MSRED Case Study 4_Group 7 virgin hotel

Page 1

Cosmopolitan Development Group


OVERVIEW & vision >> 138 EAST 50TH ST/ 151 EAST 49TH ST Site Area: 11,910 sf ( 1,860 sf + 10,050 sf) FAR: 15 FAR / 12 FAR Total Zoned Area: 149,845 sf Total Gross Area: 184,055 sf # of keys: 353 keys / 90 cabins Operator: Virgin Hotel Hotel Suites: Cabin Space: Amenities and Commercial: Back of house: Outdoor Space: Public Thorough Way:

116,442 net square feet 3,154 net square feet 20,630 net square feet 22,810 net square feet 3,312 gross square feet 2,152 gross square feet

NEW YORK

One

CHAMBERS

300

SUITES

53

PODS/CABINS

90

Chambers include King of 2 double beds. Suites are sweet and Pods/Cabins are unique experience offer at Virgin Hotel.

Proposed Acquisition Price: $ 74 Million / $ 212,245 per key / $ 500 psf Total Development Cost: $ 205 Million / $ 563,853 per key / $ 1,131 psf Total Equity: $130 Million Total Debt: $ 74 Million GP Equity Contribution: $ 13 Million LP Equity Contribution: $ 117 Million Expected GP IRR: 35.78% Expected LP IRR: 20.12% Stablized ROC: 9.1% Exit Cap Rate: 6.0%

Virgin Hotel

COSMOPOLITAN DEVELOPMENT GROUP


location >> manhattan, ny

Virgin Hotel


flag saturation >> 138 EAST 50TH ST/ 151 EAST 49TH ST, Manhattan, ny

STARWOOD HYATT WYNHDAM HILTON IHG MARRIOTT INDE/OTHER

Virgin Hotel


SITe >> 138 EAST 50TH ST/ 151 EAST 49TH ST, Manhattan, ny

STARWOOD HYATT WYNHDAM HILTON IHG

THE LEXINGTON HOTEL

MARRIOTT

SAN CARLOS

INDE/OTHER W HOTEL

HYATT LEX 48 INTERCONTINENTAL BARCLAYS GOTHAM HOTEL WYDHAM HOTEL

Virgin Hotel


COMP SET >> understanding the competitive landscape Hotel

W Hotel

Hyatt 48 Lex

Wyndham Midtown

Gotham Hotel

Location Class Scale Brand Rate Room Count

541 Lexington Ave 4 Star Upscale Boutique Starwood $356 693

571 Lexington Ave 4 Star Upscale Boutique Hyatt $369 116

205 E 45th St. 4 Star Upscale Boutique Wyndham $359 203

Conference Room Meeting Room Bar

Yes Yes Lexicon Lounge

Restaurant

Yes Yes Oasis Bar, Whiskey Blue Heartbeat Restaurant

Style

Hip, Trendy

Lexington Brass Bar & Grill Modern Elegant

Modern Elegant

Other Amenities

24 hr Gym, Spa

24 hr Gym, Yoga

Gym, Health Club

Avg Room Rate: $ 370 Avg Room Count: 388 Rooms

Virgin Hotel

16 E 46th St. 4 Star Upscale Gotham $389 66

InterContinental Barclays 111 E 48th St. 4 Star Upscale InterContinental $429 771

The Lexington New York City 511 Lexington Ave 4 Star Upscale Marriott $330 725

San Carlos Hotel 150 E 50th St. 4 Star Upscale Boutique San Carlos $359 147

Yes Yes No

No Yes No

Yes Yes Barclays Bar

No Yes The Mixing Room

No Yes No

Atrium Restaurant

Tenpenny Restaurant Barclay Bar and Grill, Italian Neo-Federal Modern Chic Contemporary Classic Access to NYSC 24 hr Gym, Spa

S. Dynasty, Raffles Bistro Contemporary, Art and Music 24 hr Gym

Restaurant Classic 24 hr Gym


Redefining your hotel experience

Redefining your hotel ex perience.

