Samples –Product Analysis Study for Natural Resource Equity Fund Prepared for XXX
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Outline
Global Summary
Regional Analysis
Asia Pacific
Europe USA Canada
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Luxembourg is the most attractive destination for fund house registration Global Mutual Fund Break-up by Domicile
The Grand-Duchy of Luxembourg offers the investment fund industry a modern legal and tax environment that has attracted many fund houses. Below are some key advantages for funds domiciled in
3% 8% 24%
Luxembourg Exemption from Luxembourg profit and capital gains taxes and no
16%
stamp duty on share issues or transfers 2008 Total Funds 664
Funds are created under part one of the "UCITS" law, which 9%
allows the fund houses to market their shares freely in all
10%
member states of the European Union Well-defined regulatory framework for fund houses ensures 30%
investor protection Availability of working professionals and service providers such as
Canada Cayman Islands France Luxembourg
custodian, fund accountants, transfer agents and tax advisors
35 75
US is the second largest destination in terms of domicile of natural resource funds
41 139
UK
44
US
108
Ireland/Dublin
13
Source: Association of the Luxembourg Fund Industry; Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Sector wise energy and metal & mining and region wise North America and Europe attract a majority of investments Share of Investment by Industry Focus
Share of Investment by Geography Focus 12%
24%
26%
4% 3% 5% 49%
2%
10% 25%
4%
27%
9%
Metals & Mining
North America
Energy
Europe
Gold & Precious Metals Energy - Alternate Sources Oil & Gas Service
Asia Africa
Chemicals
Latin America
Others
Others
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Diversified natural resource and precious metal funds have given higher returns over the last five years Sector-wise Average Returns
(% Avg Returns)
36 31
29
27
25 18
19
37
22
17
17 7
I Yr return (%) Energy
3 Yr Return (%) Div. Natural Resources
5 Yr Return (%) Precious Metals
Utilities
Precious metals and diversified natural resource funds have out-performed the other two categories of funds in terms of long-term performance
Precious metal funds such as gold funds, have given 37 percent (annualized) returns over the past five years, followed by diversified natural resource funds with 36 percent returns over the same period
In terms of one-year returns, energy based funds are almost on a par with diversified resource and precious metal funds
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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In terms of different investment styles, commodity, growth and large cap focused funds have given higher returns 44.7
(% Returns) 27.9
Fund performance by Asset class
15.5
16.0
12.8
Equity
Equity funds have been the out performers vis-à-
21.9 16.8
1 Yr Return
29.9
25.3
3Yr Return C ommodity
5 Yr return Alternative
vis other asset classes in the short term to
Growth funds, followed by value based funds continue to look good within the global resource
Fund performance by Investment Style
19.6
16.9
16.4
stronger returns in the long term
23.6
22.4
(% Returns)
medium term horizon. Commodity funds display
18.1
16.6
9.9
9.6
space
1 Yr Return
Large caps have clearly been the winners followed by the mid cap funds
3Yr Return
Blended
Growth
Value
21.3
(% Returns)
20.4
18.7
15.8
Fund performance by Investment Focus
5 Yr return
22.8
11.6 7.2
1 Yr Return
3Yr Return
4.9
5 Yr return
-4.6 Large C ap
Mid C ap
Small C ap
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Precious metals and energy funds maintain higher cash level than industry average Cash Levels by Category of Funds
5.1% 4.4%
4.2%
3.1% 2.6%
Energy
Diversified Natural Resources
Precious Metals
Utilities
Average
Diversified natural resources funds maintain the least cash levels followed by utility-based funds
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Also, percentage cash holdings vary across asset classes & investment styles 27.6
(% Cash Holdings)
Cash Holdings by Asset Class 4.4
Equity
1.6 C ommodity
Alternative
Global Resource alternative funds, due to its inherent nature of its fund management style,
(% Cash Holdings)
3.4
contain the largest proportion of cash in their portfolios
Value based / small cap funds are operating on a risky territory by incorporating negative cash
0.7
Cash Holdings by Investment Style
Blended
Growth
Value
flows. This could primarily reflect a relative -2.4
degree of leverage exposure to achieve higher returns (% Cash Holdings) 1.9
Cash Holdings by Investment Focus
Large C ap
3.0
Mid C ap
Small cap
-11.1
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Fee structures are almost similar across different fund categories Sector-wise average fee structure 16.00% 15.10%
16.40%
14.70%
4.10%
4.00%
3.70%
4.00%
3.80%
Front Load
15.40%
1.60% 1.20% 1.40% 1.80% 1.60% 1.50% 1.70% 1.50% 0.60% 1.60%
Back Load
Energy
Management Fees
Natural Resources
1.60% 1.20% 1.60% 1.70% 1.60%
Performance Fees
Precious Metals
Utilities
Expense Ratio
Global Average
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Outline
Regional Analysis – Asia Pacific
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Asian fund market characteristics differ from country to country
Australia China
Unit Trust or Mutual Fund
Permit Sale Offshore Funds
Need to Manufacture
3rd Party Admin.
