Equity report ways2capital 6 june 2016

Page 1


TECHNICAL TREND ( NIFTY - BANK NIFTY FUTURES ) NIFTY FIFTY : The Equity benchmark has opened in a positive note on Monday, the Nifty50 is up by 10 points or 0.12 per cent at 8166. The Nifty has rallied almost 500 points in last six to seven trading sessions. But for the last four day’s, it has been facing some Resistance near the 8200 level. We may see the more correction and the index can come down to around 8023 level, which is 38.20 per cent retracement level of the entire rally from 7700 to 8200. Continues expectation of US positive data. Which increased the possibility of a rate hike by the Fed in next meeting. Data release on Thursday suggested domestic economy grew at 7.9 per cent in march quarter to help india achieve a five year high annual growth rate of 7.6 per cent. The ECB is maintain the status quo for the fourth Monetary policy review on Thursday on moderate Inflation and economic growth . The Nifty crucial levels for the upcoming week would be around 8100-8200 in down side and 8300-8350 is in Up side.

BANK NIFTY : - is planning to float a fund that will invest in sunk loans held by lenders, minister of state for finance Jayant Sinha said on Tuesday, as the authorities strive to clean up balance sheets of banks. Bank loan to the Industrial Sector remained almost flat with a mere 0.1 per cent growth in April , Validating these concern that lack of Industrial Projects is taking the fizz out the economy Reserve Bank of India data showed loans to industry growth is 5.9 per cent in the same period. The Bank Nifty trend seen the Upside in a daily chart we may witness the Bank Nifty level around 17900-18100 in the upcoming week. The Crucial Levels for Bank Nifty is 17450-17570 and Upside is 1780018000.

Monday, 06 June 2016


TECHNICAL VIEW (NIFTY- BANK NIFTY FUTURES ) NIFTY DAILY

WEEKLY

MONTHLY

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

8379

8283

8235

8187

8091

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

8589

8335

8208

8081

7827

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

8530

8320

8215

8110

7900

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

18034

17816

17707

17598

17380

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

18016

17605

17194

16372

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

18835

18013

17602

17191

16369

BANK NIFTY DAILY

WEEKLY

18838

MONTHLY

MOVING AVERAGE

21 DAYS

50 DAYS

100 DAYS

200 DAYS

NIFTY

7960

7855

7609

7801

BANK NIFTY

16897

16552

15765

16520

PARABOLIC SAR

DAILY

WEEKLY

MONTHLY

NIFTY

7925

7725

6894

BANK NIFTY

16717

15757

13525


PATTERN FORMATION ( NIFTY )

Detail of Chart On the above given chart of Nifty has applies Bollinger Band and MACD and made the Supportive Trend line these are the trend identifying pattern and made Support level in the Nifty daily chart that made on the above given chart we have draw the for day period and it is able to break the 8200 up level. However in upcoming trading session it could break the level of 8300 which is the strong Resistance for the Nifty50 around 8300-8350. Now we are expecting that if the Nifty is able to sustain the 8200 level we are witness the market in upcoming trading session can see the Bull trend of Nifty for some more sessions on the other hand if Nifty rebound the 8200-8250 level again we may see the positive rally in the index. The Strong Support for Nifty50 is 8150-8200 and the Resistance is 8300-8350.


PATTERN FORMATION ( BANK NIFTY )

Details of ChartOn the above given chart of Nifty has applies the MACD and Bollinger Band, the Bank Nifty is looking Bullish for the upcoming trading sessions of next week. these are the trend identifying pattern and made the high of this month Bank Nifty daily chart that made on the above given chart we have draw the trend line for more than the week period and if it is able to break the Uper levels 17750-17800. However in upcoming trading session it could break these level which is the strong Resistance for Bank Nifty around 17750-17800. Now we are expecting that if the Bank Nifty is able to sustain the 1760017650 level we may witness the consolidation trend of Bank Nifty for some more sessions on the other hand if Bank Nifty rebound the 17750-17860 level again we may see the positive rally in the index. The Strong Support for Bank Nifty is 17500-17560 and the Resistance is 17700-17900.


