Farm Bureau Press | August 27, 2021

AUGUST 27, 2021 | VOLUME 24 | ISSUE 17

Farm Bureau Press HOW TO WIN AN ELECTION P.O. Box 31 Little Rock, AR 72203-0031

WHAT PAST ATTENDEES HAVE ArFB REQUESTS INPUT SAID ABOUT THEPUBLIC SEMINAR FOR BROADBAND SURVEY “

As you launch your campaign, uncertainty can be paralyzing. This course(ArFB) offers a solid foundational Arkansas Farm Bureau is requesting Arkansans complete an approach to provide stability and anonymous three-question collect information on the state’s accelerate yoursurvey confidence.to Your first steps are important, take this step broadband and cellular networks.

ArFB is requesting input from across the toward success.”

CARLTON WING, North Rock state, no matter theArkansas current quality of Little connectivity or access.

House of Representatives, District 38

The survey asks for a zip code, download speed and upload speed. The survey Running for office for the first time is can be completed at bit.ly/connectarkansas.

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so overwhelming! The ArFB election seminar breaks down a campaign into All input is requested to be complete by Sept. 3 as stages, outlines specific tasks for the and the support team to Summit. will be used at the candidate Arkansas Connectivity follow with measurable results to keep you on track to a Winning Campaign.”

the information collected

DELIA HAAK, Centerton Arkansas House of Representatives, District 91

The Arkansas Connectivity Summit will include sessions on the history of broadband connectivity in The How to Win an Election seminar the state, best practices from was a great confidence-building activity for me during other states, mobile phone my first run for elected office. I received useful information connectivity challenges, and strategy. Also, the about campaign information on Arkansas campaign technology and competition laws and election ethics was invaluable.

A bigbe ‘thanks’ to Farm Bureau and the issues. There will also State Chamber!” an official joint legislative SUSAN ANGLIN, Bentonville Benton County Quorum Court committee meeting on site.

Event sponsors include the Arkansas State Chamber of Commerce/Associated Industries of Arkansas, the Association of Arkansas Counties, Arkansas Municipal League and the Arkansas Hospital Association.

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To register for the summit, visit www.arfb.com/events/event/79/ and use the code “ARFB” to waive the fee. Attendees must register by Sept. 1.

For more information about the Summit or to inquire about sponsorship opportunities or participation, contact Philip Powell, Arkansas Farm Bureau assistant director of local affairs and rural development, at 501-366-0110 or philip.powell@arfb.com.

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How to Win an Election Seminar, page 2

2021 A TWO-DAY SEMINAR sponsored by arkansas farm bureau & the arkansas state chamber of commerce/ associated industries of arkansas

OCTOBER 12-13 in LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS FARM BUREAU CENTER 10720 KANIS ROAD LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS 72211

EPA Revokes Food Tolerances of Chlorpyrifos, page 2

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Arkansas FarmBureau

ArFB

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HOW TO WIN AN ELECTION TWOArkansas Farm Bureau and the Arkansas State Chamber of Commerce/Associated Industries of Arkansas will host a two-day seminar on "How to Win an Election." The campaign management seminar will be Oct.12-13 at the Arkansas Farm Bureau office in Little Rock.

HOW TO WIN AN ELECTION P.O. Box 31 Little Rock, AR 72203-0031

Candidates, their spouses and campaign managers are all urged to attend. The seminar is open to any candidate regardless of party affiliation who is interested in learning how to run a successful campaign and in becoming a winner. This program has been developed for Farm Bureau with the assistance of staff members of the Democratic and Republican parties. Over the years, 75-percent of candidates who have attended and participated in the seminar have won their race.

Hempstead Call | Hempstead County Farm Bureau was proud to make a “Back to School” $500 donation to The Call of Hempstead County. The donation was divided into gift cards that will be given to foster families to provide clothing and schools supplies for children in the county.

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Those who are thinking about running for public office should

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Johnson Co. Scholarships | Earlier this month, Johnson County Farm Bureau presented its 2021 scholarships. Pictured from left are Johnson Co. Farm Bureau Agency Manager Marty Wilkins; Johnson Co. Farm Bureau board member Blair Griffin, scholarship recipients Hannah Cravens; Olivia Holman; Ryan Clark; Brady James and Johnson Co. Farm Bureau President Mark Morgan.

