,

on edible

existing

to any reasonable

eonsumptlon.

copra

offset

exchange,

backward

_use

ell were

the _c_ual

to

government

protection Another

,In investment• _nd pricing.

are

be obtained

that the elasticity

of the demand that

of c_!

to the Phiilppln_

tO the reciprocal

incentives

for

of

that foreign

monopolization.

followed

Thus,

control

to make

necessary

on edible

program,

refiners

up the difference

to "break

the s,.,bsidy, refiners

even" would

oils

given reduce

sold of

between the price capacity


-59utilization

during

beo_,-e profitable became

scarce.

policy. lead

to

mills

closed this

a spiral

The UNICOM grant

exclusive

companies that

functions

greater

in 1979,

illustrates

of"offsetting and

here

increases

capacity

in wholesale

of ell milling.

the _overnment

examples

to a particular in their

the

however,

even copra

when prlees

Thus,

when

Ib

copra and

some of

intervened

with

government

intervention

tendency The

company.

the UNICOM can

(1981)

of government

government

enterprl_s.

enterprises

in the

Baumoi's

of

respective

are quasl-public

to quote

the subsidy,

regulations..

the AII are

compatltlon

companies

at opti_al

bow a well meaning

for government, programs

appropriate a public

to

production

the profitability

down

rights

from

these

led

lowered

Again

of tight .copra supI_)ly. With

to malmt_in Thla

eorreapondlnE/y the o11

tlmea

Even

in 'that they

industry

is

protects

both

the argument

serve

special

not sufflclent.

third p_inclple

to

It maybe

for the operation

of

enterprise :

Unless an overwhelming ease in terms (,'fbenefits ear: be. made for the contral,y [_sltlon !n a particular case, a public enterprise _hould not be •protected from the entry of competitors. Any firm which wlshea to enter into eomp_tltlon with a public f_rm should normally be permltted to do so without any s_eclal costs.or obllgationa beyond those im[_t-ed on incumbents. Moreover, freedom of exit should be the rule, not the exception. In any •event, there should always be a presumption that favors uuch freedom of entry and exit, wltb the burden •of p1,oof to be borne by those who wlsh to abrogate it _.n•any particular ca_e (p. 11).

It appears and

the

trade

producers wlth

while

which

research

that retaJ.nlng modest

restrictions

would

export

taxes

substantlal.ly

but r_oving

increase

still

providing

a _.ubsldy to domestic

to finance

important

development

and development.

For example,

programs

a, 12 percent

returns

consumers

the CCSF levy _

coconut

arid revenue:

in the industry, export

e.g.._

tax on both copra


-60-

and

coconut

oil

substantially the

lower

subsidy If

vary

with

the the

to

automatically than

their

price

world

would

lower

imply

a subsidy

the

For

taxes producer's

mean of

prices

consumers

by

levy

agricultural

exports

since

stimulate

pay

policy farm has

cultivated

area

land

resources

than

farms.

coconut

plantations better

the

trees

In summal-f, have

all

combined

have

not

been

scholarship

use

the

that

need

is

for

and

tend

under

higher to

major

would

the

real

of

Already not

have

be

a better

the

A

overall

tax

taxes

and

incomes. would

growth

in

in

25 percent evidence use

tax

would

system.

prices

source

also

average

business

their

do

would

it

the

to

for

that

i.e.,

hand,

producers'

we

note

balance

planted.

and

levy

present

to pay

the

area

export to

should

today,

the

relative

plahtations

the

option

of

be

more

of

turn

coconut of

the

that the

country's

though

this

and

increase

to

production

price

compensated no_

does

the not

present

technology

necessarily

cannot

be

imply

ruled

out.

cultivation

at our replanting

A policy

by intercropping

efficient.

tax, the

improving

yields

a hybrid

lower

insurance

prevailing

other

more

tax

crops.

export

adequately

provide

coconuts,

management

might

to

of

export

consumers,

the

stabilizing

increasing

with

the

to

and

than

taxes

the

interesting

On

Historically,

other

farm

also

and

coconut

However,

is

higher

expansion

us with

It

then

A variable

producers

indirect

devoted of

coconut

beneath

the

is

leaves

to promote

much

increasing

been

expansion

This

domestic

eliminating

prices

removed.

producers

higher

of

desired,

producers.

may

production.

production

further

be

non-agricultural

consumers

be

to both

would

This

for

thus

low world

incomes.

to prod_cers

urban

a price

prices,

is

the

could

z_turns

system

border

stabilization

price.

export

stabilize

on

produce

program.

domestic

example, tend

would

by

the

le%_], and

received by

the

by small

replanting

marketing

coconut and scheme.

