Economic Incentives and Comparative Advantage in the Philippine Cotton Industry

Page 1

PHILIPPINE

INSTIXIYI_ FOR DEVEIOPI_NT

STUDIES

Working Paper 83-O9 /

ECONOMIC _IVES

AhD COMPARATIVEAD_

IN THE PHILIPPINE

Arse_io

corlDN

INDUSTRY

M. Ballsacan

PID$ Library


ECONOMIC INCENTIVES AND COMPAP_ATIVE ADVANTAGE IN' _HE PHILIPPINE COTTON INDUSTRY

Arsenio

M. Balimacan

INTRODUCTION

In support to develop

of the goverm_ent_s

import

ram, which paved cotton

Rationale

been importinE

given to the program

(1966-75),

able areas More

hectares

inv,!red studies

than 530,000

were

lint requirement an average

have

of the country

areas technically

with

hectares

suitable

shown

have

the country

more

to be self-sufficient

launched

of

in the early has

over a ten-year

outflow

of $30 million;

can be grown

in suit-

rate of return.

cultivation cropping

hectarage

prog-

reintroduction

been delineated

for cotton

tha_ the required

development

which_

that cotton

a profitable

objective

(i) the country

annual

of this fall into the existing

represents

cotton

agriculture 2, was formally

its cotton

and (2) research

the national

development

the way for the commercial-scale

in Philippine

1970s.

period

substitutes,

agricultural

as potential and about

systems.

of i15,000

in its raw cotton

150,000 The latter

in order

bonsumpEion.

for As

IResearch intern, Resource Systems Institute, East-West Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, and Science Research Specialist (on leave), Cotton Research and Development institute, Philippines. This paper is based on the author's MS Thesis (Balisacan, 1982) and is part of the project entitled "The Impact of Economic Policies on Philippine Agricultural Development" funded by the Philippine Institute and Development Studies and Philippine Council for Agricultural and Resources Research and Development". 2pioneering attempts to co_=_ercialize cotton cultivation in the country were made as early as pro-Second World War. However, inadequate technical know-how, coupled with managerial and acute financial problems led to the abandonment of operations.


of crop year planted

1950~g_

to cotton

beginning

in crop year

DE_ic Iss_es_

does

pr_oduction?

the p_omot_u

of cotton

respect

have a ¢ompaxative

_nd second_ domes tic

describes

and imports,

of economic

the effects

in the third section,

Historical

i.e. cotton

policies

_o

questions. trends

The firs_

in production

industry.

policies

In the

on the structure

ind.ustml is analys.e.d. Lastly,

the issue of the relative

economic

efficiency

is. co.%apreherusivelyexplored.

I_mUSTR¥

BAC_"ROL_D

Profile

era.

•and '"lompotes;_ ....,

cotton_

in domestic

de_e!oDment_

of gove_nment

cotton production

The Philippine Hispanic

is t_e domes-

of _overnmant

these

in the cotton

I.

eco-

production?

the historical

inceu_ive$

of domestic

to imported

and policies :affecting the cotton

next section_

t,._ocrucial

competitive

has the matrix

cotton

raises

advantage

This-;_a_er _attempts_ to a_S_er section

194-hectare

1974-75,

cotton with

the ¢c,_.'omy

of these have been

ju_l_ from ...a •modest . _-. '...

First:_.how economically

produced

encouraged.,

17,000 hectares

a qumttum

,

As expected_

tically

about

cotton

industry

dates .as far back

as the pre-

Throu_=hout the lan_, hOl_Sehold weaviu_ a native

fabric mad_

flourished,

ef ,cottonp wa_ a renowned

,.

export

product

Zhe gl.05e. plants

_ne

of Filipino fibers we=_

ancestors extracted

to

(,_ina omdother

from perennial_ty_e

known now today, as wild-glzowin;i"nayiv_ _otton

parts

of.

COttOn

p!181_tS.

,


3 _._iththe transfer during The

the Span&sh

cheaper

English

regime,

competed

short time, Chinese

"iompotas"

goods,

crops,

imported

ceased

grown

industry

in the country

cial scale,

started

a modest

that year.

The undertak/ng,

A post-war

the Philippine renamed

as the General

trating

operations

looked

however,

mere backyard

NLSA,

the

on a commer-

cotton cul_iva_ion

in

was cut short by the Japanese

co,ton

War_

industry Company

Corporation

Agricultural

Administra-

cultivation.

Development

began

in 1955, the latter in 1956.

prospects

of co_ton

established

a modern

and planting

with

in 1953 and

Corporation

where

of laborer8

for

Concencultivation

mechanized &_ annual

all-cotton average

of

1,000 hectares.

Results couraging.

of _he undertaking, Overall

3The produc_ plants.

became

In a

commodity

to grow cotton

100-hectare

in Mindanao

having hundreds

industry.

d uz.i_g the Second World

good, bo_h agencies

nearly

to attempt

Agricultural

This

Land Settlement

of cotton

of the N_tioual Cotton

fabrics.

by

dwindled.

era in the Philippine

_ha organization

to crumble.

manufacture

batter

varieties

of the National

of the country

began

faSrics

to be a major

in 1939 led to the revival

occupation

industry

the loca_.ly woven

and the local cotton

first agency

from Cebu to Manila

to the local weaving

the locally

The establishment tion

with

to be a sharp blow

of trade

the local

and higher-quality

mills

proved

of the center

average

consisting

unfortunately,

seeucotton3yi_d_

of fibers

were rather after

and seeds,

e_g_

picked

dis= cropping

from cotton


4 years, was o_.iy 326kg/ha, Teclmical

inadequately,

and organization_l

with

complicated

prices

textile

cost of cotton cotton

industry.

began

millers

first

of which

4986 creating

the Philippine

joint venture

with the private

development

In 1969, the Burean gran_ _romPTRi_

took special

research

which

ditions

project

terms of yield Almost a similar a vigorous

a series of

of Republic

Institute

Act

PTRI,

to promote

a the

industry.

Industry,

in_erest

Kesults

of the local

enacted

Research

gave special

the

of the increasing

throuRh

attention

variety,

of a cotton

to the development and topograFhical

of its studies

upland medium-staple

a research.

in the launching

that best fits the climatic

of the country.

16, an American

As a result,

was the passage

textile

lint

a long declining

sector, was mandated

of Plant

cotton

for the development

Textile

of the country's

a cotton variety

sixties.

who bore the Brunt

agitetated

came in

At this time,

In re.sponse_ the government

!egislations,.the

the company

industry

to soar after

to the early

imports

cotton

seventies.

in the world market

country's

within

difficulty

of operations.

and early

trend from the fifties

at 85kg/ha.

financial

conflict_

point in the Philippine

the late sixties

registered

by acute

and operational

lad to the discontinuation A turning

the lowest

showed

of con-

Deltapinee

to be the best

in

and adapatibility.

in the same year_ grant from PTRi, technical

Central

assumed

research

Luzon

State

the important

program

University,

through

role of undertaking

om cotton cultivation.