Cosmopolitan Development Group


CONCEPT >> Creating a Unique and Seamless Experience

TYPICAL BUSINESS HOTEL

Virgin Hotel


trend >> Millenials and Businesswomen Current age of the workforce 3%

1%

16 to 24 years 14%

frequent business travellers

18-30 years old

31-45

25 to 34 years

15%

35 to 44 years 22%

65 to 74 year 22%

> 75 years

Millenials in workforce

2014

35% Virgin Hotel

4.7

times a year

3.6

times a year

4.2

2013 1970

1%

millenials + businesswomen = 1/3 biz spending

times a year

Female business travel in US

2020

47%

years old

years old

45 to 54 years 55 to 64 years

23%

46-65

today in the united states

51%

business travel by gender


travelling >> Corporate x Trendy crossover

20

30 Analysts, Associates

Attracted to Perks, Bars, Technology-led, Adventurous, Self-Service, Fashionable, Shuttle Service, Loyalty Program $80,000 - $100,000

Virgin Hotel

40 Associates, VPs

Bars, Convenience, Zagat Rated Restaurants, Loyalty program, Sophisticated, Valet Parking, Spa

$90,000 - $200,000

50 VPs, Presidents

Room Service, Michelin Star Restaurant, Car Service, Family, Valet Parking, Meeting Space

$200,000 +

60+ CEOs, CFOs, Founders Room Service, Traditional Services, Lobby, Michelin Star Restaurant, Car Service, Board Room

$300,000+


VIRGIN CLUBHOUSE >> relax, work, play & dine RELAX in harmony - 24 hr Virgin Active and Well-being Center - Hair & Beauty Salon - Men’s Grooming & Barber

Virgin Hotel

WORK with ease - Meeting Areas - Board Rooms - Shared Workspace


VIRGIN CLUBHOUSE >> relax, work, play & dine PLAY in style - Billiards - Screening Room - Rooftop Lounge and Lobby Bar

Virgin Hotel

DINE in flavor - Two High-end Destination Restaurants - Grab & Go Fresh Fast Dining - Local Coffee Shop


VIRGIN Chamber >> refresh & recharge chambers & Suites - Elegent and Contemporary - Allergen free linens - Great views

Virgin Hotel


virgin upperclass cabin >> unique experience cabin /pods experience - Virgin Active’s Sleep Pods are designed to lower blood pressure and ease back tension - Power naps to recharge - Perfect for mid-day rest for both locals and tourists - Experience Virgin Upperclass Cabin on the ground - Enhance marketing and branding of the hotel - Optimize the use of the smaller plot - Ambient sound and atmosphere

other amenities & service - UBER car service - On-Site Valet Parking - Urban Check-in Service for VIRGIN flights - Free WIFI - VIRGIN Flying Club Loyalty Program - 24 hr Sephora Vending Machine - outdoor venue space

Virgin Hotel


Redefining your hotel experience

Redefining your skyline.

Cosmopolitan Development Group Virgin Hotel


architecture >> understanding zoning

Lot Size

ABOVE 710’ : FOR EVERY 10’ THE DEPTH OF SET BACK INCREASE BY 1 FOOT SKY EXPOSURE CURVE AS PER C6-4.5 ZONING

FAR

Buildable Sq Ft

Lot 28

1,859

12

22,311

Lot 45

9,749

12

116,982

Lot 45

703

15

10,552

Total

12,311

149,845

710’ - 0”

SKY EXPOSURE PLANE AS PER C6-6 ZONING *

LOT 45 PORTIONS OF THROUGH LOTS WITH MULTIPLE REAR LOT LINES

90’ BASE

20’-0” REAR LOT LINE SET BACK REQUIREMENT NA

RR

OW

ST

RE

ET

NA

90’ BASE

RR

OW

ST

RE

ET

360’-0”

LOT 28 R6 - 4.5

R6 - 6

85’ BASE

*

LOBBY BELOW STREET AT CELLAR LEVEL * As per the 25-foot rule in the zoning text, the split zoning lot will allow the bulk regulations of the larger lot to be applied to the entire site. In this case, the bulk regulations of C6-4.5 will be applied, which has very specific requirements.

