TRENDS 2021 Annual Report - Today's Real Estate Market Along Florida's East Coast - Includes Miami

Page 1

2021 ANNUAL REPORT

TRENDS

TODAY’S REAL ESTATE ALONG FLORIDA’S EAST COAST


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TRENDS: TODAY’S REAL ESTATE ALONG FLORIDA’S EAST COAST I'm proud to share our annual market report for 2021, offering strategic perspectives on real estate. As heads turned to Florida's unprecedented growth as a primary residence destination, ONE Sotheby's International Realty expanded its local presence. In 2021 we welcomed over 300 new agents, increased our agent support staff by 30%, opened five new offices and executed inspiring partnerships including the Miami Dolphins, Miami Heat, Young Arts Foundation and the Sotheby’s auction house. We started 2022 with a renewed drive to innovate. We are now marketing our first property in the metaverse, and launched The New Luxury, our podcast series providing insights on the luxury marketplace, to name a few highlights. Keeping a close eye on our markets allows us better to advise our clients with timely and relevant knowledge. We'll continue our unmatched collaboration with Rosen Consulting Group to combine its analytical approach and global viewpoint with the local expertise of our real estate professionals. 2021 proved to be a time of transformative growth, leading the path to opportunities for immediate relocation, lifestyle changes, and long-term investments that will continue to surface as Florida keeps catching attention as a global reference in real estate. Here's to more impact in 2022!

ABOUT TRENDS: ONE Sotheby’s International Realty presents the only market report

With gratitude,

focused on Florida’s East Coast. From Miami to Cocoa Beach, data is presented from a macro perspective

Daniel de la Vega

down to city level.

President

Data is sourced from local Multiple

ONE Sotheby’s International Realty

Listing Service (MLS) organizations. Written analysis created in partnership with the Rosen Consulting Group, a nationally recognized consulting firm and trusted advisor to top public and private real estate operators and capital providers.


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THE REAL ESTATE MARKET ALONG FLORIDA’S EAST COAST

2021 A N N UA L RE P O RT

A TRANSFORMATIVE YEAR FOR THE REGION AND THE REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY The last year was remarkable for the Florida East Coast

reached a new record of more than 130,000 homes and

housing market, with average pricing breaking records

condos, an increase of nearly 20% from the previous

throughout much of the region. Buyer activity surged in

year. Single-family home volume increased modestly,

2021 and could have been even higher, constrained only

by 5%, primarily due to limited inventory. In the condo

by low inventory levels. The regional economy continued

segment, where inventory was not a constraint for

to recover from the pandemic, with improved job

potential buyers, sales volume increased by 40%

prospects helping migration rebound and providing an

compared with 2020. Condo sales grew by double-digits

additional boost to homebuyer demand.

in all counties in the area, with Miami-Dade sales activity outpacing the region as sales increased by 66%.

In 2021, sales activity surged as migration from outside of the region and the desire for ownership from residents looking for larger living space increased. Total sales

AVERAGE SALES PRICE BY COUNTY FLORIDA’S EAST COAST

DEC 2020

DEC 2021

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

DEC 2020

DEC 2021

CONDOMINIUMS


THE LOWEST INVENTORY LEVELS IN RECENT HISTORY For-sale inventory decreased throughout most of the year

the heightened competition for trade-up homes.

as buyers absorbed new listings rapidly. By year-end, the

With elevated buyer demand throughout 2021 and little

number of available homes and condos fell to roughly

inventory, it is no surprise that competition for quality

17,300, the lowest level in recent history. At the end of

homes accelerated. The average time on the market for

2020, single-family home listings reached a five-year

single-family homes fell by 37% and 15% in the condo

low, yet the available count decreased even further in

segment. For some listings, sellers received multiple

2021. Inventory in the condo segment was on par with

offers from interested buyers. In 2021, more than 31%

historical averages at the start of 2021 but decreased by

of single-family homes and 15% of condos sold for

nearly 60% throughout the year. In Palm Beach County,

more than the list price. While competition accelerated

condo inventory fell by more than 70% compared with

in both segments, bidding in the condo market drove

the previous year to lead the region. The few listings

the share of sales above the asking price to the double-

available throughout the year did so at increasing prices.

digit territory for the first time since 2015. The intense

The median price of available condos increased by 28%

levels of competition in most neighborhoods occurred

from 2020 and 10% in the single-family home segment.

despite limited international buyer activity. As this

Even as competition for homes increased, many existing

demand component returns to the Florida East Coast,

homeowners were reluctant to capitalize on recent gains

competition may reach even greater heights.

in value by listing homes for sale as they would also face

MEDIAN SALES PRICE FLORIDA’S EAST COAST

$485,000 3%


THE REAL ESTATE MARKET ALONG FLORIDA’S EAST COAST

As buyer demand remained strong throughout the year and supply constraints funneled competition to a dwindling number of available homes, it was no surprise

2021 A N N UA L RE P O RT

2022 POISED TO BE ANOTHER RECORD-BREAKING YEAR

that home values reached records across the region.

