Year I - Number 71 Monday July 9, 2012 Editor-in-chief: Tiago Azevedo Deputy editor-in-chief: José I. Duarte MOP 6.00
Disneyfication Chinese-style – to lure new visitors Macau could succeed where Las Vegas lost its nerve says a leading tourism academic. That’s in building a new market for family visitors via a theme park – in Macau’s case on neighbouring Hengqin Island. It could be a major factor in diversifying the city’s tourism economy away from its adult playground image says John Crossley, head of the Recreation and Leisure Services Program at Florida State University. Pages 4 & 5
www.macaubusinessdaily.com
Amnesty likely for pay-TV ‘pirates’ T
he city’s unusual pay-TV market whereby unlicensed public antenna companies are allowed to operate alongside the supposed exclusive licence holder Macau Cable TV is to be reformed. The government is likely to get round the legal problems simply by retrospectively legalising the ‘pirates’ when MCTV’s concession expires at the end of 2014, suggests a lawyer for MCTV.
Luís Almeida Pinto says his client isn’t opposed to such a move. “In no way do we want to terminate the public antenna companies,” he stressed. “We want them to be properly licensed in order not to infringe upon the exclusive activities of Macau Cable TV.” The basic problem is that while MCTV has itself paid TV channels in Greater China and overseas for the right to redistribute their content, the
public antennae companies have not. This puts MCTV at a major commercial disadvantage as the ‘pirates’ can undercut its prices. But a Lower Court judgement said MCTV is not the right entity to take legal action against the public antenna companies for copyright infringement. Any such suit would have to be filed by the owners of those rights, namely overseas copyright-protect channels. The company, however,
vowed to appeal against the decision, Mr Pinto told Business Daily. MCTV has previously asked for 500 million patacas (US$63 million) in government compensation in an arbitration case for the infringement on its concession and licensed rights. Public antenna companies began operating in the 1970s and were never curtailed when the 15-year MCTV concession was granted in 1999. More on page 2
Taiwan casino ‘yes’ vote – Macau ops not losing sleep
HANG SENG INDEX 19840
Residents of some outlying Taiwanese islands have voted for a casino resort. Macau operators are unlikely to be losing any sleep. Matsu is only six miles from the Chinese mainland but few Fujian tourists currently come to Macau. And Taiwan’s vocal anti-casino lobby could extend further the two-decade debate on the issue. Singapore took only five years from policy announcement to the opening of its first casino.
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CEM sparks fresh interest from Portuguese investor
July 6
HSI - Movers
Portugal’s electricity generator and distributor would like to take a larger, controlling, stake in Macau’s power firm Companhia de Electricidade de Macau SA – known as CEM. The chief executive of the Portuguese company made the remarks on the sidelines of an investment seminar. António Mexia is in Macau as part of the delegation led by Portuguese Minister of Foreign Affairs Paulo Portas.
Name
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Record month for commercial property
%Day
WANT WANT CHINA
5.67
CHINA OVERSEAS
4.82
CATHAY PAC AIR
2.63
AIA GROUP LTD
2.58
CHINA LIFE INS-H
2.12
CNOOC LTD
-1.27
BANK OF COMMUN-H
-2.48
CHINA CONST BA-H
-2.65
BANK EAST ASIA
-3.48
ESPRIT HLDGS
-3.88
Almost 1.7 billion patacas (US$213 million) were spent in commercial unit transactions in May, the highest monthly figure since the Statistics and Census Service began collecting data in 1999. The number of shops sold rose almost a third to 237, an 11-month high, which means each store was sold for an average of 7.2 million patacas, the second-highest figure since the handover.
2012-7-09
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27˚ 33˚
Source: Bloomberg
2012-7-10
2012-7-11
27˚ 33˚
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business daily July 9, 2012
macau
Public antenna firms expected to get govt nod Macau Cable TV is appealing against a court’s dismissal of its suit against public antenna companies for copyright infringement Vítor Quintã
M
acau Cable TV Ltd has appealed against the Lower Court’s dismissal of its suit against public antenna companies for copyright infringement, but has hinted that it expects these companies will become its legal rivals after its exclusive cable television concession ends in 2014. The Lower Court’s judgement conceded that public antenna companies “are drawing revenue from ... illegal activities”, Macau Cable TV’s lawyer, Luís Almeida Pinto, told Business Daily. “In no way do we want to terminate the public antenna companies,” he said. “We want them to be properly licensed in order not to infringe upon the exclusive activities of Macau Cable TV.” Mr Pinto said this would make the transition easier when Macau Cable TV’s 15-year exclusive concession ended in 2014. He hinted that Macau Cable TV believes the public antenna companies will then receive official licences. Even though Macau Cable TV has an exclusive concession to offer cable television, public antenna companies, which began operating in the 1970s before Macau Cable TV was established, have most of the market, mainly because they are cheaper. In a judgement handed down last month but released to the news media on Thursday, the Lower Court acknowledged that public antenna companies “continue committing acts of unfair competition, and that behaviour must be criticised”. But the court said it was not up to Macau Cable TV to take legal action
against the public antenna companies for copyright infringement. The court said it was up to the owners of the copyrights to the programmes shown. “That’s a legal view that has been widely discussed, even in Portugal. It’s a technical and legal issue on which we disagree with the court and we have already appealed to the [Court of] Second Instance,” Mr Pinto said.
Exclusivity issue The Lower Court said any suit by Macau Cable TV would have to be against the government for failing to stop illegal activities. Macau Cable TV “cannot impose its right directly on the defendants because it is up to the government to monitor and tackle illicit activities,” the judgement says. The court said the exclusivity of Macau Cable TV’s contract was being infringed. “The government cannot grant a third party the right to provide cable television services without breaching the concession contract with Macau Cable TV, unless the law is changed,” the judgement says. “Macau Cable TV should file a relevant suit against the licensor for its failure to fulfil its duties.” The Court of Second Instance declined last year to grant an injunction against public antenna companies offering cable television but criticised the government for “undermining the concession contract by failing to fulfil the duties it implies”. Mr Pinto said Macau Cable TV
business as usual
The worst taxi drivers Paulo A. Azevedo pazevedo@macaubusiness.com
Y
Photo by Manuel Cardoso
vitorquinta@macaubusinessdaily.com
ou find them all over the world. In Prague, when it rains, in Kiev, taking advantage of the thousands trying to make their way to a European Cup game, and in Brazil, when you think it might be wise to avoid a “favela”, those immense shantytowns climbing the hills of Rio de Janeiro. With this editorial, I want to be selfish and not dwell on the others. I want to talk about our taxi drivers. I’m disgusted with many of them. They are impolite, cheat and think they are untouchable because the people in government with the responsibility to teach the bad apples a lesson basically ridicule the mere idea of being a civil servant. If bad taxi drivers are not heavily fined and their profession regulated by stiffer rules, the billions of dollars that Macau spends in campaigns to attract tourists goes down the drain. That is a pity because Macau really is a beautiful city, with centuries of history and lovely people. Those efforts will fall short, not only because of taxi drivers but also because of the blood-sucking tourist guides and agencies that try to illegally squeeze a buck from visitors to the city. Unfortunately, this is not the way forward.
Macau Cable TV is demanding 500 million patacas (US$63 million) in compensation from the government
was happy that the Lower Court had agreed that the activities of public antenna companies mean “unfair competition, copyright infringement and breach of an exclusive concession”. The ruling could give impetus to Macau Cable TV’s claim for 500
million patacas (US$63 million) in compensation from the government in a case it has sent for arbitration. Macau Cable TV’s concession contract says all contract disputes must be sent for arbitration. The contract says there can be no appeal against the decision of the arbitrators.
Register moves on despite prosecutors’ resistance Public prosecutors will be made to disclose their assets publicly
T
he government and legislators have reached consensus on a proposal to declare their assets to the public, despite opposition from several prosecutors. President of the Legislative Assembly’s first standing committee Kwan Tsui Hang said on Friday the government would extend asset disclosure requirements to lawmakers, Executive Council members and magistrates. But she revealed that the committee had received a letter from the office of Prosecutor General Ho Chio Meng saying some prosecutors were against the move to disclose their assets on the Court of Final Appeal’s website. The standing committee spoke to the Public Prosecutors’ Council, which stressed that the letter did not reflect the majority of prosecutors. The Judicial Magistrates’ Council declined to give its opinion, saying it was “a political option,” Ms Kwan said. The thrust of the prosecutors’ letter was judicial independence would be threatened if they were forced to register their assets. Legislators said the requirement would have
“no impact whatsoever” on either prosecutors or judges. Ms Kwan said the asset register would include real estate assets – minus details about their value or location – commercial or industrial companies, interests or holdings in commercial or civil firms, and positions held in nonprofit organisations. The letter from prosecutors said disclosing their assets was “disrespecting” magistrates. Ms Kwan rejected the argument, saying: “This is not about respect. It’s a political issue focusing on the public’s right to information”. “Given magistrates’ discretionary power, society should be even more keen on accessing information on their assets, to see if they could affect their decisions, which impacts people’s freedom.” Ms Kwan said the government was committed to protecting personal details from abuse and ensuring the population’s right to information. The proposal is now back with the government, which has to redraft the law. V.Q.
July 9, 2012 business daily | 3
MACAU
Taiwan outlying island group’s ‘yes’ to casino Matsu, six miles off China coast unlikely to poach trade from Macau
T
he recent soap opera at the New Century Hotel at Taipa – involving a junket boss, goons with hammers and ladies either scorned or raised up from obscurity – masks an important truth about Macau. This is that the things making the headlines locally or around the world are often a sideshow to the real news. A good example of what’s really important is the potential constitutional impact – for Macau, Hong Kong and mainland China – of the graft allegations against Joseph Lau Luen Hung. Mr Lau is one of Hong Kong’s most prominent businessmen and chairman and chief executive of Chinese Estates – the company that had been due to develop La Scala – a luxury housing project near Macau airport. On May 23 Mr Lau was formally accused by a Macau court of bribery and money laundering in relation to the scheme. According to lawyers spoken to by Business Daily, there is no formal extradition arrangement between Hong Kong and Macau. So if Mr Lau decided he would really rather not risk being the chicken that gets ‘chopped’ in order to scare the monkeys, could he be forced to come to Macau for the hearing? It would put Hong Kong in a very difficult position politically. It was Hong Kong that in effect triggered the downfall of Ao Man Long, a former Macau secretary for transport and public works first jailed for corruption in 2006 – who supposedly was also the beneficiary of Mr Lau’s alleged generosity over the La Scala deal.
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Warming ties Taiwan’s President Ma Ying-jeou has eased restrictions on visits by Chinese tourists since he took office in 2008 as part of a process of normalisation in relations between the two former enemies. Arrivals from the mainland rose to 1.78 million last year from 1.63
The biter bit Associate Editor
Associate Editor
hree-quarters of the residents of Matsu, an archipelago of small Taiwanese islands off the coast of mainland China have voted in favour of allowing casino gaming there. A total of 1,795 people voted ‘yes while 1,341 voted ‘no’ and 28 cast invalid votes, said the Matsu county government, adding the voter turnout rate was 40 percent. But an analyst says Matsu is unlikely to have much impact on Macau gaming revenues or tourism numbers. In Taiwan – unlike in Macau – the concept of casino gaming has been a politically divisive topic. Casinos have been mooted in Taiwan for the past 20 years; but only for hard-to-reach places away from the main island. Timothy Ferry, writing in a research paper published by the American Chamber of Commerce in Taipei, says: “Matsu has significant drawbacks that might severely limit casino operators’ interest. The infrastructure is almost non-existent for a major resort, and the area is plagued by fog and bad weather that often restrict flights.” On the plus side for Matsu, it is only a half-hour ferry ride from China’s Fujian province, which has a population of 35.4 million – greater than the whole of Canada’s. “Gaming in Matsu would draw some visitors from the Fujian province as the quick 30-minute ferry ride would be much easier for residents to make than a trip to Macau,” says Grant Govertsen of Union Gaming Research Macau. “We believe that visitation from Fujian province [currently] has a very minimal impact on overall Macau GGR,” he adds.
editorial
Head office
Rustic charm to neon nightlife? Qinbi Village in Beigan, Matsu Islands
million in 2010. But remaining diplomatic tensions mean a Taiwan casino industry focused on mainland visitors could be vulnerable to visa policy tightening at short notice. The idea of Taiwan casinos gathered momentum in early 2009 when the first administration of Mr Ma amended the Offshore Islands Development Act to allow for casino development under an ‘integrated resort’ model that would also include international hotels, convention centres, and other tourist facilities. At the time a Taiwan government spokesman specifically referred to Singapore’s
Kinmen, Penghu and Matsu – candidates for Taiwan casinos
success in developing casino resorts as an inspiration both for Taiwan’s policy and for its terms of reference. A big difference between the two is that Singapore started talking about casinos in 2005 and had the first one open by February 2010. Taiwan started talking about casinos in 1993 and still doesn’t have an ounce of concrete in the ground. “In our view, the first slot machines and table games would be several years out,” says Mr Govertsen commenting on the Matsu vote. “In addition, we believe the impact on Macau gross gaming revenue would be minimal – only around five percent of overall visitation to Macau is from Taiwan, and Matsu is less conveniently located from Taipei than Macau,” he adds. Taiwan’s Council for Economic Planning and Development said in 2009 it thought a domestic casino industry could generate annual revenues of NT$100 billion (US$3 billion) though industry analysts consider this optimistic. In April last year Gary Loveman, chief executive of the U.S.based casino operator Caesars Entertainment (which as Harrah’s missed out on gaming licences in Macau and Singapore), visited Kinmen and Penghu, two other Taiwanese-controlled island chains that the gaming industry is eyeing as venues. In September 2009 residents of Penghu County voted to reject a proposal for casino resorts by a 57 percent to 43 percent margin.