Virgin Hotel


architecture >> making a statement The Building Mass: - Iconic and crystal-like silhouette - Chiseled to enhance natural light and view - Expose all rooms to greater sunlight - Carving allows sunlight penetrate to lower floors - Maximize height The Facade: - Glass and traslucent mesh - Folds and mimics the building silhouette - Display of human interactions - Allows guest to look out while providing privacy - Details and articulation of mesh reflect context - Provides a more intimate human scale Ground Level: - Activate the development - Thorough-way to connect 49th and 50th street - Courtyard, restaurant and hotel entrance

Virgin Hotel


architecture >> creating pedestrian traffic

LEX

ING TO N

TH

49

AVE N

UE

EET

R ST

D IR TH E

NU

E AV T

E RE

TH

Virgin Hotel

50

ST

PEDESTRIAN ACCESS


architecture >> programming

LEX

ING

TON

AVE N

UE

TH

49

EET

STR

HOTEL ROOMS CABINS BARBERSHOP / SALON

D IR

TH

FOOD AND BEVERAGE

E AV

LOBBY

E

NU OUTDOOR

ET

TH

Virgin Hotel

50

E TR

BACK OF HOUSE / MECH.

S

HOTEL UNITS ABOVE POD HOTEL AND AMENITIES


architecture >> enhancing vIEWS OWN MIDT

VER

T RI S A EE

TH

LEX

ING TO N

TH

49

AVE N

UE

EET

R ST

D IR TH E

NU

E AV T

E RE

TH

Virgin Hotel

50

ST

CARVING OF MASS TO CREATE SIGHT LINES


architecture >> creating dynamic facades

01 FOLDING PANES OF GLASS

Virgin Hotel

02 RANGE OF COLORS AND LIGHTS

03 UNDULATING SURFACE

04 TRANSLUCENT SKIN REVEALS ROOMS

FACADE STUDIES + PRECEDENTS


architecture >> maximizing value

355’

$$$

ROOFTOP 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9

90’

8 8 7 6 5 4 3

15’

-20’

Virgin Hotel

2

$


architecture >> programming

355’

ROOFTOP

HOTEL ROOMS

34 33

BARBERSHOP / SALON

32 31

FOOD AND BEVERAGE

30 29

LOBBY

28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9

90’

8 8 7 6 5 4 3

15’

-20’

Virgin Hotel

2

OUTDOOR BACK OF HOUSE


architecture >> floorplans

50th street

Lexington Avenue

BARBERSHOP / SALON FOOD AND BEVERAGE

3rd avenue

LOBBY

GROUND FLOOR

HOTEL UNITS ABOVE POD HOTEL AND AMENITIES

Virgin Hotel

OUTDOOR BACK OF HOUSE

2ND FLOOR

0

10

25

50


architecture >> floor plans

FOOD AND BEVERAGE LOBBY/COMMON AREAS HOTEL ROOMS

FOOD AND BEVERAGE LOBBY/COMMON AREAS OFFICE OFFICE SPACE SPACE

3RD - 5TH 3RD - 5TH FLOORS FLOORS

6TH6TH - 8TH - 8THFLOORS FLOORS

0

35TH FLOOR

Virgin Hotel

HOTEL ROOMS

10

25

50

ROOF


architecture >> floorplans

FOOD AND BEVERAGE LOBBY/COMMON AREAS FOOD AND FOOD BEVERAGE AND BEVERAGE HOTEL ROOMS LOBBY/COMMON LOBBY/COMMON AREAS AREAS HOTEL ROOMS HOTEL ROOMS

FOOD AND BEVERAGE LOBBY/COMMON AREAS OFFICE SPACE

9TH - 12TH FLOORS 3RD - 5TH FLOORS

9TH - 12TH 9TH - FLOORS 12TH FLOORS

13TH FLOORS 6TH - 8TH FLOORS

16TH FLOOR 16TH FLOOR

0

35TH FLOOR

Virgin Hotel

HOTEL ROOMS

0 10 10 0 2510

25 25 50

50 50

ROOF


architecture >> floorplans

FOOD AND BEVERAGE FOOD AND BEVERAGE FOOD AND BEVERAGE LOBBY/COMMON AREAS LOBBY/COMMON AREAS LOBBY/COMMON AREAS HOTEL ROOMS HOTEL ROOMS

