Strategy to Eradicate COVID-19

Page 1

Stratergy for tracking tracing testing sampling screening and eradicating containing COVID-19


Search Sampling Testing Sanitization and Containment based on Transport Networks 1//Comvert Actual Transportation networks into graphs with cities and major towns and villages and destinations as NODES of the Graph.

Actual Transportation Networks

2//Transportation networks can be primarily classified into following heirarchies : i/National ii/State iii/Districts iv/Cities and Towns and Neighbourhoods v/Villages and Rural Settlements 3//Each level of this heirarchy can be converted or expressed as a Individual graph one being the subset of its parent graph. 4//Using the COVID-19 patient count in every major node in this network of graphs as the NODAL WEIGHTS and THE GEOGRAPHICAL DISTANCE BETWEEN THE NODES as the path length or path cost of this graph we can focus our TRACKING, TRACING, SAMPLING, TESTING, SANITIZATION, LOCKDOWN, MEASURES, TESTING KIT UTILIZATION, PPPE DISTRIBUTION, MEDICAL MANPOWER ETC and efforts as in the same order of nodes as an A*search Algorithm would do to get from the NODE WITH HIGHEST Weight in the graph to the NODE WITH THE LOWEST WEIGHT,every time iterating to the NEXT NODE WITH THE HEIGHEST WEIGHT AND SHORTEST PATH COST from our individual nodes of venture and along the paths joining these nodes at each level of heirarchy of this network of graphs untill all nodes are exhausted within the local domain. 5//This will unify the cost in terms of funds manpower equimpent etc taken to TRACK SANITISE TRACE TEST AND ALL OTHER MEASURES , with the most being focused at NODES with highest weights lowest weight nodes will require low resources and efforts in this graph Also highest probability and number of infected COVID19 patients being in the NODE with highest weights.

Converted to Graphs


Search Sampling Testing Sanitization and Containment based on Administrative Divisions

Actual Administrative Divisions

1//Comvert Administrative Division networks into graphs with cities and major towns and villages and destinations as NODES of the Graph. 68