According to those who claim to know, Mr Ao’s fate was in effect sealed when the recently retired Hong Kong chief executive Donald Tsang Yam Kuen appealed directly to Beijing saying Mr Ao was ‘out of control’. Hong Kong apparently only took this drastic step because it felt its appeals were being ignored by Macau. As far back as 2005, Hong Kong-based developers had been complaining publicly in investor forums that Macau lacked an open tender system for land bids and infrastructure projects.
If Hong Kong – which prides itself on having a strong rule of law – were to indicate Mr Lau is under no obligation to attend the new Macau court hearing it would look like an act of deep hypocrisy Once Beijing’s attention had been drawn to the Ao saga, it in turn raised the matter directly with Macau. This set in motion court cases that were deeply embarrassing and alarmingly close to home for then Macau chief executive Edmund Ho Hau Wah, a rising star in mainland China’s political system. So if Hong Kong – which prides itself on having a strong rule of law – were to indicate Mr Lau is under no obligation to attend the new Macau court hearing it would look like an act of deep hypocrisy. But were Hong Kong to oblige – whether through formal channels or informal ones – Mr Lau to attend the hearing, it would set a precedent. And under Hong Kong’s English common law tradition, a precedent is almost as good as a statute. Once set, how would Hong Kong or Macau resist say a request from the People’s Republic for the extradition from their respective territories of a person accused of political crimes? Thus baby step by baby step, can Macau and Hong Kong’s constitutional systems be ‘reconciled’ with the motherland well before the 50-year transition period is completed. That puts the shenanigans at the New Century in proper perspective.
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business daily July 9, 2012
macau Brought to you by
HOSPITALITY Fortune or feet up? Tourists are surveyed about their motives for visiting Macau. Same-day and overnight visitors are interviewed and their answers are combined in the government’s reports, and that may hide significant differences in their answers. Interestingly, the vast majority of tourists surveyed declare they come to Macau for a vacation, although that has declined slightly. Between 2010 and last year, the number of tourists who said their main reason for visiting Macau was for a holiday, fell from 65 percent to 62 percent. Vacation as main purpose of visit, select areas of origin (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 SE Asia
Ja pan
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Hong Kong
China
2010
avg2010
2011
avg2011
Luciana Leitão
leitao.luciana@macaubusiness.com
Photo by Manuel Cardoso
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Gambling as main purpose of visit, select areas of origin (%) China
Hong Kong
Taiw an
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SE Asia
5
Hengqin Island and its theme park will be a good opportunity for Macau to diversify away from its adult playground image. So says John Crossley, head of the Recreation and Leisure Services Program at Florida State University. Mr Crossley sees great opportunities apart from the gaming industry. More events would help raise the city’s standing, promote economic diversification and appeal to a different type of traveller.
20
Mainland tourists make up about twothirds of arrivals and the survey sample is representative of that fact. Focusing on leading source markets for tourists, arrivals from Taiwan and Hong Kong declare they come to Macau in much lower numbers to holiday. That may be linked to their proximity to the city and, also, their use of Macau as a transit point. A majority of Japanese visitors – more than 80 percent in both 2010 and last year – vacation here. Only a minority of those surveyed – 10 and 9 percent – declares gambling as the main purpose for their visit, which may come as a surprise.
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Plotting a trail to tourism stardom
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2010 2011
Of the tourists that say they come to Macau to gamble, Hong Kong residents are the leading source of visitors, with figures of 22 percent and 19 percent in 2010 and last year. That is, respectively, four and three times the values for the next biggest source markets, the mainland and Japan. Besides the difference in answers by sameday and overnight visitors, it would also be interesting to have multiple choice or ranked answers. As it is formulated, the survey seems to strongly underestimate the motive “gambling”. One may be forgiven for conjecturing that a differently structured survey might lead to significantly different results. J.I.D.
How would you compare Las Vegas and Macau, in terms of tourism diversification? Las Vegas went through an evolution, where they lived under the “Sin City” image, the adult playground. Then they tried to diversify and become more of a family destination, taking away the Disney market. Some people think they failed. If you look at some of the data, it is mixed. I don’t think they failed. The fact is that only about 10 percent of the visitors are younger than 21. I don’t think they met their expectations but a lot of people go to Las Vegas for things other than gaming. They diversify with
so many different things in Las Vegas, that even though they think they might have failed to become the destination resort that Disney is, they still came a long away. Diversification here, in Macau, can help as well. But I don’t see Macau becoming a Disney destination. Hengqin Island opens up so many possibilities and that could attract a whole different market. If Macau and Hengqin can be marketed
as a destination region, that’s the best of both worlds. One can complement the other. I think in that way it can offer more than Vegas does. Is Macau on the right track to promote diversification? From what I can see and read, it looks to me Macau is making very good progress in having events and other type of non-gaming that draw tourists. But they could do more. Look at the numbers. They doubled their tourism in a short period of time. They’re obviously doing something right. Events have to be part of that. The length of stay is not very long here and that’s an area where more
July 9, 2012 business daily | 5
MACAU If Macau and Hengqin can be marketed as a destination region, that’s the best of both worlds … I think it can offer more than Vegas does
diversification might help people to stay longer. That’s where Hengqin can have a big effect. Are events the key solution? Macau is having more events. If you look at recreation opportunities as events, on one hand, that are single occurrence, big-crowd drawing, as opposed to ongoing sort of things, like kids quests, I think the events are the way to go. If you look at Salt Lake City, in Utah, when it won the Olympics it got the world’s attention and the image changed. It came up several notches. There is an image a destination can have. Las Vegas is still Sin City but Macau could be the best of both worlds. You’ve mentioned Hengqin Island. What possibilities do you foresee in developing the neighbouring island? They’re going to have the world’s largest whale and shark exhibit, they’re going to have a lot of family recreation-type activities, such as a water-theme park, and that’s going to bring people that seek benefits other than gaming, shopping and nightlife. If you look at why people come to Macau, according to research, 62 percent are saying they are coming here for a vacation and pleasure, and only 9 percent for gaming. This is a study that was done here in Macau. I wonder if it’s socially inappropriate to say ‘my main reason is gaming’. We can probably mix in gaming with the other things. That’s a broader category. It’s interesting that the primary reason for coming is only 9 percent; like in Vegas, where they say 8 percent but 77 percent of the travellers actually do gamble. And the per capita spending in Vegas for gaming is higher than the per capita spending for shopping and shows. But people will search for diversification. The typical gambler in Las Vegas only spends two and a half hours a day there. Diversification can provide a reason for people to stay longer. Was Las Vegas successful in promoting diversification through recreation and events? Now they are saying ‘What happens in Vegas, stays in Vegas’, implying you come here and do what you want and they don’t tell anybody. You go back home and you can be naughty in Vegas that no one would know. There are actually more young people under 21 now than there was before, when it was supposed to be marketed as ‘family’. So, to me, I think they’ve succeeded in diversifying. I wonder if they didn’t want their expectations to be bigger.
But they closed down the watertheme park. There’s some thought that the family thing didn’t yield the results they wanted.
Different paths Should Macau adopt the same strategy as Vegas? There’s a difference and I think the potential for Macau and Hengqin could be greater because Vegas doesn’t have theme parks, Vegas doesn’t have some of the other attractions that are being planned [for Macau]. The potential could be greater. Certainly it would increase the length of stay. How much greater I don’t know. Another think I don’t know, what’s the party size that comes here? Is it more men and women? Or men just coming out here alone to have a good time? Do they bring kids or not? I haven’t seen data on that, I don’t know if they collect data like that. It’s hard to get a handle on that. My gut feeling says that this is a bit more of an adult playground than what it can be when Hengqin is built to provide another alternative. Las Vegas was built from scratch and Macau is a city with hundreds of years of history. Do you think such cultural specificities should be used to appeal for a different type of visitor? Among the American market, I can’t speak for the world market, the increase in heritage tourism, ecotourism, and so forth, is growing. Is this a worldwide phenomenon? I don’t know how much Asians are into history. I don’t know if marketing the churches tour and so-forth would go over so good. I think it’s the events. What kind of events? I’m talking of events like the Grand Prix, the Arts Festival, the Fireworks Display, the Dragon Boat Festival, and so forth. Considering the differences, should the approach to diversification be different in Macau and Vegas? Right now, it seems its gaming, shopping and entertainment, and other things are minimal. If you look at the facilities they have here, they have lots of sports facilities and entertainment, but do they have one with the size to be a world class for a really world-class event? Could you have one of the top concerts in the world here? I see lots of smaller venues. Maybe a bigger venue would help. Looking at the entertainment offering, are these shows that hotel-casinos host, like The House of Dancing Water, effective in attracting other types of travellers?
The length of stay is not very long here and that’s an area where more diversification might help people to stay longer. That’s where Hengqin can have a big effect
Standing by itself it’s not enough. You have it but as one of the attractions of the whole package. There’s an idea called the crown jewel concept, in which there is something that draws everybody and the other things take advantage of that. Do we have a crown jewel here? I don’t know, but there are a lot of smaller jewels. In Utah, the Olympics became the crown jewel and it gained popularity worldwide, it gained immensurable visibility in the years to come. That changed for the better. Americans … Do we ever hear about Macau? No. Macau is one of the best-kept secrets of tourism. I’m impressed, just in a day, with what I’ve seen. It will be interesting to see if the new developments are done with class, clean and meet world-class standards, and, if they do, then the package will be good. A limitation is that we might have to pay for a visa to get over to Hengqin, and then even if you only stay a day, to me that is restrictive. I know the concerns are about the Chinese population but why can’t tourist visas be more open? If they were more open, you could package them much better. But it’s the hassle of it. Some people just don’t want the hassle of going through all that stuff, we’re used to travelling to places where you get visas on arrival and to go through all this other stuff is a turn-off. I think improvements need to be made there. Hopefully down the road it will.
because of the American economy? Or because Americans didn’t like the family destination orientation? I think it dropped but it has built back up from 2009 until now. Visitors and total spending is not as high per capita per day as it was back then. I think it was the economy. Vegas has been hurt by the American economy but it’s building back up. The Chinese economy has slow downed a little bit. What are the factors that might hamper diversification? A problem could be finding out what the people want to do when they come here and how to reach them, how to convince them that this is a destination with more to offer. Another problem may be the hassle of the visa and then is the transportation. It would be a shame if Macau has everything it has got, and Hengqin has everything it’s got, and the people are coming back and forth. It is shame if they developed as two separate entities. Cooperative package is the key here. It would be a shame if that doesn’t happen because of the visas and the transportation.
Twin pack Could diversification have positive effects on the gaming industry? I don’t know but I know the more people stay, the more they are going to spend. Do people come here with a budget for gambling? If they have a set budget, do they spread it out during the days? Or, if they stay more days, do they increase the budget? I think it needs more research done. I think one of the biggest needs of research isn’t about the people who come here, but the people who aren’t here. [We need to research] the people who have the means to go to vacations, from Hong Kong, mainland China, and other major markets, and choose to go other places. Why aren’t they coming here? What are the benefits they seek that maybe could be marketed better here, as a regional destination, but its easy to get research on the people who come, its harder to get research on people who don’t come. How about Las Vegas? The numbers have increased up to 2007 and that was so far the peak year in numbers of visitors and spending. It has decreased then. Is it
Do we ever hear about Macau? No. Macau is one of the best-kept secrets of tourism
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business daily July 9, 2012
macau
Airport passenger growth slows
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Shelf conscious The Statistics and Census Department publishes a quarterly survey of the retail sector. The first quarter’s survey show growth of 28 percent in retail sales, in year-on-year terms. That seems a good result, in line with the economy’s overall growth, which was estimated at 27.5 percent at current prices in the same period. Some retailers posted much higher rates of growth. For example, poultry and meat sales jumped by 49 percent; sales of goods in department stores rose by 35 percent; adult clothing, watches and jewellery, and communication equipment all rose by more than 40 percent. Retail sales: satisfaction with results in the first quarter (%)
Thai Smile Airways launched its first flight from Bangkok to Macau on Saturday
Despite a boom in mainland passengers and new routes, passenger growth eases last month
60 50 40
Very Satisfactory
Satisfactory
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Communica tion Eqt
Furniture
Electrical Goods
Cosmetics
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Pou lt ry &Mea t
Motor Vehicles
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30
10 0
Not Satisfactory
Curiously, some of these retailers are the least happy with the results from the last quarter. The chart shows each of the categories where more than 40 percent of the respondents expressed disappointment with their first quarter sales results. In three categories, more than half of those surveyed considered results “not satisfactory”: poultry and meat products, electrical goods, and furniture and lightning. Almost none of the people surveyed considered sales “very satisfactory”. These answers seem at odds with sales. Perhaps they also reflect a significant bias in the distribution of sales, that is, total sales may be rising but only a minority is benefiting. Retail sales expectations for the current quarter 80
60 Leather Goods
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When asked about their outlook for the second quarter, few respondents expect any significant improvement. Overall, about 15 percent of retailers expect conditions to improve but just three categories are more optimistic than the average: supermarkets, adults clothing shops and retailer of leather goods. Most believe, by a wide margin, that things will get worse or, at best, stay the same. It is a gloomy picture. Perhaps the survey is more influenced by psychology than actual results. Maybe the satisfaction with recent results may be dimmed by excessive expectation. An uncertain outlook could be the consequence of overreacting to previous results that fell below those excessive expectations. J.I.D.
