DEPOK| Sept ember20,2019 J OURNAL I SM DI VI SI ON -SOCI ETYOFPETROL EUM ENGI NEERS UNI VERSI TASI NDONESI ASTUDENTCHAPTER VOLUME12
TheOi lPr es s PETROTECH
SPOTLI GHT Sex yKi l l er s
I NDO -UPDATE
Mac hi neL ear ni ngOpt i mi z es Ups t r eam Oi landGas Duv er nayShal eWel l Pr oj ec t sReadyt oOper at e Per f or manc e Thi sY ear
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Sc hl umber ger War ehous eVi s i t
Cal endar
Pet r of es t2019 Ass t udent swhoar eeagert odi v ei nt hewor l dof oi landgas ,t hr oughal ls t agesofex pl or i ng,pr oc es s i ngandpr oduc i ng,andal lt hewor k i ngst hatgoesi n wi t hi t ,t her ei sgoodnewsf oral lofus .Pet r of es ti s s ur el ygoi ng t o ac c ommodat ey ouri nt er es t sand a gr eatoppor t uni t yf ory out os howc as ey ourk nowl edge on oi l and gas or ener gy i s s ues . Pet r of es t ,one oft he annualev enthel d bySPE J AVA,wi l lbehel ds oonandt heUni v er s i t yofI ndones i awi l lhos tt hepr es t i gi ousannualev ent .And t hi s y ear ,Pet r of es ti sent r us t edt oZul fik arFauz iasPet r of es tPr oj ec tOf fic er2019andL ut hfiy aNai f aasVi c e Pr oj ec tOf fic er .Thi sy ear ,Pet r of es tr ai s edt het heme aboutc ombi ni ng c onv ent i onaland unc onv ent i onal ener gyt or eac hI ndones i a' sener gymi xt ar get2023. I ndones i ahasanener gymi xt ar geti n2023byc ombi ni ngt heper c ent ageofener gyus ef orpet r ol eum, c oaland r enewabl eener gy .So,Pet r of es twant st o k now how s t udent sc an c ont r i but et o get t i ng t hi s per c ent age ofener gyt o be appl i ed t ot he ent i r e c ommuni t yandi nc r eas eawar enes saboutt hi si s s ue t hat i s happeni ng i n I ndones i a.
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I LLUSI ON 2019 2
Sept ember Week1
SPEACT
Week2
2|TheOi lPr es s
3|TheOi lPr es s PETR
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11Ups t r e a m Oi l a n dGa s Pr oj e c t sRe a dy t obeOpe r a t e d TheMi ni s t r yofEner gyandMi ner alRes our c es( ESDM)s ai d, t her ear e11mai npr oj ec t st hatwi l l oper at e( ons t r eam)i n2019. Thi swi l ls uppor tt heac hi ev ementofpr oduc t i ont ar get sr eady t os el loi landgasby2mi l l i onbar r el sofoi lequi v al entperday ( BOEPD) . Thes e11pr oj ec t shav et hepot ent i al t oi nc r eas eoi l andgas pr oduc t i onby13, 587bar r el sperdayf oroi land1, 172Mi l l i on St andar dCubi cFeetperDay( MMs c f d)f orgas , "s ai dt heHead oft heBur eauofCommuni c at i on,Publ i cI nf or mat i onandCooper at i on( KL I K)oft heSupr emeMi ni s t r yofEner gyandMi ner alRes our c es . Forf ur t heri nf or mat i on,t her eal i z at i onofoi l andgasl i f t i ngup t oApr i l2019r eac hed1. 8mi l l i onbar r el sofoi lequi v al entper daywi t hdet ai l edoi ll i f t i ngof750t hous andbar r el sperday ( bopd)and gasl i f t i ng of5, 909 mi l l i on c ubi cf eetperday ( MMs c f d) .Thi snumberr eac hes89per c entoft het ar getoft he St at eBudget( APBN)of2mi l l i onboepd. ( Audr i aAz z ahr a)
