Portland Real Estate Market Action Report

Page 1

A Publication of RMLS™, The Source for Real Estate Statistics in Your Community Residential Review: Metro Portland, Oregon September 2011 Reporting Period September Residential Highlights Sales activity in the Portland Metro area showed improvements in closed and pending sales this September compared with September 2010, and the inventory level remained much lower than the same month in 2010.

Sale Prices Average sale price for September 2011 declined 4.2% compared to September 2010. Median sale price also fell 3.8%. See residential highlights table below.

Comparing the previous month of August 2011 with September 2011, closed sales decreased from 1,805 to 1,586 (-12.1%). Pending sales also went down from 2,187 to 1,861 (-14.9%). New listings fell from 2,879 to 2,501 (-13.1%).

Month to month, comparing August 2011 to September 2011, sale price activity was mixed. Average sale price went down from $271,800 to $268,200 (-1.3%) while median sale price increased from $225,000 to $230,800 (2.6%). Third Quarter Report Comparing the third quarter of 2010 with that of 2011, sales activity was up. Closed sales jumped up by 21.5% (4,340 v. 5,275), while pending sales also increased by 21.6% (4,725 v. 5,747). New listings fell 27.6% (11,582 v. 8,380).

At the month’s rate of sales, the 10,666 active residential listings would last about 6.7 months.

In the same quarterly comparison, average sale price fell 6.9%, while median sale price dropped 7.5%.

Closed sales grew 13.4% in September 2011 compared to September 2010. Pending sales were also up 17.5%, and new listings dropped 29.5%. See residential highlights table below.

Change

2010

2011

Portland Metro Residential Highlights September

New Listings

Pending Sales

Closed Sales

Average Sale Price

Inventory in Months* 2009 2010 2011 January 19.2 12.6 11.3 February 16.6 12.9 10.9 March 12.0 7.8 7.1 April 11.0 7.3 7.2 May 10.2 7.0 6.8 June 8.2 7.3 6.0 July 7.3 10.8 7.0 August 7.8 11.0 6.2 September 7.6 10.5 6.7 October 6.5 10.7 November 7.1 10.2 December 7.7 7.9 *Inventory in Months is calculated by dividing the Active Listings at the end of the month in question by the number of closed sales for that month. Percent Change of 12-Month Sale Price Compared With The Previous 12 Months Average Sale Price % Change: -5.9% ($266,900 v. $283,600) Median Sale Price % Change: -6.3% ($225,000 v. $240,000)

For further explanation of this measure, see the second footnote on page 2.

Median Sale Price

Total Market Time

2,501

1,861

1,586

268,200

230,800

131

27,746

16,275

14,803

264,500

222,000

145

3,549

1,584

1,399

279,900

240,000

131

Year-to-date

37,795

15,681

14,675

284,000

240,000

130

September

-29.5%

17.5%

13.4%

-4.2%

-3.8%

0.0%

Year-to-date

-26.6%

3.8%

0.9%

-6.9%

-7.5%

11.4%

Year-to-date September

*Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31 days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market.

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.


AREa REPORT • 9/2011

Portland Metropolitan Area, Oregon RESIDENTIAL

-4.5%

4

322,900

18

89,400

14

261,900

NE Portland

793

257

134

174

4.2%

162

249,200

99

2,641

1,617

-0.7%

1,497

267,800

229,000

-5.5%

16

374,500

21

158,800

62

386,100

SE Portland

989

315

173

241

14.2%

203

216,100

98

3,318

2,051

-0.1%

1,849

214,400

182,000

-8.1%

27

370,600

32

144,300

78

348,100

144

Gresham/ Troutdale

679

149

109

133

9.0%

101

196,400

157

1,771

1,066

2.5%

983

195,100

178,000

-8.1%

5

275,000

45

97,200

24

192,900

Milwaukie/ Clackamas

943

203

127

146

16.8%

116

230,500

116

2,255

1,221

5.0%

1,125

238,100

219,000

-10.9%

4

382,800

55

121,900

18

376,900

Oregon City/ Canby

649

127

84

100

16.3%

77

240,600

123

1,461

846

10.6%

763

232,000

210,000

-11.5%

2

65,000

37

156,100

11

191,400

Lake Oswego/ West Linn

773

156

102

101

20.2%

82

474,800

166

1,763

902

4.3%

825

431,200

372,000

-3.7%

2

797,500

9

346,700

2

555,200

1,303

277

189

181

13.8%

179

399,100

151

3,252

1,871

7.5%

1,727

392,100

330,000

-2.2%

9

379,300

49

176,900

17

515,400

NW Wash Co.

