O V E R
T H E
E D G E
Winning The Election Quiz Who you like may not be who you should vote for. by Tim McMahan
I
t is the morning of Jan. 19, 2020, as I write this.
The world is reeling as Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, the Duchess of Sussex, have given up their royal titles and become mere mortals.
Predictions have become impossible after the 2016 polling debacle, wherein everyone thought the night before the election Hillary Clinton was a shoo-in to become the first female president only to wake up
the following morning with a Trump hangover. No one trusts polls anymore. As of today, aggregate polling website FiveThirtyEight.com has Joe Biden winning the Democratic
Tomorrow, the U.S. Senate is scheduled to begin the impeachment trial of President Donald J. Trump. And in just a few weeks, the Iowa caucuses will have come and gone, and a new frontrunner will have emerged among the Democrats. Very likely by the time you read this, the caucuses will be over since they’re scheduled for Feb. 3, and The Reader has a funny way of not showing up in the racks until late in the first week of the month. So whatever political insight and/or prediction I make in this column is a set-up to make me look like the uninformed rube that I am.
nomination, giving him 2-in-5 odds in the horse race, while his next closest challenger, Bernie Sanders, is a 1-in-5 favorite, followed by “No One” at 1-in-7 and Elizabeth Warren at 1-in-8. Meanwhile, the same website has Sanders ahead in Iowa by less than a point over Biden, followed by Pete Buttigieg and Warren, with Amy Klobuchar a distant fifth followed by Andrew Yang. Billionaires Tom Steyer and Michael Bloomberg were at the back of the pack. None of this matters because you already know who won the caucus. So I might as well go out on a limb and give you my predictions as to who I thought would win Iowa, which was Joe Biden.
PICK YOUR CANDIDATE BY ANSWERING THESE SIMPLE QUESTIONS. CLICK HERE!
OK, but who did I want to win? If you asked me regardless of political maneuvering, regardless of who I think could beat Trump in November, I would have February 2020
55