SPOT L I GHT “Sex yKi l l er s ”,amov i emadebyWat c hDocDoc ument eri ny out ube,i samov i et hat ' sr el eas edont he5t hofApr i l2019,hadmade peopl ewonderwhot oc hoos eonel ec t i ondaywhi c hi shel don17 Apr i l2019.Thes eDoc ument ar ys howsaboutt heCoalmi ni ngac t i v i t i esandpol i t i c si nwhi c hi thadgonev i r alal lov erI ndones i a.Thi sdoc ument ar yi t s el fal s or i s esenv i r onmentac t i v i s tandpol i t i c alNet i z ens . Thedoc ument ar ys howst hes i deef f ec tofc oalmi ni ngac t i v i t ywhi c h damagest heenv i r onmentanddamagest heheal t hofdeni z enswhi c h l i v eneart hec oalmi ni ngs t at i on. Themov i ei t s el fmadet hes t i gmaof"democ r at i z i ngpeopl eby pr ov ok i ngv i ewer st oabs t ai nf r om v ot i ng”.Themov i es howsabout pol i t i c al sent i t ywhi c hhol dsamaj orr ol eonc oalmi ni ngac t i v i t i esand s howst hatt hec oal mi ni ngc ompani esonl yt ol dones i dedt r ut habout c oalmi ni ngwhi c hl eadst ot headv ant agesofc oalandi t ' sus ed.Vi c e v er s a,ont hi smov i ei tt ol dusaboutt heot hers i deoft het r ut ht hat mi ni ngc ompani esdon' tr ev eal s uc hasi t ' sl ongt er m ef f ec t sonmi ni ng andheal t hpr obl emsandwas t epr oduc t sofmi ni ngc ompani es .Bas ed ont hemov i e,Pol i t i c almember sandpar t i eshol ds omemaj ori mpac t onc oalmi ni ng and s howst her el at i onofpol i t i c alpar t i esand c oal mi ni ngc ompani es .Thi sl eadspeopl et obec omeanenv i r onment al ac t i v i s tand pr ov ok i ng t hem t oabs t ai nf r om v ot i ng.Thet opi ci sal s o beenbr oughtt ot hepr es i dent i aldebat eandbot hpar t i ess howedt he c onc er nofwhatt hev i deowi l ll eadt oasi tmaybepr opagandat o mak et hei nt er nalc onfli c ti nI ndones i a. Conc er nsaboutc oalmi ni ngr i s eandt henet i z enss how pos i t i v e r es pondonbehal foft hev i deo.Ev ent houghmanyi nc i dent soc c ur r ed l i k eademons t r at i onofenv i r onment alac t i v i s t s ,peopl eal s os t ar t ed s howi ngc onc er nsaboutt hef ut ur epr es i dentands i nc et hats t ar t edt o s how i nt er es tont hepol i t i c aldebat easi twi l ll eadt hei rc hoi c eson el ec t i onday .Sowhati sy ourc hoi c eofac t i on?( Geor geJ ohnHong)
I l l us i oni sani nt er nal l eaguehel dbySPEUISCandI ATMISMUIwi t hex pec t at i onst o‘ s ol v et heener gypr obl em anddes i gnt hei mpos s i bl e’ .Thi sy ear ’ sI l l us i onwashel donT ues day ,Apr i l30t hatK. 104andK. 105wher emember sc anhav eaheal t hyc ompet i t i on onoi l r i gdes i gnandc as es t udy .OnFr i day ,May3r datK. 301t heoc c as i onc ont i nueswi t hs mar tc ompet i t i onf ol l owedbyt hec l os i ng ev ent . Fi f t eenpas s i onat ec ompet i t or st ak epar ti nt hes oc i alev enti nhopesofac hi ev i ngt hepr i z ewi t ht het ot alof1. 5mi l l i onr upi ahsi n t ot al .Thej udgeswhot ookpar ti nt heev entar eDi onSat r i aDhar maanappl i c at i onengi neeratWeat her f or d,AndiRey nol dAk s aa bus i nes sdev el opmentmanageratDi s t r i but i onNOW,andMuhammadLut hfiShi dqiapr oc es ss af et yengi neeratEni .Thepanelof j udgesont heev ental s oi nc l udesJ es s i c aAdel i ne,WaOdeRenaZafir a,Rai sSal s aMuhammad,andKi r anaWi di ani . Thewi nneroft heoi l r i gdes i gn,Cal v i nBenedi c tSat r i a,Si s f aShabel a,Nomens enPar ar at hon,Moc hamadRac k aNugr oho,andPanj i Mal i kSubhani ,wasbr oughtt ov i c t or ywi t ht het opi cof“Cr eat i ngBet t erFut ur ev i aSc i enc eandT ec hnol ogyf orEner gyEf fic i enc y ”. Theai m wast os ubmi tabl uepr i ntofar i gmodel whi