profit E-paper Pakistantoday

Page 1

Profit for e-paper_Layout 1 11/30/2011 12:08 AM Page 1

Trade-with-India argument Page 3 GM food inevitable to overcome hunger Page 2 Pakistan ranks 145 out of 187 countries in Human Development Index Page 8 Pages: 8

profit.com.pk

Wednesday, 30 November, 2011

govt reassures iMF on passco, tcp, usc restructuring ISLAMABAD StAff REpoRt

tcc files for int’l arbitration over

Reko Diq project g

copper reserves at the reko diq are estimated at 5.9b tonnes g tcc planned to initially invest $3.3b in copper project profit losses due to the non conversion of the exploration license into MLA. They said the international arbitration is expected to take years to complete and during that time no mining work could be carried out in the area.

ISLAMABAD

T

AMER SIAL

he Tethyan Copper Company (TCC), which owns the exploration lisence for Reko Diq copper gold project in Balochistan has said it has begun international arbitration proceedings to protect its rights after the provincial government rejected its mining lease application.

Feasibility study

legal proceedings A statement issued by TCC on Tuesday said, “Following the summary formal refusal of the mining lease application (MLA) originally submitted in February 2011, TCC has today filed for international arbitration in order to protect its legal rights”. however, it did not provide any details on the arbitration proceedings. earlier this month, Balochistan rejected MLA application that TCC submitted in February this year. The company had filed a notice of dispute on October 19, 2011, after provincial government refused to meet its executives, or extend a deadline for a response to objections raised over the lease. After the provincial government summarily dismissed its application, TCC decided to go for international arbitration. “We are disappointed we have not yet been given the opportunity to resolve this by negotiation. We firmly believe that our feasibility study and MLA submission are in accordance with the Balochistan Mineral Rules 2002, and that there should be no regulatory or legal obstacle to the granting of the MLA. We have to initiate arbitral proceedings in order to protect our legal rights, but we remain open to meeting with the Government of Balochistan and its regulatory body to work

towards an amicable, negotiated resolution to the dispute”, said Tethyan Chief executive Tim Livesey in a brief statement.

about tcc and reko diq TCC a joint venture of the world’s leading miners Antofagasta and Barrick Gold had served a “notice of dispute” to the government of Balochistan over its Reko Diq project giving 120 days for the settlement of the dispute otherwise the company will seek international arbitration. The joint venture partners have spent $200 million to buy the exploration license from Australian BhP Billiton in 2006. The copper reserves at the Reko Diq are estimated 5.9 billion tonnes, with an average copper grade of 0.41 per cent and an average gold grade of 0.22 grams a ton. TCC planned to initially invest $3.3 billion in the project that would have increased during 56 year mining operation period. According to experts, TCC will be claiming all its investment costs and future

In February 2011, the company filed an application for a mining lease over a mining area within the exploration license eL-5 in the Chagai district of Balochistan. The basis of the application was a feasibility study of an initial mine development at the Reko Diq project. The feasibility study was given to the provincial government in August 2010 under an existing agreement between TCC and Balochistan. At the time of the completion of the feasibility study in 2010, under provisions of the agreement, Balochistan was entitled to become a 25 per cent equity partner in the project, enabling them to profit additionally from the mine development and operations over and above the normal royalty and taxation payments. The provincial government on November 24, 2010 decided not to become a participating party in the project. Upon receipt of the mining lease application from the company in February 2011, the provincial regulatory body responded in September 2011 with a number of observations, made in the context of an intended refusal. TCC was given 30 days to respond to the observations. The company sought meeting with the provincial government to better understand their observations and concerns and requested an extension of an additional 60 days in order to engage with the provincial government, however no extension was granted, and its application was dismissed.