Vítor Quintã
vitorquinta@macaubusinessdaily.com
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rowth in passenger volumes at Macau International Airport slowed last month but figures are expected to bounce back rapidly this month with three new airlines launching services. A statement released by the Macau International Airport Company Ltd on Thursday said about 356,700 passengers used the airport last month, a 4-percent increase over the same time last year. That was down from a 7 percent increase in passenger volume for the JanuaryMay period. Mainland routes provided the strongest passenger growth of 29
percent, far ahead of a 5-percent increase in Southeast Asian passengers. Passengers transferring flights increased by more than two-thirds last month, compared to the same period last year. Southeast Asia and the mainland are the airport’s most important markets for passengers, accounting for 36 percent and 33 percent of overall volume. Aircraft movements fell by 1.3 percent in year-on-year terms to less than 3,300 movements last month. Growth of 2 percent was recorded in the first five months of this year. Despite last month’s slowdown, the airport’s half yearly results showed increases in passenger volume, up by 6.7 percent, and aircraft
movements, up by 1.3 percent. More than 2 million passengers have used the airport so far this year, with new routes from Vietnam Airlines, Mandarin Airlines and Air Asia boosting traffic. The company said it was optimistic about the airport’s long-term growth and development, despite an uncertain economic outlook threatening short-term performance. Thai Smile Airways, a new lowcost subsidiary of Thai Airways International, launched its first flight from Bangkok to Macau on Saturday. The airline’s Bangkok-Macau route will be served twice a day. Two other airlines – South Korea’s Air Busan and AirAsia Philippines – plan to start services from Busan and Clark this month.
Chui pledges review but bus subsidies likely to stay
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hief Executive Fernando Chui Sai On has pledged a review of the process that adjusts subsidies paid to the city’s bus companies but did not say if the current, 23-percent increase would be suspended. Mr Chui said he had instructed Secretary for Transport and Public Works Lau Si Io to propose changes to the way the city’s bus operators receive subsidies and how their services are assessed. Bus operators Transportes Urbanos de Macau S.A.R.L., Sociedade de Transportes Colectivos de Macau S.A.R.L. and Reolian Public Transport Co Ltd may currently apply once a year for an increase in
the government’s per-mile subsidy. Speaking on the sidelines of a meeting with Portuguese officials on Saturday, Mr Chui said it was most important to improve the quality and safety of bus services. He called for the public’s understanding, saying the government and bus companies had to comply with the concession contract. The Transport Bureau said last month it would increase the money paid to bus companies by 23 percent, based on a formula that accounts for inflation, average salaries of the drivers and gas prices. The magnitude of the increase and transparency in the decisionmaking process were criticised in
the Legislative Assembly. Legislators Kwan Tsui Hang and Ng Kuok Cheong told reporters last week they wanted the government to suspend the subsidy until the public understood the background. The New Macau Association is collecting signatures until Friday for a petition against the subsidy increase. Transport Bureau director Wong Wan said last week his department would review the subsidy process to increase transparency without breaching the conditions of the contract. Officials will meet with legislators on Friday to discuss the government’s decision to increase the subsidy. T.L.
Weather Beijing 32/28o C Changchun 30/21o C
Harbin 29/21o C
Xian 26/23o C Shanghai 27/25o C Chengdu 30/23o C Kunming 27/18o C Haikou 32/25o C Sanya 31/24o C
Guangzhou 34/25o C
MACAU (9 July-14 July) Day
Temperature
Humidity
07/9
27/33o C
60/90 %
07/10
27/33o C
55/90 %
07/11
27/33o C
55/90 %
07/12
27/33o C
55/90 %
07/13
27/32o C
55/90 %
07/14
27/32o C
60/95 %
Shenzhen 33/26o C
ASIA (today)
Hong Kong 33/26o C
Manila
TOKYO
Jakarta
33/25o C
30/24o C
28/20o C
32/24o C
Macau 33/27o C
Bangkok
SEOUL
K. lumpur
37/26o C
SINGAPORE
27/20o C
33/24o C
taipei
36/28o C
July 9, 2012 business daily | 7
MACAU
EDP aims to take the lead in running CEM Photo by Manuel Cardoso
Chief executive of Portugal’s EDP thinks CEM can be an important element in the company’s Asian strategy
CEM may be a further stepping stone into Asia for Portugal’s EDP
Tiago Azevedo tiago.azevedo@macaubusinessdaily.com
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ower company EDP Energias de Portugal SA would like to take the lead role in running electricity supplier Companhia de Electricidade de Macau SA, EDP chief executive António Mexia said on Saturday. Mr Mexia was speaking on the
sidelines of a seminar here on investment and cooperation opportunities in Portugal. He was in Macau as a member of the party accompanying visiting Portuguese Minister of Foreign Affairs Paulo Portas. Companhia de Electricidade or CEM
is controlled by two main groups, with several minority shareholders. A Sino-Portuguese group owns 42 percent. The biggest shareholder in this group is EDP subsidiary, EDP Ásia – Investimento e Consultadoria Ltda. A Sino-French group, consisting of Suez Environnement Co SA and NWS Holdings Ltd, owns another 42 percent. The Macau government owns 8 percent, China Power International Holding Ltd has a 6-percent share and 800 Macau shareholders own the final 2 percent, according to the CEM’s website. “I think CEM has everything to gain by becoming a company that, instead of being divided – not quite because it’s 42 percent to each side – is a company where someone would take the lead,” Mr Mexia told the Portuguese news agency Lusa. “We have always showed interested in taking that role.”
Asian opportunities CEM’s annual earnings dropped for the second consecutive year last year, with the company posting a profit of 479 million patacas (US$59.9 million), 7 percent less than in 2010 and 15 percent less
than in 2009. It blamed the fall in profit on the rising cost of electricity imported from the mainland, an irregular natural gas supply and surges in fuel oil prices. A new contract with the government also pared profit by cutting CEM’s guaranteed rate of return from 12 percent to 9.5 percent. While EDP has focused on developing its business in Latin America and Africa, closer ties with China Three Gorges Corp may open more opportunities in Asia. “We have an important role in CEM,” said Mr Mexia. He said CEM, in turn, could play an important role in EDP’s Asian strategy, “not only in our strategy, but probably also for China Three Gorges and that, maybe, will make us shift our presence here so that we can shift our overall positioning in Asia”. China Three Gorges invested 2.7 billion euros (US$3.5 billion) to buy 21 percent of EDP last year. Mr Mexia said the investment gave EDP “more muscle” to follow its international strategy. He said China Three Gorges would gain “access to markets, skills, organisation and methods appropriate to their globalisation policy”.
Portugal makes its play for Chinese capital Lisbon wants mainland investors to put their money into creating jobs and into giving its property market a fillip Xi Chen
xi@macaubusinessdaily.com
M
acau may become a gateway for mainland investment in Portugal, now that Portugal is preparing to permit immigration for investors that inject money into the country. “Within weeks, Portugal shall have an attractive and competitive policy for those who believe in Portugal now, transferring capital to our financial system, which will make it stronger, by purchasing homes or land in Portugal, helping to stimulate the property market, or creating jobs through investments,” said Portuguese Minister of Foreign Affairs Paulo Portas during his visit to Macau. The Chinese-language Macau Daily News quoted the director of the Sino-Lusophone Forum’s permanent secretariat, Rita Botelho Santos, as saying companies in Macau could become agents to help mainland Chinese to immigrate to Portugal as they were familiar with Portuguese law and culture. Mr Portas took part in a seminar on Portugal’s investment and cooperation opportunities on Saturday. Chief Executive Fernando Chui Sai On and Mr Portas met later in the day. They discussed a range of issues,
including ways to strengthen bilateral ties, Macau’s role in Sino-Portuguese relations and its role in linking the mainland with lusophone countries. Mr Chui said Macau would continue to encourage companies in the mainland and Macau to invest in Portugal, and to act as a platform for such investment.
School chums Mr Portas said Portugal and Macau could increase cooperation in various areas, especially education and culture, with contributions from the public and private sectors. He said he hoped Macau could also become a platform to attract more mainland tourists to Portugal. Portugal wants more tourists from the Pearl River Delta and it will enlist the help of Macau’s travel and tourism associations. The Portuguese Association of Travel and Tourism Agencies signed on Saturday cooperation agreements with three local associations. Mr Portas said he cared about the development of the Portuguese School of Macau and Mr Chui said the Macau government would continue to support the school. Mr Portas invited Mr Chui to pay an official visit to Portugal. Portugal was the first foreign country that Mr Chui
Portugal’s foreign minister Paulo Portas has invited Chief Executive Fernando Chui Sai On to make another official visit to Portugal
visited after he took office. “Portugal has an interest in Macau, and Macau has an interest in Portugal. It’s necessary to cultivate this interest with a frequent and regular institutional approach,” the Portuguese news agency Lusa
quoted Mr Portas as saying. Mr Chui said representatives of Macau and Portugal would continue to hold regular meetings to enhance co-operation in trade, tourism, science, public security and the law, among others.
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business daily July 9, 2012
GREATER CHINA
Smart money rushes to buy shops With rents likely to continue rising, investors spent a record sum on commercial property in May Vítor Quintã
vitorquinta@macaubusinessdaily.com
T
Investors can expect higher returns from commercial property, with many Hong Kong retailers setting up shop in Macau
he value of sales of commercial property rose by almost half in May to a new record as investors looked for new ways to get a return on their money, real estate agents said. Investors spent 1.69 billion patacas (US$212 million) on buying commercial premises in May, the highest figure for any month since the Statistics and Census Service began collecting data in 1999. The number of shops sold rose by almost one-third to 237, the highest for 11 months, which means each store was sold for an average of 7.2 million patacas, the second-highest figure since 1999. However, it is impossible to say for sure whether shop space is becoming more expensive because data on prices per square metre of commercial property are unavailable. With the price of housing inching above 52,000 patacas per square metre in the three months ended May 31, investors “rushed to buy any kind of property just because interest rates are low,” said Ronald Cheung Yat Fai, the managing director of estate agency Midland Realty (Macau) Ltd. The six-month Macau Interbank Offered Rate remained below 0.62 percent throughout May and annual inflation was 6.76 percent, meaning money in the bank depreciated.
Mr Cheung said shop prices would “rise and rise” because “investor sentiment and the economic environment are both quite favourable”, with high demand for commercial property. The city’s limited supply of land means there is a shortage of property for everything, including shops, according to Noel Cheung, sales director of estate agency Centaline (Macau) Property Agency Ltd. Investors are buying shops for the long term, expecting good returns from rents as “many Hong Kong branches are coming to Macau,” Ms Cheung said. “Rental is directly linked to the shop sales.” Mr Cheung expects rents will stagnate and even decrease for shops other than those in first-rate shopping streets.
MOP1.69 billion May sales of commercial propertyof July
Govt to build 700 more flats for rent in Taipa A new public housing project near the TN27 complex in Taipa will have nearly 700 flats for low-income families Tony Lai
tony.lai@macaubusinessdaily.com
T
he government will start this week preparatory work on a new public housing complex in Estrada Nordeste da Taipa, which will have 694 flats for lowincome families to rent. The government has said it hopes to invite bids to develop the complex before October and to start construction this year. The new complex will be close to the University of Macau. Officials told a press conference on Friday that they expected construction to take two and a half years. The new complex will consist of two buildings on a site covering 5,000 square metres. These buildings will contain 495 flats with one bedroom, 155 flats with two bedrooms, 44 with three bedrooms and a nursing home. There will be about 600 parking spaces. The government expects the new complex and the TN27 complex nearby will together house more than 10,000 people. The TN27 project, expected to be completed this quarter, will have more than 2,700 flats for sale at subsidised prices.
