Grey Highlands Market Report

Page 1

LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

GREY HIGHLANDS REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT

FIRST QUARTER 2021 RECIPIENT OF ROYAL LEPAGE’S BROKERAGE OF THE YEAR AWARD FOR ONTARIO

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

OVERVIEW RECORD SALES, BIG AVERAGE SALE PRICE JUMP, FASTER SALE TIMES

RECORD Q1 SALES VOLUME OF $41,635,677 Up 129% from Q1-2020’s $18,154,890, with units of 49 up 40% from Q1-2020’s 35. New listings of 55 up 2% from a year ago, with the sales/listings ratio of 89% up 24%.

RECORD MARCH SALES VOLUME OF $16,253,400 Up 68% from March 2020’s $9,985,000. Units of 20 up 11% from last March’s 18, with new listings of 25 up 9% and the sales/listings ratio of 80% down 2%.

Q1 AVERAGE SALE PRICE OF $849,708 Up 64% from the $518,711 of Q1-2020. Average days-on-market of 22 down 40 days.

GREY HIGHLANDS MARKET REPORT: FIRST QUARTER 2021

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OVERVIEW (cont’d) THE DEMAND FOR LISTINGS IS GREATER THAN THE SUPPLY The Grey Highlands market had a relatively high 100% sale/list price ratio in March. Homes sold in just 26 days on average, down 27 days from one year ago. And there is currently 3 months of inventory. All that, together with March’s 89% sales/listings ratio, adds up to a strong sellers’ market. Graph 1: Grey Highlands MLS® Sales 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Volume) $45,000,000

$41,635,677

$40,000,000 $35,000,000 $30,000,000 $25,000,000 $20,000,000

$18,154,890

$15,000,000 $10,000,000

$9,402,000

$5,000,000 $0

2019

2020

2021

Graph 2: Grey Highlands MLS® Sales 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Units) 60

49

50

40

35

30

20

21

10

0

2019

GREY HIGHLANDS MARKET REPORT: FIRST QUARTER 2021

2020

2021

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

THE MARKET IN DETAIL Table 1: Grey Highlands MLS® Residential Sales And Listing Summary 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021

2019

2020

2021

2020-2021

$9,402,000

$18,154,890

$41,635,677

+129%

Unit Sales

21

35

49

+40%

New Listings

42

54

55

+2%

50%

65%

89%

+24%

Expired Listings

4

10

6

-40%

Sales: Under $300K

2

5

1

-80%

Sales: $300K - $499K

14

15

8

-47%

Sales: $500K - $799K

4

11

18

+64%

Sales: $800K - $999K

1

3

10

+233%

Sales: $1M - $1.499M

0

0

8

+800%

Sales: $1.5M - $1.999M

0

1

3

+200%

Sales: $2M+

0

0

1

+100%

49

62

22

-65%

$447,714

$518,711

$849,708

+64%

Volume Sales

Sales/Listings Ratio

Average Days-On-Market Average Sale Price

NOTE: All MLS® sales data in this report comes from the Southern Georgian Bay Association Of REALTORS® and refers specifically to residential sales as of April. 3, 2021.. While deemed to be reliable, Royal LePage Locations North assumes no responsibility for errors and omissions.

GREY HIGHLANDS MARKET REPORT: FIRST QUARTER 2021

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THE MARKET IN DETAIL (cont’d) Just one look at Graphs 3 and 4 clearly shows the kind of sales year Grey Highlands has had. Overall, Q1 volume and unit sales were up 129% and 40% respectively from Q1-2020. On the volume side, January, February and March were all record months, with March’s $16,253,400 in sales also making it Grey Highland’s second best month ever after last November’s benchmark. On the units side, Q1’s 49 were the second-best ever after Q1-2012’s 50. Perhaps most notably, Q1’s record 22 sales in the $800K+ bracket were up 450% from Q1-2020’s 4. Prices have jumped correspondingly: Q1’s average sale price of $849,708 is up 187%, 86%, 111%, 90% and 64% from that of 2016-2020 respectively. Graph 3: Grey Highlands Monthly MLS® Sales 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Volume) $25,000,000

