BPCL About
BPCL has interests in oil refining and marketing of petroleum products. It is the third largest refining company in India. BPCL is a public sector firm in which the government of India holds 54.93% as of March 2016.
Investment Argument
Petroleum sales volume are expected to witness steady growth in the coming years. This would lead to increase in profitability of the company led by lower interest and higher marketing margin. BPCL’s (10% stake) Mozambique block has witnessed great resource upgrades and further appraisal could add more upgrades. Since Oil prices are globally in the range of 40-50$ for past few months, the company is expected to report profits in the coming quarters due to subsidy cancellation. The government of India has also entirely deregulated diesel prices and has also speedup the implementation of direct benefit transfer of LPG. These measures will help the government to tap the slippage in subsidy given on LPG and eventually decline the gross underrecoveries for the oil companies.
Risk
Although oil prices are stabilizing, there is still uncertainty in the market about future oil prices. The long-term profitability will be impacted by sustained high oil prices.
Financials
FY
CMP
Sales
OPM (%)
EPS
PE
BVPS
PBV
EV/Sales
ROE (%)
2016 03
981.10
188447
6.35
110.38
8.88
387.75
2.53
0.46
28
2015 03
981.10
242418
2.78
66.47
14.75
311.87
3.14
0.34
21
Pidilite Industries
About
Pidilite Industries (Pidilite) is a dominant play in India’s growing adhesive and industrial chemical market with a market share of ~70% in its leading brand categories in the organized segment. The company has 14 overseas subsidiaries including manufacturing and selling operations in the US, Brazil, Thailand, Dubai, Egypt, and Bangladesh. Some of the company’s most well-known brands are Fevicol, M Seal, Dr. Fixit, Fevi Kwik, Hobby Ideas, etc.
Investment Argument
Pidilite Industries has a high pricing power in the consumer segment due to its strong brands. Flagship brands such as Fevicol, Feviquick and M-Seal enjoys a monopoly in the market with 70% market share each. It is expected to benefit from the expansion opportunity of its distribution network and implementation of GST. The expectation of good monsoon in the country will boost the demand for its products in the market. The company exports its products to 20 countries. The sales for Q4 FY 16 grew by 19% from Rs.1043 Cr in Q4 FY 15 to Rs. Rs.1241 Cr in the Q4 FY 16. The growth in sales was supported by higher volumes rather than value growth in the quarter. The company has healthy ROE of 26.04% for past 5 years.
Risk
The revenues of the company could be impacted due to a slowdown in industrial segment and low demand in real estate sector.
Financials
FY
CMP
Sales
OPM (%)
EPS
PE
BVPS
PBV
EV/Sales ROE(%)
2016 03
710.80
5369.45
19.57
14.74
48.22
54.27
13.09
6.73
27.14
2015 03
710.80
4844.11
13.66
10
71.08
44.28
16.05
7.52
22.57
HDFC Bank
About
HDFC Bank is the largest bank in India by market capitalization and second largest private banks by assets as on 31st March 2016. It has 4,520 branches and 12,000 ATMs across 2,587 cities and towns as on 31st March 2016. It also has two subsidiaries HDB Financial Services Limited and HDFC Securities Limited..
Investment Argument
The bank has clean balance sheet and very good asset quality compared to other banks, the gross non-performing assets were at 0.94% and net non-performing assets were at 0.3% as on March 31, 2016. The total restructures loans were at 0.1% of gross advances as on 31st March 2016. The net interest margin was at 4.3% and CASA was at 43% as on 31st March 2016 which is again good compared to other banks. The banks also have good domestic loan mix of 51:49 between retail and wholesale. The bank will also benefit from the revival in rural demand as it has 55% branches in rural and semi-urban areas. We believe that HDFC Bank is well positioned for high qualitative growth, with strong Capital Adequacy Ratio, pan-India presence, and robust asset quality.
Risk
The rapid change in technology in the banking is a challenge for the bank as it has to spend more to meet the customers’ requirement. The slowdown in Indian economy can lead to slow growth for the bank. The interest rate risk is always present..
Financials
FY
CMP
Sales
OPM(%)
EPS
PE
BVPS
PBV
ROE(%)
2016 03
1166.15
63161.57
35.57
50.9
22.91
293.90
3.96
17.24
2015 03
1166.15
50566.49
36.28
44.1
26.44
249.79
4.66
16.94
Marico
About
Marico is among India's leading FMCG companies, Currently present in 25 countries across emerging markets of Asia and Africa. Marico has nurtured multiple brands in the categories of hair care, skin care, health foods, male grooming, and fabric care. Currently, Marico has 58% and 55% market share in premium edible oil segment and coconut hair oil segment respectively.
Investment Argument
Going ahead, we believe that with Marico’s increasing focus in Bangladesh markets and stabilizing economic situation in other markets, international business growth is expected to remain healthy aiding the overall revenue growth for the company.
Parachute oil demand is continuous to grow irrespective of heavy competition in the market in the hair oil segment. This can be attributed to the strength of the brand. The company is also confident of maintaining the double-digit volume growth of Saffola oil. Marico is planning to increase its revenue contribution from rural sales in next 3 years to 37% from current 34% by launching low unit packs. A good monsoon will also revive the rural demand. We believe that Marico remains a key play in the hair care and food space in India and is one of the key players in the India consumer space.
Risk
Patanjali has disturbed the FMCG sector by launching the product in almost all categories. This will also impact the sale of Marico. Parachute business may get impacted because of competition from unorganized sector.
Financials
FY
CMP
Sales
OPM(%)
EPS
PE
BVPS
PBV
EV/Sales
ROE(%)
2016 03
255.70
6122.39
15.69
5.62
45.49
16.21
15.77
4.57
34.56
2015 03
255.70
5720.28
13.73
4.45
57.46
28.29
8.85
5.74
31.42
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