Zenith Global UK Water Plus Report 2021

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

UK Water Plus Report 2021 Brief summary 1.

Commentary

2.

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3.

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

Research overview

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In compiling its research, Zenith Global relies on the goodwill and cooperation of companies active in the marketplace. All information is cross -checked with other sources, such as trade associations and suppliers, to ensure as complete a picture as possible. Although we strive to provide data as accurate as possible, some figures presented are Zenith’s estimates.

Based on individual producer volumes for the year, market, sector and segment totals are calculated from the ‘bottom up’. At a sector and segment level, adjustments are then made for any double-counting of contract and licensed bottling. Estimates for any unauthorised soft drink imports sold through the ‘grey market’ are also included. However, this is more pronounced in categories such as energy drinks rather than water drinks.

A complete picture of the UK water drinks market is thus produced through Zenith Global’s extensive study of the largest importers and bottlers, alongside small to medium -sized operators and own label specialists. The market figures presented, therefore, encompass all aspects of packaged water drinks including take home, impulse and on-premise/foodservice and a small amount of home delivery water.

To this end, a considerable amount of time and effort is spent contacting industry players and striving to analyse the complexities of the UK water drinks arena. We believe Zenith’s coverage of the total UK water drinks market to be without equal and to have attained a consistently high level of accuracy. Zenith Global would like to express its sincere gratitude to the entire UK water drinks industry for its continued help and assistance during the research process. Our gratitude also extends to UK industry associations for their support, including the BSDA (British Soft Drinks Association) and the NSWA (Natural Source Waters Association, formerly Natural Hydration Council).


UK Water Plus Report 2021

1

1.1

1.2

Macro overview •

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Economy •

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Weather •

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

Figure 1.1

UK mean temperature, 2015-20

20

Degrees centigrade

15

10

5

0 2015

2016

2017

Figure 1.2

2018

2019

2020

UK sunshine hours, 2018-20

50 45

Sunshine hours

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

2018

Figure 1.3

Jun

Jul

2019

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2020

UK rainfall, 2018-20

90 80 70

Rainfall

60 50

40 30

20 10

0 Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

2018 Source: Met Office

Jun 2019

Jul

Aug 2020


UK Water Plus Report 2021

1.3

Media •

Commentary

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

2

UK water plus market •

Commentary

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Table 2.1 Million litres Production Imports

2015

UK water plus market, 2015-20 2016 2017 2018

2019

2020

2015

UK water plus types, 2015-20 2016 2017 2018

2019

2020

Consumption Production % change Imports as % consumption Consumption % change Litres per person Source: Zenith Glob al Table 2.2 Million litres Sparkling Still Sparkling % share Still % share Flavoured Functional Juicy Flavoured % share Functional % share Juicy % share Flavoured % change Functional % change Juicy % change Total market Total market % change Source: Zenith Glob al


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

Figure 2.1

UK water plus market, 2015-20

120

100

Million litres

80

60

40

20

0 2015

2016

2017 Flavoured

2018 Functional

2019

2020

Juicy

Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 2.2

UK water plus consumption share, 2015-20

60

% share

40

20

0 2015

2016

2017 Flavoured

Source: Zenith Glob al

2018 Functional

2019 Juicy

2020


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

3

UK water plus packaging •

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Table 3.1 Million litres PET Others

UK water plus packaging, 2018-20 2018 2019

2020

Total market

% share PET

2018

2019

2020

Others Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 3.1

UK water plus packaging, 2020

PET Others

Total consumption: XX million litres


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

4

UK water plus distribution •

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Table 4.1 Million litres

UK water plus distribution, 2018-20 2018 2019 2018 2019 volume % share volume % share

2020 volume

Modern retail (includes discounters) Convenience / impulse Retail HoReCa; pubs, clubs Others Away from home Total market Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 4.1

UK water plus distribution, 2020

Modern retail Convenience HoReCa Others

Total consumption: XX million litres

2020 % share


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

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5.1

UK water plus companies and groups •

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UK water plus companies Table 5.1 Million litres

Top 15 companies in UK water plus market, 2019-20 2019 2020 2019 2020 volume % share volume % share