Following a record-breaking year, sales activity and

The median price of a single-family home sold in 2021

home values should continue to increase into 2022.

increased to $451,000, a 19% raise, and $263,000 for

Buyer demand will remain elevated even as mortgage

condos, an increase of 22%. While price appreciation was

rates trend higher. Low for-sale inventory levels will

strong throughout the region, the most substantial gains

persist, particularly within the lower price ranges. As

in the single-family sector occurred in Martin, Miami-

tourism volume fully recovers and international visitors

Dade, and Palm Beach counties, where the median

rebound, buyer demand may increase further and lead

price increased by more than 23%. Miami-Dade County

to another record-breaking year for the Florida East

outpaced the region with a median price appreciation of

Coast housing market.

nearly 25% in the condo segment.

AVAILABLE INVENTORY FLORIDA’S EAST COAST SINGLE- FAMILY HOMES AND CONDOMINIUMS ↓10%

Oct 2021

Nov 2021

Dec 2021 ↓12% ↓6%

↓ 9%

↓ 7%

↓28%


SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE FLORIDA’S EAST COAST

DEC 2020

DEC 2021

DEC 2020

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

FOR SALE

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

DEC 2021

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER

AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE PER SF

CONDOMINIUMS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

HIGHEST SALES


2021 NEW DEVELOPMENT SUPPLY

In 2021 we saw signs of a new development cycle that

the units while visiting Florida and obtain rental income

included the launch of 29 luxury projects in the Tri-county

while not using their units. This product type created the

area (Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach). The vast

perfect conduit for capital shifted from Latin America,

majority of the inventory was concentrated in Miami-

as investors looked to diversity over concerns about the

Dade County with 21 Projects and 3,822 units.

political landscape. The product types in other areas covered in this analysis are heavily skewed towards end-

TRI-COUNTY NEW DEVELOPMENT INVENTORY

user domestic buyers with a strong focus on boutique condominiums.

10% Another important aspect to be considered is the high

73%

17%

concentration of branded residences entering the market, including but not limited to St. Regis Miami

Miami-Dade

Residences, Bentley Tower, Diesel Wynwood, The

Broward

Standard Midtown, The Ritz Carlton Pompano Beach,

Palm Beach

and Baccarat Brickell. Developers continue to compete through quality, instead of pricing, due to the low-price

The Brickell and Downtown areas represented the bulk

elasticity in the Florida market, which is possible due to

of the new supply hitting the market, with most projects

the wide array of UHNI global pool of Buyers, and high

offering smaller units that provide short-term rental

earners from other US domestic destinations, migrating

flexibility to buyers. International buyers have been

to Florida due to its favorable tax environment and lower

drawn to these types of projects as it allows them to use

cost of living in comparison to other main states.

NEW DEVELOPMENT INVENTORY & COMPLETION PROFILE LOCATION

PROJECTS

#UNITS

%

2023

2024

2025

2026

7

22

4050

76.72%

8

5

2

DOWNTOWN

7

1810

34.29%

2

4

1

BRICKELL

3

823

15.59%

3

TOTAL MIAMI-DADE

WYNWOOD

1

159

3.01%

MIAMI BEACH

4

577

10.93%

COCONUT GROVE

1

57

1.08%

MIDTOWN

1

228

4.32%

BAY HARBOR ISLANDS

4

180

3.41%

SUNNY ISLES BEACH

1

216

4.09%

BROWARD COUNTY

4

528

10.00%

PALM BEACH COUNTY

4

701

13.28%

30

5279

100.00%

GRAN TOTAL

1 3

1 1 1

4 1 1

1

2

4

8

13

SOURCE:

7

2

FERNANDO DE NUÑEZ, EVP & CHIEF ECONOMIST ONE SOTHEBY’S INTERNATIONAL

PROJECTS LAUNCHED IN 2021

REALTY DEVELOPMENT DIVISION


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ONE Sotheby's INTERNATIONAL REALTY

© 2021 ONE Solheby's International Realty. All rights reserved. Sotheby's International Realty®and the Sotheby's International Realty Logo are service marks licensed to Sotheby's International Realty Affiliates LLC and used with permission. ONE Sotheby's International Realty fully supports the principles of the Fair Housing Act and the Equal Opportunity Act Each franchise is independently owned and operated.Any services or products provided by independently owned and operated franchisees are not provided by, affiliated with or related to Solheby's International Realty Affiliates LLC nor any of its affiliated companies. The information contained herein is deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Oral representations cannot be relied upon as correctly staling the representations of the developer. For correct representations, reference should be made to the documents required by section 718.503, Florida Statutes, to be furnished by a developer to a buyer or lessee. Pricing subject to change wtthout notice.


