School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15 Table of content: ......................................................................................................................................... 1 School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15 ..................................................................... 1 Executive Summary .......................................................................................................... 2 1. Promotion and facilitation: ...................................................................................... 4 Events................................................................................................................. 4 Research training provision and delivery............................................................. 7 Networks and collaborations ............................................................................... 9 2. Research support: ................................................................................................ 11 Use of SAS Libraries......................................................................................... 11 SAS Libraries’ Collections ................................................................................. 12 Number and Use of Digital Resources and Services ......................................... 13 Range of Digital Resources and Services ......................................................... 14 SAS Publishing: books and monographs .......................................................... 15 SAS Publishing: journals ................................................................................... 16 Fellowships ....................................................................................................... 17 3. Quality of SAS Research Base: ............................................................................ 19 Staff Research .................................................................................................. 19 PhD registrations 2014 ..................................................................................... 21 External research grant performance: Applications, Awards, Success rate ....... 22 External Income (spend 2014-15) ..................................................................... 24
December 2015 School Strategic Advisory Group
1 School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15
Executive Summary The report presents an aggregate of institutes’ and central academic initiatives’ performance. The report provides a review of the School’s achievements as noted in its operational plan for 2014-15 and an analysis of the School’s achievements against the key performance indicators it has set. The highlights of 2014-15 in comparison 2013-14 are: KPI 1: Increase in quality, range and impact of activities including networks, events, publications, fellowships, and new initiatives, contributing to the School’s RPF and public engagement agendas.
Events podcast usage increased by 23%; 30 print titles were published, representing a 7% increase;
KPI 2: Increase in range, use and impact of specialized digital research tools/services and number of partner institutions collaborating on digital humanities.
The number of resources and services increased by 11%; Page Views increased by 14% ; Usage of social media and blogs also increased from 2013-14 from 23.7K ‘likes’ and 25.1K followers, by 31% and 114% respectively.
KPI 3: Increase in number, range and impact of collaborations fostering interdisciplinarity in the humanities and beyond and contributing to the School’s internationalization agenda
the number of networks and collaborations increased by 34%
KPI 4: Continuation, encouragement and recognition of the contribution made by research in Strategically Important and Vulnerable Subjects (SIVs). This KPI is measured by qualitative indicators. KPI 5: Increase in number and range of researchers who make use of the libraries, improvement in facilities and user satisfaction:
a 5% increase in footfall overall; number of visits made by commercial members and general public increased by 30%; Results of IALS’s Library Reader Satisfaction Survey 2015 remained high; overall satisfaction rate was 94.2%.
KPI 6: Increase in academic outputs which are verifiably of the highest quality (a minimum of 3*) and internationally recognised
In 2014-15, SAS recorded over 350 publications produced by staff and research fellows. Staff published 207 scholarly works (57%), while research fellows published 156 (43%). Assessment of level of excellence is under development. 2
School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15
KPI 7: Growth in provision and delivery of research training (RT) with meaningful outcomes
Increase of 29%.
KPI 8: Maintenance of the quality of teaching, learning and supervision with external endorsement
The 82 students responded to the 2015 national survey on their postgraduate research experience at SAS and the results showed that 78% were overall satisfied with the experience of their research programme (compared to national average of 82%), while 17% were neither/or, and 5% were not.
KPI 9: Increase in external income (non HEFCE) by 10% over 4 years with efficiency gains across the administrative cost base to achieve sustainability
The School’s non-HEFCE income increased while HEFCE percentage of SAS turnover decreased by 44%.
