BETTING COMMANDMENTS

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BETTING COMMANDMENTS

BY XPERTBET


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THE TEN COMMANDMENTS OF GAMBLING The following are preached by renowned gambling authority Stanford Wong in his Complete Idiot’s Guide to Gambling Like A Pro.

1. Thou shalt not pray before spotted cubes of ivory. 2. Thou shalt not speak the name of the Lord until all else has failed. 3. Thou shalt not worship thy winnings. 4. Thou shalt not play seven days in a row. Thou shalt rest at least once. 5. Thou shalt honor thy mother and father, and forgive them for gambling away thy inheritance. 6. Thou shalt not kill third-base players who know not what they have done. 7. Thou shalt not adulterate thy cards, cubes or coins. 8. Thou shalt not steal thy gambling money from thy children’s college fund. 9. Thou shalt not falsely accuse thy dealer of cheating. 10. Thou shalt not covet thy neighbor’s (gambling) machine.

*** It s written in metaphor and sound a bit like joke. But this combined with golden rules can keep you pro away from blind gamblers and lotto players.

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THE GOLDEN RULES Do not become a problem gambler.

A responsible professional gambler should follow:

1. Choose stakes you are comfortable with and can afford. Bet within your means. 2. Never bet with money you cannot afford to lose. 3. Never have a bet for the sake of it, there is always the next race, the next play, or, if not, tomorrow. 4. If you think you are having gambling problems, be honest and admit it to yourself and consult for help. 5. Never gamble when you are over-tired or drunk or under the influence of any other substances. 6. Never expect to win.

These six can keep promote you to inbound of a professional and away from gamblers problems and lotto players.

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TEN MORE 1. Money management is more important than choice of bet. 2. Do not let losses mount so that the climb back is impossible. 3. Be modest in your win expectations. 4. Stay at the tables as short a time as possible. 5. Play as few betting sequences as possible. 6. If in doubt, reduce your next bet rather than increase. 7. Be sober. 8. Know whether you are up or down all the time. 9. Remember that your next bet may be the start of disaster. 10. Remember there is no sure bet!

*** Be brave but don’t be dumb! Caution is on any occurrence needed. Never dig stake up just because. Don’t let your money roll on punny assumptions. *** Very important rules are bigger font bolded.

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LEGENDARY LORES OF BETTING Always assume that any official statement from a football club relating to an event on which you may be planning to bet – e.g. dismissal of current boss, appointment of another one, potential purchase/sale of players – is complete and utter tosh. *** Statistics goes as far as prediction possible nut insecure. Always watch a boxing match with the sound turned down so that you can make your own assessment of what is going on in front of you. It is too easy to be influenced by commentators. After adopting this tactic for a number of fights you will become as good a judge as any pundit. Always try to be aware of topical sports news as soon as possible – it might prevent you from backing a loser and help you find a winner. Open as many on-line accounts as possible to take advantage of best odds available – often pointed up by comparison sites like oddschecker. *** If one defined event offer more win better odd price in one place then the other take it! Never change your mind. *** It is crucial for system to be independent from real time happening. Never bent system or improvise on the way. Analyze and prepare to refine but follow to the letter of system. Once mind is set and system in place, go for it. Then analyze and refine for second run. The pros will never understand that attitude any more than the punter can understand betting as a means to a profit, and nothing else. 6 SAMPLE FOR FURTHER REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION 2011. www.bettingsystemprofessional.com


*** Be a pro. Without emotions, cold and steady, up stakes wins percentage and get best prices possible.

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BETTING LIKE A PROFESSIONAL In a world full of technology, the problem can be information overload, and you have to make your own decisions having sifted through the many levels of assistance available over the internet. I like to deal in facts not rumors. *** Your research should fine craft to tune up your system win percentages and lower risks on coverage of lose. Good system can be anywhere from 75 to 99% of wins in first run and from 90 to 100% in coverage of loss in sequence steps 2 or 3. *** Don’t pull too many bets more paper work and less quality research. Don’t pull to few either higher risk on all stakes. Find game you re suitable with odds on possibility define parameters consult statistics make system rules then run it and watch for what happens within. Also simulate as if you were betting before going into bet. Experiment and calculate, tune and upgrade, make system bulletproof and profiting. *** Numbers are cold seal real and best pointer is you betting bank liquidity. If system is good these liquidity will grow faster if not risk will be too higher at times and liquidity will drop.