UT
√
√
√
MF/UT
Offshore Processing
√
Gulf
MF
√
√
√
Hong Kong
UT
√
√
√
India
UT
√
√
Indonesia
MF
√
√
√
√
√
Japan
UT/MF
√
Korea
UT/MF
√
√
√ √
Malaysia
UT
√
Philippines
MF
√
Taiwan
MF
Thailand
MF
Singapore
UT
Vietnam
MF
√
√
√ √
√ √
√
√
√
√
√
Source: HSBC 2006
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Domestic energy funds dominate the fund offerings within the Asia-Pacific Global resources funds Natural Resources Funds by Industry Focus
Natural Resources Funds by Domicile Type Total funds = 57
Total Funds = 59
3% 33% 24%
2% 98%
15% 25%
Domestic
Energy Precious Metals
Offshore
Diversified Natural Resources Utilities
Others
Within natural resources funds, domestic funds are more prominent rather than offshore funds
Energy based funds lead the total number of active funds in Asia-Pacific
However, the following countries have significant percentage of offshore funds of the total mutual funds sold:
The number of active funds focused on energy sector has increased from five in
•
Hong Kong – 94 percent
•
Singapore – 66 percent
•
Taiwan – 57 percent
•
Japan – 12 percent
•
Malaysia – 15 percent
2005 to 19 in 2008
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Value based funds have given higher performance 31.0
(% Returns)
26.0
23.7
18.9
Fund performance by Asset class
1.7 1 Yr Return
3Yr Return
5 Yr return
-11.7
Asia Pac global resource funds have reported
Equity
strong retuns over the last 5 years owing to good
C ommodity
32.0
32.0
(% Returns)
Alternative
26.0
performance of the natural resource sector in the Region
Regulatory restrictions have so far prevented
16.8
Fund performance by Investment Style 0.3
overseas clients to invest their money into most of
1 Yr Return
the Asia Pac funds
3Yr Return
Growth
(% Returns)
Fund performance by Investment Focus
5 Yr return Value 26.0
21.9
16.1
1 Yr Return
3Yr Return
5 Yr return
Large C ap Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Outline
Regional Analysis - Europe
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Energy funds dominate the fund offerings within the European natural resource funds market Share of funds by industry focus
Share of funds by Domicile type Total funds = 327
Total Funds = 344
Utilities 15%
Domesti c 56%
Offshor e 44%
2008 Total Funds 344
Precious Metals 24%
Energy 49%
Diversified Natural Resources 12%
Availability of equal mix of domestic and offshore funds provide plenty of
2008
options to investors
Past three years have witnessed an addition of 77 domestic and 67 offshore funds in natural resources category
Energy-based funds dominate total number of active funds in Europe in
Past three years saw a substantial addition of energy-based funds over other funds
A total of 68 energy-based funds were added in the past three years against 16 funds in diversified natural resource, 38 in precious metal and 23 funds in utilities segment
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Almost 50 percent of the investment of all the natural resources funds is in energy and metal & mining segments Share of funds by industry focus
Rising demand for metal and energy resources from developing economies such as Eastern Europe, India, China and Brazil has supported growth in energy sector
26%
27%
Investments in precious metal sector predominantly come from goldbased funds
Oil and gas has been another attractive sector for fund managers in Europe
2% 9% 23%
4% 9%
Energy Metal and Mining Precious Metals Alternate Energy Source Oil and Gas Chemicals Others Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Global natural resources fund managers in Europe find North America and Europe the most attractive regions for investment Energy funds - Geographical break up of AUMs
Diversified natural resource funds - Geographical break up of AUMs 40.1
39.8
39.8
(% Share)
(% Share)
28.2
3.4
North America
Asia
3.4
Europe
Latin America
5.8
4.0
3.5
1.0 Africa
North America
Cash
Precious metals funds - Geographical break up of AUMs
Asia
Europe
Latin America
1.9
1.8
Africa
Cash
Utilities funds - Geographical break up of AUMs
51.7
(% Share)
(% Share)
58.2
28.8
13.9 8.1 3.9
2.7 North America
Asia
Europe
Latin America
Africa
5.1
Cash
3.4 North America
Asia
Europe
0.9
0.1
Latin America
Africa
2.5 Cash
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Utility funds have given the lowest returns, while diversified natural resources and precious metals have given high returns Sector wise average returns
(% Avg Returns)
48 35
32
25 16
18
54
26
25 18
16 6
1 Yr Return Energy
3 Yr Return Diversified Natural Resource
5 Yr Return Precious Metals
Utilities
ďƒź
Precious metals and diversified natural resource funds have outperformed the other two categories of funds in terms of long-term performance
ďƒź