3 School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15
1. Promotion and facilitation: Events The School’s programme of events, which includes library events (categorized as Other events), has remained steady since 2013-14 (from 2081 in 2013-14 to 2073). Seminars, a proven popular format in the Humanities, remain the largest component, despite a 12% decrease (from 1383 in 2013-14 to 1222). Workshops have Type and Number of Events increased by 34% (from 50 to 67) while Other Events have increased by 41% (from 350 to 493). The increase is due to Seminars 1,222 the diversified events the School organized in 2014-15, all Lectures 122 contributing to the School’s public engagement agenda: Conferences 169 Workshops 67 Other events 493 Total 2073 - Library events: tour/introduction sessions, talks; - Festivals: including the successful 2014 Being Human Total Hours 8596 Delivered Festivals and each of the events and sessions -
-
-
organized locally and nationally in collaborations with our partners; Exhibitions, such as the IMLR’s Exile Lives Told through the Archives. An Exhibition in association with the Senate House Library, focuses on the experiences of German-speaking refugees who came to the UK in the 1930s after the National Socialists took power in central Europe. Film screening and debates on matters which arose from the screening such as the ILAS’ Chilean Cinema of the late 1960s: Special screening and debate with the authors of Evolución en libertad: El cine chileno de fines de los sesenta (Editorial Cuarto Propio, 2014). Experimental events such as sensory and visual experiments, such as events organized under the AHRC Funded project Rethinking the Senses Book launches, such as the IHR’s Launch of the Popular Musical Theatre in London and Berlin, 1890-1939
49% (1036) of the School’s entire programme demonstrated engagement with the public at many levels. Of these 49%, 41% (859) included some representation from organizations outside the Higher Education sector, and 8% (177) showed active engagement.
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36% of SAS events were collaborative both inside and outside the School. SAS institutes collaborated on a number of events including partnering with other organizations such as external charities, societies, museums and foundations:
-
-
The European Society for Philosophy and Psychology (ENSO) which collaborated with the Human Mind Project team to organize the Symposium Theory of Mind and the Social Mind The Society for the History of Discoveries which collaborated with the School to hold its 56th Annual Meeting Peace Brigades International which collaborated with the Human Rights Consortium on the seminar Community Consultation and Megaprojects: Addressing the Gaps
Reflecting the breadth of collaboration, 62% (1288) of the events programme in 2014-15 were interdisciplinary, contributing to the School’s third key performance indicator to increase in number, range and impact of collaborations fostering interdisciplinarity in the humanities and beyond. Footfall Also relating to the third indicator, the School has recorded an increase in its events footfall of 5% (from 64,015 in 2013-14 to 67,252) with the majority of speakers coming from outside London.
Origin UoL
Speakers Participants 1,856
15,354
717
14,899
Rest of the UK
2,042
25,317
Rest of World
2,012
5056
Total
6,627
60,625
London
5 School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15
While attendance was drawn mostly from in the UK, the number of streams and downloads is much higher from outside the UK, signalling a large digital reach worldwide.
The School holds 117 collections on ITunes and 18 playlists on YouTube. Over 3000 podcasts were recorded and made available on YouTube in 2014-15, 596 of which were shared in the year. In 2014-15, podcasts’ usage increased by 23% on the previous year (270K).
Podcasts
Sources: ITunesU
Total
Streams
18,979
Browsing
43,876
Downloads
41,636
Views/visits
227,516
Total
332,007
Top Collections on ItunesU between Jul 01, 2014 - Jul 31, 2015 were as follows
Collections Literature Studies
Downloads 6743
Language Studies
5719
Philosophy Centre for the History of Arabic Studies in Europe German Philosophy Seminar Series Cultural Studies Latin American and Caribbean Studies Socialist History Seminars
3662 2476 2185 1742 1107 1019
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Research training provision and delivery
The number of research training events held this year was higher than 2013-14 (increase by 29%, from 224 to 271). Events vary in format from one-to-one sessions to curriculumled as well as graduate-led workshops and seminars. Number of Events Research Training Number of Events 271
Summer Schools
Total Hours Number of Events 1032 8
Total Hours 786:45
In keeping with the School’s mission, 27% (68) were interdisciplinary, 10% (28) of events were collaborative with HEIs, and 2% with other organizations: -
-
Warwick University which continued to run the Resources and Techniques for the Study of Renaissance and Early Modern Culture seminar with the Warburg Institute; LAHP, the London Arts and Humanities Partner of the School, which collaborated with the Institute of Classical Studies on the Digital Classics training day; T.S. Eliot Estate and the Poetry Society which collaborated with the Institute of English Studies to run the T.S. Eliot International Footfall Summer School. Origin Speakers Participants
Footfall has increased since 2013-14 by about 7%.(from 5515 in 2013-14 to 5910) , contributing to the School’s Key performance indicator 7 - Growth in provision and delivery of research training (RT) with meaningful outcomes.