Its


5 research

efforts

results

an on-farm

in Central

reintroduce

cotton

drew national

production

growing

the signing

program

in 1972.

project with

This

into farmers'

performance

attention.

and the encouraging

of a pioneering

Pangasiann,

The outstanding

with

out to be successful

led to the launching

tion Bulak", trated

turned

cropping

350, later

PD 1063, creating

the Philippine

Cotton

Corporation

central

to undertake,

production

corporation venture

attached

between

TO support launched

in the country.

to the Ministry

the government the national

in crop year 1977-78

the Philippine

government,

Reeearch

and Development

assigned

the task of stren=he_ing

in the specialized tO support cotton

areas

the national

in the shortest

The Domestic _tion. operating

Institute

Raw Cotton There

program

objectives

formally

of pilot

1978.

research

cont_io_led

sector.

operations_ the Cotton

The Institutels

and accelerating

of cotton

commercial

PCC is a joint

of PD 1432, created

in June

by

(PCC) as the

of Agriculture,

three years

by virtue

amended

A semi-government

development

after

culminated

and supervise

and the private

cotton

to

Bulak _' immediately

Decree

scale-cotton

sought

in 1973, the project

implement,

concen-

systems,

of Presidential

authority

"Opera-

operations

project

of "Operation

Thus,

called

current

efforts

and development

of attaining

in order

self-sufficiency

in

time possible. Scenario are over 20 cotton

in the country.

Over

textile

the past year,

millers

presently

the magnitude

of their


demand

is reflected

(equivalently

in the country's

referred

.important of cotton

to as raw cotton.) which

lint

represented

the

total supply before'f975. Raw cotton by inter-year (Figure

l).

i5 percent increase

imports

over the last two decades,

fluctuations, The annual

generally

average

quantity

in the ensuin_decade

in per capital

competition

or synthesis

however,

raw cotton

importation

reaching

$47 million

than

in the seventies

in 1978,

twofold

jump

Partly,

In terms

This resulted

im world

cotton

by

significant this pheno-

that developed

fibers,

trend

dropped

the c6unt%7's

and population.

cotton and man-made

a more

a declining

of imports

despite

income

menon was due to the intense

showed

though marked

between

of _mport value

rose si_ninficantly

largely

prices

fram

between

the two

decades. The observed cotton

fluctuations

imports, in the late sixties

related period_

to the textiles The textile

utilization world

inter-year

was the reason Investment crowded in 1973

firms were

(60 percent)

demands

industry's

why the Fiscal

placed

industries

and early seventies principal

because (Morales,

Policy

industry

in 1970.

The sudden

of raw can be during this

from low capacity

of low domestic 1974),

Committee

the textile

could be a_tributed

problem

then suffer_n_

primarily

for their products

in the volume

Presumably,

of the Board

in the category increase

to the deletion

and this

of

of over-

in _mportation

of the industry

from


7

the same list of congested in effect_

lifted

the restrictions

other disincentives imposed

For the past decades,

the 1971-75 vided

States

period

the US through Domestic

i).

textile

imports

originated

all cotton

industry

so during

imports

were pro-

via the agreement

between 4 government.

La_ 480 and the Philippine Though

mainly

cou_ercial-scale

cotton

was pursued

in the fifties

mentioned

the efforts

and scale were not intensive

the second

half of the seventies

al cotton development both the government period_

13.6 percent imports

produced

of the domestic

share of production

sectors.

raw cotton began supply.

almost

ties and early eighties,

During

as

as in

the nationfrom

this latter

to fill a signifi-

the proportion

0.3. percent jumped

(Table 2).

level during

this increase

sixties

full support

From a modest

of the eighties

at the same

early

eighties when

pursued with

to supply in 1975,

at the beginning

remaining

was

and the private

domestically

cant fraction

program

and early

and

product-

ion in the country earlier,

end

and equipments)

This was especially

when practically

production.

of facilities

of machineries

raw cotton

its Public

This

to 1972.

(Table

to the Philippine

by the BOI in 1972.

on expansion

(e.g., imports

on the firms prior

from the United

industries

to

With

the late seven-

in proportion

is attributed

4The iaw's primary purpose was to support American agriculture_ while at the same time assisting the economic development of friendly nations through the utilization of America_s surplus of agricultural commodities via provision of long-term credit for the purchase of such surplus crops. USDA's Counnodity Credit Corporation financed the sale and exportation of these commodities.


8 almost

entirely

period,

to domestic

registered

Interfiber man-made

an annual

competition.

or synthetic

in the cotton largely

developed

ulosics_

early seventie3, by about

markedly

that local cotton

tively

cheaper

durin8 siste_t d_ced 1972

man-made

proportion the sixties

consumptionp

(Table 3).

Local fibers

textile which

declining from76

fibers

rapidly

prices,

from

howevers

so that by the

ratio

had declined

as reflected

imports

percent

fiber

of nnn-cell

decreaead

in the increase

preferred

correspondingly

cotton

can

This may be part of

mills

Also,

a stern

fibers.

did not consistently

and seventies.

fabrics-ranging

price

fibers

and local

index

Cotton

to 1960-65.

of the country's

with a steadily

staple,

cotton

level of .imports shown earlier,

greater

2, the price

in the late sixties,

compared

the same period.

trends

of

in a new era

industries,

vis man-made

seventies.

the polyester-

during

ushered

and synthetic

price

_, US polyester

75 percent,

the reason

in Figure

i00 percent.

for man-made

of cotton vis-a world

the same

and development

and elastomer

natural

down to the early

began to increase

rate of about

the market

between

As s_w_

represented

the fifties

With

from the relative

consumption.

during

in the fifties

in apparel

The competitiveness be sleaned

growth

which_

The introduction

fibers

industry.

concentrated

competition

production

the relaabsorbed

of textile

this phenomenon content

a

fibers was con-

on locally

in 1963 to 27 percent

proin


9 The trend in relative after

world

1973.

prices

however,

changed

increase

as the price of oil_ upon which

for their raw materials though cotton cotton

prices

content

between

rose sharply

produced

fabrics

depend

this period.

about

to

as fast_

increased

Al-

the

especially

Laws and Related Measures the Cotton Industry

sector.

Corporation,

As mentioned

created

by PD 1063, is the central supervise

the country.

Since its inception,

of activities,

earlier,

in 1973 by virtue

implement,and

ranged

fibers began

synthetics

during

seem to have risen

of locally

The producing

amended

of man-made

fi%ers,

1973 and 1975.

Policies, Affecting

Cotton

Prices

of competing

authority

commercial=scale

the most

critical

sary financial

and agricultural

extension

produced

under

Seedcotton ping season

baling,

a broad

are: the select-

the provision s_r¢ices$

and marketing

of necesand the

of all cotton

price is set By PCC at the beginning are assured

of the market

duce by the PCC which

is the sole buyer

cotton.

its lending-arm

commercial

in

its program.

and farmers

PCC,

cultivation

of which

growing

ginning,

to undertake,

PCC has undertaken

areas for cotton

storing,

of PD 350, later

cotton

ion of general

puchasing,

the Philippine

through

banks,

gents production

of the croD-

for their pro-

and processor

participating

credit

of seedrural

to farmers.

and

Like


I0 other

supervised

an interest

seven cropping

ion loan ranged

cotton

or from _i_270

(Table 4)째

highest

in agricultural

The textile

which came from

United

government.

a licensing

originated

States

production

however,

- on imported

the domestically

which

the 1975-80

is one o4 the

of a similar

cotton

nature.

suplly,

the bulk

the provision

of

of the agree-

Law 480) and the Philip-

ceased

started

to the

to have a high

from imports,

Public

by

the production

During

domestic

through

Quantitative

system,

loans

In the past_

(through)its

Bank of the Philippines after

85 percent,

This agreement

domestic

is channeled

banks

loans_

production

mainly

the US

of total supply째

averaged

from _3,773

the balance

the lending

production

sector.

