Hai Phong, Vietnam's Gateway To The World - CBRE Research

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HAI PHONG VIETNAM’S GATEWAY TO THE WORLD

CBRE RESEARCH

© CBRE Ltd. 2016

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CONTENTS

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Hai Phong - The Gateway Connecting Vietnam With The World


© CBRE Ltd. 2016

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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Vietnamese logistics system is at an early stage of development compared to the global logistics network. Since joining the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in 2007, total trade volume increased 2.7 times to approximately US$299.7 billion in 20141. This has supported growth in logistics capacity development and improvement. As a result, annual nationwide throughput doubled from 4.9 million TEUs in 2008 to 10 million TEUs in 20142. Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC) and Hai Phong are home to the two largest seaports in Vietnam. Although throughput capacity of HCMC port in 2014 was only a quarter of HongKong’s and one-sixth of Singapore’s, while Hai Phong’s capacity was around half of that of Ho Chi Minh’s, annual throughput for these ports has seen remarkable growth. From 2008 to 2014, annual throughput in the South of Vietnam, with HCMC taking the lead, increased by 105%. The total throughput in the North, with Hai Phong the top performer, increased by 88%3. Hai Phong accounted for 98% of North Vietnam’s throughput in 20144. Hai Phong, with its locational advantage of over 100 km of coastline, has the potential to be a key domestic logistics hub in the short term and a regional hub in the future. However, the lack of fully-integrated infrastructure is preventing Hai Phong from performing to its full potential.

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Several major new infrastructure projects are underway as authorities seek to improve Hai Phong’s logistics capacity. The local government has been active in accelerating infrastructure development, as well as promoting the city’s investment opportunities. Hai Phong’s road system has been connected to network serving Vietnam and the South of China, while the city’s airport is being upgraded to international standard with direct connections to major cities around the world. The city’s ports are being developed and upgraded so they are able to host larger containers and ships. In conjunction with the local government’s efforts, external factors such as increasing foreign direct investment (FDI) and the recent signing of the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement are expected to facilitate the growth in trade between participating countries. This will create the ideal conditions for Hai Phong to become Vietnam’s logistics hub. This report will explain how Hai Phong, as the leading city in logistics and industrial development of Northern Vietnam, can take advantage of new infrastructure development, as well as the TPP and increased FDI opportunities, to become a key hub in the South East Asian and global logistics network in the coming years.

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HAI PHONG’S CONNECTIVITY Current Connection Future Connection (Source: Hai Phong Statistics Office, Hai Phong Statistical Yearbook 2014, 2014)

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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World


HAI PHONG FACT SHEET

POPULATION

AREA

1,946,000

152,743 HA

GDP

US$13.2 BN US$3.8 BN

FDI

(2012+2013+2014)

EXPORT V A L U E

US$3.6 BN

THROUGHPUT 2014 NORTH (26%)

2,601,566

CENTRAL (4%)

364,728

SOUTH (70%)

7,043,070 Unit: Container (TEUs)

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VIETNAM LOGISTICS MARKET OVERVIEW OVERVIEW

Vietnam is emerging as a new and attractive logistics hub for the Indo-China Region. There are currently around 1,200 businesses providing logistics services, focusing mainly on HCMC and Hanoi5. Since 2006, the Vietnam logistics industry has developed tremendously. However, much of this growth has been due to foreign firms, which account for 70% of logistics revenues6.

CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS Hanoi, Da Nang, and HCMC are Vietnam’s major logistics markets. Elsewhere, Hai Phong, Nha Trang and Binh Duong are emerging quickly, fueled by increasing import/export activity via their seaports and industrial businesses. The logistics industry in HCMC generated US$6.3 billion in 2008, accounting for 60% of the country’s overall logistics industry, making the city the biggest logistics hub in Vietnam. Hai Phong is the fastest emerging industrial location, recording growth in logistics activity of 40% y-o-y in 20087 a trend which is expected to continue. Emerging Logistics Hub Current Logistics Hub (Source: Frost & Sullivan , Climate Controlled Logistics, 2010)

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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World


