RESIDENTIAL STAGING INFORMATION JUNE, 1986
cm"onton PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT
LIBRARY
ARCHIVES 1986 DO NOT REMOVE
FROM LIBRARY
,7PLANNING
@9@ m"'i"nton
AND BUIDING
Corporate Forecasting Group Long Range Planning Branch June, 1986
RESIDENTIAL STAGING INFORMATION JUNE, 1986
ROW OrA
uPIIE" IItII
DPLANNING
AND BUILDING
Corporate Forecasting Group Long Range Planning Branch June, 1986
MAP 1
CITY OF EDMONTON RESIDENTIAL AREA STRUCTURE PLAN AREAS JANUARY 1, 1985
@e I
CASTLE DOWNS EXTENSION.
;
-9'A-E
j
-
EXTENSION e
mena
.
e4
LAKE DISTRICT
THE PALISADES ASTLE DOWN
PILOT SOLN . A STEELE HEIGHTS ,
m
3
eg 111
"
CLAREVIEW
1
AVE
HERMITAGE,
D
In
I
-F
p-
.
10AVE
iWEST JASPER PLACE
GRANGE
THE MEADOWS '
VE KITAYO tTWIN BROOKS
23AVE ML WOODS
-ESIE
RD
19 AVE S.W.)
i
TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE List of Tables ....... ..............................
ii
PURPOSE ............................................. I METRODOLOGY ........................................
1
Supply ............... .................. 1 Demand ................................... 1 FINDINGS ............................................
2
Total City Land Supply ................... 2 Sector Land Supply ....................... 3 Serviced Single Family Lot Supply ........ 3 CONCLUSIONS .........................
...............
4
LIST OF TABLES
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Table 10
City of Edmonton Housing Starts Actual and Forecast by Year .............
2
City of Edmonton Housing Starts Actual and Forecast by Year and by City Sector ...
5
1985 Potential Dwelling Units By City Sectors .........................
6
1986 Potential Dwelling Units By City Sectors ..........................
7
Potential Dwelling Units By City Sector - Northeast Sector, 1986 .....
8
Potential Dwelling Units By City Sector - North Sector, 1986 .........
9
Potential Dwelling Units By City Sector - Southeast Sector, 1986 .....
10
Potential Dwelling Units By City Sector.- Southwest Sector, 1986 .....
11
Potential Dwelling Units By City Sector - West Sector, 1986 ..........
12
Inventory of Subdivided and Serviced Lots in Years Using Actual 1985 and Forecasted 1986 and 1986-1990 Annual Absorption Rates ..................
13
ii
RESIDENTIAL STAGING INFORMATION
PURPOSE The purpose of compiling updated staging information is to identify and evaluate the supply and demand of residential land for potential dwelling units in suburban Area Structure Plan (ASP) areas. The staging information is updated on a semi-annual basis (June, December) to reflect actual development activity (starts) and forecasts of demand and servicing. METHODOLOGY Supply The supply component is calculated by totalling four elements: (i) vacant, serviced and subdivided lots; (ii) vacant subdivided lots (unserviced); (iii) raw land in approved ASPs; and, (iv) potential dwelling units (pdu) in authorized ASPs. The vacant, serviced and subdivided lots are lots in ASPs which have underground servicing completed and are found in registered subdivision plans. The vacant subdivided lots are also included in the inventory supply because they are found in registered subdivisions but do not have any servicing completed to date. The total of these two lot types compiles the available lots in registered subdivision plans. The total raw land is calculated from approved ASP Plans and adjusted yearly when additional land is brought into the development process by subdivision and servicing activity. The remainder of the raw land is multiplied by a factor of 11 pdu per hectare to calculate the potential available lots. Eleven pdu per hectare was used because it represents the present market conditions for development capacity for single family lots as identified by the Planning Implementation Branch. The number of potential dwelling units in authorized ASPs considers those ASPs which have had authorization by Council. If the ASP plan states the potential dwelling units, then the actual figures are used; if not, then the 11 pdu per hectare is applied. Demand The demand component is calculated by applying actual building starts for a specific year or an estimated absorption rate for future years (Tables I and 2). The 1985, 1986 and 1986 to 1990 rates are based on the annual "Housing Market Report" prepared by the Planning and Building Department. The actual and estimated future servicing activity is also included and is based on discussions with the Land Development Section; these figures are consolidated in the "Socio-Economic Forecasts, 1986 - 1991 City of Edmonton" prepared by the City Forecast Committee.
