Commodity report ways2capital 30 march 2015

Page 1


✍ NCDEX DAILY LEVELS DALLY

EXPIRY

R4

R3

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

S3

S4

SYOREFIDR

20 APR 15

607

599

590

585

582

577

574

565

557

SYBEANIDR

20 APR 15

3,434

3,415

3,396

3,389

3,377

3,370

3,358

3,339

3,320

RMSEED

20 APR 15

3,464

3,433

3,402

3,386

3,371

3,355

3,340

3,309

3,278

JEERAUNJHA

20 APR 15

15,331

15,031 14,731 14,583 14,431 14,283 14,131 13,831

13,531

CHANA

20 APR 15

3,696

3,669

3,642

3,628

3,615

3,601

3,588

3,561

3,534

CASTORSEED

20 APR 15

3,821

3,771

3,721

3,702

3,671

3,652

3,621

3,571

3,521

✍ NCDEX WEEKLY LEVELS WEEKLY

EXPIRY

R4

R3

R2

SYOREFIDR

20 APR 15

627

613

598

589

584

575

570

555

541

SYBEANIDR

20 APR 15

3,504

3,461

3,418

3,400

3,375

3,357

3,332

3,289

3,246

RMSEED

20 APR 15

3,538

3,485

3,432

3,401

3,379

3,348

3,326

3,273

3,220

JEERAUNJHA

20 APR 15

16,011

15,491 14,971 14,703 14,451 14,183 13,931 13,411

12,891

CHANA

20 APR 15

3,820

3,751

3,406

3,682

R1

3,648

PP

3,613

S1

3,579

S2

3,544

S3

3,475

S4


✍ MCX DAILY LEVELS DALLY DAILY

EXPIRY R4 EXPIRY R4

R3 R3

R2 R2

R1 R1

PP PP

S1 S1

S2 S2

S3 S3

S4 S4

ALUMINIUM 31 MAR

116

114

113

112

111

110

109

107

106

COPPER

30 APR 15

413

404

395

390

386

381

377

368

359

CRUDE OIL

20 APR15

3,449

3,354

3,259

3,202

3,164

3,107

3,069

2,974

2,879

GOLD

03APR 15 27,684 27,313 26,942 26,756 26,571 26,385 26,200 25,829

25,458

LEAD

31 MAR

119

117

116

115

114

113

112

110

109

NATURAL

27 APR 15

179

175

171

169

167

165

163

159

155

NICKEL

31 MAR

932

901

870

850

839

819

808

777

746

SILVER

05 MAY

40,491 39,766 39,041 38,707 38,316 37,982 37,591 36,866

36,141

✍ MCX WEEKLY LEVELS WEEKLY ALUMINIUM

EXPIRY R4 31 MAR 15 119

R3 116

R2 114

R1 112

COPPER

30 APR 15

CRUDE OIL

439

422

405

395

388

378

20 APR15

4,651

4,142

3,633

3,389

3,124

2,880

GOLD

03APR 15

29,270 28,362 27,454 27,012 26,546 26,104 25,638 24,730 23,822

LEAD

31 MAR 15

NATURAL GAS 27 APR 15

PP S1 111 109

S2 108 371

S3 S4 106 103 354

2,615 2,106

337 1,597

134

127

121

117

114

110

107

100

94

198

188

179

172

169

163

159

150

140

NICKEL

31 MAR 15 1,042

978

914

872

850

808

786

722

658

ALUMINIUM

31 MAR 15

119

116

114

112

111

109

108

106

103

COPPER

30 APR 15

439

422

405

395

388

378

371

354

337


✍ MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS INTERNATIONAL NEWS

1.

US Last GDP for the last quarter stayed the same at 2.2 %.

2.

Japan’s Prelim Industrial Production for delved to 3.4%.

3.

UK’s National HPI for the 30 days of dropped to 0.1 %.

Asian markets are trading soft due to a week’s holiday on account of Easter time being recognized across the world and an future U.S. jobs review that could affect the moment of the first increase in interest levels.

The US dollar index dropped by 0.7 % a couple weeks ago after the release of poor US economic data which hit the trader feeling on displaying slow growth of the U.S. economy less than prediction in the fourth quarter and another review displaying that customer feeling worsened this 30 days. Also stress in Middle-East and rapid climb of US Money led to companies taking back their profits. US index made a every week low of 96.32 and shut at 97.52 on Saturday.

US Final GDP for remain the same at 2.2 % as in comparison to its previous quarter. US Improved UoM Consumer Sentiment for the 30 days of Goal dropped less than estimated to 93.0 as in comparison to 91.2 in Feb.

indian Rupee dropped by 0.2 % in the a couple weeks ago on month-end requirement for the American forex from banks and importers. Also, stress in middle-east reduced the risk appetite, thereby harming the requirement for the forex.