Rank

Company 1

1

Company 2

2

Company 3

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Top 15 Others Total market Top 5 Top 10 Source: Zenith Glob al


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

Figure 5.1

UK water plus industry consolidation, 2015-20

100

90 80 70 % share

60 50 40 30 20

10 0 2015

2016

2017 Top 5

2018

2019

2020

Top 10

Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 5.2

Top 5 water plus companies, 2015 vs 2020

Company 1

Company 2

Company 3

Company 4

Company 5

0

50 2020

Source: Zenith Glob al

100 2015

150 Million litres


UK Water Plus Report 2021

Figure 5.3

Leading UK water plus companies, 2020

Company 1

Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Others

Total consumption: XX million litres

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

5.2

UK water plus groups Table 5.2 Million litres

Top 20 brands in UK water plus market, 2019-20 2019 2020 2019 2020 volume % share volume % share

Brand rank

Brand 1

1

Brand 2

2

Brand 3

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Top 20 Others Total market Top 5 Top 10 Source: Zenith Glob al


UK Water Plus Report 2021

Table 5.3 Million litres Brand 1

Top 20 brands in UK water plus market ranking, 2020 Flavoured

Functional

Juicy

1

Brand 2

1

Brand 3

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2 1

3

Brand 4

2

4

Brand 5

3

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Source: Zenith Glob al


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

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UK water plus producers •

Commentary

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Table 6.1 Million litres

Top 10 UK water plus producers, 2019-20 2019 2019 % 2020 volume share volume

Company 1 Company 2 Company 3

Top 10 Others Total UK production Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 6.1

Leading UK water plus producers, 2020

Company 1 Company 2

Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Others

Total UK water plus production: XX million litres

2020 % share


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

7

UK still water plus brands •

Commentary

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Table 7.1 Million litres

Top 5 UK still water plus brands, 2019-20 2019 2019 % 2020 volume share volume

Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3

Top 5 Others (1) Total still water plus (1)

Includes retailer own label numbers Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 7.1

Leading UK still water plus brands, 2020

Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3 Brand 4 Brand 5 Others

Total UK still water plus consumption: XX million litres

2020 % share


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

8

UK sparkling water plus brands •

Commentary

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Table 8.1 Million litres

Top 5 UK sparkling water plus brands, 2019-20 2019 2019 % 2020 volume share volume

Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3

Top 5 Others (1) Total sparkling water plus (1)

Includes retailer own label numbers Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 8.1

Leading UK sparkling water plus brands, 2020

Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3 Brand 4 Brand 5 Others

Total UK sparkling water plus consumption: XX million litres

2020 % share


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

9

UK flavoured water brands •

Commentary

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Table 9.1 Million litres

Top 10 UK flavoured water brands, 2019-20 2019 2019 % 2020 volume share volume

2020 % share

Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3

Top 10 Others (1) Total flavoured water (1)

Includes retailer own label numbers Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 9.1

Leading UK flavoured water brands, 2020

Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3 Brand 4 Brand 5 Others

Total UK flavoured water consumption: XX million litres

% change


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

10

UK functional water brands •

Commentary

Commentary

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Table 10.1 Million litres

Top 5 UK functional water brands, 2019-2020 2019 2019 % 2020 volume share volume

2020 % share

Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3

Top 5 Others (1) Total functional water (1)

Includes retailer own label numbers Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 10.1

Leading UK functional water brands, 2020

Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3 Brand 4 Brand 5 Others

Total UK functional water consumption: XX million litres

% change


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

11

UK juicy water brands •

Commentary

Commentary

Commentary

Table 11.1 Million litres

Top 5 UK juicy water brands, 2019-20 2019 2019 % 2020 volume share volume

2020 % share

Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3

Top 5 Others (1) Total juicy water (1)

Includes retailer own label numbers Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 11.1

Leading UK juicy water brands, 2020

Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3 Brand 4 Brand 5 Others

Total UK juicy water consumption: XX million litres

% change


UK Water Plus Report 2021

12

UK flavoured water retailer own label •

Commentary

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Table 12.1 Million litres

UK own label flavoured water production, 2018-20 2018 2019 2020

Total water plus market Flavoured water (1) Flavoured water as a % of total market Sparkling flavoured water Sparkling flavoured % share