as stated earlier,

produce

remitting

enables

terms of raw

ton in 1981o

in turn deduct

before

rate for their

the repayment

imposed

which

into

loan ranged

per metric

seedcotton

by farmers

This practice

same year

Translated

the average

banks

period,

pines

charge째

per farmer_

PCC to the lending

between

service

carry

from _535 to _2,001

for farmers'

loan obtained

2 percent

loans

actual product-

ton in 1975 to _9_553

Payment

repayment

plus

production

the average

(lint) production,

latter.

cotton

season,

perhectare

per metric

ment

programs,

rate of I0 percent

For the past

to 22,581

credit

its effect

in 1975, the

to supply a _odest

regulation

fraction

by the government

through

was in effect - and is still presently

raw cotton. allows produced

Under

imports

the system,

the Development

of cotton by textile

mills

only


ii cntton

has been

mills'

request

and endorses

allocated

among

to import

is granted,

the application

are subjected 10 percent

to quantitative

to customs

duties

an almost

24 percent

- I0 percent

ad valorem

estimates

Recently, dustry

to domestic

cotton

exchange

, is encouraging

equipment the mbdern

in response finishes

this program,

6135 implemented mills

by allowing

program

since them

through

Starting

development

to import

equipment

of 7 years

1981_ however,

of foreizn

to_:retire old and to meet

of Incnentive

incentives

in-

in pus h-

To give effect

the provision

1979, _ives

of duty and taxes for a period gistrati_,

millers

for exports.

As

of the textile

for the generation

to tachnology

as

seed production.

The government,

the country's

desired

the BOI,

boost.

interpreted

this rate under-

and modernization

ing its export-orientation

on domestically

lint production째

however,

a considerable

and a

on imported

can be also

section_

the expansion

was given

tariff

on cotton

imports

These rates

taxes imposed

this rate

protection

the incnetive

mark-up.

implicit

raw cotton

will be shown in the next

to Central

cotton

produced

of nominal

importers

request

regulations,

Since there are no sales

'a measure

their

to open a letter of credit째

cotton.

(lint),

If the textile

DBP enters

sales tax over 25 percent

represent

mills째

of qualified

Bank, which are then authorized In addition

these=

to Act

to new textile

and machinery

free

from the date of re-

this incnetive

is tied with


12

another

government

requires

textile

policy

mills

- a rational

to export

program

at least

which

30 percent

of their

produce.

II.

STRUCTURE

Nominal

OF INCENTIVES

and Effective

commodity

seedcotton_

the estimation

ers' output

starts with

production pine

measured prices

evaluated

However,

because

imports

border

to the cotton

prices

discussed

adjusted

directly

of overall i.eo_

protection between

in an attemp

(total)

of the Philipcan be best

domestic

price

and border

chain.

difference

the border

farm-

to seedcotton

in the marketing

comparable.

between

cotton

of raw cotton

to make

The adjustment

domestic

and

procedure

is

Ao

of government

measured

favorably

to the cotton

protection

on cotton

is a mononoly

quality

production

policies,

nominal

comparison

of the marked

in Appendix

The impact

which

This total

price

and domestic

protection

industry,

a t a comparable

was correspondingly

(lint) and not

the determination

Corporation,

by direct

is raw cotton

of nominal

and to processing

Cotton

INDUSTRY

Protection

Since the tradable

nom hal protection

IN THE COTTON

polieies_

by these price

rate

notably

comparisons_

trade

and fiscal

was H as expected_

industry

as a whole

(Table 5).

averaged

28 percent

during

Total

the 1975-81


13

period.

This

(24 percent) titative

figure was somewhat based on tariff

import

restrictions

close

and indirect (quota

ever, the first estimate

(by price

used for luther

since

fails

analysis

to capture

From cotton

the effect

the total nominal

industry,

of seedcotton

estimation

method

tection

cost with ducing

ers and the t6tal,

protection

rate.

Details

in Appendix

These estimates

the 1975-81 put was,

generally_

the

the implicit PCC's

pro-

processing

cotton

pro-

was that this average and protection-

cost was added actually

to the

received

in lint equivalent,

estimation

for the

Briefly,

First,

as in the estimation

ofthe

on the

by farm-

was com-

of total nominal

procedure

are also dis-

A. revealed

production period.

farm price

price

farmers

cost of eleven major

price

and is

restriction.

by replacing

this processin_

how-

rates)

by policy

of the cost of efficient

termed

the border

(by legislated

indirectly.

assumption

the quan-

is preferred

to cotton

of two stages.

of seedcotton

pared with

seedcotton

was estimated

Second,

Given

estimate

on raw cotton,

conferred

protectinn

The implicit

lint price equivalent

cussed

the latter

processing

is a close approxiation free processing.

comparison)

was eliminated

the average

countries.

allocation)

protection

consists

to processing

taxes.

of _his form of trade

the nominal

production

to an independent

that the nominal

was negative What

averaging-

this tends

not protected,

protection 7 percent

rate on during

to show is that the producer's

i.e.,

not conferred

with

out-

incentives,


14 by price policy ducer prices

set by PCC, but rather

were pegged,

penalized.

on the average,

Domestic

7percent

below

pro-

compa-

rable world prices째 The nominal pletely

capture

structure

protection

rate measure,

the impact

of all price

in seedcotton

on output,

farmers'

which are likewise effective nominal

_incentives affected

protection

rate

production

the implicit were

rate on farmers'

In addition

also depend

by various

is a more

year period

output,

on the incentive to price

on the price

relevant

measure

policy of inputs

policy measures_

In other words,

higher

Thus,

the

than the

the effective

to these

(Table 6)째

- 12 percent,

value

of the implicit

returns

protection

rate

(domestic

inputs

used in cotton

than L the nominal

EPR averaged

factors

as a result

on tradable

protection

considered,

primary

protection

tariffs

substantially

lower than the nominal

percen_

policies

does not com-

rate.

Because

domestic

production.

h_wever,

factors

rate was generally Over the sevenioeo,

added) were

tariffs

protection

returns

to

lower by 12

on outputs

were penalized

and inputs. by the

system.

So far, no mention the government's

has been made

agricultural

agricultural

extension,

As mentioned

earlier,

credit

research

of the incentive policy

and its funding

and development,

the national

cotton

impact of

and other

development

of services.

program

has


15

had an accompnying and extension

supervised

support.

production

credit,

the extent

to which

has been offset

Only

however,

rate

pressed

sector°

during

being

only

lower

paper, value

credit.

loans and

6 percentage

Consequently,

subsidy

points

the cost of than in the non-

this subsidy,

when ex-

added,

from 2 to

ranged

on the overall

did not fully

on tradsble

rate durins

offset

inputs

under

to -9 percent

protect-

the penalty

and output,

the period

from -12 percent

the average

consideration as a result

of

subsidy.

The protection

rate would

effect

of the overvalued

change

is accounted

the protection relative

on cotton

agricultural

6 percent

impact of credit

protection

the credit

to determine

on agricultural

to be about

of free-trade

by price policy

raised

policy

between

In the present

ion to farm cotton production

effective

here

on

the 1975-81.

