Innovation and Transformation in Assisted Living ALFA 2015 The Senior Living Executive Conference May 5, 2015 Robert G. Kramer Chief Executive Officer National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care
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The Future of Assisted Living – Six Key Trends 1.
A New and Demanding Consumer
2. Reality of Health Care Reform
3. Opportunity of Technology 4. Challenge of Affordability
5. Demand for Transparency 6. Increasing Role of Palliative Care
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1. A New and Demanding Consumer Impact of Baby Boomers “Declinist” view of aging vs. “engagement” view of aging Rapid decline in informal care givers
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Impact of Baby Boomers 1960s – Social protests/counterculture
1990s – Options for their parents
21st Century – Retirement for themselves
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Contrasting Views of Retirement and Aging Old View of Retirement: “To Go Away” = Disengage, Disconnect, Decline, Disappear “I’m Finished, Done!” The Golden Years/Twilight Years Value Safety, Security, Comfort
Future View of Retirement:
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“Reboot” = Engage, Enrich, Experience, Enjoy “What Will I Do Next!” The Purposeful Years/Boomer Power Value Engagement, Connection, Enrichment
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Favorable Demographic Drivers… ►
Caregiver Support Ratio
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AARP Study Suggests Ratio of Caregivers (45-64 year olds) to Those Over 80 Will Shrink 7:1 2014 4:1 2030 3:1 2050
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Declining Fertility Rates among Baby Boomer Women Baby Boomers Shift from Being the Caregivers to Being the Receivers of Care
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2. The Reality of Health Care Payment and Delivery System Reform Integration vs. silo-based “Value/outcome based vs. FFS based Shared risk responsibility for the patient across settings Bundled payments, ACOs, MCOs, Integrated Care Demos
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Demand Pull/Cost Push Pressures Favor Seniors Housing
Aging, Demographics, Acuity Levels and Disabilities
Rising Penetration Rates
Fewer Family Caregivers
Social Engagement, Support and Emotional Well-Being
Age-Restricted Housing
Independent Living
Assisted Living
Memory Care
Skilled Nursing
Accountable Care Organizations Post Acute Care Collaboration Fee-For-Service Framework vs. Quality and Value-Based Outcomes (Cost Considerations)
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Hospital
3. Opportunity of Technology Enhance the experience Improve the efficiency Advance quality
Four Areas of Focus 1. 2. 3. 4.
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Operational Health and wellness Independence Social
4. Challenge of Affordability National long-term care strategy
Three traditional sources for private pay
Challenge of an affordable product for the middle class
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5. The Demand for Transparency Demand will come from care partners, payers, regulators, investors, and the consumer
Data: The new differentiator
Must deliver, document and demonstrate results
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6. The Increasing Role of Palliative Care
Quality of life
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Barriers 1. Lack of available staff 2. Regulatory rigidity
3. Technology preparedness 4. Exclusive focus on high end markets
5. “We have always done it this way” approach 6. Societal attitudes
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The Opportunity Increased market penetration rates Need to tell our story and present our value proposition Need to define what we stand for and what the customer can and should expect
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Robert G. Kramer, Chief Executive Officer National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care (NIC)
rkramer@nic.org 410-267-0504
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Marsh’s Edge, St. Simons Island, GA
National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care