Still flavoured water Still flavoured % share Total own label Sparkling own label Still own label Own label as a % of flavoured water Own label sparkling flavoured % share Own label still flavoured % share Excludes functional and juicy waters Source: Zenith Glob al (1)

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

Figure 12.1

UK own label flavoured water consumption share, 2015-20

60

% share of flavoured w ater

50

40

30

20

10

0 2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Source: Zenith Glob al

Table 12.2 Million litres

Leading UK own label flavoured water producers, 2019-20 2019 2019 % 2020 2020 % Rank volume share volume share

Company 1

1

Company 2

2

Company 3

3 4

Top 4 Others Total own label Source: Zenith Glob al

Figure 12.2

Leading UK own label flavoured water producers, 2020

Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Others

Total UK own label flavoured water production: XX million litres

Top 20 rank


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

13

UK water plus consumer •

Commentary

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Table 13.1 % of GB population

(1)

GB flavoured water, herbal and premium soft drinks consumer, 2015-20 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Consumers 'Regular' consumers (consume more than once a week) % of age group who 'ever drink' 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Index of consumers (100 = average) Male Female (1) For fieldwork period July 2019 - June 2020 Source: Target Group Index (TGI) - GB adults aged 15 and ab ove Figure 13.1

GB flavoured water, herbal and premium soft drinks consumption 2015-20

120

% of GB population

100

80

60

40

20

0 2015

2016 2017 Regular consumers

2018 2019 All consumers

Source: Target Group Index (TGI) - GB adults aged 15 and ab ove

2020


UK Water Plus Report 2021

Table 13.2 Litres Per capita consumption Sparkling Still Per capita consumption % change Sparkling % change Still % change Per capita consumption Flavoured Functional Juicy Per capita consumption % change Flavoured % change Functional % change Juicy % change Source: Zenith Glob al

UK water plus per capita consumption, 2015-20 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

14

UK water plus value •

Commentary

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Table 14.1 2018 Volume

£ VPL

Flavoured water (1) % change Modern retail (including discounters) Convenience / impulse HoReCa; pubs, clubs

Functional water (1) % change Modern retail (including discounters) Convenience / impulse HoReCa; pubs, clubs

Juicy water (1) % change Modern retail (including discounters) Convenience / impulse HoReCa; pubs, clubs (1) retail sales

value - Numbers may vary due to rounding Source: Zenith Glob al

UK water plus value, 2018-20 2019 £m Value

Volume

£ VPL

£m Value

2020 Volume

£ VPL

£m Value


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

Figure 14.1

UK flavoured water market value, 2015-20

120

2.00

1.80 1.60

1.40

80

1.20 60

1.00 0.80

40

0.60

0.40

20

0.20

0

0.00 2015

2016

2017

Market value (£ mln)

2018

2019

2020

Value per litre (£)

Source: Zenith Glob al

Table 14.2 Branded Private label Retail average Source: Zenith Glob al

UK branded vs private label value per litre, 2019-20 2019 2020

VPL £

Market value £ mln

100


UK Water Plus Report 2021

15

Ethical initiatives •

Commentary

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

16

Ongoing challenges

16.1

Coronavirus pandemic

16.1.1 Key challenges •

Commentary

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16.1.2 Future trends

16.2

Commentary

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Maintaining consumer interest

16.2.1 Key challenges •

Commentary

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16.2.2 Future trends

16.3

Commentary

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Soft seltzers

16.3.1 Key challenges •

Commentary

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16.3.2 Future trends

16.4

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Selling ‘hydration with flavour’

16.4.1 Key challenges •

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

16.4.2 Future trends

16.5

Commentary

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The sugar debate

16.5.1 Key challenges •

Commentary

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16.5.2 Future trends

16.6

Commentary

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Retailer challenges

16.6.1 Key challenges •

Commentary

Commentary

16.6.2 Future trends

16.7

Commentary

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Stock control and supply

16.7.1 Key challenges •

Commentary

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16.7.2 Future trends •

Commentary

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

17

Innovation •

Commentary

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

18

Water stewardship •

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

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19

Legislation

19.1

Natural mineral water, spring water and bottled drinking water current situation (2015 onwards) •