_he incentive

imposed,

impact of intervention

subsidy

1981)o

was about

as a proportion

5 percent

rate

had tended

(David,

in agriculture

agricultural

by price

differential

bhe seventies

and a pool of research

has been estimated

the penalty

the rest of the economy

capital

the average

by the interest

The interest

during

cr_diÂŁ_: package

domestic

itself makes

exchange.

undervaluation

of foreign

that indicated

in the foregoing

lower when

currency

for in the measure,

system

to foreign

be still

exchange.

relative

to foreign

AS mentioned

domestic

Medalla

the disincentive

currency

elsewhere, overvalued

(1979) estimated

Thus,

ex-

a 32 percent

the net EPR is less than

measure,i.e.,

an average

of-25


16

percent

during

the 1975-81

that the correction neutral

effect

on all traded

and the geDeral

cotton

production

Synthesis

on cotton

the governmet's

PCC's profit

extension

the picture

sector,

farmers

This

of

the correction

to be modified.

added

tended

does not necessary industry

value

added

in the effective recieved

It is not expected_

totally

Thus9

a part of

channeled

services. could

protection

crop in the protection-pena)%-y

scale

If the

be reasonably m_asure,

by cotton farmers bowever,

of

for agri-

was ultimately

in the form of government

by

proportion

the budget

and development_

to domestic

to be

mean,

accrued

to PCCo A considered

to the industry

the

have been penalized

to supplement

protection

a clear positive

on raw cotton,

and value

to the cotton i.e_,

and incorporated of'Dverall

policy

farmers

and research

protection

of the cotton

output

that cotton

of these servcies

quantified

have

farmers'

was apparently

down to cotton impact

ranking

and after

that despite

by price

price policy.

to the processing

the overall

has a

in the agricultural

the relative

before

has shown

that the protection

cultural

Thus,

currency

Structure

conferred

indicating

howeve9

industries

not change

analysis

protection

negative

of domestic

however_

overvaluation.

on Incentive

protection

goods

e=onomy.

would

Th_;foregoing nominal

It should be noted_

for overvaluation

sector

for currency

period.

might

that the position of agricult_:ral


17

crops will be markedly receiving

similar

the protection

altered.

government

on these

The estimated

Other

services

which

protection

rates

may likewise

on seedcotton

by price

than those on export

(Table

crops

policy

7).5

increase

respectively.

were

generally

on food crops, but higher

Durin_

rates on food and export

-3 and -15 percent,

crops are also

crops.

lower than those conferred

nal protection

agricultural

the seventies,

crops were,

Considerin_

on the average,

that export

crops,

notably

sugar and:_tohacco, are the predominant

slternativesof

farmers

in the choice

cotton-growing

for second

it may be less disheartening farmers'

output

crops ismore

since

However,

tively

new agricultural

slight

output protection

eeived

in shifting

distribution farmers' would ment

incomes

offer? program

mostly

crop

imposed

considerin_

advantage

that should

More6ver,

grown as second

crops,

policy

on export

is a rela-

systems,

a more

to export per-

there is _= income Why should

below what

as the national

targeted

the

and uncertainly

not be ignored.

substantially

to other

on cotton

that cotton

risk

areas,

penalty

of this • crop r_lative

Also, in the longer-Tun expands

by price

cropping

by greater

to a new crop.

be reduced

a nominal

in farmers

outweighed

questions

in most

to observe

the penalty

severe.

crops may be easily

crops

nomi-

areas wh_re

favorable

these

a free market cotton

develop-

food crops are

price

policy

on

5 This refers to nominal rates of protection, but as tradable inputs represent only a small proportion of production costs a_d valus of output in crop production, it is likely that the ranking of agricultural crops would be roughly similar with the use of either -_"_e-v_*_ev_e_ure of _rotection. I


18 cotton may be necessary Relative

to induce

to the manufacturing

ive Drotection

from government

the seventies,

the protection

very low.

Thus, government

signed to attract

the long-run, have

to plant

sector which

policies

policies

the burden

industry

III.

As raised

STRUCTURE

earlier,

would

the cotton

centinues

issue

was

in

increasingly

program.

OF COF]_4RATIVE ABVAN_AGE

one principal

industry

in competition

If this discrepancy

of financing

during

seem not to be de-

it may be that the government

to bear

an effect-

44 percent

on the cotton

to the cotton

industries.

cotton.

received

of about

conferred

pricing

resources

with manufacturing

farmers

IN THE

in the national

move,

J

to co_ner_ialize competitiveness cotton. economy

of domestically

Put in i_s proper benefit

i.e., would

is centered

(DRC) concept evaluated

exchange

the issue

domestic domestic

the value cost,

coefficient

is, would

for imported

the

cotton

cost of production? domeeti_

resource

of domestic used

to imported

cost

resources

in saving a unit

of

production. at the farmers'

use of comparaÂŁive

data for cotton

is the relative

as compared

on the "ex post"

via local cotton

paper made

farm survey

outweigh

opportunity

For "input-output present

per_ective,

which meanures

at social

in the country

produced

from substitutigng

the benefits

THe analysis

foreigh

cotton production

and major

input,

fields,

output

alternative

the

and financial

crops,

available


19 at the Special Studies Division, Ministry of Agriculture,

Some

description features of these surveys are shown in Table 8.

These

data wete supplemented by production statistics from the Cottm Research and Development Institute, Philippine Cotton Corporation and the Bureau of Agricultural Economics, Ministry of Agrlculture.

The !ndustry

DRC

Exluding (evaluated Table 9.

land

rent,

at market

the

prices)

for

seedcotton

the

period

production considered

are

shown in

unprecedentedlevels,

Labor and operating capital costs in 1981 the

increases

in the

sulting from increased physical labor inputs _ther market

comts

On a per-hectare basis production costs ranged _2, 131

in 1976 to _5,044 in 1981. reanched

average

former

mainly

re-

than increased

wages.

The allocati6n, of the above costs to domastic and fooeigh 6 sources is presented in Table I0 . Together with labor,cost, land rental, which was taken to be 25 percent of the valu_ of pzoductlon

6 The genral methodology followed on the allocation of costs to domestic, foreign and tax sources was that outlined in the ZEPAD Pzo_ect. BriefEy, the allocation process took into account the historical origin (source) of tradable inputs, whether they were fully or partially imported.


20 7 in tobacco growing

_ the best

areas,was

As mentioned cotton

allocated earlier,

lint and marketing

pine Cotton costs,

calculated,

ginning

costs,

cities

in contrast

the observed

annual

The ¢ountry'_ production decline

surp_i_results

fluctuation

in average

industry

was

seeds)

from total

m_inly

the seventies,

from for

of rated

can be made

marketing

capa-

cost.

Instead

decline

lint

of an expected

the study Rave

escalating

(Table 22).

marked

about

in cotton

1975 onward,

DRC generally

the general

of

rate of 67 percent

trend°

in 1978

net ginning

the value

resulted

advantage

cost from

in 1975 to _15,90/US$

rise to these results

During

comparative

resource

with

This

utilization

did not show a progressive

in domestic

_8,74/US$

and industrial

The same explanation

relative

average

from only 8 to 35 percent

to an average

in the early eighties.

its yearly

into

of the Philip-

ii, by deducting

in some years.

use ranged

of seedcotton

are monopolies

drastically4

cotton-

cost.