During the first two weeks of September, a sample of small grains growers around the country will receive Agricultural Survey questionnaires from the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS). The agency is taking a comprehensive look into the 2021 production and supply of small grains, including wheat, oats, barley, and rye.

“The small grains industry is an important part of Arkansas’s agriculture. It is crucial for all involved to have accurate data about this key sector of the economy,” said Eugene Young, Director of the Delta Regional Field Office. “We will contact more than 1,400 producers in Arkansas to accurately measure 2021 acreage, yield, and production for small grain crops. The data collected from this survey will also help set small grain acreage, yield, and production estimates at the county level, which will be available in Quick Stats on the NASS website this December.”

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Policy Development | Policy Development (PD) meetings across the state are underway. Monroe County hosted a multi-county PD meeting Aug. 19, where leaders from Lee, St. Francis, Phillips, and Prairie also attended to discuss issues and policies impacting farmers and ranchers in the area.

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NASS will contact Arkansas farmers and ranchers to gather information on their 2021 small grain production as well as the quantities of corn, soybeans, all wheat and oats stored on the farm. Producers are encouraged to respond conveniently online at agcounts.usda.gov. The online questionnaire is fast and secure. They may also return their completed surveys by mail. Farmers who have not responded by Aug. 29 may receive a phone call from a NASS representative who will

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DAY SEMINAR seriously consider this seminar.

Attendees will learn how to select a campaign theme and issues, identify voters, target precincts and special interest groups, develop a calendar to WIN, and more. Budget preparation, fundraising, using a finance committee, the role of the campaign manager, working with news media, and other topics will be discussed. Video and a computer simulated case study will allow participants to test techniques, tools and methods.

For more information, or to register, visit https://bit.ly/3egqomd or contact Jeff Pitchford at 501-228-1625 or jeff.pitchford@arfb.com.

A limited number of spaces are available and interested participants must register online by Oct. 8.

EPA REVOKES FOOD TOLERANCES OF CHLORPYRIFOS The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) announced it will stop the use of the pesticide chlorpyrifos on all food. In a final rule released this week, EPA is revoking all tolerances for chlorpyrifos, which establish an amount of a pesticide that is allowed on food. In addition, the agency will issue a Notice of Intent to Cancel under the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act to cancel registered food uses of chlorpyrifos associated with the revoked tolerances.

The plan is in response to the Ninth Circuit Court’s order directing EPA to issue a final rule in response to the 2007 petition filed by the Pesticide Action Network North America and the Natural Resources Defense Council.

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help them fill out the survey or schedule a time to do so.

“NASS safeguards the privacy of all respondents, by keeping responses confidential and publishing the data in aggregate form only, ensuring that no individual operation or producer can be identified,” stated Young. “We recognize that this is a hectic time for farmers and ranchers, but the information that producers provide becomes useful data for decision-making on the farm, federal farm programs, and the markets. I urge them to respond to this survey and thank them for their time and cooperation.”

NASS will analyze the survey information and publish the state and national results in the annual Small Grains Summary and quarterly Grain Stocks report on Sept. 30. These survey data also contribute to the USDA’s World Agricultural Outlook Board’s monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE).

Although chlorpyrifos was already undergoing registration review, EPA took this step to adhere to the court order. EPA will continue to review non-food uses of chlorpyrifos, but all food use-registrations of chlorpyrifos will be canceled.

In response to the action, AFBF President Zippy Duvall said, “Farmers and ranchers care deeply about the quality of our crops-nothing is more important that producing safe, nutritious food. So, we must be guided by the most reliable determinant of safety, which is science. This administration has repeatedly made commitments to abide by science, yet the EPA decision on chlorpyrifos strays from that commitment and takes away an important tool to manage pests and insects. We urge EPA officials not to make determinations on pesticides outside of the regular registration review process already underway. The integrity of the registration review process and commitment to using sound science must be prioritized in a decision of such far-reaching consequences.”

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MARKET NEWS as of August 25, 2021 Contact Brandy Carroll 501-228-1268 brandy.carroll@arfb.com Corn In the first survey-based production report of the year, big changes were seen in the corn balance sheet. The U.S. average corn yield estimate was cut to 174.6 bushels per acre, down from 179.5 bu/ac, which resulted in a 415 million bushel cut to the production estimate. That cut was a surprise to the market, as was the projection for a 14.8 billion-bushel corn crop. Beginning stocks for 2021-22 were cut 35 million bushels.

