CLIMATE RESILIENCY & THE LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN (LRTP)
Aileen Boucle’, AICP
Franchesca Taylor, AICP
September 7, 2023
Audience Poll
By show of hands, who do we have in the audience?
• Public v. Private Sector
• State v. MPOs v. Other
Who has worked on Long Range / Metropolitan Transportation Plans before?
• Who is incorporating Resiliency work in these plans?
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Purpose & Discussion Points
1. Overview of 2050 LRTP Effort
The purpose of this study is to:
2. Climate Resiliency Study Tasks
a. Prioritized List of Vulnerable Infrastructure
b. Alternative Fuels Research
3. Incorporating Resilience in the LRTP
4. Next Steps
5. Questions
• Tackle Climate Crisis (Federal PEA)
• Create strategy for analyzing vulnerable infrastructure in MPO Federal documents
What is the LRTP?
• Federally mandated for Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs) with populations of >50K residents
• Min 20-year horizon, Updated every 5 years
• Performance – Driven & Outcome-based
2050 LRTP Cost Feasible Plan
Transportation Improvement Program (TIP) - TPO
Transit Development Plan (TDP) - DTPW
Transportation Master Plan - DTPW
Strategic Intermodal System (SIS) Plan - FDOT
Other Partner Agency Plans
Priority I (FY ‘25-30) Priority II (FY ‘31-35) Priority III (FY ‘36-40) Priority IV (FY ’41-50)
Diversity of People 38% Parks / Open Spaces/ Beaches 47% Nightlife /Cultural Spaces / Sports 0% Robust Economy 5% Other 10%
2050 LRTP Survey Responses
2050 LRTP Survey Responses
DESCRIBE HOW YOU ENVISION MIAMI DADE COUNTY’S TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM IN 2050
(5 WORDS OR LESS)
WHAT ADVANCEMENTS DO YOU ANTICIPATE BY 2050? (BY RANK) ASTERISK (*) DENOTES TIE
1 High Speed Trains
2 Electric / Alternative Fuel Vehicles 3rd Self-Driving
4th* Urban Air Mobility/ Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Increased Telecommuting 4th*
/ Autonomous Vehicles
State and Local Efforts in Climate Resiliency
Miami-Dade Displacement Risk index, 2022
Prioritized List of Vulnerable Infrastructure
2045 Cost Feasible Projects Vulnerabilities
Sea Level Rise
• All 2045 Cost Feasible Projects Mapped against 2050 (Low, Moderate, High) SLR predictions
• 2050 Cost Feasible Projects will run through the same process
• GIS shows visuals, but the project scoring occurs within a spreadsheet
MIAMIDADE TPO
2045 Cost Feasible Projects Vulnerabilities
Extreme Heat
• Average Heat Vulnerability is an average of Heat Hospitalization Vulnerability and Heat Emergency Department Visit Vulnerability.
• All 2045 Cost Feasible Projects mapped with extreme heat vulnerability predictions
• 2050 Cost Feasible Projects will run through the same process
MIAMIDADE TPO
2045 Cost Feasible Projects Vulnerabilities
Social Vulnerability
MIAMIDADE TPO
Sea Level Rise
Prioritization of Vulnerable Infrastructure
Social Vulnerability
2045 Cost Feasible Projects Rankings
Scoring Matrix – Project Lines
Scoring Matrix – Project Points
MIAMIDADE TPO
Sea Level Rise (2050 Projections) Heat Vulnerability (2019) Social Vulnerability (2021) SLR Projection Probability of Occurring Points Type Points Type Points Low – Minimal Inundation High 9 5 - High 2 Very High 2 Intermediate Intermediate 6 4 1.5 Relatively High 1.5 High – Major Inundation Low 3 3 1 Relatively Moderate 1 None 0 2 0.5 Relatively Low 0.5 1 – Low 0 Very Low 0 Up to 9 points Up to 2 points Up to 2 points
Roadways Impacted by 2050 Projections Hazards
MIAMIDADE TPO
Next Steps:
Communicate with roadway owners about study outcomes
Consider nexus of heat vulnerability and transit routes
Consider the access points to major roadways for emergency management
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Major Findings/
Vulnerable Solutions Toolkit
Alternative Fuels Market Research
Market Opportunities
• Personal Vehicles
• Freight Vehicles
• County Owned Fleet
• Public Transit
• Micromobility
• Charging Infrastructure
• Technology (TSM&O)
Alternative Fuels
Hybrid, Autonomous
Fuel Efficient, Zero Emissions
CNG, Electric
Electric Scooters, Bikes
Electric, CNG, Solar
TSM&O, Electric, Solar
MIAMIDADE TPO
Florida Electric Vehicle Registration
EVs accounted for ~3% of new vehicles purchased within MDC in 2020.
49% growth from 2020 to 2021
MIAMIDADE TPO
Existing Alternative Fuel Charging Stations Impacted by 2050 SLR Projections
MIAMI
DADE TPO
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Major Findings / Next Steps:
• Alt. Fuel for all: Alternative energy sources can help power charging and signal infrastructure
• Induced Demand: Research shows that AFV numbers increase as its associated charging infrastructure increases.
• Gas Tax Substitution: Other states have piloted programs that track mileage through the odometer to charge a fixed rate based on mileage driven.
Incorporating Resilience in the LongRange Transportation Plan
Performance Measures
MIAMIDADE TPO
Next Steps:
• Resiliency Plan:
• Analyze Vulnerable Infrastructure in 2050 Cost
Feasible
• Communicate with Facility owners for maintenance and operations interventions
• Encourage transition to Alternative Vehicles as demand increases
MIAMIDADE TPO
THANK YOU! Who is incorporating Resiliency work in these plans? …please share your experiences Franchesca Taylor, AICP Program Development Manager Miami - Dade TPO Franchesca.Taylor@miamidade.gov