August2013monthlysalestrendbroker

Page 1

Grand Strand Market Report August 2013 Single Family Residential Sales Soar Up 22.1% in August Single Family Residential (SFR) hit record levels with 524 sales. This level of performance is the highest monthly production in over seven years. For August, sales grew 22.1% as compared to August 2012. Year-to-date (YTD), SFR sales are up 26.5% from 2012 levels. In addition to strong SFR sales, the median sales price of SFRs was $184,500, which is in line with full year performance. YTD, the median sales price is up 4.70% for the year. During August, the inventory of homes for sale continued its seasonal decline, however levels are still up 3.07% from prior year levels. It is anticipated that after the seasonal peak in May, inventory will continue its seasonal decline for the balance of 2013. The inventory of distressed homes for sale continued to decline and is now 57.1% below its prior year level. For condos, the inventory continues its slow decline and the current inventory is down 6.54% from August 2012 and distressed inventory is sharply down 79.6% over the last year. During August, condo sales were flat to prior year levels and year to date condo sales are up 8.2% from 2012. The median sales price for condos is up 13.4% from last year. YTD, the median sales price of condos are up 4.8%. The median sales price of residential lots is flat compared to July and the YTD sales price is up 39.6% from 2012.

Research powered by SiteTech Systems

Contents Active Inventory

2

SFR Inventory Trends

3

Condo Inventory Trends

4

Closed Sales – SFR

5

Avg. Sales Price – SFR

6

Median Sales Price – SFR

7

Median Sales Price – SFR (Distressed & Non-Distressed)

8

Median Sales Price – SFR (Cash & Conventional Transactions)

9

SFR Sales – (% Cash vs. % Conventional)

10

Sales to List Price Ratio – SFR

11

Closed Sales – Condo

12

Avg. Sales Price – Condo

13

Median Sales Price – Condo

14

Median Sales Price–Condo (Distressed & Non-Distressed)

15

Median Sales Price – Condo (Cash & Conventional Transactions)

16

Condo Sales – (% Cash vs. % Conventional)

17

Sales to List Price Ratio – Condo

18

Closed Sales – Residential Lot

19

Avg. Sales Price – Residential Lot

20

Median Sales Price – Residential Lot

21

Median Sales Price – Res. Lot (Non-Distressed)

22

Sold to List Price Ratio – Residential Lot

23

Distressed Inventory

24

Distressed Sales

25


Grand Strand Active Inventory Single Family Residential

Condo/Townhome # Listings

# Listings Horry Co.

Horry Co.

3,985

Georgetown Co. Total

3,752

Georgetown Co.

885

Residential Lot Horry Co.

404 Total

4,870

# Listings 1,635

Georgetown Co.

769 Total

4,156

2,404

Average List Price

$340,561

Average List Price

$185,375

Average List Price

$131,504

Median List Price

$230,000

Median List Price

$136,950

Median List Price

$62,450

Distribution by Price Range Horry Co.

G’town Co.

Less than $150k

1,023

89

Less than $100k

$150k - $250k

1,411

188

$250k - $500k

1,177

334

$500k - $1.0 MM $1 MM +

270 104

Horry Co.

G’town Co.

1,193

37

$100k - $150k

985

94

$150k - $200k

624

81

$200k - $400k

740

101

158 116

$400k -$750k

172

65

$750+

38

26

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

Horry Co.

G’town Co.