-
--
Actual housing starts for 1985 are used and broken down by housing type based on the city-wide percentages (Table 1).
Table 1 CITY OF EDMONTON HOUSING STARTS ACTUAL AND FORECAST BY YEAR Housing Type
1 19851
SS GRX APT TOTAL
1890 21 59 1970
Note:
2 19862 96% 1% 3% 100%
1750 50 0 1800
1987
%
Average Annual Forecast 1988-19902
2300 100 100 2500
92% 47. 4% 100%
2700 200 200 3100
2 97% 3% 0% 100%
88% 6% 6% 100%
SS - Singles, Semi's; GCN - Ground Related Multiples; APT - Apartments.
Sources: 1 - Actual Data - CMHC housing starts for 1985. 2 - Forecast Data - Corporate Forecasting Group,
Planning and Building Department Forecast Starts 1986-1990.
The number of housing starts for each city sector (except the Inner City) are calculated the same way for 1986 and 1987 (Table 2). The average annual forecast is used for 1988 to 1990. When the five year absorption rate is calculated, a total of 1986 to 1990 is taken and divided by the five year time period. These absorption rates are then divided into the total lot inventory for 1985, 1986 and 1986 to 1990. A second calculation using the same absorption rates is completed, but this time is divided into vacant serviced subdivided land and determines how long the land supply will last at the present absorption rates. FINDINGS Total City Land Supply The city has a supply of 154,913 potential residential lots for year end 1985, comprised of 82,612 single family lots, 34,460 ground related multiples and 37,841 apartment units. A forecast for year end 1986 shows that these figures will drop by only a few hundred lots in each category (Table 3 and Table 4 ).(See Tables 5 to 9 for each sector.) When the 1985 absorption rates (Table 2) for each housing type are applied, the total land supply is capable of accommodating residential units in excess of 20 years. This supply is well in excess of the GMP required target inventory of a ten year supply (GMP, Charts 5.5, "Residential Land Supply Targets", p. 5.20(a), and 5.6 "Staging Criteria", p. 5.20(b). - 2 -
CIITY SECTORS
MAP I
NORTH,
CIT
*CITY
. .
I.
II
SOUE Geea
OuniciEal
5.T
to Southwest Boundary Changed Southwest Boundary Changed to Whiternud Drive Drive
Whitemeud
SOUT)Mp
Sector Land Supply The total inventory of potential ASP is sufficient for all dwelling the GMP land supply target of a 5 "Residential Land Supply Targets",
units in approved and authorized types in all City sectors to meet year inventory. (GMP, Chart 5.5, p. 5.20(a).
However, the inventory of subdivided and serviced land for all residential types in each city sector shows a slightly different picture. The total supply of subdivided, serviced residential land in the Northeast and Southeast sectors are in excess of 20 years, but the other sectors each show less than an eight year supply (Table 10). The Southwest has a 7.9 year supply followed by the West sector with a 7.2 year supply and the North sector with only a 4.5 year supply (Table 10). When the 1985 city-wide inventory is forecast to the end of 1986, using 1986 starts and absorption rates (Table 2), the supply of subdivided and serviced land in the North sector drops to 4.2 years, but the supply for the Southwest sector increases slightly to a 8.0 year supply and the West sector also increases to a 7.7 year supply. The other remaining sectors would stay high at a 20+ year supply (Table 10). Nevertheless, the inventory of subdivided land in all sectors exceeds the GMP target of 2 years. (GMP, Chart 5.5 "Residential Land Supply Targets", p. 5.20(a). Serviced Single Family Lot Supply The supply of vacant, serviced subdivided single family lots to year end 1985 varies considerably across the city sectors. Specifically, the Southeast has a 15.2 year supply, the Northeast has a 6.5 year supply followed by the West and Southwest, both with a 1.8 year supply and the North sector with a 1.7 year supply (Table 10). When the 1985 inventory for vacant serviced subdivided single family lots is forecasted to the end of 1986, the West (1.7 year), the Southwest (1.5 year) and the North (1.2 year) sectors all fall to less than a two year supply. The Northeast increases to a 8.6 year supply and the Southeast sector increases to a 16.1 year supply (Table 10). The GMP suggests as a target that there should be a 1.5 year inventory of serviced lots for each dwelling type in each sector. (GMP, Chart 5.5 "Residential Land Supply Targets", p. 5.20(a). The inventory of serviced single family lots in the North and West sectors could be below the 1.5 year figure by the end of 1986, depending on servicing and development activity. A five year forecast (1986 - 1990) was also completed for all the sectors and the results show that the total housing lots in the North (2.9 years), West (5.2 years), and the Southwest (5.3 years) sectors would have less than a 6 year supply. This forecast also shows that the vacant serviced subdivided single family lot supply for the North (0.9 year), Southwest (1.1 year), and West (1.3 year), sectors would drop to a one year supply (Table 10).