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TOP EXCHANGE TIPS Be disciplined. Never gamble drunk. Always have a plan and stick to it. Have the best computer and fastest Internet connection you can afford with up-to-date protections, firewalls and anti-virus programs. Stick to sports or events you are successful on. Never lose more on a trade than you were trying to win. Cut bad trades immediately. Never chase a loss. Never gloat over a win. Always analyze good and bad trades. Keep detailed notes of bets and eliminate frequent errors. Remember, however bad it seems emotion can only make it worse – there is always another day and another opportunity. If it is a fun bet, stake it small enough to remain a fun bet. Research your opinions. Celebrate a win, but then move on. Set a time period for a thorough overhaul of betting strategy. Remember, your first bet of a trading plan becomes a gamble if you don’t stick to the planned second bet – this is more important if it goes against you. Keep some liquidity in account for ‘in-running’ opportunities. Put up the price you want taken in advance – don’t rely on your ‘finger on the button’.

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FROM BETFAIR’S TOP MAN - Always try and predict the way the market is going to go, instead of looking for a winner. There is a phrase among exchange bettors: ‘Don’t tip me a winner, tip me a price.’ The reasoning behind this is that if you can identify a steamer (a big shortener) in the market before it becomes a gamble, you can back it at the highest price and lay it off at a much reduced level, thus ensuring yourself a free bet. Bets don’t get any better than that. So keep an eye out for such gems as team news in Carling Cup matches and the like. - Never be scared to request a price. If you don’t ask, you definitely won’t get. Betting exchanges match people who disagree on the outcome of an event; the more opinionated the layer, the bigger price the backer is likely to get. Sometimes, the price a layer is willing to offer will surprise. On the other side of the coin, don’t be put off in offering to lay an eventuality at a much shorter price than you think it should be. Many favourites are over-bet, even on a betting exchange. - Always read the grey market text and rules and regs when betting. You wouldn’t sign a contract or agreement in any other walk of life without reading the small print, so betting should be no different. This is true of all bookmaker markets, not just betting exchanges. - Never over react. It is all too easy for some punters to see ‘free money’ on the screen when they see a horse trailing the field, or seemingly ruled out of an ante-post race. However, in-running winners that have been backed and laid at 1,000 are becoming nearweekly occurrences – Family Business fell and remounted to win in 2002, and those who laid Kicking King at the maximum price after he was seemingly ruled out of the 2005 10 SAMPLE FOR FURTHER REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION 2011. www.bettingsystemprofessional.com


Gold Cup won’t need reminding of what happened next. Then there is the 2008 Derby winner, New Approach, for so long a non-runner. - Betting at 1.01. Betting in the heat of the moment often leads to bad decisions, but try and take time out to avoid becoming a member of the unwanted and burgeoning Betfair 1.01 Club (punters who have backed at the minimum price of 1-100 on the exchange and lost). Try to look for potential pitfalls before you leap in; for example, has the horse that is ten lengths clear with ten yards to go hampered any rival during the race? Backers of Altay at Lingfield in January 2003 will know what I mean; it won by four lengths, only to lose the race in the stewards’ room for a minor infringement, and then was reawarded the race on appeal at a later date. That was no consolation to his backers on the day, though, who lost. However, there are times when a 1.01 chance should be 1.001. How big are your cojones, though? - Always look to take a profit. There are two schools of thought on this. The first is that each bet or trade should be based on its individual merits, and the above is generalized nonsense; The second is that you should always look to take a profit when trading, or at least manoeuvre yourself into a no-lose position when the price or event unfolds in your favour. The latter approach is best, especially as betting exchanges work to very tight margins, typically 101 per cent, so closing out a position is not as punitive as it can be with fixedodds and spread betting firms. And the person who coined the City phrase ‘You never see a poor man take a profit’ wasn’t wrong, was he? - Specialise. Betfair offers a mass of markets on its site, and clearly the number of people who know their Bandy will be considerably less than those who know their Premiership 11 SAMPLE FOR FURTHER REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION 2011. www.bettingsystemprofessional.com