Housing Bureau official Chan Wa Keong said the new complex would have nearly 500 one-bedroom flats because more than 70 percent of applicants on the waiting list for public housing wanted a onebedroom flat. Official data show there were 6,815 applicants on the waiting list for public housing to rent at the end of last month. Mr Chan said the government’s immediate aim was to get on with building 19,000 homes this year to accommodate those on the waiting list for public housing. The ratio of homes for sale to homes for rent would be adjusted, if necessary, in due course. The new housing complex in Taipa is the second project in a new round of public housing construction announced by the government. The first project will be in Ilha Verde and have more than 2,350 homes. The government invited bids to develop the Ilha Verde site last month and said it will announce the result this month. The new round of public housing construction will provide 3,850 flats.
Two public housing projects close to the University of Macau will together have about 3,400 flats
July 9, 2012 business daily | 9
GREATER CHINA
Beijing to keep property curbs: Wen Premier calls for efforts to limit property speculation as the country’s housing market shows signs of a rebound
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hina will intensify fine-tuning of policies as downward pressure on the economy is still “relatively large,” Premier Wen Jiabao said during a tour of Jiangsu province, the official Xinhua News Agency reported yesterday. Measures implemented since April are showing results and the economic slowdown is stabilising, he said. At the same time, the government will “unswervingly” continue its property controls and prevent prices from rebounding, Xinhua cited Mr Wen as saying. China on Thursday announced the second cut in benchmark interest rates in a month and allowed banks to offer bigger discounts on loans, stepping up efforts to reverse a slowdown in the world’s secondbiggest economy. The move, which coincided with the European Central Bank’s decision to reduce borrowing costs to a record low, underscores the risks to the global recovery as the euro area’s fiscal crisis deepens, U.S. employment gains falter and Asian expansion slows. “In April this year we announced we would put stabilising growth in a more prominent position and we intensified efforts to pre-emptively fine-tune policies,” Mr Wen said, according to Xinhua. “Currently
these measures have already seen some results and the economic slowdown has stabilised.” The pace of growth is “within the expected target zone set at the beginning of the year,” Mr Wen said. “However we still face relatively large downward pressure.” The premier set a target of 7.5 percent growth this year, down from an 8 percent goal in place since 2005.
the government’s determination to maintain restrictions on housing purchases even as it cuts interest rates and boosts infrastructure spending to reverse a slowdown in the economy. The mainland’s newhome prices rose for the first time in 10 months in June, according to SouFun Holdings Ltd, owner of the nation’s biggest real-estate website.
Property controls “We must unswervingly continue to implement all manner of controls in the property market to allow prices
Credit demand The government will “continue to intensify pre-emptive fine-tuning and implement a proactive fiscal policy, especially with a focus on improving the structural tax reduction policy,” he said. Authorities will “continue to implement a prudent monetary policy and effectively solve the structural contradiction between the supply of and demand for credit,” he said. In a report on Saturday, Xinhua said Mr Wen pledged to restrict speculative demand and investment in property and that this must be made a long-term policy. Local governments that introduced or covered up a loosening of curbs on residential real-estate must be stopped, the Premier said during a visit to Changzhou city in Jiangsu. Mr Wen’s comments underscore
We cannot allow [property] prices to rebound, or all our efforts will come to naught
to return to reasonable levels,” Mr Wen was quoted as saying when he met residents and local government officials in charge of affordable housing. “We cannot allow prices to rebound, or all our efforts will come to naught,” he said. Market expectations about property prices are changing and citizens are worried prices will rise again, he said. Signals in the market are “chaotic” and misleading and speculative information must be stopped, Mr Wen said, according to Xinhua. Shares of property developers listed in China rose the most in four months on Friday, the day after the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced the second cut in borrowing costs in a month. The stocks gained even as the central bank’s statement signalled property restrictions won’t be relaxed. “As long as there are no new curbs to come and it’s only the implementation of existing policies, home prices will still rise,” Jinsong Du, a Hong Kongbased property analyst at Credit Suisse Group AG, said. Mr Wen called for the government’s differentiated mortgage policy and other restrictions on purchases to be maintained. His comments add to the PBOC’s warning to banks to stick to the government’s lending curbs. “All financial institutions must continue to strictly implement a differentiated housing credit policy to continue curbing property-buying for speculation and investment purposes,” it said in its statement announcing the interest-rate cut.
Premier Wen Jiabao
Bloomberg
The mainland’s new-home prices rose for the first time in 10 months in June
U.S. files complaint over auto tariffs China will handle request for WTO action ‘appropriately’ – ministry
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resident Barack Obama expanded U.S. trade complaints against China, accusing Beijing of imposing unfair taxes on American vehicles, mostly from General Motors Co. and Chrysler Group LLC. Duties on more than US$3 billion in exports cover more than 80 percent of U.S. auto shipments, including Jeep’s Wrangler and Grand Cherokee, both made by Chrysler, and GM’s Buick Enclave and Cadillac CTS, according to a White House statement on a complaint it filed on Friday at the World Trade Organisation. “Americans aren’t afraid to compete; we believe in competition,” President
Barack Obama said in Maumee, Ohio, near a Jeep factory at the start of a two-day campaign bus tour. “As long as we’re competing on a fair playing field, instead of an unfair playing field, we’ll do just fine.” The U.S. complaint adds to an expanding list of grievances between the nations. Disputes over issues such as rare-earth minerals, solar panels and wind turbines by China and the U.S. in recent months have led some analysts to speculate the nations are heading for a trade war. The U.S. has complained about lack of access in China for products including poultry, tires and music. China, the world’s biggest car
market, said on December 14 it planned to impose anti-dumping duties as high as 12.9 percent on GM autos and 8.8 percent for Chrysler vehicles. China said U.S. taxpayer support of the two carmakers amounted to a government subsidy that was illegal under WTO rules, an allegation the Obama administration rejects. The U.S., which provided aid to the companies in 2008 in return for stock, holds a 32 percent stake in GM. It sold its Chrysler holdings to Italy’s Fiat Spa a year ago. China will “appropriately” deal with the latest U.S. complaint according to the WTO’s dispute
settlement procedures, the Chinese commerce ministry said in a statement on its website. Data from the global information company IHS’s Greater China Light Vehicle Production Forecasts show that China imported only 31,898 vehicles from the Big Three U.S. automakers last year. Moreover, buyers for these relatively costly cars are more tolerant of higher prices. “Actually, the impact [of the duties] on U.S. imported cars...is insignificant,” Sa Boni, manager of IHS, said quoted by the Wall Street Journal. with Bloomberg
10 |
business daily July 9, 2012
ASIA
HK may revise growth forecast InBrief Financial secretary
Railway Materials plans Shanghai IPO
gives gloomy outlook as global growth slows down
China Railway Materials Co., a stateowned logistics firm and steel supplier, aims to raise as much as 6 billion yuan (US$943 million) selling shares in Shanghai to fund expansion. The Beijing-based company will probably sell no more than 2.77 billion shares in Shanghai, according to a prospectus posted on the China Securities Regulatory Commission’s website. It may also offer as many as 1.44 billion shares in Hong Kong, including any over-allotment, the company said.
Stephanie Tong
T
he Hong Kong government may revise its 2012 economic forecast next month as the outlook for global growth deteriorates, Financial Secretary John Tsang said. “We rely a great deal on our traditional markets in Europe and America” and “countries in Asia have also been slowing down,” Mr Tsang told reporters on Saturday after a radio interview, according to a government transcript. “In August, I will make an assessment whether we need to adjust our forecast.” Interest-rate cuts in China and Europe announced on Thursday and lower-than-forecast employment gains in the U.S. underscore the fragility of the global recovery. The International Monetary Fund will reduce its estimate for growth in the world economy this year, managing director Christine Lagarde said in Tokyo on Friday. Hong Kong’s economy grew 0.4 percent from a year earlier in the first quarter, the slowest pace since the global financial crisis, as Europe’s sovereign-debt woes undermined export demand and confidence. The government is due to announce second-quarter gross domestic product on August 10. The benchmark Hang Seng Index has fallen 9 percent from this year’s peak in February amid concern growth in China and developed
Angola gets loan from China Hong Kong’s economy grew 0.4 percent from a year earlier in the first quarter
economies is slowing. The city’s exports rose in May at half the pace of a year earlier as Asian demand failed to offset weakness in shipments to the U.S. and the European Union. Retail sales expanded the least since 2009 as visitors from China cut back on purchases of luxury goods.
Think carefully Mainland shoppers “are not splashing out as much,” Wong Wai Sheung, chief executive officer of Hong Kong-listed jewellery retailer Luk Fook Holdings (International) Ltd, said at a briefing on June 28. “I’m not too optimistic about the jewellery market this year.” The number of home transactions in Hong Kong fell 35 percent in June from a year earlier after a 14 percent drop in May, according to
Land Registry statistics. Mr Tsang said the public needs to “think carefully when buying properties” because interest rates “can’t be lowered any further,” meaning borrowing costs will only trend upwards, adding to the repayment burden of home buyers. Hong Kong’s residential housing prices have jumped more than 80 percent since early 2009 on the back of record-low mortgage rates and a lack of new supply. Mr Tsang estimated in his February budget speech that the city’s growth will cool in 2012, projecting a range of 1 percent to 3 percent for the full year. The rate of expansion was 5 percent in 2011 after a 7 percent increase the previous year. He said on June 4 he may reduce the forecast because of a deterioration in the euro-area economy. Bloomberg
Angola and China’s Eximbank on Saturday signed 17 loan agreements valued at more than US$500 million to finance various post-war reconstruction projects, the finance minister said. Angolan Minister of Finance, Carlos Alberto Lopes, told AFP the loan deal would be used for the construction of hospitals, energy, and drinking water treatment plants across eight of the country’s provinces.
Apple faces new legal challenge A Chinese technology firm has filed a legal challenge accusing U.S. giant Apple of infringing its patented voice recognition software with its Siri function on the iPhone, the company said on Saturday. Shanghai Zhizhen Network Technology Co Ltd patented its Xiao i Robot software in 2004, while Apple’s Siri, which made its debut with the release of the iPhone 4S last year, was first developed in 2007.
Sinopec, ENN extend China Gas offer US$2.2 billion offer stretched by one month
C
hinese oil giant Sinopec Corp and gas distributor ENN Energy Holdings are extending their US$2.2 billion offer for China Gas Holdings again, by one month, as they seek regulatory approvals to proceed with Hong Kong’s first unsolicited takeover bid.
Buying China Gas would give Sinopec and ENN access to the country’s largest portfolio of natural gas distribution projects. But analysts say the consortium will have to raise its offer to win the backing of China Gas shareholders. In a filing with the Hong Kong
stock exchange, the Sinopec/ENN consortium said they have decided to extend the offer until August 6 pending approvals from various Chinese authorities, including the country’s commerce ministry. The consortium, which had already extended its offer period
twice, had previously set July 6 as the “long stop date”, meaning if pre-conditions – including winning necessary regulatory approval and conducting due diligence on China Gas – set out in their indicative proposals are not met by that date, the group could
drop the offer. Sinopec and ENN also said shareholders of ENN have approved their HK$3.5 per share joint offer for rival China Gas Holdings, paving the way for them to launch a formal offer. Sinopec, Asia’s largest refiner, does not need shareholder approval as the deal value is relatively small compared its US$81 billion market value. Shareholders holding more than 86 percent stake in ENN on Friday voted in favour of the offer, ENN and Sinopec said in a statement, a move in line with market expectation. China Gas, which has piped gas operations in 151 cities, reported a 52 percent increase in net profit for the fiscal year ended March on strong sales. Sinopec and ENN made their conditional cash offer of HK$3.50 per share for China Gas in December, making it the first unsolicited takeover bid in Hong Kong. China Gas rejected the offer, saying it failed to reflect the true value of the company, and its share price has since traded consistently above the offer price as some of its key shareholders jostled to raise their stakes in the company. The stock ended unchanged at HK$3.92 apiece on Friday. Reuters
HTC smartphone profits fall 58pct Taiwanese smartphone maker HTC has reported a 58 percent fall in net profit to 7.4 billion Taiwanese dollars (US$248 million) in the three months ending in June. In June, the group cut its revenue forecast by 13 percent and warned it would make lower profits for each handset it sold. Second quarter revenue of 91 billion Taiwanese dollars was worse-thanexpected.
Tourism project planned for Tibet China yesterday started work on a 30-billion-yuan (US$4.8 billion) tourism project in Lhasa city, state media said, as it seeks to draw more travellers to the restive Tibet region. The massive development in the regional capital will include a theme park, commercial district and residential area, Lhasa Vice Mayor Ma Xinming was quoted as saying by Xinhua news agency. Construction on the first phase of the planned project, about two kilometres from downtown Lhasa, will take three to five years, it said.
