Equity report 08 jan 2018

Page 1

HIGH BROW MARKET RESEARCH INVESTMENT ADVISOR PRIVATE LIMITED

PHONE: 0731-6554125 | MAIL: SUPPORT@WAYS2CAPITAL.COM | ADD : 515-516, SHAGUN ARCADE,VIJAY NAGAR, INDORE, MP, 452001


Market Wrap-Up MAJOR INDICES INDEX

CLOSING (As on 5th Jan 18)

CURRENCY MARKET UPDATE

CLOSING Weekly Change (As on 29th Dec 17) (in %)

Currency Pair

Current Closing

Previous Closing

Weekly Change (in %)

NIFTY 50

10558.85

10530.7

0.27%

USDINR

63.275

63.84

-0.89%

NIFTY 100

11,051.25

10985.15

0.60%

GBPINR

85.843

86.276

-0.50%

NIFTY 200

5,855.30

5,814.10

0.71%

EURINR

76.195

76.595

-0.52%

NIFTY 500

9,573.45

9490.65

0.87%

JPYINR

0.5602

0.5665

-1.11%

INDIA VIX

13.11

12.67

3.49%

EURUSD

1.2029

1.1998

0.26%

NIFTY BANK

25,601.85

25539.45

0.24%

GBPUSD

1.3573

1.3515

0.43%

NIFTY AUTO

11,929.60

12,009.70

-0.67%

Dollar Index

91.75

91.83

-0.09%

NIFTY FIN SERVICE

10,473.25

10475.15

-0.02%

NIFTY FMCG

26,914.30

26,851.50

0.23%

NIFTY IT

11,633.55

11665.75

-0.28%

NIFTY MEDIA

3,529.55

3,464.30

1.88%

NIFTY METAL

4,130.40

3940.15

4.83%

NIFTY PHARMA

9,701.05

9,620.10

0.84%

NIFTY PSU BANK

3,694.70

3700.55

-0.16%

NIFTY PVT BANK

14,234.20

14,139.65

347.30

346.9

NIFTY REALTY 2

COMMODITY MARKET UPDATE Current Closing

Previous Weekly Change (in %) Closing

Gold COMEX

1320.20

1309.30

-0.83%

Gold MCX

29217.00

29156.00

-0.21%

61.56

60.42

-1.85%

3887.00

3850.00

-0.95%

Brent Oil NYMEX

67.72

66.87

-1.26%

0.67%

Copper MCX

452.50

466.00

2.98%

0.12%

Natural Gas MCX

177.10

187.30

5.76%

Commodity

Crude Oil NYMEX Crude Oil MCX

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

08/01/2018


Market at a Glance NIFTY50 WEEKLY GAINERS CURRENT CLOSING

PREVIOUS CLOSING

WEEKLY CHANGE (in %)

COAL INDIA

262.95

278.75

5.67%

YESBANK

315.15

332.85

5.32%

TATA STEEL

732.4

770.70

4.97%

L&T

1258.25

1314.90

4.31%

ADANI PORT

405.65

423.80

4.28%

SCRIP

NIFTY50 WEEKLY LOSERS SCRIP BPCL

3

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

CURRENT CLOSING

PREVIOUS WEEKLY CLOSING CHANGE (in %)

517.7

487.70

-6.15%

EICHER MOTOR

30340.85

29237.00

-3.78%

MARUTI SUZUKI

9729.55

9433.85

-3.13%

INFY

1042.05

1012.00

-2.97%

AUROPHARAM

687.95

671.15

-2.50% 08/01/2018


Economic Calendar UPCOMING ECONOMIC EVENT CALENDER Time

Currency

14:00

GBP

Event Monday, January 8, 2018 Halifax House Price Index (MoM) (Dec)

Forecast

Previous

0.20%

0.50%

Tuesday, January 9, 2018 5:31

GBP

BRC Retail Sales Monitor (YoY) (Dec)

-

0.60%

20:30

USD

JOLTs Job Openings (Nov)

-

5.996M

Wednesday, January 10, 2018 7:00

CNY

CPI (MoM) (Dec)

0.40%

0.00%

15:00

GBP

Industrial Production (MoM) (Nov)

0.30%

0.70%

15:00

GBP

Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Nov)

0.30%

0.10%

15:00

GBP

Trade Balance (Nov)

-10.70B

-10.78B

21:00

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-

-7.419M

19:00

USD

Core PPI (MoM) (Dec)

0.20%

0.30%

19:00

USD

Initial Jobless Claims

245K

250K

19:00

USD

PPI (MoM) (Dec)

0.20%

0.40%

Thursday, January 11, 2018

Friday, January 12, 2018

4

0:30

USD

Federal Budget Balance (Dec)