Figure 1 LOGISTICS PERFORMANCE INDEX (LPI), VIETNAM 5

LPI

4

Timeliness

3

Customs

2 1 0

Tracking & tracing

Infrastructure

Vietnam Developing East Asia & Pacific Lower middle income (Source: World Bank, LPI data, 2014)

Logistics competence

International shipments

ACHIEVEMENTS

In 2014, Vietnam’s LPI index ranked 48 out of 160 countries. The infrastructure sub-indicator registered a solid improvement, jumping from No. 72 to No. 44 in 2014. Vietnam’s total freight volume reached 1 million tons in 2014, registering average growth of 7.14% per year between 2011-20148.

OPPORTUNITIES

Vietnam’s membership of the TPP will open new opportunities for logistics as it will boost demand for transportation, supply and warehouses.

CHALLENGES

Although Vietnam’s customs procedures are being modernised, with a new electronic customs clearance system (‘e-Customs’) being introduced in April 2014, delays are still quite common. This increases operational costs for logistics companies. The rapid growth of industrial parks has outpaced infrastructure development. Although several modern facilities have recently been built to replace old, substandard ones, the need for quality, international standard logistics facilities remains great.

Investment in manufacturing accounted for more than 70% of the country’s FDI9, a figure which is growing rapidly. This trend will drive growth in demand for international transportation and logistics services. © CBRE Ltd. 2016

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VIETNAM AS AN EMERGING LOGISTICS HUB VIETNAM’S ATTRACTIVENESS AS A POTENTIAL REGIONAL INDUSTRIAL / LOGISTICS HUB DEMOGRAPHICS

million persons. As a consequence, consumption will increase and spread to tier II cities and other locations outside of Hanoi and HCMC. Annual growth of the MAC segment is expected to be just under 13%, higher than Myanmar, Indonesia, and Thailand12.

The population of Vietnam reached 92 million in 2014, making it the 14th largest country in the world and the 3rd largest in South East Asia. According to the United Nations’ Population Division, Vietnam’s population is forecasted to grow to just above 105 million by 2030, with nearly 70% of the population falling under the working-age category (15-64 years-old)10. Major cities in Vietnam with large populations are clustered mainly in the North (Hanoi, Hai Phong) and the South (Ho Chi Minh City, Can Tho). According to a BCG report on South East Asia’s new growth frontiers in 201311, the middle and affluent class (MAC) in Vietnam is expected to almost triple in size by 2020, reaching 33

The economy has been on a rising trend for the past two decades, especially after the nation became a member of the WTO in 2007. The recent TPP and other free-trade pacts agreed with countries around the world, combined with the rise in Vietnam’s average per capita income from US$1,400 to US$3,400 per year by 202013, will likely trigger demand for new markets and customer segments from global suppliers. This trend is expected to facilitate the expansion of distribution networks to serve this population as consumption continues to grow.

Figure 2 MIDDLE AND AFFLUENT CLASS IN MYANMAR, VIETNAM, THAILAND AND INDONESIA, IN MILLION PERSONS 13% 8% 5.4

10.3

Myanmar

8%

4%

12.4

32.7

Vietnam

35.5

49.4

73.9

Thailand 2012

140.9

Indonesia 2020

Growth rate, %

(Source: Boston Consulting Group, Vietnam and Myanmar: Southeast Asia’s New Growth Frontiers, 2013) 10

Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World


Division Boundaries Cities over 3,000,000 Cities 500,001 to 3,000,000 Cities 175,000 to 500,000

PER SQ MI

260 P

E

R

400 S

100

O

N

155

800

1000

2,300

5,200

310

390

890

2,000

S

PER SQ KM

Figure 3 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000

Dependent Age Working Age (Source: United Nations, Population Division, 2015)

40,000 20,000 0

20 14 20 16 20 18 20 20 20 22 20 24 20 26 20 28 20 30

P O P U L A I O N :

M I L L I O N S

VIETNAM’S POPULATION TO 2030

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VIETNAM’S ATTRACTIVENESS AS A POTENTIAL REGIONAL INDUSTRIAL / LOGISTICS HUB TRADE POLICIES