NSE EQUITY DAILY LEVELS COMPANY NAME

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

ACC

EQ

1580

1570

1554

1544

1528

ALBK

EQ

53

52

51

50

49

AMBUJACEM

EQ

235

232

230

227

225

ASIAN PAINT

EQ

1042

1032

1023

1013

1004

AXISBANK

EQ

555

548

538

531

521

BAJAJ-AUTO

EQ

2823

2695

2631

2603

2567

BANKBARODA

EQ

146

143

142

139

138

BANKINDIA

EQ

89

87

85

83

82

BHEL

EQ

123

120

119

116

115

BHARTIARTL

EQ

369

365

360

356

351

CIPLA

EQ

475

471

469

465

463

COALINDIA

EQ

312

311

309

308

306

DLF

EQ

139

135

133

129

127

DRREDDY

EQ

3220

3190

3166

3136

3112

GAIL

EQ

380

375

373

368

366

GRASIM

EQ

4392

4356

4333

4297

4274

HCLTECH

EQ

728

725

722

719

716

HDFC

EQ

1278

1265

1256

1243

1234

HDFCBANK

EQ

1192

1182

1176

1166

1160

HEROMOTOCO

EQ

3244

3212

3180

3148

3116

HINDALCO

EQ

108

107

105

104

102

HINDUNILVR

EQ

899

891

880

872

861

ICICIBANK

EQ

248

246

244

242

240

ITC

EQ

362

358

355

351

348

INDUSIND BANK

EQ

1138

1131

1125

1118

1112

INFY

EQ

1288

1277

1269

1258

1250

JINDALSTEL

EQ

65

63

62

60

59

KOTAKBANK

EQ

791

780

762

751

733

LT

EQ

1497

1481

1468

1452

1439

M&M

EQ

1368

1362

1352

1346

1336

MRF

EQ

33868

33678

33489

33290

33110

MARUTI

EQ

4265

4241

4210

4186

4155

ONGC

EQ

215

214

212

211

209

ORIENTBANK

EQ

85

83

82

80

79

RCOM

EQ

52

50

49

48

47

RELCAPITAL

EQ

414

408

403

397

392

RELIANCE

EQ

966

962

959

955

952

RELINFRA

EQ

545

534

526

515

507

RPOWER

EQ

53

52

51

50

50

SBIN

EQ

205

200

198

193

191

SSLT( VEDL)

