Shar Malekpour Luxury Market Report August 2024 by The Report Group

SHAR MALEKPOUR

TUCSON A UGUST 202 4

SHAR MALEKPOUR

REALTOR®, GRI, ABR, CLHMS ,CNE, ChRC, AHWD

Tierra Antigua Realty

520.834.3925

info@Shahrzad.Realtor

www.Shahrzad.Realtor

There are three things you should look for in a Realtor, Experience, Integrity and Results. That is the foundation of the service I provide my clients. My approach to the business of real estate is Sensible, Realistic and Professional. I understand that a home purchase or sale can be a life changing transaction. I focus on getting to know my clients as real people. It’s important to me that my clients be delighted throughout the sales process from the very beginning to the end. I am passionate about delivering exceptional consumer experiences. My expertise in residential field will guide you skillfully from beginning to the end of your real estate journey. I have been an Oro Valley resident since 2006 and have been a Realtor serving Oro Valley, Tucson, Marana and surroundings since 2007. No one real estate transaction is routine, each has its own distinctive personality. My mission is to find workable solutions for every client. Luckily the possibilities are endless!

PAGE 4 LUXURY REPORT EXPLAINED

PAGE 5 WELCOME MESSAGE

PAGE 6-9 NORTH AMERICAN LUXURY MARKET REVIEW

PAGE 10 13-MONTH MARKET TRENDS

PAGE 11 SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES MONTHLY OVERVIEW

PAGE 12 ATTACHED HOMES MONTHLY OVERVIEW

PAGE 13-16 MONTHLY STATISTICS BY CITY

PAGE 17 LOCAL LUXURY MARKET REVIEW

PAGE 18-19 SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES - Monthly Statistics

PAGE 20 THANK YOU

– LUXURY REPORT EXPLAINED –

The Institute for Luxury Home Marketing has analyzed a number of metrics — including sales prices, sales volumes, number of sales, sales-price-to-list-price ratios, days on market and price-per-square-foot – to provide you a comprehensive North American Luxury Market report.

Additionally, we have further examined all of the individual luxury markets to provide both an overview and an in-depth analysis - including, where data is sufficient, a breakdown by luxury single-family homes and luxury attached homes.

It is our intention to include additional luxury markets on a continual basis. If your market is not featured, please contact us so we can implement the necessary qualification process. More in-depth reports on the luxury communities in your market are available as well.

Looking through this report, you will notice three distinct market statuses, Buyer's Market, Seller's Market, and Balanced Market. A Buyer's Market indicates that buyers have greater control over the price point. This market type is demonstrated by a substantial number of homes on the market and few sales, suggesting demand for residential properties is slow for that market and/or price point.

By contrast, a Seller's Market gives sellers greater control over the price point. Typically, this means there are few homes on the market and a generous demand, causing competition between buyers who ultimately drive sales prices higher.

A Balanced Market indicates that neither the buyers nor the sellers control the price point at which that property will sell and that there is neither a glut nor a lack of inventory. Typically, this type of market sees a stabilization of both the list and sold price, the length of time the property is on the market as well as the expectancy amongst homeowners in their respective communities – so long as their home is priced in accordance with the current market value.

REPORT GLOSSARY

DAYS ON MARKET: Measures the number of days a home is available on the market before a purchase offer is accepted.

LUXURY BENCHMARK PRICE: The price point that marks the transition from traditional homes to luxury homes.

NEW LISTINGS: The number of homes that entered the market during the current month.

PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT: Measures the dollar amount of the home's price for an individual square foot.

SALES RATIO: Sales Ratio defines market speed and determines whether the market currently favors buyers or sellers. A Buyer's Market has a Sales Ratio of less than 12%; a Balanced Market has a ratio of 12% up to 21%; a Seller's Market has a ratio of 21% or higher. A Sales Ratio greater than 100% indicates the number of sold listings exceeds the number of listings available at the end of the month.

SP/LP RATIO: The Sales Price/List Price Ratio compares the value of the sold price to the value of the list price.

REMAINING INVENTORY: The total number of homes available at the close of a month.

MAP OF LUXURY RESIDENTIAL MARKETS

elcome to the Luxury Market Report, your guide to luxury real estate market data and trends for North America. Produced monthly by The Institute for Luxury Home Marketing, this report provides an in-depth look at the top residential markets across the United States and Canada. Within the individual markets, you will find established luxury benchmark prices and detailed survey of luxury active and sold properties designed to showcase current market status and recent trends. The national report illustrates a compilation of the top North American markets to review overall standards and trends.

The Luxury Market Report is a monthly analysis provided by The Institute for Luxury Home Marketing. Luxury benchmark prices are determined by The Institute. This active and sold data has been provided by REAL Marketing, who has compiled the data through various sources, including local MLS boards, local tax records and Realtor.com. Data is deemed reliable to the best of our knowledge, but is not guaranteed.

