COMPARATIVE
BANK
STUDY:
A
BACKGROUND
PAPER*
by Marfo Working
B.
Paper
April
Bank for
Lamberte** No.
87--04
1987
* This is part of a bigger study entitled: Study" jointly sponsored by the Philippine Development Studies (PIDS) and Ohio State
(osu).
"Comparativ6 Institut_ University
** Research Fellow, PIDS. The author is grateful Kristine Chua for her able research assistance and Juanita Tolentino for patiently typing the draft.
to to
Ms. Ms.
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
page I.
II.
iII.
IV.
Introduction
Regulatory
1
Environment
Performance
of
Comparative and RBs
VI.
VII.
The
Financial
Performance of at the Regional
Strength
V.
the
2
in
Deposit
System
KBS, Level
18
PDBs, 29
Mobilization
35
Stability
41
Profitability
44
Interest Institution
Focus
Rate Elasticity and Elasticity Hypotheses
on
Individual
Concluding
Remarks
Colnmercial
Banks
47
54
64
I.
The
PIDS-OSU
Studies
in
banks private The
research
Rural
(RBs),
objective
is
offering
clientele
in
the
private
commercial
team
comparative secondary (I)
and
to
briefly
describe recent by
the past;
region;
85)
and
namely
test using
individual
PDBs
data and
commercial
RBs; banks.
the
and
regions (5)
to
mainly
of
and
help
for
the
based
objectives
on are:
(2)
in
the
to most
KBs,
PDBs
and
"institution
time
the
and
series
3 categories
examine
the
could
design
system
of
of
to
here
main
rate"
data
banks.
regulations;
a combination (13
and
is
performance
"interest
rural
branches
The
financial
to
to
banks
research
of
the
institutional
services
areas.
Primary
analysis
the
for
findings
data.
and
rural
background
banking
compare
cross-section KBs,
The
(KBs)
[1986]).
general
the
rural[
same
development
existing
to
elasticity"_hypotheses
rural
The
aggregative
performance
(4)
a
preparing
review
(3)
of
private
studies.
more
Grailam
project.
in
bank
fiilancial
(see
provides
the
Bank
of
banks
prospechs
expanding
sample
performance
serving
deter_line
and
research
research
to
the
"Comparative
cotm_ercial
(PDBs)
a
banks
paper
ab0vementioned
private
and
from
entitled:
examine
Philippines
collected
This
the
of
banks
in
be
will
branches
viability
will
project
Areas"
development
overall
INTRODUCTION
RBs
(1983of
banks,
performance
of
Ii.
Financial by
the
institutions
1980
reforms
financial
are
banks,
and
longer
term
The
to (2)
of of
have
banks,
make
not
banks
of
our
the
the
banks
by
framework
objectives
set
of
such
conditions
availability
of
and
amon_
access
below
inflation
Universal
rate
banks services,
example,
to
of
scope
categories
financial expanded
values 1980
allowed
many
of
to
are
capital banks.
1980
to
greater
significant creation
banking
capital
other.
broadened
the
which
in
and
development
One
is
among mortgage
allow
banks.
of
minimum
real
between
and
minimum
types
these
their
been
a
current
each
have
co_nercial
The
and
from
regulations
different of
of
the
private
reforms
stud'y.
are
savings
bank
demands
distinctions
and
of
all,
1 shows
different
salient
of
Functional
category
have
values
_'igure
associations
different
among
real
substantially
For
economies
1980
first
system.
legally
one
bank
varies
non-banking
the
competitive
system.
loan
1 summarizes
current
percent
main
objectives,
reduced.
which
comparative
greatly
these
anymore
among
Table
the
banking
realize
competition
universal
of
and
offered
feature
under
The
increase
financial
been
are
Services
to
increase
the
the
savings
banks
operating
reforms.
(i) to
are
ENVIRONMENT
funds.
restructuring
banks
:
attainment
structure
REGULATORY
o_
functions.
relevant
to
requirement Interestingly,
requirements because
of
are the
139
1986.
to
offer
which
were
a
host
prohibited
of
banking
and
before
the
Figure
1
.......................................................
-n..........................................................................
UniversalBanks
CommercialBanks
Private Develop_ent BanWs
........................................................................................
Minimum Capital •. R_equire_,lent
_5_._M._
Rural Banks
7 .......................
_I@V)M
a} New: "
_ ..................
P@,5_
Metro Manila Other Places - P
b) E_isting: 14etroManila - _I_ Other _}laces- PSM
iI. Limits or,Eq_ity Investmerls
N.
FinancialPfllied Unde_ akings:
A.
CoA_' uanks - 30X Thrift bp_ks _ rural hanks - I@_W Others - tO@,X
Fhl Und
_llied Is'
Co_m'l banks - 30t, Thrift banks & ,floralbanks- 10@X Others - t00)_'
A,
ncial Allied ur,u_rtahinqs' Banks - 3@X Others - 4@X
B. Non-Finar, c:ia[$1lIiedB," Non-FinancialAllied B. Non-financialAllied Undertakings- I@@_4 C. Non-Illlied Et
r-
Undertakings- I@0_( C.
prises - JSW
Non-AlliedEnterprises - prohibited
A, Financial Allied Und,-j'tak Jnps: - alloq_ed but with orlor apnroval of the _on+..'ta,'?' Board. B. Non-Financial_lllied
Undertakin.os -._Y. _. Non-_lliedEnter-
Undertakinos- i_1_._ C.
prises- prohibited
Non-(lllied EnterpY-is_s- prohibited
Ill. Banking offices
Nation_
Nationwide
Nationwide
Limited _o the re_ion where the a_oli_ant ban_¢ is Icr_ ed,
IV, Reserve _eoui.... _ents (shortterm deoosit liabilities}
_(
_IX
14_(
I_X
'
1980
financial
investment
reforms.
or
merchant
For
banking
instance,
which
was
they
can
previously
go
into
restricted
to
I
investment economic
houses activities.
instance, and
only.
they
There
may
non-allied
respectively,
for
list
of
undertakings). fully
owned
or
universal in
by
shares
may
approval
The
than
is
_
all For
commercial 30
Danks
percent
shares
and
almost
and
35
(see, Annex
A
non-financial
these
allied
categories
may
be
are
Monetary
financial
equity
they
but
not
they
the
most
allied
Board. they
networth and
bigger banks.
banks
areas:
development
may to
are
lbanks
have
investments own
voting
exceed not
40
as shares
percent
of
allowed
to
own
restricted
banking
system.
undertakings They
are
cannot
only
upon
prior
also
own
non-allied
to
go
into
non-
8 percent
for
permitted
undertakings.
minimum banks
on
that
far
However, a_lied
two
and
by
by
the
private
enterprises.
in
smaller
universal
in
invest
that
Voting
restrictions
shares
banks
and
undertakings
non-allied
universal here
same
allied
enterprises. financial
total
of
in
limitations.
other
extent
included
banks
except
voting
Rural They
the
banks,
in
engage
them.
less
total
the
in
allied
not
can
certain
shares
the
financial
they
however
to
of
commercial
financial
the
are
voting
Others
Ordinary more
own
short,
enterprises
percQnt, the
In
i0
risk
percent
and The
is
to
assets
for
other
well-capitalized lower
actually
5
networth an
invitation
ratio
is
banks. banks to
risk to
The are
more
assets banks
assumption stable ratio to
for
expand
their
capital.
banks
are
to
extent
the
of
of
been
10
to
regulation banking.
branch
in
that
might
any
frustrate
or
the
•entire
these
country and
areas Central
There
is
thrift required
Bank
securities
banks
are
to
the
region
however,
encourage
divided banks
are
has
is,
te
reduce
branching
rural
limited
_.ffort
to
branch into
five
opening
to
buy
a
up
a
five-year
according
to
the
schedule: I
b)
Service
Area
II
c)
Service
Area
III
d)
Service
Area
IV
e)
Service
Area
V
banks
opened.
(Heavily
The
(Idealy
there
is
indeed
questionable.
branched
has In
fact',
areas)
20M
_
15M
_
10M
_
5M 0
required
to
the
for
6
_500,000
Bank
is
collapse
reinforced
special
is
the the
to in
in
a
better
of
a
significant
Central time
being
five-year
for
able
overcompeticion
market
recent
has
worth
Central or
The
it
purchase
securities
that
the
merely
areas)
F
(Encouraged)
undercompetition
•However,
areas)
areas)
(Underbranched
Bank idea
overbranched
(Overbranched
are
government/[_entral
issue.