football. Put in the hours of research and the odds are you will know more than the person you are betting against. Providing you can find someone to match your bet on Bandy, that is… But you get my point. Look beyond the obvious. - Take advantage of illiquid markets. Because of the nature of an exchange, most books tend to gravitate towards the 100 per cent mark. However, some markets are not as popular and may be virtually empty. See this as a great opportunity. If you price these up to 120 per cent, it is not too unlikely that your lay bets will be taken – giving you a healthy return for little or no risk. And if one of your lays is taken, then you shouldn’t be too worried; because you have priced it up to a defensive 120 per cent, then hopefully you should have laid under the odds anyway! - Take advantage of the betting histories provided, both on markets and your personal account. At a touch of a button, Betfair allows its customers to call up their entire betting record in the past three months, broken down into sports, to the pence. Use this information to help you identify how you can improve as a punter – or indeed, just simply accept that you are clueless at betting on some sports! There is a very good reason that traditional bookmakers don’t give their customers such readily available and detailed information. Similarly, traditional bookmakers don’t publish their field books. By clicking on the graph icon on the site, exchange bettors can get a trading history for every runner/option. Use the info to help you improve/analyze your betting behavior. - Use the free form products/betting options supplied. Because betting exchanges have no direct interest on whether their punters win or lose, take advantage of the free form products they provide. For example, Betfair often allows its customers to download a free Timeform card, and they are readily acknowledged as the best form for students and handicappers in the country. Also, keep on top of new betting products. The ‘Keep Bet’ 12 SAMPLE FOR FURTHER REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION 2011. www.bettingsystemprofessional.com


option introduced in December 2007 on Betfair, which allows you put up an in-play bet as soon as the market is loaded, is proving a valuable tool for in-running bettors, as is Betfair SP. - Exchange beginners should take it slow. Once punters are confident on exchanges, many find it a premier betting experience. Many never get to grips with it. Initially it can be confusing to some, so newcomers to the site should take advantage of the minimum £2 bet to acquaint themselves with the workings of the site. To that end, the bigger exchanges will provide online (and live) demonstrations that punters can download or attend. Take advantage before progressing with your betting. - Look to oppose the general consensus. Bad punters lose money; that’s a fact. If you can understand what makes a punter bad then you are on your way to success – you just have to do the opposite. Sometimes a bet looks obvious – all straightforward logic points to it. You can bet that all the bad punters will be backing it and the price may be too short. In this situation your gut should be telling you to lay regardless of the fact that the bet has ticked so many boxes; it’s just too obvious. - Don’t chase your losses. It’s not really an exchange tip, it’s a tip in general, but when you’ve had a bad day you should walk away early. You may be angry and upset; you’re not in the right frame of mind to be betting, so don’t do it. Tomorrow is another day.

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LOUGHRAN LORE 1. When having a football bet on the weekend coupon which is available in shops on Wednesdays always consult Racing & Football Outlook, which is published on Tuesdays, as their odds comparison site offers the chance to get the early value first thing on Wednesday before the inevitable price changes. 2. When having a Grand National wager always take a price as the offices spend the final few minutes before the off shortening all the fancied horses. To protect your liability, look to firms paying five places if you are having an each-way bet. The Tote found this costly when lady jockey Carrie Ford finished fifth on the well-backed Forest Gunner. 3. If you see a price you think is wrong and you have a reasonable reason to believe you are right, take it, as if you are right somebody else will if you don’t. Odds compilers are only human and do make mistakes – the hard part is firstly spotting the rick, and secondly, getting on. 4. Find an area near home with a good selection of betting shops. It is fine to have a favourite shop where you watch the afternoon’s action when shows are the same, but so many punters don’t make the effort to seek out the early value on their fancies, be it racing or sports, particularly football. 5. If you like multiple bets check which firms have the best offers. Some have huge bonus offers; some pay double odds on one winner in Lucky 15 bets; others pay treble. Over the year this could make a huge difference.

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6. If playing on distance bets on horse racing try to get an accurate weather forecast. Rain will increase the winning margin mark. If you can find out before the bookies you have the value. 7. Watch the weather closely in golf betting. ‘Late early’ or ‘early late’ can often have a huge advantage – sometimes as much as ten strokes. Consult the draw and the weather and you can reap the rewards in match betting. 8. Use as many sources as you can to formulate your betting pattern – local papers often provide hidden gems which go unnoticed elsewhere. The internet can be a great help here.