2019 2020

$20,000,000

2021

$15,000,000

$10,000,000

$5,000,000

$0

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Graph 4: Grey Highlands Monthly MLS® Sales 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Units) 30

2019 2020

25

2021 20

15

10

5

0

Jan

Feb

Mar

GREY HIGHLANDS MARKET REPORT: FIRST QUARTER 2021

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

THE MARKET IN DETAIL (cont’d) As Graph 5 shows, Q1-2021 unit sales are up from Q1-2020 in five price ranges and down in two. The $500K-$799K, $800K-$999K, $1M-$1.499M, $1.5M-$1.999M and $2M+ ranges are up 64%, 233%, 800%, 200% and 100% respectively. The Under-$300K and $300K-$499K ranges are down 80% and 40% respectively. More generally, the Under-$500K bracket – which accounts for 18% of 2021’s sales – is down 55% from a year ago. The $500K- $999K bracket – which accounts for 58% of all sales – is up 100%. And the $1M+ bracket – which accounts for 24% of all sales – is up 1100%. Graph 5: Grey Highlands MLS® Sales By Price 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Units) 20

2019

18

2020

18

16

2021 15

14

14

12 11

10

2019

10

8

2020

8

2021

8

6 5

4 2 0

4 3

3

2 1

1 Under $300K

$300K-$499K

$500K-$799K

$800K-$999K

0

0

$1M-$1.499M

0

1

$1.5M-$1.999M

GREY HIGHLANDS MARKET REPORT: FIRST QUARTER 2021

0

0

1

$2M+

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

SALES BY PROPERTY TYPE Graph 6: Grey Highlands MLS® Sales By Property Type 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Dollars and Units)

2021

2021 IN DETAIL 2021

2021

2021 SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES $4,684,900 DOLLAR SALES : $41,635,677 UP 131% from Q1-2020

$4,684,900

13

UNIT SALES: 49 UP 44% from Q1-2020

Single Family

Single Family

2020

Vacant Land

$159,900

$41,635,677

49

$41,635,677

Condominium

AV. DAYS-ON-MARKET: 22 DOWN 41 days from Q1-2020

Condominium

2020

2020

$1,170,000

Vacant Land

1

AV. SALE PRICE: $849,708 UP 61% from Q1-2020 Single Family Condominium

2020

Vacant Land

CONDOMINIUMS $159,900

$1,170,000

DOLLAR SALES: 0

6

UNIT SALES: 0 AV. DAYS-ON-MARKET: 0

$17,994,990

$17,994,990

34

Single Family

Single Family

Condominium

Condominium

2019

Vacant Land

2019

2019

Vacant Land

$1,014,000

7

AV. SALE PRICE: 0 Single Family

2019

Condominium Vacant Land

$1,014,000 VACANT LAND

DOLLAR SALES: $4,684,900 UP 300% from Q1-2020 UNIT SALES: 13 UP 117% from Q1-2020 $9,402,000

21

Single Family

Single Family

Condominium

Condominium

Single Family Vacant Land

Condominium

Vacant LandLand Vacant

GREY HIGHLANDS MARKET REPORT: FIRST QUARTER 2021

$9,402,000

AV. DAYS-ON-MARKET: 31 DOWN 7 days from Q1-2020 Single Family

AV. SALE PRICE: $360,377 Condominium UP 85% from Q1-2020 Vacant Land www.locationsnorth.com


LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

GREY HIGHLANDS AVERAGE SALE PRICES: 2010-2021 HUGE GAINS FOR SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES SINCE 2017 Grey Highlands’ average sale price for single-family homes underwent relatively modest increases from 2010-2016 and then began to climb rapidly in 2017. In Q1-2020 it reached $849,708 — up 30%, 64%, 90%, 73%, 138% and 187% from 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016 and 2010 respectively. From 2010 to 2013 Grey Highlands’ annual average sale price for single-family homes increased at slightly less than the Canada’s inflation rate. By 2016 the average sale price was 10% above the inflation rate, after which it jumped to 138% above the inflation rate in Q1-2021.