HOTEL ROOMS

FOOD AND BEVERAGE LOBBY/COMMON AREAS OFFICE SPACE

35TH 35TH FLOOR FLOOR 3RDFLOORS] -35TH 5TH FLOORS

ROOF ROOFTOP 6THROOF - 8TH FLOORS

0

10

25

0 50 10

35TH FLOOR

Virgin Hotel

HOTEL ROOMS

0

25 10

25

50

50

ROOF


DEVELOPMENT SCHEDULE >> realistic approach

DEVELOPMENT PERIOD 24 MONTHS

2014

2016

2015

2017

2018

2019

2020

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 CONTRACTS

DESIGN AND PERMITTING DEMO PERMIT

DEMO FOUNDATIONS

SUPERSTRUCTURE AND ENCOSURE INSPECTION

INSPECTION

FIT OUT

STABILIZATION 70% STABILIZED 90% SALE

YEAR 0 YEAR 1

Virgin Hotel

YEAR 2

YEAR 3

YEAR 4

YEAR 5

YEAR 6

YEAR 7

2021202


Redefining your hotel experience

Redefining your investment.

Cosmopolitan Development Group Virgin Hotel


financial analysis >> SUMMARY Costs Total Development Costs of $205 Million, or $563,853 / key Equity Seeking $117 Million from LPs GP will contribute the balance equity of $13 Million DebT Construction loan of $74.9 Million, an LTC of 65% Key Assumptions Starting ADR of $350, annual growth rate of 3% Occupancy ramps up from 70% to 90% when stabilized Exit cap rate of 6.0% Holding Period: 5 Years Returns Levered IRR: 22.2%, equity multiple of 2.1x, profit of $276 Million Unlevered IRR: 13.3%, equity multiple of 1.8x, profit of $376 Million Stabilized ROC: 9.1%

Virgin Hotel


financial analysis >> summary SOURCES

USES

CONSTRUCTION LOAN

$ 74,896,53

36.54%

ACQUISITION COST

$ 74,922,500

36.53%

EQUITY

$ 130,064,100

63.46%

CONSTRUCTION COST

$ 115,225,437

56.22%

- GP

$ 13,006,410

10%

INTEREST

$ 14,812,697

7.23%

- LP

$ 117,057,690

90%

TOTAL

$ 204,960,634

TOTAL

$ 204,960,634

PER KEY

PSF

TOTAL HARDCOST

$ 59,335,516

$ 163,234

$ 327

TOTAL SOFTCOST

$ 75,949,461

$ 45,705

$ 91

TOTAL FF&E

$ 22,926,488

$ 45,675 - $80,485

$95 - $ 167

TOTAL ALL IN

$ 109,738,512

$ 317,368

$ 605

LAND COST

$ 74,922,500

$ 212,245

$ 500

CONTINGENCY COST

$ 5,486,926

$ 15,562

$ 30

FINANCING COST

$ 14,812,697

$ 42,014

$ 81

TOTAL DEVELOPMENT COST

$ 204,960,634

$ 564,282

$ 1,130

Virgin Hotel


financial analysis >> development cost breakdown Direct Hard Costs SiteWork & Demolition Excavation & Foundation Superstructure Exterior Closure Roofing Interior Construction Special Equipment Landscaping & Patio Vertical Transport Plumbing SiteWork & Demolition Fire Protection Electrical Total Direct Hard Costs

$ Cost/ GSF Total Cost $ 4.99 $ 4,533,859 $ 6.18 $ 1,120,770 $ 49.71 $ 9,015,125 $ 52.67 $ 9,551,934 $ 2.20 $ 398,980 $ 37.26 $ 6,757,263 $ 25.53 $ 4,629,977 $ 6.00 $ 1,088,126 $ 9.68 $ 1,755,510 $ 13.72 $ 2,488,182 $ 25.95 $ 4,706,145 $ 4.48 $ 812,467 $ 17.96 $ 3,257,124 $ 256.33 $ 50,115,461

Indirect Trade Costs General Conditions Fee - General Contractor General Liability Bond Contingency Subtotal Contractor Costs

