Presentation: Planning Methods - Measuring Sprawl in College Station

Page 1

By: Yi Zhang, Avinash Shrivastava, Matt Sandidge, and Andy Schneck


Study Area ď‚ž

South College Station and southern tip of Brazos County. Land Use of Study Area 7.3% 1.6%

8.2% 0.4%

9.9%

72.5%

Single Family Residence MultiFamily Residence Farm and Agricultural

Source: Brazos County Appraisal District


Data Normalization ď‚ž

In order to compare 1990 Census Data to 2000 Census Data we incorporated 3 tracts into our study area.


Population 67 % population increase from 1990-2000  Brazos County increased in population by 25%  Accounted for 45% of the total growth in the Brazos County 

Population in Study Area

34,618 35000

30000

25000

20,787

20000

15000

10000

5000

0 1990

2000


2000 Population Distribution Population 2000 7,627

8000 7000 5,829 6000

5,313

4,985

5000

3,885

3,928

4000

3,051

3000 2000 1000 0 18.01

18.02

20.01

20.02

20.03

Study Area Tracts

20.04

20.05


•As you move from the center of the city and away from the university the population density decreases significantly


Household Characteristics 2000

Families

Non-families

Total Households

Percent of Nonfamilies

Percent of Families

Study Area

8,146

4,841

12,987

62.72%

37.28%

Brazos County

30,390

24,812

55,202

55.05%

44.95%

1990

Families

Non-families

Total Households

Percent of Nonfamilies

Percent of Families

Study Area

5,005

2,852

7,857

63.7%

36.3%

Brazos County

24,903

18,822

43,725

57.0%

43.0%

Households Per Acre

Housing Units Study Area 1990

8591

Study Area 2000

13762

•Study area for both 1990 and 2000 has a higher percentage of families households •The number of households per acre increased by 65% •The number of housing units increased by 60%

0.114 0.08

0.069

0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0 1990 Study Area

2000 Study Area


Renter vs. Owner 2000 Tract

Percent Owner Occupied Percent Renter Occupied

18.01

43.38%

56.62%

18.02

45.26%

54.74%

20.01

92.66%

7.34%

20.02

79.49%

20.51%

20.03

86.74%

13.26%

20.04

84.04%

15.96%

20.05

37.23%

62.77%

Total SA

60.00%

40.00%

Brazos Co.

45.58%

54.42%

1990 Tract

Percent Owner Occupied Percent Renter Occupied

18

36.44%

63.56%

20

61.86%

38.14%

100.00%

0.00%

Total SA

51.67%

48.33%

Brazos

34.97%

65.03%

2005


•Three of the new housing additions in south College Station.


Age and Sex of Study Area •From 1990 to 2000 the 21-39 age category decreased and the 40-64 category increased. Study Area 1990

Study Area 2000

7000

7000

6000

6000 43%

5000 4000

43%

male 19%

2000

19%

female 3% 4%

1000 21-39

25% 25%

40-64

4000 male

3000 5% 7%

2000

25000

under 21

30000 38%

40-64

65 or over

37% 37%

39% 35%

25000

20000

20000

15000

male

15000

female

10000

15% 17%

10000 5%

5000

21-39

Brazos County 2000

43% 37% 37%

8%

0

19% 20%

male 5%

5000

8%

0 under 21

21-39

40-64

female

0

65 or over

Brazos County 1990 30000

33%

1000

0 under 21

34%

5000

35% 34%

3000

36% 35%

65 or over

under 21

21-39

40-64

65 or over

female


Age By Tract for 1990 and 2000 2000 Census

•Study area average is similar to the county average •Tract 20.05 is much younger (closer to campus)

Median Age

18.01

24.6

28.64

18.02

24

28.52

20.01

39.6

35.36

20.02

31.4

31.22

20.03

34

32.71

20.04

37

35.09

20.05

22

27.6

26 24

30.28 29.55

Study Area

•Tract 20.03 and 20.04 are older than average (suburban growth)