c hv al uesef fic i enc y .Ni c ol asBar nas ,Vi c t orJ onat han,andNabi l Hi f z han,ac ont enderi nc as es t udywont hec ompet i t i onbyus i ngt hei ranal y t i c als k i l landabi l i t yt os ol v eac i r c ums t anc et oc r eat eI ndones i a’ s ener gyef fic i enc yf ut ur e.At i ghtr i v al r ywaspr es entont hes mar tc ompet i t i onwher eaf as t pac edqui zont heoi landgasfiel dwas hel d.Butal as ,t het eam c ons i s t i ngofNabi lHi f z an,Shai naI s l amey ,andAk malDaf f ar iwasc r ownedwi nner . I l l us i onwass ett odi s c ov ernewt al ent st oj oi nupc omi ngex t er nalc ompet i t i onsandi twass uc c es s f ul l ydonebyenc our agi ngmember st ot ak epar ti ni nt er nal c ompet i t i on.Bydoi ngs o,member swi l l gett hec hanc et ounl oc kt hei rpot ent i al andi ni t i at ei nnewpr oduc t i v eac t i v i t i es .So,s eey ouonournex ti nt er nalc ompet i t i on!( Ai meeAl i s s a)
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Ma c hi neL ea r ni ngOpt i mi z esDuv er na ySha l eWel l Per f or ma nc e Af undament alpr obl em f ormac hi ne l ear ni ng i n many i ndus t r i esi s t hat a r es pondi ng v ar i abl ei sc ont r ol l ednotbyonebutbyanumberof pr edi c t orv ar i abl es .Si nc ei nt er ac t i ons bet weenpr edi c t orv ar i abl esandnoi s e i nt hedat ac oul dc ompl i c at emat t er s f ur t her ,c ar emus tbet ak ent oobt ai na modelt hati st r ul ypr edi c t i v eandnot mer el yar es ul tofov er fit t i ngt hedat a. I nunc onv ent i onaloi landgasr es er v oi r s ,wel lper f or manc egener al l yi s c har ac t er i z ed ei t heratt hewel ll ev el by det ai l ed t ec hni c alwor ks uc h as r at et r ans i entanal y s i s ,mi c r os ei s mi c , and ot hert ec hni quesoratt he fiel d l ev el by s t at i s t i c al met hods wi t h r angesf orpr oduc t i onper f or manc e. Thewor kflowhast womai ngoal s . Thefir s ti st o es t abl i s ht hepot ent i al ef f ec tofeac h pr edi c t orv ar i abl e on wel l per f or manc e.Thes ec ondgoal i nv ol v eses t i mat i ng t he r ange ofwel l per f or manc ef oran ar ea,gi v en t hat c er t ai ngeol ogi c alori nt r i ns i cpr oper t i ess uc hasc ondens at ey i el dc annot be c hanged.The abi l i t yt o es t i mat e addsec onomi cv al uei nt hepot ent i al f orhi ghgr adi ng,c or r ec tf ac i l i t ys i z i ng, andr educ i ngunc er t ai nt ywhi c hwoul d al s o pos i t i v el y af f ec t wel l per f or manc e.
T o ac hi ev ebot hgoal s ,t hedat aar e s pl i ti nt ot hr eegr oupsr andoml y( figur ebel ow) .Thefir s tgr oup,c ompr i s es 60% oft hewel l s ,pr ov i dest het r ai ni ng dat a,whi c har eus edt ot r ai nt hemul t i pl el i nearr egr es s i onandneur al net wor kmodel .Thes ec ond20% oft he wel l s pr ov i de t he c r os s v al i dat i on dat a.Thus ,t he r egr es s i onsc an be j udged ont hei rabi l i t yt o gener al i z e and fitdat af orwhi c ht heyhav enot been s pec i fic al l y t r ai ned. The c r os s v al i dat i ongr oupi sal s ous edt o t uneanyhy per par amet er s .Thet hi r d gr oup,t hel as t20%,pr ov i dest hefinal t es tdat a.Thes edat aar eonl yus edat t heendoft hewor kflow andens ur e t hatanyhy per par amet er st hatwer e t unedt ogetagoodc r os s v al i dat i on dat amat c har eal s oappl i c abl egener al l y .
