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September 12, 2016 #160
September 12, 2016, Issue 160 - www.cbw.ge
Econo-mix GEL Exchange Rate not Expected to Show Extreme Volatility Pg. 4
Company Ajara Meets Mellow Season with Tourism Boom and Clean Seaside
PR Teona Baghdavadze: Staying Away from Political PR Pg. 11
Pg. 5
Inspiration, Innovation and Ideas at Tendence 2016
National Bank Cheapens Loans The monetary policy committee of the National Bank of Georgia (NBG) has taken a decision on reducing the refinancing rate by 25 base point to 6.5%. This decision is based on macroeconomic forecasts under which the tightened monetary policy should be gradually alleviated to move closer to the target inflation indicator. “According to the forecasts, in other equal conditions it is expected to lower the monetary policy rate to 6% in midterm period. In August annual inflation rate of the consumer prices declined to 0.9% and this corresponds to the existing forecasts. Disappearance of base effect has important influence on reduction in inflation indicator. The weak joint demand stimulates also inflation slowdown tendency. According to the current forecasts, the inflation rate will be maintained at low level in the next quarters and will get closer to the target indicator at the end of 2017. Pg. 4
Turkish Opportunity Russian sanctions against Europe and Turkey provided a great opportunity for the Georgian agricultural sector which could have replaced, to the best of its ability, the needed supplies of fruit and vegetables to Russia and thus regain its positions on the vast neighboring market. It is unlikely that anyone would contest the idea how useful that would have been both for the stability of the country’s agricultural production and for testing its export and gradually raising the quality of its agricultural products to the level of the most demanding European and Asian markets. Today, however, as Russia and Turkey have, in practical terms, “made peace”, it can be stated that Georgia missed out on its chance. Which was not the case with its neighbors that realized their opportunities not necessarily within the legal framework. For example, Turkish export of tomatoes to Azerbaijan grew 50-fold—what Pg. 13 an appetite!