EQ

109

107

105

103

102

SUNPHARMA

EQ

757

746

741

730

725

TATAMOTORS

EQ

464

458

455

449

446

TATAPOWER

EQ

76

75

74

73

72

TATASTEEL

EQ

352

345

340

333

328

UNIONBANK

EQ

120

116

114

111

108


TOP 15 ACHIEVERS

SR.NO

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

SCRIPT NAME

PREV CLOSE

CMP

//

SR.NO

% CHANGE

HINDALCO INDUS

91.90

105.55

+14.85 %

TATAMOTORS

403.90

453.95

+12.39 %

COAL INDIA LTD

281

308

+9.83 %

ADANI PORTS

191

204

+6.70 %

AXIS BANK LTD

512

542

+5.90 %

NTPC

140

147

+5.35 %

HERO MOTOCORP

3002

3146

+4.79 %

KOTAK BANK

742

769

+3.60 %

AUROBINDO

763

789

+3.50 %

TECH MAHINDRA

535

551

+2.95 %

BAJAJ AUTO LTD

2563

2639

+2.94 %

HUL

861

884

+2.75 %

TATA STEEL

329

338

+2.72 %

ASIANPAINTS LTD

998

1025

+2.71 %

YES BANK LTD

1025

1049

+2.33 %

1 T44+T44+T44+T442+T44 A051A051A051A051A05 T332T332T332T3332T33 A. . . A. . . A. . . A. . . A. . 1. 1 A1 A M 92 9+32. M1 92 9+33. M1 92 9+34. M 92 94+35. M1 92 9 D O9 00 56 9D O9 00 56 9D O9 00 56 9D O9 00 56 9D O9 00 5 A T14. A T14. A T14. A T145. A T14 N O 7 %N O 7 %N O 7 %N O 7 %N O N IR11+0N IR11+0N IR11+0N IR116+0N IR11 TP S445TP S445TP S445TP S445TP S44 P O07.%P O07.%P O07.%P O077.%P O07 C R 3C R 3C R 3C R 3C R K T77+5K T77+5K T77+5K T778+5K T77 O S463O S463O S463O S463O S46 T29.%T29.%T29.%T299.%T29 A 6A 6A 6A 6A TK55+0TK55+0TK55+0TK55 +0TK55 10 352 352 352 352 35 E E E E E .%B51 B51.%B51.%B51.%B51 11 C A 9C A 9C A 9C A 9C A H 88+5H88+5H 88+5H88 +5H88 N H N H N H N H 12N H K682U K682U K682U K682U K68 U 14.% 14.% 14.% 14 . % 14 13 L 7L 7L 7L 7L M M91+A M M +A M A 91+5A 5 91+5A91 5 91 14 902A902A902A902A90 A S S S S S 82.% 82.% 82.% 82.% 82 H I 57H I 57H I 57H I 15 I 5 57H IA 1IA 1IA 1IA 1IA

TOP 15 LOOSERS

SCRIPT NAME

PREV CLOSE

SUN PHARMA

824

737

BHEL

128

118 -7.88 %

IDEA CELLULAR

113

105

757

721

GAIL

379

370

LUPIN

1480

1450

ULTRATECH

3248

3189

CIPLA

473

465

RELIANCE

974

959

ITC LTD

359

353

HDFC BANK

1186

1171

L&T

1474

1460

WIPRO

545

540

AMBUJA CEMENT

230

228

ONGC

213

211

-6.68 % AHCLATECH A

-4.71 % -2.39 % -2.03 % -1.82 % -1.74 % -1.54 % -1.50 % -1.27 % -0.97 % -0.84 %

NEXT WEEK STARS (AS PER ECHNICAL ANALYSIS PRIDICTION) +13.67 AMBUJA CEMENT AM 204 232 Futures Pack % BUJ 18128 20371 2. B +12.37 3. B 12+4.12+5.12+6.12+7. B12+B B B N N N N N % 1 1 1 1 A NSE CASH : BUY NETWORK18 ABOVE 43 TGT 46.80 SL 41.70 8T0O8T0O8T0O8T0O8T01 ACC 1240 1385 O +11.68 OSCH ACC 2 2 2 2 2 CEM S % LTD. 1S3. S1S3. S1S3. S321 1S3. S1S3TGT NSE CASH : BUY SOBHA LIMITED NSE CASH ABOVE 346 SL 312. . ENT C 2 7 C 2 7 C 2 7 C 2 7 C 2 7 3 3 262 3 SL 234. NSE CASH : BUY KIRIINDUS NSE CASH ABOVE 32413 TGT H 8L17H8L17H8L17H8L17H8L17 NSE CASH : BUY MONSANTO NSE CASH ABOVE 2500 TGT 2750 SL 2425. T

T

T

T

%D510 % NSE CASH : BUY RAMCOCEM 558 SL 495. L NSE CASH ABOVE LD %TGT LD %LD % D L

Cash Pack

T D .

% CHANGE

-10.62 %

N %N N %N N %N N %N N N D D P D P D P D P P R R R R A A A A R A A I A I A I A I A I

T

CMP

TTTT DDDD . . . .

NSE FUTURE : BUY NCC FUTURE ABOVE 73.10 TGT 74.40 SL 72.50 NSE FUTURE : BUY TATAELXSI FUTURE ABOVE 1827 TGT 1860 SL 1818 NSE FUTURE : BUY HINDALCO FUTURE ABOVE 107.30 TGT 109 SL 106.80 NSE FUTURE : BUY MCLEODRUSS FUTURE ABOVE 184 TGT 190 SL 181 NSE FUTURE : BUY JISLJALEQS FUTURE ABOVE 66.50 TGT 67.50 SL 66