NORTH AMERICAN LUXURY REVIEW

Market Drivers and Nuances

In our analysis of the North American real estate landscape in 2024, we continue to delve into the trends that are shaping this dynamic and ever-evolving market segment.

As global conditions shift and consumer preferences evolve, the importance of comprehending past, present, and future market trends cannot be overstated, as they provide critical insights into emerging trends, shifting consumer preferences, and the underlying market dynamics.

Overall, the luxury real estate market in 2024 has shown growth compared to 2023, with a strong demand for homes in prime locations, unique features and high-end amenities driving affluent buyer decision-making in most areas.

Market Analytics

In a surprising development, the number of sales in July exceeded expectations, particularly given the decline in sales from May to June 2024.

After a year of growth in sales compared to 2023, June saw an unexpected downturn, with sales for single-family homes falling by 1.68% and attached properties by 6.77%. However, the luxury market rebounded in July, with sales increasing by 18.99% for single-family homes and 13.30% for attached homes compared to July 2023.

By the end of July, the overall growth in the volume of sales in 2024 stood at 14.82% for singlefamily homes and 11.35% for attached homes compared to the same period in 2023.

This rebound is significant for two reasons. First, it demonstrates that the overall market trend is still upward in terms of sales volume compared to 2023, with June’s decline being an anomaly rather than the start of a new trend. Second, it highlights the critical role of new inventory in driving the luxury market. The fluctuations in sales closely correlate with the availability of new listings, indicating that fresh inventory is a key factor in market performance.

Impacts of New Inventory

From January to May, a steady increase in new listings each month corresponded with a rise in sales. However, in June, new listings fell by 7.62% for single-family homes and by 11.21% for attached homes compared to May, leading to a 5.60% and 7.29% decrease in sales, respectively.

July, typically a slower month for real estate as people take vacations, saw an unexpected increase in both new inventory and sales. Although sales numbers did not rise above June’s levels, the percentage decrease was far smaller than in previous years. To put this into context, in July 2022, sales volume declined by 22.71% compared to June, and in July 2023, it declined by 18.27%. In contrast, July 2024 saw only a 0.25% decline compared to June, and an 8.99% decline compared to May 2024, a much stronger month.

The common thread here is the amount of new inventory entering the market. In July 2022, new inventory fell by 20.35%, in 2023 by 14.45%, but in 2024 it only fell by 7.03% compared to June, which helped to sustain sales levels.

The Right Inventory

Another important factor is the type of inventory entering the market. It is not just about increasing the number of available properties; today’s affluent buyers are more discerning than ever. They are less likely to feel pressured to purchase a home that doesn’t meet their exacting standards.

Luxury properties must embody exclusivity, offer innovative amenities, support sustainable living, and display impeccable craftsmanship. They must cater to those who seek not just a home, but an elevated living experience. Whether it’s a luxurious penthouse with iconic cityscape views, a private enclave with dedicated amenities, or a sprawling estate in a serene countryside setting, the appeal of luxury real estate lies in the lifestyle it represents.

If a property fails to meet these high standards, it is likely to remain on the market until the seller recognizes the need for adjustments.

Price Stability

In a typical market, an increase in inventory would exert downward pressure on prices. While this is happening in some markets, the overall trend in Canada and the U.S. shows that luxury median

sold prices are continuing to rise slightly. Since January 2024, the median sold price for the top 10% of the market has risen close to 2%.

Despite 30-35% year-over-year increases in inventory levels; luxury properties are still relatively depleted from a historical perspective. Coupled with growing demand from an increasing number of wealthy buyers, who are willing to pay a premium for the right property, it is not surprising that prices are holding steady or even increasing in some markets.

In highly desirable areas, when supply has increased, any downward pressure on prices has been mitigated by the rapid absorption of properties by eager buyers, sometimes leading to fierce competition.

As of July 2024, the sold price to listing price ratio remains close to asking, at 98.78% for singlefamily homes and 98.98% for attached properties.

A recent report from Zillow, which analyzes the top 5% of 50 U.S. real estate markets, notes that luxury home values have increased by 3.9% year-over-year. Remarkably, for the first time, the increase in home values in the ultra-wealthy segment is outpacing the traditional market, with a 0.7% higher increase in luxury home values compared to the overall market.

Looking Ahead

The unexpected rise in new inventory and sales in July indicates a strong confidence among both sellers and buyers in the state of the luxury market. However, if inventory continues to grow while sales slow, downward pressure on prices is likely, particularly for properties that have been on the market longer than expected.

Expect elevated prices and higher interest rates to continue influencing buyers’ decisions and delaying transactions. Although, a significant change in one or both factors could quickly alter the market, with any increase in inventory levels likely to be swiftly absorbed, potentially driving prices up again.