Monetary policy announceMent

A lull before the policy storm

I

SAkInA HuSAIn

N a regime of changed stances but repeated circumstances, the house is once again divided on whether SBP will tango with the private sector this time around. Although four months may be a small time for the effects of the last announcement to ensue on private credit, the net decline of about Rs9 billion since the beginning of the current fiscal year may say something about the effectiveness of policy and its makers in the economy. If one were to go by how the previous governor reined in the much-revered SBP, the night would have been considered just nippy enough for another rate hike. And the reasoning would have predictably fallen

in the realm of government borrowing (outstanding stock) from SBP exceeding the prescribed and renegotiated limit of Rs1,150 billion by Rs75 billion in Oct11 and Rs85 billion up till 11th Nov’11. Moreover, with inflation also expected to go up in the remaining part of the fiscal year, the balance of trade and balance of payments in 4moFY12 have turned deeper shades of red to stand at $6.9 billion and $1.4 billion respectively. Additionally, exchange rate yesterday depreciated to its lowest ever to about Rs88/$ and foreign exchange reserves, the economy’s blue eyed pride have declined by $1.3 billion during 4moFY12. But what does one go by in the current scenario? Announcements such as a predilection and efforts towards a zero real interest rate really do gift the cat to the

audience. Based on CPI numbers available for Oct-11, the real interest rate stood at 1.04 per cent. Thus the smartest of all would quickly be able to predict a 100bps cut in the discount rate, over the incoming and/or next monetary policy. Moreover, the continued stagnancy of the private sector may once again make a case for too high an interest rate, just ripe to be snipped off. In the way stirring up the private sector, the government ignores the message that the financial system transmits into the universe; “even though you may not want our money, we would still like to give it to you!” evident in during and post the auctions the government stood out as a net retiree. Thus risk aversion seems to have become a structural phenomenon. Although SBP is trying to influ-

G

OveRNMeNT has reassured International Monetary Fund (IMF) that it will be taking urgent steps to restructure state owned agencies involved in commodity operations and to improve their efficiency and financial controls to plug losses. An official source said Cabinet Committee on Restructuring (CCOR) will be taking decisions on reconstitution of board of directors of Pakistan Agriculture Storage and Services Corporation (PASSCO), Trading Corporation of Pakistan and Utility Stores Corporation (USC) to improve their financial management in next few days. Restructuring plans of PASSCO, TCP and USC are finalised and submitted to CCOR for consideration. The plans have redefined their objectives and functions keeping in view domestic and international trends in the commodity business. Proposals have been made to enhance their storage capacity on modern lines and for increasing efficiency in operations. IMF, he said, was told that government agencies were involved in commodity operations to ensure price stability of different commodities in the domestic market. Commodity finance is secured against underlying commodity. however, government did not agree with IMF’s demand to limit a ceiling on commodity operations, saying that it was difficult as it depended on shortage in local market and prices internationally. IMF was assured that government would discourage subsidies on procured commodities. however, it was assured that subsidy amount paid would be reflected in annual budgetary operations. Government has recently ended quasi fiscal liabilities related to power sector and commodity operations of Rs391 billion with issuance of Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs). Outstanding dues of power sector were Rs313 billion and that of commodity sector of Rs78 billion. This helped in reducing annual debt servicing cost of these liabilities by Rs10 billion, increasing the credit availability to private sector, and reducing the refinancing cost of commodity operations. The source said intervention helped reduce outstanding stock of commodity operations from Rs298 billion on 30th August to Rs320 billion on 5th November. It also helped reduce the gap between outstanding bank finance and market value of underlying commodity from Rs116 billion to Rs36 billion. he said provinces were being pursed to pay off their liabilities to further reduce the gap.

ence private demand for funds, it may have little control over the supply side and moreover, there seems to be an impending deficit on the latter anyway. If there had not been a shortage, then the central bank would have faced no need to inject Rs340 billion through OMOs as it did on November 25th. To come to the policy maker’s defense, it seems to be unfairly carrying the burden of correcting this economy, when most of its problems have been generated from the political circles and a lack of foresight in the current and past fiscal corridors. Internationally, central banks’ objectives have just been reduced to controlling inflation only. Balancing and generating growth with this objective is the government’s problem. And why shouldn’t it be? Current expenditure eats up almost the entire budget; if the government has to overfeed it self then sometimes it should force its constituents to work, a little, at least. Moreover, a lesson in history, would easily teach that if an economy could be run by fighting and funding wars all the time, then the much held onto Moghul glory would not have been a thing of the past. From the frail private sector’s banner to the SBP: how can some more money at one point in time make up for the losses of lost decades?


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.