� PRECIOUS METAL

Silver prices in the international markets rose by 1.32 percent and closed at $16.95/oz. On the MCX, silver prices rose by 1.6 percent and closed at Rs.38395/kg. Last week, spot silver prices in the international markets traded higher in tandem with rise in gold prices. Weak dollar further boosted the metal prices acting as a positive factor. In the international markets, gold prices rose by 2.02 percent last week and closed at $1198.8/oz. On the MCX, gold prices jumped by 1.48 percent last week and closed at Rs.26569/10 gms. Gold price increased last week after a knee-jerk respond to increasing stress in the Center Eastern broken shares and forced traders into resources considered as lower-risk, such as bullion. Investors favoring bullion over the past few days because of a downturn in the money after the Government Reserve's careful position on the U.S. economic system and reducing chance of an early amount increase. Federal Source policymaker Wayne Bullard said last Wednesday that a first amount increase "sometime in the summer" would still keep financial plan extremely accommodative, and that market objectives should be better arranged with those of the Fed considering the present "boom time" for the U.S. economic system.

� ENERGY US crude was boosted by the strong economic data. The U.S. Commerce Department announced that new home sales jumped 7.8 percent to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 539,000 units last month, the highest since February 2008. Financial information services firm Markit said its U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index rose to its highest since October. Last week, WTI oil prices in the international markets rose by 6.89 percent and closed at $48.87/bbl. On the MCX, crude prices rose by 6.92 percent and closed at Rs.3152/bbl.


Oil price higher on both ends of the Ocean with a U turn in WTI as well as Brent raw. Air attacks in Yemen by Saudi Arabic and its Beach Arabic companions stimulated worries that escalation of the Center Eastern fight could affect world raw provides. The Saudi army function against the Iran-backed Houthi rebels, who have motivated Yemen's chief executive from the investment Sanaa, has not impacted oil features of major Beach manufacturers. Weak us index, battling in Yemen and risky buying enhanced raw costs regardless of U.S. stocks building to history peaks for an Eleventh week.

� BASE METAL MCX copper prices jumped by 0.7 percent last week and closed at Rs.384.9/kg on Friday owing to Rupee depreciation. Copper gained 0.3 percent last week as mine closures in Chile coupled with rally by Brent crude oil increased mine costs and spurred buying across the commodities sector. In addition, decline in LME stocks along with positive data from Germany supported gains. However, sharp upside was restricted after data showed that Chinese manufacturing activity swung into contraction this month, underlining concerns over the health of the world's second largest economy. Also, orders for durable goods unexpectedly dropped in February, a sign the slowdown in global growth may be weighing on American manufacturers. Base Metal on the LME from Aluminum and others greater last week due to sluggish dollar Federal Source Chair Jesse Yellen said rates would likely start increasing later this year though she strengthened her point that the speed of shrinking would be constant and would rely a lot on data. However, concerns over China’s growth along with doubt in Portugal limited distinct benefits. On the MCX, base materials except Aluminum and nickel greater in line with worldwide styles.


NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS

✍ JEERA Jeera closed 0.03 % due to unfortunate rain fall. The investors and stockiest were definitely purchasing on inquiries for the exports. There are reviews of plants harm of the new year plants due to unseasonal down pours in Gujarat and Rajasthan.

According to Gujarat govt information launched on Nineteenth Jan 15, Jeera documented 2.64 lakh hac, 42% less planting in comparison to last year’s 4.54 lakh hac. The provides of Jeera predicted to development of the next 30 days due to appearance of new year plants.

Export purchases are redirected to Indian due to Geo-political stress in Syria and Poultry. .Jeera (cumin) exports have been 87,500 loads in the first six several weeks (Apr-Sep) of 2014-15, a increase of 25% from the corresponding interval of the past (Source: Spices or herbs Board)

The suppliers and stockiest are also purchasing on expectation of smaller routes in arriving 30 days on expectation of reduced manufacturing.

Jeera may trade on positive note, as there is good demand for exports. The retailers and stockiest are also buying at current market prices on anticipation of lesser arrivals in coming month on anticipation of lower production. However, arrival pressure and profit booking may cap the price rise..

✍ CHANA

NCDEX Chana Apr. futures closed higher on Friday by 0.11% Latest unseasonal down pours in growing areas might have impacted the development and growing of plants.


As per 2nd Advance Reports for 2014-15, Chana manufacturing approximated at 8.28 thousand plenty in comparison to 9.53 thousand plenty last year.