- 3 -
CONCLUSIONS
The 1985 residential staging information shows that there is a surplus of residential lots in the city overall, while potential shortages of vacant serviced subdivided single family lots could arise in specific city sectors. When the 1985 housing absorption rates are applied and the limited amounts of new servicing activity are added, the results indicate more than a 20 year supply for each housing type in the city. Single family lots compose 53% of the overall supply, ground related multiples make up 22% and apartment units make up 25% of the total city-wide inventory. When this information is examined at the vacant serviced subdivided level of the total inventory, it appears that there could be a potential shortage of serviced single family lots as early as the end of 1986 in the West and North sectors. Semi-annual monitoring will be undertaken by the Long Range Planning Branch to assess the situation. If you have any questions about the report, please call Ed Egyedy at 428-3572.
-4-
Table 2 CITY OF EIONTON HOUSING STARTS ACTUAL AND FORECAST BY YEAR AND BY CITY SECTOR
Rousing Type
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
Average Annual Forecast 2 1986-1990
71 1 2 74
48 2 0 50
69 3 3 75
85 5 5 95
85 5 5 95
85 5 5 95
74 4 4 82
509 5 16 530
475 15 0 490
598 26 26 650
704 48 48 800
704 48 48 800
704 48 48 800
637 37 34 708
148 1 5 154
141 4 0 145
230 10 10 250
274 18 18 310
274 18 18 310
274 18 18 310
239 13 13 265
519 16 9 541
490 15 0 505
644 28 28 700
766 52 52 870
766 52 52 870
766 52 52 870
686 40 37 763
569 18 6 593
524 16 0 540
667 29 29 725
792 54 54 900
792 54 54 900
792 54 54 900
713 42 38 793
1
2
2
2
2
2
NORTHEAST SS GRM APT TOTAL NORTH SS GEM APT TOTAL SOUTHEAST SS GRM APT TOTAL SOUTHWEST SS GRM APT TOTAL WEST SS GRM APT TOTAL
Note:
SS-Singles, Semi's; GlM-Ground Related Multiples; APT-Apartments
Sources: 1 - Actual Data - CMHC housing starts for 1985. 2 - Forecast Data - Corporate Forecasting Group,
Planning and Building Department Forecast Starts 1986-1990 - 5 -
Table 3 POIfNTIAL. DILING I1IS BY CITY SCIOR (lMeasured to end ol Dereb er 31,19lS) CiTY SECTOR
VACANT SERVICED SUBDIVIKDED SS GEM API TOTAL
NORTHEASI
467
NORTH
899
2,026
VACANT SUBDIVIDED (Not Serviced) SS GR API IOTAl.