0

72

0

0

76

80

0

0

84

88

0

92

0

0

96

AFGHANISTAN 0

36

N

Ganderbal Srinagar Baramula BadgamPulwama

Kangra

A T

Gurdaspur

S

Amritsar

Hoshiarpur

C

BOUNDARY, DISTRICT 32

Lahul & Spiti

H

Kinnaur

KILOMETRES

SBS Rupnagar Shimla Nagar 100 0 100 200 300 400 Solan Firozpur Moga SAS Uttarkashi Ludhiana Nagar Panchkula Faridkot Fatehgarh Sirmaur Rudraprayag Sahib Muktsar Barnala Tehri Garhwal Ambala Chamoli Dehradun Patiala Bathinda Sangrur Yamunanagar Kurukshetra Pithoragarh Mansa Saharanpur Garhwal Kaithal Bageshwar Hardwar Sirsa Karnal Fatehabad Almora Muzaffarnagar Ganganagar Panipat Bijnor Hanumangarh Jind Nainital Hisar Dibang Champawat Upper Siang Sonipat Meerut Valley Baghpat Rohtak Udham Singh Nagar Jyotiba Phule Bhiwani Rampur Ghaziabad Nagar Jhajjar A Upper Lower Moradabad GBN Churu Pilibhit Bikaner Subansiri Anjaw West Mahendragarh Gurgaon Faridabad Dibang East Bareilly Valley Siang Rewari Jhunjhunun Kurung Siang Palwal Bulandshahr Budaun Lohit Kheri Kumey Mewat Lower Aligarh Shahjahanpur Kanshiram Subansiri North District Mathura Nagar Tinsukia Changlang Sikar Bahraich Tawang Dhemaji Mahamaya Alwar East K ameng Shrawasti Sitapur Nagar Jaisalmer Dibrugarh Etah Papum Farrukhabad West West Kameng Lakhimpur Nagaur Balrampur Pare District Mainpuri Sivasagar Hardoi Tirap Siddharthnagar Bharatpur SouthEast District Firozabad Agra Gonda Jodhpur Jaipur Mahrajganj Dausa District Jorhat Kannauj Pashchim Mon Sonitpur Darjiling Champaran Longleng Golaghat Udalguri Etawah Karauli Gorakhpur Basti Purba Unnao Lucknow Dhaulpur Mokokchung SKN Chirang Baksa Bara Banki Kushinagar Jalpaiguri Champaran Tuensang Kokrajhar Darrang Nagaon Auraiya Faizabad Kanpur Ajmer Sitamarhi Morena Bhind Kanpur Karbi Anglong Ambedkar Gopalganj Wokha Bongaigaon Nalbari Nagar Sawai Tonk Morigaon Koch Sheohar Madhubani Dehat Nagar Zunheboto Kishanganj Deoria Barmer Barpeta Bihar Kamrup Metropolitan Madhopur Rae Bareli Sultanpur Dhubri Supaul Araria Kiphire Muzaffarpur Jalaun Gwalior Goalpara Kamrup Siwan Azamgarh Darbhanga Ajmer Phek Dimapur Mau Ri Bhoi Karbi Anglong Pali Uttar Dinajpur Saran Fatehpur Kohima West East Garo Hills Saharsa Purnia Ballia Bhilwara Bundi Pratapgarh Datia Sheopur Hamirpur Vaishali Samastipur Garo Jaintia Jhansi Jaunpur Madhepura Dima Peren Senapati Hills Ghazipur Hills Khagaria West Khasi Hasao Jalor Bhojpur Banda Katihar Ukhrul Rajsamand Shivpuri East Khasi Hills Hills Mahoba South Garo Buxar Patna Kaushambi Begusarai Dakshin Dinajpur SRNB Varanasi Bhagalpur Hills Kota Chandauli Munger Chittaurgarh Nalanda Baran --Chitrakoot Allahabad Maldah Tameng- Imphal East Lakhisarai Kaimur Rohtas Arwal Jehanabad Sirohi --Cachar long Chittaurgarh Tikamgarh Sheikhpura Sahibganj Imphal West (Bhabua) Chhatarpur ----- ---- ---Mirzapur ----- ----Imphal Karimganj Nawada Jamui Banka Godda Gaya East ----- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ---- ---- ---- ---- Thoubal Banas Kantha Neemuch Udaipur Rewa Ashoknagar Bishnupur - - -RANN - - - - - - - -OF - - - - KACHCHH - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - Hailakandi Aurangabad Sonbhadra Lalitpur Guna Pakur ----- -- ---- ---- ---- ----- ---Jhalawar Satna Churachandpur North Tripura ----- ---- Kodarma Dumka Mandsaur Panna -Deoghar ----- ---Singrauli Sabar -Chandel Palamu Giridih Pratapgarh Chatra Kolasib ---------Patan Kantha Dungarpur Sidhi Murshidabad Garhwa Vidisha Dhalai ----- --Mahesana Sagar Jamtara Rajgarh Damoh Hazaribagh Mamit Kachchh Birbhum ----- ---- ---- Aizawl Champhai Shahdol Latehar - ---- ----- ---Banswara Bhopal West Tripura Katni Bokaro Dhanbad Nadia Gandhinagar Ratlam Ujjain Koriya Shajapur Ramgarh Lohardaga South Umaria Barddhaman Serchhip Surguja Ranchi Ahmadabad Tripura Puruliya Kheda Panch Bankura Raisen Jabalpur Sehore Surendranagar Lunglei Mahals Dohad Jhabua Narsimhapur Gumla Anuppur Dindori Indore Khunti Rajkot SaraikelaAnand North Twenty Jamnagar Hugli Dewas Kharsawan Jashpur Dhar Hoshangabad Four Parganas Purbi Lawngtlai Haora Mandla Vadodara Alirajpur Simdega Singhbhum Paschim Kolkata Korba Pashchimi Saiha Medinipur Seoni Bilaspur Harda Raigarh Singhbhum Sundargarh Chhindwara Bharuch Narmada West Nimar Kabeerdham Barwani Bhavnagar Porbandar South Twenty East Nimar Betul Janjgir - Champa Purba Amreli Four Parganas Nandurbar Balaghat Mayurbhanj Medinipur Junagadh Kendujhar Jharsuguda Surat Burhanpur Baleshwar Durg Tapi Debagarh Raipur Gondiya Dhule Amravati The Nagpur Bargarh Sambalpur Mahasamund Bhandara Jalgaon Navsari Diu New More I. Rajnandgaon Dangs Jajapur Bhadrak Subarnapur (INDIA) Anugul Akola Valsad Wardha Dhenkanal Daman Aurangabad Balangir Baudh Dhamtari Nashik Buldana Nuapada Cuttack Kendrapara Washim Chandrapur Uttar Bastar Yavatmal Thane Aurangabad Kandhamal Nayagarh Jagatsinghapur Kanker Khordha Jalna Puri Mumbai Hingoli Gadchiroli Kalahandi Suburban Ganjam Narayanpur Nabarangapur Ahmadnagar Mumbai Rayagada Parbhani Adilabad Bastar Nanded Bid Raigarh Gajapati Pune Bijapur Koraput Srikakulam Karimnagar Nizamabad Dakshin Bastar Vizianagaram Latur Dantewada