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Miami-Dade County LOW INVENTORY CONSTRAINS SALES Limited inventory constrained sales volume, which increased by only 7% compared with the previous year. The median home price increased by 23% in 2021, reaching $500,000 for the first time.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Miami-Dade County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

PRICE PER SF

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

DEC 2021 ↓ 10%

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER


CONDOMINIUMS

Miami-Dade County BUYERS CAPITALIZE ON AVAILABLE INVENTORY At the start of the year, the large inventory presented opportunities for a range of prices, and buyers took advantage of the most extensive inventory in the region. Condo sales surged by 66%, surpassing 22,000 units sold in 2021.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


CONDOMINIUMS

Miami-Dade County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

-

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

DEC 2021

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER

↓9%


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Broward County FIERCE COMPETITION FOR HOMES THROUGHOUT 2021 Broward County produced the most single-family homes sold above the asking price in 2021, with nearly 36% of all sales. Further highlighting the fierce competition for homes, the average time on the market fell to roughly five weeks, the second-lowest average in the region.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Broward County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

PRICE PER SF

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

DEC 2021

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER

↓ 15%


CONDOMINIUMS

Broward County SALES SURGE IN 2021 Condo sales surged by 32% in 2021 following a sluggish 2020 and the median price surpassed the $300,000 threshold for the first time. With purchase activity strengthening much of the year, available inventory plummeted by 62%.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


CONDOMINIUMS

Broward County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

PRICE PER SF

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

DEC 2021 ↓9%

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Palm Beach County UPPER PRICE RANGES DRIVE SALES As available homes dwindled, closing the year 58% lower than 2020, sales velocity slowed as the year progressed. However, sales in the $3 million and greater range accelerated in 2021. While annual sales totaled slightly more than 2020, the median price increased 24%.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Palm Beach County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

PRICE PER SF

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

DEC 2021

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER

↓ 9%


CONDOMINIUMS

Palm Beach County SALES VOLUME SURGED IN 2021 Inventory absorption accelerated in the final months of the year, and by year-end, inventory decreased by nearly 72% from the previous year. Despite the limited inventory, strong demand drove an almost 29% increase in sales volume. Sales of units in the $1 million to $3 million range nearly doubled in 2021.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


CONDOMINIUMS

Palm Beach County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

PRICE PER SF

DEC 2021 ↓3%

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Martin County FEWER SALES DUE TO LOW INVENTORY Sales volume decreased in 2021, the only county where this occurred, but was driven by a lack of purchase opportunities. Listing inventory fell by 65% in 2021, to less than 100 homes available by year-end. With few opportunities for potential buyers, closed sales fell by nearly 8%.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Martin County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

PRICE PER SF

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

DEC 2021 ↓ 18%

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER


CONDOMINIUMS

Martin County LACK OF INVENTORY CONSTRAINS BUYERS The condo segment rebounded in 2021, with sales accelerating by more than 13%, and very few available units remain. While the bulk of sales was priced at less than $500,000, buyer demand accelerated for higherpriced condos.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


CONDOMINIUMS

Martin County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

PRICE PER SF

AVG SALES PRICE

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

DEC 2021 ↓ 47%

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Indian River County STRONG BUYER DEMAND, PARTICULARLY WITHIN LOWER PRICE RANGES The lower price ranges continued to perform well even as fewer homes qualified due to the recent surge in pricing as the median list price approached $500,000. Though fewer homes were in the less than $300,000 price range, these homes sold much quicker than higher-priced listings.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Indian River County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

PRICE PER SF

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

DEC 2021

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER

↓ 8%


CONDOMINIUMS

Indian River County SALES ACTIVITY ACCELERATED Condo demand accelerated in 2021, with sales increasing by 25% even as the median price rose by roughly 23%. The months of supply fell to less than a month by year-end, highlighting the surge in demand.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


CONDOMINIUMS

Indian River County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE PER SF

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

DEC 2021

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER

↓ 5%


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Brevard County HOMES SELLING QUICKLY Strong buyer competition helped absorb available homes at a rapid clip. For homes closed in 2021, the average time on the market was roughly 21 days, less than half the average time in 2020.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Brevard County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

PRICE PER SF

DEC 2021

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER

↓ 7%


CONDOMINIUMS

Brevard County BREVARD LEADS IN CONDO COMPETITION The share of condos sold above the asking price reached 20% in 2021, the highest share in the region. With such competition, it is no surprise that the average list price has also increased substantially, by 53% in the last year.

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

DAYS ON MARKET


CONDOMINIUMS

Brevard County SALES BY NEIGHBORHOOD AVG SALES PRICE

PRICE RANGE

AVG SALES PRICE

SOLD ABOVE LISTED PRICE

DEC 2020

ABOVE LISTING PRICE

PRICE PER SF

PRICE PER SF

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

CLOSED TRANSACTIONS

DAYS ON MARKET

DAYS ON MARKET

AVAILABLE LISTINGS

DEC 2021

AT LISTING PRICE OR LOWER

↓ 15%


For unmatched real estate expertise

© 2022 ONE Sotheby’s International Realty. All rights reserved. Sotheby’s International Realty® and the Sotheby’s International Realty Logo are service marks licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC and used with permission. ONE Sotheby’s International Realty fully supports the principles of the Fair Housing Act and the Equal Opportunity Act. Each franchise is independently owned and operated. Any services or products provided by independently owned and operated franchisees are not provided by, affiliated with or related to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC nor any of its affiliated companies. The information contained herein is deemed accurate but not guaranteed.


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