October 4, 2015 marked a significant milestone for Vietnam as the TPP, an ambitious and far reaching free-trade pact liberalising commerce in 40% of the world’s economy, was finally agreed between Vietnam, the U.S., Japan and nine other Pacific Rim countries. According to Bloomberg, the economy of Vietnam may benefit the most from the TPP, as the nation’s low cost manufacturing is likely to attract more investors, with exports projected to expand by 28% within a decade. The landmark deal will cut an estimated 18,000 tariffs among its twelve members. Tax exemption and reduction will provide Vietnam with greater access to major markets including the U.S. and Japan, and boost the export of products such as textiles, apparel, footwear, aquaculture and forestry products. Vietnam has also been pursuing other free trade agreements (FTAs), both multi-lateral and bilateral, signaling its ambition to become a hub for international trade.

LOW LABOUR COSTS

Unlike Vietnam, labour costs in China are currently on the rise. This wage disparity continues to be a competitive advantage for Vietnam as the country’s labour supply gradually expands. Over the past decade, manufacturing labour costs in Vietnam have tripled to US$1.96 an hour, inclusive of workers’ benefits. However, this is still well below China’s US$3.27 and the U.S.’s US$37.96, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit.

Figure 4 FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT INTO VIETNAM, REGISTERED CAPITAL IN 2014

OTHERS

US$ 6.4 BN

MANUFACTURING

US$ 15.5 BN (Source: General Statistic Office, Vietnam Statistical Yearbook, 2014)

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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World


Figure 5 VIETNAM’S 2014 TOP EXPORT PARTNERS US$ billion

120 100 80 60 40 20 0 ASEAN APEC

EU

US USA

CHINA

JAPAN

Source: General Statistic Office, Vietnam Statistical Yearbook, 2014.

Figure 6 VIETNAM’S MAJOR EXPORT SECTORS 100%

50% 25.15%

37.25%

0% 2005

2013

Others Miscellaneous manufactured articles Machinery, transports and equipment Manufactured products Primary products © CBRE Ltd. 2016

(Source: General Statistic Office, Vietnam Statistical Yearbook, 2014)

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WORLD’S LARGEST HUBS BY CONTAINER PORT TRAFFIC

Tianjin

Yingkou Dalian

Yantai Inchon Qingdao Lianyungang Rizhao Kwangyang

Busan

Shanghai Ningbo

Fuzhou Xiamen Keelung Guangzhou Taichung Hai Phong Kaohsiung HongKong Bangkok Laem Chabang

Ho Chi Minh City Ba Ria Vung Tau

Penang

SEAPORT CONTAINER TRAFFIC (TEUs)

Tanjung Pelepas

Port Kelang

>15,000,000 10,000,000 - 15,000,000 5,000,001 - 10,000,000 2,500,001 - 5,000,000 1,000,001 - 2,500,000 14

Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World

Tanjung Priok

Singapore


2013 CONTAINER PORT TRAFFIC (TEUs) CHINA

SINGAPORE

KOREA, REP.

HONGKONG

174,080,330

33,516,343

22,582,700

22,352,000

MALAYSIA

JAPAN

INDONESIA

21,426,791

19,688,382

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES 19,336,427

INDIA

VIETNAM

THAILAND

SAUDI ARABIA

10,653,343

8,121,019

7,702,476

6,742,397

PHILIPPINES

SRI LANKA

OMAN

5,860,226

4,306,000

3,930,261

IRAN, ISLAMIC REP. 3,178,538

PAKISTAN

ISRAEL

BANGLADESH

KUWAIT

2,562,796

2,539,000

1,571,461

1,215,675

SAR, CHINA

10,790,450

TOP 5 WORLDWIDE CHINA

UNITED STATES

174,080,330 44,255,378

© CBRE Ltd. 2016

SINGAPORE

33,516,343

KOREA, REP.

HONGKONG SAR, CHIN

22,582,700 22,352,000

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HAI PHONG A RISING LOGISTICS HOTSPOT DEVELOPMENT

delays in freight transport and higher inventory carrying costs for manufacturers. Between 2006– 2011, the traffic flow rate and freight volume in Hanoi, Hai Phong and Quang Ninh increased by approximately 50%15.