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THE KNIFE ‘Contests with only two possible results have always been an Achilles heel for bookies.’ With some of the recent accusations about tennis matches it is easy to see why that is the case. ‘Never, ever back Ernie Els – the man’s a bottle merchant supreme.’ McGovern first said this is 1999 and believes it to this day. In June 2008 he told me, ‘Yep, I definitely stand by that Els thing. Witness the tournament towards the end of last year that he threw away.’ ‘In sport an each-way bet more often than not is a wasted bet. In a contest like Wimbledon or the Open Championship I would far rather back two players on the nose than one player each-way. And straight win bets on players who do progress to the later stages often offer opportunities for hedging.’ Bookies always like to churn out special markets for the big games and in their efforts to hit the 100-market mark they can often push things in our favour. And so it happened... hidden deep among the multitude of markets from William Hill for the 2003 FA Cup Final up popped a market called ‘Massage Parlour’. Quite simply it was 9-2 for the Gunners’ Ray Parlour to be treated by the physio on the pitch at any time in the match. Now, players always claim they never read papers – in the same way they never bet or drink! But on the morning of the game we knew, just knew, that someone in the Arsenal camp would spot our Sun headline urging Mr Parlour to hit the deck during the 16 SAMPLE FOR FURTHER REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION 2011. www.bettingsystemprofessional.com


match. It wasn’t match fixing – just a small manipulation of a 30-second spell during the game. Nothing more. Nothing less. ‘Come on, Ray – do it for us punters,’ begged our article. And on we plunged – friends, relatives and work colleagues alike. Even my dad had a tenner and he bets in five pence stakes! But would Ray Parlour take the bait? Would he play along? In centre midfield the feisty redhead was always likely to pick up a knock and as the game kicked off we watched intently, caring not a hoot about who won but plenty about Mr Parlour’s wellbeing. By half-time I was convinced we’d been done. Parlour had ridden some heavy tackles and been sent sprawling by one particular assault from a Saints muscleman. But each time he got up, dusted himself down and carried on without the need of physio Gary Lewin. Bastard! ‘Keep the faith,’ I told the many co-conspirators who rang up nervous, sweating and anxious during the halftime interval. But I didn’t really believe, either. Nearly 20 minutes of the second-half passed with Parlour calm, unflustered and dominant in midfield, riding tackles like the consummate pro he was. We’d given up on the bet. And then out of nowhere… Halle-bloody-lujah! Southampton’s Chris Marsden made partial contact with our Ray and he fell to the turf. The cameras panned away. Agony for us. Was our man hurt? Oh please. Not a broken leg or anything like that. But a little muscle strain worthy of Gary Lewin’s cold sponge. Still the cameras focused on the play. Yet suddenly as the ball went out for a throw-in there was music to our ears! Cheering inside the Millennium Stadium. I kid you not. Cheering. And why? Because that oh-sowonderful Mr Lewin was sprinting onto the pitch to tend the even-more-wonderful Mr Parlour now laying prone. Oh, Ray. Oh, Gary. You beauties! The phone went ballistic – 17 SAMPLE FOR FURTHER REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION 2011. www.bettingsystemprofessional.com


everyone texting or ringing with the same message: ‘Did you hear it? The cheering. The sponge. The dosh.’ We jumped around the living room, already planning a heavy night of celebration. Years on, we still have the 30-inch widescreen TV and top-of-the-range music system we bought on the back of that Cup Final bet. The kids call the TV ‘Uncle Ray’. I’ll never know if Mr Parlour ever did read that article but the memory of that cheering still brings on a warm glow and proves that hundreds of other people certainly did read it. And bet it too. So, at last, I’ve found out just who was to blame for what we regarded at the time as a slightly unusual gamble which came off. I must admit that bookies can, just occasionally, let their guard down and provide punters with an almost potentially self-fulfilling betting proposition. And we did it again only recently when offering 100/1 about Craig Bellamy, then at Liverpool, scoring a Champions League goal and then celebrating by mimicking the action of swinging a golf club – having been disciplined by his club after a notorious incident involving both a golf club and teammate John Arne Riesse. Sure enough, there was an old-fashioned gamble on the bet: Bellamy scored, Bellamy waved around an imaginary golf-club, and we were well and truly teed off!

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MORDIN’S METHODS 1. The goal of a system is not to pick winners but to identify a type of horse that the betting public consistently underrates. 2. The best systems are based on facts which defy most punters’ expectations. 3. Be suspicious of any system based on information that can easily be gleaned from your daily racing paper. 4. If a system is based on readily accessible information, it must use that information in an unexpected way. 5. If you can’t describe a system in a short sentence the idea behind it is almost certainly not strong enough to make it produce the greatest profits over a particular period. 6. Don’t bend the rules of a system to fit the results. 7. Do not expect a system to continue being profi table when the circumstances that gave rise to it change. 8. Avoid systems whose success is based on an inadequate sample of results. 9. Always remember that the betting market will eventually adjust to take account of any successful method for identifying winners. 10. Don’t follow any system blindly.