Commentary

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19.1.1 England •

Commentary

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19.1.2 Scotland •

Commentary

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19.1.3 Wales •

Commentary

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19.1.4 Northern Ireland

19.2

19.3

Commentary

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Natural mineral water, spring water and bottled drinking water historical timeline (to 2015) •

Commentary

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Abstraction licensing •

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

20

Forecast to 2025 •

Commentary

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Table 20.1 Million litres Sparkling Still Sparkling % share Still % share Flavoured Functional Juicy Flavoured % share Functional % share Juicy % share Flavoured % change Functional % change Juicy % change Total market Total market % change Source: Zenith Glob al

UK water plus consumption by segment forecast, 2020-25f 2020 2021f 2022f 2023f 2024f

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2025f


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UK Water Plus Report 2021

Figure 20.1

UK water plus market forecast, 2015-25f

120

100

Million litres

80

60

40

20

0 2015

2016

Source: Zenith Glob al

2017

2018

2019

2020f

2021f

2022f

2023f

2024f

2025f


UK Water Plus Report 2021

Appendix

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

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Appendix 1 - Definitions and symbols Water definitions Natural mineral water The basic requirements of the UK regulations are: •

Must come from a recognised groundwater source. Recognition is granted by local authorities to meet EU standards and requires a lengthy testing process to ensure freedom from pollution and a consistent mineral composition.

Must be bottled at source unless the practise was to tanker to the bottling plan on or before 17th July 1980.

Cannot undergo treatment except permitted treatment for filtration of particles.

Nothing can be added to water except carbon dioxide for carbonation.

The water can only be bottled under a single name, described as natural mineral water.

The water must meet strict requirements for microbiological and chemical purity.

Spring water The basic requirements of the UK regulations are: •

Must come from a groundwater source.

Must be bottled at source (unless the practise was to tanker to the bottling plant on or before 23rd November 1996).

In the UK, spring water can currently undergo certain forms of permitted treatment.

The water can only be bottled under a single named Spring Water. However, additional Bottled Drinking Waters can be produced from the same source.

The water must meet requirements for microbiological and chemical quality.

Bottled drinking water The basic requirements of the UK regulations are: •

‘Bottled drinking water ‘is a legal category of water and should not be confused with the general use of the term ‘bottled water’.

Can come from any source - groundwater, surface water (e.g. a lake or river), tap water or other (e.g. glacier, iceberg, rainwater)

Need not be bottled at source.

Can undergo any form of water treatment.

Water from a single source can be bottled under different names.


UK Water Plus Report 2021

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Can be bottled under any description except one that is misleading to consumers. Use of the description natural mineral water, spring water or mineral water is not permitted. Some commonly used descriptions are ‘table water’ and ‘purified water’.

The water must meet requirements for microbiological and chemical quality.

These definitions are a simple description of the requirements of the UK bottled water regulations. Section 18 - Legislation details the relevant regulations for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland and any subsequent amendments.

Flavoured water Sweetened with sugar, sweetener or unsweetened with added fruit essence; sparkling and sti ll natural mineral, spring or bottled drinking water with added flavourings. Includes: • •

Flavoured unsweetened bottled waters Flavoured bottled waters with added sugar and/or sweetener

Excludes: • • •

‘Schorle’ (sparkling water and fruit juice) and other soft drinks ‘Limonaden’ (water-based, flavoured carbonated soft drinks popular in Germany) Pressé drinks (ready-to-drink cordial drinks)

Functional water Functional waters have added functional ingredients, such as botanicals, vitamins, minerals, oxygen or others. Functional waters can be still or sparkling and can be flavoured or unflavoured. Such waters are marketed as having a functional positioning.

Juicy water Defined as water with added juice, juice content ranges from 5% to 25-30%. However, the key attribute is consumer perception of such products as being water plus juice as opposed to a juice drink. These drinks are perceived by consumers to be closer to flavoured waters than juices/nectars. Includes: • • •

Drench Juicy Volvic Juicy This Juicy Water

Excludes: • • •

San Pellegrino Aranciata, Limonata etc. Capri Sun Vimto

Water plus Water plus includes flavoured waters, functional waters and juicy waters as defined above.


