RESOURCE Volume 7, Issue 4
GLOBAL NETWORK
Mining, renewable energy and oil & gas worldwide
WHEN IT RAINS GOLD POURS HOW UNPRECEDENTED GLOBAL ECONOMIC
UNCERTAINTY HAS BOOSTED GOLD INVESTMENT IN 2020
FEATURED GOLD COMPANIES:
AMARILLO GOLD ARGONAUT GOLD BARTON GOLD HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES VANGO MINING
REPORTS LIVE FROM
interviews in lockdown: John Reade, World Gold Council chief market strategist
EDITORIAL
2020: The year of the accelerated gold bull market?
W
hen RGN spoke to the World Gold Council’s director of investment research Juan Carlos Artigas at the beginning of the year, he flagged the Council’s belief that the enduring market uncertainty of 2019 (which contributed to gold’s best year in a decade, in US dollar terms) would continue into 2020, albeit taking different forms.
Jacob Ambrose Willson Editor
Executive Team Editor Jacob Ambrose Willson Content Director (APAC and Americas) David Hunter Creative Director Hugo Currie ICT Director Stuart Clark Managing Director Simon Curran Contributors Jeff Swinoga (Ernst and Young) Matt Geiger (MJG Capital) Evan Metanomski (Baker Young) RGN is published by Anderson Murray Media: a diverse media and information services company focused on creating and distributing engaging content to business leaders across the globe. Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this publication are not necessarily those of the publishers. Whilst every effort is made to ensure accuracy the publisher and editor cannot be held responsible for any inaccurate information supplied and/or published. Copyright: The copyright for all material published in this magazine is strictly reserved.
How right that prediction was. The deadly COVID-19 pandemic has delivered the biggest shock to the global economy in living memory and we are staring into the abyss of a brutal worldwide recession, following a threemonth hiatus in economic activity and the hasty creation of massive stimulus packages by governments to stave off total economic ruin. In a time of recession, gold bulls will tell you there is only one place to be. Already this year we have seen gold prices soar to record highs in multiple currencies, driven predominantly by safe haven investment. With public debt spiralling and the global GDP now on the long and rocky path to recovery, many investment analysts see the current gold price of around US$1,780 per ounce as just the beginning of a long run in the market, with Bank of America even predicting $3,000 gold by 2021. The World Gold Council is the first place to go when taking stock of developments across the broad spectrum of the gold market. In May, I sat down (virtually) with the Council’s chief market strategist John Reade to discuss how all components of the market have reacted to the unprecedented global events of 2020.
The Q&A piece also includes a short video excerpt from my discussion with John, as part of RGN’s new ‘interviews in lockdown’ series. You can watch more video snippets in some of this issue’s featured companies and on RGN’s YouTube page. RGN’s bumper gold issue features five companies at varying stages of the mine development cycle - from exploration outfits to gold pouring mid-tiers – located in some of the world’s key gold jurisdictions, including the Americas, Australia and West Africa. All of them stand to make material gains from the elevated gold price. There is also a base metals focus to sink your teeth into in this issue, with spotlights on Sama Resources in Côte d’Ivoire, Mongolia-based Xanadu Mines and Argentina-focused Lundin Group company Josemaria Resources. It would be remiss of me not to mention our brilliant contributors this month. Each writer has provided further nuance to different elements of the gold market in these volatile times. And finally, thanks to Mines and Money for putting on the excellent Online Connect digital conferences at the end of June/start of July. You can read a round-up of the twopart series in this issue.
Jacob Ambrose Willson jacob@resourceglobalnetwork.com
Anderson Murray Media Fulham Green, 69-79 Fulham High Street, Main Reception, Bedford House, London SW6 3JW | Tel. +44 (0)207 148 5630
a r
CONTENTS NEWS 6 Global resources news Our selection of mining, oil & gas and renewable energy stories from the last month 10 News in depth A timeline of the biggest M&A deals in the gold sector over the last 18 months
ARGONAUT GOLD
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Q&A 14 John Reade (World Gold Council) How the gold market has reacted to the COVID-19 crisis in 2020
COLUMNS 26 Jeff Swinoga (Ernst and Young) Now is the time for gold firms to seize on the opportunities provided by the COVID-19 pandemic 32 Matt Geiger (MJG Capital) Natural resources investment advisor considers recent changes in the copper-gold ratio
BARTON GOLD
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38 Evan Metanomski (Baker Young) Australia-based gold bull identifies the factors driving record gold prices in 2020
MINING 48 Argonaut Gold North America’s next mid-tier gold producer
VA N G O MINING
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60 Barton Gold Taking advantage of a trio of undervalued gold assets in South Australia
74 Vango Mining +1 million ounces in mineral resource at one of Australia’s largest undeveloped gold assets 84 Amarillo Gold Highly leveraged to the gold price with a low cost base in Brazil 98 Hummingbird Resources More significant news flow from one of West Africa’s most exciting gold firms 116 Xanadu Mines Tier 1 porphyry copper-gold projects in Mongolia
AMARILLO GOLD
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130 Sama Resources A decade after discovering a new base metals complex in Côte d’Ivoire, Sama continues exploring 142 CVMR Cutting-edge metals refining technologies for high-tech industries 148 Josemaria Resources The latest large scale resource project to be delivered by the Lundin Group
EVENTS
HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES
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162 Mines and Money Online Connect RGN reports live from a hugely successful online conference series 174 Events Our pick of the top mining, oil & gas and renewable energy events happening around the world in the months to come
MINES AND MONEY ONLINE CONNECT
162
NEWS
SOLGOLD STRIKES $150 MILLION STREAMING DEAL WITH FRANCO-NEVADA SolGold has reached a US$150 million net smelter return (NSR) agreement with FrancoNevada for its Alpala copper-gold deposit, the main target in its Cascabel project in Ecuador. The deal will see Franco-Nevada – which offers natural resource companies upfront cash in exchange for future production – provide an initial $100 million to the development of Alpala, in return for a perpetual 1% NSR. The terms could then be extended by an additional $50 million at SolGold’s discretion, which would subsequently increase FrancoNevada’s NSR up to 1.5%. Franco-Nevada joins other majors with exposure to the Alpala project, including
Australian giants BHP and Newcrest. Last year, BHP increased its ownership in SolGold to 15.31% – making it the largest sole shareholder in the company. London and Toronto-listed SolGold said it will work on a feasibility study for Alpala in the coming months. The company believes it is part of one of the largest copper-gold porphyry systems ever discovered and expects to start production in 2025. “SolGold is immensely excited to further progress Alpala in the run-up to final feasibility and a development decision, and for FrancoNevada’s endorsement of the Alpala project,” said CEO Nicholas Mather. 6
NEWS
Mining, oil & gas and renewable energy news from around the world GOLD SUPPLY CHAIN SHOWS RESILIENCE AMID COVID-19 DISRUPTION The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the global gold supply chain, but it has shown resilience in the face of a challenge unlike any other event in modern history, according to the World Gold Council. In a market update published in late May, the global authority on gold highlighted the sector’s resilience in the face of lockdown restrictions affecting each stage of the gold supply chain. “Both gold mining and recycling activities were curtailed due to lockdown restrictions in Q1. But the declines were modest in comparison to the scale of the disruption to other industries globally,” the Council said.
Total gold production fell 3% year-on-year (y-o-y) in Q1 following the curtailment of operations in key producing countries including China, South Africa and Peru. While this represented the largest y-o-y fall since Q1 2017, the Council described the decline as modest given the scale of the pandemic. “In addition, we also saw downstream capacity reduced with a small number of refiners halting operations, as well as challenges in transporting physical gold due to the reduction OFflights.” THE WORLD’S LARGEST inOWNER commercial
UNCOMMITTED HARD ROCK LITHIUM However, the report also underlined surging RESERVE gold investment during Q1 as the COVID-19 outbreak took investor uncertainty to new highs against an existing global backdrop of low and negative interest rates.
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NEWS
OPEC AND ALLIES AGREE TO EXTENSION OF RECORD SUPPLY CUTS TO JULY The global oil cartel known as OPEC+ has agreed to extend record oil production cuts until the end of July, in a move which should further support the recovery of oil prices after the COVID-19 crash. The group, comprised of OPEC members, Russia and other key oil producing nations, had initially agreed to cut supply by 9.7 million barrels per day (bpd) during May and June after a collapse in demand due to worldwide lockdowns had reduced the price of Brent crude to below $20 a barrel in April. “Demand is returning as big oil-consuming economies emerge from pandemic lockdown. But we are not out of the woods yet and
challenges ahead remain,” said Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman in a video conference of OPEC+ ministers. As global lockdowns ease, oil demand is expected to exceed supply sometime in July although OPEC has yet to clear 1 billion barrels of excess oil inventories accumulated since March. The successful outcome of the latest OPEC+ meeting represents a further return to normality in relations between its members, after a row in March between the world’s two largest producers – Saudi Arabia and Russia – destroyed a previous supply cuts deal.
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NEWS
Mining, oil & gas and renewable energy news from around the world OFFSHORE WIND OFFERS 1.4TW BY 2050, SAYS INDUSTRY COALITION The offshore wind industry could provide up to 1.4TW of renewable energy capacity by 2050, according to the Ocean Renewable Energy Action Coalition (OREAC). OREAC, which includes major players in the offshore wind sector, said the figure is possible given the resource potential and technological innovation taking place in the space, and as governments look to position offshore wind at the centre of the global energy transition. “In a short period of time, offshore wind has become an incredibly competitive solution for clean power generation across the world, with impressive cost reduction driving the industry’s growth by over 30% in the past decade and now outcompeting alternative fuels such as
coal,” said Ørsted head of market development, consenting and external Affairs Benj Sykes. OREAC was created in response to the 2019 call for ocean-based climate action by the High Level Panel for a Sustainable Ocean Economy, and represents ocean energy in the global dialogue on a sustainable ocean economy. Other companies involved include CWind, MHI Vestas, MingYang Smart Energy, Shell, Siemens Gamesa, TenneT, and GE Renewable Energy, while additional partner organisations include Global Wind Energy Council, World Resources Institute and UN Global Compact.
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NEWS
In Depth
On September 24th 2018, Canadian mining giant Barrick Gold announced it agreed to the terms of a share-for-share merger with London-listed Randgold Resources, in a deal worth US$18.3 billion. At the time, it resembled one of the largest gold sector M&A deals in recent memory, and not long after the merged entity began trading in New York and Toronto on January 2nd 2019, another mega-deal had been confirmed when Newmont Mining and Goldcorp joined forces to create the world’s largest gold producing outfit. These blockbuster transactions drastically altered the upper echelons of the global gold mining sector and served to open the floodgates for a flurry of M&A deals over the course of 2019, as gold miners rushed to consolidate their assets. In fact, the total value of gold M&A deals reached $30.5 billion in 2019 - its best performance in nearly a decade - against a wider backdrop of bubbling geopolitical uncertainty and a sharply rising gold price. The start of 2020 brought a second wave of large-scale M&A deals in the gold sector, which continued at pace even in the throes of a global pandemic. While transactions in other sectors have grinded to a halt following the COVID-19 outbreak, companies in the thriving gold space have continued to obtain value through consolidation. Displayed here is a timeline of the biggest deals in the gold space since the landmark BarrickRandgold and Newmont-Goldcorp mergers.
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JANUARY 2019
JULY 2019
Barrick completes $18 billion merger with Randgold Resources Barrick Gold has begun trading as a combined entity with Africafocused Randgold Resources after the mega-merger was approved by regulators. Barrick now owns five of the industry’s top 10 Tier 1 gold assets, with former Randgold CEO Mark Bristow at the helm of the new company.
St Barbara acquires Atlantic Gold in $536 million deal ASX-listed gold producer St Barbara has completed the acquisition of Canadian miner Atlantic Gold Corp, after offering a 39% premium on Atlantic’s May share price. The deal gives Melbourne-based St Barbara access to Atlantic’s Moose River Complex in Nova Scotia.
JANUARY 2019
JULY 2019
Newmont-Goldcorp merger creates world’s biggest gold producer Newmont Mining will acquire Canadian rival Goldcorp, subject to shareholder approval, in a $10 billion deal which will create the world’s biggest gold producer by output. Newmont Goldcorp will tap into the world’s largest gold reserves across the Americas, Australia and Ghana.
Resolute Mining grows West African gold portfolio with Toro Gold acquisition Resolute Mining has announced the acquisition of fellow West African miner Toro Gold for a fee of $274 million, expanding its West African portfolio. Dual listed Resolute will take immediate control of the 160,000 ounces per annum Mako Gold Mine in Senegal.
NEWS
A timeline of the biggest M&A deals in the gold sector over the last 18 months
JANUARY 2020
MARCH 2020
MAY 2020
Equinox-Leagold merger creates $1.75 billion company Shareholders of Canadian miners Equinox Gold and Leagold Mining have approved a large-scale merger deal, creating an Americas-focused gold giant. The company will retain the name Equinox and draw on production from mines in Brazil, Mexico and the US.
China’s Zijin Mining completes $1 billion takeover of Continental Gold China’s largest gold producer Zijin Mining has completed the acquisition of Canadian miner Continental Gold, giving it access to the Buriticá gold development project in Colombia. Zijin said the deal will boost its gold output by nearly 20%.
SSR Mining to buy Alacer Gold in all-stock deal Canada’s SSR Mining has confirmed it will buy Alacer Gold in a deal valued at $1.72 billion, against the backdrop of a rising gold price in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The new company will operate mines in the US, Canada, Argentina and Turkey.
JANUARY 2020
MARCH 2020
Kirkland Lake Gold completes purchase of Canada’s Detour Gold Mid-tier gold producer Kirkland Lake Gold has completed the acquisition of Detour Gold for a sum of $3.7 billion. Canada and Australia-focused Kirkland Lake first lodged the all-stock bid in November 2019. Detour owns the Detour Lake open pit gold mine in Ontario.
West African gold firm Endeavour Mining to acquire Semafo for $691 million Endeavour Mining’s deal for Canadian firm Semafo will create the biggest gold producing outfit in Burkina Faso. The combined group will produce one million ounces of gold a year, according to Endeavour’s chief executive Sebastien de Montessus.
“THE BOARDS OF BARRICK AND RANDGOLD BELIEVE T H AT T H E M E R G E R W I L L C R E AT E A N I N D U S T R YL E A D I N G G O L D CO M PA N Y W I T H T H E G R E AT E S T C O N C E N T R AT I O N O F T I E R 1 GOLD ASSETS IN THE INDUSTRY, AND THE LOWEST TOTA L C A S H C O S T P O S I T I O N AMONG SENIOR GOLD PEERS” BARRICK GOLD AND RANDGOLD RESOURCES JOINT S TAT E M E N T , S E P T E M B E R 2 0 1 8
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Building a Multi-Asset Mid-Tier West African Gold Producer
TSX: TGZ OTCQX: TGCDF
JOHN R
RGN interviews the World Gold
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GOLD | JOHN READE (WORLD GOLD COUNCIL)
READE
d Council’s chief market strategist
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After gold enjoyed its best year in a decade in 2019, closing 18.4% higher in US dollar terms, the safe haven commodity entered 2020 in buoyant shape and continued gaining in the first month of the year. What was to happen next nobody expected, not least from the global investment community. Cases of a novel coronavirus were first reported out of China in early January and by the end of the month the virus had spread to several locations around the world. In March, the World Health Organization officially characterised COVID-19 as a pandemic after the global death toll had spiralled to 4,291 from 118,000 reported cases across 114 countries. Governments soon imposed lockdowns of varying severity in response to the health crisis, effectively bringing the global economy to a standstill. The COVID-19 pandemic fuelled safe haven investment demand for gold in the first quarter of the year, according to the World Gold Council’s latest Demand Trends report. During lockdown, RGN’s editor spoke to the Council’s chief market strategist John Reade, covering how all components of the gold market have reacted to this unprecedented global situation.
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Jacob Ambrose Willson: What seems like the mother of all economic uncertainty – the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic – has led to sharp investment inflows into gold. This has led to US$ gold prices increasing by around 12% this year. Are you surprised the price hasn’t gone up by more given the scale of economic shutdown in Q1/Q2? John Reade: I am not surprised that gold has performed in the way that it has done. First of all, gold was already trending higher in January before most of us even knew what COVID-19 was. It then started to move more quickly higher as the world became concerned about COVID-19, and then that concern soon turned to panic across markets. We saw all asset classes being sold – equities, credit, commodities, even government bonds. Investors were liquidating and reducing risk across the board, in effect taking down leverage. Gold then fell and then we saw investment-led recovery in the price.