464

104

52

79

-10.2%

73

351,400

91

1,299

799

1.4%

766

362,000

322,500

-1.3%

2

430,800

28

225,200

5

359,500

Beaverton/ Aloha

790

204

120

175

53.5%

157

232,100

106

2,333

1,518

5.7%

1,342

212,200

194,000

-13.0%

4

225,800

14

212,700

14

271,000

Tigard/ Wilsonville

923

213

144

181

47.2%

141

274,600

174

2,417

1,384

6.4%

1,215

277,600

256,000

-7.2%

5

214,700

31

269,500

15

194,300

Hillsboro/ Forest Grove

672

148

75

148

41.0%

110

228,900

143

1,765

1,146

2.9%

987

208,300

191,000

-8.8%

11

203,000

23

217,500

30

231,500

Mt. Hood

144

15

21

12

-7.7%

9

131,500

134

219

82

5.1%

73

192,700

168,000

-13.2%

-

7

129,700

-

Columbia Co.

411

69

41

63

75.0%

37

163,200

201

736

405

13.8%

362

160,800

149,500

-13.0%

4

18

188,000

2

140,800

107 1,569

58 1,861

-26.6% -3.6%

75 1,586

243,500 268,200

159 131

1,357 27,746

696 16,275

-0.3% -29.6%

647 14,803

199,400 264,500

174,800 222,000

-6.0% -5.9%

994

738,900 421 34

208,200 171,500

11 303

204,900 317,300

141 142 143 148 149 153 155 156

768 10,666

128 2,501

117,600

Average Sale Price

209,500

Closed Sales

221,400

-

Average Sale Price

642

Closed Sales

2.4%

Yamhill Co. Grand Total

Average Sale Price

Median Sale Price

671

Closed Sales

Average Sale Price

1,159

Closed Sales

133

145

Avg. Sale Price % Change

Pending Sales 2011 v. 2010

222,700

146

Pending Sales 2011

64

New Listings

-4.2%

Total Market Time

69

Closed Sales

91

New Listings

136

Active Listings

365

147

3

Year-To-Date

N Portland

W Portland

Average Sale Price

Year-To-Date

150

Pending Sales 2011 v. 2010

Year-To-Date

151

Pending Sales 2011

MULTIFAMILY

152

Expired/Canceled Listings

LAND

2

Year-To-Date

1

Current Month

COMMERCIAL

-

Note: Data for the North Coastal Counties is now reported in the monthly “North Coastal Counties” Market Action Report. Note: Data for Polk and Marion Counties is now reported in the monthly “Polk & Marion Counties” Market Action Report.

1

Percent change in number of pending sales this year compared to last year. The Current Month section compares September 2011 with September 2010. The Year-To-Date section compares year-to-date statistics from September 2011 with year-to-date statistics from September 2010.

2

% Change is based on a comparison of the rolling average sale price for the last 12 months (10/1/10-9/30/11) with 12 months before (10/1/09-9/30/10).

3

Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31 days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market.

2

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.


16000

ACTIVE RESIDENTIAL LISTINGS

14000

Portland, OR

12000

This graph shows the active

10000

residential listings over the

8000

past three calendar years in

6000

the greater Portland,

Active Residential Listings

4000

Oregon metropolitan area.

2009

2010

2011

TOTAL ACTIVE LISTINGS PORTLAND, OR

Total Active Listings 20000

This graph shows the

17500

total active listings over

15000

the past three calendar years in the greater Portland, Oregon

12500 10000 7500 5000

metropolitan area. 2009

2010

2011

NEW LISTINGS

New Listings

PORTLAND, OR

6,000

This graph shows the

5,000

new residential listings

4,000

over the past three

3,000

calendar years in the

2,000

greater Portland, Oregon

1,000

metropolitan area.

0

2009

2010

2011

3

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.


PENDING LISTINGS

Pending Sales

PORTLAND, OR

This graph represents

3,500 3,000

monthly accepted offers

2,500

in the Portland, Oregon

2,000 1,500

metropolitan area over

1,000

the past three calendar

500

years.

0

2009

2010

2011

CLOSED SALES

Closed Sales

PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

3,000

closed sales over the past

2,500

five calendar years in the

2,000

greater Portland, Oregon

1,500

metropolitan area.

1,000

2007 2008 2009 2010

500

2011

0

DAYS ON MARKET

Average Market Time

PORTLAND, OR

200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

This graph shows the average market time for sales in the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area over the past three calendar years. 2009 TMT

2010 TMT

2011 TMT

4

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.


This graph represents the average sale price for all homes sold in the Portland,

AVERAGE SALE PRICE

Oregon metropolitan area.