OF INTERMODAL TRANSPORTATION According to a survey of public sector and private sector leaders by the Urban Land Institute and EY14, the quality of infrastructure systems such as transportation and utilities is the key factor shaping real estate investment and development decisions in cities. For many years, the existing highway systems of Northern Vietnam were incapable of matching the fast growth rate of urbanisation and demand for logistics services, led by the industrial sector. Obsolete roads were often congested, leading to

There are currently seven seaports in Hai Phong and three seaports in Quang Ninh. 95% of total cargo throughput measured by container TEUs is transported via ports in Hai Phong16, reflecting its importance to the logistics industry in the North. According to research by Petri et al., Vietnam’s exports are expected to grow by 28% in the ten years following the implementation of the TPP17. Logistics activity in Hai Phong will consequently expand at a rapid rate, supported by the development of intermodal transportation.

HAI PHONG NATIONAL ROAD TRAFFIC FLOW RATE, PCUs NATIONAL ROAD (NR) NR5

(Hung Yen - Hai Phong)

TRAFFIC FLOW RATE 2008

2011

29,976

43,231

GROWTH RATE

44.22%

NR10

(Quang Ninh - Hai Phong)

2008

2011

13,170

20,462 55.37% (Source: Ministry of Transport)

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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World


Figure 7 SUMMARY OF THROUGHPUT IN HAI PHONG AND QUANG NINH, MILLION TEUS M i l l i o n s

3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 2008

2009

2010 Hai Phong

2011

2012

2013

(Source: Vietnam Seaports Association)

2014

Quang Ninh

Figure 8 HAI PHONG’S CARGO VOLUME BY MEAN OF TRANSPORT, MILLION TONS 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

Road Inland waterway Maritime

(Source: Ministry of Transport)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

CARGO TRANSPORT BY ROAD GROWS STRONGEST OVER 5 YEARS 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

Road

110%

43%

Inland waterway Maritime

-27% 2010 © CBRE Ltd. 2016

2011

2012

2013

2014

© CBRE Ltd. 2015 17


ROAD SYSTEM IMPROVEMENT The industrial sector is of great importance to the overall economy of Vietnam and relies heavily on logistics infrastructure. With this in mind, the government has recently begun to upgrade roads and highways in order to better facilitate the manufacture and distribution of goods, both domestically and internationally. Projects include the Hanoi – Hai Phong Expressway, which finally opened to traffic on December 5, 2015. The US$2 billion, 105 km expressway will shorten the travelling time between Hai Phong and Hanoi from approximately 2.5 hours (transport via the old National Road QL5) to less than 1.5 hours. The expressway will connect Hai Phong to Ha Long City, a famous tourism destination and home to Ha Long Bay, via the Ha Long – Hai Phong Expressway (expected completion: 2016). This expressway will be extended to the Mong Cai Border Gate, improving inland transportation from Hai Phong, Quang Ninh to China.

S E A P O R T E X PA N S I O N The Lach Huyen Deep Sea Port (Hai Phong International Gateway Port), a US$1 billion project currently under construction, will be able to handle up to 8,000 TEUs container vessels18. The port will allow goods assembled in the North to be transported directly to the end markets of Europe and America. When completed, Lach Huyen Deep Port will be the largest seaport in Vietnam, and will be the key gateway connecting the North of Vietnam with the world. Cargo throughput is expected to range from 28.2 – 34.8 million tons by 2020.

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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World

The development of new transportation infrastructure in Vietnam is essential and will be the main factor supporting the future growth of industrial activity. The various trade pacts recently signed by Vietnam, including the much-anticipated TPP, will provide coastal cities such as Hai Phong the opportunity to become important local logistics hubs, and will directly connect them with other regional and international logistics hubs such as Malaysia, Hong Kong and Guangzhou.