I

PUNJAB

T

C

I

UTTARAKHAND

K

I

HARYANA

N

A

0

RAJASTHAN

T

E

P

A

N

B

E

A

SIKKIM

L

ARUNACHAL PRADESH

0

ASSAM

NAGALAND

0

24

MEGHALAYA

MANIPUR

BANGLADESH

----- ---

TRIPURA

GUJARAT

JHARKHAND

MADHYA PRADESH

0

24

MIZORAM

WEST BENGAL

MYANMAR

CHHATTISGARH

DAMAN & DIU

0

20

MAHARASHTRA

BAY OF BENGAL

ARABIAN SEA

Satara

A

Osmanabad

Solapur

Gulbarga

Kolhapur

North

North East

Central New Delhi

Rangareddi

KARNATAKA

Uttara Kannada

Kurnool

16

Anantapur

Hassan

Dakshina Kannada

D W

Kasaragod

Kodagu

Chittoor Thiruvallur

Bangalore

Dharmapuri

Chamarajanagar The Nilgiris

Salem

Erode

Cuddalore

A

H ) IA ND (I

KERALA

P

TAMIL NADU

Thrissur

D

Ernakulam

W

Idukki Kottayam

Theni

Madurai

Virudhunagar

E E

Alappuzha

Pathanamthitta

GBN K SAS Nagar SBS Nagar SKN SRNB

-

Gautam Buddha Nagar Kapurthala Sahibzada Ajit Singh Nagar Shahid Bhagat Singh Nagar Sant Kabir Nagar Sant Ravidas Nagar (Bhadohi)

Sivaganga

Ramanathapuram

Tirunelveli

Thoothukkudi

ANDAMAN SEA

A D

72

D

East of Greenwich

I

76

0

The responsibility for the correctness of internal details rests with the publisher.

A

N

O

80

0

0

Nicobar

S

SRI LANKA

N

8

N

Kanniyakumari

I

0

L

Thiruvananthapuram

8

12

South Andaman

I S

P

Kollam

0

Narcondam I. (INDIA)

Barren I. (INDIA)

(INDIA)

S

A S E

Perambalur

Tiruchirappalli Ariyalur Nagapattinam Karur Karaikal Thanjavur Thiruvarur Dindigul Pudukkottai Nagapattinam

Palakkad Coimbatore Tiruppur

DATA NOT AVAILABLE

C - CHANDIGARH P - PUDUCHERRY

PUDUCHERRY

Viluppuram

Coco Is. (MYANMAR)

North and Middle Andaman

R N I C O B A

K

Namakkal

Malappuram

NA

Tiruvannamalai

Mysore

Wayanad Kozhikode

Chennai Kancheepuram

Vellore

&

P E E

L A

P

Chikkaballapura Tumkur Bangalore Rural Kolar Ramanagara Mandya Krishnagiri

Kannur

Sri Potti Sriramulu Nellore

Y.S.R. Tumkur

Chitradurga

Chikmagalur

Mahe

0

0

Prakasam

Bellary

Haveri

Shimoga

Udupi

A S H

0

12

Yanam

P

ANDHRA PRADESH

A N D A M A N

K L A

6

East Godavari

West Godavari Guntur

Raichur

Koppal

Davanagere

4

Khammam

Krishna

Mahbubnagar

East

South

2

Visakhapatnam

Hyderabad

Yadgir

Bagalkot

Dharwad

South Goa

KILO ME TRE S

0

Warangal

Gadag

GOA North Goa

South West

Medak

Nalgonda

Bijapur

Belgaum North West

West

Malkangiri

Bidar

Sindhudurg

16

NCT OF DELHI

0

20

ORISSA

DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI

Sangli

5//This will unify the cost in terms of funds manpower equimpent etc taken to TRACK SANITISE TRACE TEST AND ALL OTHER MEASURES , with the most being focused at NODES with highest weights lowest weight nodes will require low resources and efforts in this graph Also highest probability and number of infected COVID19 patients being in the NODE with highest weights.