-30.0B

-139.0B

19:00

USD

Core CPI (YoY) (Dec)

1.70%

1.70%

19:00

USD

Core CPI (MoM) (Dec)

0.20%

0.10%

19:00

USD

Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)

0.40%

1.00%

19:00

USD

CPI (MoM) (Dec)

0.20%

0.40%

19:00

USD

Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)

0.40%

0.80%

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

08/01/2018


Weekly Pivots NIFTY 50 WEEKLY PIVOTS (CASH SEGMENT) SCRIP NAME

R4

R3

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

S3

S4

ADANIPORTS

511.05

479.10

447.15

435.40

415.20

403.45

383.25

351.30

319.35

AMBUJACEM

309.55

297.05

284.55

278.95

272.02

266.40

259.50

247.00

234.50

ASIANPAINT

1344.95

1287.00

1229.05

1208.10

1171.07

1150.10

1113.10

1055.15

997.20

AUROPHARMA

753.45

726.75

700.05

685.05

673.32

658.30

646.60

619.90

593.20

AXISBANK

599.85

587.60

575.35

569.85

563.08

557.55

550.80

538.55

526.30

BAJAJ-AUTO

3669.35

3540.35

3411.35

3345.70

3282.33

3216.65

3153.30

3024.30

2895.30

BAJFINANCE

2116.00

2005.00

1894.00

1856.00

1783.00

1745.00

1672.00

1561.00

1450.00

BHARTIARTL

623.40

592.75

562.10

551.00

531.42

520.30

500.75

470.10

439.45

20873.35

20491.35

20109.35

19879.70

19727.33

19497.65

19345.30

18963.30

18581.30

BPCL

582.80

553.55

524.30

506.40

495.03

477.10

465.75

436.50

407.25

CIPLA

661.20

644.80

628.40

620.55

612.00

604.15

595.60

579.20

562.80

COALINDIA

316.20

302.55

288.90

283.45

275.22

269.75

261.55

247.90

234.25

DRREDDY

2838.70

2702.70

2566.70

2518.35

2430.67

2382.30

2294.65

2158.65

2022.65

EICHERMOT

33826.70

32286.70

30746.70

29998.35

29206.67

28458.30

27666.65

26126.65

24586.65

GAIL

539.10

524.80

510.50

502.70

496.20

488.40

481.90

467.60

453.30

HCLTECH

971.60

945.45

919.30

909.40

893.12

883.20

866.95

840.80

814.65

BOSCHLTD

Continued ....... 5

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

08/01/2018


Weekly Pivots NIFTY50 WEEKLY PIVOTS (CASH SEGMENT) SCRIP NAME

R4

R3

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

S3

S4

HDFC

1851.95

1806.35

1760.75

1744.90

1715.13

1699.25

1669.50

1623.90

1578.30

HDFCBANK

1929.70

1907.70

1885.70

1874.40

1863.68

1852.35

1841.65

1819.65

1797.65

HEROMOTOCO

3947.20

3882.10

3817.00

3784.50

3751.87

3719.35

3686.75

3621.65

3556.55

HINDALCO

323.80

307.90

292.00

284.10

276.08

268.15

260.15

244.25

228.35

HINDPETRO

475.35

454.45

433.55

424.30

412.63

403.35

391.70

370.80

349.90

HINDUNILVR

1451.25

1416.85

1382.45

1367.55

1348.05

1333.15

1313.65

1279.25

1244.85

IBULHSGFIN

1308.30

1271.70

1235.10

1217.05

1198.47

1180.40

1161.85

1125.25

1088.65

ICICIBANK

336.65

328.50

320.35

316.90

312.18

308.70

304.00

295.85

287.70

INDUSINDBK

1907.10

1830.20

1753.30

1726.65

1676.37

1649.70

1599.45

1522.55

1445.65

INFRATEL

409.90

398.20

386.50

379.45

374.77

367.70

363.05

351.35

339.65

INFY

1128.75

1092.75

1056.75

1035.50

1020.75

999.50

984.75

948.75

912.75

IOC

418.70

407.90

397.10

390.60

386.30

379.80

375.50

364.70

353.90

ITC

273.80

270.05

266.30

264.65

262.55

260.90

258.80

255.05

251.30

KOTAKBANK

1043.35

1029.15

1014.95

1009.00

1000.73

994.75

986.50

972.30

958.10

LT

1552.70

1466.60

1380.50

1345.95

1294.40

1259.85

1208.30

1122.20

1036.10

LUPIN

994.80

960.45

926.10

913.45

891.75

879.10

857.40

823.05

788.70

6

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

Continued ....... 08/01/2018


Weekly Pivots NIFTY50 WEEKLY PIVOTS (CASH SEGMENT) SCRIP NAME

R4

R3

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

S3

S4

798.40

783.70

769.00

762.30

754.30

747.60

739.60

724.90

710.20

10565.70

10214.30

9862.90

9655.80

9511.50

9304.40

9160.10

8808.70

8457.30

NTPC

185.95

183.20

180.45

178.85