Some of that decline was offset by a decrease in the export estimate, but carryout for 2021-22 was pegged at 1.242 billion bushels, down 200 million bushels from last month.

However, with supplies falling more than use, ending stocks were pegged down 190 million bushels to 1.2 billion. The season-average on-farm price was raised 15 cents to $5.75/ bushel.

Overall, the market reaction has been negative in a “buy the rumor, sell the fact” way. December has found support at $5.30 for now, as weekly crop ratings showed a 2 point drop in the percentage of the crop rated good to excellent and provided some support.

Rice Total rice production was pegged at 197.4 million cwt, as yields were slashed 76 pounds to 7,544 pounds per acre. All rice imports were lowered by 1 million cwt, while exports were increased 91 million cwt, as higher long-grain exports more than offset lower medium- and short-grain exports. Sales to Iraq were cited by USDA as a reason for the increase in long-grain exports. Domestic and residual use was lowered by 2 million cwt to 151 million cwt on smaller crop 4

size and reduced imports. Projected 2021-22 ending stocks were reduced by 4 million cwt to 37.3 million, down 15% from 2021-22. The allrice season-average farm price was increased 10 cents to $14.50/cwt.

Carryover weakness from other markets has had an impact here, and harvest pressure has also begun to affect futures.The harvest is about halfway complete in both Louisiana and Texas and just getting started in Arkansas. The September contract has support near $13.

Soybeans Changes in the soybean balance sheet were less dramatic, with production forecast to be 4.34 billion bushels, down 66 million on slightly lower yields. The yield projection is 50 bushels per acre, down 0.8 bushels from last month. Soybean crush was reduced 20 million bushels and exports were reduced by the same amount. Ending stocks for 2021-22 were pegged at 155 million bushels.

The on-farm average price was unchanged from last month at $13.70.

Technically, the November contract has broken out of its uptrend, but has found support at $12.77 for the time being.

Cotton U.S. cotton production was pegged at 17.3 million bales. Exports were reduced 200,000 bales due to the smaller supply, and ending stocks were reduced 300,000 bales, or 17% of expected use. The U.S. season-average price for upland cotton was raised 5 cents per pound to 80 cents, the highest level in a decade.

Technically, December cotton has retreated from the recent contract high of 96.71 cents. That contract high is also a seven-year high for cotton futures on a front-month basis. The market remains in an uptrend and is building some support around 92 cents.

Cattle, Hogs, Poultry In the August report, USDA reduced its total meat production forecast for 2021 on lower than expected beef and pork production. The decline in beef

A PUBLICATION OF THE ARKANSAS FARM BUREAU FEDERATION

production reflects lighter expected carcass weights due to a higher expected proportion of non-fed cattle being slaughtered through the end of the year. The pork production forecast is reduced on a slower expected pace of slaughter for the remainder of the year and lighter carcass weights.

Broiler production was raised from last month as higher-than-expected second-quarter production more than offset a lowered second half-forecast.

Beef imports were raised on recent trade data and expected firm demand from several key trading countries.

Beef export forecasts for 2021 were lowered on slowing global demand for U.S. beef. Broiler and egg export forecasts for 2021 were raised.

Dairy Milk production forecasts for 2021 and 2022 were reduced from last month on lower expected dairy cow numbers. For 2021, the fat basis import forecast was raised on firm demand for butterfat and cheese imports, while the fat basis export forecast was reduced. The skim-solids basis import forecast for 2021 was raised primarily on higher imports of milk proteins while the export forecast was raised primarily on stronger expected sales of whey and lactose.

For 2022, the fat basis import forecast is raised on continued strong import demand for butter and butterfat, while the fat basis export forecast is raised as U.S. butter prices are expected to be competitive.

For 2021, butter, cheese, nonfat dry milk, and whey prices are expected to be lower on relatively weak demand. Dairy product prices are also reduced for 2022 reflecting continued relatively soft domestic demand and higher forecast beginning stocks. The 2021 and 2022 Class III and Class IV price forecasts are reduced from the previous month on lower forecasted dairy product prices. The 2021 all milk price is forecasted lower at $17.95 per cwt. The all-milk price forecast for 2022 is $17.85 per cwt.

EDITOR Ashley Wallace ashley.wallace@arfb.com