Economic Review 2024 & Outlook 2025

Page 1


Economic Review 2024 & Outlook 2025

CDB Borrowing Member Countries

Economic Performance in 2024

Fiscal outturn: Mostly positive.

Excluding Guyanaslowed to 1.7% With Guyana 8.8%

in 2023

Regional Growth: Regional Debt-to-GDP: down from 2.5%

countries received upgrades to their sovereign credit ratings: Anguilla, Barbados, Belize, Jamaica, and Suriname. 5 15 declined to 50.9% compared with 55.6% in 2023.

of CDB’s BMCs surpassed prepandemic real output levels.

Service exporters: Grew by 1.6% in 2024 down from 2.8% in 2023.

Rising import payments dampened tourism gains in most BMCs' external current accounts.

Many BMCs reported primary surpluses.

Foreign exchange reserve positions: Remain healthy.

Financial sector: Broadly stable.

Inflation: Continued to ease from 2022 peak.

Unemployment: Declining rates.

Economic Review 2024 & Outlook 2025

Projected growth:

Guyana - 11.9%

Projected growth: Commodity Exporters: 7.6% (3.1% excluding Guyana)

Service-exporting economies: 2.2%

Growth Drivers:

Tourism Construction (public & private investments) 2025 Economic Projections for 4.6% (with Guyana) 2.5% (excluding Guyana)

Risks to the 2025

Outlook

Slowdowns in major trading partners

Continued geopolitical tensions

Natural hazards

Resurgence of protectionist policies

Delays in capital investments across the region

Development Imperatives for 2025 and Beyond

Building resilience to Climate Change and natural hazards

Upgrading business ecosystems to facilitate diversification of regional economies, including:

Building out and modernising logistics infrastructure e.g. road networks, ports and storage facilities

Streamlining, digitalising and modernising regulatory systems e g corporate registration and port community systems

Building out business support systems

Increasing access to suitable financing for businesses at various stages of their life cycle

Prudent public financial management to promote macroeconomic stability and better development outcomes

Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.