GOLD | JOHN READE (WORLD GOLD COUNCIL)
John Reade
John Reade joined the World Gold Council in February 2017 as chief market strategist. John is responsible for producing strategy and developing insights on the gold market, leading global dialogue by engaging with leading economists, academics, policy makers, fund managers and investors on gold and leading the Council’s research team. John has over 30 years’ experience in the gold industry and related fields, most recently as a partner and gold strategist with Paulson & Co for the past seven years. Prior to that, John worked as a precious metals strategist at UBS for 10 years, a gold equity analyst in South Africa for five years and over eight years held various positions in production and project evaluation in the gold division of Gencor, then a leading South African mining house. John has a degree in Mining Engineering from the Royal School of Mines, a constituent of Imperial College, London.
aj
17
John Reade, chief market strategist, World Gold Council
Am I surprised it hasn’t gone
We are going to see a strong
gold has been gold-backed
further? Well, we are only in
year for investment demand
exchange traded funds
May and the narrative coming
driven by that increase in
(ETFs). Why has this type of
from the equity markets has
risk and uncertainty and the
investment seen a seven-fold
been that everything seems
concerns about what the
year-on-year rise in the wake
to pricing towards a V-shape
economic impacts will be
of the pandemic?
recovery. In other words, if
from COVID-19. But on the
you look at the recovery seen
other side of it, the jewellery
JR: First of all, ETFs are easiest
in US equity markets, the
market – traditionally a larger
to track. Because of the way
overwhelming sense is that
component of the market – has almost all of them disclose
this will prove to be short-lived
not quite fallen off a cliff, but
their gold holdings on a daily
and we can just go back to
it’s pretty close to the edge.
basis, we can see when there
buying the deck in equities. So that may be one thing that is
JAW: A large part of this
on a very regular basis. From
limiting gold’s performance so
elevated investment into
there, it’s easy to assume that
far.
18
have been inflows into ETFs
GOLD | JOHN READE (WORLD GOLD COUNCIL)
19
20
GOLD | JOHN READE (WORLD GOLD COUNCIL)
that is where most of the
back as a consequence. There
trends throughout the rest of
buying is taking place. But
is a possibility that people
the year as economies slowly
just because you can see big
who would traditionally abuse
emerge from lockdown but
inflows into ETFs does not
the COMEX market to get
uncertainty lingers?
mean it’s the only source of
directional exposure to gold
investment demand taking
have been coming into the US-
JR: We are seeing the first signs
place.
based ETFs more so in the last
of what may happen already
couple of months than they
in China – the world’s largest
The second point is that the
normally would. That’s one of
gold jewellery consumer -
way that gold-backed ETFs
the things that is inflating the
as the country emerges out
have spread around the world
ETF buying.
of lockdown and jewellery
and become widely accepted
shops begin to reopen. We are
over the last 15 years means
We’ve also seen a strong pick-
seeing purchases take place
that they are very accessible.
up in bar and coin investment
but anecdotally speaking to
The other thing I’d add is that
in the West. If you look at
our colleagues in Beijing and
there’s been a lot of distortions
volumes of what the US mint
Shanghai, the jewellery market
and dislocations that have
has sold for example, those
is not the leading component
taken place in the linkages
are up substantially compared
of the recovery, and if anything
between the OTC market and
to the last couple of years.
jewellery buying seems to be
the COMEX futures market.
It’s not just ETFs that are
lagging the broader recovery
COMEX – which is perhaps
seeing the buying, but they
in the overall economy, which
the more traditional route for
are the most obvious and I
makes sense. I can understand
US-based speculators (and
will estimate that they are the
why car sales are up strongly
some investors) in gold – may
biggest component of Western
in China because people want
be currently perceived as
investment demand by far, but
to avoid public transport. You
less attractive than what it
they are not the only form.
can’t make the argument that
normally would be.
people have an imminent need JAW: As you mention, the
to buy gold as a consequence
COMEX volumes have fallen
consumer market has been
of COVID-19.
by about 60% since this
hit hard by COVID-19, with
dislocation in the market took
jewellery suffering a 39%
I’m expecting sequential
place in late March, and even
drop in demand in Q1. What
improvements in jewellery
the OTC volumes have come
is your outlook for demand
demand through the year in
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most countries. I think China
JAW: And turning to the
in remote locations where
is a reasonably good model of
supply side, do you expect to
people live and work quite
what we can expect in other
see normality return in terms
close together. The chances of
markets exiting lockdown but
of gold production, following
getting a positive case in one
I don’t think it’s going to be
the gradual restarting of mine
of these mining camps or in
a strong year for consumer
operations around the world?
a mining town is quite high. I
demand, even if the virus were
22
think in these circumstances,
to suddenly burn out in the
JR: Yes. I think we will,
mines will react very quickly
summer and disappear, and
although I would expect to
to isolate and shutdown parts
we all start work again in late
see sporadic interruptions
or the entire operation until
summer.
to production going forward
they have the situation under
as well. Mines are often
control again.
GOLD | JOHN READE (WORLD GOLD COUNCIL)
I don’t think the impact on
quarter of the year, unless we
is going to be any shortages
overall production will be
get a severe second wave of
of gold in the market as well,
catastrophic. We were down
coronavirus coming through,
simply because one thing
3% in mine supply terms in the
perhaps in the Northern
that we should see in many
first quarter by our provisional
hemisphere.
markets is an increase in
estimates. That probably will
secondary supply. As markets
be adjusted somewhat, but I
I would guess we’re going
come out of lockdown I
don’t think we will see more
to see single digit losses in
expect some people who
than 10% production lost in
production this year and
have lost income, wealth
the second quarter based on
hopefully getting back to
or employment may partly
the mines we’ve been tracking.
normal towards the end of the
meet that loss by selling gold,
I expect that will be the worst
year. But I don’t think there
particularly in Asian countries
23
where gold consumption has
gold demand, and we’ve seen
been very high in the last few
this on a number of occasions.
decades, but also where gold
All we must do is go back and
makes up a decent proportion
look at what happened during
of domestic savings. What we
the global financial crisis.
lose from COVID-related mine
Under those circumstances,
interruptions, we will gain
investment demand
from secondary supply.
dominates, jewellery demand steps back and secondary
JAW: Finally, what is your
supply picks up a lot. That’s
long-term outlook on gold
probably a reasonable model
investment given that the
to follow for this year.
world may have to live with COVID-19 for an unknown
What then tends to happen
period of time until a vaccine
is as economies recover,
is produced and distributed?
you’ll see investment demand slowing and consumer
JR: When you are at the depths
demand picking up. I expect
of a financially associated
this year to be characterised
crisis, investment demand is
by very high proportions of
the dominant component of
investment demand in relation
“We are going to see a strong year for gold investment demand driven by that increase in risk and uncertainty and the concerns about what the economic impacts will be from COVID-19” - John Reade, chief market strategist, World Gold Council
24
to the whole market. And
the only game in town for
that might continue into
the foreseeable future. It will
2021, but it won’t stay there
be the most important game
forever. I think investment
in town this year and maybe
demand did see a step
next year, but after that I
change after the GFC, so I
expect the market to rebalance
don’t think we’ll go back to
somewhat.
the very low levels of net investment demand that
JAW: And Bank of America
we saw in the 1990s or the
predicted $3,000 per ounce
2000s, but nor do I expect
gold by 2021, is this fanciful?
investment demand to be
GOLD | JOHN READE (WORLD GOLD COUNCIL)
those scenarios will indicate that the Bank of America prediction of $3,000 per ounce gold in 18 months or so is entirely credible and possible. I’d encourage readers to go on our website and play around with the Qaurum evaluation tool and see what you get. The only thing I would say is that we’ve developed this tool on the basis of the performance of gold over economic circumstances that we’ve experienced over the last 20-30 years. What we are going through now in terms of coronavirus and its impact on the global economy is unlike anything we have seen JR: I don’t think its fanciful.
outsource the base scenarios
during that period. While I am
I think it’s certainly possible.
from a group called Oxford
comfortable with the general
We have a tool on our website
Economics who provide us
direction that is predicted for
which we developed over the
with internally consistent
gold, the absolute returns that
last few years and launched
forecasts of what might
the Qaurum tool is generating
at the beginning of this year
happen.
are likely to be less precise
called Qaurum. This economic
than normal, simply because
model allows people to
We released four scenarios in
input their expectations for
the middle of April that come
macroeconomic variables and
from Oxford Economics. All
then it shows you what returns
of them show strong gains
you are likely to get in gold. We
in gold for 2020. Some of
it really is different this time.
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It’s time for gold companie
Now is the time for gold firms to seize on the opportunities provided by t 26
COMMENT | JEFF SWINOGA (ERNST AND YOUNG)
es to shine even brighter
the COVID-19 pandemic, by Jeff Swinoga (Ernst and Young) 27
The surge in gold prices continues on the back of economic uncertainty and near-term positive fundamentals, which are proving to be a long awaited and welcomed boost for gold mining companies. Increased margins on higher prices and lower costs due to falling oil prices mean that gold operators are expecting a dramatic improvement in free cash flow over the next few quarters — at a minimum. This is a real opportunity for companies to invest in productivity, improve shareholder return programmes and strategically address the challenge of replacing their diminishing resources and project pipelines. However, to benefit from this landscape companies will need to maintain production volumes while ensuring workforce and community health and safety and compliance with various government restrictions.
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Rising prices on market uncertainty and increasing investment demand Gold prices were already increasing as a result of trade tensions in 2019, up 18% year over year (y-o-y). Now, with the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic being felt on global markets, gold has reclaimed its safe haven position in light of the severe
SOURCE: S&P GLOBAL MARKET INTELL
economic uncertainty —
expected period of economic
pushing prices even higher.
recovery.
Gold prices have seen an
Demand, on the other hand,
uptick of 14% since the start
has seen a complete overhaul
of 2020 to reach a seven-year
from the end user. Consumer
high of US$1,731/oz in April,
demand — which is usually
driven by mounting fear of a
the largest source — fell
deepening global economic
by 39%, while investment
downturn and further liquidity
demand from ETFs and similar
measures implemented by
products increased by 594%.
global central banks. But
Overall, Q1 2020 saw y-o-y
even when the anticipated
improvements despite the
impact of COVID-19 subsides,
shifts and sluggish consumer
the forecast for gold prices
appetite in China and India.
remains strong given that trade tensions are likely to
Terry Heymann, chief
carry on coupled with a long-
financial officer of the World
COMMENT | JEFF SWINOGA (ERNST AND YOUNG)
Jeff Swinoga As the national mining and metals co-leader at EY Canada, Jeff leads a team of professionals across the country supporting mining and metals companies as they pursue their growth ambitions in the wake of a transformed competitive and operating landscape.
LIGENCE
Gold Council, said: “Gold’s
as capital expenditures are
response to COVID-19
focused on existing discoveries
demonstrates why it’s an
and late-stage assets rather
enduring asset. A primary
than greenfield exploration.
reason that central banks hold
In fact, global gold production
gold is to protect their national
declined in 2019 for the first
economies at times of stress.
time after a decade of growth.
The same holds true for all
The lack of new deposits
investors.”
means that the project
Lack of new discoveries puts pressure on project pipelines
pipeline for top companies will continue to diminish as they struggle to replace their aging gold mines. To put things in perspective, the current
Price and demand may have
average mine life of 14.9 years,
gone up, but production has
in most cases, is less than the
gone down. The industry faces
estimated time it would take
a lack of new gold discoveries
to discover and develop a
Jeff leverages years of business strategy, structuring, change management, M&A and relationship building experience in CEO/CFO positions for intermediate to large public companies and over 25 years of experience in the sector and finance. Jeff has successfully built and led finance teams through the different stages of financing, construction and production. He also brings international experience in the mining and finance industries with an extensive network, operating and undergoing development in North and South America, as well as Africa. Jeff has served on boards of publiclytraded companies, such as First Cobalt and Tonbridge Power. He holds an MBA degree from the University of Toronto and a four-year Honours Economics degree from the University of Western Ontario. He’s also a chartered professional accountant.
aj
29
new large and significant gold asset.
Opportunities for growth
or increase spending on
Unlike most other
themselves.
What’s more, exploration
commodities, gold mining
budgets for gold companies
companies are in a unique
2. Possibility of further
also declined in 2019 after an
position to address current
mergers and acquisitions:
increase in the two previous
challenges and shape their
Gold M&A deal values declined
years. And the budgets of
long-term business strategies
by 20% to $7.7 billion in Q1
junior explorers also fell
despite market volatility. By
2020 y-o-y — largely due to the
by $234 million. With the
exercising capital discipline,
two mega deals in 2019. The
lack of new development
they can consider:
industry still has appetite for
projects, large gold producers
30
finding grassroot discoveries
M&A in this year, as evidenced
are expected to stick to
1. Grassroots exploration to
by the announcement of
acquisitions to maintain their
identify new discoveries: Gold
the recent Alacer Gold and
resources.
companies could collaborate
SSR Mining transaction.
with small exploration
The growing preference of
companies to build resources
companies to operate in safe
COMMENT | JEFF SWINOGA (ERNST AND YOUNG)
mining jurisdictions in order
consistent in distributing
to mitigate political risk and
dividends over the last
maintain licence to operate
two years on the back of
means that we’re likely to see
high performance and
more transactions in Australia,
financial discipline. As
Canada and the US.
the industry expects cash flow to grow due to strong
3. Focus on automation and
fundamentals, companies
digital: Gold companies
can adopt shareholder return
should follow the example of
programmes by increasing
diversified miners that have
dividends or look to share
long-term digital roadmaps in
buybacks to attract additional
place to improve productivity.
capital.
But they should be cautious of
Continued focus on making the appropriate long-term capital allocation decisions will help guide gold mining companies through transformation and provide benefit to all stakeholders. There are few sectors that are fortunate to witness growth in a pandemic. Now is the time for gold companies to seize the opportunities and make the right investments to see continued success for years to come.
faults made in the past. During elevated prices in 2011, gold companies funded long-term capital projects primarily with debt — and then when prices slumped, balance sheets quickly became burdened with leverage. This time, rather than expanding and committing significant capital expenditures to long-term projects, companies should consider reinvesting in the
“There are few sectors that are fortunate to witness growth in a pandemic. Now is the time for gold companies to seize the opportunities and make the right investments to see continued success for years to come” Jeff Swinoga, EY Canada Mining and Metals Co-Leader
digitisation and automation of existing mines to reduce their costs and improve resiliency. 4. Shareholder returns: Some of the largest gold mining companies have been
Jeff Swinoga is the EY Canada Mining and Metals Co-Leader and is based in Toronto. For more information, visit www.ey.com/en_gl/mining-metals. The views reflected in this article are the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the global EY organization or its member firms.
31
Copper, gold an
Natural resources investment advisor Matt Geiger 32
COMMENT | MATT GEIGER (MJG CAPITAL)
nd a false choice
considers recent changes in the copper-gold ratio 33
It’s safe to say that copper and gold are the two most widely followed metals by today’s investor. It’s probably not a coincidence that these were also the first two metals to be discovered by humans some 6,000 years ago – helped by the fact that copper and gold are two of only a handful of metallic elements that can be found in nature in their native form. Each metal has been used both industrially and monetarily through human history, however nowadays Dr. Copper is indisputably the highest profile industrial metal while the barbaric relic remains firmly a store of value (and to some its own currency).
While the prices of gold and copper have been inversely correlated since the TrumpChina trade battle began in spring 2018, a look at the longer term trajectory of the their prices suggests that (a) they are positively correlated more often than not and (b) copper generally displays more volatility than gold due to its unique sensitivity to the economic cycle. This has certainly been true over much of the past three decades as seen in the chart to the right. The copper-to-gold ratio has gained prominence in recent years and is followed closely by investors. This is thanks in large part to investor Jeffrey Gundlach of DoubleLine Capital, who considers the ratio to be a ‘remarkable’ short-term predictor of interest rates. Based on recent history Gundlach does seem
SOURCE: COPPER TO GOLD RATIO. LO HTTPS: // WWW.LONGTERMTRENDS.NE
to be onto something - but I will admit that as a bottom up investor with a long-term
But the ratio does intrigue
time horizon, short term T-bill
me for a more fundamental
fluctuations are not usually top
reason. As seen in the above
of mind.