177.67

176.05

174.90

172.15

169.40

ONGC

215.85

209.90

203.95

201.00

197.98

195.00

192.00

186.05

180.10

POWERGRID

211.75

208.20

204.65

202.90

201.10

199.35

197.55

194.00

190.45

RELIANCE

980.30

959.80

939.30

931.15

918.77

910.60

898.25

877.75

857.25

SBIN

336.85

326.80

316.75

312.00

306.67

301.90

296.60

286.55

276.50

SUNPHARMA

657.35

630.10

602.85

591.10

575.58

563.80

548.30

521.05

493.80

TATAMOTORS

487.65

468.80

449.95

440.15

431.07

421.25

412.20

393.35

374.50

TATASTEEL

939.15

877.50

815.85

793.15

754.18

731.45

692.50

630.85

569.20

TCS

2909.50

2830.20

2750.90

2722.95

2671.57

2643.60

2592.25

2512.95

2433.65

TECHM

589.00

565.50

542.00

533.50

518.48

509.95

494.95

471.45

447.95

ULTRACEMCO

4854.90

4686.70

4518.50

4456.75

4350.27

4288.50

4182.05

4013.85

3845.65

UPL

887.40

848.30

809.20

791.65

770.07

752.50

730.95

691.85

652.75

VEDL

417.45

389.85

362.25

350.55

334.62

322.90

307.00

279.40

251.80

WIPRO

363.50

346.95

330.40

320.25

313.83

303.65

297.25

280.70

264.15

YESBANK

418.25

387.50

356.75

344.85

325.98

314.05

295.20

264.45

233.70

ZEEL

629.40

614.10

598.80

592.25

583.50

576.95

568.20

552.90

537.60

M&M MARUTI

7

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

08/01/2018


Open Interest & Price Analysis NIFTY OPTIONS OPEN INTEREST ANALYSIS

SHORT COVERING

LONG BUILD-UP

Change in OI (in %)

Change in Price (in%)

CUMMINSIND

-21.92%

5.87%

6.56%

RPOWER

-13.04%

16.96%

35.46%

2.14%

CADILAHC

-12.73%

1.16%

ADANIPORTS

32.73%

4.56%

ASHOKLEY

-11.91%

6.68%

PCJEWELLER

32.48%

7.39%

BALKRISIND

-8.41%

1.60%

Change in OI (in %)

Change in Price (in%)

RNAVAL

94.08%

15.93%

UBL

52.83%

BATAINDIA

Scrip

Scrip

LONG UNWINDING

SHORT BUILD-UP

Change in OI (in %)

Change in Price (in%)

HDIL

-28.70%

-3.18%

-4.92%

JPASSOCIAT

-8.74%

-4.02%

23.34%

-1.70%

ICIL

-7.50%

-2.92%

SREINFRA

23.22%

-1.94%

JSWENERGY

-4.88%

-1.34%

KOTAKBANK

21.50%

-0.81%

AXISBANK

-4.45%

-0.23%

Change in OI (in %)

Change in Price (in%)

OFSS

34.01%

-0.21%

BPCL

32.77%

IGL

Scrip

8

Scrip

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

Analysis : As per the analysis of above chart. Major Resistance Level: 10600 & 11000. Major Support Levels:- 10400 followed by 10300 & 10000. 08/01/2018


Nifty Analysis WEEKLY PIVOTS

Fundamental Outlook

PARTICULAR

LEVELS

R4

10967.05

R3

10821.55

R2

10676.05

R1

10624.60

PP

10530.55

will provide further direction to the market.

P1

10479.10

Technical Outlook

P2

10385.05

Last week Nifty Jan Futures made a all time high of 10582 and closed at 10573.20 with the marginal gain of

P3

10239.55

P4

10094.05

Last week, equity benchmark index Nifty consolidated on higher level with the negative bias for the entire week and managed to sustain above the major support level of 10400. Fundamentally Nifty is still looking bullish due to continuous positive trends from FII & DII and on the expectation of positive outcomes of economic reforms taken by centre govt last year. Nifty traded with a PE Ratio range of 26.99 – 26.68 during the week and sustaining in this range from the last couple of months. FII & DII activity witnessed almost positive trend for the entire week & provided support to benchmark index to sustain on the higher levels. On Macroeconomic front; data like Infrastructure Output, M3 Money Supply, Bank Loan Growth, Deposit Growth, FX Reserves USD etc released last week but none of those able to put significant impact on the Index movement. For this week, economic data like CPI, Trade Balance and Industrial Production coupled with the FII & DII activity

0.15% on weekly basis. Nifty weekly charts survived without making not even 1% negative returns on weekly basis consecutively for the 5th week and continuously making higher highs.