RAMLANDIN APPROVID ASP'S SS GRI API 1OIAI
1,041
3,529
0
0
0
0
6,920
956
651
2,396
71
44
0
121
PDU IN AIITHORIIID ASP'S GRP API TOTAL
TOTALPOIINTIAL UNITS SS GR API
TOTAL
2,301
2,297
11,525
0
0
0
0
1,382
4,334
3,338
15,054
16,345
9,044
7,47"
31,86/
0
0
0
0
17,311
8,944
8,129
34,384
3,473
3,4/3
11,360
5,677
1,253
547
7,477
19,341
1,40
12,222
37,977
1,619
8,144
9,910
OH5
3,191
1.,906
15,758
3,473
1,183
26,414
590
?,951
21,020
0,959
3,894
33,173
23,814
10,306
6,969
41,099
15,457
71,055
36,601/
11,097
1,632
55,336
82,612
34,460
37,941
SOUnIEAST
2,248
2,677
8,202
13,127
0
0
0
0
10,472
SOUTHEST
942
969
2,573
4,284
0
0
0
0
4,906
1,619
WEST
1,004
757
2,495
4.246
19
0
0
19
1,l1
591
TOTAL1915 UNIIS
5,545
7,295
14,752
27,582
96
44
0
140
40,364
Source: Corporate Forecasting Group Status of Residential Land Report,l9115 Housing arket Report,19R5 CliE,1985 $1986 Building Starts and Servicing are [stiutes
SS
16,034
154,913
fable4 POTFNTIAI. DIFl.I I IIIS By CITY SICIOR (IlMPasured to end of Derepmber 31,1 9116) CITY SECTOR
VACANT SEYICED SIDDIVIKY SS GIN API TOTAl
VACANT SilDIVID'D (Not Serviced) SS GRN API IOIAI
RA IANDIN APPROVED ASP'S SS R APT IOTAL
SS
POU IN AUIIHORIlZED ASP'S GRHAN API TOTAL
lOTALPOInTiflA UIlTS SS GMI API
IOTAI
NORTHEAST
414
2,024
1,041
3,479
0
0
0
0
6,920
2,318
2,297
11,525
0
0
0
0
7,334
4,332
3,339
15,004
NORTH
554
641
651
2,046
77
44
0
121
16,345
8,044
7,4/18 31,867
0
0
0
0
16,916
8,929
8.129
34,034
2,277
2,673
8,202
13,152
0
0
0
0
10,422
3,473
3,473
17,368
5,671
1,753
547
7,477
18,376
7,399
12,22
37,991
SWIEST
742
954
2,373
4,069
0
0
0
0
4,906
1,619
1,619
8,144
9,910
885
3,191
13,986
15,558
3,451
7,183
26,199
EST
915
741
2,485
4,141
19
0
0
19
590
590
2,951
21,020
8,959
3,894
33,873
23,725
10.290
6,969
40,994
14,752
26,87
96
0
140
16,034
15,457
11,855
36,607
11,097
7,632
55,336
81,969
34,400
37,841
154,219
SOUIIHEAST
TOTAl 1996 UNITS
4,902
1,233
44
Source: Corporate Forecasting Grop Status of Residential Land Report,1985 Housing Narkel eport,1986 CwIC,1995 *1986 Bailding Starts ad Servicing are Forecast Estimates
1,771
40,364
N..UNIIS5 JUNE86
lable 5 POITNniAI. OlIIrI; lNIIS BY CIry SrCoil (forerasted for December 31,1986) CITT SECTOR NOIIIFASI
VACANT SFIVICEI SUDIVIIED SS GMll API IOTAL
VACANT SIUBDIVIDED (Not Serviced) SS GIN API IlIAI
RAMlAND IN APPROVED ASP'S SS GRHl API IOIAL
SS
PDU IN AlITHOR17ED ASP'S GRH API 1OAI
TOTALPOINTIAL UNITS SS GRM API
TOTAL
Clareview, Hermitaee, Steele Heights Pilot Somd
462
2,026
1,041
3,579
0
0
0
0
1,131
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5,189
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1985 Tom
462
2,026
1,041
3,529
HMIS Starts to end 1906
48
2
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
371
317
1,o5
0
0
0
0
1,593
2,403
1,410
5,414
1.931
1,920
9,640
0
0
0
0
5,7119
1,931
1,920
9,640
11,525
0
0
0
0
/,302
4,334
3,338
15,054
.........
48
2
0
50
0
0
0
0
--------------------------------------------------
6,920
?,JOR
2,291
.....................................................................................................
PLUS
Servicing end 9I0 6
............................................................................................
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1996 IOIAL
414
2,024
1,041
3,4/9
0
Source: Corporate Forecasting Group Status of Residential land Report,1985 Housing Market Report,1986 COC,1985 *1986 Building Starts aid Servicing are Forecast Estimates
0
0
0
6,920
?,JOB
2,297
11,525
0
0
0
0
/,334
4,332
3,338
15,004
lable 6 POIFNTIAL IlII IN 1i .IS By Crty SIIOR I(Iorprasted for Decetber 3 1,191i1 CITY SICTOR NORiH Lake District
VACANT SERVICED SWlDIVIOIED SS GIRN AFFPI 10IAL
VACANT SIIDIVIODID (Not SWrviced) 55 GR API 10MI.