-0.69 % -0.54 %

111- 211- 311- 4B11- 5 B11 H217H217H217H217H21 E88. E88. E88. E88. E88 L 8L 8L 8L 8L H77-8H77-8H77-8H77-8H77 C524C524C524C524C52 L71.%L71.%L71.%L71.%L71 7T 7T 7T 7T LT11-1LE11-1LE11-1LE11-1LE11 U E442U C442U C442U C442U C44 P C85.%P H85.%P H85.%P H85.%P H85 IH000I 000I 000I 000I 00 C N44-3C N44-3C N44-3C N44-3C N44 I 761I 761I 761I 761I 76 P35.%P35.%P35.%P35.%P35 L 7L 7L 7L 7L IA33-4IA33-4IA33-4IA33-4IA33 T551T551T551T551T55 C93.%C93.%C93.%C93.%C93 5 5 5 5 L11-0L11-0L11-0L11-0L11 & T440& T440& T440& T440& T44 TD76.%TD76.%TD76.%TD76.%TD76 409 409 409 409 40 A22-7A22-7A22-7A22-7A22 M 320M320M320M320M32 B08.%B08.%B08.%B08.%B08 U 6U 6U 6U 6U J 9J 9J 9J 9J A A A A A % % % % C C C C C E E E E E M M M M M E E E E E N N N N N T T T T T


NSE - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS ✍ TOP NEWS OF THE WEEK US Foreign Portfolio Investors ask india to amend capital gains tax treaty - Foreign portfolio investors based out of the US have collectively approached the India with a request to amend the India-US tax treaty, exempting them from paying capital gains tax , people close to the development said. These investors — mainly pension funds —are those who had invested in Indian equities through Mauritius route. They say the India-US treaty should be amended in a way that there's no capital gains on those investors who do not pay taxes back home in the US. They also expressed their wish to directly come to India rather than route through an investment vehicle based in a third country such as Mauritius or Singapore, a person in the know said. Most Asia Pacific Banks have buffers against commodity Risk - Moody’s - Moody's Investors Service says that banks in Asia Pacific show moderate loan exposure to borrowers in commodity-related industries, with such loans making up around 7% of gross loans on average at end-2015.However, the quality of such loans will likely continue to deteriorate, based on Moody's assessment that energy and commodity prices will remain low over a prolonged period.

Indian Companies raised a records Rs. 4.92 lakh crore last fiscal through Private Placement in FY’16 - Indian companies raised a record Rs 4.92 lakh crore last fiscal through private placement of corporate bonds to meet business needs, a surge of six per cent from the preceding year. Firms raked in Rs 4,92,047 crore in 2015-16 through private placement of corporate bonds, higher than Rs 4.66 lakh crore garnered in the preceding financial year ended March 2015, as per a report by Prime Database.This was the highest ever fund raising by companies in a financial year since 2001-02, when the firms had raked in Rs 45,427 crore. RBI to Lower by Another 50 Bps in FY-17 - Morgan Stanley - The Reserve Bank is expected to keep key rates unchanged in the next policy meeting on June 7, but might lower rates by another 50 bps during the current financial year, says a report by Morgan Stanley.According to the report, retail inflation is likely to moderate going forward and is expected to decelerate to 4.5 per cent by March 2017. "Based on our CPI forecast and RBI's stated real rate target of 1.5-2 per cent, we expect RBI to lower rates by another 50 bps in FY2017," Morgan Stanley said in a research note.


Indian Economy to Grow at 7.7 per cent in this Fiscal - Survey - Indian Economy will grow 7.7 per cent in the ongoing fiscal Amid likely improvement in the Industrial and Agricultural sectors, Performance on Account of Good Monsoon, Though the investment cycle is expected to take at least a months to witness a Pick-Up. Say a Survey. “The Growth in 2016-17 is expected to be Supported by and improvement in the Agricultural and Industrial Sector Performance. Prediction of a Good Monsoon, After two consecutive years of sub-optimal rainfall back the improve outlook in the current fiscal.

� TOP ECONOMY NEWS

The country's first Nuclear Operator's Liability Policy has been issued to Nuclear Power Corporation of India, underwritten by a consortium of insurance companies through the India Nuclear Insurance Pool.