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HOW TO NICK THE NATIONAL WINNER 1. Award five points to entries that raced off a handicap mark of at least 137 that same season. 2. Five points if they had previously reached the first three in a steeplechase with at least 13 runners. 3. Five points if they had already won over at least three miles. 4. Another five points if they’ve won over three miles three furlongs plus, or reached the first three in one of the big five Grand Nationals –Aintree, Irish, Scottish, Welsh, Midlands. 5. Five points if they did not race as a novice chaser in the previous season. 6. Five points if they had completed the course in a field of 18 or more on a chase track where more than 8.5 per cent of runners have fallen in the past decade. 7. Five points if they are set to carry less than 11 stones 2 pounds. 8. Five points if they ran over hurdles this season. 9. Five points if they’ve won no more than once in their last six runs. 10. Five points if they were not bred in France. 11. Five points if they’ve ever earned a Racing Post rating higher than 145. 12. Five points if they haven’t worn any headgear this season.

Mordin suggested using horses which score 55 or more points as a basis for finding the winner, and explained, ‘Some of them, I concede, look a bit odd. But believe me, they work. 20 SAMPLE FOR FURTHER REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION 2011. www.bettingsystemprofessional.com


PULLEIN’S POINTERS ‘When betting on whether [football] managers will lose their jobs, what matters is the world as it is, not as it should be.’ Pullein points out in January 2008 that it is, ‘pointless worrying about what should happen. Just think about the sort of things that do happen.’ ‘When thinking about whether a bookmaker’s price might be wrong we could start by assuming it is right. We would then examine all information from every perspective to see whether there was any way it could be considered consistent with that assumption. Only if the possibility was very small indeed would we accept the alternative, conclude that the price was probably wrong and have a bet.’ ‘Teams who appear to be either home specialists or away specialists are really experiencing a freak sequence of results, which started for no reason and will soon end for no reason.’ ‘You are almost always better off betting in singles rather than in multiples.’ ‘Try to make sure that you are watching because you have had a bet, rather than having a bet because you are watching.’ ‘No matter how good a British club may be, they are rarely quite as good as the bookmakers would have us believe for a European tie.’ ‘Assess teams on their merits and ignore reputations’ – Pullein’s May 2008 play-offs’ advice Observe the 10 per cent rule: if you’ve decided to invest £1,000 in ten tranches of £100 and your first horse loses, then stake next time not £100, but £90, then 10 per cent of what you have left and so on. 21 SAMPLE FOR FURTHER REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION 2011. www.bettingsystemprofessional.com


Most gamblers chase each loss. When they lose they bet more heavily on the next one. When they win they tend to hold on to the profit for later. That’s the wrong way to gamble. It should be exactly the other way around. *** Smart players cover loss. Not chasing it and never chasing it blindly or beyond losing margin. In sequence betting you cover to point of pure profit, just profit or low loss. Don’t bet that thanksgiving turkey will fly rather find good pigeon to cover flight. Superior novice hurdlers who won last time out making their seasonal debut in novice chases are usually a good bet (contrary to popular belief). In fact, on average, you win more times than they fall. In big 16-plus runner handicaps, more than 50 per cent of the winners come from the first four in the betting. Eliminate the rest and concentrate your study on these fancied horses. The professional gambler has to learn to live with disappointment without allowing it to cloud their decision-making ability. Whenever I have a losing streak, I take a holiday. It’s very hard to continue making the right judgments if you’re losing. You tend to chase your losses. DON’T. *** I never agreed with no chase rule know why too. There is always systematic approach to both lose and win just don’t overflow stakes. It s always better to chase 1$ loss over 90% of 1$ wins then to chase single loss of 100$.

Avoid odds-on shots. You don't have to bet.