Economic and stock market fluctuations could also lead to more cautious behavior among affluent buyers and sellers. In the U.S., the upcoming election is likely to cause a slowdown in the market as the country waits for the outcome.

Now more than ever, it is crucial for sellers and their real estate professionals to understand the preferences of luxury homebuyers. This includes being an expert in luxury demand and supply variances, understanding changing environmental and social influences, and anticipating buyers’ evolving lifestyle and technology requirements.

In Conclusion

Members of The Institute have observed a growing trend among affluent clients: expecting their realtors to bring innovation and advanced strategies to the table, especially with the rise of AI in the real estate industry. Moreover, affluent buyers are seeking realtors with deep expertise in identifying properties that offer a blend of luxury and convenience—homes located in prime areas that are rich in amenities and cater to their lifestyle needs.

While the cost of purchasing a home remains comparatively high, real estate remains one of the most reliable long-term investments. Over time, property ownership has consistently provided strong returns, making it a wise financial decision. Beyond the financial benefits, homeownership offers something even more valuable: a sense of security and a personal sanctuary for families. In uncertain times, owning a home provides stability and peace of mind, ensuring a safe and comforting environment for loved ones.

– 13 - MONTH MARKET TRENDS –

FOR THE LUXURY NORTH AMERICAN MARKET

Single-Family Homes Attached Homes Single-Family List Price Attached List Price

All data is based off median values. Median prices represent properties priced above respective city benchmark prices.

$1,900,000

$1,700,000

$1,500,000

$1,300,000

$1,100,000

$900,000

$700,000

$500,000

– LUXURY MONTHLY MARKET REVIEW –

A Review of Key Market Differences Year over Year

July 2023 | July 2024 Median

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

$1,250 4,865 Days on Market

New Listings Total Sold

3,308 Med. Sale Price

6 Sales Ratio

2.74%

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES MARKET SUMMARY | JULY 2024

• Official Market Type: Seller's Market with a 27.80% Sales Ratio.1

• Homes are selling for an average of 98.78% of list price.

• The median luxury threshold2 price is $912,500, and the median luxury home sales price is $1,318,750.

• Markets with the Highest Median Sales Price: Vail ($4,490,000), Los Angeles Beach Cities ($3,962,500), Los Angeles City ($3,650,000), and Paradise Valley ($3,554,000).

• Markets with the Highest Sales Ratio: Baltimore City (94.4%), Howard County, MD (88.2%), East Bay (86.8%), and Central Connecticut (81.1%).

A Review of Key Market Differences Year over Year

July 2023 | July 2024

1,517

• Official Market Type: Balanced Market with a 19.84% Sales Ratio. 1

• Attached homes are selling for an average of 98.89% of list price.

• The median luxury threshold2 price is $700,000, and the median attached luxury sale price is $880,000

• Markets with the Highest Median Sales Price: Manhattan ($4,050,000), Telluride ($3,350,000), Whistler ($3,150,000), and Ft. Lauderdale ($2,937,500).

• Markets with the Highest Sales Ratio: Fairfax County, VA (121.9%), Montgomery County, MD (104.7%), Howard County, MD (104.7%), and Anne Arundel County (104.2%).

– LUXURY MONTHLY MARKET REVIEW –

TUCSON ARIZONA

LUXURY INVENTORY VS. SALES | JULY 2024

Seller's Market

$3,000,000+

$2,500,000 - $2,999,999

$2,000,000 - $2,499,999

$1,500,000 - $1,999,999

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

$900,000 - $999,999 $800,000 - $899,999

$750,000

Luxury Benchmark Price 1: $500,000

13 - MONTH LUXURY MARKET TREND 4

MEDIAN DATA REVIEW | JULY

VARIANCE: 36 %

VARIANCE: 0 % $263 $264 SALE PRICE PER SQFT.

756 1,029 Jul. 2023 Jul. 2024 TOTAL INVENTORY VARIANCE: 10 % 276 304 TOTAL SOLDS VARIANCE: - 2 % $661k $645k SALES PRICE VARIANCE: 59 % 17 27 DAYS ON MARKET

VARIANCE: - 1 % 99.66% 98.47% SALE TO LIST PRICE RATIO

TUCSON MARKET SUMMARY | JULY 2024

• The single-family luxury market is a Seller's Market with a 30% Sales Ratio.

• Homes sold for a median of 98.47% of list price in July 2024.

• The most active price band is $550,000-$574,999, where the sales ratio is 47%

• The median luxury sales price for single-family homes is $644,852.

• The median days on market for July 2024 was 27 days, up from 17 in July 2023.

3Square foot table does not account for listings and solds where square foot data is not disclosed. 4Data reported includes Active and Sold properties and does not include Pending properties.

Shar Malekpour