34
COMMENT | MATT GEIGER (MJG CAPITAL)
Q4 1980 and Q3 1986. In other words, gold is more expensive relative to copper than at any time in the last 40 years. This seems counterintuitive as we power forward into the 21st century. We’re in the early stages of what some describe as the Fourth Industrial
Matt Geiger
Revolution – the digitisation,
Mr. Geiger is managing partner at MJG Capital, a limited partnership specialising in natural resource investments. The partnership is long-only and holds a concentrated portfolio of resource equities. Investments include explorers, developers, producers and royalty companies focused on precious metals, energy metals, industrial metals and ag minerals. Matt is a graduate of the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and previously founded a venture-backed technology company most recently valued at US$150 million.
automation, and electrification of anything and everything. Copper serves an irreplaceable role in this multi-decade transformation, which will likely be the most important commodity trend of our lifetime. It is estimated that electricity’s share of final energy consumption will double from 19% today to 40% by 2050 – with 80% of this electricity generated by renewables. To meet this demand, NGTERMTRENDS. T/COPPER-GOLD-RATIO/
Richard Schodde from MinEx Consulting estimates that “over the next 26 years, the world
chart, the copper-to-gold ratio
is going to mine more copper
has only dropped this low two
than what has been mined in
times in the past 40 years – in
all of history.”
aj
35
Meanwhile gold’s role has
the global financial system
diminished in terms of its
whenever the US dollar cedes
importance to society. To be
its enviable role as global
clear - from an investment
reserve currency (it may not
perspective, I remain bullish
be in this lifetime but nothing
on the near-term future of gold
lasts forever); however the rise
and gold equities. After all,
of cryptocurrencies in recent
65% of our weighted portfolio
years further diminishes the
is exposed to precious metal
chance that gold will back any
equities which should serve
of our currencies any time
us well over the coming few
soon.
years. Clearly over the longer term However, the point remains
(decades not years), I do favour
that gold is simply less
copper over gold. Some will
consequential within the
agree, others will dissent
global financial system and
vehemently. But the key
in most of our lives than it
takeaway is that in whichever
was in 1971 when Nixon de-
camp you belong, why not
linked the US dollar from gold
position yourself intelligently
or in 1933 when FDR ordered
as investor in both metals by
the confiscation of physical
backing competent, ethical
gold from US citizens. And it
management teams working
certainly does not hold the
on quality assets?
same societal significance as it did during the first 85 years
Because those bullish on
of American history when
gold should rationally also
gold and silver coins were the
be bullish on copper, at least
only recognised form of legal
over the medium term. Going
tender.
back to the aforementioned copper-gold ratio, the mean
36
It is possible that gold regains
price relationship between the
a more prominent role within
two metals was approximately
COMMENT | MATT GEIGER (MJG CAPITAL)
0.000160 over the past 40 years.
spending and money printing.
This compares to today’s ratio
This would be the sweet spot,
of 0.000094.
at least from an investment perspective.
Put simply, this means that if gold stood still at US$1,800
I’ll conclude with a caveat
an ounce for the next five
because no thesis would be
years while the copper-to-
complete without one. It’s of
gold ratio reverts to its 40-
course unrealistic to expect the
year mean, we are looking
copper-to-gold ratio to revert
at roughly $4.50 copper
to its mean overnight. The
once the process has run its
process will take conviction
course. This doesn’t take into
and years of patience. And
account the possibility that
there’s also the very real
the mean reversion pendulum
possibility that we see the
overshoots as is often the
ratio take a final plunge in the
case, nor does it consider the
coming six to nine months
possibility that gold prices also
before the mean reversion
rise as the copper-to-gold ratio
process begins in earnest.
normalises. If the irrational exuberance We’ve seen the copper and
evident in the broader market
gold prices diverge noticeably
right now results in another
over the past two years but
March 2020-like panic, copper
that doesn’t have to continue.
and copper equities will
In fact, historically it doesn’t.
certainly not be spared. If this
And you can easily see a world
does occur, don’t get shaken
where a positive correlation
out – you will regret it.
between the two metals returns – think a few years of anemic private sector growth coupled with massive government infrastructure programmes funded by deficit
37
What is driving go it mean for Austr
Baker Young’s Evan Metanomski identifies th 38
COMMENT | EVAN METANOMSKI (BAKER YOUNG)
old and what does ralian equities?
he factors driving record gold prices in 2020 39
It’s difficult to pinpoint any one factor responsible for the appreciation in the price of gold. Expanding central bank balance sheets, inflation concerns, geopolitical tension and finite supply are a few of the many logical and valid explanations that assist in supporting the case for gold and its relevance. Gold has been the major leading asset class in the 21st century having outperformed US treasuries, US equities, developed market equities and emerging markets (after accounting for dividends). US$100 invested at the turn of the century has grown to $591.
Falling real rates A large contributor has been falling real rates, the US Treasury yield, less the expected rate of inflation. This was over 4% in 2000, and has recently turned negative. It comes with no surprise why gold is deemed more attractive when cash on deposit receives a negative real return. This is in comparison to the days when cash returned a 4% risk free real rate. It’s possible gold is anticipating an uptick in inflation for 2021. It would make sense given central bank balance sheets are bloated with liquidity. QE historically has been mildly inflationary from a PCE perceptive as capital was mostly tied within the banking system. Hence why we have seen tier 1 assets shoot to the moon, whilst nondiscretionary consumption goods have remained relatively stable. What we are seeing today is a surge in money supply, which is being distributed to the real economy. Prices have fallen due to a shock in demand. The combination of closed businesses and
40
COMMENT | EVAN METANOMSKI (BAKER YOUNG)
high unemployment, much of which is hopefully temporary, has seen prices fall. However, as the world economy reemerges, we could find ourselves facing a supply shock, with large amounts of capital chasing a diminished pool of goods. It’s fair to assume that gold has factored this in, to an extent.
Blowing up the balance sheet Due to current economic conditions, the US federal deficit is reaching unprecedented levels. Preliminary data suggests the federal deficit will be $4 trillion this year, which is greater than 15% of GDP. Although, as the crisis unravels, it is likely these numbers will worsen. Throughout history, only in the First and Second World War have deficits of this magnitude occurred. As GDP declines and the federal deficit widens, the public debt to GDP ratio continues to escalate rapidly. US public debt to GDP is 130% at the time of writing. A few months ago, this ratio printed 110%.
Evan Metanomski Evan Metanomski is an analyst specialising in micro caps with a passion for the relic gold. Having spent considerable time on both buy and sell side in Sydney, he has recently returned to Adelaide heading up research for the boutique financial services firm Baker Young. Whilst Evan loves gold, he finds great satisfaction in uncovering gems of all sorts, covering all sectors searching for value and opportunity. Whilst gold is in the spotlight for a myriad of reasons, he prides his work on deep diving into unloved territories where the majority of the investment community is reluctant to look.
j
41
Deteriorating faith in central banks Gold collapsed from $850 to $250 under Greenspan’s ‘Great Moderation’. Greenspan was viewed as the ‘Maestro’ until the dot-com bubble collapsed. Gold went on a tear during the housing bubble, only to top when the ECB president Mario Draghi gave his famous speech: “We will do whatever it takes to save the Euro, and believe me it will be enough.” The future of the world is now in the hands of six central banks, Fed, ECB, BoE (England), PBOC (China), BoJ (Japan), SNB (Switzerland). This bodes unfavourably for the global financial system. For decades these central banks have abused their power and taken control of the monetary system for the benefit of their banker associates, and in some cases their private shareholders. The central banks have corrupted and destroyed the financial system, by printing money and extending credit that doesn’t exist. It is known that creating liquidity out of thin air eventually devalues
42
currencies to the point where they become worthless. The balance sheets of the six banks have increased by $3 trillion, from $21 trillion at the end of February 2020, to $24 trillion today.
The debasement of FIAT currency Gold (and silver) will be the obvious winner as currency debasement accelerates. Hyperinflation will of course add many zeros to the gold price. However, this price would be meaningless since it would only reflect the debasement of currencies. Although, not meaningless to people who hold worthless dollars or euros. At this point gold will once again prove its utility as a medium of exchange. Physical gold must not be seen as a speculative investment, but as the only store of wealth that has survived throughout history and maintained its purchasing power. Gold is insurance, and gold is wealth protection.
COMMENT | EVAN METANOMSKI (BAKER YOUNG)
Hedging their bets According to the World Gold Council (WGC), the lower rate of purchases of gold by central banks was expected given the strength of purchases both in 2018 and 2019. On the year, central banks have added a net 142 tonnes of gold to their reserves. This is off the nearrecord pace of purchases last year. Central bank total purchases totalled 650.3 tonnes in 2019. This was the second highest level of annual purchases for 50 years, slightly below the 2018 net purchases of 656.2 tonnes. According to the WGC, 2018 marked the highest level of annual net central bank gold purchases since the suspension of dollar convertibility into gold in 1971, and the second highest annual total on record. The case for central banks holding gold remains strong. Especially considering the economic uncertainty caused by COVID-19. The WGC 2020 Central Bank Survey found that 20% of central banks globally plan to expand their gold holdings in the next 12 months. Factors related to the
economic environment, such as negative interest rates, were overwhelming drivers of these planned purchases. This was supported by gold’s role as a safe haven in times of crisis, as well as its lack of default risk. Paul Singer, founder and president of Elliott Management Corp says it best in a recent comment: ‘’This is a perfect environment for gold to take centre stage. Fanatical debasement of money by all of the world’s central banks, super-low interest rates and gold mine operation and extraction issues (to a large extent related to the pandemic) should create a fertile ground for this most basic of all money and stores of value to reach its fair value, which we believe is literally multiples of its current price. In recent months, gold has gone up in price to some degree, but we think that it is one of the most undervalued investable assets existing today.”
Where is gold headed… The current gold premium is telling us that higher inflation is coming. The implications
43
“Physical gold must not be seen as a speculative investment, but as the only store of wealth that has survived throughout history and maintained its purchasing power. Gold is insurance, and gold is wealth protection�
44
for asset classes are immense. Higher inflation implies a weaker dollar, which implies higher commodity prices and a surge in emerging market equities. It will make bonds unattractive and potentially drive down equity valuations in the developed world. The last time we saw this was in the 1970s. Whilst past performance is not indicative of future performance, those that thrived owned gold.
What does this mean for Australian gold equities... Australian dollar spot gold has performed remarkably well over the last few years, primarily due to points raised as well as a weakening local currency. This in turn has resulted in a remarkable opportunity for the gold bugs. The vast majority of gold stocks have been caught in the updraft and has paved the way
COMMENT | EVAN METANOMSKI (BAKER YOUNG)
for outsized gains compared to all other major asset classes. Fortunately, there are several ways in which to leverage this opportunity. Given our nation’s rich history not only in gold but in most major resource categories, we are well placed to continue to capitalise on what has been a spectacular few years. Given the cost of capital and the Australian ‘go get em’ attitude, every man and his dog have been crawling out of the woodwork - pick in hand -
to join what is fast becoming the new ‘gold rush’. Explorers and producers large and small have enjoyed favourable capital markets with abundant access to all forms of liquidity whether it be lines of credit or private money through placements. Given the domestic landscape from all indications the status quo will remain, so it is expected that the industry will continue to experience increased exploration and consolidation. The future
looks bright for gold and we continue to search for opportunities not only in producers but in micro-cap explorers where we have been very successful over recent years. It is our belief that, providing Australia maintains its advantage from a currency perceptive and US spot gold remains steady, the path is indeed paved with gold.
45
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ARGO GO 48
North America’s next m
MINING | ARGONAUT GOLD
ONAUT OLD
mid-tier gold producer
49
Over the last decade, Canadian gold explorer and producer Argonaut Gold has built a reputation for operating a cluster of simple, low risk gold assets across North America. The recent acquisition of NYSElisted Alio Gold at the end of March has been a long time in the offing and adds a couple more attractive pearls to Argonaut’s ‘necklace’ of assets, to borrow a metaphor used by president and CEO Peter Dougherty.
“Consolidation is healthy for
natural synergies. Firstly,
the sector because we’ll get
Florida Canyon is an open pit
better capitalisation, we’ll
heap leach mine – the type
be able to coalesce the best
of operation that Argonaut
talent in the industry and
has excelled in previously,
hopefully produce more vibrant
particularly at low grades.
Talking to RGN, Argonaut’s chief describes the deal as typical of the current gold space, with momentum released from M&A activity among the majors gradually trickling down to the mid-tier and below during the last 18 months. Consolidation has been the name of the game in the gold sector and this is only likely to continue as the global economy prepares for a brutal downturn in the midst of the ongoing COVID-19 crisis.
companies that can survive challenging conditions,” says
Dougherty describes Florida
Dougherty.
Canyon as a low grade, 0.4 g/t operation, but notes that
“For Argonaut in particular,
Argonaut has run 0.3 g/t
the Alio deal allows us to
orebodies and made money on
have another producing asset
them. “There are similarities
in a great jurisdiction,” he
between the two companies in
continues.
the processes that we deploy
Natural synergies
and the way that we execute those, and we think we can add
Alio’s only current producing
to and enhance those things at
gold asset is the Florida Canyon
Florida Canyon.”
Mine in Nevada, which is located 200 km from Argonaut’s
Secondly, Argonaut will use
corporate office in Reno – a 1.5
the acquisition to restructure
hours’ drive on a good day. In
its corporate departments.
comparison to the company’s
There will be a natural
other producing mines in
reduction in overall general
Mexico, La Colorada is half a
and administrative (G&A)
day of travel from Reno and the
costs following the closure
operations in Durango are four
of the company’s Vancouver
hours on top of La Colorada.
office. Instead Argonaut will pool its key talent in Reno,
50
Besides Florida Canyon being
with the existing team in
right in Argonaut’s backyard,
Mexico remaining in place and
the deal was also attractive to
overseeing the integration of
both parties based on several
the Ana Paula development
MINING | ARGONAUT GOLD
51
project in Guerrero from Alio’s
things all bode well and really
Turning Florida Canyon from
portfolio.
set this project up to bloom
a cash consumer to a cash
from where it is now.”
producer will be a significant
From an operational adds immediate long-life
Distinctly North American
growth to the portfolio and
Argonaut’s portfolio is now
memory, as the world slowly
will effectively replace the El
comprised of four producing
emerges out of lockdown
Castillo mine in Durango when
assets in Mexico and the
to contain the spread of
it reaches maturity in 2022.
US and three development
coronavirus.
However, the asset will require
projects in Canada and
some TLC from Argonaut in
Mexico. Dougherty describes
Indeed, having diversified
the short to mid-term.
the company’s model as
sources of gold production
North American-centric and
could provide unyielding
“Florida Canyon has been
is resolute in his belief of the
value during a period of
starved of the proper cash
world class nature of all three
unprecedented government
investment and we think that
jurisdictions.
stimulus packages aimed
perspective, Florida Canyon
because of the strength of the
of perhaps the steepest decline to the global economy in living
at propping up groaning
balance sheet we have, we can
“We like to play in playgrounds
economies. The addition of
really bring to the forefront
where we think we can
more debt load will only have
that ability. The first thing we
win. We think Mexico has
a positive impact on the gold
will do is unlock the Sprott
an attractive profile for
market in the longer term,
debt and replace it with our
investors, but we were looking
according to Dougherty.
revolving credit facility which
for diversification. The US
is carrying a 2.25% rate.
happens to be one of the best
“I expect to see gold rise over
jurisdictions in the world after
the next several years and
“Secondly, we will look to
you get your permits in and it’s
also bring along with it the
make a further investment in
the same in Canada. Once you
gold equities. It’s a matter of
the crushing circuits of less
overcome the infrastructure
economics. If we continue to
than $10 million, something
hurdle you have access to one
turn on the debt and printing
we can do out of the cash flows
of the best jurisdictions in the
presses as we have, at some
that we are generating as a
world.”
point in time we are going to
strong company today. Those
52
result for the company ahead
need that back-end commodity
MINING | ARGONAUT GOLD
Peter Dougherty, Argonaut Gold president and CEO to shore up that currency we
Argonaut quickly complied
are printing. As we look over
with the mandate and ceased
the long term, I am quite
mining, crushing and stacking
bullish about what this is going
activities at its operations, but
to do for gold.�
given that it operates heap
Coping with COVID-19
ARGONAUT GOL D AT A G L A N C E
leach mines, the company has been able to continue metal production and metal
Following the outbreak of
sales during the temporary
COVID-19 in Mexico earlier
suspension of mining
this year, mining was deemed
activities.
a non-essential business by the Mexican federal government
In fact, the impact on actual
on March 31st and all
metal production during the
operations were suspended
first 30 days of the suspension
at the beginning of April to
order was non-consequential,
STOCK TICKER TSX:AR
MARKET CAPITALISATION
US$233 million (as of May 11, 2020)
ajbr
prevent the spread of the virus.
53
says Dougherty. “When we
Colorada and El Castillo on
The company has gone above
think about it over the next
May 18th.
and beyond in its efforts to
30-60 days, I would expect us to recover 80% of what we
At the time of writing, the
community surrounding La
normally would’ve seen.”
region that hosts La Colorada
Colorada, offering sanitation
has had 0 cases recorded in
services to 253 local homes
Fortunately, the areas in which
that small community, and in
and providing face masks and
Argonaut operates in Mexico
the state of Durango – where
personal sanitiser to grateful
have received only very small
the El Castillo Complex is
residents.
outbreaks of COVID-19 and
found - there have been
on May 12th the government
two cases identified in the
“We also took it one step
reclassified mining as an
municipality of San Juan del
further and have acquired
essential business, paving
Rio.
COVID-19 test kits for
the way for Argonaut to recommence operations at La
54
tackle coronavirus in the
our people. We’ve done
MINING | ARGONAUT GOLD
this because we think it’s
The Magino project in Ontario,
now deploy the assets of the
important. If it turns out
Canada is envisioned to be
company in two different
that we didn’t need the tests,
built by an EPC contractor
functions.”
then so be it. We decided to
at a fixed construction cost
get out in front of this in our
expected to be close to the
Following the acquisition of
communities and whilst this
$320 million outlined in the
Alio, Argonaut’s total gold
doesn’t preclude you from
Magino feasibility study, with
production rate would be
having a case show up, we are
the financing strategy set
around 235-250,000 ounces
now more prepared for when
to be put in place by Q3 this
(oz) per year at full capacity.
it does.”
year. Meanwhile, Argonaut
While achieving this rate in
is progressing through the
2020 may be difficult following
final stages of securing an
the COVID-19 outbreak, clearly
operating permit for Magino,
this is no longer a small fry
Despite the incredibly difficult
having already received
gold firm.
conditions that Argonaut
environmental permits.
