COLLIERS TORONTO ONE, OFFICE STATISTICS - Q4 2009 Greater Toronto Area Office Concentration
Class
Surveyed
Rate
Q4 2009
12 Months
Avg. Asking Net Rental Rates 5
CENTRAL AREA TOTAL:
AAA A B C All
11 139 322 259 731
12,718,015 28,689,977 33,721,305 12,813,900 87,943,197
1,079,342 1,701,405 1,196,178 549,793 4,526,718
8.5% 5.9% 3.5% 4.3% 5.1%
2,283,240 2,975,226 2,714,119 889,935 8,862,520
7.7% 27.2% 22.1% 13.9% 19.3%
18.0% 10.4% 8.0% 6.9% 10.1%
16.8% 10.2% 5.4% 6.3% 8.6%
(343,131) 1,106,036 (581,703) (58,412) 122,791
(337,499) 1,273,115 (583,624) (90,344) 261,647
$29.16 $22.31 $17.45 $15.09 $20.12
$60.25 $41.92 $34.68 $28.39 $39.33
2,053,363
2,310,000
Financial Core
AAA A B C All
11 26 37 35 109
12,718,015 11,598,752 5,645,411 3,653,565 33,615,743
1,079,342 727,911 345,145 152,509 2,304,907
8.5% 6.3% 6.1% 4.2% 6.9%
2,283,240 1,348,116 650,112 242,694 4,524,163
7.7% 17.1% 20.8% 20.3% 13.0%
18.0% 11.6% 11.5% 6.6% 13.5%
16.8% 12.7% 7.8% 5.5% 12.5%
(343,131) 1,006,337 (35,119) 2,485 630,572
(337,499) 1,106,175 (149,703) (63,167) 555,805
$29.16 $28.22 $19.95 $16.78 $25.28
$60.25 $51.80 $40.68 $35.30 $50.17
2,022,003
880,000
Downtown
AAA A B C All
11 119 241 194 565
12,718,015 23,680,061 24,149,088 10,050,063 70,597,227
1,079,342 1,375,897 905,239 351,686 3,712,164
8.5% 5.8% 3.7% 3.5% 5.3%
2,283,240 2,416,821 2,150,818 578,271 7,429,150
7.7% 27.4% 20.7% 11.4% 18.1%
18.0% 10.2% 8.9% 5.8% 10.5%
16.8% 10.4% 5.0% 5.4% 8.8%
(343,131) 1,062,212 (233,085) (29,711) 456,285
(337,499) 1,122,092 (275,599) (119,789) 389,205
$29.16 $24.42 $18.10 $15.98 $21.38
$60.25 $43.69 $34.98 $27.92 $40.72
2,053,363
1,430,000
A B C All
20 81 65 166
5,009,916 9,572,217 2,763,837 17,345,970
325,508 290,939 198,107 814,554
6.5% 3.0% 7.2% 4.7%
558,405 563,301 311,663 1,433,370
26.5% 27.2% 18.7% 25.1%
11.1% 5.9% 11.3% 8.3%
9.3% 6.4% 9.4% 7.7%
43,825 (348,619) (28,701) (333,495)
151,022 (308,025) 29,445 (127,558)
$18.37 $15.15 $13.28 $16.23
$38.63 $33.61 $29.34 $35.05
0
0
A B C All
391 567 386 1344
45,021,755 38,392,372 13,129,681 96,543,808
3,468,210 2,457,489 828,494 6,754,193
7.7% 6.4% 6.3% 7.0%
5,285,606 3,845,920 1,179,207 10,310,733
25.1% 17.2% 12.1% 20.7%
11.7% 10.0% 9.0% 10.7%
10.0% 7.7% 7.7% 8.7%
626 205,898 (94,460) 112,065
420,448 (834,840) (483,528) (897,920)
$15.53 $12.76 $12.14 $14.04
$28.37 $24.66 $20.67 $25.98
189,513
610,499
A B C
112 216 132
14,778,342 16,119,305 4,263,640
1,389,098 1,254,075 174,514
9.4% 7.8% 4.1%
1,890,240 1,979,939 300,358
16.8% 16.3% 26.4%
12.8% 12.3% 7.0%
12.0% 9.6% 8.9%
(134,755) 85,158 3,957
(154,916) (134,952) (87,392)
$14.15 $11.67 $9.21
$26.25 $24.20 $18.10
All
460
35,161,287
2,817,687
8.0%
4,170,536
17.3%
11.9%
10.5%
(45,641)
(377,260)
$12.60
$24.71
December-09 Buildings
Midtown
SUBURBS TOTAL:
GTA East
GTA North
GTA West
Office Inventory 1
Vacant Space
Vacancy Rate 2
Available Space
Q4 2009 Sublet Availability 3 Availability Rate 4
Q4 2008 Availability
Net Absorption
Net Absorption
Avg. Asking Gross
Net New Supply
Currently Under
Rental Rates
Q4 2009
Construction
A
59
7,888,467
452,526
5.7%
959,872
33.9%
12.2%
8.9%
53,566
45,622
$19.20
$37.24
B
85
6,128,912
154,381
2.5%
262,373
21.1%
4.3%
4.5%
15,181
(48,573)
$14.34
$29.99
C
54
1,409,798
32,944
2.3%
52,144
0.0%
3.7%
2.4%
10,420
(21,897)
$13.95
$22.61
All
198
15,427,177
639,851
4.1%
1,274,389
29.9%
8.3%
6.5%
79,167