(ginning)

In the past,

fluctuated

in present

to domestic

processing

(agricultural

capacity

actual

fully

as shown in Table

by products

large excess

of cotton

operating

Corporation.

ginning

example

alternative

What

from gave

in average

7 A large proportion of the farm respondents used in the present study were share-tenants and /or Dart-ownerso From crop year 1975-76 to 1977-28, it was about 59 percent_ crop year 1978-79 to 1980-$I, 52 percent. For these farms, the most common pra¢t±ce was the 75-25 sharing system. (i.eo, seven-five percent of the farm produce going to the farmer cultivator and 25 percent to the landowner, the latter not sharing production costs). From this observation it was deemed_ appropriate to measure the opportunity cost of land through the pre' vailing share rent.


21

raw cotton yield the co=ton

in the survey data

program

equivalently,

was first

from 0_37/ha

introduced,

from 1.0 mr/ha

in 1975, when

to 0.24 mr/ha

to 0.66 mr/ha

in !:978 (or

of seedcotton,

respect-

8 ively). '

This

alone had largely

contributed

ion cost per unit of raw cottonproduced to 1978o 9 however, though

with

the shadow

the DRCs, except

only slightly,

sources amount

Compared

so used in cotton of domestic

domestic

}_wever,

of the industry

during

the last two years

showed

industry

change

rate, clearly

position

DRCs

product-

from 1975

exchange,

still relatively

was

lower,

of domestic

re-

less than the average

to earn

one dollar

(the

exchange). better

picture

of the relative

in saving a unit of foreign considered.

falling

a strong

below

low DRCs

during

effiappeared

the study

the shadow ex-

comparative

in raw cotton production.

the relatively

exchange

At this time,

substantially

indicating

for the country

above case,

of foreign

that the value

required

an apparently

ciency

price

production

resources

cost of foreign

in the country

for 1978, were

indicating

to spiralling

advantage As in the

this period were

8Coincldentally or not, this was also the general trend in the actual national performance of the cotton development program. From a seedcotton yield of 1.24 mr/ha in 1975, the average dropped to 0.54 mt/ha in 1978. From hereon to 1980, average yield showed a reversal trend reaching 0째97 mr/ha in 1980 but subsequently declined to 0,72 mr/ha the following year째 91t should be apparent that the drastic increase in DRC in 1978 was also partly contributed by an almost twofold jump in ginning and marketing costs incurred by PCC relative to that in the previous year.


22

largely

explained

estimated hectare

from

basis

earlier,

by comparatively

the survey data. increased

increase

1980 and 1981 was enough

unit production world market

The Seedcotton

in the industry

wise

What

advantage

DRCs over

because

in ton

This low per-

by more

favorable

the last

two years

price actually

it has been

contributed

is a measure

seedcotton

value,

indirectly.

by cotton

the state did likeadvan-

comparative

the influence

and marketing째

market

was estimated

that

of actual

is not tradable_

was estimated

that

to the change

comparative

that is free from

world

stated

and marketing

on overall

in processing

received

of comparative

it should be apparent

production

of seedcotton

Though

in processing

(observed)

production

border value

years_

during

largely

influence

cost parameters

not have an actual

cotton

time,

therefore

in seedcotton

However_

seedcotton

yield

or inefficiency

is needed

of changing

as shown

cost per metric

reinforced

production.

exert a consSderable

tage_

years

DRC does not give a clear picture

in seedcotton

of efficiency

on a per-

raw cotton yield

from previous

(CIF) of raw cotton

in seedcotton

fluctuations

from previous

in average

strongly

costs

yield

DRC

The industry advantage

levels

raw cotton

production

to push production

cost was

price

Though

significantly

the remarkable

of lint to comparable

high average

and thus,

does

the DRC in First,

the implicit

by deflating

the seed-

farmers

the nominal

with


23

protection

rate as estimated

the DRC in seedcotton try case. cotton

production

The results_

DRCs were

in seedcotton processing.

shown

generally

that the generally

in the preceeeding

higher

production

was calculated

in Table

lower DRCs

were

DRCs

than

DRCs.

To evaluate ions implicit structure

the sensitivity

in the calculation

cf inputs and output_

elasticities

for the different

an elasticity

represents

a given percent

change

held

The results

constant째

Table 14o

DRCs were

an attempt parameters째 ch_ng_

were highly

to yield

and implicit

the seedcotton

the same nmgnitude yield

yield

examination.

to calculate defined,

respect

all other

are summarized

to

factors in

to the opportunity and insecticide border

influences

as that of the implicit

is given a further

in the price

parameter_

insensitive

it

to the assumpt-

in DRC with

fertilizer_

Since

DRCs

As commonly

of the exercise

average

be higher

was made

capital,

output.

would

and to changes

in a specified

relatively

to those

less efficient

of seedcotton

costa of land, labor_ sensitive

compared

production_

in processing

a percent

implying

in effect a weighted

and seedcotton

that the DRCs

that seed-

DRCs_

due to relatively

would be expected the industry

13_ indicated

in the industry

in processing

Then

as in the indus-

than industry

Since the inudstry was

of implicit

section째

but

price of

the DRC in exactly

border

price,

only


24

Except

for some years_

the base estimates

were much above

This was apparently gave more

the national

true in 1980 and 1981 when

average

these yield

quate irrigation_ properly

seedcotton

than 1o5 mr/ha of seedcotton,

the national However,

average

follwed,

yield levels

seedcotton

annually

from Mindanaoo

could have

mum seedcotton seedcotton

average

yield째

the survey data

or 88 percent during

used in

higher

the same period_

attainable

in areas

ade-

if the recommended

technology

yield

1o5 to over

ranging

as demonstrated

in each province

from

than

by model

and to more

is

cotton recent

5 mr/ grow-

data

i0

To show the range the country

are easily

Moreover,

ha are not all farfetched, ers selected

of 0째8 mr/ha

yields

yields

production

of seedcotton

yield

a comparative

advantages

were

estimated_ !I

cost per hectare

levels within critical

which mini-

In this exercise, was assumed

constant

average as

lOFor crop year 1981-82, Mindanao farmers accounting for 5 percent of national production obtained an average yield of 1o5 mr/ha compared to Luzon (38% of production) and Visayas (11% production) farmers with 0.8 and 0째9 mt/ha yields, respectively째 llcritical minimum seedcotton yield is defined as that yield level at which the ratio of DRC to shadow exchange rate (SER) equals to unity, Joe., the country nether losses nor gains in domestic cotton production. Seedcotton yield below the critical minimum would mean a loss to the society, local production being more costly than importation, or vice versa.