AIRPORT UPGRADING

INDUSTRIAL

The Noi Bai International Airport’s Terminal 2, which was completed and put into operation at the end of 2014, is the largest and most modern facility in Vietnam. Its new terminal is able to handle up to 15 million passengers per year, compared to 9 million passengers pear year in Terminal 1. The logistics and cargo terminal of Noi Bai International Airport, with a floor area of 44,000 sq. m., accommodated approximately 355 thousand tons of cargo in 2014, a 25% increase compared to 201219.

DEVELOPMENT The Dinh Vu - Cat Hai Economic Zone is one of two economic zones in Vietnam in which the government is planning to establish an international logistics gateway known as the Hai Phong International Gateway Port, which is intended to act as a maritime economic centre for Southeast Asia. The Economic Zone covers a total area of 22,540 ha, of which more than 7,000 ha is available for industrial development21.

In Hai Phong, the city’s Cat Bi International Airport is set to be upgraded. It is estimated that by 2025, the airport will be able to accommodate 8 million passengers and 250,000 tons of cargo per year20.

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HAI PHONG INFRASTRUCTURE MAP

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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World


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FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT – AN INCREASING NUMBER OF MANUFACTURERS ARE MOVING THEIR FACTORIES TO VIETNAM In addition to the country’s pledge to improve its infrastructure, along with attractive incentives and policies, major manufacturers are being attracted to invest in Vietnam by tax cuts resulting from the TPP as well as the low cost of labour. Northern Vietnam possesses several characteristics which appeal to manufacturers. Its provinces and cities are well connected to China, where the majority of materials and components originate. Highways, railways and maritime routes connecting Vietnam and China will save manufacturers and international brands shipping costs and time. The North-Eastern coastal city of Vietnam, Hai Phong, is just 200 km away from the Vietnam - China border gate. Proximity to China also means greater access to a larger and more diverse population.

Vietnam’s role as a location for final product assembly has become more evident in recent years. This trend is forecast to continue, thanks partly to the country’s widening wage disparity with China. In 2014, after acquiring Nokia’s production lines, Microsoft moved operations to factories in Vietnam, and now has an annual export forecast of 50,000 tons22. In Hai Phong, LG Electronics recently announced plans to invest US$1.5 billion in its new production facility, citing wages, the high quality of its production standards and improving logistics networks. Samsung has invested in Vietnam for the past few years not only for cheaper costs and the country’s abundant and well-educated workforce, but also for its location, which is conveniently located close to the rest of the company’s supply chain.

Figure 9 VIETNAM FDI INFLOWS – LARGER PROPORTION GOING INTO THE NORTH 39.43%

46.75%

2013 North

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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World

2014 Central

53.01%

2015 South

Source: General Statistic Office


HAI PHONG’S INLAND CONNECTIONS

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VISION OF A LOGISTICS 2015

CURRENT CAPACITY

FUTURE CAPACITY

35 Port terminals

46 Port terminals

10,500 METRES

12,000 METRES

HARBOR LENGTH

CAN ACCOMMODATE

2018

H A R B O R

L E N G T H

100,000

SHIP 27,500 TON

(2,200 TEUs)

TON SHIP

(8,000 TEUs)

CONNECTIVITY BETWEEN HAI PHONG AND OTHER CITIES: BY ROAD:

BEFORE 2015

FROM 2015

HANOI – HAI PHONG:

2.5 hours

1.5 hours

CURRENT

FROM 2017

3.0 hours 1.5 hours

2.0 hours 0.5 hours

HANOI – QUANG NINH: HAI PHONG – QUANG NINH:

BETWEEN VIETNAM AND THE WORLD: CURRENT Exports to Europe and the U.S. have to transit at regional hubs (Hong Kong and Singapore)

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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World

FROM 2018 Exports can go directly to Europe and the U.S.


AND INDUSTRIAL HUB The completion of new infrastructure will support Hai Phong’s integrated logistics and supply chain. The Cat Bi Airport upgrade will create a second international air cargo system in the North, after Noi Bai International Airport, providing increased capacity and connectivity to other hubs across the country. The Lach Huyen Deep Sea Port will increase throughput capacity and international linkages. The Hai Phong – Ha long Highway will enhance connectivity to the sourcing and end market of China. The Dinh Vu – Cat Hai Industrial Cluster is expected to provide over 7,000 ha of land for manufacturing activity.