UoL
399
4000
London
46
266
133
666
50
350
628
5282
Rest of the UK Rest of the World Total
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The overall usage statistics of the School’s research training portals were affected by the merge of the ILMR’s PORT, with a new platform managed across the School, reconfigured to provide better online research training resources for all subjects covered at the School. The teaching and learning resources increased by 41% (from 426.6K in 2013-14 to 605K) respectively, evidence of the wide usage and reach of the School’s research training suite.
Record Views of Teaching/Learning Resources Visits 788,657 Unique Users Page Views Downloads
329,114 605,074 7,549
Record Views of Research Training Platforms 54,381 20,806 79,018 n/a
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Networks and collaborations
The School and its institutes actively support and maintain relationships with organisations across all sectors, forming 285 networks and collaborations. The institutes as well as the School are also members of Number of Networks and Collaborations per type around 120 networks and collaborations. This figure excludes SAS academic’s Research 203 personal networks, which account for more Subject field/discipline-specific 106 than 400. Event 114
Each relationship can cover more than one area of the School’s activities, representing a 34% increase (from 423 in 2013-14), demonstrating the true impact of the number of networks and collaborations and the School’s success to achieve its goals on KPI1 and 3.
Publications
50
Digital Resources
27
Research Training
28
Fellowship
15
Policy-making
16
Library
14
Teaching
11
Total
584
In 2014-15, the School hosted 42% (171) of these networks, which overall attracted more than 18,000 of researchers and other participants, and nearly 10,000 institutions across all sectors, predominantly UK-based (48%). 55% (222) were interdisciplinary. In 2014-15, the School joined 10 new networks and collaborations including:
-
-
The Institute of Classical Studies’ Etruscan Network, which led to a conference with network partners: the British Library and the Accordia Research Institute, An Etruscan Affair: 29-30 May 2015 The Warburg Institute’s collaboration with Syddanks University, with the aim to foster externally-funded student exchange programmes; The International and UK Dalit Solidarity Networks, working against caste-based discrimination, which the Institute of Commonwealth Studies became a member.
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Outputs were mainly focused on events (33%), the creation of digital resources (9%), the publication of scholarly works (8%), the support and maintenance of fellowship schemes (2%), as well as partnering in grant applications and exchanging students.
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2. Research support:
Use of SAS Libraries
Registrations to SAS libraries recorded a 1% decrease (from 18,321 in 2013-14 to 18,050) and a 5% increase in footfall (number of entries) (from 202,891 in 2013-14 to 213,456). These statistics represent only four of the SAS-run libraries: Legal, Classical, Historical and Warburg libraries, and exclude the Germanic, Latin American and Commonwealth collections which are comingled with Senate House Library. In contrast, activities from MA students have increased by 4% in both number of registrations and visits, and the biggest increase in visits was from members of the private sector with a 30% increase (from 302 in 2013-14 to 394 in 2014-15). MPhil/PhD Students’ subscriptions to library e-resources also increased by 28% (from 147,020 in 2013-14 to 188,433 in 2014-15)
SAS Libraries’ usage MPhil/
Academic Staff
MA Students
Indepen dent
Non-HEIcommercial /private companies
NonHEI Private Sector
NonHEI Public Sector
PhD
Other
Total
Readers/Reg istrations
3,175
7,612
3,676
2,203
261
39
176
908
18,050
Footfall*
50,670
39,402
76,688
7,287
842
394
885
13,726
213,456
E-Resources
188,433
123,508
356,799
0
0
613
0
0
669,353
4393
3786
20834
0
48
1
0
227
29,289
Loans
does not include Warburg *Does not include Warburg Library's visitors who cannot yet be recorded individually
11 School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15
SAS Libraries’ Collections
SAS libraries stock has increased by 1% (from 945,837 in 2013-14 to 950,697 in 201415), a continuing trend on 2012-13 (923,722).