Average Age

Brazos County 1990 Census

Median Age

Average Age

18

24

26.29

20

27

29.51

2005

42

40.06

25 24

28.01 28.76

Study Area Brazos County


Race Total Population:Race DistributionStudy Area 1990

Total Population:Race Distribution-Study Area 2000 White Alone

90.1

87.2

White Alone

African American Alone

African American Alone

American Indian and Alaska Native Alone Asian Alone

American Indian; Eskimo; or Aleut 4.0

2.7 2.6

Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander Alone

Asian or Pacific Islander 3.2 4.2

0.1

Some Other Race Alone

Other Race Two or More Races

0.0 1.4

Total Population:Race DistributionBrazos County 1990

Total Population:Race DistributionBrazos County 2000 White Alone

74.6

77.8

7.1

0.4 3.5

11.2

White Alone

African American Alone

African American Alone

American Indian and Alaska Native Alone

American Indian; Eskimo; or Aleut

Asian Alone

Asian or Pacific Islander

8.4

10.7 4.1

Some Other Race Alone

Other Race

3.7 0.3

1.9

Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander Alone

Two or More Races

0.1 0.3


Race Distribution Between Tracts 2000 Total Population

18.01

18.02

20.01

20.02

20.03

20.04

20.05

White Alone

30174

86.2%

84.6%

90.5%

87.2%

84.8%

89.2%

88.8%

African American Alone American Indian and Alaska Native Alone

1226

4.6%

3.5%

0.5%

4.8%

3.4%

3.7%

3.8%

140

0.4%

0.5%

0.6%

0.6%

0.2%

0.0%

0.5%

Asian Alone Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander Alone

1465

4.5%

7.8%

5.7%

2.1%

6.5%

0.2%

1.8%

0

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Some Other Race Alone

1122

3.5%

2.9%

1.4%

4.0%

2.4%

5.6%

3.5%

Two or More Races

491

1.0%

0.7%

1.3%

1.3%

2.6%

1.3%

1.6%

1990 Total Population

18.00

20.00

2005

White Alone

18733

89.4%

91.3%

100.0%

African American Alone

833

3.6%

4.3%

0.0

American Indian; Eskimo; or Aleut

25

0.1%

0.1%

0.0

Asian or Pacific Islander

543

4.1%

1.7%

0.0

Other Race

557

2.9%

2.6%

0.0


Hispanic 1990

2000 Hispanic Population 2000

Hispanic Percent Population 1990 Total Population Hispanic 18

8226

20 2005 Study Area Brazos County

7.57%

12530

7.03%

31

9.68%

20787

7.25%

121862

13.71%

Total Population

Percent Hispanic

18.01

5313

9.35%

18.02

5829

7.21%

20.01

3885

4.45%

20.02

3928

9.78%

20.03

4985

5.56%

20.04

3051

11.11%

20.05

7627

9.31%

34618

8.09%

152415

17.88%

Study Area Brazos County

Percent Hispanic 17.88% 18.00% 16.00%

13.71% Brazos County

14.00% 12.00% 10.00%

8.09%

7.25%

Study Area

•Hispanic population increase in study area was not as significant as county increase between 1990 and 2000.

8.00%

•Tract 20.04 was significantly higher than average.

6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 1990

2000


Education Level for Persons Over 25 years of age Study Area 1990

Study Area 2000

7000

7000

6000

Below 12th Grade

5000

38.3%

4000

High School Graduate

30.4%

3000

23.0%

Associate/Bachelors Graduate

2000 8.3%

34.3% 33.3%

6000

Below 12th Grade 25.3%

5000 4000

Associate/Bachelors

3000 2000

1000

1000

0

0

Brazos County 2000

30000

39.8%

30000 39.9%

20000 15000

20.2%

22.7%

Below 12th Grade

25000

High School Graduate

20000

Associate/Bachelors

15000

Graduate

10000

17.2% 10000

Graduate

7.1%

Brazos County 1990

25000

High School Graduate

5000

5000

0

0

Below 12th Grade 24.2% 18.7%

High School Graduate 17.3%

Associate/Bachelors Graduate


Income Levels •The study area has both low and high income regions.