25

given in the farm survey results, 1975

in Figure

to 1979 were

cotton more

presented

yileds

and as used in the base estimates째 3, showed that while

generally

estimated

close

estimated

critical

were about

advantage

minimum

20 percent

the national

cotton

respectively_ in cotton

seedcotton

lower

stage of the industry's

The paper has explicitly conferred

try, the farmers the Philippine

closed

efficiency

cotton

foreign

research

by

program째

set by

It also disadvantage

the industryVs

in

relative

for the economy. giving

and development the cotton

indus-

implementing

a comparative

exchange

conferred

the _avorable

on the cotten

the nations'

PCC has been

sion as a way of enhancing Part of the protection

policies

underscoring

Since its inception, focus on cotton

targeted

at the self-sufficiency

development

exhibited

productiOn_

in ssving

levels

even by those policies

Corporation,

that the country

local cotton

for the last two years

shown that despite

were penalized

arm of the national

Incidentally_

REMARKS

by government

Cotton

to

development,

CONCLUDING

protection

seed-

to decrease

production.

yields

program

have

from

yields,

for the country

than the average

development

estimates

minimum

in 1980 and 1981 would

than 45 and 40 percent,

lose its comparative

to critical

The

a considerable

and agricultural

industry's

by government

exten-

performance째 policies

on PCCVs


26

processing budget

and marketing

operations

for these activities째

activities

are ultimately

be also noted

ram tohold rative

its modest

ion the industry

exploit

growth

In this way, advantage

crops

protection

may need

to compete

in the market째

One qualifying

expansion

stated

factors

of economic choice

stabilizes

production.

in the longer-run, withdrawn

and allow

to trathis

the crop

While

that there

is an economic

ground

for cotton

agriculture,

promotion

income

of policy

concentration

implications

and non-agricultural in policy

in

or penalization.

distribution,

and the.socio-political

considered

it

the study does not suggest

is the only consideration

like employment,

are obviously

cotton

fully

here째

to the agricultural

society,

can better

to be stressed

efficiency

power

the country

that are more

of the crop with respect

the choice of crop for agricultural Other

policies

should be

needs

in Philippine

that economic

it is impe-

policies

in domestic

to be gradually

points

cotton prog-

of the total protect-

from government price

it should

is necessarily

years,

if not all,

competititveness

alternative

was explicitly

incentive

the

that these

of farmers,

pace of recent

by instituting

its comparative

ditional

of this

proportion,

to farmers.

As the relative

it can be viewed

for the benefit

is receiving

to farmers

favorable

to supplement

In the short run, for the national

that a larger

shifted

While

that the incidence

a long run one째

is used

sectors

decisions.

of the of the


27 REFERENCES

Balassa, B. and Associates° 1971, Developing Countries° Baltimore Press°

The Structure of Protection in and London: The John Hopkins

Ba_isacan, AoMo 1982. Economic Incentives and Comparative Advantage in Philippine Agriculture: the Case of the National Cotton Development Program. Unpublished MoS. thesis, University of the Philippines at Los Ba_os, AD_ilo Bruno9 Mo 1972. Domestic Resource Cost and Effective Protection_ Clarification and Synthesis. Jou=nal of Political Economy 80(i)_ 16-33o David, C.C. 1981o Credit and Price Policies in Philippine ture. Unpublished paper, CDEM9 UP at _os Ba_os.

A_ricul-

David, C.Co and AoM. Balisacano 1981. An Analysis of Fertilizer Policies in the Philippines. Paper presented at the workdshop on the Re-Direction of Fertilizer Research, Tropical Palace_ Metro Manila,

October

26. 218o

Medalla, EoM. 1979o E_ti_a't_the Shadow Exchange Rate under Alternative Policy AssumptlonSo In Baustita, Power and Ass_eiates ,_f_t:s. Industrial Promotion Policies in the Philippines. Medalla, EoM. and J.H. Power° H979, Estimating Implicit Tariffs and Nominal Rates of Protection. In Bautista, Powwer and Associates. Industrial Promotion Policies in the Philippines. Philippine Institute for Development Studies. Morales, EoLo 1974o The Prospects of the Cotton Industry in the Philippines° A research study presented to the UP ProEram in Development Economies° PaBe_ J., Jr., and D. S tryker. 1981o Methodology for Estimating Comparative Costs and Incnetiveso in Pearson eto_alo Rice in West Africa° Stanford: Stanford University Press, Pearson, S,Ro 1976. Net Social Profitability, Domestic Resource Cost_ and Effective Rate of Protection. Journal of Development Studies 12:321-33. Philippine

Cotton

Corporation.

Annual

Reports,

1975-1980.

Philippine Cotton Program°

Corporation°

1977.

National

Cotton

Development

Philippine Cotton Corporation. 1980. A Proposal for the Cotton Industry Development Program in the Philippines. Philippine

Cotton

Corporation°

1981o

The Textile

Industry

Survey.


28

Table

I_

Country

Sources

of raw cotton

of Origin

196365

(lint) imports,

1966_ 70

Percent

United

States

1971 _75

1963-80.

197680

of total quantity

73.6

75°3

99,0

79.0

Mexico

15.1

15o6

0°4

3,4

Brazil

5.5

0.7

0°3

0.i

Nicaragua

2°3

Io_I

a

2°5

Guatemala

0.5

1.5

-

1.7

0.2

0.4

0_3

a

Sudan

0.I

0°9

-

0.2

Pakistan

-

-

-

3°5

Israel

-

-

-

2.5

USSR

-

-

-

1o6

India

0.3

a

-

I.I

Others

2_4

3°7

-

4.4

I00.0

I00.0

United Ara_

Republic

Total

Source of basic

aLess

data_

I00o0

i00.0

Foreign Trade Statistics of the Philippine, National Census and Statistics Office.

than 0oi _ercent.


2o Table 2.

Domestic production supply 1975-81

Year

of raw cotton

Production

(lint) and share

Proportion

_o total

to Total

(rot)

1975 1976 1977 1978 1979

97 176 437 619 802

0째3 0.6 2.1 1o7 3.1

1980 1981

2,6031 4,594 D

8째2 13o6 b

-4

Source=

Production

aTotal

suppl_

_ata

from Philippine

is defined

Cotton

Cornorationo

as import plus produetion_

bEstimate. Table

3.

Cotton

content

in locally

produced

Year

fabri4s,

Cotton

(z) 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 197Z 1978 1979 1980 1981

Source:

76 65 62 65 51 50 40 43 32 27 53 44 51 35 41 39 38 39 36

Philippine

Cotton

Corporation.

1963-81o

Content

Supply a


30

Table 4_

Year

Loans granted for the cotton program, 1975-81

Total Loan (_I000)

supervised

Average Farmer

financing

Loan Per

Hectare

(_)

credit

(_)

Metric of raw ton cotton

(_)

Repayment Rate

(_)

1975

366

851

1,887

3,773

98

1976

19336

928

1,641

7,591

75

1977

3,565

635

1,270

8,158

73

1978

4,675

535

1,478

7_552

77

1979

5,979

995

1,946

7,455

80

1980

15,988

1,161

2,132

5,796

91

1981

43,887

2,001

2,581

9,553

noa.

Source:

Philippine

Cotton

Corporation.


31 Table 5o

Trends in farm price, ex-warehouse price ,border Drice, and nominal protection rates on the cotton industry , 1975-81

Farm Price In seed_ In lint Cotton equivalent b

Domestic Ex-Warehouse Price c

Border d Price

Nominal Protection Rate e

Total Nominal Prote_tion Rate _'

(_/mt)

(_/mt)

(_/mt)

(_/mt)

( % )

( % )

1975

3,500

10,549

13,000

11,431

-8

14

1976

3,850

11,315

13,000

11,297

0

15

1977

4,000

11,771

15,000

13,641

-14

i0

1978

4,000

11,811

15,000

11,166

6

34

1979

4_000

Ii_85i

16,500

ii_854

0

39

1980

4,400

12,982

19_000

13,313

-2

43

1981

4,450

13,167

18,150

15,121

i_13

20

Year

Weighted

average,

Legislated

aprice

1975-81

g

-7

28

rate h

24

actually

received

by farmers.

bLint price equivalent of seedcotton price plus efficient cost of converting seedc_tton to cotton lint and marketing the product computed as shown in ADpendix Ao CSelling price of cotton Cotton Corporation. d

lint to textile millers

by the Philippine

Average CIF Value for imported raw cotton (lint)_ adjusted quality differential domestically produced and imported raw cotton.

for

e

Percentage price, f

difference

of farm price

Percentage price째

difference

of domestic

(in lint equivalent)

ex-warehouse

price

to border

to border

g W_ighted

by total raw cotton production

in each year_

h Based on existing tariff rates for imported valorem and a 10% sales tax over 25% mark-upo

raw cotton:

10% ad

i


32 Table

6.