July 9, 2012 business daily | 11
asia
RBI’s governor vows to keep inflation low Says it’s key for securing long-term growth Anoop Agrawal
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Manila tightens rules on capital inflows The Philippines has tightened rules on capital inflows by prohibiting foreign funds from investing in the central bank’s special deposit accounts, Governor Amando Tetangco said yesterday, after the peso surged to a four-year high. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas will require banks to certify that investments in the special deposit accounts, or SDAs, are not sourced directly or indirectly from non-residents, Mr Tetangco told reporters at a conference in Subic, north of Manila. He didn’t say when the rule will be implemented. “While SDA is principally a tool for managing liquidity, it has also become an entry point for foreign monies to participate in price actions in the peso-dollar market,” Mr Tetangco said. “Existing regulations don’t provide restrictions on non-resident investors. It has, therefore, attracted carry trade.” The peso has risen almost 5 percent this year, the best performer among Asia’s 11-most traded currencies tracked by Bloomberg. It climbed to 41.6 per dollar on Wednesday, the highest level since April 2008. But it fell on Friday after the central bank pledged to curb excessive volatility in the currency and said it was considering measures to discourage speculative capital from overseas. The Philippines’ US$200 billion economy grew 6.4 percent in the first quarter compared with a year earlier, the fastest pace since 2010 and the highest in Southeast Asia. Standard & Poor’s raised the nation’s debt rating to the highest level since 2003 on July 5, citing the country’s easing fiscal vulnerability and strengthening external position.
Japan plans to buy disputed islands A Japanese government plan to buy uninhabited islands owned by a private investor provoked condemnation from China, which also claims it owns the rocky outcroppings, the latest flareup in a dispute over territory and resources in the East China Sea. Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda on Saturday said the government is considering a purchase of the islands, Kyodo News reported. China’s Foreign Ministry responded with a statement that the islets belong to China and “can’t be bought or sold”. The dispute over who controls the islands, known as Senkaku in Japanese and Daioyu in Chinese, escalated in April after Tokyo Governor Shintaro Ishihara said he wanted to use public money to buy them. Sovereignty over the area, which has undersea natural gas and oil fields, has been a flash point between the world’s second- and third-largest economies. “Clearly the reason why the Senkaku Islands are a big bone of contention is the potential for resources,” said Jeff Kingston, head of the Asian Studies programme at Temple University in Tokyo. “Governor Ishihara has caused a headache for the government and what they’re trying to do is engage in damage control by getting the islands out of the grips of Ishihara, who’s trying to politicise this for his own gain.” Taiwan also claims the isles, which are located about 150 miles northeast of its capital, Taipei. A Taiwan government spokesperson yesterday said the plan to buy the islands is unacceptable, Japanese public broadcaster NHK reported.
ow inflation is key to ensuring sustained economic growth, Reserve Bank of India Governor Duvvuri Subbarao said. “You cannot control inflation without sacrificing some growth, that is inevitable,” Mr Subbarao said in a speech at Kozhikode in the southern state of Kerala yesterday. “But, to sacrifice growth to manage inflation is only in the short term. In the medium term, there is actually no tradeoff between growth and inflation. Low inflation is an essential precondition for securing growth.” Mr Subbarao unexpectedly left interest rates unchanged last month as an inflation rate exceeding 7 percent limits room to add to a cut in borrowing costs in April, which was the first reduction since 2009. Central banks from China to Europe lowered rates yesterday as the global economy falters. “It’s important for the Reserve Bank, as the guardian of price stability, to ensure inflation expectations are anchored and are not unhinged,” Mr Subbarao said. “And that is why, no matter what the driver of inflation, a monetary policy response becomes the first line of defence.” The rupee weakened 0.9 percent against the dollar to 55.455 per dollar on Friday, while the BSE India Sensitive Index ended 0.1
Bank of India Governor Duvvuri Subbarao left interest rates unchanged last month
percent lower. The currency has slumped about 20 percent in the past 12 months. The yield on the 8.15 percent bond due June 2022 fell four basis points, or 0.04 percentage point, to 8.16 percent.
Rupee policy “Whenever the rupee depreciates or appreciates, there is pressure on the Reserve Bank to manage the exchange rate,” Mr Subbarao said. “But the Reserve Bank’s policy is not to manage the exchange rate to target a precise exchange rate or an exchange-rate band. We manage the exchange rate only to
the extent of ensuring that there is no volatility and the movement is quite smooth.” The central bank has to ensure currency intervention is successful, he also said. India’s gross domestic product rose 5.3 percent in the three months through March from a year earlier, the slowest pace since 2003. Inflation was 7.55 percent in May, the fastest among the so-called BRIC group of largest emerging markets that also includes Brazil, Russia and China. Jumps in food costs have contributed to price pressures. Bloomberg
Technology stocks drag Asian markets Five shares fell for every three that rose last week
A
sian stocks fell for a second day on Friday, paring last week’s gain, as sales at Samsung Electronics Co. missed analysts’ estimates and interestrate cuts in Europe and China failed to boost confidence in the global economy. The MSCI Asia-Pacific slid 0.5 percent to 118.44 on Friday as about five shares fell for every three that rose, with technology shares exerting the biggest drag on the index. The gauge has lost 8.2 percent from this year’s high in February amid concern economic growth in China and the U.S. is slowing as Europe’s debt crisis deepens. The measure gained 1.1 percent last week. “We are still reasonably cautious,” said Tim Riordan, from Parker Asset Management Ltd, a hedge fund in Sydney. “All of these moves by central banks had been expected, so they were baked into the price. ECB rate cuts are getting to the point where each cut is met with diminishing returns.” South Korea’s Kospi Index dropped 0.9 percent, led by Samsung, which accounts for 16 percent of the index by weight. The largest maker of televisions and mobile phones reported sales of 47 trillion
won (US$41 billion) in the second quarter, trailing the 49.8 trillionwon average of 35 analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The shares lost 2 percent to 1.161 million won. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average declined 0.7 percent and the broader Topix Index retreated 0.6 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was little changed, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index surged 1 percent as developers and industrial companies gained. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index slid 0.3 percent. Singapore’s Straits Times Index gained 0.2 percent, capping eight days of gains, the longest winning streak since April 2011. The last time the index rose for more than eight straight days was in January 2006. CapitaLand Ltd jumped 10 percent this week, the most on the city state’s benchmark, on speculation Southeast Asia’s biggest developer will benefit from declining borrowing costs in China, which contributes about 22 percent of the company’s revenue. Golden AgriResources Ltd, the world’s secondbiggest palm oil grower, climbed 7.5 percent through the week as crude palm oil futures rose for a
third week in Kuala Lumpur.
Year’s gain The MSCI Asia-Pacific gained 4.5 percent this year, compared with an 8.8 percent advance by the S&P 500 and a 5.1 percent increase by the Stoxx Europe 600 Index. Stocks in the Asian benchmark are valued at 12 times estimated earnings on average, compared with 13.1 times for the S&P 500 and 10.8 times for the Stoxx 600. Canon lost 2.5 percent to 3,120 yen. Konica Minolta Holdings Inc., a film maker that depends on Europe for more than a quarter of its sales, sank 2.3 percent to 625 yen. Esprit Holdings Ltd declined 3.9 percent to HK$9.65. Chinese banks trading in Hong Kong declined as Barclays Plc analyst May Yan said the average net income for the industry in 2013 may fall as much as 54 percent following two interestrate cuts in a month. Agricultural Bank of China declined 2.5 percent to HK$3.11. Bank of Communications Ltd slid 2.5 percent to HK$5.11. Parco gained 2.5 percent to 971 yen after J Front offered 1,100 yen per share to become Parco’s majority shareholder. Bloomberg
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business daily July 9, 2012
MARKETS Hang SENG INDEX PRICE
Day %
VOLUME
PRICE
Day %
VOLUME
27.85
2.578269
23005884
CHINA UNICOM HON
10.54
0
26112213
ALUMINUM CORP-H
3.39
1.19403
10832000
CITIC PACIFIC
11.94
-1.15894
5707213
BANK OF CHINA-H
2.88
-1.030928
296690650
BANK OF COMMUN-H
5.11
-2.480916
44035421
BANK EAST ASIA
27.7
-3.484321
BELLE INTERNATIO
13.86
BOC HONG KONG HO
23.55
NAME AIA GROUP LTD
NAME CLP HLDGS LTD
67.5
0.2971768
2384752
CNOOC LTD
15.5
-1.273885
33996627
3208450
COSCO PAC LTD
10.4
0.1926782
3927419
0.2894356
6534473
ESPRIT HLDGS
9.65
-3.884462
14752014
-0.2118644
8315090
HANG LUNG PROPER
28.25
1.073345
5327911
NAME
PRICE
Day %
POWER ASSETS HOL
58.9
0.5119454
VOLUME 2191521
SANDS CHINA LTD
23.5
-1.052632
13355021
SINO LAND CO
12.76
1.269841
15394570
SUN HUNG KAI PRO
95.55
1.325557
7965717
SWIRE PACIFIC-A
92.85
0.7049892
1010092
TENCENT HOLDINGS
235.6
-0.3384095
1650440
TINGYI HLDG CO
20.75
1.965602
8118665
CATHAY PAC AIR
13.26
2.631579
5228599
HANG SENG BK
107.1
0.2808989
1345913
WANT WANT CHINA
10.44
5.668016
26041812
CHEUNG KONG
99.45
-0.2507523
4418290
HENDERSON LAND D
45.45
0.8879023
5637204
WHARF HLDG
45.25
1.004464
5102461
6.87
-0.8658009
27117035
78.2
1.558442
1888500
17.38
1.518692
8021049
109
-0.9990917
2857793
HSBC HLDGS PLC
68.45
-0.7251632
11286616
CHINA COAL ENE-H CHINA CONST BA-H
HENGAN INTL
5.15
-2.646503
425917259
CHINA LIFE INS-H
21.65
2.122642
58159110
CHINA MERCHANT
24.35
1.458333
2469845
CHINA MOBILE
85.65
-0.1748252
11233735
HUTCHISON WHAMPO
70.65
0.1417434
6570621
CHINA OVERSEAS
19.12
4.824561
54989056
IND & COMM BK-H
4.26
-0.6993007
319172464
CHINA PETROLEU-H
6.67
-0.8915305
91118334
CHINA RES ENTERP
23.15
-0.856531
2298213
CHINA RES LAND
16.38
0.9864365
CHINA RES POWER
15.84
CHINA SHENHUA-H
29.5
HONG KG CHINA GS HONG KONG EXCHNG