Census Tract 15.00 17.00 14.00 16.04 16.03 13.03 13.01 20.05 13.02 10.00 16.01 15.00 16.03 6.04 4.00 7.00 9.00 2.01 3.00 11.00 18.01 2.02 19.00 8.00 18.02 20.04 1.00 20.02 20.03 20.01

Median Income 6250 12437 14612 15511 15947 16101 16736 16840 17688 21917 22248 22708 24815 26250 27409 27650 27866 28918 31288 31831 37773 38578 43056 44395 46295 48727 50432 54952 71438 89059


Occupation Percentage

2000 Occupation by County, Census Tracts 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Mgmt & Prof

Sevice

Sales

Farming, Forrestry

Construction, Extraction

Production, Transportation

Brazos County

39.3

16.4

25.3

0.6

8.9

9.5

Census Tract 1802

53.6

13.5

23.4

0.4

3.2

5.9

Census Tract 2003

60.4

7.5

21.7

0

4.7

5.6

Census Tract 2004

42

13.7

20.5

1.5

16.1

6.2

Census Tract 2005

43.2

16.7

24.5

1.3

7.4

6.9

Percentage

1990 Occupations by County, Census Tracts 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Mgmt & Prof

Sales (Tech)

Service

Farming & For/Fish

Prec Fabrication

Operators & Laborers

Brazos County

32%

33%

14%

2%

8%

10%

Census Tract 18

43%

34%

9%

1%

4%

8%

Census Tract 20

42%

30%

11%

3%

9%

5%


Travel Times and Modes 2000 Brazos County Commuting Patterns

2000 Study Area Commuting Patterns 0.2%

0.4%

1.1% 2.6%

10.4%

Drove Alone Car Pooled Public Transit

85.2%

2.6% 3.3% 3.5%

1.0%

13.2%

Walked

76.4%

Other Means Worked at Home

1990 Brazos County Communting Patterns

1990 Study Area Commuting Patterns Drove Alone

3.6% 2.2%

Car Pooled

1.6%

Public Transit

12.5% 80.1%

Walked / worked from home

8.1% 2.0%

4.9%

14.0% 71.0%

Other Means

Average Commute Times Study Area

18.8 minutes

Brazos County

16.7 minutes

•Study area is dominated by the automobile •Little variation in mode as compared to the county


Commuting Patterns Total Workers

Tract

% Driving Alone

% Car Pooled

% Public Transit

% Walked

% Other Means

% Worked at Home

Mean Travel Time

18.01

4334

92.16%

5.54%

0.00%

0.30%

0.62%

1.38%

14.5

18.02

3102

87.01%

10.25%

0.00%

0.23%

1.35%

1.16%

15.4

20.01

1984

83.62%

11.44%

0.20%

1.31%

0.66%

2.77%

15.7

20.02

2072

85.28%

11.73%

0.00%

0.29%

0.43%

2.27%

18.5

20.03

2297

84.33%

10.88%

0.00%

0.17%

0.78%

3.83%

20.7

20.04

1506

83.93%

10.69%

0.00%

0.53%

0.00%

4.85%

27.9

20.05

3797

81.85%

11.51%

0.71%

0.37%

2.58%

2.98%

18.6


Transportation •Traditional suburban development constitutes driving as main source of transportation •Lack of sidewalks is another indicator of this transportation mode.


Characterizations •Tract 20.05 •Lowest income •Closest to the university •Lowest average age •Many students •Majority of renteroccupied units

•Tract 20.04 •Low density •Very rural •Oldest population •Income is above county average

•Tract 18.02 •High population density •Small pocket of high income •Median age is low •Some students •High Asian population •Some commercial

•Tract 20.03 •Most affluent •Highest income •Much new development in this area


20.05

20.03

20.04

18.02



Since 2000 From field research it is clear that many houses have been built since 2000  According to the 2007 Census Bureau estimates there have been many new houses built in Brazos County  Some new commercial developments 


The End


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