Hai Phong lies in a strategic location within the Northern economic corridor, connecting the North of Vietnam and Southern cities in China. The completion of the Hai Phong – Ha Long Highway in 2016 will connect Hanoi, Hai Phong and Quang Ninh with the ultimate destination of Mong Cai District – the border gate with China. This will be a key piece of new infrastructure that will improve connectivity to both end markets (Hanoi, China) and source market (China) as well as encouraging the flow of trade across the region. Martitime transportation is focused on the South, with the deep sea port in Ba Ria – Vung Tau and Ho Chi Minh currently serving as the country’s main portals. When completed, Lach Huyen Deep Sea Port will support the local authority’s goal of increasing logistics capacity from being able to receive container and general vessels of 50,000 DWT fully loaded (or 100,000 DWT unloaded) in 2020, to 100,000 DWT fully loaded in 2030. The total estimated volume of cargo throughput at the

© CBRE Ltd. 2016

port is expected to increase from the current 28.2 million to 34.8 million tons per year in 2020 and 120 million tons in 2030. The establishment of Lach Huyen port also aims to improve the access of sea freight into and out of Vietnam, especially from source markets in China, Hong Kong and Japan, to Northern Vietnam end markets (Hanoi, Bac Ninh, Thai Nguyen, Vinh Phuc etc.)23. This, in turn, will help reduce operational costs for companies in these markets. Although it is not easy to quantify the benefits and growth in trade volume that the port system, the road network and upgraded airports will bring to Vietnam in the future, Hai Phong is expected to quickly catch up with HCMC port, the wellestablished Southern hub. With its advantages of being in close proximity to China and ability to connect with other national and regional cities, Northern Vietnam’s logistics system will take on an increasingly regional role in the coming years.

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CONCLUSION THE FOUNDATIONS ARE SET AND THE OPPORTUNITIES ARE ABUNDANT The Hai Phong local authority has been very active in promoting the city to investors. Significant progress has been made in improving the city’s infrastructure system and network in connection with other cities and provinces, especially key cities connecting regional logistics hubs such as Hanoi and Quang Ninh. This has helped improve connectivity and facilitate the operation of various businesses operating in the related source and end markets, it has also boosted investors’ confidence in Vietnam’s broader economic prospects, particularly in the North and Hai Phong.

EASE OF DOING BUSINESS, TRANSPARENCY AND ADMINISTRATIVE EFFICIENCY REMAIN MAJOR CHALLENGES Although the TPP will open up huge opportunities for Vietnam’s trade with major markets such as the U.S. and Japan, and will spur inbound and outbound trade between Vietnam and other participating countries, a number of challenges still remain. Hai Phong needs to address several issues that are of concern to foreign investors. According to the World Bank’s Report on the Ease of Doing Business 2014, Vietnam ranked only 90th (out of

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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World

189 surveyed countries), moving up three spots compared to 2013. The report identified crossborder trade and investor protection, construction permits, property registration, and contract enforcement as areas where Vietnam has room for improvement. According to the Provincial Competitiveness Index (PCI) report 2014 by VCCI, Hai Phong ranked only 34th among 63 cities and provinces, far lower than Da Nang (1st), Ho Chi Minh City (4th), Thai Nguyen (8th) and Bac Ninh (10th). Among the issues noted in the PCI report, transparency, infrastructure and labour quality were highlighted. In order to establish itself as a local hub in the short term, and as a regional hub in the long term, it is critical that Hai Phong address the issues of administrative procedures; transparency; and improving labour quality, as FDI increases and new infrastructure is developed. Hai Phong is well positioned to become a major logistics hub in Vietnam and, in the future, a key component of both the regional and global logistics network. With the completion of major infrastructure works, Hai Phong is to address one of the main concerns among foreign investors . Should the other challenges identified above also be addressed, Hai Phong will be ideally placed to become a regional logistics hub.


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Hai Phong - Vietnam’s Gateway To The World


REFERENCES 1.

Vietnam General Statistics Office, 2014.