UK Water Plus Report 2021

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Distribution channel definitions Retail Modern retail •

Multiples and other grocers - Tesco, Sainsbury, Asda, Waitrose, Morrisons, Co-op, Marks & Spencer, Boots, Budgens, Iceland

Aldi, Lidl and other discounters

Smaller local supermarkets (e.g. Booths, Harry Tuffins)

Supermarket forecourts and smaller formats of the major multiples (e.g. Tesco Metro)

Convenience / impulse •

Confectioneries, tobacconists and newsagents (CTNs)

Convenience stores (e.g. Londis)

Small independent grocers

Other forecourts

Off licences

Other retail stockists

Door to door •

Dairy deliveries

Direct mail orders

Away from home HoReCa; pubs and clubs •

HoReCa - hotel, restaurant and cafés

Bars, pubs and nightclubs

Food service catering channels

Vending machines

Offices •

Water supplied in places of work such as offices, factories etc.

Others •

All other away from home outlets


UK Water Plus Report 2021

Symbols ...

Negligible, less than 0.05

CSD

Carbonated soft drink

e

Estimate

f

Forecast

Foodservice Distribution to on-premise or HoReCa outlets PET

Polyethylene terephthalate

rPET

Recycled polyethylene terephthalate

R

Returnable packaging

SC

Sports cap

VPL

Value per litre

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UK Water Plus Report 2021

Page 40

Appendix 2 - Target Group Index (TGI) Zenith Global uses Target Group Index (TGI) syndicated surveys to provide actionable single-sourc e data on consumer behaviour, purchasing habits, attitudes and motivations. This compliments Zenith’s own data and research in this report. Established in 1969 and originally focused on the British market, TGI has since expanded to cover more than 65 countries. In Britain TGI is representative of all adults aged 15+ and is used by over 300 companies, including brand owners, media owners and advertising agencies. TGI enables: •

Awareness of market trends and dynamics

Identification of opportunities for new and existing brand development

Accurate description of target groups

Improved marketing strategies and advertising campaigns

TGI is: •

Insightful and actionable

Information on usage of over 4,000 brands across 500 product areas

Updated four times a year

Single source and independent of vested interest

www.kantarmedia.co.uk TGI’s consulting offer, TGI Insights and Integration, enables the breaking of new ground in consumer insight through the provision of the most suitable skills, tools, analysts and thinking. With genuine global reach (we are part of Kantar, WPP’s insights and consultancy arm) and unique access to raw TGI data in 65 countries we are a strategic partner to the world’s most demanding consumer-fac ing industries.

Anne Benoist- Director +44 (0)20 8433 4227 anne.benoist@kantarmedia.com www.tgi-insights.com


UK Water Plus Report 2021

Appendix 3 - Leading company profiles AG Barr Plc Britvic Plc Clearly Drinks Ltd Coca-Cola European Partners Danone Waters (UK & Ireland) Ltd Get More Vitamin Drinks Highland Spring Group Innocent Drinks Montgomery Spring Water Company Nestlé Waters UK Ltd Nichols Plc Princes Limited Radnor Hills Mineral Water Company Ltd Refresco Beverages Talking Rain Beverage Company Trederwen Springs Ugly Brands Ltd

Page 41


COMPANY Address: Tel: Website:

Fax: Email:

Company Structure Ownership: Senior management:

Employees: Subsiduaries: Related activities:

Non-related activities:

Company Finances £ Million, year to Sales Profit before tax

Water Production Location: Source: Lines: Investment:

Advertising

Commentary

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020


COMPANY Product Range Brand name Brand A

Water type Still

Pack type

Spring

NR PET

Sizes available (litre) 0.5 0.75 (SC)

0.5 1.5

0.33

0.75

Glass

x10

Production & Sales Volume Million litres Production Exports UK Sales - still - sparkling Brand A - still - sparkling

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Packaging Split NR GLASS 0.33 0.75 NR PET 0.5 0.75 1

10.0% 5.0% 5.0% 90.0% 50.0% 20.0% 20.0%

Channel Split (by brand / type) Brand Brand

Retail 100.0%

OOH 0.0%

eCommerce 0.0%

Total 100%


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