MOVERS
29
19
1 19850
INDEX 19800.64
LI & FUNG LTD
15.1
0.2656042
8470560
HIGH
19847.64
MTR CORP
27.1
1.688555
3365714
LOW
19604.51
23728444
NEW WORLD DEV
9.88
1.229508
20378708
0.8917197
6003940
PETROCHINA CO-H
9.88
-0.5035247
65937907
1.549053
21501753
PING AN INSURA-H
63.3
1.523657
8254530
52W (H) 22835.03 (L) 16170.35
19600
04 -Jun
06-Jul
Hang SENG CHINA ENTErPRISE INDEX PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
26.55
4.3222
18009800
YANZHOU COAL-H
CHINA PETROLEU-H
6.67
-0.8915305
91118334
10832000
CHINA RAIL CN-H
6.45
1.255887
6472250
0.9569378
12320610
CHINA RAIL GR-H
3.24
0.9345794
13114138
-1.030928
296690650
CHINA SHENHUA-H
29.5
1.549053
21501753
5.11
-2.480916
44035421
CHINA TELECOM-H
3.51
-1.404494
44182530
14.8
0.2710027
1733056
DONGFENG MOTOR-H
11.48
2.683363
22627359
CHINA CITIC BK-H
3.92
-3.209877
43251896
GUANGZHOU AUTO-H
6.37
0.4731861
2925903
CHINA COAL ENE-H
6.87
-0.8658009
27117035
HUANENG POWER-H
5.56
2.205882
26604000
NAME
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
AGRICULTURAL-H
3.11
-2.507837
153544717
AIR CHINA LTD-H
4.75
2.591793
13757908
ALUMINUM CORP-H
3.39
1.19403
ANHUI CONCH-H
21.1
BANK OF CHINA-H
2.88
BANK OF COMMUN-H BYD CO LTD-H
NAME CHINA PACIFIC-H
CHINA COM CONS-H
6.9
2.222222
14746619
IND & COMM BK-H
4.26
-0.6993007
319172464
CHINA CONST BA-H
5.15
-2.646503
425917259
JIANGXI COPPER-H
18.14
0.5543237
9753699
3.8
1.876676
20173750
PETROCHINA CO-H
9.88
-0.5035247
65937907
21.65
2.122642
58159110
PICC PROPERTY &
9.14
1.330377
22406900
CHINA LONGYUAN-H
5.12
-1.348748
5659483
PING AN INSURA-H
63.3
1.523657
8254530
CHINA MERCH BK-H
14.52
-2.550336
36295738
SHANDONG WEIG-H
8.68
-1.026226
5067340
CHINA COSCO HO-H CHINA LIFE INS-H
CHINA MINSHENG-H
7.1
-2.338377
39004710
SINOPHARM-H
20.55
0.2439024
2927343
CHINA NATL BDG-H
8.37
1.20919
33676000
TSINGTAO BREW-H
46.6
1.304348
1669000
CHINA OILFIELD-H
11.7
-1.182432
5324985
WEICHAI POWER-H
28.3
-2.413793
7309668
NAME
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
12.16
0.9966777
17530573
ZIJIN MINING-H
2.72
-0.3663004
23343736
ZOOMLION HEAVY-H
9.72
4.403867
26094753
14.82
-1.724138
6562948
ZTE CORP-H
MOVERS
22
18
0 9770
INDEX 9679.62 HIGH
9769.69
LOW
9598.11
52W (H) 12902.97 (L) 8058.58
9590
04-Jun
06-Jul
Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
AGRICULTURAL-A
2.55
-0.7782101
33654474
DAQIN RAILWAY -A
6.81
-0.2928258
52964073
AIR CHINA LTD-A
6.15
0.6546645
15936354
DATANG INTL PO-A
5.65
3.479853
ALUMINUM CORP-A
6.32
2.100162
8562176
DONGFANG ELECT-A
17.08
14.57
2.317416
21184143
EVERBRIG SEC -A
NAME
ANHUI CONCH-A
NAME
NAME
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
SAIC MOTOR-A
13.29
3.263403
24961765
5695914
SANY HEAVY INDUS
13.14
3.301887
30797142
0
13760840
SHANDONG GOLD-MI
33.83
2.453059
8736133
12.92
3.858521
11326837
SHANG PUDONG-A
7.97
-1.239157
115797069
BANK OF BEIJIN-A
9.79
0
22028449
GD MIDEA HOLDING
10.97
0.09124088
27116896
SHANGHAI ELECT-A
BANK OF CHINA-A
2.81
-0.3546099
14069823
GD POWER DEVEL-A
2.65
1.145038
28322690
SHANXI LU'AN -A
4.64
1.089325
4529689
21.24
1.77288
12738222
BANK OF COMMUN-A
4.48
-0.4444444
37496904
GEMDALE CORP-A
6.91
5.335366
113672686
SHANXI XINGHUA-A
41.33
5.058465
6614064
BANK OF NINGBO-A
10.1
-0.9803922
24452050
GF SECURITIES-A
14.26
3.109183
17376647
SHANXI XISHAN-A
15.52
1.703801
14057716
BAOSHAN IRON & S
4.28
0.9433962
21079586
GREE ELECTRIC
21.44
-0.2790698
18329661
SHENZ DVLP BK-A
15.14
-0.3291639
16545450
13.71
3.785011
24488920
SHENZEN OVERSE-A
7.01
3.39233
74378084
19.64
2.719665
3702779
GUANGHUI ENERG-A
CHINA CITIC BK-A
4.02
0
19671640
GUIZHOU PANJIA-A
28.21
1.256281
5905657
SUNING APPLIAN-A
8.5
2.533172
35550849
CHINA CNR CORP-A
3.81
1.871658
26156273
HAITONG SECURI-A
9.38
2.850877
64137412
TSINGTAO BREW-A
39.43
1.807384
2351473
CHINA COAL ENE-A
7.68
0.7874016
13112071
HANGZHOU HIKVI-A
27.89
3.372869
2971986
WEICHAI POWER-A
28.05
2
5773883
CHINA CONST BA-A
4.16
-0.7159905
21703271
HENAN SHUAN-A
62.14
3.034323
2879210
WULIANGYE YIBIN
35.01
7.623732
82141424
CHINA COSCO HO-A
4.77
1.489362
16233709
HONG YUAN SEC-A
16.8
5.860113
13903108
XIAMEN TUNGSTEN
44.64
3.023309
6867884
CHINA CSSC HOL-A
23.34
1.434159
4368661
HUATAI SECURIT-A
9.97
2.572016
38566954
YANGQUAN COAL -A
15.48
2.178218
15732748
CHINA EAST AIR-A
4.24
1.923077
19008585
HUAXIA BANK CO
9.22
-2.019129
38313289
YANTAI CHANGYU-A
69.01
3.478782
2567328
CHINA EVERBRIG-A
2.8
-1.060071
32314888
IND & COMM BK-A
3.91
-1.012658
31327705
YANTAI WANHUA-A
13.29
3.747073
9352026
CHINA LIFE INS-A
18.77
-0.5826271
26927768
INDUSTRIAL BAN-A
12.9
-0.8455035
51941078
YANZHOU COAL-A
19.25
1.744186
4212589
CHINA MERCH BK-A
10.57
-2.580645
121860231
INNER MONG BAO-A
41.29
4.823559
54586246
YUNNAN BAIYAO-A
60.18
3.848145
3388840
CHINA MERCHANT-A
11.33
2.533937
20231207
INNER MONG YIL-A
21.27
3.958944
30791737
ZHONGJIN GOLD
22.05
2.320186
6705046
CHINA MERCHANT-A
26.29
4.992013
12796954
INNER MONGOLIA-A
4.9
5.831533
52892963
ZIJIN MINING-A
3.84
-1.030928
28558123
114176769
JIANGSU HENGRU-A
28.93
1.437588
4768708
ZOOMLION HEAVY-A
9.7
4.978355
49147964
JIANGSU YANGHE-A
149
5.539028
3568446
ZTE CORP-A
14.23
1.49786
14265045
24.19
1.766933
7295058
BYD CO LTD -A
CHINA MINSHENG-A
6.04
-0.6578947
CHINA OILFIELD-A
17.33
1.761597
7397467
CHINA PACIFIC-A
22.8
1.649576
25105842
JIANGXI COPPER-A
CHINA PETROLEU-A
6.08
-0.4909984
36986630
JINDUICHENG -A
CHINA RAILWAY-A
4.5
0.4464286
15793346
JIZHONG ENERGY-A
12.9
1.255887
5574112
15.54
2.035456
15678338
CHINA RAILWAY-A
2.59
1.171875
18728671
CHINA SHENHUA-A
22.6
1.847679
11844611
KANGMEI PHARMA-A
15.78
3.002611
21898791
KWEICHOW MOUTA-A
259.99
3.310021
3915883
CHINA SHIPBUIL-A
4.87
-0.408998
28840410
LUZHOU LAOJIAO-A METALLURGICAL-A
44.98
6.084906
22855919
2.45
0.4098361
15908806
MOVERS
258
4.77
2.141328
20181110
CHINA STATE -A
3.43
2.083333
68028451
NINGBO PORT CO-A
2.5
-1.185771
8933971
PANGANG GROUP -A
4.35
1.320662
68310022
HIGH
2476.83
LOW
2421.51
3.75
-1.055409
61482840
CHINA VANKE CO-A
9.65
3.875135
165535895
PETROCHINA CO-A
9.11
0.220022
9827491
CHINA YANGTZE-A
6.74
1.049475
31285435
PING AN INSURA-A
46.24
1.962514
33038165
CHONGQING WATE-A
5.95
0
9236227
POLY REAL ESTA-A
12.82
4.995905
78951465
CITIC SECURITI-A
12.57
3.20197
58326694
QINGDAO HAIER-A
11.87
4.766108
9901023
CSR CORP LTD -A
4.39
2.093023
28572086
QINGHAI SALT-A
34.42
3.239352
10893237
4 2480
INDEX 2472.61
CHINA SOUTHERN-A CHINA UNITED-A
38
52W (H) 3140.102 (L) 2254.567
2420
04 -Jul
06-Jul
FTSE TAIWAN 50 INDEX NAME
PRICE DAY %
Volume
NAME
PRICE DAY %
Volume
ACER INC
30.45 -0.4901961
10502293
FORMOSA PLASTIC
80.4
0
12479775
TAIWAN MOBILE CO
ADVANCED SEMICON
25.35
0.7952286
11745939
FOXCONN TECHNOLO
112
0
15219594
TPK HOLDING CO L
ASIA CEMENT CORP
37.6
0.5347594
3989755
FUBON FINANCIAL
30.8
0.1626016
9595486
ASUSTEK COMPUTER
276
-1.428571
2712081
HON HAI PRECISIO
91.4
0
22171831
AU OPTRONICS COR
12.1
0.4149378
32865283
HOTAI MOTOR CO
203
-1.456311
867614
CATCHER TECH
195
-3.703704
21536739
HTC CORP
322
-5.154639
22793082
CATHAY FINANCIAL
29.4 -0.1697793
13362543
HUA NAN FINANCIA
16.6
0.6060606
8245397
CHANG HWA BANK
15.9
-0.625
8019570
LARGAN PRECISION
582
-3.322259
3357810
CHENG SHIN RUBBE
76.6
0.130719
3431206
LITE-ON TECHNOLO
38.5
0.3911343
3608650
CHIMEI INNOLUX C
15968558
MEDIATEK INC
7.12
0
25150055
MEGA FINANCIAL H
CHINA STEEL CORP
28.05
0.1785714
20721429
NAN YA PLASTICS
CHINATRUST FINAN
17.45 -0.2857143
21940717
CHINA DEVELOPMEN
CHUNGHWA TELECOM COMPAL ELECTRON
12.35 -0.4032258
95.2
0.1051525
273 -0.3649635
5621830
22.85 -0.4357298
23979962
56.4
1.621622
9123208
PRESIDENT CHAIN
158
0
1088748
8100049
QUANTA COMPUTER
79.7
-2.686203
11073664
28.25
0.8928571
6815753
SILICONWARE PREC
DELTA ELECT INC
94.1
1.182796
6000195
SINOPAC FINANCIA
11.75
33.1 -0.4511278 1.293103
12908183
FAR EASTERN NEW
32.5
0.1540832
3100481
SYNNEX TECH INTL
73
0.2747253
3492354
FAR EASTONE TELE
66.2
0.1512859
5983264
TAIWAN CEMENT
36.3
1.114206
8956752
FIRST FINANCIAL
17.7
0.5681818
10654558
TAIWAN COOPERATI
17.8
0.2816901
3006791
FORMOSA CHEM & F
75.8
0.6640106
2930817
TAIWAN FERTILIZE
68.2
-1.15942
3187163
FORMOSA PETROCHE
82.4
1.728395
1307213
TAIWAN GLASS IND
27.6
-2.645503
3734183
NAME
PRICE DAY %
TSMC UNI-PRESIDENT
Volume
100
0
8274650
354.5
0
5830715
80.9 -0.1234568
38187671
49.85
1.218274
12435736
13
-1.140684
59629871
37.9
1.066667
9053806
YUANTA FINANCIAL
14.05
0.3571429
14554312
YULON MOTOR CO
53.4
1.328273
5030965
UNITED MICROELEC WISTRON CORP
MOVERS
25
18
7 5110
INDEX 5056.96
4680018
HIGH
5109.11
LOW
5024.36
52W (H) 6026.51 (L) 4643.05
5020
04-Jul
06-Jul
July 9, 2012 business daily | 13
MARKETS GAMING STOCKS - DAILY PERFORMANCE (Hong Kong Stock Exchange) GAlAXy ENtErtAINMENt
MElCo CrowN ENtErtAINMENt
MGM CHINA HolDINGS 28.9
19.5
11.5
28.7
19.4
11.4 28.5
19.3
Max 19.46
Average 19.295
Min 19.2
19.2
last 19.4
SANDS CHINA ltD
11.3
28.3
Max 28.8
Average 28.508
Min 28.2
last 28.7
28.1
Max 11.48
SJM HolDINGS ltD
Average 11.372
Min 11.26
last 11.46
11.2
wyNN MACAu ltD
23.9
14.7
17.6
14.65
17.4
14.6
17.2
23.8 23.7 23.6 23.5 Average 23.654
Max 23.85
Min 23.45
23.4
last 23.5
14.55 Max 14.7
Average 14.628
Min 14.58
Commodities ENERGY
NAME
PRICE
WTI CRUDE FUTURE Aug12
84.45
-3.175877092
-14.82602118
111.3799973
77.27999878
BRENT CRUDE FUTR Aug12
98.19
-2.492562066
-6.760991359
124.6999969
88.48999786
GASOLINE RBOB FUT Aug12
271.6
-1.765046296
1.079270562
326.7099857
243.0099964
GAS OIL FUT (ICE) Aug12
862.5
-2.210884354
-4.060066741
1046.5
801
NATURAL GAS FUTR Aug12
2.776
-5.738539898
-15.26251526
4.921000004
2.174999952
DAY %
YTD %
(H) 52W
270.99
-2.11313394
-4.705137673
332.949996
250.8399963
1583.85
-2.1421
1.2103
1921.18
1522.75
Silver Spot $/Oz
27.1037
-4.1385
-2.6273
44.2175
26.085
Platinum Spot $/Oz
1444.5
-2.8117
3.5855
1915.75
1339.25
Palladium Spot $/Oz
576.45
-3.4293
-11.7904
848.37
537.54 1832.25
LME ALUMINUM 3MO ($)
1896
-2.418939784
-6.138613861
2675.25
LME COPPER 3MO ($)
7531
-2.131254061
-0.907894737
9905
6635
LME ZINC
1844
-0.539374326
-0.054200542
2539.5
1718.5
-13.68252272
3MO ($)
LME NICKEL 3MO ($) AGRICULTURE ROUGH RICE (CBOT) Sep12
16150
-3.293413174
25195
15980
15.055
-0.627062706
18
13.95499992
693
-2.187720536
713
499
Dec12
last 17.48
Min 17.04
MAJORS
ASIA PACIFIC
CROSSES
AUD GBP CHF EUR JPY MOP HKD CNY INR THB SGD TWD PHP IDR AUDJPY EURCHF EURGBP EURCNY EURMOP EURJPY HKDMOP
DAY %
1.0213 1.5495 0.9773 1.2291 79.66 7.9871 7.754 6.3648 55.455 31.75 1.2722 29.893 41.85 9405 81.357 1.20093 0.79335 7.8923 9.8846 97.89 1.03
YTD %
-0.9984 -0.5902 -1.7804 -1.782 -0.0126 -0.0038 0.0077 -0.1383 -0.9016 -0.6614 -0.6367 -0.0836 -0.3584 -0.2552 0.9698 0.0208 1.2542 0.854 1.0673 1.8184 -0.0097
(H) 52W
0.0392 -0.3088 -4.0111 -5.1694 -3.4522 0.1565 0.1728 -1.0967 -4.3098 -0.6299 1.9179 1.2913 4.7551 -3.5726 -3.5953 1.3206 5.047 3.065 4.7286 1.8082 0.0097
(L) 52W
1.1081 1.6618 0.9795 1.4549 84.18 8.0449 7.8113 6.4747 57.3275 31.96 1.3199 30.716 44.35 9662 88.637 1.24736 0.89056 9.3616 11.6793 115.18 1.0311