2.3.4 Vietnam Seaports Association, 2014. 5.

Vietnam News, Vietnamese companies outgunned by foreigners in logistics business, 2013.

6.

VPA, Foreign firms pocket 70% of Vietnam logistics revenues, 2011.

7.

Frost & Sullivan , Climate Controlled Logistics, 2010.

8.

FPT Securities, Logistics industry report, 2015.

9.

Vietstock, Vietnam logistics is in the infancy stage but growing rapidly, 2015.

10.

United Nations, Population Division, 2015.

11.

Boston Consulting Group, Vietnam and Myanmar: Southeast Asia’s New Growth Frontiers, 2013.

12.

Bloomberg, The Biggest Winner From TPP Trade Deal May Be Vietnam, 2015.

13.

Economist Intelligence Unit data.

14.

Urban Land Institute and EY, Infrastructure 2014 – Shaping the Competitive City, 2014.

15.

Ministry of Transport, Master plan on road system by 2020, vision to 2030, 2012.

16.

Vietnam Seaports Association data.

17.

Petri et al., The Trans-Pacific Partnership and Asia-Pacific Integration: A Quantitative Assessment, 2011.

18.

Vietnam Investment Review, Port set for 2017 launch, 2014.

19.

Vietnamairport.vn, 2015.

20.

Ministry of Transport, 2014.

21.

Haiphong.gov.vn, 2013.

22.

Reuters, LG Electronics to shift TV production in Thailand to Vietnam, 2015.

23.

Vietnam Investment Review, Air freight takes flight on recovery, 2014.

TABLE OF ABBREVIATION TEU

Twenty Foot Equivalent Unit (unit of the capacity of a container ship)

LPI

Logistics Performance Index

FDI

Foreign Direct Investment

TPP

Trans-Pacific Partnership

WTO

World Trade Organization

DWT

Deadweight Tons

PCU

Passenger Car Unit

VCCI

Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industrial

© CBRE Ltd. 2016

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For more information about this report, please contact: Desmond Sim Head of Research, Southeast Asia +65 63261638 desmond.sim@cbre.com.sg

Dung Duong, MRICS Head of Vietnam Research +848 3824 6125 dung.duong@cbre.com

An Nguyen, MRICS Director +844 2220 0220 an.nguyen@cbre.com

Hanh Nguyen Manager +844 2220 0220 hanh.h.nguyen@cbre.com

For more information regarding CBRE Research, please contact: Nick Axford, Ph.D. Global Head of Research +44 20 7182 2876 nick.axford@cbre.com

Richard Barkham, Ph.D., MRICS Global Chief Economist +44 0 20 7182 2665 richard.barkham@cbre.com

Henry Chin, Ph.D. Head of Research, Asia Pacific +852 2820 8160 henry.chin@cbre.com.hk

Neil Blake, Ph.D. Head of Research, EMEA +44 20 7182 2133 neil.blake@cbre.com

Spencer Levy Head of Research, Americas +1 410 951 8443 spencer.levy@cbre.com

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To learn more about CBRE Research, or to access additional research reports, please visit the Global Research Gateway at www.cbre.com/researchgateway CBRE GLOBAL RESEARCH This report was prepared by CBRE Vietnam Research Team, which forms part of CBRE Global Research—a network of preeminent researchers who collaborate to provide real estate market research and econometric forecasting to real estate investors and occupiers around the globe. All materials presented in this report, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under copyright and proprietary to CBRE. Information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from materials and sources believed to be reliable at the date of publication. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. Readers are responsible for independently assessing the relevance, accuracy, completeness and currency of the information of this publication. This report is presented for information purposes only exclusively for CBRE clients and professionals, and is not to be used or considered as an offer or the solicitation of an offer to sell or buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. All rights to the material are reserved and none of the material, nor its content, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed to any other party without prior express written permission of CBRE. Any unauthorized publication or redistribution of CBRE research reports is prohibited. CBRE will not be liable for any loss, damage, cost or expense incurred or arising by reason of any person using or relying on information in this publication. Printed on recycled paper

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Hai Phong - The Gateway Connecting Vietnam With The World

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