28

BHUTAN

UTTAR PRADESH

BIHAR

0

4//Using the COVID-19 patient count in every major node in this network of graphs as the NODAL WEIGHTS and THE GEOGRAPHICAL DISTANCE BETWEEN THE NODES as the path length or path cost of this graph we can focus our TRACKING, TRACING, SAMPLING, TESTING, SANITIZATION, LOCKDOWN, MEASURES, TESTING KIT UTILIZATION, PPPE DISTRIBUTION, MEDICAL MANPOWER ETC and efforts as in the same order of nodes as an A*search Algorithm would do to get from the NODE WITH HIGHEST Weight in the graph to the NODE WITH THE LOWEST WEIGHT,every time iterating to the NEXT NODE WITH THE HEIGHEST WEIGHT AND SHORTEST PATH COST from our individual nodes of venture and along the paths joining these nodes at each level of heirarchy of this network of graphs untill all nodes are exhausted within the local domain.

0

HIMACHAL PRADESH

K

28

BOUNDARY, STATE/U.T.

BOUNDARY, INTERNATIONAL

Kullu Hamirpur Una Mandi K Jalandhar Bilaspur

Tarn Taran

Ratnagiri

3//Each level of this heirarchy can be converted or expressed as a VORONOI first and then taking its DELAUNAY DUAL thereafter,each Individual graph one being the subset of its parent graph.

Leh (Ladakh)

Kargil Anantnag Punch Shupiyan Kulgam Kishtwar Rajouri Ramban Reasi Doda Udhampur Jammu Samba Chamba Kathua

0

32

0

ADMINISTRATIVE DIVISIONS 2011

JAMMU AND KASHMIR Bandipore

Kupwara

P

2//Administrative Divisions can be primarily classified into following heirarchies : i/National ii/State iii/Districts iv/Cities and Towns and Neighbourhoods v/Villages and Rural Settlements

36

INDIA

NA

C

E

84

A

INDIRA POINT

N

0

88

0

The state boundaries between Uttarakhand & Uttar Pradesh, Bihar & Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh & Madhya Pradesh have not been verified by the Governments concerned.

The territorial waters of India extend into the sea to a distance of twelve nautical miles measured from the appropriate base line.

The administrative headquarters of Chandigarh, Haryana and Punjab are at Chandigarh.

The external boundaries and coastlines of India agree with the Record/Master Copy certified by Survey of India.

The interstate boundaries amongst Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and Meghalaya shown on the map are as interpreted from the " North-Eastern Areas (Reorganisation) Act. 1971," but have yet to be verified.

92

0

C

Government of India Copyright, 2011

Converted to Graphs


Search Sampling Testing Sanitization and Containment at Distric City Town and Neighbourhood level 1//Using GIS DATA at District, City , Towns and Neighbourhood levels, conduct classification of clusters based on demographics such as : i//Population Density. ii//Susceptibility based on connectivity with different districts and inter connections within a city distric of different sectors and neighbourhoods as given by syntactic analysis such as depth map. iii//Economic Classess. 2//We can Screen Search Sample Test Sanitize and Contain these clusters/ neighbourhoods/sectors and discover new ones in the same fashion as a BINARY SEARCH would proceed iterating and moving to next cluster untill a new COVID is detected in an untested or non quarantined sectors or else if all sectors have been screened completely at the district or city level. 3//Once a new cluster or a node has been identified we must ADD the new found NODE to the Administrative Division GRAPH and iterate along the procedure mentioned in the section of Containment based in Administrative Divisions with the new updated Administrative Graph. 4//Mobile networks can be leveraged to further acheive the same.