1 oca ted.
commercial
Area
banks
is
and of
time,
shares
capital.
size,
_ ' s,_lll
new
encouraged
optimal
first
universal
of
minimum
being
although
the
Service
it.
ti_e
wealth,
offering
required
their
is,
a)
Rural
the
are
branches,
government
following
of
_ For
of
a public
achieve
branch
areas,
special
to
ma in
That •
percent
banks
open
the
service
concentration
undertake
promoted.
permitted where
to
undue
mergers/consolidations
number
also
avoid
required
While the
To
each know
one
imposed
view
whether area
position
Bank's
branch
is
to
know
number
of
on
this
a moratorium
on
the
onset to
granting of
the
their
of
license
financial
to
crisis.
and
new
bank
or
branch
since
the
of! those
banks
collapsed
the
Central
Ban_
rediscounting
supervision,
not
on
poor
a
Many
over-dependence
facilities
open
due
to
due
cutthroat
competition.
Aside against
from
branching.
total
deposits
they
are
area.
This
the
The
types
of
reserve
and
o_
even
experience
shows
Thus,
also
The parcel
tries
the
of
enjoy
of
present
1980
to
may
50
banks
in be
their ensure
also
percent the
lent
of
to
flow
the
where
the
portfolio the
work
area
same across
_f
a questionable
already
less),
banks they
but
are
not
14
funds
to
fact,
it
(i.e.,
across deposits
across
different
is
21
for
percent
thrift
and
subsidiaries/affiliates
types
bigger
uniform
percent
intention
different
banks
made
requirement
and
The
by
been
liabilities
reserve
banks.
of
least
should
deposit
bigger
scheme
banks.
days
such
of
remains
has
enjoyed that
at
manage
still
across
deregulation of
scheme
if
colnmercial
advantages
they
to
comfaercial
requirement
cost
banks
730 The
scheme,
operate
short-term
of
banks,
universal
the
of
banks.
universal
rural
to
which
retention
branches
requirement
maturities
types
by
profitability
reserve
different with
such
areas,
the
this
permission limits
rural
deposit
Under
While
reduces
the
mobilized
given
branches.
for
this,
of of
banks.
bought
the
banks
differential is
However,
thrift
and
of
to
offset
the
recent
rural
banks.
privilege.
the
financial
bank reforms.
7
interest But
rates
was
while
banks
part
and
interest
rates
were
Central
deregulated,
Bank
which
continued.
It
shifted
its
the tended
was
to
only
emphasis
cheap
in
red iscounting
favor
certain
November
from
policy
economic
1!985 that
credit
the
activities
the
allocation
0f
Central
Bank
to • stabilization i
functions.
Since
then,
all
rediscountaDle
papers
are
treated i
uniformly
in
rediscount the
rate
same
funds
have
high
experience
Lamberte
While schemes
Unlike
to
features to
various
from
lending
under
financial
the
are
_Dr to
virtually
been
at
eliminated. only
and highly
while
previously
subsidies
were
the
rediscounting
subsidies
credit
led
to
inflation,
regressive
programs
not (see
and/or
Thus,
private
which
8
Table
by
these
is
rice
CALF
whose Bank, to
guarantee
just
for
and the came
agencies. funds
funds come
came
for from
schemes
financing newly
is
funds
government
have
in
guarantee
Its
Central
schemes
four
2.
programs
initiatives CALF
are
schemes.
credit
risk-reducing
scheme
in
managed
guarantee
out,
there
insurance
_uarantee
government
for
phased
summarized
institutions.
Except
crop
special
these
being Today,
the
the
credit
facilitate
activities.
they
are
the <_previous
directly
and
that
t •rate
Since
[1987]).
addition
addition
marke
• disint_rmediation
introduced.
latest
value.
rates
have
that
loan
the
re-len-ding
was
being
Their
the
past
subsidies
in
with
sectors
fact
and
cred it
credit
corn.
from
on
resources,
Lim
are
schemes
of
the
rate
aligned
removed,
the
and
been
priority in
mention
r ediscoui1t
ceilings been
• ••.-.misallocation to
of has
time,
considered The
terms
onthe •
support economic
established,
the
TabLe 2 SELECTED SPECIALCREDIT PRDGRI_MS Creoi_ Pro§rail
Elm_LoieProjects
• EligibleBorrowers
Loan Purposes
Na_imum Loanab[e
Interest
Maturity
Mooe of .
.............. ,........................................................................ _........ _R_ouoL ............ _Ra t.e_ ............... _P _e r_ i. _d_ ......... _P_X_,e,! .... i. Indu.str!al ....... Those involvedin the Guarantee and estab_ish_,_nt or expanLoan Fund (IGLF)
sion of an induz(;ria]: agro-ir,dustrial or ¢,;inine enterorisesinclu. _=nu,a,._rih_conCorns and _,hoseservzce ir,dustries supoortiv of manufac_uric,_acti vities. '" for a co eligible
A.
Cottaoe_entsrprisetotal assets over
A. Purchase of factory site
P50,@ON__u% _Ot more than PS@@:E,_'_ "befh'6e'" financing, B.
,or new and expansion projec(;s,
P@.4M. B, Sraall-5cal_
Jg_(oer annum
,_aium-Scale prises - tot
'Iof more (;ha but not e P2@N
R. FiNed asset acQuisition - _2
inclusive of all charoes,
_._aii-Sca'..__Enter B. Construction1 5e - (;oral assets of factory more than PF_,@@_ .buildiY "or e_cee'_ PSM ._e fir_ar_ C, Purcha_.
_s, ) C.
A. For Cot(;age Industries-
years inclusive of a _,laxir_ur_ of 3 y_ars grace peric, d on prinpal 9ay._lent. B.
rqachin_ eq_ipme fixturesano
;_:(;s
E_ua! euartp.r_yaT_ortiza_ionof orinc.{aoa] 8 interest.
_,},__rk;.ng capital 7 years inclusire of a naxi_.,a_ oF 2 years _rac__oeriod or, principal pay-.
)5.0M" ._ding :fore
,._en(;.
financing.
2.
f_gricultural
Agrl
al and agro T
Loan Fund (ALF)
processi j projects:_ f_. Short-tone seasohal production credit prelects. _.
,_ediu_and
lc, n_-
teru credit: pou]try orodu_tion, swine oroduction, cattle oroduction, f_sheries develc,__:er, t, plantation prcLject% aoroOVc, cessiF, g and .I)os(; harvest facili(;ies_ and far[L: mechanizet i¢,n.
l.ndividuals,
sin[_le
_)pm
"
A,
rietorhips, par(;ner .... ps_ corporations'andcooperatires.
_ - 18 _ ar exciudin_ _and.
B,
A.
._rannum :loatin_ _nter_s_ rate)
Worki_
Short-t_n'_a l?lq_
""-"f_t_'l_y,_
to e_ce_d )?. ,'.,..r,t_ % except for s_ar and banana _"roduc-
<.._" -__'n,_, e,._ar_ew'ly.
tion. _.
_,_di,.,.r, and Lon_-terr._ Loans - based on _rv,ec_ _ _' cash flow b'It ::9".: to _.___-|5 y_ars inc!u_ive of a _rac'e" e_.ri,_r,.J-" e__reedin¢ 7 years.
_,tarterly,j
Cr•ect Proorafa
3.
Elioible Projects
involved
Eligible Borrowers
Guarantee
Projects
Fund for S_lal i and Medium
the direct production and /or prc,cessina of food inter, deal for bie-
irr
Enterprises (GFSY_E)
logical consumption; those w_directlyinvolvL,d in food produ_ti_r, an_ other agri-oro_-_ct ; ma.jority of its ._roduee ts intendedfor e_por_,
A.
S:nall Scale Projeotsi p
Loan Purposes
R.
als or enter-
acquisition.B.
B.
Fi_ed asset_ •
Vedium Sca[e•,_rojects.,.. - Filipino stock cot-
Construction of plant • facilities.
porations, C.
Working capital.
_axim_mLoanable Interest _mount Rate ............................... R,
P62,5@_. but r,o more than P2.5; after f inaneino, B. _ediu_
4. D_P-SSS Fir, ar, cir, 9 Proraram
15Y,per
Work_na Capital
Eeu_l
Loan P3@@, _,¢_ to P_2.@M,
annum fixed for term of
- f,_a. imua of 5 ,/_ars, inclu5ire of the one
monthly,or euarterly ar,_c, rtiza-
loan a_proved for
},ear trace oeriod on _rin-
tic, n,
B. M.edium-Scale Loan -more than P2_ to PB_.
Euarantee by theGFS,_.
ci_-ai fJayi,l_nt. B.
_c_uisitEon of fixed _ssets r:laxilm*,u,_1 of
IC
of existing loans with other linen-
year%ine!usive of the t_..,.--),ear craoe peric, o on
cial ins_ih_tions that are current
prir, cipal oay_,_ent.
it, statu_i not to exceed
Scale
total projec assets of r_lore thal
55X of the of the total
PP.5M but not e_ceeding Plk_ after'financing.
loan aoprov_d
Industrial,a0rieultural
Individuals,single prop-
or agro- ind,strial projects.(See Annex B
rietorships,partnerships and coroorations
for a partial !ist eli§ibleprojects,
v_:.de of
o__,_t....