0.9388 1.5235 0.7071 1.226 75.35 7.9823 7.7526 6.2769 43.855 29.63 1.1992 28.763 41.575 8458 72.057 1.00749 0.79255 7.8544 9.8423 95.6 1.0288
MACAU RELATED STOCKS (H) 52W
(L) 52W
ARISTOCRAT LEISU
2.62
-1.132075
19.09091
3.25
1.88
1683167
150.0999908
CROWN LTD
8.46
-0.3533569
4.573546
9.29
7.45
456631
26.03999901
19.23999977
AMAX HOLDINGS LT
0.071
-1.388889
-18.3908
0.119
0.06
7304000
102.25
64.61000061
BOC HONG KONG HO
23.55
-0.2118644
27.98913
24.45
14.24
8315090 200000
WHEAT FUTURE(CBT) Sep12
806.25
-3.788782816
853.5
606.75
SOYBEAN FUTURE Nov12
1505.75
-1.359318703
1529
1115.75
COFFEE 'C' FUTURE Sep12
176.45
-2.16246188
-24.67449306
288.8500061
SUGAR #11 (WORLD) Oct12
22.25
1.505474453
-2.540516864
COTTON NO.2 FUTR Dec12
70.62
0.056673279
-19.60382514
NAME
PRICE
DAY % YTD %
VOLUME CRNCY
CENTURY LEGEND
0.25
3.73444
8.69565
0.38
0.204
CHEUK NANG HLDGS
3.01
0.6688963
7.500002
4.25
2.3
31000
19.12
4.824561
47.30355
19.16
9.99
54989056
CHINA OVERSEAS
World Stock MarketS - Indices NAME
Average 17.447
PRICE
(L) 52W
Gold Spot $/Oz
CORN FUTURE
Max 17.58
CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES
HEATING OIL FUTR Aug12 METALS
17.0
last 14.68
CHINESE ESTATES
8.97
-0.1113586
-28.24
13.68
8.3
1102319
CHOW TAI FOOK JE
10.96
2.621723
-21.26437
15.16
8.55
14577720
EMPEROR ENTERTAI
1.44
-0.6896552
29.72973
1.89
0.97
570000
FUTURE BRIGHT
0.97
1.041667
130.9524
1.09
0.3
762000
GALAXY ENTERTAIN
19.4
2.645503
36.23596
24.95
8.69
15923505 1345913
COUNTRY
PRICE
DAY %
YTD %
(H) 52W
(L) 52W
DOW JONES INDUS. AVG
US
12772.47
-0.9630393
4.541907
13338.66016
10404.49
NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX
US
2937.33
-1.303375
12.7509
3134.17
2298.89
HANG SENG BK
107.1
0.2808989
16.22355
124.9
84.4
FTSE 100 INDEX
GB
5662.63
-0.5269972
1.621421
6084.08
4791.01
HOPEWELL HLDGS
22.8
1.55902
14.80362
24.903
18.56
1100002
DAX INDEX
GE
6410.11
-1.919499
8.67632
7523.53
4965.8
HSBC HLDGS PLC
68.45
-0.7251632
16.01695
78.7
56
11286616
NIKKEI 225
JN
9020.75
-0.6503447
6.686895
10255.15
8135.79
HANG SENG INDEX
HK
19800.64
-0.04285903
7.411419
22835.03
16170.35
CSI 300 INDEX
CH
2472.614
1.738172
5.408611
3137.922
2254.567
TAIWAN TAIEX INDEX
TA
7368.59
-0.2597533
4.192681
8839.14
HUTCHISON TELE H
3.71
0
24.08027
3.75
2.42
1530506
LUK FOOK HLDGS I
18.36
3.262092
-32.25092
46.15
14.7
5929356
MELCO INTL DEVEL
6.03
1.344538
4.506066
10.76
4.3
1575453
MGM CHINA HOLDIN
11.46
1.776199
19.47265
17.183
7.6
1170803
6609.11
MIDLAND HOLDINGS
3.94
-0.2531646
-0.3552554
5.217
2.887
166169
NEPTUNE GROUP
0.09
2.272727
-18.91892
0.151
0.08
1210000
KOSPI INDEX
SK
1858.2
-0.9218924
1.777907
2192.83
1644.11
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX
AU
4157.807
-0.2730745
2.495872
4657.4
3765.9
ID
4055.197
-0.3596951
6.101664
4234.734
3217.951
FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI
MA
1620.55
0.3790812
5.867793
1620.55
1310.53
NZX ALL INDEX
NZ
776.319
-0.1403378
6.374166
806.015
700.441
JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX
PHILIPPINES ALL SHARE IX
PH
3527.48
0.2609215
15.84347
3527.48
2695.06
NEW WORLD DEV
9.88
1.229508
57.82747
11.224
6.13
20378708
SANDS CHINA LTD
23.5
-1.052632
7.0615
33.05
14.9
13355021
SHUN HO RESOURCE
1.13
0
13
1.32
0.82
30000
SHUN TAK HOLDING
2.77
1.838235
8.239982
4.668
2.241
1833838
SJM HOLDINGS LTD
4670564
14.68
1.101928
17.38801
20.711
10.079
SMARTONE TELECOM
15.2
1.876676
13.09524
18.5
9.8
611779
WYNN MACAU LTD
17.5
2.579132
-10.25641
27.48
14.807
6719897
ASIA ENTERTAINME
3.97
0.5063291
-32.48299
10.8692
3.66
84042
BALLY TECHNOLOGI
47.08
0.5338458
19.0091
49.32
24.74
222051
HSBC Dragon 300 Index Singapor
SI
567.72
3.38
14.38
na
na
STOCK EXCH OF THAI INDEX
TH
1200.08
-0.1431187
17.04444
1247.72
843.69
HO CHI MINH STOCK INDEX
VN
415.44
0.3890486
18.17381
492.44
332.28
BOC HONG KONG HO
3
0
25.14666
3.15
1.81
1500
Laos Composite Index
LO
1003.33
0
11.54804
1107.3
876.33
GALAXY ENTERTAIN
2.46
0.4081633
31.5508
3.24
1.08
12000 2481319
Shanghai Shenzhen Composite index is listing the biggest companies by market capitalization. All data supplied by Bloomberg unless otherwise indicated.
INTL GAME TECH
15.88
0
-7.674423
19.15
13.12
JONES LANG LASAL
69.18
-2.439712
12.9285
99.89
46.01
233147
LAS VEGAS SANDS
42.39
-2.708286
-0.7956928
62.09
36.08
7079511
MELCO CROWN-ADR
10.84
-1.900452
12.68191
16.15
7.05
3663922
MGM CHINA HOLDIN
1.46
-2.666667
22.51476
2.2131
1.0025
3000
MGM RESORTS INTE
10.83
-1.455869
3.835088
16.05
7.4
6100907
SHUFFLE MASTER
14.49
0.138217
23.63481
18.77
7.35
446145
1.82
-1.086957
13.21416
2.6037
1.2624
2000
100.69
-1.109802
-8.869579
165.4931
95.82
2384541
SJM HOLDINGS LTD WYNN RESORTS LTD
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14 |
business daily July 9, 2012
Opinion
’Where were the controls’ is the question for Barclays Paula Dwyer David Shipley
Bloomberg View editors
I
f anyone could get Robert Diamond, the former chief executive officer of Barclays Plc, to explain the Libor-fixing scandal to a British parliamentary panel on Wednesday, it was Andrea Leadsom, a Conservative member and a former Barclays banker. Although their interchange generated some heat, it didn’t yield enough light. Yes, Diamond was contrite, repeatedly condemning the conduct of the 14 traders involved. Yes, he lost his job. But not once did he let Leadsom and her fellow MPs delve into the bank’s internal operations, including its compliance process, risk-management procedures and managerial oversight to understand how Barclays staff could have falsified interest rates used to price US$800 trillion in derivatives and corporate and consumer loans, with no one noticing. Without these details, regulators and lawmakers will remain at sea over how to prevent such behaviour at Barclays and the dozen or so other banks about to get pulled into the dragnet. Now that U.K. lawmakers have voted to conduct a parliamentary probe, here’s what they should ask Diamond: “Where were the controls?” In four short words, the MPs should have demanded to know why various checks and balances, which all banks must have, failed at every level. How could bankers and traders, for almost five years, get away with rigging Libor submissions to make sure their derivative bets would pay off? As Diamond would have us believe, knowledge of the rate fixing never went beyond trading desk supervisors. If that’s true, it reveals a lack of internal controls that borders on malfeasance.
Essential questions It’s especially curious that Diamond, who more than most understood the culture of traders, having spent most of his long banking career either on trading desks or overseeing them, didn’t more closely monitor those at Barclays. For example, Barclays has a compliance operation whose
Robert Diamond, former chief executive of Barclays Plc
staff has the ability to check books and records, including e-mails and phone calls, most of which are archived for this very purpose. They can and often make surprise spot checks. What exactly did Diamond ask them to do? Other employees are similarly empowered to look behind traders’ books to avoid losses and keep liabilities in check. These include the risk-management staff, outside auditors and legal counsel. Did any of them conduct routine, or even occasional, inspections? – “When did you first learn about the falsifications?” Actually, we know the answer to this one. Diamond claimed at the hearing that he learned only in mid-June about e-mails showing that his bank had made false submissions on interest rates used to set the London interbank offered rate. (Libor is derived from banks’ own estimates of what it would cost to borrow from one another in various currencies and timeframes.) The e-mails, he said, made him “physically sick.” We have to take him at his word, though his answer
stretches credulity. The MPs could have asked more probing questions about a telephone conversation Diamond had with Paul Tucker, a senior Bank of England official, in October 2008, during the financial crisis. Diamond at the time wrote a note to himself that Tucker said it “did not always need to be the case that we appeared as high as we have recently,” referring to Barclays’ daily Libor submissions. Diamond said he thought Tucker was giving him a heads-up that the U.K.
MPs should have demanded to know why various checks and balances, which all banks must have, failed at every level
government might be thinking of nationalising Barclays if it couldn’t fund itself. He didn’t think the central bank was telling him to fudge his numbers so the bank would look healthier.
Missing answers Documents made public Tuesday, however, show that Jerry Del Missier, the then-president of Barclays’ investment bank concluded the opposite – that an instruction had come down from the central bank to get quotes in line with those of other banks. The next day, the borrowing rates submitted by Barclays fell sharply. Here’s the question Diamond should have been compelled to answer: if you knew your Libor submissions were high enough to worry the government about Barclays’ viability, didn’t you check to see what your submissions were the next day, and every day thereafter? And when they suddenly dropped, didn’t you ask why? – “Why didn’t you examine Barclays’ numbers?” After the conversation with the
Bank of England official, Diamond said he asked Barclays’ then-CEO to relay to the government that other banks were understating their borrowing costs. If he knew this, why didn’t Diamond ask to see the calculations his staff had been submitting? Or at the very least, why didn’t he ask the head of compliance about it? – “Do you think you should forfeit the 14.8 million pounds (US$23 million) in future share awards, or give back some of the 120 million pounds (US$186 million) in salary, benefits and bonuses you’ve received since 2005?” Diamond was asked about the share awards he’s due to receive once he leaves. He deflected the question by saying it was up to the board, not him. Considering the extent of what he seems to have missed, shouldn’t clawing back past compensation be on the table, too? In the end, that may be the only way regulators, lawmakers and taxpayers can ward off such behaviour. In case the board needs help with the answer, it’s “yes.” Bloomberg View
editorial council Paulo A. Azevedo, Tiago Azevedo, Duncan Davidson, Emanuel Graça, Cris Jiang Founder & Publisher Paulo A. Azevedo | pazevedo@macaubusinessdaily.com Editor-in-Chief Tiago Azevedo DEputy Editor-in-Chief José I. Duarte Newsdesk Vitor Quintã (Chief Reporter) Tony Lai, Xi Chen Creative Director José Manuel Cardoso Designer Janne Louhikari Contributors Frederico Rato, Pereira Coutinho, Ricardo Siu, Rose N. Lai, Zen Udani Photography Carmo Correia, John Si, Manuel Cardoso Assistant to the publisher Laurentina da Silva | ltinas@macaubusinessdaily.com office manager Elsa Vong | elsav@macaubusinessdaily.com Agencies Bloomberg, Reuters, AFP, Xinhua, Lusa, Project Syndicate Printed in Macau by Welfare Ltd.
