Daily commodity prediction report by tradeindia research 22 09 2017

Page 1

22/09/2017

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22/09/2017

Nymex crude turns lower ahead of Opec meet: Crude oil futures snapped their rally mood and ended lower on Thursday ahead of the Opec meeting and traders continued to weigh data showing a sharp rise in U.S. crude production and stockpiles. Some strength in dollar too weighed on the sentiments after the Federal Reserve suggested a rate hike is imminent. Also, the Fed said it will begin shrinking its bloated $4.5 trillion portfolio in October by allowing $10 billion in bonds to mature without replacing them. Meanwhile, Opec and other major producers will meet Friday in Vienna to discuss the market impact of the production-cut agreement and progress toward rebalancing supply and demand.

Copper futures trade lower on MCX: Copper futures traded lower on MCX as speculators trimmed positions, amid muted demand at the domestic spot markets. Moreover, weak trend at the London Metal Exchange (LME) where copper and other base metals weakened also weighed on copper futures.

Gold futures edge higher on MCX: Gold futures edged higher on MCX due to a firming trend overseas where gold rebounded from a fourweek low as the latest twist in tensions between the US and North Korea prompted investors to seek out the safe-haven asset.

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22/09/2017

TECHNICAL ANALYST

GOLD

OUTLOOK: TREND: - DOWN RESISTANCE: - 29800, 29900. SUPPORT: - 29600, 29500. STRATEGY: - SELL ON HIGH.

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

COMEX Gold slipped heavily yesterday and extended the slide further today after the US Federal Reserve announced that, for the first time in nine years, it would start reducing the size of its $4.5 trillion asset portfolio starting in October. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as widely expected, but said it would start to shrink its balance sheet by $10 billion a month. The Fed also noted that a December rate increase remains on the table. This pulled the metal is a flash, sliding nearly ten dollars within an hour. The commodity extended losses today and currently trades at $1302 per ounce, down 1% on the day. These are the lowest levels in last one month for the counter. MCX Gold futures should see a sharp slide in early moves following these cues. The counter ended at Rs 29774 per 10 grams yesterday, up half a percent on the day.

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22/09/2017

SILVER

OUTLOOK: TREND: - DOWN RESISTANCE: - 40200, 40400. SUPPORT: - 39800, 39600. STRATEGY: - SELL ON HIGH.

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK The Prices of silver were gained on Thursday. And at end of the day the prices were settled at 39833 per 30 kilogram. On the higher side Rs 40080 per 30 kilogram as resistances were noted while lows were at Rs 39515 per 30 kilograms as support noted. The metals remain under a volatile zone.

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22/09/2017

COPPER

OUTLOOK: TREND: - DOWN RESISTANCE: - 422.50,425. SUPPORT: -418, 415.50. STRATEGY: - SELL ON HIGH.

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK COMEX Copper has slipped 1% in Asia to quote around $2.90 per pound amid continued worries over Chinese economy and a broad correction in Asian equities. According to the latest report from International Copper Study Group (ICSG) World refined copper balance for the first half of 2017 indicated a deficit of around 75,000 t. World mine production is estimated to have declined by around 2% in the first half of 2017, with concentrate production declining by around 1.7% and solvent extraction-electrowinning (SX-EW) declining by around 3.5%.

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22/09/2017

CRUDE OIL OUTLOOK: TREND: - DOWN RESISTANCE: - 3330, 3360. SUPPORT: - 3270, 3240. STRATEGY: - SELL ON HIGH.

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK Benchmark crude oil futures for November delivery ended lower by 14 cents or 0.3 percent at $50.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for November delivery gained 12 cent to $56.41 a barrel on the ICE. On MCX crude oil price 3295, made a resistance for a day at 3312, and support for day at 3255.

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22/09/2017

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22/09/2017

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