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BUSINESSES SET TO BE UNDER PRESSURE

While Australia has so far avoided a recession, there have been signs of looming economic decline on the back of the surge in inflation which resulted in the Reserve Bank lifting official interest rates 11 times over the past year.

The impact of those rate rises can take months to affect the economy and slow down activity. Some forecasters are predicting tough times ahead, particularly for businesses.

A report by Jones Partners Insolvency and Restructuring, analysing data from the Australian Financial Security Authority, said while there has been a decline in personal insolvencies in recent years, that could change over the next six months.

Jones Partners highlighted the recent collapse of Australia’s largest frozen food distributor, Scott’s Refrigerated Logistics, as an example of the adverse impact the combination of high inflation, increased costs and labour shortages has on businesses. Among other problems for Scott’s Logistics was the failure of an expensive IT system upgrade which caused an extensive loss of clients and huge costs.

“The business was unable to pass on these increasing costs to consumers and was additionally struggling with tight profit margins from inherited, unprofitable fixed contracts,” Jones Partners said.

“The company entered voluntary administration in late February, and shortly after decided to liquidate.”

Jones Partners noted how the COVID-19 pandemic marked a period of heavy fiscal spending and tax relief from government.

“Businesses with questionable balance sheets were able to persevere, in what was more than two years of suspended economic reality,” Jones Partners said.

“As commercial reality begins to take its course, we must now allow market conditions to dictate the future of Australian businesses once more.”

Jones Partners predicts insolvencies will mount up over the next six months, with businesses most vulnerable being those only able to survive through the pandemic due to stimulus and tax relief and others whose dealings are severely impacted by harsh market conditions due to inflation, supply chain issues and labour shortages.

We hope they are wrong. But if your business is under pressure please reach out to Bell Partners for help. Don’t wait until it’s too late.

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