$900,000 $800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Q1-2021

Single-Family Home Average Sale Price: 2010 > Q1-2021 Canada’s Inflation Rate Based On Grey Highland’s 2010 Single-Family Home Average Sale Price

GREY HIGHLANDS MARKET REPORT: FIRST QUARTER 2021

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ROYAL LEPAGE LOCATIONS NORTH IN 2020 OUR 8TH STRAIGHT RECORD-BREAKING YEAR

WE BROKE OUR OWN SOUTHERN GEORGIAN BAY REGIONAL RECORD FOR ANNUAL MLS SALES VOLUME With $604,080,487 – up 91% from 2019 and up over 1000% from 2011

OVERALL WE HAD MORE THAN 4 TIMES THE SALES VOLUME OF OUR CLOSEST REGIONAL COMPETITOR

WE WERE #1 IN THE REGIONAL LUXURY HOME MARKET, WITH 4 TIMES THE UNIT SALES OF OUR CLOSEST COMPETITOR

Locations North Sales Volume, 2011 - 2020

2011 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

2012

$53,047,171

2013

$89,145,175

2014

$96,796,883

2015

$121,934,732

2016

$159,707,227

2017 2018

$215,294,663 $268,894,323 $288,097,462

2019 2020

$316,114,237 $604,080,487

2020

GREY HIGHLANDS MARKET REPORT: FIRST QUARTER 2021

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

* Collingwood, The Blue Mts., Wasaga Beach, Meaford, Clearview, Grey Highlands

2020 UNIT SALES Collingwood

** $1,000,000+

The Blue Mountains UNITS

UNITS

PERCENTAGE

PERCENTAGE

Royal LePage Locations North 213.5 Royal LePage 43.4% Locations North

Royal LePage Locations North

270

Royal42.8% LePage Locations North

RE/MAX Four Seasons

79.5

RE/MAX Four Seasons 12.6%

RE/MAX Four Seasons

54.5

11.1% RE/MAX at Blue

Century 21 Millenium

70

Royal LePage Trinity 11.1%

RE/MAX at Blue

52.5

RE/MAX Four Seasons 10.7%

Chestnut Park

55

Chestnut Park 8.7%

Century 21 Millenium

Clairwood

45

Century 21 Millenium 7.1%

Chestnut Park

RE/MAX of Wasaga Beach

23

Clairwood 3.6%

Sotheby’s

Engel & Volkers

18

Engel & Volkers 2.9%

Clairwood

Forest Hill

13.5

RE/MAX of Wasaga Beach 2.1%

Sotheby’s

7

1.1%Other

50

Non-SGBAR 8%

Other

UNITS

Forest Hill

7.5

Engel & Volkers 1.5%

Engel & Volkers

6.5

1.3%Other

Other

45

Non-SGBAR 9.2%

UNITS

PERCENTAGE

PERCENTAGE

19

RE/MAX of Wasaga Beach

11.5

RM 4 Seasons 8.4%

RLP RCR 6.6%

Chestnut Park

10.5

RM Wasaga 7.7%

12

RE/MAX Grey Bruce 5.8%

Century 21 Millenium

8

Chestnut Park 5.8%

9

Chestnut Park 4.4%

Sotheby’s

6

Century 21 Mil enium 4.4%

8

3.9%McIntee

Forest Hill

5

3.6%Exit

6.5

RLP Trinity 3.2%

Engel & Volkers

2.5

Forrest Hill 1.8%

5

2.4%Other

Clairwood

2.5

1.8%Other

24

Non-SGBAR 11.7%

Other

25.5

Non-MLS 18.7%

13.5

Other

Clairwood 2.2%

RE/MAX Four Seasons

19

Sutton Sound

11

Century 21 Mil enium 9.7%

20

Century 21 Millenium

RE/MAX Grey Bruce

Royal3% LePage Trinity

RE/MAX Four Seasons 9.2%

Chestnut Park

Sotheby’s

15

Locations North 44 Royal LePage 32.1%

89

ARA

38.5

Royal LePage Locations North

Royal LePage Locations North

RE/MAX Four Seasons

Chestnut Park 9.8% Century 21 Millenium 7.8%

Clearview

Meaford

Royal LePage RCR

48

Royal LePage Locations North 43.2%

Southern Georgian Bay Overview* UNITS

RLP Trinity 13.9%

Southern Georgian Bay Luxury Homes** UNITS

PERCENTAGE

PERCENTAGE