As per the Government data, Chana has planted over 85.91 lakh hectares, which is 16 % less as on Feb 13, 2015 as in comparison to last year’s 102.25 lakh hac. Whereas, place protection under complete Impulses is at 145.92 lakh hectares while the last year’s planting place protection was 162.21 lakh hectares.

Chana futures trading predicted to business on combined observe as appearance of new plants in Mandis predicted to pick up gradually in future. Overall look positive for Chana in long lasting amongst predicted reduced outcome and duty-free imports permitted until Mar 2015.

✍ SOYABEAN NCDEX Soy bean Apr futures trading exchanged on positive observe on excellent household requirement and closed higher by 0.21 % in the previous trading period at 3382 rupees per quintal. India's oil food exports is expected to drop about 40 % in 2014/15 due to reduced requirement for soymeal as key buyers like Iran and Asia change to less expensive provides from South America. In Jan 2015, Soymeal exports dropped by more than 71 % to 104,426 loads against 364,443 loads in the same month a season ago. As per latest WASDE review, international soybean manufacturing is at a record 315.1 thousand plenty with South america soybean manufacturing approximated at 94.5 thousand plenty, Argentina at 56.0 thousand, and Paraguay at 8.5 thousand. Global oilseed finishing shares are approximated at 103.3 thousand plenty. Global oilseed business for 2014/15 is approximated at 136.8 thousand plenty, up 0.3 thousand mainly showing improved soybean exports for Paraguay and Indian. The USDA institution in Chinese suppliers approximated that Chinese suppliers would transfer 73.0m loads in 2014-15, a rise of 3.7% season on season, and 1.0m loads below the division's formal prediction.


Soybean futures trading may business on a combined observe on gradual requirement for oil food exports but excellent buying support at affordable costs might maintain the costs.

✍ REFINED SOYA OIL Ref soy oil Apr futures closed down in previous trading session on due to profit booking at higher levels on futures market, however spot market was mixed a higher imports of edible. Soybean oil Import has shown 7% growth in Feb 15 as compared to Jan 15. In the month of Feb 15, there is an increase of 149.15 per cent import of Crude soybean oil to 240,235 tonnes as compared to last year’s 96,420 tonnes. It is mainly due to high prices of soybean and lesser realization for oil and soybean meal in export market, resulted in lower crushing and availability of domestic oil coupled with anticipated increase in import duty by the GOI. According to latest report of US Department of Agriculture (USDA), the domestic consumption of soybean oil in India is likely to be at around 3.40 million tons against 3.30 million tons last year. The customs duty on crude oil has been increased to 7.5 per cent from 2.5 per cent earlier, while the duty on refined edible oil has been raised to 15 per cent from 10 per cent, as per the notification issued by the Central Board of Excise and Customs

✍ RM SEED Mustard seed futures closed lower by 0.44% on Friday on good supplies from new season crop. Reports on recent unseasonal rains in North India might delay the arrivals of the crops to the market. India rapeseed production is projected at 5.74million tons, down 12% on lower area according to Solvent Extractors' Association of India (SEA). The acreage in the country is down by about 3.2% at about 63.8 lakh hectares (lh). India’s farm ministry has proposed to cut the 30 per cent import duty on oilseeds in the Budget to help local refiners make use of unutilized capacity. Global rapeseed production is projected at a record 71.9 million tons. EU rapeseed production is expected to fall by as much as 7% this year to 32.85 mt., compared to 2014, according to Copa-Cogeca.


� LME Inventory 30-03-2015 COMMODITY

DATA

Aluminium

- 6900

Copper

- 2575

Lead

+1668

Nickel

+ 625

Zinc

- 2525


LEGAL DISCLAIMER This Document has been prepared by Ways2Capital (A Division of High Brow Market Research Investment Advisory Pvt Ltd). The information, analysis and estimates contained herein are based on Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research assessment and have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of the intended recipient only. This document, at best, represents Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research opinion and is meant for general information only. Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research, its directors, officers or employees shall not in any way to be responsible for the contents stated herein. Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research expressly disclaims any and all liabilities that may arise from information, errors or omissions in this connection. This document is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities or commodities. All information, levels & recommendations provided above are given on the basis of technical & fundamental research done by the panel of expert of Ways2Capital but we do not accept any liability for errors of opinion. People surfing through the website have right to opt the product services of their own choices. Any investment in commodity market bears risk, company will not be liable for any loss done on these recommendations. These levels do not necessarily indicate future price moment. Company holds the right to alter the information without any further notice. Any browsing through website means acceptance of disclaimer.


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.