Thewel l popul at i ons el ec t edi nc l uded al lDuv er nay wel l si nt he 9300k m2 FoxCr eekar ea.T o ens ur es uf fic i ent pr oduc t i ondat at ogaugewel lper f or manc eac c ur at el y ,onl yhor i z ont alDuv er nay wel l s wi t h mor e t han 12 mont hs of publ i c pr oduc t i on dat a wer e us ed and onl y wel l s wi t ha mapped i ni t i alc ondens at ey i el d of l es st han500bbl / MMc fwer ei nc l uded.Thes ampl ec apt ur edt her es er v oi r phas e wi ndowsofgas .I t sr at e was us edasani ndi c at i onofr el at i v eper f or manc e.Bec aus egasr at ewoul dnot be a good per f or manc e met r i cf or bl ac koi l ,t hes ewel l swer eex c l uded. I nt ot al ,262wel l smett hec r i t er i a.
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2|TheOi lPr es s
3|TheOi lPr es s PETR
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11Ups t r e a m Oi l a n dGa s Pr oj e c t sRe a dy t obeOpe r a t e d TheMi ni s t r yofEner gyandMi ner alRes our c es( ESDM)s ai d, t her ear e11mai npr oj ec t st hatwi l l oper at e( ons t r eam)i n2019. Thi swi l ls uppor tt heac hi ev ementofpr oduc t i ont ar get sr eady t os el loi landgasby2mi l l i onbar r el sofoi lequi v al entperday ( BOEPD) . Thes e11pr oj ec t shav et hepot ent i al t oi nc r eas eoi l andgas pr oduc t i onby13, 587bar r el sperdayf oroi land1, 172Mi l l i on St andar dCubi cFeetperDay( MMs c f d)f orgas , "s ai dt heHead oft heBur eauofCommuni c at i on,Publ i cI nf or mat i onandCooper at i on( KL I K)oft heSupr emeMi ni s t r yofEner gyandMi ner alRes our c es . Forf ur t heri nf or mat i on,t her eal i z at i onofoi l andgasl i f t i ngup t oApr i l2019r eac hed1. 8mi l l i onbar r el sofoi lequi v al entper daywi t hdet ai l edoi ll i f t i ngof750t hous andbar r el sperday ( bopd)and gasl i f t i ng of5, 909 mi l l i on c ubi cf eetperday ( MMs c f d) .Thi snumberr eac hes89per c entoft het ar getoft he St at eBudget( APBN)of2mi l l i onboepd. ( Audr i aAz z ahr a)
SPOT L I GHT “Sex yKi l l er s ”,amov i emadebyWat c hDocDoc ument eri ny out ube,i samov i et hat ' sr el eas edont he5t hofApr i l2019,hadmade peopl ewonderwhot oc hoos eonel ec t i ondaywhi c hi shel don17 Apr i l2019.Thes eDoc ument ar ys howsaboutt heCoalmi ni ngac t i v i t i esandpol i t i c si nwhi c hi thadgonev i r alal lov erI ndones i a.Thi sdoc ument ar yi t s el fal s or i s esenv i r onmentac t i v i s tandpol i t i c alNet i z ens . Thedoc ument ar ys howst hes i deef f ec tofc oalmi ni ngac t i v i t ywhi c h damagest heenv i r onmentanddamagest heheal t hofdeni z enswhi c h l i v eneart hec oalmi ni ngs t at i on. Themov i ei t s el fmadet hes t i gmaof"democ r at i z i ngpeopl eby pr ov ok i ngv i ewer st oabs t ai nf r om v ot i ng”.Themov i es howsabout pol i t i c al sent i t ywhi c hhol dsamaj orr ol eonc oalmi ni ngac t i v i t i esand s howst hatt hec oal mi ni ngc ompani esonl yt ol dones i dedt r ut habout c oalmi ni ngwhi c hl eadst ot headv ant agesofc oalandi t ' sus ed.Vi c e v er s a,ont hi smov i ei tt ol dusaboutt heot hers i deoft het r ut ht hat mi ni ngc ompani esdon' tr ev eal s uc hasi t ' sl ongt er m ef f ec t sonmi ni ng andheal t hpr obl emsandwas t epr oduc t sofmi ni