Demographic Screening of COVID-19 Patients 1//By careful screening of new Patients every day we must determine the following : a//if the patient belongs to which section of economy i/weak sections and migrant and workers will be associated with slums and slum markets foot transport and public transport networks ii/lower middle class with small houses and small markets and public transport networks iii/higher and middle class with apartments small bunglows and public and private transport networks air networks iv/VVIPS with exclusive private transport air travel parties big houses international travel history etc. We must make sure to carry forward with lateral priority search sampling screening tracking tracing and quarantine while looking for infections in these specific networks as it is of high probability that more infections will be found along these paths and nodes.So as to how much effort must be focused in such networks will be defined when we add these nodes to the existing graphs and iterate in accordance with the search and containement measures defined in previous sections

Cross-Examining of COVID-19 Patients 2//We must cross examine to determine each day whether the newly detected or reported Patient: i//Was detected due to screening and testing activity conducted in accordance with Containment in Tranportation Networks and Administrative Divisions and Binary Cluster Testing and Screening at District and Neighbourhood level. ii//If patient was detected due to testing and screening conducted in accordance with Containment in Transportation networks and Administrative Divisions and Cluster Testing and Screening at District and Neighbourhood level then we must update Graph Data weights in applicable networks and proceed in accordance which is a reinforcer for the containment stratergy. iii//If patient was detected not due to testing and screening conducted in accordance with Containment in Transportation networks and Administrative Divisions and Cluster Testing and Screening at District and Neighbourhood level and does not identify with any of the nodes under the networks defined previously or clusters then we must add a new node in the appropriate networks and create new cluster and proceed in the fashion mentioned above sections.

Criteria for Resuming Operations 1//Any employer employing more than 50 employees Private or Government and wishes to resume the operations of their business or firm or industry must procure testing kits through private or other sources and ensure the testing of their employees the cost of which can be beared by the employees in part and the employer in part. 2//Employees may be allowed and resume work only when the employer has ensured proof of non-infection via medical testing and a general medical fitness certificate. 3//Any employee who tests positive must be reported to governemnt sources 4//Failing to follow these procedures and demanding employees resume work without registering proof of non-infection via testing will be held so as to be punishable by law. 5//For businesses with fewer than 50 employees the onus of testing and providing proof of non-infection is with the individual employee provided that he or she is able to afford the expenditure of getting tested and registering the same with the goverment through local authorities the proof only upon the provision of which will they be allowed to be exempted from the lockdown directives.Employees below poverty line will be tested by the goverment under COVID-19 relief schemes.


Guidelines for the Rehabilitation of Migrant Workers 1//Migrant workers of the unorganised sector must be assessed for re-employment.

5//If the employee is unable or not eligible to be employed in the private or government sector and unfit to work only then in this case is he or she eligible for monetary assisstance from the 2//If the previous employer wishes to employ its migrant workers again it is free to do so after goverment.This monetary assisstance should be remmited primarily by the State government free testing from the government under COVID-19 relief schemes,provided that the employer is to which the migrant work is a domicle of.If the state goverment is lacking in funding the surable to ensure food,clothing shelther and basic minimum monthly wage for upto three months plus of which can be remitted by the Central government and provided shelter in labour camps and able to verify and generate Qr Code id against Aadhar card with details and and esential services. register the employee with the government : i/ Phone number (optional) if unavailable please assist in generating immediate mobile number 6//If the employee wishes to go back to his native to which he or she is a domicle of then afby tie up with public sector such as jio to provide free mobiles with tentative scheme and all ter document collection verfication the employees home state must arrange transportation to necessary government apps loaded for health screening quarantine tracking and employment collect their domicles and arrange for testing before entry at their respective borders to which finding food distribution and collecting government monetary benefits in a bank account or at states they respectively belong to. a local fund distribution center. ii/ Aadhar card 7//After reaching his or her home state the respective state goverment must iterate points 3 and iii/ Address (optional) 4 respectively after registering proof of non-infection with the central government. iv/ Type of Labour v/ Patient Screening details *Please note few directives are subject to revisions circumstantially and further discussions if vi/ Bank account (optional) if unavailable assisst to generate immediate accounts via representa- implementations are challenged with obstacles or oppositions. tives at labour and homeless camps shelters slums etc via online sources if possible with government or government recognised banks 3//If the previous employee is no longer willing to employ its migrant workers again then it must pay its employees minimum wage for upto 3 months untill which the employees find a new employment.The burden of document collection verification and qr code generation and testing remains with the governement under relief schemes.During this duration the government must assisst these migrant workers to look for a suitable job once they have been declared eligible after document collection and verification.If unable to afford food shelter and clothing the government must arrange for rehabilitative labour camps and community food services or assign them to NGOs.During the period of rehabilitation these reliefs are conditional to these migrant workers provided that they earn their share by contributing in civil service such as in the development or repair of infrastructure or in the combating sanitization and containment of COVID-19 crisis as a whole or at the least contribute towards the operation of the labour camps and food and essential services run by the government.If during this period the employee finds a suitable employer then the employer instead of the government must arrange for the same.Failing or refusing to pay the minimum wage from previous employer will amount to penalisation in annual taxation for the individual or business venture or industry. 4//If the employee is unable to find a employment in the private sector then the government must make provisions if employee is verified to be eligible in the public sector and work towards ontributing in civil service such as in the development or repair of infrastructure or in the medical sector where ever there is a shortage of manpower and hence contributing to the economy. As one earning member is also one less member to feed.