A packed pipeline (and the world) is navigating
In fact, Argonaut has the
through, Dougherty remains
“I think the unique thing
makings of a dynamic mid-tier
content with the position the
about the EPC approach is that
North American producer and
company currently finds itself
somebody else is building the
has set itself a transformation
in, chiefly due to the presence
car for you. They’re carrying
strategy with the goal of 300-
of three exploration projects in
out all those activities so we
500,000 oz per year, which
the portfolio.
can leverage our team to work on more than one project. We
“As a matter of fact, now is an
are not overburdening our
amazing time for the company
team and we’ve transferred
given we are still a relatively
the risk for overruns to the
small junior with three
contractor.
development assets that are all poised by the end of the year
“While overseeing the EPC
to be in a decision-making
contract at Magino in Canada,
process as to how we advance
our team can also be working
them,” he proclaims.
on Cerro del Gallo or Ana Paula in Mexico. We can
We like to play in playgrounds where we think we can win. Mexico has an attractive profile for investors, but we were looking for diversification and The US happens to be one of the best jurisdictions in the world” Peter Dougherty, Argonaut Gold president and CEO
55
56
MINING | ARGONAUT GOLD
“We add to it Florida Canyon. Here’s another mine that is going to be operating for at least the next eight to 10 years, one of our longest life operating mines. Then the big pendant in the Argonaut scenario is Magino. We’ve already identified 5 million oz and started underground exploration last year to expand the resource. “Magino currently has a 17year mine life based on the first two million oz, but it’s probably going to have a 30year life. Then at Cerro del Gallo we have also identified a 14-year life that likely will PETER DOUGHERTY, ARGONAUT GOLD PRESIDENT AND CEO
extend to 20 years with further exploration. These longer life assets also have significantly
will involve upgrades to both
individual pearls (the smaller
lower operating costs and
the production rate and cost
operations in Mexico) that are
they are the pendants we are
profile.
unique and unto themselves
transitioning towards.”
Polishing the Argonaut necklace “When I formed the company
able generate some cash. “But they’re relatively short life, with smaller production profiles and relatively high cost profiles.
back in 2010, I had a simple concept in mind. Take these
57
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Bushveld Minerals will offer a diversfied product offering for the steel, chemical industry and energy storage market
•
Bushveld Minerals vertical integration strategy into energy storage provides a natural hedge to vanadium price volatility as well as a
processing facilities, with capacity to scale up production significantly
diversified revenue stream
5 Harries Road, Illovo Edge Office Park 2nd Floor, Johannesburg, Gauteng 2196 | info@bushveldminerals.com | www.bushveldminerals.com @BushveldMin_Ltd
Bushveld Minerals
BARTO
Taking ad
60
MINING | BARTON GOLD
ON GOLD
dvantage of a trio of undervalued gold assets in South Australia
61
Privately held Australian gold developer Barton Gold has been powering past the COVID-19 dilemma of late according to managing director Alexander Scanlon, having received its Resource Exploration and Production Permits from the Woomera Prohibited Area Coordination Office (WPACO) in mid-May. Approval of the permits will allow the company to advance its gold assets in South Australia, which include the Tarcoola open pit mine, the Tunkilla project and a mill and processing plant. Barton is majority owned by boutique investment group PARQ Capital, who facilitated the 2019 acquisition of the assets from WPG Resources, a group that fell into administration in July 2018. The acquisition, in May 2019, was exceptionally timed and followed PARQ’s global macro investment strategy and 2018 ‘conviction’ call on gold as undervalued based upon an increasingly unstable geopolitical climate, global credit quality deterioration and expectations of a new economic crisis. Since taking control of the assets, Barton has vowed to extend the mineralisation and mine plan for a restart of the Tarcoola mine, and reevaluate development options at the Tunkilla project in view of the economic options provided by ownership of the only processing facilities in the immediate region. The company is also planning an IPO on the ASX in 2021.
62
“Barton Gold is effectively a new entity and structure set up by PARQ – the group I represent,” says Scanlon. The purpose of that strategy, explains Scanlon, was twofold: 1) Having an optimised ownership structure to simplify government approvals and reduce ongoing compliance work and costs – a distraction from otherwise value-adding work for shareholders, and 2) A clean start, as these assets were all historically owned in a series of entities that went into administration. Rather than assume the burdens associated with a complex web of entities, contractual agreements and creditors, it was simply decided to instead form Barton as a new, forward-focused entity. “That decision helped us to expedite a transaction, reduce the cost of that transaction and reduce the cost and time wasted having to deal with the ghosts of the former structure.”
MINING | BARTON GOLD
Setting up in South Australia The transaction provided a unique opportunity to gain control of 4,735 km² tenements and rights in the low risk, Tier 1 jurisdiction of South Australia, which is heavily mineralised but flies under the radar as a gold exploration region compared to the heavily contested Western Australian market. “South Australia definitely suffers from a lack of attention compared to Western Australia. That is probably a function of the frameworks, policies and procedures for exploration and development [in WA] being a bit more systematically streamlined. It’s an exciting area but perhaps a little harder to get traction in this state,” Scanlon observes. However, this does not appear to have hindered the Barton team. Scanlon and his team have set out to change this impression, and to lead the reemergence of a large portion
63
Despite the existence of gold
known for previously yielding
Turning away from Challenger
globally relevant assets. The
Barton’s acquisition of WPG’s
situation deteriorated into
opportunity for success is
assets also included the
a costly downward spiral of
attested to by the existence
Challenger underground
‘exploration by development’
of BHP’s Olympic Dam – one
mine, which has historically
at Challenger, which dragged
of the largest polymetallic
produced around 1.2 million
down the former business
mines in the world – and OZ
ounces (Moz) of gold, but is
and, perhaps most ironically,
Minerals’ copper-silver-gold
not without its own difficulties
publicly obscured the high
Prominent Hill facility.
as its name coincidentally
quality nature of Tarcoola.
of a region in South Australia
mineralisation at 4 g/t, the
suggests. Asked exactly how Barton
Scanlon likens the acquisition
were able to gain traction so
The asset has complex
strategy to a conventional
quickly, Scanlon says it was a
geology and orientation
restructuring play; acquire a
matter of providing confidence that has caused headaches
suite of misunderstood but
and building trust with
for developers in the past,
quality businesses tarnished
regional stakeholders.
according to Scanlon.
by the publicly poor results of
“It requires a great deal
one specific division, close the
“We have been able to enter
of forward development
failing division, and optimise
South Australia off the back of
investment and structural
and grow those that remain.
the reputation of our technical
analysis before you go mining.
partners Mining Plus and
PARQ’s analysis indicated
the Byrnecut Group, as well
“Unfortunately when the
that the potential of the
as Primero Group, but also
former owners got started
assets were far greater than
our own private reputation
they did not have that
the ‘Challenger discount’
for taking mining assets in
forward development work
applied to all assets, and that
difficult situations and creating done and didn’t have enough
the market likely valued the
value. I think that helped build
development capital…so it
package on the assumption of
an initial relationship and
became a vicious cycle of
executing the same strategy.
trust with the South Australia
taking material out of the
Government.”
ground for the mill without
Barton will therefore
adequate information.”
defer further review of the Challenger asset, in favour
64
MINING | BARTON GOLD
65
BA RTO N G OLD
AT A G L A N C E
of focusing on restarting
extensions of the open pit
the Tarcoola open pit and
and immediate proximate
advancing the Tunkillia
mineralisation.
Project, only 80 km from Tarcoola.
A walk-up restart
PRO FORMA MARKET CAPITALISATION A$48.7 million (as of 29 May 2020)
j
66
The Tarcoola asset was originally modelled on a ~2.7 g/t LoM average grade
Scanlon notes that the restart
for a relatively short-term
of the Tarcoola mine – which
operation, however when
opened in December 2016
the former owners got into
but was placed on care and
the main ore zone in the
maintenance in August
body of mineralisation, they
2018 – will be a relatively
found multiple mineralised
simple process which will be
structures converging in the
determined by the structural
base of the pit and the ore
MINING | BARTON GOLD
grades jumped well over 3 g/t.
a walk-up restart,” explains
to restart the mine with a
Barton’s boss. “We’ll bring in
greater understanding of
“Actually, for the last seven
a contractor to run the open
the mineralisation and bank
to eight months of operation
pit. The pit itself is competent,
additional mine inventory.
in 2018 the pit averaged over
stable and in fact still only part
4 g/t. So, you’re looking at
way through its current mine
a relatively tidy operation
plan.”
producing 3-4 g/t of material
Tier 1 technical partners Barton’s primary technical
that is then trucked 160 km
Upcoming infill drilling
partner is Mining Plus,
and put through the existing
programmes will also target
Australia’s largest specialist
Challenger mill.
high-grade extensions of
mine geology and engineering
mineralisation to depth and
consultancy. Mining Plus
“It’s is a fairly simple logistical
along strike of the open pit,
have worked extensively with
feat to run that operation
as part of a precise mining
PARQ for the past six years
and start it up. It’s effectively
plan that will enable Barton
as an exclusive technical
67
service provider, and so the arrangement with Barton is a continuation of this relationship. “We have put together with them a working model where we are able to keep our corporate overheads structure and our costs quite lean by utilising their personnel as and when we need them,” explains Scanlon. The company’s strategy of employing individuals from Mining Plus on an ad-hoc basis is an efficient and costeffective one that allows Barton to leverage its partner’s broad capabilities, including geology, geosciences, geotechnical and mine engineering and operations management. “That brings these two businesses into very strong alignment and it also means that from our standpoint, when you have a group like Mining Plus with that full suite
68
MINING | BARTON GOLD
of capability and the ability to carry the whole workload, that is very valuable. “We’ve found it to lead to more informed decision making, both in terms of the quality of the work but also thinking about your geological objectives as informed by practical operating requirements. To have that fluidity of awareness and knowledge of back-tofront and front-to-back is surprisingly rare.”
SA’s largest undeveloped gold-only resource Barton’s second priority behind the Tarcoola restart is the extension of the resource at Tunkilla, which happens to be South Australia’s largest undeveloped gold-only resource and an asset that, like Tarcoola, was overlooked by the former owners due to working capital restrictions.
69
“In the case of Tunkilla,
JORC Resource in the so-
can reduce trucking distance
we think there are a few
called ‘223 Deposit’ with
by diverting Tarcoola ore
interesting optimisation
potential for extensions and
towards Tunkilla instead of
capabilities with that
regional scale confirmation
towards the current plant.
project. Certainly, the recent
of lookalike deposits on the
That might save $10 million a
innovation in the gold price
highly prospective Yerda and
year and is a valuable option to
adds a whole new level of
Yarlbrinda Shear Zones.
have.”
“If you do that, you open up a
In addition, having access
wide range of opportunities
to a 650,000 tonnes per
In particular, Barton is
because you can for one
annum plant in a region
evaluating opportunities to
downscale your processing
where several explorers are
target higher grade zones in an
plant, which offers
operating without their own
early stage open pit operation,
considerable savings and gives
processing infrastructure is a
but also the possibility for a
you more opportunities on
clear boon for Barton. In fact,
high-grade underground mine
logistics.”
the mill is the only one in the
potential attractiveness to the assets.”
using a simple box cut and decline method.
surrounding area and if Barton The logistical synergies
were to build another plant
between the assets were a
at Tunkilla, it would have the
The asset already has an
key driving factor behind the
only two plants inside a bubble
existing 558,000 ounces
company’s decision to invest
with a 600 km diameter.
in them. While Tarcoola
“We have been able to enter South Australia off the back of the reputation of our technical partners Mining Plus, but also our own private reputation taking mining assets in difficult situations and creating value.” Alexander Scanlon
70
distance from the mill and
A realistic plan and timeline
plant owned by Barton, the
Unsurprisingly, the COVID-19
distance between Tarcoola
pandemic has had an
and Tunkilla is only 80 km.
impact on Barton’s forward
is around 160 km trucking
development plans. However, “If you could unite high
with a focus on risk mitigation
grade ore from Tarcoola
the company had already given
with a higher grade selection itself a flexible and realistic of ore from Tunkilla at a
timeline with the ability to
single processing plant, you
absorb this type of unforeseen circumstance.
MINING | BARTON GOLD
ALEXANDER SCANLON, BARTON GOLD MANAGING DIRECTOR
Therefore, while extension
2021, which would transition
Finally, Barton has recently
drilling at Tarcoola has been
the company from private to
completed a multi-million
delayed from June to July or
public hands and expedite the
dollar capital raise and is now
August because of restrictions
development of its attractive
fully funded for upcoming
on movement, Barton is using
assets in South Australia. In
works as it continues
this time to further optimise
May, the company appointed
discussions with institutional
critical pathway items like
top-tier legal firm Ashurst as
investors for future growth
WPACO permits and for the
IPO counsel and is understood
capital.
restart of the pit during the
to be evaluating a wide range
second half of next year.
of additional corporate development opportunities.
Barton plans to begin the IPO process with the ASX in early
71
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VAN MIN
+1 million ounce mineral res Australia’s largest und
74
MINING | VANGO MINING
NGO NING
source and counting at one of developed gold assets
75
The old adage says that it takes a long time to become an overnight success. Australian gold exploration and development company Vango Mining is a classic case in point. Vango floated in 2004 (under the name Ord River Resources) with one gold asset in regional New South Wales, Australia. Over time it acquired copper tenements in Western Australia and also became involved in bauxite tenements in Laos. After a decade of juggling these disparate projects, the board of the company decided to set a more focused strategy on the gold sector, following the beginning of a resurgence in the gold price in 2013. At this time, Bruce McInnes was appointed to the company’s board, soon after becoming executive deputy chairman and finally executive chairman. An accountant by profession, McInnes tells RGN: “The idea was to try to locate a near-term gold production asset with a good resource base and then look to do a deal with the owner to combine the two companies and move forward as one entity.” When the company came across a major package of quality exploration leases in the Mid West region of Western Australia, it executed on the plan and entered into a farm-in agreement with the then owner.
Over the ensuing years
Vango’s targeted drill
the company expended
campaigns have culminated
considerable capital to earn
in the announcement of a +1
a 100% interest in the project
Moz resource at Marymia in
area – the Marymia Gold
May this year, which McInnes
Project. Vango is now the sole,
declares as the company’s
100% owner of the Marymia
biggest and most important
Project, which covers an
milestone to date.
extensive 40 km of strike in a major brownfields gold belt
“That was a critical milestone
that sits immediately Northeast
in terms of proving to the
of the 5.5 million ounce (Moz)
shareholders that we have
operating Plutonic Gold Mine.
invested their funds wisely in line with our exploration
“Once we started drilling in
model, and that our exploration
early 2017, we quickly found
has been validated. There was
that there was potentially six
a previous JORC 2004 resource
gold corridors similar to the
with a considerable amount
Plutonic Mine. When you look
of gold ounces, but part of
to the overall size of area,
our drilling programmes have
Plutonic covers about 20% of
been focused on bringing the
the brownstone belt and we
old resource into current, 2012
own the remaining 80%.”
JORC compliant status, as well as substantially expanding
The exploration programmes
the size of the resource, all of
to date have identified three of
which has been achieved.
the six mineralised corridors – PHB, Trident and Triple P - as
“Secondly, there has been
being near-term opportunities
recognition from the
to develop high-grade gold
marketplace that we have
mines, with the Trident
achieved that magical 1 Moz
Corridor the most defined by
milestone. Thirdly, it was a
drilling.
building block that we needed in order to complete a mine
76
MINING | VANGO MINING
application and mine planning
drilling programmes over the
Building blocks
to the WA Department of
past three years. These efforts
The building blocks of this
Mines and Petroleum [DMP],
have been rewarded with a
exploration success were put
to demonstrate the viability
1,002,000 oz mineral resource
in place by McInnes and co
and sustainability of what we
at 3.0 g/t gold, including
around four years ago upon
plan to be a significant long-
open pit and underground
the formation of a turnaround
term gold mining operation at
resources, which goes a
strategy focusing first and
Marymia.”
long way to establishing the
foremost on economic
project’s viability.
prudence.
formal mining approval
But, achieving the magical
“We are very careful about
process is extensive –
1 Moz mark is just a starting
how we spend shareholders’
significantly more so than
point, and Vango’s next drill
money. We want to know that
most people might appreciate
programmes will be designed
any project we get involved
- and so the company has
to further expand the resource
in has the potential to be
applied a highly rigorous
to 1.5 Moz and then to 2 Moz.
profitable and to deliver a
McInnes explains that the
and stringent approach to its
sustained life to the asset that
77
VA NG O M IN I N G
AT A G L A N C E
Vision for the future
STOCK TICKER ASX:VAN
MARKET CAPITALISATION
A$81.46 million (as of June 22, 2020)
j
78
you are pouring millions of
McInnes describes himself
dollars into.
as a ‘builder’ and has infused this spirit into the company’s
“Some companies prefer
thesis for the Marymia Gold
to drill out assets and hope
project. Part of this has been
that a major takes them out.
the building - or evolution - of
We’ve taken a different view
Vango’s board. Over time the
and want to unlock the full
company’s board has evolved
scope and size of the project
and now has a balanced mix
area, and to be in a position to
of skillsets, from commercial
potentially mine the area for
and corporate to mining and
20-30 years, not just for two or
technical expertise.
three.” says the chairman.