Physical Stock No. of Books and Pamphlets 694,623
No. of Serial titles 206,067
No. of Microfilms 5,007
No. of Microfiches 44,796
No. of Cassettes 204
Total 950,697
Electronic Resources Electronic Databases 26
Electronic Journal Collections 423
Electronic Books 1536
Electronic Primary Resources 7118
CD-ROMs stand alone
CD-ROMs networked
DVDs
860
311
80
Total 10354
Serial Titles Periodical Titles Added
Total Periodical Titles
Book Serial Titles
13
4455
678
The number of serial titles decreased overall by 22% since 2013-14 (871)
In the IALS’s Library Reader Satisfaction Survey 2015, the overall satisfaction rate (those who indicated they were either often or usually satisfied) was 94.2% (an increase from 92.6 % in 2014), including satisfaction at electronic training sessions (97.1%), range of journals (92.6%), range of electronic journals and databases (91.4%) and opening times (90.2%), contributing to the School’s achievements on KPI 5. Acquisitions
Catalogue additions New Records
Records Edited
Total
By gift
By purchase
By exchange
Total
7699
15536
23,235
3,141
6,747
665
10,553
Withdrawals not taken into account above
Additions focused mainly on Books and Pamphlets (78%) while Periodical titles represented 22% of the additions. Withdrawals were much higher in 2014-15 with 2,869 (251 in 2013-14)
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Number and Use of Digital Resources and Services
The number of resources and services increased by 11% in 2014-15 (from 212 in 201314 to 235), specifically the number of project resources, blogs as well as other scholarly communication platforms continued to grow. Page Views increased by 14% (from 85.2m in 2013-14 to 97.3m), while unique users decreased by 4% (from 11.4m in 2013-14 to 10.9m) and visits by 13% (from 26.4m in 2013-14 to 23.1m).
Record Views Total Visits 23,106,725
Total Unique Visitors 10,951,695
Total Page Views 97,326,923
Total Streams* 64,507
Total Downloads 8,037,599
*include browsing
Downloads of particular resources available at the School such as papers on our institutional repository SAS-Space, images via the Iconographic collection of the Warburg Institute, or PDF files such as the BAILII quick guide of IALS, have doubled since 2013-14 (from 4.4m in 2013-14 to 8m). Streaming and browsing activities decreased by 4% (from 67.5K since 2013-14 to 64.5k).
Subscribers in 2014-15 reached over 148.7K of individuals across all platforms. While 2013-14 only recorded 45.3K, the large difference can be explained by better measuring of archived websites. As a result, we will only be able to confirm whether the figures represent a ‘real’ increase in usage in 2015-16. Usage of social media and blogs also increased since 201314 from 23.7K ‘likes’ and 25.1K followers, by 31% and 114% respectively, all evidence of the School’s achievements on KPI 2. Subscribers and users Total Subscribers Total Likes Total Followers 148,771
31,052
53,863
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Range of Digital Resources and Services
Number
Page Views
Database (holding data) E-repository
19 13
73,746,434 8,794,390
% of total page views 76% 9.04%
Informational website (core sites, societies) Research project website (active)
52 28
7,845,677 3,237,332
8.06% 3.33%
E-journal Library Catalogue / Directory
9 4
1,494,465 1,153,357
1.54% 1.19%
Teaching/Learning resource
7
605,074
0.62%
Archived websites Research training resource Blogging Website
19 4 25
291,483 79,018 76,003
0.30% 0.08% 0.08%
Videosharing
3
Type
Totals
235
See streams and browsing 97,326,923
100%
*include 3 E-repositories and 10 institute resources held on SAS-Space (SAS E-repository). Downloads are also a better representative of the activity under e-repository category.
The School has a very wide range of resources and services, which continued to be popular: -
As recorded in the last metrics report, PhilEvents, the Institute of Philosophy’s calendar of academic events and calls for papers in philosophy around the world, continues to achieve 1m page views every year; SAS-Space, the School e-repository recorded 53K and 58K of downloads; BAILII, the British and Irish Legal Information Institute (full-text online legislation and case law hosted by BAILII at IALS), 61m The Warburg Institute’s iconographic database, 603K The Institute of Historical Research’s popular British History Online, 10.8m
-
-
Millions
Record Views 120.00 100.00 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 0.00 2011-12
2012-13
13-14
14-15
14 School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15
SAS Publishing: books and monographs
30 titles were published (some in a variety of formats) under the School’s name this year (a - 7% increase since 2013-14 (28), a trend consistent over the last four years.