Continued ….... 9

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

08/01/2018


Nifty Analysis WEEKLY STRATEGY

As we talk about in our previous report 10400-10500 level would be react as a major resistance zone and recently we seen market has been broken its resistance area with higher volume and open interest indicating

PERTICULAR

TARGET

ACTION

Buy

ENTRY PRICE

Above 10600

TARGET

10750/ 10800

STOP LOSS

10498

building of long positions. All technical indicators are indicating bullish trend for short term to mid term. The India VIX, which measures the implied volatility of Nifty 50 options, was up 4.75% to 13.7350. Moving ahead, Nifty can resist by the level of 10670-10690.

TECHNICAL INDICATOR ANALYSIS INDICATOR

For this week, traders can adopt buy on lower levels strategy in it and above the level of Rs.10600 it can test the level of Rs.10750/ 10800 during the week. Trades can make buy position in it by maintaining a Stop Loss of Rs.10498

CURRENT TREND

20 Days EMA

POSITIVE

50 Days EMA

POSITIVE

200 Days EMA

POSITIVE

RSI

POSITIVE

MACD

POSITIVE

STOCHASTIC

POSITIVE Continued …....

10

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

08/01/2018


Bank Nifty Analysis Technical Outlook

WEEKLY STRATEGY

Last week Bank Nifty Jan Futures made a high of 25668.30 and closed at 25363.50 with the marginal gain of 0.3% on weekly basis. It’s consolidating near to its important resistance level of 25800 from last 15 days & also sus-

PERTICULAR

TARGET

taining above the 50 Days SMA. It’s forming very good consolidation on the charts with positive RSI and techni-

ACTION

Buy

ENTRY PRICE

Above 25700

TARGET

26000/ 26200

STOP LOSS

25495

cally for this week, traders can go for buy in it from the lower levels as we are expecting good upside movement in it.

WEEKLY PIVOTS PARTICULAR

LEVELS

R4

26673.05

R3

26292.30

R2

25911.55

R1

25774.05

PP

25530.80

P1

25393.30

For this week, traders can adopt buy on lower levels strategy in it and above the level of Rs.27500 it can test the

P2

25150.05

level of Rs.26000/ 26200 during the week. Trades can make buy position in it by maintaining a Stop Loss of

P3

24769.30

Rs.25495

P4

24388.55

11

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

08/01/2018


NBCC ( Call of the Week Cash) Technical Outlook

WEEKLY STRATEGY

NBCC almost fall 20% from its life time high of Rs.291.30 in the month of Nov-Dec 17 and last week traded in the range of 242 – 252. Last week, we saw recovery in it from the lower levels and it’s forming good bullish candlestick pattern also. Currently it’s sustaining above the downward trend line breakout with the continuous increase in the volume, which is indicating buying formation on the charts & for this week, we can go for buy in it.

PERTICULAR

DETAILS

ACTION

Buy

ENTRY PRICE

Above 253

TARGET

263

STOP LOSS

245

WEEKLY PIVOTS

For this week, traders can adopt buy on lower levels strategy in it and above the level of Rs.253 it can test the level of Rs.263 upside during the week. Trades can make buy position in it by maintaining a Stop Loss of Rs.245. 12

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

PARTICULAR

LEVELS

R4

279.05

R3

268.90

R2

258.75

R1

254.70

PP

248.6

P1

244.55

P2

238.45

P3

228.30

P4

218.15 08/01/2018


JAMNAAUTO ( Call of the Week Cash) Technical Outlook

WEEKLY STRATEGY

JAMNAAUTO is consolidating near to its life time high of Rs.87.80 from last 15 days with above average vol-

PARTICULAR

TARGET

ume. It almost witnessed 2.5 % in last week and also trading in the overbought zone of RSI (currently around

ACTION

Buy

ENTRY PRICE

84

TARGET

86.5

STOP LOSS

82.4

73). It’s forming very good consolidation on the charts with positive bias and technically for the next week, traders can go for buy in it from the lower levels as we are expecting good upside rally in it.