MINING | VANGO MINING
A key piece of the puzzle was
“Andrew has really been
Raising the roof
the appointment of highly
an important find and
In mid-June, Vango
skilled mining engineer
compliments the other
successfully raised A$15
Andrew Stocks as managing
members of the board
million on the ASX in an
director of Vango in November
immensely. I’ve learned a lot
oversubscribed capital raising
2019. Stocks stood out from
working with him over the
that will allow the company to
all other applicants due to his
last four to five months and he
aggressively pursue the next
unmatched understanding
has a major task now to bring
phase of drill programmes
of the geology of the
this company to its productive
at Marymia, which include
Marymia region, having been
capability – a task that I have
high-grade resource expansion
instrumental in the build of
utmost confidence in him to
targets and larger scale
the nearby Plutonic mine
deliver.”
Plutonic-style analogue
under the auspices of Barrick
targets.
Gold in the 1990s.
79
Bruce McInnes, Vango Mining executive chairman
The company was also able to
in parallel, to focus on
previous campaigns, and has
convert $2.4 million of debt
development plans for the two
delivered significant time and
into equity in the raise through
areas which will potentially be
cost savings to the company’s
the issue of 30.3 million
the initial mine targets: PHB
exploration programmes.
new shares. These incoming
and Trident.”
institutional and professional
80
“We’ve been able to rely on
investors attest to the strength
Vango has been fortunate in
that database to be quite
of the financial building blocks
that it inherited a large amount precise about where we drill.
put in place over the past four
of historical data relating to
The design of our next drilling
years, according to McInnes.
the Marymia Gold project
programme is being finalised
when it took full control of
and these next rounds of
“Now it is with Andrew to
the project. While the data
drilling will be designed to
provide the company with
doesn’t extend to depth, it has
expand the resource toward
a further upscaling of the
allowed Vango to locate and
our next target of 1.5 Moz and
resource base and also,
test specific targets throughout
then to 2 Moz.
MINING | VANGO MINING
“But equally as important is
becoming a shareholder in
viability of Vango’s proposed
the ability then to provide
Vango. The company will
mining operation at
evidence to the DMP that this
continue to use Westdrill for
Maryima, as well as deal
is not a company that will
future campaigns, along with
go to mining then fold for a
other outfits for additional rigs
lack of resources,” McInnes
where required.
highlights. “This programme is extremely important going forward.”
Flying towards feasibilities The company has also
Vango’s primary drilling
commenced work towards
partner has been Westdrill,
feasibility studies for the
who are not only a great
Marymia Gold project.
drilling company but have also
These studies are designed
been immensely supportive
to establish the economic
“Some companies prefer to drill out assets and hope that a major takes them out. We’ve taken a different view and want to mine the area for 20-30 years, not just for two or three” Bruce McInnes, Vango Mining executive chairman
of the Marymia project, even
81
with other core issues such as the environment and sustainability. “We’ve done a lot of work in terms of the hydrology and environmental studies. Blueprint [Environmental Strategies] has completed the majority of the environmental studies required to be submitted in our mining plan. “The water studies have been completed by specialist consultancy group, Rockwater. Those studies include the flow rate and quality of water in the area. Surprisingly, given the project is located in a very dry BRUCE MCINNES, VANGO MINING EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN
“The design of our next drilling programme is being finalised and these next rounds of drilling will be designed to expand the resource toward our next target of 1.5 Moz and then to 2 Moz.”
82
area, it has an abundant supply me what I’ve been saying for of high-quality underground
some time in my chairman’s
water.
letters, and that is that we believe we have one of the
Following the capital raise
largest and best undeveloped
in June, McInnes reflects on
gold assets in Australia.
a well-deserved celebratory drink shared with a mining analyst. “He actually said to
“He went on to say that Vango
MINING | VANGO MINING
“But I will always admit that I know what I don’t know. This has helped us bring in the right people for the right positions and I know that our current team will carry this company through to mining. And within the next three or four months I expect to see quite a massive upgrade in our market capitalisation.” With uncertainty set to reign supreme over capital markets throughout the rest of the year, and the Australian gold price likely to hold steady in the $2,550 per ounce range, Vango is extremely well placed to deliver value for its ANDREW STOCKS, VANGO MINING MANAGING DIRECTOR
shareholders as it undertakes its next round of resource expansion drilling and
having one of the largest
“I came in as a complete
progresses towards feasibility
undeveloped gold assets in the
unknown in the mining
studies at one of Australia’s
country is only complimented
industry, so I think there was a
largest undeveloped gold
by the fact that you are the
lot of doubt in the marketplace
projects.
most undervalued explorer out
that we could actually achieve
there. So, it’s come with a two-
something that even people
edged sword; we’ve got a great
with a long history in the
asset and we are also the most
sector find difficult to do.
undervalued in terms of our peers.
83
AMARILLO 84
MINING | AMARILLO GOLD
GOLD Brazil’s next gold producer
85
TSXV and OTCQB-listed Amarillo Gold was formed in 2004 specifically to purchase the Mara Rosa Property – a greenstone belt, shear hosted meso-thermal gold mineralised system of Neo-Proterozoic age – located in the Brazilian state of Goiás. Mara Rosa is comprised of 2,600 hectares of mining permits, of which the main accumulation of gold is inside what is known as the Posse Deposit.
“We did a 15,000 metres
Posse was discovered by BHP in the 1980s, mined by Western Mining in the 90s and eventually sold to Amarillo by a troubled Metallica. Torontobased Amarillo soon acquired a second Brazilian project in 2006 before conducting around 40,000 metres of drilling at Mara Rosa over several years up to 2011, when it published a pre-feasibility study (PFS) for the project. Further geotechnical work was conducted and used to update the +1 million ounces (oz) resource and PFS in 2016-17, before some upheaval resulted in several corporate changes.
strong position to finish the
Rowland Uloth joined as executive chairman in mid2017, Hemdat Sawh was appointed CFO later that year and in early January 2018 Mike Mutchler became Amarillo’s new CEO. “Since then we’ve been busy getting Mara Rosa back on track,” says Mutchler.
Finalising the feasibility
drill programme in 2018-19, moved all of our inferred and measured into indicated resources, updated our PFS in late 2018 and started our feasibility study early in 2019. We put it on hold later in the year, but a $15 million capital raise in August put us in a feasibility study in 2020.” Unbeknown to the company was the onset of an unprecedented global pandemic this year, which necessitated a shift in work patterns for Amarillo’s office and field-based staff in Canada and Brazil, as well as for the engineering teams working on the feasibility.
However, the feasibility work was finalised in May with staff working remotely and the findings published at the beginning of June. Before delving into the results, it
86
MINING | AMARILLO GOLD
87
would be remis not to discuss
Fortunately, the areas where
There have been few recorded
the impact of COVID-19
Amarillo’s sites are located
infections near the Mara
on Amarillo’s operations,
have been relatively untouched Rosa project, which can be
particularly given that Brazil
by the virus, which allowed
partially attributed to the
has the second highest
the company to continue
swift reaction of the GoiĂĄs
recorded infections in the
operating throughout the
State authorities, according
world and was closing in on
peak of the pandemic, albeit
to Mutchler. Existing mines
a million cases at the time of
in line with social distancing
in the state were initially
writing.
measures.
shutdown before reopening again, and despite not being in
88
MINING | AMARILLO GOLD
POSSE GOLD DEPOSIT - CROSS SECTION LOOKING NORTH
operation, Amarillo continued
same time and all staff were
switch from multiple indicator
with around a dozen field
quickly set up to work from
kriging (MIK) to ordinary
technicians on-site throughout
home. “Our engineering
kriging for resource and
the pandemic.
groups Ausenco, SRK and
reserve estimates.
GHT Engenharia also started It is a similar situation at
working from home. There
Amarillo’s Lavras do Sul
may have been a couple of
property in Southern Brazil.
weeks of disruption, but it
There have been few recorded
didn’t slow us down and we
cases near the project, and
were able to continue with our
only six employees have been
feasibility work.”
working on-site shipping core from an earlier exploration programme.
Key recalibrations
AM ARIL LO GOL D
AT A G L A N C E
STOCK TICKER
Two significant changes to
TSXV:AGC, OTCQB:AGCBF
The company’s Toronto team
the project were outlined
was already working from
in the Mara Rosa feasibility
MARKET CAPITALISATION
home, but its Belo Horizonte
study, compared to the 2018
office closed around the
PFS, the first of which being a
US$33.2 million (as of June 18, 2020)
j
89
“We’re highly leveraged to the gold price. A 10% change in the gold price changes our NPV by about 30%” Mike Mutchler, Amarillo Gold president and CEO
90
“Our infill drilling was
well for veiny deposits, but
delivering lower grades than
that the Posse Deposit is more
previous drilling had, based
strata-bound into a shear
on MIK models. So we did a
zone and there are chemical
jack knifing study, which is
alterations within the shear
where you drop a hole out
zone that affect the grade, but
of the database and let the
not quite what you would call
model predict the grade at that
a vein.
point and then compare that to the actual grade. We saw
“While the switch to ordinary
further evidence that MIK was
kriging dropped the grade by
overstating the grade.”
about 20%, from 1.4 g/t in the PFS to 1.2 g/t in the feasibility,
Mutchler points out that MIK
the new model provides
is a reliable tool that works
much greater confidence in
MINING | AMARILLO GOLD
AERIAL VIEW OF THE POSSE DEPOSIT SHOWING POSSE NORTH AND POSSE SOUTH PITS
the resource and we feel we
operations near Brumadinho
deemed it impractical to
have a much higher chance of
in Minas Gerais early last
evacuate the open pit within 30
reconciliation in the mine plan
year. The disaster prompted
minutes of a warning message.
when we do get started with
a deep rethink of health and
In addition, Amarillo foresaw
the operation.”
safety protocols relating to
delays to the permitting
tailings dams and led to new
process if it were to go
The second major change in
regulations, including the
ahead with the original plan
the feasibility study concerned
provision of an exclusion zone
and move the tailings dam
the decision to switch to dry
that is reachable by all staff on
downstream.
stack tailings as opposed to a
foot within 30 minutes of an
downstream construction dam
audible warning.
at the Mara Rosa project.
“I think you’re going to see Brazil leading the world in
In Amarillo’s case, the
switching to dry stack tailings.
Brazil’s mining sector was
permitted location of its
The technology has caught up
rocked by the fatal dam
tailings dam is upstream from
with industry such that you
failure at one of Vale’s iron ore
the open pit, so the company
91
based on different gold prices. The base case used a gold
 �� � � � �    � � � €  €   � ‚ ƒ �   � ƒ „… †‡
price of $1,400 per oz, which predicted an after-tax NPV5 of $183 million and IRR of 25%. However, when using the gold price at the time the study was published – around $1,700 per
ˆ    ‰ ŠŠ „ ‡ Š‹‹� Œ Ž ‘ ‰ ŠŠ „ ‡ ’’ ‹�“ ”Œ
oz – the NPV increased to $360 million and the IRR reached 50%, which represents a big
can use dry stack tailings now
swing in the value of the
on a large plant. We’re going
project.
to build a 7,000 tonnes per day carbon-in-leach (CIL) plant
“We’re highly leveraged to the
and it’s entirely feasible to use
gold price,� says Mutchler. “A
dry stack tailings.�
10% change in the gold price
Leveraging the high gold price
changes our NPV by about 30%. We also showed a middle of the road consensus case
The feasibility study supports
which gave an attractive NPV
an open pit mine and CIL
of $272 million.�
operation over a 9.6 year mine
CEO MIKE MUTCHLER (THIRD IN FROM
like with the gold price, the feasibility compares different
life, with gold production of
In addition, 60% of the project
exchange rates and highlights
102,000 oz annually for the
costs are based locally in
the economic advantages
first four years of the operation
Brazilian reais, which has
available to Amarillo with a
and average annual production
fallen in value compared to the
favourable rate.
of 84,500 oz over the full LoM.
US dollar in recent months and
The study offered three cases relating to project economics,
provided an opportunity for a
“Brazil is getting control of
lower project capex figure. Just
their economy and has a business and industry friendly government in place. But in
92
MINING | AMARILLO GOLD
M THE RIGHT) WITH THE AMARILLO GOLD TEAM
the meantime, I think we
several key individuals
which began in 2016 when
have an opportunity to take
from the local government,
the company was awarded
advantage of that higher
Amarillo received a Protocol of
its preliminary licence (LP)
exchange rate to build the
Intent to build the Mara Rosa
– the first of a three-step
project for a lower overall
project from the governor of
process for all mining projects
capex.”
the State of Goiás in June.
in Brazil – on the back of an environmental baseline
Permitting progress
The Protocol of Intent is
study and a series of fruitful
another key step in the
community meetings.
Following a formal digital
project’s progression through
meeting in May involving
the permitting timeline,
93
“Mara Rosa is a brownfield site
which is around 10 km from
model. Amarillo completed
and so there used to be mining
the mine. 10,000 people live
this work and applied for the
jobs in the town of Mara Rosa,
here and there is no other
licence back in December
“We think we’ll lock in the construction financing in September or October. That roughly lines up with when we expect to receive the LI.”
94
major industry, so they want
2019, and expects to receive
to see the mine reopen and
the permit at some point in Q3
jobs come back into the
of this year.
community. We learnt this
The LI will give Amarillo the ability to build and commission the plant, with the final operating licence (LO) awarded after a formal inspection of the plant takes place once it reaches commercial production.
during public meetings in 2016 and have maintained good local support since then.” The next step of the process is the installation licence (LI), which requires basic engineering and a financial
MINING | AMARILLO GOLD
Mike Mutchler, Amarillo Gold president and CEO
The home straight Amarillo is shaping up well for this next crucial phase of development at Mara Rosa. The company is working with Auramet International on project financing and evaluating different debt-equity ratios for the construction period.
in April next year, following
same time, the company will
the end of the rainy season.
drill some of its 22 targets at the Lavras do Sul project,
“From then it will take 15
which Mutchler believes will
months to complete the
eventually become a multi-
plant. So, we’ll be ready to
million oz district. The future
commission the plant in mid-
is bright and golden for
2022, with first commercial
Amarillo in Brazil.
production by the end of the year.”
“We think we’ll lock in the
Alongside this, Amarillo will
construction financing in
also be undertaking regional
September or October. That
exploration at Mara Rosa
roughly lines up with when we
and extensional drilling at
expect to receive the LI. This
the Posse Deposit to further
will allow us to break ground
grow the resource. And at the
95
HUM R
More s
98
MINING | HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES
MMINGBIRD RESOURCES
significant news flow from one of West Africa’s most exciting gold firms
99
Regular readers of RGN will be very familiar with AIM-listed gold explorer and producer Hummingbird Resources by now. This publication has been following the company’s West African story since 2016, when it had only then completed a definitive feasibility study (DFS) for the Yanfolila gold project in Mali, having pivoted away from its original exploration asset in Liberia. Over the last four years, Hummingbird has delivered the Yanfolila mine on-time and on-budget, transforming itself from an explorer to a producer in the process. After reaching nameplate capacity in early 2018, the highly flexible team skilfully navigated operational challenges at the mine in 2019 and boosted throughput through the addition of a second ball mill, all while maintaining a prominent position in the local Sikasso region through a series of generous community development programmes. 2020 has been another year of significant news flow for Hummingbird, despite the worrying emergence of a global pandemic that has posed a challenge not just to the company’s finances but more importantly to its stakeholders.
“There’s no doubt it’s been very challenging,” says managing director Dan Betts. “We operate a remote mine in a remote jurisdiction and Mali’s borders have been closed for some time, which has given us a lot of supply chain and logistics issues. “We’ve had to increase our inventory of spares, fuel and supplies so we can sustain unforeseen events, but when things do go wrong it’s hard to get parts to site and this has a cost implication for the company.” However, Betts believes that by far the biggest challenge posed by COVID-19 has been maintaining morale and managing fatigue on-site at Yanfolila. The pandemic has dictated a stricter focus on employee health and safety, which has meant changing shift patterns from normal with time off to an intense 15-week spell on-site for many staff.
100
MINING | HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES
101
of the Kouroussa Gold Project
going so well, but it’s been
Going into Guinea
a tough ask for our team.
Despite these significant
Cassidy Gold Corp in June,
Another challenge has been
impediments to
moving into a third West
not knowing. You can’t really
Hummingbird’s regular
African jurisdiction in the
plan in this time, so it’s been
operational and corporate
process.
a case of reactive planning
rhythms, the company has
depending on what rules
remained active in the market
governments have thrown at
and announced the acquisition development asset in Guinea’s
“It’s amazing they’ve kept
us.”