regulations

producers.

sBiective The

Producers

programs

consumer

of

subsidy


-61of

cooking

compared

oll

to

regulated

the

The without

some

not

and

real

to

benefits

stabilization

be i_oreased_

consumers

which continue

needed

"and consumer

however,

a very

small

_ansfer

of

government

profits

temporarily

of an export

suapended, ban on. copra

this ha_ again

protection.

coconut

revenue

also

marketing

imposition

the CCSF levy o_ the export

for the modest

le

potential

by the recent negative

import tariffs

products

CCSF levy has been

in substantial

degree of

should

coconut

While'the

offset

either

sufficient

other

tax revenue

trade.

been larsely resulting

and

without

to impose

ban. for

A variable

these

protection

pro_a_s

taxes

could

be financed

export

tax would

and would

as well.

corresponding

hidden

f|QO_Q

and producers

on exports.

provide

The export

reductions

in

be

tax

industrial


-62Appendix ,I. The RelationshAp Between The Prices oi"Crude Coconut Oil In New York And Copra In Manila, 1970-1979: The "Ten Peso Rule"

Price of Coconut Oil " in New York (US oent_/Ib) (2)

Price of Copra in .Ratio of Manila Manila, Gross of Copra Price to NY Export lax and Levy Price of Coconut O£L (9/100 k_:s.)1 (ool.3/ool.2) (3) (4)

1970

14.40

105.60

7.3

1971

12.50

97.60

7.8

1972

9.05

72.80

8.0

1973

21.30

194.40

9.1

1974

45.03

386.70

8.6

1975

17._5

156.30

9.0

1976

18.57

179.00

9.6

1977

25.92

272.20

10.52

1978

30.66

323.50

10•52

1979

43.85

"438.50

10.02

Year (I)

1

The expor_ tax alldthe CCSF levy are added to actual copra price An Manila. This series may be •regarded as the copra price in the absence of the export tax and the CCSF levy or the "•borderprice" of copra.

2

The "ten pesO rule" ia evident starting 1977-

Souroe: Baslo data drawn from Philippines.

the Un/ted Coconut

AssocAation of

the


-63Appendix

2.

)

E_imatlng

The Input-Output In _oconut

i.

Copra-Coconut

Conversion

i)

0.63

m.t. coconut

il)

0.31

m.t. copra

b.

Copra-Coconut

oil per m.t.

meal

m.t.

coconut

coconut

Copra-Coconut

l)

0.222

m.t,

copra

ll)

0.162

m.t. desslcated

b.

Coconut

i)

Price of m.t,

0.222

iV)

V)

coconut

Cost

meal

of Copra

x Price that went

of into

Qopra meal

= (Vc _ Vcm)/Prlce

of

Coefficient

coconut

per 1000

coconut meat

of m,t.

nuts

coefficient

- Price

of m.t. copra

- Processing

copra = 0.1554

m.t,

copra = Price

m.t.

dessloated

1000

nuts = Vdc n

- 0.30 x Price

coconut

of _.t,

deaeicated

m.t.

copra

of m.t.

copra _

per 1000 nuts x 0,70 x Price of

m.t.

Thus, coconut

per

copra

m.t. copra

0._62 m,t.

copra

per 1000 nuts

meat-Desslcated

Ill)

of gross

oil = Vcm

Coconut

Factors

Processing

copra = Value

oil.

Conversion

ll)

copra

Oil Coefficient

a.

of m.t.

of m.t.

meal = Value

Meat-Dessloated

Cost

per m.t.

oll = Vc

m.t. coconut

Coconut

in milling)

x 0.31 m.t. copra

copra

per m.t.

2.

Ccconut

copra

(a by-product

x Price

1.587 m.t. copra

Thus,

Meat

Oil Coefficient

copra

m.t.

ill)

Oil and Dessicated

and Coconut

Factc_ s

•1.587 m.t.

ii)

of Copra

Oil Coefficient

a.

i)

Coefficient

coconut

coconut

coconut

= Value

meat-dessicated

0.96 x (Price of m.t.

copra

meat

per 1000 nuts x Price

meat

[_r 1000

per 1000 nuts = Vm nuts x Price

of desslcated

coconut / Price

of

coconut

coefficient

of m.t.

of

" per

= Vm/Vdc n =

desslcated

coconut).


,@_-

•Appendlx 2 Continued

3,

Estimates:

Tear

CopPa-Coconut 0ÂŁI Coefficient

Coconut Meat-Dezslcat_d Coconut Coefficient

1970

0.78

0._7

1971

0.78

0._14

1972

0.70

0,36

197_

0.72

0.56

1974

0.65

o.sg

1975

0.52

0.38

1976

o.61

0.43

1977

0.69

O,43

1978

0.70

0.42

1979

0.76

0,45

1980

0.63

0.31

1981

0.65

, _

,

by assu,._lon. no data.