Precious metal funds such as gold funds, have given 54 percent (annualized) returns over the past five years, followed by diversified natural resource funds with 48 percent returns over the same period
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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European global resource funds fee break up – A snapshot 18.18
(% Fees & Expenses)
Pricing structure by Asset class
7.03 3.47
3.59
2.66
0.2
Fr. Load
1.42 1.86 0.88 1.46
Back Load
Equity
Mgmt. Fee
0.01 2.46 1.35
2.50 Perf Fee
C ommodity
Exp Ratio
Alternative
Performance fee structure displays considerable 6.34
(% Fees & Expenses)
variances across asset classes & investment styles
4.69
Management fee charges for global resource funds
Pricing structure by Investment Style
2.66 2.88
1.52 1.54 1.21
in Europe quote higher averages vis-à-vis at the 0.57 0.24
global level Fr. Load
Back Load
Mgmt. Fee
Blended
0.17 Perf Fee
Growth
1.11
1.39 0.98
Exp Ratio Value
11.67
(% Fees & Expenses)
Pricing Structure performance by Investment Focus
3.96 5.00 2.66
3.9
0.33 Fr. Load
0.19
1.44 1.58 1.51
Back Load
Large C ap
Mgmt. Fee Mid C ap
2.86 1.25 1.50 Perf Fee
Exp Ratio Small C ap
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Outline
Regional Analysis – USA
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Only two percent of US-based natural resources funds are offshore funds and energy funds are the most predominant Natural Resources Funds by Domicile Type
Natural Resources Funds by Industry Focus
Total funds = 103
6%
Total Funds = 108
26%
2%
49%
98%
18% 1%
Domestic
Energy Precious Metals Others
Offshore
With only two percent natural resources funds with offshore focus, most fund sponsors have set-up their asset management teams in the same country
Diversified Natural Resources Utilities
Energy-based mutual funds are leading in the US, in terms of numbers and assets under management
Utilities based funds are also growing fast
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Returns across different categories have displayed consistent performance… US Sector-wise Average Returns
36 (% Avg Returns)
31
27
25 18
19
22
17
17 7
1 Y r Return
Energy
29
37
3 Y r Return
Diversified Natural Resource
5 Y r Return
Precious Metals
Utilities
Diversified natural resources funds and precious metals have displayed the strongest performance with consistent performance across all categories of natural resource funds
The natural resources sector has outperformed most other sectors consistently in the last few years
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Outline
Regional Analysis – Canada
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Natural resources fund managers in Canada find their own continent to be the most attractive region for portfolio allocation
Energy funds - Geographical break up of AUMs
Diversified natural resource funds - Geographical break up of AUMs
70.8
(% Share)
(% Share)
48.8
3.5 North America
Asia
6.2
Europe
3.5 Latin America
20.6
11.4
7.7
5.7 1.6
Africa
Cash
North America
Asia
Europe
Latin America
0.0
0.1
Africa
Cash
Precious Metals funds - Geographical break up of AUMs
(% Share)
63.8
3.0 North America
Asia
5.6
Europe
3.5 Latin America
5.7
5.6
Africa
Cash
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Diversified natural resources funds have been the most consistent over the one-year, three-year and five-year periods Canada Sector-wise Average Returns
31
(% Avg Returns)
27 24
22
20
8
6
1 Y r Return
Energy
ďƒź
31
29
3 Y r Return
Diversified Natural Resource
5 Y r Return
Precious Metals
Natural resource funds have shown the most consistent returns across the years indicating that investors are better off investing in diversified sectors than energy or precious metals
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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Global resource funds within Canada look optimistic in the long run in spite of the short term performance blues (% Returns)
28.6
27.5 15.3
Fund performance by Asset class
8.1
7.4
-2.6 -3.7 1 Yr Return
Equity
Canadian global resource funds in the recent past
3Yr Return C ommodity
Alternative 25.8
(% Returns)
global & US averages Only growth funds & mid caps have been displaying respectable returns across investment styles/focus
5 Yr return
24.9
have reported disappointing results vis-à-vis the
15.9
12.0
Fund performance by Investment Style
Primary research results display an optimistic outlook
0.2
for the long term horizon owing to greater investor
0.3
0.3
1 Yr Return
3Yr Return
5 Yr return
focus in the sector Blended
Growth 32.1
(% Returns) 17.7
Fund performance by Investment Focus
Value
17.7
23.5 21.8
10.0 6.1
2.6
1 Yr Return Large C ap
3Yr Return Mid C ap
5 Yr return Small C ap
Source: Bloomberg; Lipper; Morningstar; Sutherland Analysis
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