10 2
in Guinea from junior explorer
The deal for this near-term prolific Siguiri Basin perfectly
MINING | HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES
aligns with Hummingbird’s
per year. This bracket sounds
little gem in that respect.”
strategy of building a high
great on a spreadsheet but it’s
grade, high margin gold
actually very hard to find this
Kouroussa has a mineral
producer in West Africa and
type of project which is slightly
resource of 1.18 million oz of
it complements the Yanfolila
sub-scale for the majors and
gold, which Hummingbird has
mine in more ways than one.
the mid-tiers, but big enough
applied significant dilution
to be a substantial employer
to, but is still returning head
“We were aiming for a project
and revenue generator for us.
grades at over 3 g/t gold
with a production profile of
The Kouroussa project was a
according to Betts. “There
around 100-150,000 ounces (oz)
103
HUMMINGBIRD
were some absolutely knock
flowsheets and process plant
RESOURCES
out drill holes there and I
design and even service
think the exploration potential
providers as they are in the
is huge as well,” he says. First
same broad geographic region
gold is expected in under two
in West Africa.
AT A G L A N C E
years, when the mine will
STOCK TICKER AIM:HUM
MARKET CAPITALISATION
£101.5 million (as of June 24, 2020)
aj
produce around 100,000 oz per
“We can take a lot of synergy
annum.
from everything we have done at Yanfolila and transport it
In addition, there exist
across to Kouroussa, which
several similarities between
should help us build the mine
Kouroussa and Yanfolila, in
very effectively. We have kept
terms of the scale of both
the same project team together
projects, the metallurgical
from Yanfolila and after the second ball mill, this is the
1 04
MINING | HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES
105
1 06
MINING | HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES
third build that project team
it hosts plenty of major mining
there is no need to cross land
will work on.”
companies as a result.
borders to get on-site.
A mature mining sector
For Hummingbird, Guinea
“In terms of physical security,
represents a new political
Guinea is slightly more stable
While not as mature as Mali’s
environment – which always
than Burkina and Mali at the
gold sector, Guinea is by no
takes time to acclimatise
moment. I think it’s a good
means a fledgling mining
to. However, Betts believes
time to enter, certainly in
jurisdiction. Thanks to its
this adaption comes with
terms of gold exploration
world class bauxite and bulk
no significant risk. In fact,
around the Siguiri gold
commodities industries,
working in Guinea may
belt. There have been some
the country has established
actually be smoother as the
amazing drill holes come out
infrastructure, a strong
country has its own port and
recently from the Australian
understanding of mining and
juniors and I think there is
1 07
DAN BETTS, HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES MANAGING DIRECTOR
10 8
MINING | HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES
going to be a lot of activity in this part of Guinea over the next 10 years.” Hummingbird is already busying itself at the Kouroussa project crossing Ts and dotting Is in terms of permitting and government approval for the change of hands. The company is in dialogue with the government and is pleased to have received early support from the authorities. “They [the government] seem very supportive of Hummingbird’s involvement and I don’t foresee any problems, so the team is now working on refining the detail and the scope of the plant.” Throughout the remainder of the year, the company plans to refine the Kouroussa feasibility study and enlarge the scope of the plant, making it more comparable to the Yanfolila operation. “We’re imagining a circa 1-1.2 million tonnes per year plant,
109
Dan Betts, Hummingbird Resources managing director
two-stage crushing, CIL gravity
presented problems due to its
while funding all other costs
circuit producing in the region
vast scale.
during the two-year period,
of 100,000 oz per year,” Betts
earning a 49% interest in the
envisions. “Hopefully we will
“It’s going to be a huge
be ready to start construction
project. Remember the first
at the beginning of next year.”
164 drill holes we did all hit
The agreement should also
mineralisation. There is so
unlock a huge amount of value
much gold there to be found,
for Hummingbird’s investors,
but we felt it needed someone
according to Betts. “When
with a longer-term mindset
ARX lists in Canada it will
Also in June, Hummingbird
to do more exploration and
be a separate entity with a
sealed an earn-in agreement
expand the project. That’s what direct look-through value for
with ARX Resources for the
ARX is doing.”
Sharing the workload in Liberia
Dugbe project (its original
project.
Hummingbird’s shareholders. And then at the end of it all,
West African asset). Liberia
Under the terms of the deal,
Hummingbird converts its
has been a tough nut to crack
ARX will spend US$10 million
51% in the project into 51% of
for the company over the past
on further exploration and
the company and maintains
five years and the project itself
commit to completing a DFS
control of the asset. I think it’s a fantastic deal.”
110
MINING | HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES
111
In a third major piece of news
to find ways to promote the
community and healthcare. “I
flow in June, Hummingbird
industry and all the good work
think that is something to be
confirmed its membership
it does. That’s the bit of the
immensely proud of and I’m
with the World Gold Council
relationship I am most looking
looking forward to being a part
– a point of real pride for
forward to; looking at how we
of that with the World Gold
the company’s managing
can promote and be proud of
Council.”
director. “I see the Council as
the gold mining industry.” Betts is quick to highlight the
Assisting the COVID-19 effort
admirable work that the gold
In a particularly fraught
“It has many capable and
sector does around the world
time for all of its people,
respected people looking
in terms of R&D, environment,
Hummingbird has gone
the highest body in the gold industry.
11 2
MINING | HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES
health education, including
resource expansion at
bringing in an additional
Yanfolila as one of its key
site doctor who has provided
annual targets. This has
valuable assistance to our
not changed even after the
medical team in supporting
outbreak of COVID-19 and
Hummingbird’s COVID-19
all of its implications on the
response.
ground.
“In addition, we have made
In early June, the company
donations to the Malian
announced some encouraging
government and local
drill holes from underground
health authorities, offering
drilling at Komana East, and
direct support to our local
there are hopes this could
communities with initiatives
prove up the underground
such as soap manufacturing.
mining concept at Yanfolila
We have been buying
and add long-term oz to the
soap from the community
base load feed for the mine.
soap factories previously
above and beyond in its commitments to the local
established by Hummingbird
“We’re hitting mineralisation
and supplying the local
where we were expecting and
communities to help combat
are also targeting some new
COVID-19 with greater
deposits. Nobody has done any
handwashing and hygiene.
communities in Mali, bringing
greenfields exploration here for seven or eight years, and
in additional public health
“We also continue to supply
we’ve had a couple of good hits
education initiatives while
medical equipment and are
in the early drill holes. It’s a bit
continuing to support existing
in the process of buying some
early to say but I’m optimistic
programmes, including the
testing equipment with the
we will come up with more
hugely successful market
support of the government of
good results,” Betts concludes.
garden and water projects.
Mali.”
“We have put a huge amount of
At the start of the year,
effort into driving community
Hummingbird earmarked
113
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XANA MIN
Tier 1 porphyry copper-g
1 16
MINING | XANADU MINES
ADU NES
gold projects in Mongolia
1 17
During a recent Mines and Money virtual networking event, it was suggested to managing director and CEO of Xanadu Mines Andrew Stewart that there is no better place for an exploration project to be located than Mongolia during a global pandemic. Speaking to RGN shortly after, Stewart reiterates the minimal impact COVID-19 has had on life in Mongolia – the vast and sparsely populated central Asian country where Xanadu is advancing three district scale copper exploration projects in the South Gobi Desert. “I was in Mongolia in January on a site visit with our new chairman [Colin Moorhead] and not long after that we started to see some cases reported out of Wuhan in China. Mongolia quickly closed its borders in response to the outbreak,” says Xanadu’s boss. Mongolia has reported just 140 cases of COVID-19 and 0 deaths at the time of writing in late May, and is one of the only places in the world where society has functioned almost as normal since March, bar the closure of schools.
Getting ahead of the game
its second tier Red Mountain
As a result of Mongolia’s swift
having signed an earn-in
response and subsequent
agreement with the Japan
containment of the virus,
Oil, Gas and Metals National
Xanadu has been able to
Corporation (JOGMEC) for
continue its operations while
the project’s development in
other mining companies
March.
porphyry copper-gold project,
around the world have been forced to step back due to
While on-ground exploration
government-directed lockdown
activities have commenced
orders of varying length and
at the highly prospective Red
severity.
Mountain project, Xanadu has also strived to comply
11 8
In particular, the company
with stringent health and
has been very active of late at
safety procedures to reduce
MINING | XANADU MINES
the potential of the virus
The first half of 2020 included
and definition, Xanadu
spreading on site.
a strategic refresh and
creates liquidity events for
a corporate restructure,
its shareholders and exits
“Our number one priority
providing a laser focus for a
those projects, refreshing its
is health and safety for our
company that has in the past
exploration portfolio to do it
employees and contractors in
been criticised for getting
all over again.
the communities we work in,
distracted from its core
so we have implemented a few
business.
health and safety programmes
Linked to this refresh, nonessential activities in 2020 have
in light of COVID-19. In
Xanadu’s strategy is now
been cancelled or deferred
addition, while ensuring the
clearly that of an exploration
by Xanadu’s leadership
operational integrity of the
company, described as looking
and several cross-control
business, we’ve also been
for globally significant copper-
procedures relating to cash
proactive in making corporate
gold porphyry orebodies in
flow management have also
decisions.”
Mongolia. Following discovery
been implemented. One of the
119
Andrew Stewart, Xanadu Mines managing director and CEO
targets set by the refreshed
globally, so it’s important we
metals’, according to Stewart –
board of directors was a 35%
put that plan into action,”
in delivering long-term carbon
reduction in administration
Stewart stresses.
emission reductions in line
costs in 2020, which would of US$1.3 million on the same
The king of all metals
outlay in 2019.
One unintended effect of
in a range of green energy
the COVID-19 outbreak
applications - from electric
“However, there is still
has been the portrayal of a
vehicles and the lithium-ion
considerable uncertainty in
rapidly decarbonising world
batteries powering them to
the near term environment
following the onset of wide-
wind turbines and solar panels
and we don’t fully understand
scale economic lockdowns in
- has been well documented
what the magnitudes of the
March, and this has further
in recent years, but Stewart is
forward capital investment
highlighted the importance
keen to stress the effectiveness
decisions are going to be
of copper – ‘the king of all
of copper in medical
equate to considerable savings
120
with the Paris Climate goals. The importance of copper
MINING | XANADU MINES
applications, particularly
surgical equipment in my
in preventing the spread of
view.”
deadly bacteria and viruses like COVID-19.
In addition, an early-stage US
X ANADU M INES
AT A G L A N C E
Government-funded study “Another thing the virus has
showed that the virus that
shown us is that we should be
causes COVID-19 remained
moving towards copper in all
viable for up to two to three
medical equipment. Stainless
days on plastic and stainless
steel is often used in medical
steel surfaces, compared to
settings but the material has
just four hours on copper.
many holes that bacteria and superbugs can hide in. Copper
With governments around
just doesn’t have that structure
the world responding to
so it’s a better material for
the economic threat posed
STOCK TICKER ASX:XAM
MARKET CAPITALISATION
US$19.5 million (as of May 22, 2020)
aj
121
1 22
MINING | XANADU MINES
by the COVID-19 pandemic with debt-laden stimulus packages, Xanadu is aiming to position itself strongly for an uptick in the copper market, particularly with its flagship Kharmagtai copper-gold project.
Marching on at Kharmagtai The company delivered a 400% increase in contained copper and a 249% increase in contained gold within the open cut resource at Kharmagtai between 2015 and 2018, with the current mineral resource estimate standing at 598 million tonnes (Mt) containing 1.9 Mt of copper and 4.3 million ounces (Moz) of gold, with a high grade core of 54 Mt at 0.86% copper equivalent. Recent drilling in Q1 further demonstrates the existence of extensive high-grade sections at Kharmagtai, after a pivotal drill intercept at Stockwork Hill revealed that the higher grade zone extends to the East and remains open in that direction.
123
124
MINING | XANADU MINES
is the Tier 1 nature of the
Mongolian drilling excellence
project. We can demonstrate
Since it started exploration
the scale and we have that
drilling in South Gobi,
but continuing to grow the
Xanadu has spent time
high-grade is a focus for
building a local supply chain
us because that’s the early
and the company has been
payback from that material.
vindicated in its decision to
It shows that there’s not only
work with Mongolian drilling
material coming to surface
contractors, not least because
and the open cut pit is going to
it has been able to continue
drive the underground in the
operating during the time that
future.”
Mongolia closed its borders
“One thing we are demonstrating at Kharmagtai
in response to the COVID-19 Mineralisation at Kharmagtai
outbreak.
is hosted by very old terrain that has been dismembered
“We have capacity with a team
by faults, which has meant
in Mongolia and a company
that Xanadu has had to piece
called Litho. They’ve been
the geological puzzle back
able to drill holes down to
together in order to build out
1,500 metres with no issues.
the resource in recent years.
In 25 years of experience I haven’t experienced crews that
However, Stewart says the
are more talented and have
geological team has now built
the skill levels to drill some
up what the business calls
of these holes. They’ve been
‘brownfields knowledge’ at
amazing and provided very
Kharmagtai. “This means the
cost-effective exploration.”
risk of drill holes is reduced, so we can be a lot more predictive
Xanadu completed a scoping
with our drill holes. That then
study for the open pit segment
feeds into very low discovery
of the Kharmagtai project
Spotlight on
Andrew Stewart
Dr Andrew Stewart is an exploration geologist with over 15 years’ experience in mineral exploration, primarily focused on project generation, project evaluation and exploration strategy development throughout Asia and Eastern Europe. Andrew has particular expertise in porphyry copper-gold and epithermal gold deposits, but has worked across a diverse range of commodities. He holds a BSc (Hons) from Macquarie University and a PhD from the Centre of Ore Deposits and Exploration Studies at the University of Tasmania. During his time at Ivanhoe Mines and Vale, Andrew held various technical and management positions in Mongolia and Indonesia and has been involved in several greenfields discoveries. After providing technical and programme management for Vale in Indonesia and Mongolia, Andrew joined Xanadu Mines as chief geologist leading the gold and base metals project generation and evaluation team in Mongolia. Andrew is now managing director and CEO of Xanadu Mines and chairman of the safety, health and environment committee.
costs.”
125
in April 2019, which was an important step in depicting a viable 10-year open cut project with a low strip ratio, along with a healthy NPV and IRR. This undertaking will provide the basis for something special, according to Stewart. “The rationale of the scoping study was purely to show that we already have a project and now can take on a lot more risk as we try to make this into a Tier 1 asset. At the time of the study, the resource was only a quarter drilled, so the scoping study has essentially de-risked our expansion drilling.� Throughout the rest of the year, Xanadu will continue to progress and fund exploration drilling at Kharmagtai, which is located approximately 265 km West of the Red Mountain project. In midMay, the company reported that exploration activities had commenced at Red Mountain in conjunction with JOGMEC.
126
MINING | XANADU MINES
127
Teaming up with JOGMEC
expenditure over the next four
situation that requires a
years.
funding solution to help us
The on-ground programme
through and working with a
has been designed to collect
“While Kharmagtai is the
great group like JOGMEC is a
baseline data over the large
engine room for our growth,
way of doing this.”
district to prepare drill targets,
this JV will allow us to
in anticipation of the discovery
progress Red Mountain in the
As an investment destination
of another Tier 1 copper-gold
background at the same time
Mongolia has had a storied
porphyry deposit.
while protecting dilution of the
history down the years,
company,” Stewart says.
but its reputation has been
Meanwhile, the JV itself will
1 28
unequivocally enhanced by
allow JOGMEC to earn up to
“We’re a small company
Rio Tinto’s construction of the
a 51% beneficial interest in
and have our hands on two
world-class Oyu Tolgoi copper-
the project by funding up to
potential Tier 1 assets in the
gold mine in record time.
$7.2 million in exploration
South Gobi. This is a rare
MINING | XANADU MINES
Oyu Tolgoi was a landmark
change as more mining
in a cornerstone investor for
development that helped
projects go through. We are
Kharmagtai within the next 18
Mongolian authorities
happy working with Mongolian months.
grasp the potential of its
stakeholders to develop these
underexplored copper belts in
projects and I personally feel
“However, there is a lot of
generating strong tax revenues
that working here is easy.”
exploration to do in the
through further mining
meantime and our idea is to
projects. “I think mining is
The next stage
now a dominant part of the
Overall, Stewart is very pleased
a Tier 1 asset, and we have a
economy here and Mongolia
with Xanadu’s progress in
clear and concise strategy to
relies on it.
advancing the Kharmagtai
do that. It’s about putting the
and Red Mountain projects
funding in place now.”