WEEKLY PIVOTS

For this week, traders can adopt buy on lower levels strategy in it and above the level of Rs.84 it can test the level of Rs.86.50 upside during the week. Trades can make buy position in it by maintaining a Stop Loss of Rs.82.50 13

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

PARTICULAR

LEVELS

R4

97.90

R3

92.65

R2

87.40

R1

85.25

PP

82.15

P1

80.00

P2

76.90

P3

71.65

P4

66.40 08/01/2018


INDIACEM ( Call of the Week Futures ) Technical Outlook

WEEKLY STRATEGY

Last week INDIACEM broke its major resistance level of Rs.199.10 and closed at Rs. 199.05 with overall gain of

PARTICULAR

TARGET

8.50%. It’s still trading near to its major psychological resistance level of Rs.200 after the downward trend line

ACTION

Buy

ENTRY PRICE

202

TARGET

208

STOP LOSS

199

breakout. Currently it’s sustaining above the downward trend line breakout with the continuous increase in the volume and RSI, which is indicating buying formation on the charts & for this week, we can go for buy in it.

WEEKLY PIVOTS PARTICULAR

LEVELS

R4

264.30

R3

240.65

R2

217.00

R1

208.45

PP

193.35

P1

184.80

For this week, traders can adopt buy on lower levels strategy in it and above the level of Rs.202 it can test the

P2

169.70

level of Rs.208 upside during the week. Trades can make buy position in it by maintaining a Stop Loss of Rs.199

P3

146.05

P4

122.40

14

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

08/01/2018


CESC ( Call of the Week Futures) Technical Outlook

WEEKLY STRATEGY

CESC sustaining on higher levels from last 2-3 months and currently trading above the major psychological resistance level of Rs.1000. Last week it made a high of Rs.1106.50 and closed at Rs.1092.55 with the overall gain of 3.5% on weekly basis. It’s forming very good consolidation on the charts with overbought RSI (currently around 70) and technically for the next week, traders can go for buy in it from the lower levels as we are expecting good upside rally in it.

PARTICULAR

TARGET

ACTION

Buy

ENTRY PRICE

1106.5

TARGET

1126.65

STOP LOSS

1095.9

WEEKLY PIVOTS PARTICULAR

LEVELS

R4

1251.30

R3

1195.25

R2

1139.20

R1

1115.85

PP

1083.15

P1

1059.80

For this week, traders can adopt buy on lower levels strategy in it and above the level of Rs.1106.50 it can test

P2

1027.10

the level of Rs.1126.95 upside during the week. Trades can make buy position in it by maintaining a Stop Loss of

P3

971.05

P4

915.00

Rs.1095.90 15

Copyright © 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

08/01/2018


Disclaimer LEGAL DISCLAIMER This Document has been prepared by Ways2Capital (A Division of High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt Ltd). The information, analysis and estimates contained herein are based on Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research assessment and have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of the intended recipient only. This document, at best, represents Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research opinion and is meant for general information only. Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research, its directors, officers or employees shall not in any way to be responsible for the contents stated herein. Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research expressly disclaims any and all liabilities that may arise from information, errors or omissions in this connection. This document is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities or commodities. All information, levels & recommendations provided above are given on the basis of technical & fundamental research done by the panel of expert of Ways2Capital but we do not accept any liability for errors of opinion. People surfing through the website have right to opt the product services of their own choices. Any investment in commodity market bears risk, company will not be liable for any loss done on these recommendations. These levels do not necessarily indicate future price moment. Company holds the right to alter the information without any further notice. Any browsing through website means acceptance of disclaimer. Any investment in commodity market bears risk, company will not be liable for any loss done on these recommendations. These levels do not necessarily indicate future price moment. Company holds the right to alter the information without any further notice. Any browsing through website means acceptance of disclaimer.

DISCLOSURE High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. or its associates does not do business with companies covered in research report nor is associated in any manner with any issuer of products/ securities, this ensures that there is no actual or potential conflicts of interest. To ensure compliance with the regulatory body, we have resolved that the company and all its representatives will not make any trades in the market. Clients are advised to consider information provided in the report as opinion only & make investment decision of their own. Clients are also advised to read & understand terms & conditions of services published on website. No litigations have been filed against the company since the incorporation of the company.

DISCLOSURE APPENDIX: The reports are prepared by analysts who are employed by High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. All the views expressed in this report herein accurately reflects personal views about the subject company or companies & their securities and no part of compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this research report.

DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF CONFLICT OF INTEREST: (a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest; (b) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more in the securities of the subject company, (c) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associate has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF COMPENSATION: High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst's area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd.

DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF PUBLIC APPEARANCE: (a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months; (b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report. (c) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company; (d) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company.

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Copyright Š 2017 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved

08/01/2018


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