Business Outlook For 1936

F. W. ELLIOTT, Schafer Bros. Lumber & Shingle Co., San Francisco

The present outlook for the wholesale lumber business for at least the early part of 1936 is very rosy. With a large amount of public money to be expended, as well as home loans and other Government incentives to building construction, the retail yards in Central California should enjoy a very fine business.

In the case of cargo shippers, this outlook is badly dimmed by the maritime labor situation, as apparently there is no possibility of immediate peace and every probability of another long and costly tie-up between now and the first of June.

Even with this dark cloud on the horizon, we think that the lumber business in general is heading for the best year it has had in the last decade.

. D. FRANK PARK. Park Lumber Co., La Mesa Business for 1936 is going to double 1935, no doubt about it. If expenses rvere not increasing double we might all rnake some money.

H. G. LARRICK, President. The Lumber & Builders Supply Company, Solana Beach

From 1897 to LX)Z these Southern California communities suffered a severe climatic "dry spell"-its memory is still with us, although almost a fable-from its lessons emerged new communities-based on adequate water supplles.

From 1930 to 1935 these communities suffered severely from a financial "dry spell," from which we are beginning to emerge; we are confident 1936 will speed us on our way continuing to rebuild us on a sound financial basis, leading to certain and lasting prosperity.

BRUCE CLARK,

Vice-President, Elliott Bay Mill Company, Seattle

In our opinion, the demand for our product will continue to exceed the supply in the first half of 1936.

Local conditions are improving steadily and without exception our sales offices in the various territories report similar conditions, with much new building in prospect.

When You Sell

Booth-Kclly Douglar Fir, the Ascosiation gradc and trade mark certify to your customcrr thc quality of thc stocL, you handlc. Buildcrr quit gueceing about what they're buyin-g, and buy whcrc thcy lcnow what thcy're gctting.

T. B. LAWRENCE, President, Lawrence-Philips Lumber Co., Loe Angel6s

, We expect that Southern California will use a larger volume of lumber ]n 7936 than is 1935.

" Yard stocks are low at present which should strengthen the demand during the early part of the year.

.' Water freight rates are up 50c for 1936 and we expect higher lumber prices by several dollars than existed for the past ninety days.

, We believe coastwise tonnage will be s,carce during 1936 4nd deliveries. will be slower.

We.,are ha.ving labor.trouble now on the steam schooners and,expect.filore .serious and extended labor trouble both Sn the ships and at the mills before 1936 is over.

i n. E. BRYAN, president-General Manager, Strable Hardwood Company, ,'

OaHand

On the east shores of San Francisco Bay there will develop in the year of 1936 a home building activity equal to, if .not exceeding, the best years of the early ninetten twenties.

The accumulated need for homes . . . the fact that our people are thinking of and earnestly desiring homes the progress toward completion being made on the San Francisco. Bridge-all point to an increased home building program in our immediate territory.

, The back country will also need and use more lumber and its'products, due primarily to better returns on farm products. 'We can see only the best prospects for the lumber industry for next year.

The outlook for 1936 for us is quite encouraging due to excellent prospects for increased vollrme, and a more sincere effort towards making a legitimate profit by the ivfiotesdlihg fraternity as a whole.

J.

' We have been crossed-up, disappointed and red inked so often in the past years that we are very hesitant about prophesying, but if vve might whisper it, conditions look better for a'good building year around the Bay than they have for a long, long tme.

SAM T. HAYWARD, Vice

President,

Hayward Lumber & Investment Co., Los Angeles

I really believe 1936 will be every bit as good as 1935, possibly better. However, it is election year and there is a lot of uncertainty which makes it impossible for anyone to make a very good guess as to the future.

We are all expecting a better year in 1936, but I am afraid our hoping it will be, has a.lot to do in making us expect it to be better.

HARRY McGAHEY,

_l\danager, San Diego Lumber Company,, San Diego ,,

We hSve enjoyed a fairly good iear during 1935 tnit believe 1936 will be as goo_d if not better regardless of thp Presidential election. Building loans are easier to obtain than they have been any time for the past five years and we see a definite necessity for a great.many homes as well as a considerable amount of commercial and public buildilg.. In fact, more than we have had for several years. If we did not sincerely believe business was going to be better we would not have spent approximately ten thousand dollars for new equipment as we have done in the past few months.

CTIRIS. M. WININGER, Manager, Pyramid Lumber Sales Co., Oakland w. J. HAYWARD, Pacific Manufacturing Co., Santa Clara

Answering yours of Dec. 19th, will say that we anticipate a fair volume of business for 1936. The demand is here. The money is here, but there is too much GREED in the minds of those concerned to let the demand and monev work together for the good of the country. In spite of this greed, business will be fair to good in 1936.

The outlook for business during the coming year looks very favorable to us.

FRANK CURRAN, Frank Curran Lumber Co., fnc., Santa Ana

In response to your appeal of.recent date for an,expression as to the outlook for the new 1936 in this trade area, about all we have to offer is: "If able editors and other moulders of public opinion would keep their eyes open and their mouths shut and indulge in something else besides blasting the Government for pay, 1936 will be a satisfactory business year for others besides professional spell-binders."