Small-Scale
O. Ref£nancino A. 5n_all Scale - iota project assets o r_:k less tha
n,
)lat,.irity
. _p_r i..qd_ .........
Working capital,
PSi_'_e,per-
17)¢_er
borrower. •
annum oiue set-
_.a,'terly, s_r_i-
vice fee of 4._oF?
a_ml-,,_a;.[y.
of
Ti],'e_ .Veers'
_-,_.v _.nl.,,"
ducted i5 advance. 5. Co'norehensive A_oricultural Loan Fund (CALF)
Any agricultural orojacks provided total orojects assets must not e_c'eedPS_k_.
Individual_,cor_rations and cooperatives_
_ny a_ricultural P5@¢,_ loan, for _orkin.o capital or acoui-
Fiwed ter_ to be determined
simeon of assets,
by the B. Fi_ed _sse_ CPLF at the O._quisition be_innin_o 12 years. of the
fi_ed
quarter.
_, Working capital - 8 years,
E_,Lal wnn_h!y or D,T.'i_.-tmr]y.
Table
2
(cont'd.)
track far
record been
of
quite
however,
reached
an
unutilized this.
First, Hence,
Second,
the
the
this
fact,
a
interest
lot
lastly,
very
low,
to
those
who
make
loans
them
are
really
so
takes
rate
be
very
to
the
fact
and
processing
a
responsive
currently
to to
have
to
be
can
be
released
loans
3
of
simplified on
despite
going
to
borrowers. these
these
are
needs the
schemes costs
In
is for
high.
programs
in
especially
of
credit
and
down.
programs.
quite
these
the
very
months.
ra_e
transactions
credit out
are
been
in
redesign
other
prograia.
2 to
under
papers
for
by
this
a high
.has
their
the
_.rationed
at
recently
that
need
about.
banks
reasons
facilities
expensive
occurred
remaining
known
for
these
schemes
the
are
not
pushing
interest
offered
therefore
are
market.
processing
time
they
time are
most
borrowers.
There
Program
margin
SQ:_that by
has
these
IGLF,
are
fixed
to
of
There
still
prepayments
procedures
shortened
system.
of
is
Processing
rate
th_-ough
case
access-ing
is
appears
such
order
repayment
IBRD.
usually
general
considering
There
which
for
rate
the
the
originating
of
programs
are
processing
program
And
few
the
to
g uarant6e
only
that
Thus,
In
returned
procedures
the
needed
were
and
fact
terms
availments
low.
these
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portfolio
size
of
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banking
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that
reinvests
funds,
in
potentially
t
new
directions,
In
from
1965,
Korea's
Philippines.
It
performed
years wide up
with
was
the
Philippines
the
their in
on
realized
and
One
aimed
of
Korea,
the
mobilizing
undertook
a major
the
was
ratio
by
Korea.
on
positive, Towards
ratio
suggesting
Philippines
the
more
only
more
modest
the
latter
to
part
in
has
catch
which
in
of
the
were The
1980.
Its
compared
to
1983,
Korea However,
Philippines
a more
a
success
difficulties.
severe
by
savings.
reform
latter
able
1965
of Five
tremendous
in
but
terms
the
nct
the
systera
economy.
was
financial
was
that
of
initiated
of
the
Korea's
financial
that
in
domesticfinancial
encountered
the
for
[1981]).
financial
support
Philippines
it
of
system
that
reasons
at
one-half
financial to
the
(Mckinnon
Philippine
surpassed
reforms
Philippines
impact
Korean
then,
financial
primarily
that
ratio
mature
about
the
resources
Since
Korea.
effects
the
they
was
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than
Korea's
margin.
as
ratio
financial
later,
loans
means
better
generating
old
solid
than
financial
system.
The
performance
impressive._ unlike
The
those
of
of
Thailand's
financial the
ratio
Philippines
financial
system
has
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and
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has
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increasing have
been
fluctuating.
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the
ÂŁndicator
efficiency
determined
lending
rate
with by
it
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charges
of
the
which
performance it
interest to
loans,
21
raises rate
of and
it and
financial
allocates
gives the
the
to
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deposits,
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lending
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deposit
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financial
reforms
loanable
funds
depositors
Indeed, was
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to
mobilize
be
made
real
of
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intentions
financial
available
interest
savings
to
rate
of so
their
1980
that
industries
on
the I
by
more
assuring
deposits.
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was
to
be
accomplished
increased
by
of
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the be
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raising
Table interest
rates
spread
e.g.,
reserve
netted
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to
benefit
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only
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to
banks.
result
deposit
in
both
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deposit
rate
depositors
development,
regime
The
rates,
increased
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evolution
real
succeeded
and
hnlike
when
only
the
nominal
credit
the
financial
new
were
contracte_
went in
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to
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bank as
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period
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more.
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spread. as
gross
regulation,
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of
real
to
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rates
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borrowers
felt
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loans
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rate
The cost
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deposit
seems
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spread.
intermediation
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in
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However,
in t_[_
resulted
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requirement,
1982.
The
and since
deregulated. banks
and
such
policy
presents
The
to
expected
absorb
rate.
among
benefitted.
6
1981
to
lending
repressive
was
lending
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previous intermediaries
between
willing
stand
competition
banks
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bank
improving
competitionamong
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by
45
system
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fixed
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in
1984
lending
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which
_ate
could
_T ab ]_e__6 NOMINALAND REALINTEREST _qTES • I_I_QTION RATE (6DP) 1381 1982 1%3 !984 1985 1986
10.98 8. 43 11.74 •48.93 17.71 1.49
L_DIN6 QQTE hO_ RERL" 17. lt9 18._19 _19,331 26.743 28,234 17,348,
_
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18
10,5_. i5._6
DEPOSIT"EQ[E* REAL.
RE._ SPR_D
15;60 ,,.62 .4, _1 5. 78 i4,34 ?-6_ r_'_ -_.6,45 1_,52 • ._.1c_. ,_8,._ 8.•98,*
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23
:! :
not
be
for
a related
for
recalled
secured
other
by
loans many
new
deposit
deposits
up
33
the
rates
situation
is
crisis
were
loanS interest prime
on
is
about
of
It been
the
is
in
by
the
weak
and
down
rate,
the
opposite
lending
rates
are
when
the
inflation
rate
is
in
rate
c_nsidered
is
very
high
average
rate
recou_e
their
spread
worst
firms
by
6 percent
spread,
which
the
nominal
1985,
the
real
high
by
practically
abnormally
lending
the this the the
Today,
the
while
the
is
the
rate
about
100
rate
has
has
been
Current
real
Even
today
12
percent
prime
One
factor
that
recover
itself
from
standard.
zero,
high.
with
lending
fact,
any
as
high.
while
In
time
losses
in
banks
around
very
for
survived
hovers
still
and
even
firms.
the
nominal
thing
which
rate
On
deposits
incurred
direction.
unusually
1984.
their
a wide
The
[1986]
,-ending
unprofitable
is
that
starting
to
_ne
losses
percent.
deposit
tried
profitable
deposit
12
weighted
down.
pay
time
in
had
maintaining
and
noteworthy
coming
moving
to
percent
which
nominal
going
to
rate
27
Banks
strong
gave
rate
percent
were
made
they
the
years
that
to
Lambertel
average
pre-terminated
percent.
subsequent
interest
only
and
weighted
instruments
sending
Remolona
the
depositors
thus, to
also
Thus,
increased
yields,
in
(see
study).
hand,
bought
banks
This
the is
L_"
could the in
weaken slump.
1984,
But banks
almost
all
in
market,
the
the
this are
the'ir
ability is
now
of not
the all.
charging
loans.
Indeed,
a development
most
24
economy
to
Learning floating this
only
unwelcomed
from or
their
adjustable adds by
more
experience rates uncertainty
businessmen.
on
The
total
resources
oftthe
banking
system
could
give
_s
more
b
or
less
an
indication
recovery.
Between
banking 7).
system But
1983
of
this
to
been
crisis
reversed
thrift
1981
had
the
its
capability
to
1983,
real
increasing
which
took
trend.
quite
place
Several
and
rural
banks
became
In
two
years
time,
the
moderately
towards
the
economic of
latter
Table
part
of
banks,
andwere
resources
the
(see
commercial
insolvent real
the
resources
medium-size
banks
closed.
the
finanhe
later
of
on
the
banking
drop
in
/
system
shrunk
real
loans
lending
by
in
1980
financial
But In
recent
fact,
they
long-term which
mention
long
loans
have
redpced
the their
yieldin_
not the
presently
in
private
development loans
the
Central
care the
that
distress. with
folded
up.