ngc ompani es .Bas ed ont hemov i e,Pol i t i c almember sandpar t i eshol ds omemaj ori mpac t onc oalmi ni ng and s howst her el at i onofpol i t i c alpar t i esand c oal mi ni ngc ompani es .Thi sl eadspeopl et obec omeanenv i r onment al ac t i v i s tand pr ov ok i ng t hem t oabs t ai nf r om v ot i ng.Thet opi ci sal s o beenbr oughtt ot hepr es i dent i aldebat eandbot hpar t i ess howedt he c onc er nofwhatt hev i deowi l ll eadt oasi tmaybepr opagandat o mak et hei nt er nalc onfli c ti nI ndones i a. Conc er nsaboutc oalmi ni ngr i s eandt henet i z enss how pos i t i v e r es pondonbehal foft hev i deo.Ev ent houghmanyi nc i dent soc c ur r ed l i k eademons t r at i onofenv i r onment alac t i v i s t s ,peopl eal s os t ar t ed s howi ngc onc er nsaboutt hef ut ur epr es i dentands i nc et hats t ar t edt o s how i nt er es tont hepol i t i c aldebat easi twi l ll eadt hei rc hoi c eson el ec t i onday .Sowhati sy ourc hoi c eofac t i on?( Geor geJ ohnHong)
I l l us i oni sani nt er nal l eaguehel dbySPEUISCandI ATMISMUIwi t hex pec t at i onst o‘ s ol v et heener gypr obl em anddes i gnt hei mpos s i bl e’ .Thi sy ear ’ sI l l us i onwashel donT ues day ,Apr i l30t hatK. 104andK. 105wher emember sc anhav eaheal t hyc ompet i t i on onoi l r i gdes i gnandc as es t udy .OnFr i day ,May3r datK. 301t heoc c as i onc ont i nueswi t hs mar tc ompet i t i onf ol l owedbyt hec l os i ng ev ent . Fi f t eenpas s i onat ec ompet i t or st ak epar ti nt hes oc i alev enti nhopesofac hi ev i ngt hepr i z ewi t ht het ot alof1. 5mi l l i onr upi ahsi n t ot al .Thej udgeswhot ookpar ti nt heev entar eDi onSat r i aDhar maanappl i c at i onengi neeratWeat her f or d,AndiRey nol dAk s aa bus i nes sdev el opmentmanageratDi s t r i but i onNOW,andMuhammadLut hfiShi dqiapr oc es ss af et yengi neeratEni .Thepanelof j udgesont heev ental s oi nc l udesJ es s i c aAdel i ne,WaOdeRenaZafir a,Rai sSal s aMuhammad,andKi r anaWi di ani . Thewi nneroft heoi l r i gdes i gn,Cal v i nBenedi c tSat r i a,Si s f aShabel a,Nomens enPar ar at hon,Moc hamadRac k aNugr oho,andPanj i Mal i kSubhani ,wasbr oughtt ov i c t or ywi t ht het opi cof“Cr eat i ngBet t erFut ur ev i aSc i enc eandT ec hnol ogyf orEner gyEf fic i enc y ”. Theai m wast os ubmi tabl uepr i ntofar i gmodel whi c hv al uesef fic i enc y .Ni c ol asBar nas ,Vi c t orJ onat han,andNabi l Hi f z han,ac ont enderi nc as es t udywont hec ompet i t i onbyus i ngt hei ranal y t i c als k i l landabi l i t yt os ol v eac i r c ums t anc et oc r eat eI ndones i a’ s ener gyef fic i enc yf ut ur e.At i ghtr i v al r ywaspr es entont hes mar tc ompet i t i onwher eaf as t pac edqui zont heoi landgasfiel dwas hel d.Butal as ,t het eam c ons i s t i ngofNabi lHi f z an,Shai naI s l amey ,andAk malDaf f ar iwasc r ownedwi nner . I l l us i onwass ett odi s c ov ernewt al ent st oj oi nupc omi ngex t er nalc ompet i t i onsandi twass uc c es s f ul l ydonebyenc our agi ngmember st ot ak epar ti ni nt er nal c ompet i t i on.Bydoi ngs o,member swi l l gett hec hanc et ounl oc kt hei rpot ent i al andi ni t i at ei nnewpr oduc t i v eac t i v i t i es .So,s eey ouonournex ti nt er nalc ompet i t i on!( Ai meeAl i s s a)
