3
Q
AMHERST MADISON QUARTERLY TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT 2018 | Q3
MORTGAGE RATE PREDICTIONS “As you know rates are up. You might find the below article helpful. It should be an interesting fourth Quarter, with the third quarter GDP soon to be released and then revised, the mid-term elections and two more Fed meetings. The money is on another Fed rate increase in December. But there is plenty of data ahead which could change their minds. If the economy seems to be slowing down, even a Fed increase will not raise long-term rate much. But if the economy is still humming, we could see higher mortgage rates by year end.” - David Hershman The addition of 134,000 jobs in September and the reduction in the unemployment rate to 3.7% is good news for the housing market, despite coming in weaker than had been expected. For homebuyers, a rise in average wage growth of almost 3%, helps to offset the rise in interest rates which has weakened affordability. First American chief economist Mark Fleming calculates that an estimated 2.9% annual rise in household income makes a big difference to homebuying power.
“In September, consumer house-buying power declined by $28,000, 7.4%, compared to a year ago. If household income had not increased compared to a year ago, the increase in mortgage rates would have reduced consumer house-buying power by $38,000. Rising household income offset the impact of higher cost financing by $10,000,” he said. The Bureau of Labor Statistics data also shows that there were 23,000 more construction workers in the month with a 315,000 increase over the past 12 months; although the stats do not break down how many of these are in home construction. Rate prediction report provided by Mortgage Professional America and David Hershman of the Hershman Group and OriginationPro.
ADA COUNTY 2
COUNTY COMBINED MARKET BOISE MERIDIAN EAGLE STAR KUNA
CANYON COUNTY 9
COUNTY COMBINED MARKET NAMPA CALDWELL MIDDLETON
TWIN FALLS COUNTY 14
COUNTY COMBINED MARKET
VALLEY COUNTY 16
COUNTY COMBINED MARKET
ELMORE COUNTY 18
COUNTY COMBINED MARKET
GEM COUNTY 20
COUNTY COMBINED MARKET
SIGNIFICANT SALES 22
NEWEST LISTINGS 23
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 2
ADA COUNTY Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$311,767
$262,500
1.2
$154
26
98.3%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$389,887
$361,900
3.2
$167
66
100.7%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 3 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
BOISE
Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$299,935
$259,000
1.1
$160
24
98.5%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$401,113
$355,264
2.2
$182
64
100.9%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 4 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
MERIDIAN Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$304,119
$279,900
1.1
$143
23
98.5%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$374,833
$366,305
3.6
$157
67
100.6%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 5 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
EAGLE
Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$477,326
$430,000
1.7
$167
47
96.7%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$470,126
$443,564
2.9
$179
57
100.8%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 6 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
STAR
Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$321,517
$289,900
1.7
$139
33
98.3%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$406,076
$413,265
3.7
$171
57
101.2%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 7 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
KUNA
Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$227,717
$209,900
0.7
$131
20
98.7%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$287,662
$275,490
4.4
$140
92
99.7%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 8 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 9
CANYON COUNTY Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$207,211
$180,000
1.1
$119
26
98.3%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$267,729
$251,190
3.0
$133
69
100.8%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 10 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
NAMPA
Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$210,409
$189,900
1.0
$121
24
98.6%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$267,255
$249,900
3.3
$132
78