25
short-term
banks, headway
total
have
loan
made reducing
the
portfolio. of
the
large many
for
of
Table
8).
more
cautious.
share
of
their banks
'requirements long-term
them,
including
In
fact,
recently exposure
of
portfolio
of
substantial
share
Development
l_ng-term
demand
the
(see
banks
loans.
particularly as
significantly
total
meet
some
started
take
fact
financial
made
quite
their
on
encouraged
crisis
to
focusing
in
alread_
in
could
multilateral
lend
financial
are_!_pposed
to
that
increased
loans
industries not
to
banks
the
sharper
high
been
reforms
long-term
commercial
a
substantially
risk-free,
historically
banks, and
of
banks
was
securities.
have
commercial
There
since
favor
Banks
medium-
percent.
outstanding
Bank/government
The
34
funds, DSP,
the to
of
are
biggest foreign
.._-a--_ie 7 _E RESOURCES
S _,T_
BF&_I_W_ BYSTE)n, N(]_,IINAL (!nBillion_=s_
_C OF MONSYS
TOT_.LOANS Du.TSTPJ_D IN__
_3 .(.%_)
!98! !982 1983
_._ 339.17 430.93
115,77 141.49 ,171.40,
_,51 98,24 i 11.39
&?.._ 95.27 i 1z'.%
1984 1985 '.986
487.24 502= 50 528, 00
167:01 156. 75 14_,47
116. 38 87.57 87.60*
121.22 132; 8a I@9.2_2
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: :
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NDCOF MOWSYS
TOT_.Lb-"A,_ OUTST_DIN6
(InBillior, Pesos) M3
BDP
_.R/BDP
: -;
1_I 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
94.03 98,58 112,10 _. 10 74.56 77.20
,36.49 .41.13 44.58 L_. 17 23._ _0.54
27,_ _B._ 28.97 20, 33 12,99 12.81
26
2'5.87 27.69 29,_ 21. !7 19.72 21._
96.21 99,00 !_0,07 _4.?_2 9e.44 9@,61
.L--_9233 : ,_797]18 : .2%&4_ : .2247182 : .2:_:25 .' .240B019:
Table
COMMERCIAL
BANK DEPOSITS (_B, 1978 PRICES
1980
Total
Deposits
Share
Loan
Share medium long term
*
Deflated
Source:
by World
1983
1984
1985
38
40.1
30.8
28.4
29
22
16
17
13
12
71
78
84
83
87
88
55.6
55.1
56.7
58.7
40_6
27.1
term
78
73
69
70
61
61
&
22
27
31
39
39
39
&
short
1982
LOANS
34.4
Outstanding
Share
1981
AND _)
30.4
demand
Share time savings
8
the
CPI
Bank
Report
(1986).
27
The
movements
of
key
economic
and
financial
indicatolrs
in
I 1986 after was
seemed
to
be
a negative
growt h
practically resources
to
up.
of
to
banks
rose
slightly
to
24
With
these financial
bright system
growth
two
successive
for
banking
_ng
percent
prospects
expected
of
system of
rate
21 the
loanable (in
to
percent
play
a more
Inflation and
terms) Central
The
M3/GDP previous
the
near
positive
the
Started
and
the in
positive
funds
real
banks
economy
t_irned years.
moderately.
from for
28
flow
loans
im_J_.ed
is
GNP
The
the
Outstand
rediscounting
the
rate
negligible.
financial pick
encouraging.
Bank ratio year. future,
role.
IV.
COMPARATIVE
PERFORMANCE OF KBs, THE REGIONAL LEVEL
AT
This
section
universal
and
compares
ordinary
level.
All
National
Capital
Region
most
all of
prime to
over
their
and
over
significant
head
othe_ are
towns,
the
12
number
of
of
regions
(see
however, and
their
KBs
IV),
in
KBs
and
are
but
thei_
their
at
the
in
the
branches
9).
to
located
are
Although and/or
opera$ions regard
are
both
capitals
banking
offices
RBs
located
Table
Wihh
RBS
(including
provinci=l
region.
head
AND
PDBs
Region
situated
province
of
banks),
offices
(i.e.
branches
cities all
the
performance
commercial
regional
spread
the
PDBs,
extend PDBs,
a
outside
the
I
National
Capital
offices
of
have
very
their
PDBs few
operate branches
branches
province
Region
or
are
region
Originally, after up
the branches
subject
to
Even
then,
quite
a
where
few of
them
Essentially, branches head reason
of
KBs
were
offices
of
why
the
rural
as
head
they
be
either
head
banks
is
done
are
comparing offices at at
a
the
close
to
the
only.
allowed
Section
regional
II.
Lately,
commercial
banks.
performance
branches
open
region
branches.
a certain
But
to
certain in
the or
They Usually,
banks
already
of
head
situated.
unit
up
45
1985.
regions
discussed
opened
operating
29
are
subsidiaries
will
_omparison
have
be
of
banks.
within
regulations
became
or
to
out
December
offices
supposed
them
20
commercial
towo_ s/cities
of
of
provinces
reforms
we with
to
in
branching
very
number
NCR
their
other
the
outside compared
financial in
Specifically,
located
RBs
1980
(NCR).
of
PDBs
region. level
of and The
is
that
Table
30
9
Table
9
(cont'd.)
31
Table
9 (cont'd.)
32
Table
9 (cont'd.)
33
the
most
d isaggregative
regarding the
the
the
same
Note, and
performance
level.
Specifically, and/or
head
type
of
are
aggregated
that some
on
of
ratio
The to
in
deposit
could
available.
be
deposit
used
A single
ratio
of
of
return
net
on
measure
equity
could
profitability.
However,
measure
of
of
branches
indicators the
we
banks.
are
using
1983
to
types
of
recent
of
comparison 1985 banks
economic
is
see
for some
the
study
(c)
the
ratio
of the
the ratio
are
here,
to
not i.e.,
The
rate
of
bank
measure derive
determining
veryâ&#x20AC;˘
strength
Liquidity
used
number
is
anQ
assets
good
be
and
income.
difficult in
IX
of
the
such equity
performance
limited
because
period,
i.e.,
of
data.
be
done
the
consistent crisis
another
involved
this
(a)
utilized.
operating
very
level.
will
stability
is
Indeed,
if
bank
profitability
is
to
II,
measures
liquid
to
RBs
brancn
on
been
it
will
to
have
prob'lem
of
unavailability
The
the
data
income
]
Regions
and
as
is
income
operating.
per used
at
belonging
stability;
For
of
operating
because
bank
are
since
and
indicators:
liabilities
here
in
Bank
s!top
regional
PDBs
deposits
resources
banks
banks
the
are
following
of
of
KBs,
mobilization.
to
not
of
(b)
volume
total
portfolio
the
the
of
operating
PDBs
Central
sheets
at
PDBs
branches
of
the
branches
offices
few
mobilization;
deposits
loan
no
very
of
basis
profitability.
strength
are
regions,
the
deposit
of
there
performance
evaluated in
bank
by
balance
branches
In
The
of
of
however, XII.
published
financial
regional
statements
data
relative over
started
34
over
these towards
a
3-year
performance years. the
of
the
Incidentally, second
semester
from three the of
1983,
and
years.
the
The
this
trend,
respective (see
number
have
slightly
Strength
KBs' RBs'.
the by
of
Deposit
to
about
3 to
in
5
Except groups
branch.
It
average
also
(GDPs)
real
period
same
period.
is
more
extensive
to
from 1983
remained
the
t}_e terms
seemed
gathered
the
either
followed of
in
banks
raay be
branch
the
be the
to
and
over
of
deposit
towns
rural smaller the
that where
banks
3-year
branch
1985.
same
or
volume
are
ranged
from
of
among
KBs
all
ranking has
is
PDBs.
deposit
period
This
the
deposits
sprea d
The
and
last
of
branches
PDBs
i0). of
the
bigger
towns.
1985
Table
rank
the
than
in
(see
per
of
noted
KBs
NCR
banks
terms be
whereas
banks
rural
in
cities
the
of
deposit
region,
including of
consecutive
mow_ments
rural
over
have
per
however
in
countryside_
PDBs
outside
banks
should
found,
groups
the
one
locate
offices
during
regions
of
as
two
regions
the
and
crisis
deposit
times
for
products
commercial
of
13
domestic
mobilization
average
_52M
the
for
Mobi_lization
deposit
_28M
of
fro a
banking
offices
continued
gleaned
the
increased
The
be
gross
Both
of
in
can
be
may
number
The
to
as
affected
declining
tend
conditions
9).
adversely
downswing
economic
regional
Table
three
economic
of been
per
and
PDBs
accounts over
the
the
three fairly
consistent.
The where ratio,
ratio
most the
of more
the
liabilities
resources
successful
35
to
of
banks
come
the
banks
are
total
resource
from. in
The
mobilizing
indicates higher
the
deposits.