Less than $25k

360

80

$25k - $50k

490

95

$50k - $75k

241

86

$75k-100k

166

112

$100k-175k

164

138

$175k -250k

99

119

$250k+

115

139

2


Research performed by SiteTech Systems 3

Aug-13

Jul-13

650 Aug-13

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug 2010 5,258

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug 2011 831

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug-11

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

Feb-11

Jan-11

Dec-10

Nov-10

Oct-10

Aug 2011 4,821

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug 2010 776

Aug-11

950

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

Feb-11

Jan-11

Dec-10

Nov-10

Sep-10

Aug-10

Jul-10

Jun-10

May-10

Number of Listings 5,600 5,400 5,200 5,000 4,800 4,600 4,400 4,200 4,000

Oct-10

Sep-10

Aug-10

Jul-10

850

Jun-10

May-10

Number of Distressed Listings

Grand Strand SFR Inventory Trends Grand Strand SFR Inventory Aug 2013 4,870

Aug 2012 4,725

Grand Strand SFR Distressed Inventory Aug 2012 781

750

Aug 2013 497

550

450


Research performed by SiteTech Systems

550

450

4

Aug-13

Aug-13

4,500

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Aug 2012 4,428

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

750

Oct-12

850

Sep-12

Aug 2011 803

Aug-12

5,000

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug-11

Aug 2011 4,864

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug 2010 944

Aug-11

5,500

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

Feb-11

Jan-11

Dec-10

Nov-10

Oct-10

Sep-10

Aug-10

Aug 2010 5,542

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

Feb-11

Jan-11

Dec-10

Nov-10

Oct-10

Sep-10

950 Jul-10

Jun-10

May-10

Number of Listings 6,000

Aug-10

1,050

Jul-10

Jun-10

May-10

Number of Distressed Listings

Grand Strand Condo Inventory Trends Grand Strand Condo Inventory

Aug 2013 4,156

4,000

3,500

Grand Strand Condo Distressed Inventory Aug 2012 686

650

Aug 2013 382

350


Closed Sales - SFR Year to Date

August

3,649

524 358

2011

429

2012

2,499

2011

2013

Historical SFR Sales Activity 550

2,884

2012

2013 Aug 2013 524

Number of SFR Sales

500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150

100

Jan 2009 149

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

5


Average Sales Price - SFR August

Year to Date $221,377

$220,313

$224,295

$222,463

$212,222

$217,747

2011

2012

2011

2013

2012

2013

Historical SFR Average Sale Prices $400,000

March 2007 $346,428

$300,000 Aug 2013 $221,377

$250,000 $200,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

6

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

$150,000

Jul-12

Sept 2012 $196,933 Jan-06

Average Sales Price

$350,000


Median Sales Price - SFR Year to Date

August

$178,000

$184,500

$173,000

$175,000 $170,383

$170,000

2011

2012

2013

2011

2012

2013

Historical SFR Median Sale Prices July 2006 $242,310

$250,000 $240,000 $220,000 $210,000

Aug 2013 $184,500

$200,000 $190,000 $180,000 $170,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