COVID-19 testing based on OCKHAMs RAZOR

Organised Evacuation of Migrant Workers

1//In places where Serological or Rapid testing kits are hard to aquire or in shortsupply , it 1//Evacuation of Migrant workers is necessary as : is recommended that Indian medical institutes such as ICMR , AIIMS etc develop a testing and diagnostic standard methodology based on the OCKHAMs RAZOR principal so as a/Organised dispertion of a crowd is better than unorganised to determine if the suspected patient may be a potential COVID-19 case or is a potential dispersion carrier. b/There is a high probability that if lockdown is relaxed migrant 2//For this we must Identify a family or category of related COVID-19 illness that develop workers who are poorly literate will not follow adequate health and safety guidelines and rush out all at once towards different sources of same symptoms as COVID-19. transport in an unorganised fashion towards their homes or towards 3//Categorise them into two parts such that : finding another job and travel far and wide within the city or the state i/Illness that show similiar symptoms to COVID-19 but are not caused due to which can be the cause for a second peak.Therefore it is recommendCOVID-19 ed that migrant workers are disperesed off to their native lands before the lockdown is relaxed. ii/Illnesses that show similiar symptoms to COVID-19 and are with a high probability caused excluively due to COVID-19 being the underlying cause. 2//Organising trains state and private buses if possible and arranging Using basic testing facilities and kits used and readily availaible in almost every for screening testing and sanitization booths at every possible station healthcare institution diagnose not for COVID-19 but the related family or category of or node or bus stop along the way ensuring that suspected illness that have similiar symptoms as COVID-19,if an underlying pathogen or virus or COVID-19 carriers are quarantined along the route. otherwise is detected through the mediums of testing which belong to family of illnesses that show similiar symptoms to COVID-19 but are not caused due to 3//This will help us in not over burdening medical infrastructure COVID-19 as the underlying root cause then we can say that the patient is potentially not a COVID-19 case or a carrier,even so such a person and his or her activities must be under funding man power testing kits and equiment which may be found strict scrutiny and monitoring and can be suggested home quarantine if healthcare infra- to be inadequate to tackle the burden of the existing domiciled popstructure is burdened in that particular region. ulace.Hence decentralising distributing and dividing the burden among several states which will speed up or accelerate the testing and However if we diagnose the suspected patient not for COVID-19 directly but quarantine process and hence the eradication process. laterally for the family of illnesses that with a high probability have similiar symptoms to COVID-19 using testing procedures readily availaible at any healthcare facility and deter4//Those who are willing to be accomodated in shelters can be helped mine a infection by a virus or a pathogen that has its underlying root cause specifically in COVID-19,then when by OCKHAMs RAZOR we have negated all possible causes of such in doing so.Those who arent willing and choose to be escorted should an infection then we can say that the patient is a potential COVID-19 patient or potentially be dispersed towards their native state along the guidelines a carrier and must be quarantined contained and treated for COVID-19 even mentioned in Rehabilitation of Migrant Workers. if not being tested serologically or via Rapid testing kit specifically for COVID-19.


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