Foreign direct investment into India increased by 16.5% to USD 2.46 billion in March this year.

Indian IT companies would have to pay at least an additional USD 4,000 for every H-1B visa application under the new regulations that came into effect last December.

The Central Board of Direct Taxes on Friday issued a series of clarifications for the roll out of the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act and the Common Reporting Standards, based on its interaction with financial institutions.

The

Centre is actively considering proposals of four public sector general insurance

companies to be part of the Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana launched this year.

Mineral

bearing states have collected penalty of the order of Rs. 11.71 billion from

illegal mining activities between 2012-13 and 2015-16 till the end of September 2015.

The

country's economy grew 7.6% in 2015-16, at the same rate pegged by advance

estimates, compared to 7.2% in the previous year.

Indicating better tidings for the economy, the eight core sector industries grew 8.5% in April this year with refinery products and electricity registering double digit growth.


The Central Drug Standard Control Organisation is drawing up a new inspection model for pharmaceutical manufacturing sites that will help identify compliance issues and products that can be potentially harmful. The move follows concerns raised by foreign drug regulator over quality of medicines produced in India.

The general framework agreement for Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant's Units 4 and 5 would be signed this year while negotiations were underway over configuration of Units 5 and 6, a Russian firm designing the Tamil Nadu-based atomic plant.

✍ TOP CORPORATE NEWS Battling pricing pressures in the US and at home, drug-maker Sun Pharmaceutical Industries has projected a revenue growth of 8-10 per cent in the year ahead. “I see traction in all parts of the business,” Dilip Shanghvi, Managing Director said. giving a guidance on the company’s growth prospects, taking into account remediation efforts at Sun’s Halol plant and the end of sales exclusivity on cancer drug Imatinib in the US. He also indicated that the recent acquisition of Novartis products in Japan would contribute to the company’s revenues later in the financial year.

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals launched an offer on the Singapore Stock Exchange to raise up to $200 million (over Rs 1,340 crore) through issue of securities. The Mumbai-based company has decided on a regulatory floor price for conversion of the FCCB at Rs 861.84. The company, however, did not disclose the reason for the fund-raising.

Maruti Suzuki Limited has reported the Sales Growth of 10-13 per cent in April-May led by demand in the Domestic market and the Launch of the New Models Like Vitara Brezza. Drug maker Unichem Laboratories has earmarked a capital expenditure of around Rs 200 crore for the current fiscal, most of which would go into the company's upcoming API plant in Kolhapur, Maharashtra."In the current year we are looking at around Rs 150200 crore of capex which may get spilled over to FY2018 also," Unichem Laboratories VP finance and CFO Rakesh Pankh said. The API unit is coming up and it has a major capital expenditure, he said, adding that "the work out there is going on in full swing".

The Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd stock fell 6.13% on NSE on Tuesday, after the announcement of the company’s results on Monday. What led to the plunge? It wasn’t the


company’s 1.8% sales growth in FY16, because that was not much of a surprise, as the management had indicated as much. What shocked investors is its sales growth projection for FY17. An 8-10% sales growth is not what they expected, and even a proposed share buyback did little to lift spirits.

Aurobindo Pharma plans to focus on increased Abbreviated New Drug Application filings and new differentiated product launches to maintain growth. The company posted a growth of 15% in sales and 26% in profit in the fiscal year ended March 2016.

Global alternative asset manager Apollo Global Management LLC is seeking a licence to start an asset reconstruction company in India, two people directly familiar with the matter said. Apollo is one of a number of firms looking at entering the stressed assets business in India as banks try to clean up their balance sheets. Apollo Global confirmed that it is considering the option.

� TOP BANKING AND FINANCIAL NEWS OF THE WEEK

Private sector has shone through the mayhem plaguing their public sector counterparts in the past two years with new generation banks substantially outperforming their older peers, riding on demand for consumer loans and is not weighed down by legacy issues.

Over the last two years, the Modi government has brought private bankers to head the top-five PSU banks, passed the Bankruptcy Bill, initiated consolidation among PSU banks and set up a professional board to hire top management. Many bankers say all these measures could create positive sentiments which will result in the revival of the Indian economy.


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