$ Cost/ GSF $ 22.53 $ 8.19 $ 5.62 $ 5.73 $ 8.77 $ 50.84

Total Cost $ 4,085,914 $ 1,485,292 $ 1,019,211 $ 1,039,160 $ 1,590,478 $ 9,220,055

Total Hard Costs

$

$

Soft Costs Architect Consultants General/Misc Soft Costs Real Estate taxes Marketing Expenses Legal Developer Fee Soft Cost Contingency Total Soft Costs Total Hard and Soft Costs

Virgin Hotel

%Cost 6% 3% 2% 2.5% 2.0% 5% 3% 28%

307.17

59,335,516

$ Cost/ GSF $ 18.43 $ 9.22 $ 6.14 $ 13.82 $ 7.68 $ 6.14 $ 15.36 $ 9.22 $ 86.01

Total Cost $ 3,560,131 $ 1,780,065 $ 1,186,710 $ 2,670,098 $ 1,483,388 $ 1,186,710 $ 2,966,776 $ 1,780,065 $ 16,613,945

$

$

393.18

75,949,461

FF&E Low High Guestroom Guestroom only $ 11,605 $ 21,227 per key Bathroom $ 27,088 $ 14,465 per key guestroom corridors $ 1,417 $ 3,013 per key Public Space reception area $ 99 $ 173 psf public restrooms $ 111 $ 183 psf Food and Beverage Facilities restaurant $ 104 $ 192 psf Bar and Lounge $ 145 $ 257 psf Kitchen $ 41 $ 67 psf Function Space Meeting Rooms $ 65 $ 116 psf Board Rooms $ 109 $ 200 psf Guest Amenities Fitness Room $ 123 $ 225 psf Common Additives New RFID Key System $ 611 $ 968 per key Tub to Stall Shower Conversion $ 3,005 $ 5,755 per key Elevator Cab Finishes $ 12,732 $ 20,575 per cab Elevator Modernization Traction, per Cab $ 155,849 $ 210,383 per cab Electronic Signage Boards Basic System - one Lobby Screen 42" diag $ 15,278 $ 25,260 per screen Additional Lobby / Prefunction screens $ 5,093 $ 8,420 per screen Additional Meeting Room door screen (18" diag) $ 4,945 $ 8,272 per screen PTAC Unit Direct Replacement, NIC finishes Two Pipe Horizontal Fan Coil Unit Direct Replacement $ 3,056 $ 4,125 each Laundry Equipment 75# Washer $ 20,371 $ 31,066 each 125# Dryer $ 30,557 $ 41,252 each Ironer / Folder $ 101,856 $ 116,115 each Porte Cochere - Re-image: Demolish and Replace $ 25,464 $ 78,938 allowance Guestroom ADA Modifications Bathtub room $ 17,600 $ 28,163 per key Roll-in Shower room $ 20,116 $ 35,395 per key Dumpster enclosure Power operated bi-parting Entrance doors $ 21,000 $ 35,649 per pair Fireplace & other $ 6,750 $ 30,557 allowance Landscaping $ 40,742 $ 76,392 allowance ESTIMATE Per Key PSF