Table
36
i0
Table
i0
(cont'd.)
37
Table
i0
(cont'd.)
38
Table
i0
(cont_d.)
39
KBs
have
the
regions.
at
the
highest Except
between
75
One
at
There bear
91
34
of
equipment,
•is that
entire
the
head
resources.
Still
another
mobilized
with
in
inability
to
The
spe_i_idaYi_y
could
the have
regions except
ratios
worked
have the
translated
as
into
that
NCR
_in
all
quite
period the
high
haqe• Bank
is
to
ready
they
are
KBs
office The
access
to
the
augment
their
the main
users
ratio
deposit
liabilities
that
of
branches.
the
surmise
1985.
buildings,
outside
of
very
offices
which
that
deposit:
been
1983
head
as,
of
has
bank_including
in
terms although
higher
in
Region
NCR.
to
this
is due
to
the
ratio
of
40
_ne
the
from for
at
close ra_los
total
the
KBs'
the GDP
deposit
behind
least
the three
to
the
NCR,
are
more
than
supply
demand
their
far
in
both
than
deposit
much
RBs
regions
higher
gathered demand
by
Here,
From
relatively be
very
IV-A,
regions.
together.
may
of
outperformed
and
other
incomes
NCR
are
branches
we
were
III
in
banks
ratio
the
such
noteworthy•that
Reglon
in
offices
resources,
they is
ratios
the
the
Central
second
total
It I
o£
deposits.
rank
However,
low
VI,
mobilize
is
reason
their
the
Region
to
regions.
twice
to
PDBs
liabilities KBs.
by
regard
resources
One
the
that
during
the
of
groups
the
KBs
resources
windows
funds
of
37 percent
rediscount
of
is
resources
for
three
1985.
here
physical
etc.
the
regions,
in
for•this.
the
reason
two
percent
to
reasons
most
for
total
about
among
feature
to
are
other
to
notable
liabilities low
ratio
and
demand
side,
the
other
regions,
values.
instruments.
This On
two
is the
•
supply
side,
Manila
are
PDBs
The
banks
It total
same
located
is
all
regions,
finding
noteworthy
the
like
phenomenal.
regions
during
X,
and
therefore
the
observed
of
and
RBs
the
period
increase
this the
be
ratios
PDB_
During
contractionary
and
close
to
tend with
to
Metro
be
regard
more to
the
NCR.
the
KB$,
Region
branches
can
the
that
of
and/or
managed
near
resources
almost
offices i
professionally
competitive. rural
head
deposit
had
in
to
increasing
in
been
1983-1985.
the
period:,
Central
liabilities
ratio
of
KBs
monetary
Bank
In
some
has
been
policy
practically
was
blosed
its
t
rediscounting already
window,
except
unavailable,
Treasury
bills
yielding
deposit
for
and
very
export
the
high,
interest
banks
instruments
pa@ers.
in
With
rates
responded
order
to
on by
stay
cheap
CB
money
bills
and
offering
high-
competitive.
Stability
The
loan
to
overstretches
deposit
its
ratio
resources
to
[1986]).
The
higher
the
Normally,
the
ratio
should
have
_o
still
a portion
of
securities
the as
Accordingly, 80
provide
"indicates
part
of
Japanese
loans"
ratio,
the
more
not
exceed
100
reserves
deposits
provide
the
is the
for usually
their
banks
are
which
a bank
(World
Bank
Report
unstable percent
the
in
In
to
addition, and/or
of
keeQ
the
is. banks
equities
diversification
required
bank
because
deposits.
invested
portfolio
extent
banks.
ratio
below
percent.
In percent
1985, in
KBs' almost
loan all
to
deposit
regions,
41
ratios except
ranged in
the
between NCR
and
20 Region
to
45 VI.
t
While
below
should
i00
be
percent,
pointed
deposit
retention
not
below
gone
that
this
Most
of
have
gone
out
50
is
and
NCR
are o[
not
surprisingly
KBs
therefore,
However, being
funds
the
ratios
branches
percent.
deposit to
that
scheme
regulation the
these
of
w:ith
since
ratios
the
loan
to
by
the
should
the
results,
followed
of
It
cow-_red
the
strictly
branches
are
low.
and
commercial deposit
_t
have appears
enforced,
banks ratio
could in
this
=
region
exceeds
their
100
branches
deposit their
located4
taking
have
raising
deposits
regard
to
profitable
Indeed,
a
acted
them
risk in
RBs'
Metro
is
that
Manila
highly
limited
possible
decision
Moreover,
head i
industrial
risky
than
an
issue
loan
almost
but
agencies
loans
KBs
regard
as
mainly
then
that
with
,regard
making
power
with
offices
may
have
NCR
more
in
agricultural
the loans
worthwhile
in
watching
by
a
of
their
loans
from
the
Central
sudden
a difficult
special or
than
real
change
in
situation.
42
in
greatly
proportion
conduits
rather
ratios
and
borrowings
as
funds,
deposit
regions
having
merely
since
to
all
significant
depo_its
government
to
very
and
and in
government
show
discretionarypower
commercial
is
to
outside It
loans.
less
tends
to
the
in
the
survey.
percent
they
have
This
PDBs'
by
areas
originating
countryside.
not
in
greater
but
and
forthcoming
This
institutions.
branches
regarded
percent.
almost
exceed
all
the
were Bank
i00 years.
supported and
other such,
credit
programs.
As
brokers
of
Bank
banks.
They
policy Indeed,
Central
could this
are
more
exposed
immediately happened
and
put in
the
recent
past
when
the
_entra!
Bank
tightened
its
rediscountiing L
policy.
It have
is
loan
interesting to
to
deposit
note
ratios
that
lower
PDBs
than
located i00
near
Metro
percent.
In
Manila
the
case
I
of
Region
range
III-A,
except
region
in
the the
operate
deposits
like
more
a
have
real
bank
of
In
KBs.
to
respective
head
offices
that
loan
to
had
been
1984.
declining This
outstanding
in
was of
significant
the
banks
more
deposits
already
pointed
out
deposits
to
The
deposit head
compete
overall
in
regions
specializing special
credit
The
with
in
lending
offered
programs
with of
the
43
to
this from PDBs
deposit
_rans_erred
groups the
instead is
that
of
banks
period
1983-
that
loans
is
economic
factor
banks
Metro
all
One
were
higher
crisis.
A
invested
in
they
interest
were
able
rates.
As
high
interest
on
from
the
findings
is
are
specializing
very
securities.
can
be
drawn
Manila,
support
however,
were
during
offering
Metro to
of
general
funds
other
that
outside
in
to
in
come
loan
factors.
government
picture
located
two
PDBs
NCR.
ratio
due
above,째
mobilization offices
of
lower
regions
their
by
III_
deposits
the
the normal
mostly
Reaion
in
the_e
loans
their
all
declined
securities.
raise
that
result
of
of
deposit
almost
proportion
government to
the
most
within
that
They'-have
suggesting
Note
that
falls
seems
whose
mobilized.
branches
less
It
ratio, their
or
las_t, year.
like
they
behave
ratio
the
KBs lending
Manila, most
activity
whereas of
government.
the
PDBs funds
The
of and
RBs
coming
implications
in their are from of
this is
to
our
study
clear.
It
comparing
from
means
the
standard
comparing:the
drawing
of any
deposit
that
we; have
performance
ratios.
that
performance
A
a unit
of
branch
may
bank.
This
conclusion.
ratios
of
For
branches
KBs,
to
exercise
different
types
be
pursuing
has
to
an
be
example, of
of
commercial
and_RBs
.extra of
care i
banks
objective
sorted
we
PDBs
out
usin_
different; first
found
that
banks
are
in
before
the
loan
below
to !00
i
percent, only
the
performing
noted the
"but
that
one
their
mother
very
low
ratio
function
function
made
of
us
to
banking.
is dictated
suspect
that
they
are
it
should
be
'However,
by
tha
Overall
objective
of
is
the
bank.
Profitability
As ratio
mentioned of
indicates
net
operating
to
what
operational the
bank
is
due
is
profits
our
The
to
higher
a peculiar by
to
of
total
banks
mangement's
realized
measure
income
extent
costs.
There the
above,
able
that
banks.
control
the
more
control
costs.
we
observe
here
of
net
their
regarding
commercial
profits
It
profitable
to
Branches
a l__aost--_-li-_--r-e-g_o-_-.4-incurrednegative
income.
to
ratio,
ability
pattern
operating
were
these
profitability
banks
(see
Table
in 9).
- \,_2
This
could
PNB
which
branches owfied
be
have of
branches
result been
KBs.
In
Philippine
Unfortunately, PNB
the
of
two
incurring 1985
away
from
huge
alone,
National however,
factors.