RAN lAND III APPROWVED ASP'S 55 GR8 AP 101iAI
479
142
0
621
71
44
0
1?1
410
714
651
1,775
0
0
0
Castle lows Es
0
0
0
0
0
0
Palisades
0
0
0
0
0
989
856
651
2,396
77
Starts to end 1986
475
15
0
490
........................
PlUS Servicing end 1986*
140
0
0
140
........................................................ .
19W16OTAL
554
841
651
2,046
Castle
Dams
1995 TOTAL
1,481
2,689
3,405
0
0
0
0
0
0
3,2/3
2840
0
0
0
5,585
44
0
121
16.345
13,581
SS
Poll IN AIIIHORlfID ASP'S GRM API 10IAL
roIAL POIFINTIA SS GRN
uNTTS API OTAI.
0
0
0
0
8,043
2,875
3,405
14,323
0
0
0
0
0
410
714
651
1,775
1.110
71.823
0
0
0
0
3,273
2,840
1,710
7,823
2,515
2,363
10,463.
0
0
0
0
5,585
2,515
2,363
10,463
8,044
7,418
31,86/
0
0
0
0
11,311
0,944
8,129
34,384
415
15
0
490
140
0
0
140
8,929
8,129
MIS
77
.......................................................................
44
Source: Corporate rorecasting Group Status of Residential land Report,1985 IHousing arket Report,191 CIC,1985 *1986 Building Starts and Servicing are Forecast Estimates
0
121
16,345
8,044
7,470
31,86/
................. ................... 0
0
0
0
16,976
34,034
lable 7 POIHIIAI DIFUIIING IMIIS IT CiT SII:IOR (forecasted lor December 31,19116) CITY SECTOR SOOTIEAST
SIUDIVIDD VACANT SERVICED SS GlI API TOTAL
VACANT SUBDIVIDED (Not Serviced) IOTA. 55 GRN API
RANlLANDIN APPROW D ASP'S API 101AI S5S GRIM
2,095
2,677
8,202
12.974
0
0
0
0
404
153
0
0
153
-0
0
0
0
9,931
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2985 TOTAL 2,248
2,677
3,202
13,127
0
0
0
0
10,422
HiIoods The NeNds (Ilerslie Rest
SS
PDUIN AIITHORIlED ASP'S GRH API 101A
IOTA POFINIIAI. UNITS SS G1N API TOTAL
161
906
0
0
0
0
2,579
2,938
9,363
13,70
3,312
16,562
0
0
0
0
10,091 3,312
3,312
16,115
0
0
0
5,677
1.253
54/
1,471
5,671
1,253
3,413
3,473
11,360
5,611
1,253
S41
7,417
10,341
1,403
161 3.3J.
541
7,477
12,M7 31,912
"Tm's Starts to end 191869
141
4
0
145
PILUS Servicing end 1906
110
0
0
1/0
2,277
2,6/3
8,202
13,152
1986 IOTAL
.. .. ................................................................ ...........................................
..................................... ......................................................... ... 0
Source: Corporate Forecasting Group Status of Residential Land Report,1985 Housing Narket IReport,1996 IBIC,1985
1986 IBilding Starts and Servicing are Forecast Estimtes
0
0
0
10,422
3,413
3,4/3
J1,368
5,6/7
I,7253
547
1,411
141
4
0
145
170
0
0
170
7,399
12,277
18,376
3.7,991
fable 8 POINIAI DMWFIIING 111l5 IT CIIY SIOR
(Inreprasted for ecember 31,SI1.) CIIy SECTOR SOUIlIWSI
VACANT SERVICED SUBDIVIDJE SS GIM API ItA.
VACANT SIDUBDIVIDFD (Not Servired) 55 GN API 10IAI
RANIAND IN APPROVEFD ASP'S SS IGRN API 101AJ
SS
PIl lN AlIIIIRIKD ASP'S 1.A11 API 10AlI
IOfA[ PIoINIIAL lUITS SS GRl API TOTAl
liverbed
535
304
0
839
0
0
0
0
3,347
1,115
1,115
5,571
0
0
0
0
3,882
1,419
1,115
6,416
laskitayo
407
665
2,373
3,445
0
0
0
0
45
0
0
45
0
0
0
0
452
665
2,373
3,490
Tuin Broots
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,514
504
504
2,522
0
0
0
0
1,514
504
504
?,522
lerillegar
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9,130
625
?,931
17,686
9,130
625
2,931
17,686
a
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
180
260
260
1,300
710
260
260
1,300
1995 lOIN.