“There is still a slight
during the last 12 months and
perception issue associated
feels that the next stage for the
with Mongolia but this will
company will involve bringing
really advance Kharmagtai to
129
( SAMA RES
A decade after discovering a new base metals compl
13 0
MINING | SAMA RESOURCES
(SOURCES
lex in Côte d’Ivoire, Sama continues exploring
1 31
132
Consulting geologist Marc-Antoine Audet first arrived in Côte d’Ivoire in 1994 as part of a nickel laterite exploration team for former Canadian natural resources firm Falconbridge. He was to spend four years in the country, serving as senior project geologist and director of operations for Falconbridge, during which time he became aware of significant base metals mineralisation in the Achaean craton just West of the Ivorian segment of the Birimian Greenstone Belt – which is predominantly understood as the prolific gold system underpinning West Africa’s mineral wealth. After continuing his exploration career with Falconbridge and its subsequent acquirer Xstrata, Audet returned to Côte d’Ivoire in 2009 and formed Sama Resources to focus on the nickel-copper sulphide opportunities he identified in the 1990s.
The company’s Samapleu
The surface Samapleu nickel-
Nickel-Copper project is
copper-PGE mineralisation
located approximately 600 km
is composed mainly of
Northwest of Côte d’Ivoire’s
disseminated sulphide
economic capital Abidjan,
mineralisation within a
adjacent to the Ivorian-Guinean
well preserved pyroxenite.
border and immediately South
Numerous high-grade nickel,
to the world class nickel-cobalt
copper and PGE veins and
laterite deposits of Sipilou and
stringers are cross-cutting the
Foungouesso.
mineralised pyroxenite.
The mineralisation at Samapleu
“All the metallurgical tests that
is typical of a layered pipe-like
we have done so far, especially
intrusion or conduit‐hosted
with SGS in Canada and with
nickel deposits, similar to
CVMR, have shown that the
intrusions that host some of the
recovery of the ore is very
world’s largest nickel‐copper
good. If we wanted to produce a
In a tumultuous first decade, the fledgling company encountered myriad external challenges including civil wars in Côte d’Ivoire, the Ebola crisis of 2013-16 and a severe slowdown in the resources sector which slashed funding available to junior explorers. However, Sama not only survived these existential threats, but succeeded in discovering a new geological intrusion called the Yacouba Complex, which shows potential for hosting high-grade nickel-copper-cobalt and palladium mineralisation in pods that are yet to be discovered. TSXV-listed Sama has been chasing these massive sulphide reservoirs over the last 10 years, undertaking a series of geophysical and exploration drilling campaigns to enhance its understanding of the host mineralisation at depth.
sources such as the Norilsk
concentrate, we can produce a
deposits in Russia and the
10-11% nickel concentrate and
Voisey’s Bay Mine in Canada.
20% copper concentrate, but we want to go further than that.”
“The ore at Samapleu is president and CEO of Sama.
Publishing the PEA
“Even though it was formed
In typical fashion, Sama
two billion years ago, the
triumphed in the face of
ore has not suffered any
adversity in publishing
alteration, metamorphism or
a preliminary economic
other deterrent activities that
assessment (PEA) for the
sometimes you see in other
Samapleu project in May, while
deposits around the world.”
the world (and Côte d’Ivoire)
very beautiful,” says Audet,
was in the grip of a global pandemic.
MINING | SAMA RESOURCES
1 33
MA AUDET AND PROFESSOR PICARD FROM UNIVERSITY OF FRANCHE-COMTÉ
1 34
MINING | SAMA RESOURCES
The main purpose of the PEA,
“We saw the opportunities
which was prepared by DRA
available with the technology
Global in Canada through DRA
a couple years ago and worked
Met-Chem, was to underline
hard with CVMR to adapt the
the value of the project by
process to the ore that we have
advertising the company’s
at Samapleu,” Audet explains.
ability to produce nickel and iron powders ready for direct
The PEA indicated that
use in various industrial
Samapleu will have an annual
applications.
production rate of 3,900 tonnes of carbonyl nickel powder,
“The idea was to use a well-
8,400 tonnes of carbonyl iron
known technology that
powder and 14,100 tonnes of
was jointly enhanced by
copper concentrate over a 20-
Falconbridge and CVMR in
year mine life.
the early 2000s to produce an iron and nickel nano-powder.
In addition, the study
Thereafter, Toronto-based
estimated a pre-tax NPV of
CVMR further developed on their own the technology. “Using this technology, we can
SAMA RESOURCES AT A G L A N C E
produce a final product which would be sold at 100% value from the project site. This is exciting because instead of producing an intermediate concentrate that we would
STOCK TICKER
have to sell to smelters around
TSXV:SME, OTC.PK:SAMMF
the world, at let’s say 70% of
MARKET CAPITALISATION
the LME value, now we will produce something that will be sold directly to market.
US$29 million (as of June 11, 2020)
j
1 35
“Typhoon™ is an extremely powerful tool that has allowed us to identify several good zones for follow up drilling, which we are doing now” Marc-Antoine Audet, Sama Resources director and CEO
1 36
US$616 million and an IRR
and stringers the company has
of 32.5% against an initial
identified at surface.
capex of $282 million and operational costs of $23.96
Throughout the campaign,
per tonne milled, underlining
Sama has utilised an
the economic viability of the
exploration system called
project.
Typhoon™, having partnered
Turning on Typhoon™
with its proprietor HPX TechCo in October 2017. HPX provides solutions to base
Sama’s 2020 exploration
metals explorers and is owned
drilling campaign aims to
by Ivanhoe Mines founder
seek out the massive sulphide
and mining magnate Robert
reservoirs at depth that host
Friedland. Its Typhoon™
the high-grade nickel-copper-
system is an IP and EM tool
PGE massive sulphide veins
providing depth penetration
MINING | SAMA RESOURCES
Marc-Antoine Audet, Sama Resources director and CEO up to five times deeper than
to conduct 6,000 metres of
Samapleu, which is where we
other equipment.
drilling across three targets by
found mineral resources near
the end of the first half of the
surface.
“This extremely powerful
year, using HPX’s Typhoon™
tool has allowed us to
technology. However, the
“We have a very strong EM
identify several good zones
pandemic has necessitated
target 750 metres below the
for follow up drilling, which
a reduced workforce in
Samapleu current resources
we are doing now,” says
line with social distancing
that still needs to be drilled.
Audet. “We are exploring
measures, which has resulted
We are also currently drilling
almost 50 km of strike length
in a slowdown in exploration
the targets that we defined
along the complex and
activity.
at a newly discovered area
every time we drill targets
called Yepleu, 25 km Southwest
defined by Typhoon™, we hit
Nonetheless, at the time of
of the original discovery at
mineralisation.”
writing Sama had completed
Samapleu. At Yepleu we are
around 4,000 metres of drilling
drilling a hole targeting a
Prior to the outbreak of
and was closing in on its H1
very strong EM target at +850
COVID-19, Sama planned
target. “We have drilled below
137
metres from surface and it is
Commenting on
Samapleu project and so
ongoing.”
Sama’s corporate social
when he returned with Sama
responsibilities in the
in the 2000s, he was able to
region, Audet highlights
call on the same individuals
the importance of local
from his Falconbridge days,
Despite owning its own drill
employment in Côte d’Ivoire,
in particular exploration
rigs, which allows Sama to
where one employee can
manager Bakayoko Bouake,
be flexible and efficient with
support about 20 people on
who is Sama’s representative in
its exploration campaigns,
average. “With this in mind,
Côte d’Ivoire.
the company is proud to
we are really careful with
support the Ivorian economy
regards to giving opportunities
“We’ve been working together
and businesses through local
to local people.”
for at least 20 years now,
Investing in Côte d’Ivoire
procurement of goods and services for the camp.
1 38
so there are very strong Back in the 90s, Audet was
bonds between us and the
based just North of the
local community. It’s a big
family and we don’t have any
the geology, the environment,
recognition of the company’s
expatriates. Everything is run
the social side and more.
local work by the Ivorian head
by Ivorians – the accountants,
of state. “It’s important that we have
“We want to continue doing exploration with the aim of locating these accumulations of high-grade nickelcopper sulphides at depth”
a strong presence in Abidjan
In October 2019, Sama
but also on the exploration
received the highest
site, which allows us to be
distinction award from
efficient and close to the
Prime Minister Amadou Gon
people.”
Coulibaly for the quality of its work supporting the
As alluded to by Audet, Sama
local community around
has elicited support from
the Samapleu project.
the Ivorian government
Audet says it was a pleasant
through its conduct over
surprise to receive this
the last decade, and this is
high level government
exemplified by the recent
140
MINING | SAMA RESOURCES
acknowledgement, and reveals
and power supply.
that two more ministers have
“This is where we are and that is one of the goals, to
since visited the site to witness
“We also want to continue
find these accumulations.
first-hand Sama’s exploration
doing exploration with
We believe it is there, the
progress.
the aim of locating these
geology of the system supports
accumulations of high-grade
this and we will continue to
nickel-copper sulphides
chase those massive sulphide
at depth. What we have
reservoirs,” Audet concludes.
Searching for the source Over the next 12 months,
discovered at surface is only
Sama aims to continue fine
a small shoot of massive
tuning its studies for open
sulphides. But we believe they
pit production at Samapleu
have to originate from a source
and plan for additional
at depth because they are cross
metallurgical studies while
cutting surface mineralisation
holding discussions with the
very sharply.
government relating to off-site infrastructure, including roads
1 41
cvm
Cutting-edge metals refining tec
C O R P O R
1 42
mr
MINING SERVICES | CVMR CORPORATION
chnologies for high-tech industries
R A T I O N
1 43
KAMRAN M. KHOZAN, CVMR® CHAIRMAN AND CEO
CVMR Corporation (CVMR®) is a privately held, multinational metal refining technology provider that was established back in 1986 and is based out of Toronto, Canada. Over the last 34 years the company has progressed into a world leader in metal powder production used in rechargeable batteries, automotive manufacturing, 3D printing, super alloys, electronics, medical instruments and many more high-tech applications. CVMR®’s innovative refining processes are based on what is known as vapour metallurgy, with the company’s name and trademark an acronym derived from Chemical Vapour Metal Refining.
144
MINING SERVICES | CVMR CORPORATION
These processes do not melt
methods used by Norilsk or
the metals as is done in the
Vale,” says Kamran M. Khozan,
usual smelting processes.
chairman and CEO of CVMR®.
This technology can be utilised to refine no less
Clean, green metals refining
than 36 metals including
In today’s world, there is an
nickel, iron, lithium, cobalt,
increasing need for metals
magnesium, manganese,
to be processed efficiently
platinum group elements, rare
and in an environmentally
earths, vanadium, copper,
clean manner, and this
tantalum, gold and also in
need reinforces the value
bold applications such as the
of CVMR®’s processes and
manufacturing of graphite and
technologies.
graphene from CO2. The company’s plants create
Vapour metallurgy
The company is perhaps most
no air, water or soil pollution
accomplished in refining
and are hermetically sealed,
nickel laterite from sulfide
with all the gases (reagents)
and laterite ores and can do
used in the vaporising
so at a lower operational cost
processes recycled. CVMR®’s
than other prevailing refining
technologies are not only
methods used to produce high
neutral to the environment,
value products in a variety of
but also considered one of
industrial products.
the safest refining processes by the United States’ EPA and
Three other major
Germany’s TUV.
CVMR®’s patented vapour
corporations use the chemical
metallurgy processes refine a
vapour refining method:
For these reasons amongst
range of metals by chemically
Norilsk in Russia, Vale/Inco in
several others, CVMR® has
vaporising them close to
Wales and BASF in Germany.
gained a leading position
atmospheric pressure and at
“CVMR®’s technologies are
in metal refining and is
relatively low temperatures.
about 30 years ahead of the
recognised as a company
1 45
“The industries that use metals in their manufacturing process will not be operating the same in the next 10 years. Those manufacturers who do not pay attention to this revolution will not be here in 10 years’ time” Kamran M. Khozan, CVMR® Chairman and CEO
146
offering unique and valuable
globally significant scientific
solutions to the mining and
and commercial projects,
metal refining industry.
working closely with leading academics, government
CVMR® builds its refining
institutions and major
and manufacturing plants on
multinational corporations
a modular basis, enabling a
to deliver cutting-edge metal
substantial degree of flexibility
refining results.
which allows a plant to be built and to grow in size gradually.
Tier 1 clients
In May 2018, CVMR® and Interoceanmetal Joint Organization (IOM)
Throughout the last four
signed a Memorandum of
decades, CVMR® has secured
Cooperation that stipulated
lucrative contracts for
the use of CVMR®’s proprietary
MINING SERVICES | CVMR CORPORATION
technologies for the refining
The organisation also
printing of various three-
of polymetallic nodules (PNs)
works closely with several
dimensional metal objects,”
from the Pacific Ocean floor.
international governments,
says Khozan.
including Russia, South Africa IOM was the first international
and China, offering research
“The industries that use metals
organisation to be awarded
and development services as
in their manufacturing process
an exploration contract by the
well as consultation on designs
will not be operating the same
International Seabed Authority
for various metal refining
in the next 10 years. They
in a 75,000 km² section of
plants.
will be much more efficient,
the Northeast Pacific Ocean.
environmentally neutral and
CVMR®’s technology allows
On the commercial mining
allow customers to have their
for the mining and refining
side of the business, CVMR®
own unique ideas incorporated
of the PNs onboard a ship,
has part ownership in Sama
into the objects they buy.
reducing the production
Resources’ Samapleu Nickel-
cost of these minerals which
Copper project in Côte d’Ivoire
“Graphite and graphene
would otherwise need to be
and has licenced its nickel
will take centre stage in the
transported to land.
refining technology to Sama
manufacture of the equipment
for $5 million. The two have
we use. This is truly a radical
CVMR® has previously been
worked closely to adapt
shift in our understanding of
asked to manufacture US
CVMR®’s refining processes
structures, which have up to
dollar money plates by the
to the ore at Samapleu and
now remained static and rigid.
US Department of Treasury
CVMR also helped DRA Global
Those manufacturers who
and US Mint, under the strict
Engineering to complete
do not pay attention to this
supervision of Treasury
Sama’s PEA.
revolution will not be here in
officials. It also counts
including the Canadian
The future of metals manufacturing
Department of Defense
“We are a generation that
and the US Departments of
has observed revolutions
Defense and Energy.
in telecommunication,
several other governmental departments as clients,
10 years’ time.”
information dissemination technologies, robotics and
abj
147
148
MINING | JOSEMARIA RESOURCES
JOSEMARIA RESOURCES The latest large scale resource project to be delivered by the Lundin Group
1 49
The Lundin Group was founded by Swedish oil and mining entrepeneur Adolf H. Lundin over 40 years ago and is today comprised of 13 publicly traded companies dotted around the global resources sector. In the beginning, the Group was driven forward by Adolf’s passion for natural resources and his desire to supply the world with key commodities. In order to do this, he quickly learned that you need to find large, high quality resources and bring them into production wherever they are to be found in the world and no matter how unfavourable the jurisdiction might appear to be.
“The Lundin Group modus
the business, the Lundin Group
operandi is to find tier 1 assets
has production out of Norway,
that benefit local communities.
Canada, Nigeria, France,
We’re not scared to go to any
Malaysia and Iraqi Kurdistan.
jurisdiction, as long as the local country wants to do it
“In Argentina, we’ve had ups
together. This belief has taken
and downs but my father went
us across the world,” says
there in the early 90s and
Adolf’s grandson and current
found success and we never
president and CEO of Josemaria
left. Overall, it’s a Group where
Resources, Adam Lundin.
a lot of people came together
A truly global resources group
who were passionate about making the world a better place and doing that through
The poster child of the
the extraction of natural
Group’s success in the mining
resources.”
sector is Lundin Gold, after it brought into production the
The Lundin Group’s early
multi-million ounce Fruta del
success in Argentina goes back
Norte gold mine in Ecuador
to the discovery of the Veladero
– a jurisdiction that precious
gold deposit in San Juan
few Western companies had
Province. The project was soon
explored in prior to Lundin’s
acquired by Homestake Mining
discovery.
after fighting off a hostile bid by Barrick, who ultimately bought
Elsewhere, the Lundin
Homestake to get their hands
Group has been involved in
on the prized deposit. Veladero
developing one of the largest
has remained one of the largest
copper-cobalt mines in the
gold mines in the world over
Democratic Republic of Congo
the last two decades.
through Lundin Mining, which
ADOLF H. LUNDIN, LUNDIN GROUP FOUNDER
150
currently operates mines in
On the back of this divestment,
Brazil, the US, Portugal, Chile
the same Lundin Group
and Sweden. On the oil side of
exploration team decided to
MINING | JOSEMARIA RESOURCES
151
stake some ground on the Chile-Argentina border, not far from the Veladero deposit, at the turn of the century. The subsequent exploration campaigns yielded three grassroots discoveries – one being the Josemaría coppergold deposit in 2004. The three discoveries are in the same land package and are located within 15 km of each other, but have since been spun into three separate companies within the Lundin Group. “Josemaría is currently the most defined project. We feel we’ve found the boundary of the resource, so the view now is to get something into production and maybe we can later tie in the other two deposits to form a district that will allow us to be mining here for 50+ years,” says Lundin.