Bank we
the
44
rest
losses
total (PNB)
could
not of
One
the
is have
losses
a
the
to way
branches
branches
dominated
of
amounted find
that
of
the
government-
_7.2 of
of
billion. segregating
KBs
given
the
data
available
deposits
was
on much
hand.
larger
The than
other
their
is
that
loans,
their
hence,
volume
their
interest
;
expense
on
loans.
AS
banks
in
Note
we
it
is
net
activity
that
income
was
more
instance,
PDBs
as where
85.
NCR
PDBs
in
were
Region
however,
their
three
mQ_t noted
banks
not by
to
be
from
reports
required
groups
earned
seems
unaudited did
activity
by
KBs
where loan
to
these
that
negative
have
of
deposits.
is
quite
KBs
lending
to
deposit
lower
interest
two
Of
net
expense
they
,realized
their
in
similar
commercial
institutions.
where
their
expense
interest
words,
volume
areas
incurred
their
other
only
on
regions.
KBs.
For
profits
mainly
exceeded
their
volume
However,
of
in
substantial,
loans
regions
positive
net
realized.
the
be
somewhat III
that In
consistently
suffered
is
of
Consequently,
interest
income
taking VI
indicated
percent.
their
branches
Region
the
I
interest
deposit
and
are as
i00
lending
This
These
than
to
Among have
the
income.
PDBs
profits
only
in
their
earliel=,
mainly
fact
compared
out
are
of
the
exceeded
regions
exceeded
case
interest
pointed
concentrated
The
to
greatly
profits.
_was
ratios
due
have
the
that
positive
deposits
of
of
the
.incorporate
the
CB
positive surprising
the
that
of
recent the RBs in
examiners.
45
banks, profits
RBs
during
considering economic
data
we
submitted their
only
are to
reports
in the
the
all period
fact
crisis'. using the the
are
regions
that It
valuation
RBs
should,
based
Central
1983-
on
Bank.
the Most
reserves
On
the
compare unit
basis
these
profitability banks
income
using
as
branches
the of
Section Secondly, purpose. must
measures varying
of
the measure
for
_ the The be of
obtain'ed
KBs
as
of on
of
the
whole
first would
take
the
three
groups
of
place, as
the
positive
(see
profits) for
statements
that
of
long
used
place.
that operating
bank's be
to
first
â&#x20AC;˘so
are
cannot
financial,
to
the
losses
hard_â&#x20AC;˘
with
income
individual
ha_nd
the
profitability
a
very
PDBs
In
afford
bank
then
and
ope:_ating
could
the
in
characteristics
is
profitability.
available picture
it of
net
analysis
data true
of
banks of
an
branches
of
profits
VI
findings,
ratio
cormaercial
consolidated
RBs
of
the
said
especially
Secondly, i into of
.
other
account ban_s
the
can
be
to
the
i
devised. overall directly
For
example,
profits
of
lending
estimated.
We
the
suspect
is
based
compiled
by
branches
forthcoming
This
contribution bank
providing
analysis
procedure.
the
do
should
comparative
that that
not of
even
reflect banks be
batik
46
if
the the
of
they
funds data
this
simply
study.
the into
are
come on
usin_ taken
branches
of
KBs
not
from
which because
the
ones
them
must
our
present
they
be
were
standard
accounting
consideration
in
the
V.
THE
The
potential
recognized. severe the
for
But
foreign
saving
it
exchange
only
recently
crisis o_f. the
_project: of
mobilizing
is
potentials
The extent
INTEREST RATE ELASTICITY AND ELASTICITY HYPOTHESES
that
banks'
success
in
savings
has
when
Country
at
always
the
given
issue_of
Bank
Stu_y"
mobilizin(_
more
hypothesized rate.
One
financial
The
financial
is
is
facinc_ _to
tap
is
the
address
the
savinas.
In
,i
_
two
interest
savings
other
been
finetune_Z
will
mobilization,
importance.
that
interest
savings
are
!on_
economy.
"
looking
the
policies
dc_nestic
"Comparative
INSTITUTION
variables
rate,
respond
and
are it
is
positively
to
4
availability
of
financial
!
institutions, to
save
and
in
financial
institutions. directly found
to
In
indirectly
be
mixed
view
to could
importance
model =
f
to
institution to
useful
is (i
as
to
is
have
that easy
the
of
the
examine
again
the
way
verifying
of
could
issues
elasticity
the
but the
bank
follows:
, BANKS,
GDP)
o
47
(i)
induced
financial which
results be
were
reached.
involved,
this
interest
rate
hypotheses.
debate,
comparative
to
The
conclusion
are
studies
hypotheses.
settle
the
savers access
reviewed
these
the
alternative
be
they
definitive
intend
an
perhaps
tested no
the
here
(1987)
attempts
course,
provide
FD
of
_and
The
if
and
paper
of
forms
or
elasticity
hypothesis
Lamberte
background
not,
the
we
It
does
nerely
want
hypotheses study.
that
FD
stands
obtained
not
deposits
then
savings.
The
First
of
for from
it
it
government
deposits.
is
studies
which
used
of
cash,
on
from
the
of
Cash
is in
the
our
either
the
of
the
the
rural
savings
or
most areas.
ban_s.
frora or
the
This previous
reported
deposits
and
iDterest on i• actual interest
of
different
time
as
households
the
statutory
obvious.
one
deposits
study
financial
bonds I
effective
dividing
Bank
claims,
institutional
to
are
banks.
•course,
insurance
savings
Data
household
is,
Outstanding
makes
banks.
for
savings.
the
with
or
actual
the
weighted
each
_ype
of
product
of
both.
BANKS in
proxy
, refers D derived by
by
that
rates
average
banks
is
aspect
interest
this
financial
i
on•deposihs
one
proxy
includes•corporate,
This
expense
but
the
excludes
variable,
deposits.
of
of
Secondly,
The
as
financial
forms
deposits
households
used
weakenes
of
important
the
are
all,
instruments
financial
refers
to
a region,
the
while
number GDP
of
stands
bank for
offices gross
of
domestic
a region.
This time
_tudy
series
makes
data.
use This
different
from
interest
rates,
number
available
for
13
85.
that
these
Note
years.
the
the the
5ome
of is
of
ones.
Data
on
deposits,
branches
for
KBs,
PDBs
The rate
the
48
cross-section
aspect
regions.
interest
of
another
previous of
a combination
study
policy
previous
that
makes
covers regime studies
our
study
effective and
the is
and
RBs
period
the tested
same
are 1983-
in the
all two
hypotheses
mentioned
included
different
Equation variables significant runs. all
and
F-statistic.
The
more
banking
deposits
in
the
high
since in
the
accessible
to
was
found
found tried II
studies
GDP
and
to
to
be
have
to
no
rate
if
is
E_ot
I
financial
expected
statistically
at
the
the
of
the
means
are
presence
of
impact
regions. not
includes
the
has:-greater
does
yield
the _ final
tlie basis
that
the
rate
not
in
nave
on
appears
in
did
Model
computed
regions
interest
encountered
This
mean
on seems
anything
to
are
not
institutions
and
severe
BANKS.
Specifically,
strongly
co.rrelated
significant
c_,:gck whether
reestimated
cofficients
GDP
reasonable
the
interest
provinces
ii. All
elasticities
in
high
Table
of
It
1984)
ti_r_e du$_y
dropped
variables.
table.
unilÂŁzed
The
for
were
in
data
them.
Previous between
they
seems
institutions
than
reasonable
same
OLS.
DUMB4
coefficient-
equation
shown
people
the
The
also
and
sum_ar_'zed
independent
However,
significant. 2 R
1983
the
regimes.
using
So,
are
identified
signs.
for
that
policy
estimated
DUMB3
results
knowing
rate
coefficients.
The the
was
not
L
interest
(i)
(i.e.,
above
this
equation elasticities
in
problem (1 ) of
increase with
effect
coll inearity in
income. previous
appears
bank
Thus,
network B_{KS
studies. in
our
without
GDP.
i
virtually
have
problem
was
We
case.
The
have Model
estimated
remaine_d
<he
D same.
In
Model
result
is
that
does
not
have.
III, GDP
has
we
dropped
BANKS
a significant 2
However,
the
49
R
from effect
the on
equation. deposits
The while
i D
considerably
drops
to
a
very
Table
RESULTS OF TESTING AND INSTITUTION
Ii
THE INTEREST ELASTICITY
MODEL
I
RATE ELASTICITY HYPOTHESES
Model
II
Model
III
Coefficients Constant
-7423. 300 (-7.72)*
-7143.9 (-8.55)
iD
6348. i00 (2.20)*
6405.4 (2.22)*
BANKS
iii. 0300 (24.08)*
112.42 (28.34)*
GDP
0. 00998 (0.59)
-
*
-4911.0 (-2.01)* -370.88 (-0.05)
.21444 (5.79)*
2 R
.88
.88
.23
F
266. 168"
401.55*
16.77*
-0.016
Elasticities iD
0.277
0.280
BANKS
2.540
2.572
GDP
0.106
Note: * -
Figures significant
in at
parentheses
2.289
are
5 percent.
