BusinessMirror October 25, 2023

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BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

BSP: OFF-CYCLE RATE HIKE IS ON THE TABLE www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Wednesday, October 25, 2023 Vol. 19 No. 14

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 24 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

SEA DISPUTES In an emergency meeting at Malacañang in Manila on October 23, 2023, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., along with

the defense secretary and top military officials, discussed the recent hostilities in the disputed South China Sea. Following the alarming escalation of territorial disputes in the South China Sea, the United States reiterated its commitment to defend the Philippines in case of an armed attack, invoking a 1951 treaty. This warning came after Chinese ships blocked and collided with two Filipino vessels. During a press conference in Quezon City on the same day, Philippine Coast Guard spokesperson Commodore Jay Tarriela presented a video depicting an incident involving a Chinese coast guard ship with bow number 5203 and a Philippine military-run supply boat. The video and information shared heightened concerns about the potential for armed conflict in the region. The incident involved a Chinese coast guard ship and an accompanying vessel ramming a Philippine coast guard ship and a military-run supply boat off a contested shoal. MALACAÑANG PRESIDENTIAL COMMUNICATIONS OFFICE/AP/AARON FAVILA By Cai U. Ordinario

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@caiordinario

HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is considering an off-cycle rate hike as early as Thursday this week if the latest data shows that inflation is poised to worsen in October. BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona Jr. told reporters on Tuesday that an off-cycle rate hike “is on the table.” This may happen as early as Thursday this week or next week. Inflation has been rising since August at 5.3 percent and in September at 6.1 percent. Despite this, the BSP still expects inflation to hit the 2 to 4 percent target by this quarter. “If the data says inflation will go up very significantly and there’s a risk of affecting inflationary expectations, then we may go for an off-cycle hike,” Remolona said. If the BSP pushes through with an off-cycle rate hike this week or next week, this will be the second off-cycle rate hike implemented

since July 2022, when the Monetary Board raised key policy rates by 75 basis points to 3.25 percent. The off-cycle rate hike implemented in July 2022 was considered the most aggressive monetar y policy tightening move of the BSP since it adopted its inf lation-targeting framework in 2001, more than two decades ago. (https://businessmirror. com.ph/2022/07/14/phl-hikesrates-to-temper-inflation/). The next Monetary Board meeting is slated for November 17. If the key policy rate is raised this week, this will be four weeks ahead of the scheduled policy rate setting.

GOVT WANTS TO SHORTEN ‘TRIGGER PERIOD’ FOR FUEL SUBSIDY RELEASE By Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla

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OARING oil prices have prompted President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. to order the Department of Energy (DOE) and other concerned agencies to implement mitigating measures, including shortening the “trigger period” for the release of fuel subsidies, to minimize the impact of pump prices on consumers. Last Tuesday, the Chief Executive held a sectoral meeting to tackle measures that will help address high global crude oil prices. DOE Secretary Raphael P.M. Lotilla said the President called for the amendment of a provision in the 2024 General Appropriations Act (GAA) so the “trigger period” for the release of the fuel subsidy will be cut to one month from the original three months. Under the existing rules, the fuel subsidy, which ranges from P1,000 to P10,000, can only be distributed if the average crude oil prices breach $80 per barrel

for three consecutive months. Congress is still deliberating the 2024 GAA, which is expected to be completed before the end of the year. Lotilla said the fuel subsidy program has been allocated a budget of P2.5 billion for next year. “So, with this simplification or shortening of the period, we will be able to release the subsidies in a shorter period of time,” the DOE chief said.

‘Supply-side interventions crucial to taming inflation’

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OOLING inflation is the responsibility of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) and the national government,

according to a Monetary Board Member (MBM). See “MBM,” A2

List of beneficiaries

ASIDE from the shortened trigger period, Lotilla also said that they are trying to institutionalize the designation of concerned agencies in preparing the list of beneficiaries of the fuel subsidy to fast-track processing. “ The Department of Transportation will be responsible for the list for those which are under the LTFRB [Land Transportation Franchising See “Fuel,” A2

See “BSP,” A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 56.8210 n JAPAN 0.3796 n UK 69.5944 n HK 7.2620 n CHINA 7.7761 n SINGAPORE 41.5844 n AUSTRALIA 36.0075 n EU 60.6280 n KOREA 0.0423 n SAUDI ARABIA 15.1478 Source:

BSP (24 October 2023)


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