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July 9, 2012 business daily | 15
OPINION
Europe’s winners and losers wires Business Leading reports from Asia’s best business newspapers
China Daily Singapore’s stock exchange plans to start listing securities denominated in the yuan as it challenges Hong Kong and Tokyo for a bigger share of equities and currency trading from the world’s second-largest economy. Singapore Exchange Ltd announced in a statement that it is ready to list, quote, trade, clear and settle securities denominated in the yuan as the city-state strives to be an offshore trading centre for yuan assets. The move is also seen by analysts as a boost to the Chinese mainland’s ambition to internationalise the yuan.
Taipei Times Taiwan’s central bank is not expected to cut interest rates in the second half of the year, economists were quoted as saying on Sunday. “Taiwan’s central bank will be happy to see these positive moves led by other countries,” Cheng Cheng-mount, chief economist at Citigroup in Taipei, said. Central banks in Europe and China cut their interest rates last week. Analysts forecast Taiwan’s economy to rebound in the second half of the year. Economists said the rate cuts by central banks in Europe and China were only the first step for them to stimulate their economy, which might help Taiwan’s outlook.
Asahi Shimbun Japan’s first test production of shale oil will begin as early as next year, raising hopes that total reserves could account for nearly 10 percent of the nation’s annual consumption, sources were quoted as saying. Japan Petroleum Exploration Co. will conduct test production at the Ayukawa oil and gas field in Yurihonjo, Akita Prefecture, with Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corp., the sources added. The reserve is estimated to be about 5 million barrels. Shale oil will be sold in Japan once production gets on track.
Business Inquirer Bank of America Merrill Lynch has upgraded its domestic economic growth outlook for the Philippines this year but tempered its outlook for 2013 as a challenging global environment is seen having an impact on exports. GDP forecast for this year was raised to 5.6 percent from 4.4 percent but for 2013, the outlook was trimmed to 5.7 percent from 5.9 percent. In 2012-13, a weaker export growth outlook, paired with larger import demands of a faster growing domestic economy, would tend to restrain the overall GDP growth trend, the bank said in a research commentary.
Joschka Fischer
Former Germany’s foreign minister and vice-chancellor and Green Party leader
R
arely is a high-flying country brought back down to earth in a single night, but that is precisely what happened to Germany recently. In both football (soccer) and politics, the country had come to embody an unseemly mixture of arrogance and denial. It thought itself the measure of all things European, in terms of both the European championship and the European Union. In both cases, it was deceiving itself. The same night that Germany was thrashed by the Italians in the championship’s semifinals, German Chancellor Angela Merkel ran up against the limits of her own powers at the eurozone leaders’ summit in Brussels. Germany’s political course since the beginning of the euro crisis two years ago had left it isolated, and she was no match for an alliance of Italy, Spain, and France. Indeed, she had no choice but to concede and agree to far-reaching changes to the EU’s new fiscal compact that will ease refinancing of the crisis countries and their banks. The German dogma of “no payments without counter-performance and control” was thus off the table, and the bargain struck in the early hours of the morning was exactly the opposite of what she had wanted. The fiscal compact had been reduced to a shambles even before Germany’s parliament, the Bundestag, approved it later that day. In terms of addressing the eurozone financial crisis, however, the agreement reached in Brussels was anything but a breakthrough, because it never transcended the logic of narrow crisis management. It offers no strategy for overcoming the crisis in the south of Europe, which means that the threat to the eurozone has not been removed.
A small revolution Politically, however, the agreement amounts to a small revolution, because it has shifted the balance of power within the eurozone: Germany is strong, but not strong enough to get away with isolating itself completely from Europe’s other major players. Decisions that go against Germany are possible. There was patent gloating about the German defeat everywhere, only thinly disguised behind strained expressions of solidarity. The full extent of the political damage that Germany’s bailout policy for the eurozone, with its austerity, mass unemployment, and economic depression, has caused in southern Europe remains to be seen. If Merkel had wanted the agreement reached in Brus-
sels, the outcome would have marked the beginning of a fundamental revision of the eurozone’s crisis policy – and thus an expression of successful statesmanship. Instead, it is a full-blown defeat for Germany, linked to its firm denial that German policy has sharply reduced the country’s influence in the EU. Yet it clearly has: German influence within the European Central Bank has declined significantly; the German finance minister will not become head of the Eurogroup; and now we have the Brussels disaster!
Matters of concern But Germany’s defeat, however widely celebrated, holds much cause for concern. First, not everything that Germany is arguing is wrong: the urgent need for mediumterm fiscal consolidation and structural reforms to increase the crisis countries’ competitiveness will not go away. Equally important, however, is the reduction of economic imbalances and European policy coordination to enable growth. Second, political paranoia is rising on the German right: everybody supposedly just wants Germany’s money; our Anglo-Saxon partners’ real aim is to weaken us; and the financial markets will not rest until Germany has invested all of its wealth and has thus endangered its economic success. Germany is being “betrayed to foreigners” by the opposition, and “good” productive capital is once again being opposed to “bad” speculative capital. In the opinion pages of some German newspapers, anti-capitalism is returning in a new form, which entails nothing less than a renunciation of Europe and even of the West. Of course, while the German right threatens to become more nationalistic, history will not repeat itself, because to-
day’s Germany has changed, and so has its political environment. Still, an increasingly Euro-sceptic Germany in the heart of the EU could, given its great economic clout, seriously endanger the European integration process. And, while that would jeopardise Germany’s own interests, practical political action is not always rational, particularly in times of serious crisis. The same, incidentally, applies to France, except that the French, unlike the Germans, find it difficult to transfer political sovereignty, whereas for us Germans, it is all about the money. Both of these mental/political blocks are threatening the European project in equal measure.
What we know for certain is that, just as one cannot be a little pregnant, the existing hybrid is not sustainable
Indeed, if the result of the recent summit means that France and Germany will henceforth each forge alliances against the other, while hiding behind verbal expressions of solidarity, we might just as well forget about Europe. Without a functioning Franco-German axis, the European project cannot succeed. Both sides will have to decide whether or not they want Europe – that is, full economic and political integration. Economically, they must choose either joint liability and a transfer union or monetary re-nationalisation. Politically, the choice is whether to empower a common government and parliament or return to full sovereignty. What we know for certain is that, just as one cannot be a little pregnant, the existing hybrid is not sustainable. Last November, Volker Kauder, the majority leader in the Bundestag, bragged that “suddenly Europe is speaking German.” He was wrong. Just as Spain (not Germany) remains the benchmark in European football, so Europe speaks broken English at best. From the standpoint of safeguarding the European project, that is all for the better. © Project Syndicate
16 |
business daily July 9, 2012
CLOSING Bombardier tempts AirAsia
China mine blast kills seven
Canada’s Bombardier is in talks with AirAsia about a more densely packed 160seat version of its CSeries jet, in a surprise bid to loosen the stranglehold on Asia’s largest low-cost carrier held by European giant Airbus. AirAsia founder and Formula One boss Tony Fernandes discussed the proposal with Bombardier’s chief executive Pierre Beaudoin during preparations for yesterday’s British Grand Prix at Silverstone, the men said on the eve of the Farnborough Airshow. Airbus sales chief John Leahy played down the reports. “I do not see how a CSeries aircraft would economically fit into the AirAsia fleet,” he told Reuters.
A gas blast at a coal mine in China’s central province of Hunan killed seven people yesterday morning state media said. It’s the latest in a string of accidents in the country’s dangerous mining industry. It happened at a facility in Lianyuan city. Another 39 workers escaped, the official Xinhua news agency said, quoting the local government. The latest accident came as rescuers in another part of the same province were racing to find eight coal miners still missing four days after their mine flooded, state media added. However, tighter safety standards appear to have been effective according to the latest official figures, which say 1,973 people died in coal mining accidents in 2011, down 19 percent on the previous year.
Rate rigging probe escalates in U.K. and Germany British MPs call for jail terms for any bank bosses convicted Jonathan Gould and Kirstin Ridley
Britain’s Serious Fraud Office part of a widening inquiry
A
global investigation into manipulation of interbank lending rates widened on Friday with Britain’s fraud squad taking up the case and sources telling Reuters that Germany’s markets regulator had launched a probe into Deutsche Bank. Authorities in the United States, Europe, Japan and Canada are examining more than a dozen big banks over suspected rigging of the London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor). Britain’s Barclays has so far been the only bank to admit wrongdoing, agreeing last week to pay a fine of more than US$450 million (3.59 billion patacas). The rate-fixing scandal has exploded into the front ranks of politics, especially in Britain, where politicians say the bankers responsible should end up in jail. Barclays CEO Bob Diamond was forced to resign this week and told a parliamentary committee that some of his firm’s former staff could face criminal charges. The Libor rates, compiled from estimates by large banks of how much they believe they have to pay to borrow from each other, are used to determine interest rates on trillions of dollars worth of contracts around the world.
Germany’s BaFin regulator has initiated a “special investigation” into Deutsche Bank, a process which is more severe than a routine investigation initiated by a third party, two sources said on Friday. The sources included a banker and a regulator, both of whom spoke on condition of anonymity.
Champagne toasts In Britain, the lack of criminal prosecutions of the rate fixing has been one of the issues infuriating politicians, after e-mails were published showing bankers boasting of fiddling figures and congratulating each other with
offers of champagne. Britain’s Serious Fraud Office said in a brief statement that its Director David Green had decided formally to accept the Libor case for investigation. The SFO will now assemble a case team to pursue an investigation - although it could take years. A spokesman noted that its remit would not be confined to Barclays. “We don’t mention Barclays in our statement, just Libor,” the spokesman said. A source close to the SFO and familiar with its Libor case file said: “A lot of people will be calling around to find lawyers.” The SFO considered launching an
investigation into Libor last summer but dropped the plans in September, in part for budgetary reasons, said the source, who spoke on condition he would not be identified. The SFO has been criticised in the past for failing to achieve convictions in high-profile fraud cases. It gave no further details of how it would conduct its probe. News of a “special investigation” in Germany also raises the stakes. Deutsche Bank said earlier this year it was cooperating with authorities investigating accusations of manipulation of Libor, the only German bank to make such a disclosure so far. Reuters
Greece pledges spending reforms, privatisations Opinion poll shows Greeks split on sticking with bailout George Georgiopoulos
G
reece’s new finance minister on Saturday pledged to carry out reforms and privatisations demanded under its latest financial rescue in an attempt to regain credibility with international partners stumping up money to keep
Long hard road for Greece
the country afloat. In his first policy speech since taking office, respected economist Yannis Stournaras reiterated the government’s plan to ask lenders for an additional two years to implement deficit-cutting measures, citing a deeper-than-expected recession. But he also warned of a tough road ahead in convincing the socalled troika of European Union,
International Monetary Fund and European Central Bank lenders to give Greece more time and money. “The negotiations will not be quick - they will be long and arduous,” he told parliament during a debate ahead of a confidence vote on the government yesterday. “Additional time is required because the recession was bigger than expected. The extension means someone will have to give us more money and this is not simple.” He warned the near-bankrupt country risked a great deal if it failed to hit the targets it had signed up to. “Greece must carry out the measures that it has already voted on as part of its 2012 budget so that it moves towards the targets it has committed to and to avoid losing more of its credibility and risk the next aid tranche,” he said. Faced with public anger and an emboldened opposition, Greece’s new conservative-led government has promised to push for changes
to a deeply unpopular 130 billion euro (US$162.6 billion) bailout deal keeping the country away from bankruptcy. But that has set it on course for a showdown with its increasingly impatient lenders, whose inspectors this week began their first visit to Athens since the government took office. Athens, due to run out of cash in weeks without further aid, has already conceded that it has fallen behind agreed targets and euro zone officials have warned the country will get no further aid until it gets back on track with reforms. Seeking to soothe some of those concerns, Stournaras said Greece was committed to carrying out an ambitious privatisation plan, albeit with a delay due the elections, as well as structural reforms including cutting red tape, liberalising the economy and improving efficiency in the justice system. Reuters