SAS Publishing Number of Titles Solely by SAS Publishing Jointly with another publisher
30 26 2
By another publisher on behalf of SAS
2
93% (28) of the titles were disciplinary. 57% (17) were edited books, 10% were monographs, and 32% (10) were other scholarly works. 1,546 copies were sold, worth £28.9K. The institutes also sold 3,781 copies of their blacklist titles, worth £103.3K of publication sales.
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SAS Publishing: journals
The School manages 12 journals (3 fewer than in 2013-14) and 72 issues were published in 2014-15, an increase of 38% (from 52 in 2013-14). 67% of our journals are interdisciplinary, 8% (1) are published in hardback, 67% (8) in paperback, 25% (3) open access and 41% in digital form. Subscribers are mainly from outside the UK, and individual subscribers increased by 3% (from 5,054 in 2013-14 to 5,215 in 2014-15), contributing to the School’s first KPI.
SAS Journals Number of Journals
Solely by SAS
Jointly with another publisher
By another publisher on behalf of SAS
12
4
4
4
E-journals’ usage shows 1.49m page views in 2014-15, a slight increase of 2% (from 1.46m in 2013-14; while downloads decreased by 24% (from 142,914 since 2013-14), unique users have increased by 10% (from 731K) and visits also increased by 11% (from 910K). The 9 SAS journals show an equal split between disciplinary (57%) and interdisciplinary (43%) coverage.
Downloads 107,949
E-journals Page views Unique Users 1,494,465 808,352
Visits 1,011,090
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Fellowships
The School fellowship schemes aim to provide a supportive and well-resourced research environment for scholars at all levels and from all around the world. In 2014-15, the number of visiting fellows decreased by 6% (from 135 in 2013-14). 678 researchers, students, other scholars and experts in their fields were associated to the School in some form, representing a decrease of 9% since 2013-14 (from 743). This can be explained by the review of fellowship schemes undertaken by several institutes and which began in 2014-15 and resulted in a reclassification of ‘fellows’. 24% (511) of the full cohort of fellows were undertaking interdisciplinary research, though by contrast 37% (48) of the visiting fellows only were interdisciplinary. Fellows included: -
-
Two NZ-UK Link Foundation Visiting Professors, Professors Baker and Gauld; whose visit allowed them to give several talks in London, including at the Wellcome Trust and the NHS Three School Visiting Professorial Fellows, Dr Imre Demhardt, Dr Vicky Williamson and Professor Philip Pettit, whose visits also allowed them to travel in the UK and share their research. Fellows Type Visiting Fellows Honorary Fellows Research Fellows Associate Fellows Visiting Students Other Total
Number 127 193 112 275 75 23 678
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All fellows contributed to the School’s programme of activities in many ways, and more outputs were recorded in 2014-15 than in previous years. For example, the School recorded a ratio of 1.78 outputs per visiting fellows in the year, totalling 226 outputs for 127 fellows. In addition, 74 outputs were recorded to be forthcoming for 2015-16 as a result of the visiting fellowships held at the School.
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3. Quality of SAS Research Base: 
Staff Research
In 2014-15, SAS recorded over 350 publications produced by staff and research fellows. Staff recorded having published 207 scholarly works (57%), while research fellows published 156 (43%).
Academic Staff and Fellows’ Publications Total Publications
Total HEFCEFunded Staff (headcount)
Total Non-HEFCEfunded Staff (headcount)
Total Research Fellows
Average number of publications per person
363
57*
24
42
4
*includes 38.76 HEFCE-Funded core staff (inc. academic, academic related and librarian).
Publications by members of staff and fellows Monographs 20 Edited works 29 Chapters in Books Articles Other Scholarly works Total
70 105 139 363
Staff and Fellows continued to generate different outputs in 2014-15 to promote and facilitate research (estimated at 400) Outputs include talks, keynote speeches, radio and TV interviews, editing, production of reviews, conference papers, as well as the publication of articles and other works, whether linked to personal research, to the externally-funded project they are leading or collaborating on, or consultancy for which their particular expertise was sought.
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Contributing to the School’s public engagement and internationalisation agenda, in 2014-15 the School made 205 media appearances made by the School members (fellows and staff alike), reaching over 231.6m people.
