USA Outlook, September 02 to 06, 2024

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Global stocks start September in cautious mood

Inadequate

Protection of

Drivers' Data

Share markets fell slightly on Monday as investors braced for a data-packed week culminating in a U.S. jobs report that could decide whether a rate cut expected this month will be regular or supersized.

Survey data released on Saturday showed Chinese manufacturing activity sank to a six-month low in August, and data on Monday showed euro zone factories are also still struggling.

Wins for the populist parties in German state elections added a fresh layer of political uncertainty in European markets, while a holiday in the United States and Canada made for thin liquidity.

"We are seeing some natural caution at the beginning of a critical month for markets, with the Fed set to start its interest rate cutting cycle," said BenLaidler,headofequitystrategyatBradescoBBI.

"Markets made a dramatic recovery from the early August flash sell-off but now face seasonally by far the weakest performance month of the year."

Source: https://www.reuters.com/markets/global-markets-wrapup-1pix-2024-09-02/

US Small Business Surges, Sentiment Improves, Treasury ReportSays

U.S. small business startup applications are surging this year with sentiment improving in the sector after a rocky post-pandemic period as inflation eases, a U.S. Treasury report showed on Tuesday.

The Treasury analysis, released as Vice President Kamala Harris' presidential campaign proposed a 10-fold increase in a tax break for startups, showed that the U.S. is averaging 430,000 new business applications per month so far in 2024. That is 50% more than the average in 2019, the last pre-COVID year of Republican nominee Donald Trump's administration.

Applications for businesses most likely to hire employees have risen to 140,000 per month, 30% more than 2019, the report shows. It added that small businesses since 2019 are now providing 70% of net new American jobs, up from 64% in the previous business cycle.

Harris will announce her plan for a small business tax deduction of up to $50,000 for startups on Wednesday in New Hampshire, a campaign official said. The current deduction limit is for $5,000 in startup costs, but the average cost to start a business is $40,000, the official added

Source:

https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2024-09-03/us-small-business-surges-

Photo: Reuters
Photo: US News

S&P 500 books back-to-back losses as Wall Street grapples with a rocky start to September

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite fell for a second straight session in a lackluster start to September.

The S&P 500 lost 0.16% to finish at 5,520.07, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.3% to close at 17,084.30. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was the outlier, edging up 38.04 points, or 0.09%, to end at 40,974.97.

“At least on the margins, you’re seeing some nibbling after that sell off yesterday,” said Truist’s co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner. “Investors are a bit on edge; it’s a low-conviction trade. Everyone’s waiting for this Friday employment report, and until then, we’re in a bit of a holding pattern.”

Nvidia fell 1.7% following a Bloomberg report that the U.S. Justice Department sent subpoenas to the chipmaker. The move comes after Nvidia tumbled more than 9% Tuesday amid a broader pullback in semiconductors.

Some megacap technology and chip stocks regained their footing Wednesday, with Advanced Micro Devices and Tesla rallying about 3% and 4%, respectively and Qualcomm edged higher.

Applications for US Jobless Benefits Fall to 2-Month Low as Layoffs Remain at Healthy Levels

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to its lowest level in two months last week, signaling that layoffs remain relatively low despite other signs of labor market cooling.

Jobless claims fell by 5,000 to 227,000 for the week of Aug. 31, the Labor Department reported Thursday. That’s the fewest since the week of July 6, when 223,000 Americans filed claims. It's also less than the 230,000 new filings that analysts were expecting.

The four-week average of claims, which evens out some of the week-to-week volatility, fell by 1,750 to 230,000. That's the lowest four-week average since early June.

Weekly filings for unemployment benefits, considered a proxy for layoffs, remain low by historic standards, though they are up from earlier this year.

Duringthefirstfourmonthsof2024,claimsaveraged a historically low 213,000 a week. But they started rising in May. They hit 250,000 in late July, adding to evidence that high interest rates were finally cooling a red-hot U.S. job market.

Source:

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/03/stock-market-today-live-updates-.html

Photo: CNBC
Photo: US News

Yellen Warns That Ending US Clean Energy Tax Credits Would Raise Consumer Costs

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Thursday warned that any attempts to roll back the Biden administration's clean energy tax credits would raise costs for families and jeopardize new investments in U.S. manufacturing that are creating jobs. Yellen told an audience at North Carolina's Wake Tech Community College that families across the country had claimed $8.4 billion in energy tax credits that would help them lower their energy bills long-term.

RepublicanpresidentialcandidateDonaldTrumphaspledgedtorescindmanyofPresidentJoeBiden'sclean energy rules for power plants and electric vehicles. Trump has also said he would end hundreds of billions of dollars in tax subsidies enacted in the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), saying he would halt the "green new scam" and redirect funds toward building roads and bridges.

Without mentioning Trump, Yellen said that eliminating the IRA's clean energy tax credits "would be a historic mistake."

Yellen said a historic U.S. recovery was still underway with second-quarter U.S. growth at 3%, inflation declining and unemployment still near historic lows.

Source:

https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2024-09-05/yellen-warns-that-ending-us-clean-energy-tax-credits-would-raise-consumer-costs

Photo: US News

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