Year

Estimates of effective production, 1975-810

protection

rates

Effective

Ratio

Protection Rate

Subsidy to FreeTRade Value Added

on cotton

of Credit

(%)

Effective

tection Rate with Credit Subsidy

1975

-14

.02

1976

- 4

.05

i

1977

-21

째04

-17

1978

1

째05

6

1979

-4

째04

0

1980

-6

.03

-3

1981

-19

_04

Weighted 1975-81 a

Pro-

(%)

-12

-5

average_ -12

-9

a

Weighted

by total

raw cotton

production

in each year째


33

Table

7o

Comparison of protection rates on cotton vis-a-vis other crops and between the cotton industry and the manufacturing sector, 1970s and early 1980so

Item

Protection

Cotton industry a Seedcotton

Total nominal protection rate 28 Nominal protection rate -7 Effective protection rate -12 Effective protection rate with

b Food

credit Nominal

Crops

Measure

subsidy protection

Percent

-9 rate

Rice Corn

3 3

Other food crops

0

b Export

crops

Nominal

Sugar Copra Other export Manufacturing

a Includes

protection

rate -21 -24 -4

crops

se_tor c

Effective

seed cotton

protection

production

rate

44

and processing.

bBased on price comparisen between domestic and border prices as estimated in David, C_C. " Impact of Price Intervention Policies on Agricultural Incentives in the Philippines," paper presented at the Second Western Pacific Food Trade Workshop Kartika Chandia Hotel, Jakarta, August 22-23,1982. CBased on legislated rates as shown in Tan_ No "The Structure of Protection and Resource Flows in the Philippines _, in Bautista, R. Jo Power and Associates_ Industrial PromOtion Policies in the Philippines_, Philippine Institute for Development Studies, 1979o


..... _Tabie 8.

Some--de_scriptivJ:f_eatur-_-_ SSD_'_-_IMa of the

Title

* farm surveys

on co--6_n_d'_l

Crop Year Covered

Area Covered

Io Comparative Input, Output, and Finannial Data for Virginia _..:Tobacco,.Pelay,Mongo, Corn and Cotton

1974-75

llocos

2oComparative Input, Output and Financial Data for Palay, Corn, Mongo, Virginia Tobacco and Cotton

1975-76

3. Comparative Input, Output and Financial Data for Mongo, Cotton pa!ay, Virginia Tobacco andCorn 4. Comparative Input, Output and Financial Data for Cotton, Corn Palay, Mongo, Virginal Tobacco, and Burley Tobhcco

_,

.

Total Number of Farm Respondsnt For all crops For cotton

a Reg on

300

60

llocos Region

515

i00

1976-77

.llocos Region

500

180

1977-78

llocos

554

91

515

304

Region

5o Comparative Input, Output and Financial Data for Cotton, Palay Burley Tabacco, Virginia Tobacco_._ ans Native Tobacco 1978-79

llocos Region, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija

6. Comparative Input, Output and Financial Bata for Cotton, Palay, Burely Tobacco, Virginia Tobacco, and Native Tobacco

1979-80

llocos Region Tarlac, Nueva Ecija, and Cagayan

426

183

1980-81

llocos Region

-

201

7. Cost Involved

in the Domestic

Production of Agri-based Substitutes- Cotton

Import

_5"

*aSpe, ei_l_: ,ff._di.es.,._'S_:%..-.M_i/_Lrr_._..og Includes

the

pr_ineesof

Ilocos

._-gi__.._ Norte,

Ilecos

,.... . . Sur,

La

Union,

and

-

Pangasinan,


35 ]able 9.

Year

Average

costs of

Labora Cost

seed_otton

CapitalbService Cost

production,

llocos Region*,

Operating Capit_ Cost c

1975-81

Interest on Pre-_arvest Cost

Other. Costs e

Total

Besos per Hectare

]975

I_013

240

1,178

139

41

29611

]976

789

308

892

109

33

2,131

1977

1,207

609

876

135

44

2987]

1978

934

518

-"'."729

115

36

2,332

1979

1,274

614

724

125

61

2,798

19[_0

19253

683

1,239

212 "

75

3,462

1째81

1,987

949

1,628

304

176

59044

"

* Except for 1979 and 1980 which

alncludes

hired

labor costs

blncludes

depreciation

Clncludes

fertilizer,

also

include

and imputed

and interest insecticides

v_lues

containers,

Ecija9

Tarlac

of operator9

cost of fixed

capital

and Cagayano

family and exchange

assets

other

labor.

than lando

and seeds째

dAt 15% per .annnm_ app_rtio_ed..as.origi_ale Unclides

Nueva

food for hired

cost._7'._%for._6.month_.._-.

and exchange

labom_

and tranpportation

costs째


36 Table

I0.

Source

of

Domestic

and foreign

Cost

cost in seedcotton

1975

1976

production,

Ilocos Region _, 1975-81.

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

Domestic Lan_ rent Labor cost Capital service cost Ope_ating capital cost ,-_u_res_ on_preha_vest cost Oth_:r costs

1,4!5 1.013 211 350

735 789 274 287

1,169 1,207 446 247

I,_46 934 342 247

988 1,274 419 247

1,695 1,253 442 369

1,241 1,987 544 462

139 41

I_9 33

135 44

115 36

125 61

212 75

304 176

3,169

2,227

3,24_

3,120

3,114

4,046

4,714

Capital service cost Operating capital cost

22 661

25 485

120 499

130 387

146 387

179 701

300 938

Su_-total

683

510

619

517

533

880

1,238

3,852

2,737

3_867

3,637

3,647

4,926

5,952

Sub-total

Foreign

Totml Iomsstic

and

Foreign

costs

eExcept

for 1979 and 1980 which

also include

Nueva

Ecija,

Tarlac

and Cagayan.


37 Table

11.

Estimates

of ginning

Item

GinnYng

in cotton

production,

Philippines.

1975-81.

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

4,480 d

5,442

4,511

5,298

4,993

2,159

3,570 d

2,280q 2,200 d

3,182 1,630

2,745 1,766

1,643 3,655

2,271 2,722

1,255 904

d 1,760_ 1,RIO e

1,936

1,434

1,554

3,216

2,395

795

1,592

Foreign

220

163

177

365

272

90

181

Tax

44

33

35

73

54

18

36

883

1,670

2,345

440

486

Cost

Total ggnning

cost a

Less: V_lue of ginning b_-products Net ginting cost All¢cated

to:

Domestic

Mm-keti_g

Sourc_

and _.erketing costs

Cost c

of basic data:

790d

PCC Financial

Statements.

aApproximated cost of converting seedcotton to cotton lint. labor, manufacturing overhaed, and administrative charges. blncludes materials. Clncludes

value of industrial

picking

dEstima_e.,,_.

up seedcotton

460 d

seeds

from

exported

to Japan

Includes

and agricultural

the farm to ginnery

expenses

seeds

and transportation

for direct

for planting

cotton

lint to textilemillers.


Table

12.