942
%9
2,313
4,284
0
0
0
0
4,9%
1,619
1,619
8,144
9,910
3,191
.i,986
15,158
3,413
7,103
26,414
MINUS5 Starts to end 1986*
490
s15
0
505
..................................................................................................................
491
15
0
505
end 19 6
290
0
0
290
.....................
M
0
0
290
1996 lOTAN
742
954
2,373
4.069
15,558
3,4.%
1,183
lackmed
lts
PIUS
Servicing nd96
20
0
0
...............
... .............................
20---------------------------------- ------------------------------------------0
Source: Corporate Forecasting Group Status of Residential land Report,1985 Housing arket Report,1986 C IC, 1995 *199P6 Building Starts and Servicing are Forecast Estimates
0
0
0
4,906
1,619
1,(.19
8,144
9,910
29 11115
3,191
13,96
9
76,19
lable 9 POIrNTIAL DIlM lING UNIIS BY CITY S-CI9 (Ilorecasted lot Der eauber 31,196) CITY SECTOR EST IUP
VACAINT SERVICf SIUIDIVIDED SS GIN API TOTAL
VACANT SIDBIVYIDED (Not Serviced) SS Gi APT 10IA.L
RANlANDIN APPROVED ASP'S 55 GAN API 101A
I,004
757
2,485
4,246
19
0
0
19
Lewis Farms
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Parkland Grange
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Enoch
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
195 TOTAL 1,004
757
7,485
4.246
19
0
0
19
524
16
0
540
......................
435
0
0
435
..............................
SS
PD IN AUTHORII7D ASP'S GAN API OAL
590
2,951
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9,771
5,115
1,645
0
0
0
0
6,141
2,249
0
0
0
0
5,502
590
5400
2,951
21,020
1,771
590 .
10IAL POTINTIAl (NITS 55 GAN API TOTAL 2,794
1,347
3,015
16,131
9,711
5,715
1,645
16,131
2,249
11,245
6,741
2,249
2,249
11,245
995
0
6,497
5,502
995
0
6,497
9,959
3,94
J33,73
23,914
10,306
6,99
41,009
.. ......................................................................................
524
16
0
540
435
0
1,111
7,216
NINUS "IIIIS Starts to end 1986* PLUS
Servicing end 19186*
.. ............................................................................
435
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------..--------------------------------------------
196 TOTAL
915
741
2,485
4,141
19
Source: Corporate Forecasting Group Status of Residential Land Report,1995 Housing barket Report,1986 CJIC, 195 *1996 Building Starts and Servicing are Forecast Estimates
0
0
19
1,771
590
590
2,951
21.070
II,951l
3,f94
33,913
23,725
10,290
6,969
40,984
Table 10 INVENTORY OF SUBDIVIDED AND SERVICED LOTS IN YEARS USING ACTUAL 1985 AND FORECASTED 1986 AND 1986 - 1990 ANNUAL ABSORPTION RATES
NORTHEAST SECTOR SS GRM APT TOTAL
1985 6.5 yrs. 20+ 20+ 20+
1
1986
1986 1990
2
8.6 yrs. 20+ 20+ 20+
5.6 yrs. 20+ 20+ 20+
NORTH SECTOR
SS
1.7 yrs.
1.2 yrs.
GIN
20+
20+
APT TOTAL
20+ 4.5
20+ 4.2
19.1 2.9
1.8 yrs. 20+ 20+7.2
1.7 yrs. 20+ 20+ 7.7
1.3 yrs. 17.6 20+ 5.2
1.8 yrs. 20+ 20+ 7.9
1.5 yrs. 20+ 20+ 8.0
1.1 yrs. 20+ 20+ 5.3
15.2 yrs. 20+ 20+ 20+
16.1 yrs. 20+ 20+ 20+
9.5 yrs. 20+ 20+ 20+
0.9 yrs. -
20+
WEST SECTOR SS GE APT TOTAL SOUTHWEST SECTOR SS am APT TOTAL SOUTHEAST SECTOR SS GIN APT TOTAL
Note: SS-Singles, Semi's; GiN-Ground Related Multiples; APT-Apartments Sources: 1 - Actual Data - CMHC housing starts for 1985. 2 - Forecast Data - Corporate Forecasting Group,
Planning and Building Department Forecast Starts 1986-1990 - 13 -