Royal LePage Locations North 790.5

RE/MAX of Wasaga Beach 36.5%

Royal LePage Locations North 115.5 Royal37.9% LePage Locations North

RE/MAX of Wasaga Beach

Royal LePage Trinity 11.3%

RE/MAX Four Seasons

246

Chestnut Park

28.5

9.3% RE/MAX Four Seasons

28

9.2% Chestnut Park

Century 21 Millenium

232.5

Royal10.7% LePage Locations North

RE/MAX Four Seasons

175.5

Century 21 Mil enium 8.1%

Sotheby’s

Chestnut Park

132.5

RE/MAX Four Seasons 6.1%

Clairwood

18.5 6.1% Century 21 Mil enium * ‘Units’ refers to the combined number of Listing Selling Sides 15.5 and5.1% Engel & Volkers

Clairwood

62

Manuel Antunes 2.9%

Forest Hill

** $1,000,000+ 11.5

Sotheby’s

41.5

Sutton Group Incentive 1.9%

Century 21

11

3.6%Sotheby's

Engel & Volkers

35.5

Col1.6% dwell Banker Ronan

Engel & Volkers

4

1.3% Royal LePage RCR

29

1.3% Other

RE/MAX at Blue

3

Royal LePage Trinity 1%

420

Non-SGBAR 19.6%

Forest Hill Other

GREY HIGHLANDS MARKET REPORT: FIRST QUARTER 2021

Other

73.5

3.8%Clairwood

22.7%Other

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Georgian Triangle’s

MOST SUPPORTIVE BROKERAGE

$825,000+

1

#

Raised for local causes & Community Sponsorships from 2013-2020

Georgian Triangle

BROKERAGE

8

Straight Years* Of Record Sales!

Q1 Numbers BY THE

Annual Sales Volume 2020 Sales Up 91% from 2019

Almost

4

TIMES MORE

than our closest regional competitor†

1

#

in regional luxury home sales

4+

times more than our closest regional competitor†

308,757+

600

Page Views†

Buyer leads/month§ With over 4X the average industry conversion rate

27,690+ People Reached‡

4,333+

Clicks, Shares, Views, & Likes‡

Region’s Best Market Intelligence

52

LocationsNorth.com We average

Featured Listings

62,165+

Unique Visitors†

Detailed Market Reports Per Year FOR YOU

Socially Connected

285,872+

Social Media Impressions Clicks, Views, Shares, Likes, Tweets‡

$36,720 Giving back and working in our community

Raised for Local Charities in 2020

$22,500

COLLINGWOOD: 705-445-5520 | CREEMORE: 705-881-9005 | MEAFORD: 519-538-5755 THORNBURY: 519-599-2136 | WASAGA BEACH: 705-617-9969 *

By MLS® dollar volume sales in each of the last 8 years. †Based on Google Analytics (January 1st, 2021 to March 31th, 2021). ‡Based on social media channels (January 1st, 2021 to March 31th, 2021). §Based on March 2021 lead volume


LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

PERSONAL PROFESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE REAL ESTATE SERVICE

At Locations North we do everything we can to put you first. And that includes completely respecting your privacy. If we can ever be of help with your real estate needs, please give us a call or visit our website at www.locationsnorth.com

COLLINGWOOD 705-445-5520

THORNBURY 519-599-2136

330 First St.

27 Arthur St.

CREEMORE 705-881-9005

CRAIGLEITH 705-445-7799

154 Mill St.

209820 Hwy. 26 West.

MEAFORD 519-538-5755

WASAGA BEACH 705-429-4800

96 Sykes St.

1249 Mosley St.

STAYNER 705-428-2800

WASAGA BEACH 705-617-9969

7458 ON-26, #11.

1344 Mosley St. Unit 5.

GREY HIGHLANDS MARKET REPORT: FIRST QUARTER 2021

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