Faith in Argentina In years gone by, international mining companies have been wary of investing in
15 2
LUKAS AND ADAM LUNDIN WITH ARGENTINA PRESIDENT ALBERTO
MINING | JOSEMARIA RESOURCES
an emerging market like Argentina, especially while some of its provinces receive low rankings for attractiveness as a mining jurisdiction. However, it has never been the remit of the Lundin Group to be put off by warnings of this nature. As we have already learned, if a project is large and of a high quality, the group will commit to its development. In the case of San Juan Province, where Josemaría is located in the shade of the resplendent Andes mountains snaking through Northern Argentina, mining is entrenched in the political and economic fibres of the region. “San Juan is where we made the Veladero discovery, so it has producing mines and they understand mining and how it can help benefit the local economy. Before Veladero came into production, San Juan was one of the top five FERNÁNDEZ (MIDDLE), JAN 2020
poorest provinces in Argentina
153
and now it’s one of the top five
At the federal level, Lundin
wealthiest, because of those
and his father Lukas managed
royalties and benefits attached
to arrange a meeting with
to the Veladero mine.”
President Alberto Fernández during a visit to Buenos Aires
In addition, Josemaria’s
in mid-January. “To be able
experience working with the
to meet the president at short
different layers of government
notice and get in front of key
in Argentina thus far has been
government officials shows
overwhelmingly positive.
their willingness and their
On the provincial level, the
want to get mining going.
company has been in close contact with the minister of
“This is their resource. We
mines for San Juan Province,
are happy to help put it into
who was recently appointed
production but they will be
federal minister of mines,
biggest benefiters, followed
reporting directly to the
by our shareholders,” Lundin
president.
asserts.
J OS E M A R I A RES O U R C ES
Entering a new era
AT A G L A N C E
Following the publishing of a robust pre-feasibility study (PFS) at the end of 2018, Josemaria made the decision to plough on with the bankable and full feasibility studies. And so, last year became a
STOCK TICKER
TSX:JOSE, OMX:JOSE
MARKET CAPITALISATION
US$87.2 million (as of April 2, 2020)
j
1 54
transformational year in the development of the company and the project. The company’s name was changed from NGEx Resources
MINING | JOSEMARIA RESOURCES
155
1 56
MINING | JOSEMARIA RESOURCES
(the original entity that made the three discoveries) to Josemaria Resources and Adam was brought in to head up the refreshed organisation, along with several other additions to the board and management team. “We strengthened the board by bringing in Paul Conibear, the previous Lundin Mining CEO. We have Ashley Heppenstall, who is former Lundin Petroleum CEO. We also brought in Ron Hochstein who’s currently running Lundin Gold.” Adam’s father Lukas is also on the board of directors alongside Jack – Adam’s brother and Lukas’ son. Alongside the familial connections, the board retained the services of renowned geoscientist Wojtek Wodzicki - who made the initial Josemaría discovery. “I think it’s important to keep that continuity,” Lundin adds. Christina Batruch rounds off Josemaria’s experienced board
Spotlight on
Adam Lundin
Adam Lundin was appointed president and CEO of Josemaria Resources in September 2019, succeeding Dr. Wojtek Wodzicki, who had been at the helm of the company for over 10 years. Adam is the grandson of Adolf Lundin, the man who founded the Lundin Group over forty years ago. Following in the footsteps of his grandfather and father, Adam chose a career in natural resources and has accumulated several years of experience in capital markets and public company management across the sector. Working across the Lundin Group, Adam is also CEO and a director of Filo Mining Corp and a director of NGEx Minerals and Africa Energy Corp.
157
“We have big camaraderie in the Lundin Group. All the companies are independent from one another, but we learn from each other and we’re always there to support each other”- Adam Lundin, Josemaria Resources president and CEO
1 58
team and is responsible for
Going back to the 2018 PFS,
helping guide the company’s
Lundin was pleased with
sustainability strategy.
the anticipated economic metrics for the Josemaría
On the management side,
project, particularly the capital
Ian Gibbs was brought in as
expenditure (capex) estimate
chief financial officer owing
of US$2.75 billion. This may
to his previous project finance
seem like a large figure in
experience from the oil side
comparison to Josemaria’s
of the Lundin Group and
market cap, but this is a large
with Lundin Gold. With an
scale project that requires
extensive history across global
large scale investment.
engineering companies, Arndt Brettschneider, VP Projects,
Furthermore, Josemaría’s
was also recruited to lead the
production profile is also
feasibility study.
attractive. The operation will
MINING | JOSEMARIA RESOURCES
produce 125,000 tonnes per
Lundin Mining agreed when it
field programme that included
annum of its main commodity
bought the Candelaria mine in
condemnation, geotechnical
copper over a 20-year mine
Chile, as a way of financing the
and water drilling.
life, along with 230,000 ounces
capex for Josemaría.”
of gold and 790,000 ounces of silver per annum over the same period.
Ploughing ahead in 2020
Josemaria is blessed with a supply of groundwater just 1.5 km away from the project – a
The first quarter of 2020
considerable benefit given that
“The gold production is
has been about polishing
just across the border, Chilean
significant and accounts for
elements of the PFS ahead of
authorities insist on miners
around 25% of our revenue
the publish of a full feasibility
building desalination plants
of the mine life. That gives us
study and building towards
for their water supply.
flexibility when it comes to
applying for environmental
project finance. Maybe we will
and social permits. The
After proving its main source
look to the streaming deal that
company conducted a large
of water supply, the company
159
was about to test another basin
times. We’ve collected a lot of
Josemaria has also been
as a future supply source until
our baseline studies, so we’ll
monitoring the local
Argentina was placed in full
be in a good position to apply
environment in tandem with
lockdown to quell the spread
for permits in Q4.”
BGC Engineering over the last
of COVID-19 (coronavirus), so the work was cut short.
1 60
five years, specifically focusing On the social side, Josemaria
on minimising any potential
has engaged with the Lundin
impact on a glacier around
“The original plan before
Foundation and started to run
seven km away in the Andes.
COVID-19 was to finish the
social programmes within
feasibility and publish it in
the community. One aim is
Q3. I think it’s better to start
to eventually assist water
guiding the market towards
treatment facilities in the local
A standout company and project
the second half of the year,
city of San Juan.
The Lundin Group is bullish
just to give us some flexibility
about copper and a believer
as we adapt to these changing
in the forthcoming electrical
MINING | JOSEMARIA RESOURCES
revolution as the world looks
of experience in different
Despite the global
to shift away from fossil fuels,
geographical contexts and
resources sector facing an
and Josemaría is a large scale
economic cycles.
unprecedented squeeze from
mine that is going to stand
the coronavirus pandemic,
out in an environment where
“Lundin Gold was one of
Lundin is quietly confident
not many copper projects of
the first projects we built by
that Josemaria can emerge
an appropriate scale for the
ourselves and we are hoping
stronger. “Downturns is when
projected demand increase are
Josemaria is the next one.
we benefit the most as a
coming to market.
We have big camaraderie in
Group. We can push projects
the Lundin Group. All the
forward and retain key talent
Josemaria the company also
companies are independent
where other companies are
stands out in the junior space,
from one another, but we
sitting idle.”
as its part of a much larger
learn from each other and
family of natural resource
we’re always there to support
companies with decades
each other,” Lundin exclaims.
1 61
16 2
EVENTS | MINES AND MONEY ONLINE CONNECT
reports live from a hugely successful online conference series 1 63
In any given ‘normal’ year, the international mining community would expect to coalesce on a regular basis at the multitude of conferences and roadshows put on by events teams such as Mines and Money. However, 2020 has been far from normal. The COVID-19 pandemic has wreaked havoc on the mining events calendar, with postponements and cancellations a necessary outcome as the world comes to terms with restrictions on travel and large-scale gatherings. For the past 18 years, Mines and Money has run a busy schedule of successful events around the world that have brought miners and the investment community together, but this year the organisers have been pressed to recalibrate their platform along digital lines to provide the same service. The two-part Online Connect series kicked off in the last week of June and aimed to provide a virtual environment for information sharing and deal making in these turbulent times.
164
Asia-Pacific Mines and Money’s maiden digital conference event of the lockdown period took place from June 23-25 and brought together investors from Hong Kong, Singapore, Mainland China, Australia, Japan and Korea. The Asia-Pacific (APAC) show welcomed over 1,500 attendees not just from the aforementioned countries but from more than 60 different nations. Those delegates heard from 126 speakers, including project updates from 40 mining and energy companies, who between them requested more than 2,099 meetings across the week. The show was opened by Queensland Government Minister for Natural Resources, Mines and Energy Anthony Lynham, who encouraged investors to continue being active in Queensland and across Australia.
EVENTS | MINES AND MONEY ONLINE CONNECT
1 65
ANTHONY LYNHAM, QLD MINISTER FOR NATURAL RESOURCES, OPENS DAY ONE OF ONLINE CONNECT APAC
“Queensland’s resources
three with a speech from
rich resource base to deliver
sector has fared better than
newly minted Minister for
the products of the future.
many others as economies
Regional Development and
Together we can harness our
worldwide struggle,” he said.
Manufacturing Glenn Butcher.
strengths to build a stronger
“Oil and coal prices have
state economy,” he said.
taken a massive hit during
Butcher reminded the
this pandemic. Despite this,
audience that Queensland
Queensland continues to
remains a safe, trusted and
attract resources investment.”
friendly supplier of key
The Queensland Government
products for the world’s
Europe, the Middle East, Africa and the Americas
economy.
After a hugely successful
and Trade and Investment
166
APAC event, Mines and
Queensland was the show’s
“Poised, ready and waiting
Money delivered another
principal partner, and helped
our manufacturing sector
three-day digital conference
close the conference on day
is eager to capitalise on our
the following week, this time
EVENTS | MINES AND MONEY ONLINE CONNECT
RONALD-PETER STOEFERLE REVIEWS THE IN GOLD WE TRUST REPORT, EMEA DAY ONE
FIVE-STAR DISCUSSION ON THE GOLD BULL MARKET, EMEA DAY TWO
1 67
KITCO EDITOR NEILS CHRISTENSON INTERVIEWS FRANK HOLMES ON EMEA DAY TWO
focusing on investors from
“Gold stabilises your portfolio
Europe, the Middle East, Africa and insures your losses on the
Neils Christenson on day two,
and the Americas (EMEA).
equity side,” he said. “Gold
legendary investor Frank
is now outperforming the
Holmes discussed the impact
Day one of EMEA started
stock market. We can also
of COVID-19 on the mining
with a timely review of the
see strength versus the bond
investment landscape.
recently published In Gold
market and mining stocks are
We Trust Report by its author
now outperforming gold.”
Ronald-Peter Stoeferle. Among
1 68
chat hosted by Kitco editor
He observed an ‘avalanche of new millennial investors’
several reasons for the rising
The arrival of a strong gold
during the pandemic and
gold price over the last 18
bull market was a constant
more speculative investors
months, Stoeferle highlighted
point of discussion throughout
buying gold stocks. However,
an erosion of trust in central
the three-day show, along
the biggest positive for gold
banks and escalating fiscal
with the impact of COVID-19
stock investors has been the
stimuli to support creaking
on the mining sector this
operative word ‘free cash flow’,
economies.
year. In a fireside afternoon
according to Holmes.
EVENTS | MINES AND MONEY ONLINE CONNECT
“After COVID-19, the S&P 500’s
Since lockdowns came into
day during the EMEA show. It
free cash flow went negative,
effect around the world back
was therefore no surprise to
but not gold – it went positive.
in April, Mines and Money
see attendees from the show
Now you are seeing more
has hosted weekly video
migrate over to 5@5 in great
interest in gold stocks,” he
networking sessions called
numbers to round off the day’s
said.
5@5. The basic premise of 5@5
proceedings.
is to keep up the conversation “Barrick and Newmont have
in the resources sector
The final instalment of the
been very loud in saying they
by bringing together five
trilogy of 5@5 sessions was
have free cash flow available
renowned industry figures in
delivered in partnership with
this year [hence the ability to
front of a live audience.
resources investment expert
pay dividends to generalist
team Dundee Goodman
investors] and I think we’ll go
The sessions have proved to
Merchant Partners, and
into a nice run for the next
be incredibly popular over the
featured no less than five
three to five years where gold
last four months, so the Mines
mining companies and two
stocks will outshine the S&P
and Money team decided to
renowned resources stocks
500.”
run a 5@5 at the end of each
investors.
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MINES AND MONEY 5@5
17 0
EVENTS | MINES AND MONEY ONLINE CONNECT
“We have been delighted with how engaged miners and investors have been, both listening to presentations and using the meetings platform. I am delighted to see so many of our customers embracing the online way of doing business” | Andrew Thake, Mines and Money head of content Dundee’s Robert Nixon set the tone for the discussion by stating that the firm hasn’t seen a more bullish time for precious metals investment than now. “To say we are bullish is an understatement. Our aim is to marry our expertise with exciting junior companies.” A standout presentation was delivered by New Place Dome CEO Max Sali, who struck an enthusiastic tone when discussing the current market for precious metals
171
MINES AND MONEY 5@5 SESSION, DAY THREE EMEA
firms and waxed lyrical about “Over the course his company’s prospects in of the three days we have seen 1,100 the premier gold district of Nevada. “At Kinsley Mountain, meetings take we intend to wake up the place between sleeping giant, and not in a miners and nice way,” Sali quipped. investors, with an average of 18 Moving with the investor meetings times per mining Having reported live from company” Mines and Money’s Online Connect APAC and EMEA Mike Hill, mines and Money head of shows, RGN witnessed a smooth transition to mining sales
172
virtual conferencing which has allowed the mining community to continue collaborating and connecting with investors during these unprecedented times. “Over the course of the three days we have seen 1,100 meetings take place between miners and investors, with an average of 18 investor meetings per mining company,” said Mines and Money’s head of mining
EVENTS | MINES AND MONEY ONLINE CONNECT
MINES AND MONEY ONLINE CONNECT - BRINGING THE MINING SECTOR TOGETHER DURING COVID-19
sales Mike Hill following the
“We have been delighted with
investors and more than
conclusion of the EMEA show.
how engaged miners and
1,800 attendees. As a result of
investors have been, both
this palpable success, Mines
While the organisers will
listening to presentations and
and Money is now taking
no doubt miss the feeling
using the meetings platform,”
the Online Connect global,
of bringing the mining
said Mines and Money head
with rolling time zones for its
community together under
of content Andrew Thake. “I
online meeting platform at the
one roof at its conferences
am delighted to see so many of
start of September. Stay close
around the world, by moving
our customers embracing the
to RGN for further information
the events online investors
online way of doing business.”
on this exciting development.
are no longer constrained by geographic bounds, enabling
Over the two-week period,
miners to actually benefit from
the APAC and EMEA
a larger investor base.
shows attracted 79 mining companies, 900 active
arj
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EVENTS International Mining and Resources Conference (IMARC) + EXPO Where global mining leaders connect with technology, finance and the future October 27-29, 2020, Melbourne, Australia IMARC is set to return to Melbourne at the end of October for its seventh year, having quickly grown to become the largest international annual mining event in Australia. Powered
build on a stellar event in 2019 which welcomed 7,000 attendees from more than 100 countries, with a total of 4,600 meetings requested through IMARC Connect. Key themes in 2020 will be collaboration
by Beacon Events, the organisation behind the hugely successful Mines and Money series, IMARC will hope to
and engagement, commodity trends, ethical investment and the clean energy transition.
Register Here
Africa Oil Week Fuelling the future of African energy 02-06 November, 2020 Cape Town, South Africa Brought to you by the Hyve Group – the company behind the Investing in African Mining Indaba - Africa Oil Week is still going ahead as planned in November despite the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on large scale gatherings and business conferences. The 2020 event will deliver a range of new offerings for attendees,
Register Here
174
including a central networking hub, OFS technology showcase and a revamped PetroAfricanus gala dinner. In addition, Total chairman of the board and CEO Patrick PouyannĂŠ has been confirmed as a speaker, with further speaker announcements to follow over the coming months.
EVENTS
Mining, oil & gas and renewable energy events from around the world
Mines and Money London The number one global event portfolio for mining investment returns to London December 01-03, London, UK Mines and Money London is one of the most popular events in the mining calendar, and the 2020 event is likely to be even more eagerly anticipated as other international conferences in the Mines and Money series face cancellation due to the COVID-19 outbreak. As it stands, Mines and Money will return to the UK capital for its 18th year and aims to
attract over 2,000 attendees, including 600 investors and 150 mining companies ranging from exploration juniors to established producers and majors. Participating gives you access to the exhibition, the agenda and the Mines and Money Connect meeting planner.
Register Here
RE-Source 2020 European platform for corporate renewable energy sourcing December 09-11, Amsterdam, Netherlands RE-Source claims to be the world’s largest gathering of renewable energy buyers and suppliers – and it will return to Amsterdam at the end of the year. In 2019, there were over 900 registered participants, many of which took part in peer-to-peer workshops and business-to-business matchmaking meetings. The event also provided speakers
and support from the highest political levels in the EU. This year, RE-Source has pledged further B2B matchmaking activities, deep dive breakout sessions and extended meetings to include more diverse buyer and supplier groups. The last two RE-Source events sold out in advance, so be sure to have it in your calendar.
Register Here
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