5O
t-values.
low to
level,
suggesting
Models
I and
The the
We
Table
for
PDBs
a
mode]
inferior
compared
elasticity
and
by
data
of
examining
PDBs PDBs
fro_a
and
and
results
hypotheses this
study.
the
demand
RBs.
RBs.
the
for
are
be
deposit
(I)
results
t|,at
cannot
Equation
The
is
was
run
presented
in
_ncrease
in
l2.
with
interest and is
that
during
to
KBs on
In
negative
financial small
rate
RBs.
rate
of
KBs, KBs,
Deposits the
approach
further
of
separately
is
drawn
institution
the
proceed
instruments
III
conclusion
and
using
Model
II.
inescapable
interest
rejected
that
fact,
bigger
commercial
both
Many
banks
and
banks
which
to
increase
This
the
period,
system.
found
deposits.
for
this
are
sign
groups there
is
of
the
of
banks.
was
were
and
the
coefficients It
of
should
their
rural
perceived
icase
to
be
noted in
deposits
banks be
with
interest
nervousness
shifted
thrift
an
however
a general
depositors from
not
with
to
the from
branches
relatively
more
stable.
The
number
deposits
wi'_h
additional _127 of
KBs,
branch
million. KBs
of
and
In PDBs
offices
has
a significanh
PDBs
and
RBs.
openend
brings
contrast,
an
attracts
only
respectively.
51
In about
the
case
branch
million
and
effect of
additional
additional _6
positive
on
KBs,
deposits or
head ?4
an of
office
million,
Table
DEMAND
FOR
DEPOSIT
12
INSTRUMENTS
OF
KBs,
KBs
PDBs
and
RBs
PDBs
RBs
Constant
-16904.00 (-6.33)*
-119.44 (-3.68)*
-105.70 (-1.99)**
iD
108640_00 (3.96)*
-16.447 (-0.30)
-520.11 (-1.64)
BANKS
127.00 (19.14)*
6.167 (6.55)*
3.967 (16.16)*
GDP
-0.0695 (-1.70)**
51.6321 (7.98)*
R
0.98
0.93
F
596.81"
134.23"
2
15.422 :(4.19)*
i
_7_
Note:
r
* â&#x20AC;˘*
Significant significant
at at
5 percent i0 percent
52
level. level.
40.88 97.45*
The
effect
negative is
and
indeed
analysis
of
regiodal
statistically
surprising is
needed
and in
income
significant difficult
this
on
deposits
._t 10 to
with
percent
explain.
KBs _ is
level.
This
Perhaps,
more
regard. ]
With have
a
regard significant
improvement raising
in
to
PDBs
and
positive regional
RBs,
regional
effect income
deposits.
53
is
on
income
deposits.
important
is
found
It means to
PDBs
and
to that
RBs
in
VI.
In obtained
FOCUS
ON
Section
IV,
we
negative
profits.
necessarily
the
This
focuses
section
banks
using
give
us
their idea
comparative primary
the
have
bank
that
pointed in
its
performance
and
at
be
gathered
the
out
that
this
is
to
be
time,
on
from
is
not
examined. 1
This
should
included
help
KBs
com_uercial
statements.
same
of
individual
banks
later
branches
entirety
Of
financial
comlnercial
BANKS
us
sample
in
the
analyze
the
branches ]
of
banks.
them
are
more
than
there
authorized 50
are to
branches
majority
of
30
operatihg
operate (see
the
as
commercial
universal
Table
13).
branches
are
It
banks.
banks. can
Ten
however
concentrated
in
Nine banks
be the
of have
observed National
Region.
The crises the
on
the
study to
Presently,
Capital
if
COMMERCIAL
obserw_d
We
regarding
data
have
consolidated
bank
commercial
that
case
INDIVIDUAL
financial
exposed first
system
the
weaknesses
crisis,
financial
underwent
six
difficulties.
of
two several
couuuercial For
crises
fear
commercial
banks of
since
1981.
Both
banks.
encountered
a global
In severe
bank
run,
the
?
government came
in
_:ttempted the
deposits these was
form
(see banks
able
financial
to
of
equity
Table
in. view to
sell
rehabilitate infusion,
14). of
40
its
The huge
percent
institution.
54
o_
all CB
government exposures. government
of
them.
advances
The and
eventually
assistance government took
Recently, equity
to
over
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23 :
Table
GOVERNMENT'S
FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE TO (As of December I@84) (_ Million)
Government Equity
Bank
14
Government Deposits
ACQUIRED
Parent Advances
BANKS
CB Advances
Associated
407.D
16
24.9
297.4
COMBANK
322.0
97
174.0
154.8
530.0
3
240.0
92
Inter
Bank
Pilipinas Republic
-
Union
Source:
Reports
150.4
25
309.0
Financial
-
987.6
of
Individual
850.0
Banks.
43.9 241.3 1666.9 24.4
The badly
second
managed
with
regard
closure
banks. to
its
of
been
crisis
This
the
applied
to
the
towards
commercial
and
further
time,
policy
two
Corporation has
financial
ailinc!
of
number
a It
namely
big
The
of
change
allowed
Pacific
Bank.
banks
a
made
banks.
Veterans
type_
down
government
banks,
Philippine other
brought
the
Banking
same
encountering
policy the
same
problems.
As
already
mentioned
above,
encourage
mergers/consolidation
commercial
banks
ownership hardly
of
in
the
produced
that
bigger
any
Trust
a universal
Insular
Bank
To to banks
-acquired bank
bank,
Asia
the
commercial
the same
time
This What
and
out
number
of
broaden
the
policy
_hrust
has
happened
instead
was
i
other
banks.
Islands
bought
Family
converted
it
a
Bank
reforms
into
For
Bank
thrift
completely
and bank.
absorbed
America.
four of
at
bought
performance
â&#x20AC;˘ branches
the
International
and
into
reduce
banks.
Philippine
financial
of
individual
banks,
private
domestic
groups: foreign
banks
(6),
commercial and
banks
it
useful
commercial
(4),
government-owned
is
government commercial
(1 ) .
Of two
of
them
(29),
the
Commercial
examine
group
of
1980
to
result.
completely
Bank
Philippine
and
big
positive
banks
Co.,
system
remaining
instance,
The
the
the
the
stock
corporations
29 _orivate
commercial
exchanges. (see
Patrick
The
rest
and
58
banks, are
Moreno
only
8 are
still
closed,
[1984]
for
listed
in
the
family-owned
a related
study).
The Eight
size
out
remains
of
the
reduced
of
to
thirty
about
billion. (BPI) the
fourth
Bank
in
the
third
co_0ercial
banks
The
growth
been
widely
assets
well
Thus,
they
banking
has
_i0 They
able In
over
had
been
is
noteworthy
low,
to
size
the
the
relative
small
banks
those
December
1985,
the
period
Except 1980-85
contrast,
mostly that
below in
almost
59
is
the
fairly
the
total
for
the
growth
100
percent
_27
and
PCIB
UCPB
and
Far
are
the i
smallest
are East
realized and
the very
in
deposits
over the
in
small
the
base. in
growth
high,
same
growth
slow
exceeded
deposit
of
the
banks
deposits
PNB,
in
period.
very
assets wide
had
growth
position
been
banks,
1980-85
six-year
whose
a
had
all
bank,
Bank
big
;that
system.
its
Islands
this
between
of
in
phenomenal
banks,
percent
outlined
period
their
have
is
}62 billion.
during
is,
size
Philippine
Bank
over
difference
PNB
to
by
reforms.
62.4
"In
most
!!5).
amounting
Metro
financial
big
1980
the
achieved
maintain
contrast,
the
of
i00
of
closeiy
banks
percent
excess
banking
percent.
of
of
as
100
assets
current
as
assets
than
in
contrGiled
deposits
less
its
Table
bill io6.
foreign-owned
Pilipinas
banks
eight
commercial
and
Bigger
since
billion
assets
if
while
followed
_IQ
size
Bank
uneven.
Hence,
The
and
banks,
COMBANK
in
were
widened
(BA)
banks,
with
system.
growth.
with
(see
above
previous
bPnk
biggest
order.
its
varies
even
a
America
biggest
that
assets
Citibank,
commercial of
vast:iy
bank
of
scheme.