PORTLAND, OR

Average Sale Price $375,000 $355,000 $335,000 $315,000

$295,000 $275,000 $255,000 $235,000

$215,000

Median Sale Price: Portland, OR & Clark Co., WA

Sep-11

Mar-11

Sep-10

Mar-10

Sep-09

Mar-09

Sep-08

Mar-08

Sep-07

Mar-07

Sep-06

Mar-06

Sep-05

Mar-05

Sep-04

Mar-04

Sep-03

Mar-03

Sep-02

Mar-02

$175,000

Sep-01

$195,000

MEDIAN SALE PRICE PORTLAND, OR

260000 240000 220000

This graph shows the

200000

median sale price over

180000

the past 12 months in

160000

the greater Portland,

140000

Oregon, metropolitan

120000 100000

SEPT OCT

NOV

DEC

JAN

FEB

Clark County

MAR APR

MAY JUNE JULY AUG SEPT

Metro Portland, OR

5

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.

area and Clark County.


Median sale price September 2011

SW Washington

$165,000

$196,000

Woodland

N/NE Clark County

$197,500

Portland

$222,400

Battle Ground

Ridgefield/La Center

Metro

$ 150,000 Columbia County $219,900 Salmon Creek $188,000 Felida

$325,000 North Washington County Sauvie Island

Brush Prairie Hockinson

$164,500 Hazel Dell Minnehaha

$155,000 5 Corners Orch.

$115,000 Cent. Vancouver

$193,800 Hillsboro $205,000 Beaverton

$335,000 West Portland

Aloha

$250,000 Tigard/Tualatin Sherwood Wilsonville

$215,000 Camas/Washougal $221,800 NE Portland $193,000 SE Portland $221,200

$405,800

Milwaukie/Gladstone/ Boring/Clackamas Estacada

Lake Oswego West Linn

$213,000 $224,000 Oregon City Canby Molalla Beavercreek

Yamhill County

6

$191,400 Cascade Park

$190,500 Heights

$223,000 N Portland

Forest Grove

$243,500

Š Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.

$186,500 Gresham Troutdale Sandy Corbett Fairview

$117,400 Mt. Hood: Zigzag Welches Rhododendron Wemme Brightwood Government Camp


MULTIPLE LISTING SERVICE

Corporate 825 NE Multnomah, Suite 270 Portland, OR 97232 (503) 236-7657 Fax: (503) 230-0689

Lane County: Eugene 2139 Centennial Plaza Eugene, OR 97401 (541) 686-2885 Fax: (541) 484-3854 Lane County: Florence PO Box 414 Florence, OR 97439 (541) 902-2560 Fax: (541) 902-1341 Douglas County 3510 NE Edenbower Roseburg, OR 97470 (541) 673-3571 Fax: (541) 673-6581 Curry County PO Box 6307 Brookings, OR 97415 (541) 469-0219 Fax: (541) 469-9695

condos sold in the last three calendar years in the

PORTLAND, OR

Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.

Southwest Washington 1514 Broadway, Suite 101 Vancouver, WA 98663 (360) 696-0718 Fax: (360) 696-9342 Salem 2110 Mission St. SE, Suite 305 Salem, OR 97302 (503) 587-8810 Fax: (503) 585-3817

This graph represents the median sale price for all

MEDIAN SALE PRICE CONDOS

Median Condo Sale Price $245,000 $220,000 $195,000 $170,000 $145,000

$120,000

2009

Coos County 1946 Sherman Ave., Suite 101 North Bend, OR 97459 (541) 751-1070 Fax: (541) 751-1083 The statistics presented in Market Action are compiled monthly based on figures generated by RMLS™. Market Action Reports are compiled for the following areas: Portland metropolitan area, Southwest Washington, MidColumbia, Columbia Basin, Baker County, Coos County, Curry County, Douglas County, Grant County, Lane County, North Coastal Counties, Polk & Marion Counties, Union County, and Wallowa County. RMLS™ was formed by area Boards and Associations of REALTORS® in 1991. E-mail subscriptions are available for $45 per year by contacting RMLS™, (503) 236-7657. Reproduction of any portion of this copyrighted material is prohibited without prior approval of RMLS™.

2011

QUARTERLY CLOSINGS

This graph shows the number of closed sales by quarter

PORTLAND, OR

for the Portland, Oregon, metropolitan area.

Mid-Columbia PO Box 1088 Hood River, OR 97031 (541) 436-2956 Fax: (541) 387-6657 Eastern Oregon PO Box 751 Hermiston, OR 97838 (541) 567-5186 Fax: (541) 289-7320

2010

Quarterly Closings 12000 10000 8000

6000 4000 2000 0

'01

'02

'03 1st Quarter

'04

'05 2nd Quarter

'06

'07 3rd Quarter

'08

'09

4th Quarter

Cory Neu, Chairman of the Board Kurt von Wasmuth, President/CEO Kelsey Brunson, Editor Danny Gottleib, Assistant Editor © Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.

10

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