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NATIONAL IMPORTANCE 1. Bet to win: Rather than back one or two eachway, back two or four to win. This rule does not apply to ‘pin money’ punters with only one selection to back, as they will get the hump if it finishes second and they get nothing at all back, even though the return will probably only just cover the outlay! 2. Good going: Forget anything priced over 40/1 if the going is soft or better. 3. Past experience: Don’t worry if your fancy has never tackled the race or run over the course before – Red Rum won first time out in the event, and you can overdo the previous experience card. 4. Get heavy: If the going gets heavy, form can go out of the window – time to back a couple of outsiders. 5. Ones to watch: Those who ran well at Cheltenham but without having too hard a race are worth putting on the shortlist. 6. Ones to miss: Dour stayers aren’t the best selections – they will probably stay the trip – but at a pace to suit themselves. 7. Form factor: Look for a gradual improver from a shrewd stable which has been trained just for this day, but never forget the hurly burly of this race can scupper even the best laid plans. 8. Stick to your guns: Do NOT change your mind once you have picked out a runner. 9. Talking shop: Never be intimidated from having a bet because you are a betting shop novice – either bet online or remember that betting shops want your business and, of all days, staff are ready, willing and able to be gentle with virgins on National day. 23 SAMPLE FOR FURTHER REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION 2011. www.bettingsystemprofessional.com


10. Real McCoy: He hasn’t won it yet – but Tony McCoy WILL do a Frankie Dettori – who had never won the Derby until 2007 – and eventually win the biggest race in his chosen sport. So always have at least a couple of quid on him so that you can celebrate along with AP when it happens.

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FLINT AND NORTH’S TEN GOLDEN RULES 1. You don’t have to bet – patience and choosing your moment to strike are virtues often rewarded. 2. Every runner has a right and a wrong price. 4/6 may be generous while 6/1 may be niggardly. Learn to estimate odds in advance – then look for value. 3. Tote odds often provide you with extra profit. 4. Even form figures that read 000 or 00 or just 0 need the closest scrutiny. 5. Tote speciality bets often provide amazingly good value – especially when favourites are beaten. 6. The state of the going is perhaps the most important single factor of all. 7. Leading jockeys often give a clear indication of their own assessment of their chances. With opportunities to ride at more than one meeting, their mounts at the selected venue should be the subject of special study. 8. Each-way bets on two-year-old races opposing the odds-on favourite will not endear you to the layers, but they should yield a profit. All you need is a thick skin! 9. Bookmakers welcome punters who speculate on the open and difficult looking handicaps. You should avoid them. 10. It is fatal to chase losses or think in terms of getting out on the day. There is always tomorrow, and the day after.

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MITCHELL’S TOP TEN 1. With the current maximum number of meetings jockeys can ride in per week being nine, look out for a top name having just the one ride on an afternoon card before going on to a later meeting, or making the teatime effort at a late fixture for the one booking. 2. Never, never, never back a horse in a three mile plus chase with over 11 stone on its back. I know the odd one will creep in but, generally, this is the best value call in racing. 3. Look for a top man over jumps doing a light weight for a yard he seldom rides for. 4. Number crunch the stats of an established race before you have a bet. They are readily available and mean everything to finding winners. 5. Check trainers you follow at a course where you know their target horses: Victor Dartnall and Nick Williams at Uttoxeter, for example. 6. Always look for course specialists at ‘freak’ tracks such as Carlisle, Kelso and Towcester. Southwell is a punter’s paradise as long as you stick to the regulars and take your time in picking when they are handicapped to strike. 7. Know your trainers and look for well-handicapped horse transfers to yards which are renowned for their first time out strike-rate. Sir Rembrandt was a classic case in point when he won at the Paddy Power meeting in November 2007. He left Robert Alner for the harder training regime of Victor Dartnall and was a 15-2 certainty on the day. 8. Watch the top apprentices in the Heritage Flat handicaps. With confidence high in the saddle those seven-pound, five-pound and three-pound claims really do make a difference, as Dark Missile (22-1) and William Buick showed in the 2007 Wokingham. 26 SAMPLE FOR FURTHER REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION 2011. www.bettingsystemprofessional.com


9. Please don’t get lazy on draw preferences which are more important than I can emphasise. Use the draw as a crucial part of ‘working’ a race when you are getting the likely tactics sorted out. 10. Always read ‘Value Scope’ in the Daily Mirror on Saturdays.

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NEAL’S NOTES Never ring and ask a person for their opinion if you do not intend to take any notice. Always stick to your original selections and number of bets and do not chase losses. *** This “chase loses” from me and “do not” from others can make you confused. Most of this folks think not chase on same cup or play. Almost all point not to chase in horses. My chase is on types of game with high probability and low randomness like goals in football. I tend to explain that covered system contains chase but totally unrelated to losses occurred. Closed system start from make profit, regardless of chasing in 2 or 3 or 4 rows. It starts with lower risk on better probability and function to end of having all sequences profiting with rising stake and bending risk. But if you keep it above 75% of wins you will understand need for to cover and have system better boxed and fully circled.

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