-_ouroe: Converstlon Phtlippi_ea.

factors

drawn

from

the

United

Coconut

Association

of

the,


Balanss _.

B.

and

Associates (1971), _ 9_f _ct_ Baltimore: jc_n Hopkins Unlverslty Press.

in

Baumol, N.J. (1981), "Some Principles for the Operation of Public Enterprises," Chunl _ua _ of _ By _ F_nent _ (No. 2). Talpei: The Institute Of Eoonomlo8, Academia Sinloa. Bautlsta, R. and G.R. Tecson (1979), "Domestic Resource Costs in Phillpplne Manufacturing: 1969 and 197_", in R°M. Bautlsta and J.H. Power and Associates (1979), _ _ _ in _he _jzLLIp.PI_ Makati: Philipplre Institute o_ Development Studles. BoaOwey, R. House.

(1975),

_

Sector

Economlcs,

Bruno, M. (1972)t "Domestic Resource Clarlfloat_on and Synthesls," _

Masuchusets:

Costs and .q__

WithPop

Effective _,

Publishing

Protection: 80.

Business Day (1980), "Coconut Fund Hearing P6 Bi_llon," September I, 1980 _ssNe. Manila: Author. Clarete, R.L. (1980), "The Coconut Consumer Stabilizatlon Incidence and Equity ZmplÂŁoatlons, unpubl_shed paper.

Fund Levy: Its

COCOFPD (1973), "Story of the Coconut Consumer Stabilization Fund", The _E_ _, 2 (8). Manila: Author. Darrah L. and F. Tior_son (1969), Aarlcultural N_rketln_ in the _. Los Banos: University of the Philippines College of Agriculture. David, V. _.

(1977), _ _ in the Development _If the P_h__ Quezon City: Unpublished MBA Thesis, Ateneo de Manila University.

Berdt, R. and A. Mandac (1981), "Modern Technology and Economic Efficiency of Phillpplne rice Farmers", _ _ent _ _ E_La/_, 29. Erueger, A.O. (1972), "Evaluating Hestrlctlon_st Trade Measurement,, _ of _ o_, 80. Librero, A.R. (1971), "The International Demand Products: An AgEresale Analysis,, The _

Regimes: Theory and

far Philippine Coconut _ __9._, 10.

Medalla, E.M. and J.H. Power (1979), Estimating Implicit Tariffs and Nominal Rates of Protection" in R.M. Bautlsta, J.H. Power end Associates (1979), 229_ _ /_n _ Phillp_.Bg__. Makati: Philippine _nstitute of Development Studies. Pearson, S., N. Akrsmanel, and G. }]elson(1976), "ComParative Advantage in Eice


-66Produotlon: A Metbodologloal Studies, XV, 2. Power,, _.

J.H.

In_roductlon", o_

and Q.P. Slca_ (!971), The 2J_ London: Oxford University Press.

_

Industrlalizatlon AP_

SoumaAset, J.A. (1976), EL_ and I_,_,_k_ _ _ Farln_. Amsterdam: Nc_th-Holland Publlshlng Co. .....

Amg_z

, (1979), "Explalnlr_ Patterns in Landowner Shapes: Rice, Cern, Coconut and Abaca in the Philippines" (mimeographed).

Quality,

and W. James (1979), "Explalnlng Varlatlorm in Share Contraots: Land PopulAtion Pressure, and Tec_molosical Change," _

• S£eper0 E. (1981), "The Structure of General Equilibrium ShAdow pricing Rules For A Tax-Dist_ted Economy", Department of Eoonomles, Australian Natiomal Un_erslty and Centre of Policy Studies, Monash University, (mlmeogr_pbed). •Valienta, A.M., Jr., et el. (1979), _ 3o_lo-Eoonomlo_and _ _L_. Quezon City: SpeciAl Studies Division, MinlstPy A_v£oulture, Republic of the P_lipplnes. ¥eluoo,

E.T.

Philippi_e U-4ted

(1975), _X _ Press.

_

_ _

Coconut

Manile:

A_oeiation of Stabilizatlo_ _ Author.

__._.___, Coconut

_

the

_

_ _.

P_lippi,_es On The _

J._l.

_ Quezon

(1979), Qf _

City:

of

A _ On The University of the

The _

of _

The _.

Manila: Author.

_[ot_o, A.Q. and V.O. Qulntos (1979), _ S_ietv. Manila: GIC Enterprises Co. Inc.

/£Z _

Under _


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