Topics included: -
Fracking and human rights, by Dr Damien Short, which appeared three times in the Ecologist and 3 more in different outlets, Queen's 63-year reign, by Professor Philip Murphy, which appeared in 14 different outlets; Charlie Hebdo, by Professor Andrew Hussey, which appeared in 10 different outlets including BBC, New York times and Channel 4; reaching 7.7m people; Google transparency, by Dr Judith Townend, which appeared in different outlets, reaching 7m people.
The School’s activities on social media recorded on the School’s Twitter handle also increased, with an average of 3.26% growth in followers, an average of 11.09% of engagement rate1 across 2014-15. The School recorded an average of 58.5K impressions2 and over 1K engagement3 on Twitter. These figures do not account for engagement and impressions from other SAS-related accounts, such as those managed by the institutes, centres, events teams and others.
1 Mentions+Retweets/Followers 2
Times a user is served a Tweet in timeline or search result Total number of times a user interacted with a Tweet. Clicks anywhere on the Tweet, including retweets, replies, follows, favorites, links, cards, hashtags, embedded media, username, profile photo, or Tweet expansion 3
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
PhD registrations 2014
Overall the number of PhD students increased by 10% in 2014-15 (from 122 in 2013-14). The 82 students responded to the 2015 national survey on postgraduate research experience and the results showed that 78%, compared to the national average of 82%, were overall satisfied with the experience of their research programme, while 17% were neither/or, and 5% were not.
Number of Postgraduate Research Students (headcount)
. Full Time 29
UK Part Time 24
Writing 9
Full Time 19
EU Part Time 6
Writing 6
Overseas Full Part Writing Time Time 33 2 6
21 School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15
External research grant performance: Applications, Awards, Success rate
The School was very active in 2014-15, at writing and submitting grant proposals. Successes included: -
-
The Human Mind Project pilot study funded by the HEFCE Catalyst Fund for 2.5 years; The ILAS Visiting Professorship funded by the Leverhulme Trust; The IHR TOBIAS project funded by the AHRC network grant scheme; The IP, as collaborator to the King’s College London research project on the mind; The Chair in Digital Humanities’ Beyond Digital Humanities Events funded by ESF; The IALS, as collaborator of the Centre for European Constitutional Law Themistokles & Dimitris Tstatsos Foundation (CECL) led project On-The-Move The reality of free movement for young European citizens migrating in times of crisis funded by the European Commission under JUST/2014 Action Grants; The ICS/SAS Early Career Leverhulme Fellowship; The ICWS’s AHRC follow-on funding for the Oral History Project; New Directions in the Study of the Mind Project project funded by the Templeton Fund under the umbrella of Human Mind Project; The IP renewal of Professor Smith’s leadership Fellow for Science in Culture theme.
Number of applications Registered
Not yet submitted by 1st August 2015
Waiting for results
98
17
18
Successful Unsuccessful 16
47
SAS PI
SAS Co-I
SAS sole PI
21
29
42
22 School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15
The School’s success rate has decreased since 2013-14 (from 34% to 21%), compared to a national average of 32% for the AHRC or 13% for the ESRC. Funding Analysis Funding sought
£22.89m
Funding awarded Success Rate
£1.45m 21%
2014-15 was the second year for many projects, including two large projects, including the AHRC funded projects Rethinking the Senses, and Make Do and Mend, and the third year of the HERA project Encounters with Orient in Early Modern Scholarship. It was also the last year for the successful ESRC-funded project Pushing the Boundaries, of the AHRC-funded A Research Partnership between the School of Advanced Study, University of London, the Indian Institute of Advanced Study, and Yale University project.
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External Income (spend 2014-15)
The School has registered an 11% increase in turnover since 2013-14 (from 17.7m in 2013-14 to 19.2m in 2014-15). This is mostly due to a 5% increase in research income (from £1.8m in 201314 to 1.9m in 2014-15) and a 31% increase in nonresearch income (including RPF and teaching) (from £6.7m in 2013-14 to £8.8m in 2014-15).
HEFCE percentage of SAS turnover continued to decrease (from 51% in 2013-14), contributing to the School’s key performance indicator 9 - Increase in external income (non HEFCE) and achieve sustainability.
External funding Analysis Research Income
Other external income
HEFCE-funded FTE (academic staff only)
Research Income per FTE
£1.94m
£8.8m
38.76
£50K
24 School of Advanced Study Metrics, 2014-15