Low

High

$ $ $

4,218,418 2,783,320 515,080

$ $ $

7,716,015 5,258,028 1,095,226

$ $

483,813 159,840

$ $

845,451 263,520

$ $ $

312,000 232,000 123,000

$ $ $

576,000 411,200 201,000

$ $

390,000 109,000

$ $

696,000 200,000

$

184,500

$

337,500

$ $ $

222,099 1,092,318 50,928

$ $ $

351,858 2,091,943 82,300

$

623,396

$

841,532

$ $ $

15,278 10,186 9,890

$ $ $

25,260 16,840 16,544

$

3,056

$

4,125

$ $ $ $

101,855 152,785 509,280 25,464

$ $ $ $

155,330 206,260 580,575 78,938

$ $

1,919,280 2,193,650

$ $

3,071,175 3,859,825

$ 21,000 $ 6,750 $ 40,742 $ 16,508,925 $ 45,416.00 $ 91.03

$ 35,649 $ 30,557 $ 76,392 $ 29,125,051 $ 80,124.00 $ 160.60


financial analysis >> detailed assumptions Hotel Assumptions General Assumptions Number of rooms 363.5 ADR Growth 6% Inflation 3% ADR $ 350.00 Initial occupancy 70% Stabilized Occupancy 90% RevPAR $ 315.00 Revenue and Expense Composition Revenue Room 90.0% Food & Beverage 5.0% Telephone 0.0% Other Operated Departments 5.0% Parking 0.0% Total 100% Additional Operating Expense Undistrobuted Opex 30.0% Operating Fee 5.0% Other Fixed Charges 5.0% FF&E Reserve 2.0% Additonal Expense/Revenue Ratio 42.0%

Virgin Hotel

rooms annually annually First 18 months

of Total Revenue of Total Revenue of Total Revenue of Total Revenue of Total Revenue of Total Revenue of Total Revenue of Total Revenue of Total Revenue

Expense 25.0% of Revenue 65.0% of Revenue 200.0% of Revenue 30.0% of Revenue 40.0% of Revenue


financial analysis >> PRO-FORMA

Year Construc2on Costs HOTEL Room F&B Other Total Revenue Departmental Expenses Departmental Income Non Departmental Expenses Net Opera2ng Income FF&E Reserve

0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

Residual Value Debt Service ConstrucNon Loan Paydown Permanent Loan Permanent Loan Paydown TOTAL CASH FLOW

$0.00 $0.00

$0.00 $0.00

Virgin Hotel

$0.00

1 2 $57,612,718.63 $48,010,598.86

3 $0.00

4 $0.00

5 $0.00

$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

$25,564,062.93 $1,420,225.72 $1,420,225.72 $28,404,514.37 $5,822,925.45 $22,581,588.92 $11,361,805.75 $11,219,783.17 $568,090.29

$36,019,867.11 $2,001,103.73 $2,001,103.73 $40,022,074.57 $8,204,525.29 $31,817,549.28 $16,008,829.83 $15,808,719.45 $800,441.49

$47,484,213.98 $2,638,011.89 $2,638,011.89 $52,760,237.76 $10,815,848.74 $41,944,389.02 $21,104,095.10 $20,840,293.91 $1,055,204.76

$0.00 $0.00

$0.00 $0.00

$0.00 -­‐$15,416,403.12

$368,178,525.83 -­‐$15,416,403.12 -­‐$232,390,235.80

$0.00 $0.00 ($57,612,718.6) ($57,612,718.6)

$0.00 ($568,090.3)

$0.00 $158,593,765.5

-­‐$232,390,235.80 $118,066,264.5


financial analysis >> RETURN ANALYSIS RETURNS TO EQUITY - 5 YEAR ANALYSIS Total Amount Invested ($130,064,100) Total Return $276,193,009 Net Cash Flow $146,128,909 IRR Equity Multiple

22.20% 2.1x

CAPITALIZATION

EQUITY INVESTMENT

Split up to Pref. Return of

Virgin Hotel

20.12% 2.0x

35.78% 3.6x Amount ($) $74,896,534 $130,064,100 $204,960,634

Pro-Rata Share (%) 90% 10% 100%

LP Investors General partner Total Equity Investment

Investor GP Equity Total Equity GP Promote Total Cash Flow

General partner ($13,006,410) $46,660,597 $33,654,187

% of Total 36.5% 63.5% 100%

Amount Leveraged Equity Needed Total

CASH FLOW SPLITS

Investor ($117,057,690) $229,532,412 $112,474,721

Equity ($) Invested $117,057,690 $13,006,410 $130,064,100

Hurdle I 90% 10% 100% 0% 100%

Hurdle II 80% 10% 90% 10% 100%

Hurdle III 70% 10% 80% 20% 100%

10%

15%

20.00%

Thereafter 90% 10% 100% 0% 100%


NEW YORK

One

CHAMBERS

300

SUITES

53

PODS/CABINS

90

Chambers include King of 2 double beds. Suites are sweet and Pods/Cabins are unique experience offer at Virgin Hotel.

COSMOPOLITAN DEVELOPMENT GROUP


Cosmopolitan Development Group Virgin Hotel


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