Summary

of

domestic

resource

Average Yield Lint a (rot/ha)

_roduction (Fha)

Ginning b (_/mt)

1975

0.37

3,169

1976

0.26

1977

components

in

lint

production,

Ilocos

Region*,

Marketing (F/mr)

Average CIF Value c (US$/mt)

1,936

790

683

220

1,577

8.74

0.90

2,227

1,434

883

510

163

1,518

8.83

0.89

0.28

3,248

1,554

1,670

619

177

1,843

9.73

0.98

1978

0.24

3,120

3,216

2,435

517

365

1,515

15.90

1.61

1979

0.31

3,114

2,395

440

533

272

1,606

9.64

0.97

1980

0.58

4,046

795

486

880

90

1,773

5.30

0.53

1981

0.57

4,714

1,592

460

1,238

181

1,914

6.39

0.60

Weighted

Average,

7.22

0.71

abased

1975-81 d

for 1979 and 1980 which on a recavery

by-products

CAdjusted

for quality

dweighted

by total raw cotton

of domestic

include

Nueva

Ecija,

Tarlac

and Cagayan.

rate of 37% of seedcotton.

bNet of value of ginning

eRatio

also

Domestic Resource Cost ( _/US$

1975-81.

Cost',-.:/_ Ginning _ (_/ha)

_Except

Cost

cotton

v 'Foreign ._.__, Production (F/ha

Year

Domestic

cost

differenÂŁ_al

resource

(industrial between

production

and agricultural

domestically

produced

in each year,

cost to shadow

exchange

rate.

seeds). and

imported

cotton

lint.

Comparative Advantage


39 Table

13.

Summary

of domestic

resource

cost tom ponents

in seedcotton

production,

llocos Region _,

1975-81.

Seedcotton Yield (mr/ha)

Production Cost Domestic Foreign (P/ha) (P/ha)

Implicit Border Value a (US$/mt)

Dome=tic Resource _/US $)

1975

1.00

3,169

683

525

7.36

0.76

1976

0.71

2,227

510

517

7.46

0.75

1977

0.75

3,248

619

628

8.38

0.84

1978

0.66

3,120

517

512

11.65

1979

0.85

3,114

533

542

8.02

0.81

1980

1.57

4,046

880

598

4.92

0.49

1981

1.55

4,714

1,238

647

5.57

0.53

Weighted

average,

6.19

0.61

Year

*Except

1975-81 c

for 1979 and 1980 which

aseedcotton exchange

price

deflated

also include

by nominal

Nueva

protection

Tarlac

CWei_hted

by total

resource

seedcotton

cost to shadow exchange

production

in each year.

and Cagayan.

on seedcotton,

rate. bThe ratio of domestic

Advantage

1.I8

Ecija,

rate

Comparativ-

_st

rate.

converted

at official


40 Table 14.

Elasticity of DRC coefficient llocesRegion* 1975-81,

in seedcotton

production

with

respect

to stated

perameter,

Parameter Land rent

Labor

year

cost

Capital service

cost

Fertilizer cost

Insecticide cost

Implicit border price

Year

1975

0.395

0.268

0.022

0,058

0o129

-1,255

-1,255

1976

0o331

0째356

0.136

0.135

0o177

-1.213

-1.213

1977

0.422

0.4B_

0,240

0,128

0.220

-1.141

-1.141

1978

0.479

0o314

0.444

0,107

O.169

-io231

-I,231

1979

0,266

0.358

0.133

0,.47

0.045

-1,222

-1.222

1980

0o501

0,392

0.219

0.176

0.178

-1.048

-1.048

1981

0째284

0째443

0,179

0.128

0.139

-I.150

-I.150

*Except

for 1979 and 1980 which

also include

Nueva

Ecija, Tarlac

and Cagayan,


41


42



44

APPENDIX

ESTIMATION

This note presents estimation

OF BORDER

comparable,

AND FARM PRICE

the details

of appropriation

this adjustments

A

was done

border

of the adjustment and domestic

to make domestic

ioe._ to net out the price

and border

prices

due to quality

Any wedge between

solely

to price-distorting

Withou_

marked

production, millers

the domestic

price

CIF converted

was not so during tic production were mostly

of lint grades: middling

staple

ion relative

Thus, toborder

quality

To correct

between

medium

to imports

whiEh

a noticeable

imports

and

can then be

policies. and local

price,

rate.

represamted

However,

This was also middling

were mostly

higher

to textile

While

(about 86 percent),

were mostly

price

directly domestic

in the study.

(60 percent).

this domes-

imports

tru in terms and strict

low and strict

on domestic

price of import was presumably

product-

due to the

of the former. for this discrepancy,

adjusted

upward.

was taken as the average

border

The general

price

ratio

prices were

adjustment

(1976-81)

Clearly,

between

sold by PCC

exchange

staple

prices.

prices

imports

toborder

considered

local production

in contract

low middling.

pondingly

the p_miod

between

govermemt

¢omparabl_:

was mostly

short

differential

of raw cotton

at official

producer

the two prices

difference

should be directly

by average

higher

quality

done in the

and border

difference

local production. attricbuted

OF FARM COTTON

corres-

factor)l_14)

of two American


45

lint

grades_

The

former

Memhis was

productlon_

price

this

or

than is not

paper_

for

both

processing

(ginning)

was

then

quote.

Since

cotton

cost

could

effects that

farmers not

be

existed

that cient

this

used

and

in Appendix

since

with

io

of

the

cost

In

seedcotton

price

was

The the

and

in

the

added

average The

processing.

The

of

processing the

inefficiency to replac_

processing

approximation

to

policies

included

was

implicit

chain

cost

PCC_s

alternative

and

government

study_

and

it

marketing

government

to

to

producer

by

apparently

conferred

countries.

protection-free Table

lint.

of processing

conferred

this

a close

that

tradable,

tradable

domestic

point

more

is not

to price-distorting was

concern

protection

was

comparable_

a comparable

in processing.

average

of

between

the

cotton-produclng

that

wedge

was

major

to

Any

however,

local

involved

_ output

cost.

in above_

i".

of

prices

equivalent

at

cost

border

farmers

comparable

protection

processing

and

Since

net

PCC's

quality

price

as

of whatever

the

M

imports째

farm

to be

to

lint

problem, the

of

Orleans/Texas

its

measured

The

tD_t

above.

of

and

comparable

prices

attributed_

policies.

to

terms

1-1/16"

between

directly

in

prices

to

that

translated

border

SM

less

latter,

comparison

complication its

more

the

Price

Terr.

cost

of

eleven

assumption the

estimates

cost are

was

of

effi-

su_n_marized


46

Appendix

Table i.

Estimates 1975-81.

Item

of farm price

of raw cotton

(lin),

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

cotton

3.50

3.85

4.00

4.00

4.00

4.40

4.45

Price equivalent in cotton lint a

9.46

10.40

10.81

i0o8%

10.8]

11.89

12.03

Plus: . _rocessxng marketing

1.09

0.91

0.96

1.00

1.04

1.09

1.14

10.55

11.31

11.77

11.81

11.85

12.98

13.17

Price received by farmers for seed-

. ano b costs

Farm price of raw ¢otto_

Source of basic data:

abased

Philippine Cotton Corporation World Cotton Statistics

on a recovery

rate of 37%°

bAverage of eleven major cotton-producing countries. This rep= resents the approximated cost of protection-free and efficient processing (ginning) and marketing.


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