7

Jul-13

Apr-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

$150,000

Jan-13

Nov 2012 $160,000

$160,000 Jan-06

Median Sales Prices

$230,000


Median Sales Price – SFR Distressed & Non-Distressed $220,000

$200,000

$180,000

Median Sales Price

$160,000

Distressed Sales Median Sales Price Non-Distressed Sales Median Sales Price

$140,000

$120,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

Jul-13

Aug-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Jul-12

Aug-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Jul-11

Aug-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

$100,000

8


Median Sales Price – SFR Cash & Conventional Transactions $195,000

$185,000

$175,000

$165,000

Median Sales Price Cash Median Sales Price

$155,000

Conventional Median Sales Price $145,000

$135,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

Aug-13

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug-11

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

$125,000

9


SFR Sales % Cash vs. % Conventional 80.0%

70.0%

60.0%

Cash % of Closed Sales

50.0%

Conventional % of Closed Sales 40.0%

30.0%

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

Jul-13

May-13

Mar-13

Jan-13

Nov-12

Sep-12

Jul-12

May-12

Mar-12

Jan-12

Nov-11

Sep-11

Jul-11

May-11

Mar-11

Jan-11

Nov-10

Sep-10

Jul-10

May-10

Mar-10

Jan-10

20.0%

10


Sold to List Price Ratio - SFR August

Year to Date 93%

93% 90%

91%

88%

2011

88%

2012

2011

2013

2012

2013

Sold to List Ratio

Historical SFR Sold to List Ratios 100 98 96 94 92 90 88 86 84 82 80

Jan 2006 98% Aug 2013 93%

May 2009 86%

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

April 2011 86%

11


Closed Sales - Condo August

Year to Date 357

349

2,875

288 2,657 2,468

2011

2012

2013

2011

2012

2013

Historical Condo Sales Activity 900 800

May 2006 845

Number of Sales

700 600 Aug 2013 349

500 400 300

Jan 2009 117

200 100

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

12


Average Sales Price - Condo August

Year to Date $147,250

$138,895

$136,377

$128,909

$135,012

$123,011

2011

2012

2011

2013

2012

2013

Historical Condo Average Sale Prices June 2007 $348,053

$350,000

$250,000 Aug 2013 $147,250

$200,000 $150,000 $100,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

13

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

$50,000

Jan-11

Dec 2010 $105,000 Jan-06

Average Sales Price

$300,000


Median Sales Price - Condo August

Year to Date $117,000

$102,750

$103,199

2011

2012

$109,000

$109,000

$104,000

2011

2013

2012

2013

Historical Condo Median Sales Prices June 2007 $249,921

$250,000 $230,000 $190,000 $170,000

Aug 2013 $117,000

$150,000 $130,000 $110,000 $90,000

Nov 2011 $93,450

$70,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

14

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

$50,000 Jan-06

Median Sales Price

$210,000


Median Sales Price – Condo Distressed & Non-Distressed $150,000

$140,000

$130,000

$120,000

Median Sales Price

$110,000

Distressed Sales Median Sales Price

$100,000

Non-Distressed Sales Median Sales Price

$90,000

$80,000

$70,000

$60,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

15


Median Sales Price – Condo Cash & Conventional Transactions $180,000

$160,000

$140,000

Median Sales Price

$120,000

Cash Median Sales Price Conventional Median Sales Price

$100,000

$80,000

$60,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

16


Condo Sales % Cash vs. % Conventional 80.0%

70.0%

60.0%

50.0%

Cash % of Closed Sales

40.0%

Conventional % of Closed Sales

30.0%

20.0%

10.0%

0.0%

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

17


Sold to List Price Ratio - Condo August

Year to Date 91%

92%

88% 86%

2011

86%

2012

2013

2011

88%

2012

2013

Historical Condo Sold to List Ratio 100

March & April 2006 98%

Sold to List Ratio

95 90 Aug 2013 91%

85 80 75

April & May 2009 81%

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

18


Closed Sales – Residential Lot August

Year to Date 97

712 74

770

74

463

2011

2012

2013

2011

2012

2013

Historical Residential Lot Sales Activity 300

April 2006 266

Number of sales

250 200 Aug 2013 97

150 100

Jan 2009 11

50 0

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

19


Average Sales Price – Residential Lot August

Year to Date

$78,976

$73,821

$71,811

$71,417

$52,112 $66,940

2011

2012

2013

2011

2012

2013

Historical Residential Lot Average Sale Prices July 2008 $275,614

$250,000 $200,000 $150,000

Aug 2013 $73,821

$100,000 $50,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

20

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

$0

Jan-11

October 2011 $35,780 Jan-06

Average Sales Prices

$300,000


Median Sales Price – Residential Lot August

Year to Date

$32,500

$34,750

2011

2012

$48,500

$35,900

2013

2011

$41,000 $32,250

2012

2013

Historical Residential Lot Median Sale Prices Aug 2006 $130,000

$140,000

$100,000 Aug 2013 $48,500

$80,000 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

21

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

$0

Jan-12

Nov 2011 $15,000 Jan-06

Median Sales Prices

$120,000


Median Sales Price – Res. Lot (Non-Distressed) August

Year to Date $52,675

$83,000

$50,000 $54,500

$45,550

$31,000

2011

2012

2013

2011

2012

2013

Jan 2011 $85,000

$90,000 $80,000 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $-

Aug 2013 $54,500

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

22

Aug-13

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug-11

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

Feb-11

Oct 2011 $23,250 Jan-11

Median Sales Prices

Historical Residential Lot Median Sale Prices (Non-Distressed)


Sold to List Price Ratio – Residential Lot August

Year to Date 79% 81%

75% 74%

70%

2011

2012

70%

2013

2011

2012

2013

Historical Residential Lot Sold to List Ratios 100 Sold to List Ratios

90 80

April 2006 99% Aug 2013 79%

70 60 Nov 2011 47%

50 40

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

23


Grand Strand Distressed Inventory Single Family Residential

Condo/Townhome

# Listings

Residential Lot # Listings

# Listings

Horry Co.

433

Horry Co.

355

Horry Co.

175

Georgetown Co.

64

Georgetown Co.

27

Georgetown Co.

61

Total

Total

497

Total

382

236

Average List Price

$195,837

Average List Price

$126,425

Average List Price

$67,102

Median List Price

$142,000

Median List Price

$97,000

Median List Price

$29,900

Distribution by Price Range Horry Co.

G’town Co.

Less than $150k

248

22

$150k - $250k

119

22

$250k - $500k

48

13

$500k - $1.0 MM

16

7

$1 MM +

2

-

Horry Co.

G’town Co.

Less than $100k

193

7

$100k - $150k

80

5

$150k - $200k

33

6

$200k - $400k

40

7

$400k -$750k

9

2

$750+

-

-

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

Horry Co.

G’town Co.

Less than $25k

79

15

$25k - $50k

49

14

$50k - $75k

16

7

$75k-100k

7

11

$100k-175k

12

8

$175k -250K

5

5

$250K +

7

1 24


Distressed Sales SFR

Total

12Aug

Oct

Dec

Feb

Apr

June

12Aug

13Aug

Condo

Oct

Dec

Feb

Apr

June

% Total Sales

29 29 23

25 25

27 28

24

26 17

12Aug

13Aug

Oct

Dec

Feb

Apr

June

13Aug

12Aug

Oct

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

Dec

Feb

Apr

15

June

17 17

13Aug

25


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