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Ma c hi neL ea r ni ngOpt i mi z esDuv er na ySha l eWel l Per f or ma nc e Af undament alpr obl em f ormac hi ne l ear ni ng i n many i ndus t r i esi s t hat a r es pondi ng v ar i abl ei sc ont r ol l ednotbyonebutbyanumberof pr edi c t orv ar i abl es .Si nc ei nt er ac t i ons bet weenpr edi c t orv ar i abl esandnoi s e i nt hedat ac oul dc ompl i c at emat t er s f ur t her ,c ar emus tbet ak ent oobt ai na modelt hati st r ul ypr edi c t i v eandnot mer el yar es ul tofov er fit t i ngt hedat a. I nunc onv ent i onaloi landgasr es er v oi r s ,wel lper f or manc egener al l yi s c har ac t er i z ed ei t heratt hewel ll ev el by det ai l ed t ec hni c alwor ks uc h as r at et r ans i entanal y s i s ,mi c r os ei s mi c , and ot hert ec hni quesoratt he fiel d l ev el by s t at i s t i c al met hods wi t h r angesf orpr oduc t i onper f or manc e. Thewor kflowhast womai ngoal s . Thefir s ti st o es t abl i s ht hepot ent i al ef f ec tofeac h pr edi c t orv ar i abl e on wel l per f or manc e.Thes ec ondgoal i nv ol v eses t i mat i ng t he r ange ofwel l per f or manc ef oran ar ea,gi v en t hat c er t ai ngeol ogi c alori nt r i ns i cpr oper t i ess uc hasc ondens at ey i el dc annot be c hanged.The abi l i t yt o es t i mat e addsec onomi cv al uei nt hepot ent i al f orhi ghgr adi ng,c or r ec tf ac i l i t ys i z i ng, andr educ i ngunc er t ai nt ywhi c hwoul d al s o pos i t i v el y af f ec t wel l per f or manc e.
T o ac hi ev ebot hgoal s ,t hedat aar e s pl i ti nt ot hr eegr oupsr andoml y( figur ebel ow) .Thefir s tgr oup,c ompr i s es 60% oft hewel l s ,pr ov i dest het r ai ni ng dat a,whi c har eus edt ot r ai nt hemul t i pl el i nearr egr es s i onandneur al net wor kmodel .Thes ec ond20% oft he wel l s pr ov i de t he c r os s v al i dat i on dat a.Thus ,t he r egr es s i onsc an be j udged ont hei rabi l i t yt o gener al i z e and fitdat af orwhi c ht heyhav enot been s pec i fic al l y t r ai ned. The c r os s v al i dat i ongr oupi sal s ous edt o t uneanyhy per par amet er s .Thet hi r d gr oup,t hel as t20%,pr ov i dest hefinal t es tdat a.Thes edat aar eonl yus edat t heendoft hewor kflow andens ur e t hatanyhy per par amet er st hatwer e t unedt ogetagoodc r os s v al i dat i on dat amat c har eal s oappl i c abl egener al l y .
Thewel l popul at i ons el ec t edi nc l uded al lDuv er nay wel l si nt he 9300k m2 FoxCr eekar ea.T o ens ur es uf fic i ent pr oduc t i ondat at ogaugewel lper f or manc eac c ur at el y ,onl yhor i z ont alDuv er nay wel l s wi t h mor e t han 12 mont hs of publ i c pr oduc t i on dat a wer e us ed and onl y wel l s wi t ha mapped i ni t i alc ondens at ey i el d of l es st han500bbl / MMc fwer ei nc l uded.Thes ampl ec apt ur edt her es er v oi r phas e wi ndowsofgas .I t sr at e was us edasani ndi c at i onofr el at i v eper f or manc e.Bec aus egasr at ewoul dnot be a good per f or manc e met r i cf or bl ac koi l ,t hes ewel l swer eex c l uded. I nt ot al ,262wel l smett hec r i t er i a.
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4|TheOi lPr es s
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