Bank
rank
have
commercial
one-half
biggest
banks
banks
biggest
rehabilitation second
com_aercial
in
the their
way
above
small
banks
period. in
deposits
It
Tabl.e15 SELECTEDFINQNCIAL INDICRTOR5 tl) Assets i_D,H_5}
o_ c_
I. IllieI_ 2, BPI_ 3. China 4, CityYrust* 5, Con_olidatnd 6, Equitable ?, FarEa_tw & Manil 9. _e_ro!e_,_* i8. COnlaUnications it. Phil,Iar,MnI 12. PCIB_ 13, Phil.Trust 14, Producers IS. Prudentia! IG RC_C 17. Security 16, Traders i9. UCPb B. Ec_!!i!r2_!ir2!:= II, II 2J. Citibank 22. Hon!kong 23. Chartered _. 25, _6. 2L 26. 29.
_ iMed " C< nk h bar, l P: inas R( lic Union
1.9 i6.5 4.4 5.1 5.4 4.1 _ I_
(3) (4) D_positB Growthin (_0,1985) Deposit_ (%)
(B) Rot Income Eq,;ity (%1
!5,4 I.£ 2.7 i6,4> 2.3 2.6 4,!] _.li 6,_ 4.9 13.9
36 211 90 .369 16 63 112 71 223 46 3_ £93 236 6_ 137 37 168 37 t95
I14 262 11 153 25 44 230 46 136 IB (41) 12g 32 NI 77 56 43 14 147
46.3. 47.8 63.2 65,9 50.i 48.8 50.2 }2t.5 56.4 59.2 10.2 51.9 43.5 NI 50.2 7_.£ 31,'2 _ 55._ 70.5
13.7 10.0 i.! t6,9 3,1 9.1 15.5 4, t 6.B 3.1 (9.0) 1.0 12.1 NI 1@,I 5.5 4.3 1,7 6.7
2l,I 22.6 2.2 23.7 5.1 8.2 24.5 7.3 14.1 _.8 (18.5) 12,2 iK6 NI 2_,6 12.3 12.4 3.6 7.6
16._ 27,1 3.3 2,4
154 443 107 323
2,0 12.2 _,7 @.7
171 263 30 90
I 561 (21) 3_
NA 100,9 34_.3 _15;_
NI 12.8 (3.7) B.B
II 403.3 (9.61 7.4
_7 259 230 61 19 IB4
1,4 0.7 1,6 _.8 1.7 3.@
46 1374 176 109 10 1126
(19) 3B 90 -_ 2@ _6 30
BI.B 10_.9 119.2 115.7 210.2 76.7
_.91 9._ IS.B 9,4 3.6 4,3
151.8
(139,4)
2.6 1.8' 5.4 i,7 5.8 4,B
97
13,1
Source: BusinessDay, 100TopCorporations (various years} ha '
(7} Net Income @ros_Income (X)
6.3 12.3 3,2 2.5 3,9 3.0 1.3 3.7 I_.5 2.0 I.£ _.B l.B 1.0 3.2 3.3 4.5 3.6 9.4
_4A- notavailable.
Ur,iversaj
(5} (6} Net Income Loans (_M,}965) PepositB (X)
26 157 23 211 8@ 39 116 152 202 16 22 260 155 IB _25 50 139 31 2@0
76.t
31. Pill"
12) 6rowthin Assets (X)
19
(7000)
(7.BI 1.6 12.1 l.l 9.3 7._ (575.7i
outstripped
the
means
that
their
lending
banks
The
of
and Bank
of
head
allowed
to
The
to
in
this
to
1985
was
percent,
but
not
necessarily
realized
by
government for
and
each
loss
of
the
ratios However, unstable for
the
exception
80
were
to
in
compelled to
this
case
mainly
were
is
reached
121
percent.
reached
crisis
proportion,
prevent
[urther
dissipation
Manila Its
of
61
not
plu_ged
by
3.8
four
ratio
private
level
risk-free banks,
one
staggering
low
for
the
sharp
and
CB
Bank
whose
each
domestic
drop
to
situation has
assets.
already
had
normal.
banks. in
The demand
portion
securities. loan
bank
banks as
most
a substantial
CB
of
considered
with
its
profits
o_
PNB's
deposit
the
the
resources
hefty
however
financial and
the
high.
switch
government
are
GNP
losses.
coupled to
as
high
extraordinarily
banks
they
yields
the
1985
that
the
of
deposits.
on
The
to
the
country.
extremely
all
fact
of
rely
banks.
loan
percent,
ratios
resources
the
Almost
situation
credit_
theft
shows
1985.
below
was
rate
however
for to
for
are
economy
due
deposits
on
the
incurred
1985
banks
the
It
policy
results
th_
There
which in
in
for
partly
group,
15 'also
year
bad
securities.
billion
Table for
CB
bank _7
were
mention
1980-85.
interest
rediscounting
They
anywhere
o_
The
favorable
regard.
not
period
relying
commercial
year
them
the
produce
branches
the
operations.
foreign-owned in
over
increasingly
change
offices,
have
assets
investment the
exemptions
their
in been
seemed
branches
obvious
have and
deregulation Central
growth
The deposit has
of only ratio
recently
stepped
in
to
For
foreign
surprising. more
on
As
the
PNB loan
that
banks
for
across
of
these
their
time
already,
of
stability
net
comparable
The was
9.4
five
big
ra_e
percent, return
on
on
banks
of
was
return
was
small
the to
high
equity
of
only
indeed
commercial still
unable
ratio
16.2
small
for was
for
the at
six least
banks.
by
individual
of
return
banks
on
percent. banks
private
percent
commercial
rate at
varies
big 5.9
percent
realized
quite
is
five
average 6.9
average
four
is
substanti_!ly
private
equity
It
they
banks.
compared
The
on
loans. the
This
because
government
for
The
obtained
equity
Although,
was
only
9.2
was
still
equity
well
above
realized
the
by
6.1
the
percent
six
average
rate
of
government-acquired
banks.
Some
even
return
depend
percent.
unstable
income
ratio
by
banks
not
C%
it
commercial
obtained
of
gross
which
ks
banks
i00
over
these
banks.
considerably.
.
private
that
of
provide
the
percent
banks
rate
average
to
average
commercial
to
varies
income
these
commercial
taking
to
ratio
offices.
to
some
banks
earlier,
excess
resources
quite
ratio
t:o deposit
financially
after
private
the
are
that
government-acquired
for
in
know
commercial
also
out head
well
banks
financial
The
their
ratios
banks.
small
pointed
to
restore
The
loan
government-acquired
overstreching
surprising
to
four
deposit
indicates
a high
already
resources
and
to
are
banks,
patterns commercial
during
the
have banks'
crisis
clearly
emerged
performance
period.
62
In
had
contrast,
in
our
been
analysis. quite
Big
hapressive
government-owned
and
acquired
commercial
performance private
commercial
performance better
was
than
varies smaller
not
banks
_ performed
even
at
bank.
But
par among
considerably, banks.
63
miserably_
with
Its
the
pecformance
private
commercial
with
bigger
banks
Qverall J of
banks,
small the
performing
VII.
The
general
background
to
primarily
make
of
banks
rural
branches
CONCLUDING
objective
the
of
REMARKS
this
paper:
is
forthcomingcomparative
use
of
primary
(RBs),
or
head
offices
findings
here
could
bank
data
branches of
to
to of
be
provide
a
studies
which
collected
con_ercial
private
general
from
banks
development
will
a sample (KBs)
and
banks
(PDBs).
research
design
I
The for
the
bank
studies.
results
here
indeed
researchers have
in
comparing
observed is
framework.
For
mobilization
because
government
and
intensive
NCR
in
notable
could
as
of
branches
is
in
region.
indicators
institutions. RBs
has
also
findings
financial
to
For be
In
obtained
in
by
provide compare
example, first.
64
the
performance the
three
Perhaps,
savings
got
PDBs
in of
the did
the
operating
as
near
efficiently
three of
the
NCR.
competitive
financial the
using
financial the
from
branches
structure
warning
financial
outside
the
PDBs.
little
strong
of
the
policy
Operate
performance
the
operating
KBs'
The to
and
they
and
to
these
did
regions
RBs
them
i
the
PDBs
KBs.
conditioned
to
of
contrast,
that
compelled
also
KBs
support
drive
of
Thus,
challenge
RBs,
by
and
is
branches
institutions a certain
however,
KBs.
of
financial
Bank.
have
some
conditioned RBs
the
the
performance
mobilization
like
environment
The
of
finding,
operate
way
example,
savings
pose
the
some
Central
formulating
performance
that
institutions
One
in
comparative
The
We
aid
standard
three picture
Central
market
Bank
banking of
the
method
of
providing
valuation
reserves
be
will
applied.
Another
_xample
!
is
that
the
obtained. entire
real Here,â&#x20AC;˘
banks
has
profits
realized
their
contribution
to
estimated.
be
65
by to
branches the
of. overall
[KBs
have
_to
be
profits
of
the