101.0%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 11 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
CALDWELL Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$194,285
$174,250
1.0
$113
25
98.2%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$244,017
$229,578
3.2
$131
66
100.6%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 12 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
MIDDLETON Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$237,021
$208,500
1.1
$126
30
97.2%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$317,903
$289,990
1.7
$137
47
100.7%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 13 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 14
TWIN FALLS COUNTY Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$193,550
$174,600
2.2
$102
52
96.4%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$264,545
$255,000
5.0
$139
125
99.5%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 15 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 16
VALLEY COUNTY Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$403,915
$308,806
1.2
$217
139
93.7%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$491,413
$409,900
18.5
$226
219
100.6%
*Contact your Amherst Madison agent to discuss the impact of off market sales! COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 17 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 18
ELMORE COUNTY Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$159,729
$145,000
2.1
$95
42
96.6%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$204,218
$210,880
4.5
$101
186
102.4%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 19 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 20
GEM COUNTY Combined Market
EXISTING HOMES Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$179,496
$157,500
1.3
$113
41
96.5%
NEW CONSTRUCTION Annual Averages
Avg Sold Price
Med Sold Price
Mths of Inventory
Price/SqFt
Avg DOM
Avg Discount
$236,431
$216,475
1.8
$153
43
99.7%
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 21 1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months | Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
$3,200,000
3962 N HACKBERRY WAY, BOISE ID LISTED BY: KELLER WILLIAMS BOISE SOLD BY: KELLER WILLIAMS BOISE
$1,325,000
1415 S HIDDEN ISLAND PLACE, EAGLE ID LISTED BY: HUBBLE HOMES SOLD BY: HUBBLE HOMES
$1,170,000
1879 W SUGAR CREST STREET, EAGLE ID LISTED BY: BETTER HOMES & GARDENS 43 N SOLD BY: BETTER HOMES & GARDENS 43 N
$1,150,000
Significant Sales 2364 N CORSEY WAY EAGLE, ID LISTED BY: CENTURY 21 MAGELLAN SOLD BY: MICHAEL RYAN REAL ESTATE
$1,030,000
11725 W LANKTREE GULCH, STAR ID LISTED BY: KNIPE LAND COMPANY SOLD BY: KELLER WILLIAMS BOISE
$1,125,000
1342 E COVEY RUN COURT, EAGLE ID LISTED BY: KELLER WILLIAMS BOISE SOLD BY: EPIC REALTY
$1,702,000
1474 W SHERINGTON COURT EAGLE, ID LISTED BY: WOODHOUSE GROUP SOLD BY: WOODHOUSE GROUP
$1,000,000
3319 SHAGGY MANE COURT, MCCALL ID LISTED BY: KELLER WILLIAMS BOISE SOLD BY: KELLER WILLIAMS BOISE
$1,299,000
1292 W SHERINGTON COURT, EAGLE ID LISTED BY: BETTER HOMES & GARDENS 43 N
SOLD BY: SILVERCREEK REALTY GROUP
$1,000,000
1009 PENSTEMEN PLACE, MCCALL ID LISTED BY: MCCALL REAL ESTATE CO. SOLD BY: REAL ESTATE OF MCCALL
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 22
$4,895,000
901 WAGON WHEEL ROAD, MCCALL ID MCCALL REAL ESTATE COMPANY
$2,490,000
7215 W MOON VALLEY ROAD, EAGLE ID SILVERCREEK REALTY GROUP
$2,299,000
2200 N BALLANTYNE LANE, EAGLE ID SILVERCREEK REALTY GROUP
$2,500,000
2565 S MILL POINT LANE, BOISE ID KELLER WILLIAMS BOISE
$2,399,000
4621 W BLUE TEAL COURT, EAGLE ID KELLER WILLIAMS BOISE
$2,275,000
103 SILVER QUEEN, SUN VALLEY ID RE/MAX RIVER RUN REALTY
$2,495,000
196 NEZ PERCE, HAILEY ID RE/MAX RIVER RUN REALTY
$2,395,000
231 BROADFORD ROAD, HAILEY ID RE/MAX RIVER RUN REALTY
$2,200,000
10 BLUEGROUSE RIDGE, HAILEY ID RE/MAX RIVER RUN REALTY
$2,149,000
Newest Listings 530 E 6150 N, HAGERMAN ID COLDWELL BANKER CANYONSIDE REALTY
COPYRIGHT© AMHERST MADISON / Q3 2018 TREASURE VALLEY MARKET REPORT / 23
1
Months of Inventory = Active Listings / Average # closed sales each month over past 12 months Criteria: Single Family, less than 2 acres, Condo, Townhouse; min 1 Bed, 1 Bath
Source: InterMountain MLS; Statistics provided considered accurate and reliable, but not guaranteed by Amherst Madison Real Estate Advisors
COPYRIGHT© 2018 AMHERST MADISON | REAL ESTATE ADVISORS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED