Today’s presentation
The economics of conversions
construction, management
and regulation
sources
Owen Beitsch
Senior Director of Real Estate Advisory Services
GAI's Community Solutions Group
The Economics of Conversions
Quick takeaways
• Obvious that lower income households spend vastly disproportionate percentages of their income on housing
• Less obvious that they spend significant sums for transportation, leaving nominal dollars for other essentials
• At some level of income, the dollarsbecome more material than the percentages
• Limited dollars suggest some rethinking about the types of housing that are feasible, appropriate, and available
• Impossible to discuss the use of financial resources of households without also discussing developmentcosts. The solutions rarely match shelter needs andincome
• Philosophically, it may be necessary to think about alternative housing forms
consumer units
Consumer expenditures relative to income, 2020
Income
Source: Bureau
than $15,000 $15,000 to $29,999
$30,000 to $39,999
$40,000 to $49,999
$50,000 to $69,999
$70,000 to $99,999
$100,000 to $149,999
$150,000 to $199,999
$200,000 and more
Income before taxes $84,352 $7,489 $22,130 $34,766 $44,719 $59,191 $83,593 $120,944 $171,127 $318,252
Income after taxes 74,949 9,045 24,496 36,692 45,478 58,115 78,164 108,838 146,907 241,675
Wages and salaries
Mean
Share
Average number in consumer unit:
People................................
Children under 18
65,449 2,520 7,495 19,168 28,598 42,929 67,890 102,822 147,778 256,803
33.7 33.9 55.1 63.9 72.5 81.2 85.0 86.4 80.7
1.7 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.2
0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
Adults 65 and 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2
Earners
Housing tenure:
Homeowner
Renter
Average annual expenditures
Mean
Housing
Mean
Apparel and services
Mean
Transportation
Mean
Healthcare
Mean
Labor
Personal
0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2
1.9 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.7
42 56 57 58 62 70 80 86 90
58 44 43 42 38 30
$51,285 $63,592 $83,050 $100,484 $145,402
$1,412 $1,543 $1,827 $2,188 $2,734 $3,883
2,037 2,276 3,405
$1,241 $1,200 $1,616
6,508 7,662 8,997
$7,327 $11,885 $16,539 $27,429
Pensions
Social
$6,847 $11,202 $15,743 $25,906
Consumer expenditures relative to income, 2020
• In the lower income strata, $389 to $541 per month [1.2 to 1.6 vehicles on average] is spent on transportation
• Completelyeliminating transportation costs has the effect of reducing housing costs to about 20-25% for the most adversely challenged populations
• While not likely to reduce all transportation costs, partial reductions suggest: - Locational decisions for housing are important, especially in terms of job/housing relationships and transit corridors - Savings generate opportunities for thoughtful allocations to other essential expenditures
Construction Cost per Square Foot: Density Drives Costs
Apartment Type
Cost per SF, net of land
Construction Cost per Story: Height Drives Costs
Stories Cost per SF Total
3-Story $90 - $240 $3.2 - $3.6 million
4-Story $156 - $240 $4.7 - $5.9 million
Story $180 $270 $7.3 $13.4 million
Story $180 $270 $8.8 $15.5 million
10 Story $180 $270 $10.9 $17.6 million
15-Story $235 - $450+ $20.8 - $37.5 million
20-Story $235 - $450+ $26 - 53.5 million
30-Story $235 - $450+ $36.5 - $80 million
40-Story $235 - $450+ $52 - $160.5 million
50 Story $235 $450+ $78 $267.5 million
Structural Considerations: Complexity Drives Costs
INFILL LOW-RISE MID-RISE HIGH·RISE
Names Duplex, two, three or four-family, garden, walk-up
over 1, 5 over 2, 4 over-2 Tower
Construction type Typically wood Typically wood Wood on concrete or steel podium Concrete or steel
# of Floors 3, up to 6 in older buildings
of Units
4
Typical Circulation Single stair, no corridor Double-loaded corridor, multiple stairs, sometimes elevator
Double-loaded corridor, multiple stairs and egress, elevator
Unlimited by IBC, dictated by zoning, usually 12+
~4 20+ per floor
Smaller floor plate, doubleloaded corridor, elevator, egress stairs
Location Rural, suburban, urban Rural, suburban, urban Suburban, urban Urban
Cost PSF Varied $150 225
250 $225 400+
Does Density Reward Developers? Not Always.
Potential Impacts of Regulation: Not Insignificant.
Cost of
for
Costs when site work begins
Timing is
Pure cost of delay
other
regulation
Development requirements (layout,
the ordinary,
Cost of land dedicated to the
or left unbuilt,
Fees charged when building
Costs of affordability mandates
Complying
Source:
Changes to building codes over
past
Allocation of Total Development Costs
Given the substantive jump in construction costs to accommodate height or units, developers may not build to the maximum height or floor-to-area ratio (FAR) allowed under zoning except in locations where expected rents per square foot are very high.
Source: Brookingstics
Operating Costs/SF: Note Costs of Utilities and Taxes
Final Thoughts: The Form is Often the Solution
• Cost of housing does not match (in most cases) the feasible cost of housing
• Transportation options are a major consideration in affordability
• Costs of delivering private market solutions often reflect density opportunities
• Land costs are a substantial development cost, typically justifying more density, but the advantages of density and height often are lost to higher development costs
• Regulations add to development costs, sometimes prohibitively
• Rents are spiking, but so are many costs that contribute to rent
Ryan HylerStyx Company
Financing, Construction, Management
Castles, Castles, everywhere…. without a place to sleep
Osceola County Made Sense
Market-based solutions to housing issue
The Teale
The Teale
Before and After
The Teale
Before and After
The Teale
Before and After
The Teale
Before and After
The Teale
Before and After
The Teale
Amenities
The Teale
Studio Apartments
Income
and
for Attainable Housing
Entitlement Challenges
Affordability Challenges
• Impact fees - Impact fees in Osceola County – 20% of TOTAL development cost - County doesn’t charge a mobility fee for conversions - School District student generation rate – 35 students per 100 apartments - Currently 4 residents under 18, or 1.3 per 100 apartments - Difference in impact fee payment: - School District fee is $1.176 million for 100 units - Actual impact justifies only $33,000
• Time - Navigating entitlements, authorities, and nuances for each municipality becomes very expensive
Susan Caswell Sustainability Director Osceola CountyPlanning and Regulation
Planning for Housing
Whose housing needs are not being met?
What do they need?
What is local government’s role in providing it?
Tourist
One-person
Single
Elderly
What they need
Smaller homes
homes are
Rental housing
bedroom
afford to buy a home
this income level
Homes near…
of
are
Young, single… Rental, small unit ok
In college… Rental, near school and part-time jobs, roommates or small unit
Working… Can afford more housing as wages increase – rental or first time homeownership
Married… Multiple incomes, move to first-time homeownership
Children… Larger home, school location is a consideration
Move up… Depending on circumstances (income, school, job changes) move to larger home
Empty nest (young old)… Children move out, parents may want to downsize
Old old… Loss of spouse, back to 1-person household, may need assistance with daily activity
This is a continuum representing housing products and services, from homelessness all the way to market rate housing. Relative to the life span continuum at left: in an ideal world, all of the housing needs for the typical life span would be met in the last two market rate types, but they’re not.
This is just the continuum of a normal life span –housing needs differ throughout out lives. But without a continuum of housing types, we’re trying to fit people with vastly different needs into a few products at a few price points. That’s where missing middle comes in.
Motel Conversions
Ordinance Addressing Conversions
Lessons
Motels, Apartments, Conversions
Housing and Community Development Manager
Orange County
Funding Sources
Hotel Conversions
Types of Assistance
• Regulatory –
fee waivers
zoning code,
• Low interest loans and conventional financing (naturally occurring and rent restrictive)
• Grants, low interest loans, and small conventional debt (permanent supportive housing)
Financial
Regulatory Relief
Impact Fee Waivers
Case Study/ Lessons Learned
Projects like this don’t make a profit (not tax credit deals)
Need grants, low-interest
with conventional loans
Need subsidy to keep rents affordable for the residents served (at or below 50% AMI)
Need to identify funding for future capital expenditures, as rental revenue will not be enough
Property can’t be managed solely by regular
it must have a social service