Growth strategy for Asset Managers in New Markets
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Content
1
Defining New Markets
2
Where is the growth in New Wealth creation and outlook on the product suite
3
Determining Right Market Entry Strategy
4
Regulatory and Cultural landscape
5
Optimal Execution Model
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2
Defining New Markets – Factors to be considered before embarking on overseas business expansion Macroeconomic/Industry Factors Professionally Managed Assets in 2012 (AUM in USD trillion)
Global wealth forecast in 2017 In USD trillion
Equity-Market Performance (MSCI Index Performance) 2008-2012
Share of Global GDP (2008-2012)
Size of Middle class (People in millions)
Wealth Concentration by Number of adults in ‘000 (Wealth : $0.1--1 mm)
North America
$30.3
$48.0
10.8%
Year 2008: 29.2% Year 2012: 27.9%
Year 2009 : 338 Year 2020 : 333
85, 730 (24.9% of the total)
Europe
$17.5
$44.6
5.7%
Year 2008: 37.6% Year 2012: 30.8%
Year 2009 : 664 Year 2020 : 703
143, 275 (41.6% of the total)
Latin America
$1.5
$5.9
9.4%
Year 2008: 5.1% Year 2012: 6.1%
Year 2009 : 181 Year 2020 : 251
12, 402 (4% of the total)
Asia-Pacific (excluding Japan and Australia)
$3.8
$48.1
12.0%
Year 2008: 15.4% Year 2012: 21.8% Year 2008: 10.2 Year 2012: 11.2 Year 2008: 2.6% Year 2012: 2.2%
Region
Japan & Australia
$6.3
Japan: $18.2
Japan: 5.3% Australia: 10.7%
Middle East & South Africa
$1.2
$6.5
Middle East: 1.7% South Africa: 13.2%
Year 2009 : 525 Year 2020 : 1,740
Year 2009 : 105 Year 2020 : 165
53, 087 (15% of the total) 63, 195 (18% of the total) 6, 352 (2% of the total)
Other Key Factors
Political Risk
Ease of Regulation
Maturity of Distribution Channels
Long Term Investment Needs in Infrastructure
Investment Talent Availability
Sources: Sutherland Research, BCG, Credit Suisse, World Bank
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3
Where is the growth in New Wealth creation and outlook on the product suite •
A study asserts that global middle class with constitute around 50% of the total world population by 2030; Two-Thirds of this global middle class will be residents of Asia Pacific region and at the upper end of income bracket.
Wealth Growth in 2012
Asset Class Growth Outlook (2012-2016) 25
2012~ (2011)
X% (~y%)
+7.8% (+3.6%)
Global Private Financial Wealth
~9.8 $trillions
Passive products/ETFs3
Fixed-income ETFs
20
Alternative products1
+ High Growth World
Mature Growth world
+12.9% (+11.6%)
+5.9% (+0.8%)
CAGR 2012-2016 (%)
15 Equity ETFs
Infrastructure
10
• • • •
Asia-Pacific (ex Japan) Eastern Europe Latin America Middle East and Africa
• • •
North America Western Europe Japan
~4.5 $trillions
~5.3 $trillions
f
f
Equity specialties5 Fixed-income Specialties4
5
Fund of funds
0
Newly created wealth
Existing assets
Newly created wealth
Existing assets
~2.5 $trillions
~1.9 $trillions
~1.4 $trillions
~3.9 $trillions
Private Hedge equity funds
Traditional actively managed products2
-5 0
50 100 Net Revenue Margin* (basis Point)
150 200
Note: ETFs = exchange-traded funds; LDIs = liability-driven investments. 1 Includes hedge, private-equity, real estate, infrastructure, and commodity funds. 2 Includes equity specialties (foreign, global, emerging markets, small and mid caps, and sector) and fixed-income specialties (credit, emerging markets, global, high yield, and convertibles). 3 Includes passive fixed income, passive equity 4 Includes credit, emerging market, and global debt, high yield bonds, and convertibles 5 Includes foreign, global, emerging market equities, small, mid caps, and sectors
Source: BCG, Sutherland Research
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4
Determining Right Market Entry Strategy
Acquisitions
Build a New Footprint
JV / Alliances
Distribution
Investment Management
Operations – Middle Office
IT & Infrastructure
Support
Product Design
Regulations
Core Competencies
Sutherland Research shows that traditionally 2 out of 3 Asset Managers have taken the route of Joint ventures to enter in to Emerging Markets Š 2014 Sutherland Global Services Inc., All rights reserved. Privileged and confidential information of Sutherland Global Services Inc.
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5
Regulatory and Cultural considerations are important to succeed in new markets
Challenges
Key Factors to Consider
• Licensing requirements • Tax complexities
Regulatory Environment
• Restrictions on Product offering • Regulatory reporting
• Repatriation of funds • Local Capital Market Regulations
• Varied investor preferences and strategies
• Differing investor relations
Cultural Factors
• Varying investor expectations around value-added • Variations in investment horizon • Differing Product demand • Multiple language requirements
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Optimal Execution Model Product Distribution and Front End Model Empowered Independent Boutiques
Virtual Asset Managers
• Local expertise
• Product Leadership
• Entrepreneurial Spirit
• Skills expertise (Differentiator)
• Agility & flexibility to manage
• Secret sauce can be leveraged
cultural nuances • Investment Talent
• Brand leverage • Network mindset
• Product expertise and innovation
Supported by Strong Enablers and Competency Centers Cost-income ratio in % +12 p.p. 80% 60% 40% 61%
73%
20% 0% 2007
2012
• Cost-to-Income ratios continue to remain high. As compared to pre-crisis levels Cost-to-Income ratios are still 12 percentage points higher • Sutherland’s experience shows that the following catalysts are key to attaining sustainable reduction in Cost-to-Income ratios : – Align compensation models based on client profitability – Create agile business model structures that allow changing the business dynamics (product design, marketing, risk management, reporting, etc.) in line with investor preferences – Create competency centers with shared services that allow scaling of operations in the times of growth without high fixed costs – Leverage global sourcing to achieve most efficient comp ratio levels – Align the service levels of middle office functions based on client profitability
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7