(24,848)
$17.73
$34.88
A
220
22,354,946
1,626,585
7.3%
2,435,495
28.0%
10.9%
8.9%
81,816
529,742
$15.47
$27.29
B
266
16,144,155
1,049,033
6.5%
1,603,608
17.8%
9.9%
7.0%
105,559
(651,316)
$14.03
$24.30
C
200
7,456,243
621,036
8.3%
826,704
7.7%
11.1%
8.1%
(108,836)
(374,238)
$12.89
$21.33
All
686
45,955,344
3,296,655
7.2%
4,865,807
21.2%
10.6%
8.1%
78,539
(495,812)
$14.51
$25.18
GREATER
AAA
11
12,718,015
1,079,342
8.5%
7.7%
18.0%
16.8%
(343,131)
(337,499)
$29.16
$60.25
TORONTO
A
530
73,711,732
5,169,615
7.0%
8,260,833
2,283,240
25.9%
11.2%
10.1%
1,106,662
1,693,563
$17.27
$31.84
AREA
B
889
72,113,677
3,653,667
5.1%
6,560,039
19.2%
9.1%
6.6%
(375,805)
(1,418,464)
$14.56
$28.49
TOTAL:
C
645
25,943,581
1,378,287
5.3%
2,069,141
12.9%
8.0%
7.0%
(152,871)
(573,872)
$13.23
$23.52
All
2,075
184,487,005
11,280,911
6.1%
19,173,253
20.0%
10.4%
8.7%
234,855
(636,273)
$16.20
$30.72
0
0
0
63,515
189,513
546,984
2,242,876
2,920,499
SURVEY RESULTS PRESENTED IN THIS REPORT HAVE BEEN CONDENSED FOR EASY REFERENCE. NOTES: 1
Office Inventory:
For the purpose of this report, buildings with less than 10,000 sf of office space and buildings owned and occupied by the government have not been included in the office inventory.
2
Vacancy Rate:
The Vacancy Rate is the amount of vacant space divided by the existing building inventory base. Vacant space is available and physically unoccupied, and it includes both head lease and sublease space.
3
Sublet Availability:
This ratio represents the share of available sublease space of the total available space.
4
Availability Rate:
The Availability Rate is the amount of available space divided by the building inventory base. Available space is space that is available for lease and may or may not be vacant.
5
Average Rental Rates:
Average rental rates are calculated off available spaces which also quote rental figures.
Information contained herein has been obtained from the owners or from other sources deemed reliable. We have no reason to doubt its accuracy but regret we cannot guarantee it. All properties subject to change or withdrawal without notice.
COLLIERS TORONTO ONE, OFFICE STATISTICS - Q4 2009 Downtown Q4 2009
Q4 2008
Buildings
Office
Vacant
Vacancy
Available
Sublet
Availability
Availability
Net Absorption
Net Absorption
Class
Surveyed
Inventory
Space
Rate
Space
Availability
Rate
Rate
Q4 2009
12 Months
A
119
23,680,061
1,375,897
5.8%
2,416,821
27.4%
10.2%
10.4%
1,122,092
$24.42
$43.69
AAA
11
12,718,015
1,079,342
8.5%
2,283,240
7.7%
18.0%
16.8%
(343,131)
(337,499)
$29.16
$60.25 $34.98
December-09 Concentration
DOWNTOWN TOTAL:
Financial Core
Downtown East
Downtown North
Downtown South
Downtown West
Toronto West
1,062,212
Avg.
Avg.
Net
Asking Net
Asking Gross
New Supply
Under
Q4 2009
Construction
2,053,363
1,430,000
2,022,003
880,000
31,360
550,000
Rental Rates Rental Rates
B
241
24,149,088
905,239
3.7%
2,150,818
20.7%
8.9%
5.0%
(233,085)
(275,599)
$18.10
C
194
10,050,063
351,686
3.5%
578,271
11.4%
5.8%
5.4%
(29,711)
(119,789)
$15.98
$27.92
All
565
70,597,227
3,712,164
5.3%
7,429,150
18.1%
10.5%
8.8%
456,285
389,205
$21.38
$40.72
AAA
11
12,718,015
1,079,342
8.5%
2,283,240
7.7%
18.0%
16.8%
(343,131)
(337,499)
$29.16
$60.25
A
26
11,598,752
727,911
6.3%
1,348,116
17.1%
11.6%
12.7%
1,006,337
1,106,175
$28.22
$51.80
B
37
5,645,411
345,145
6.1%
650,112
20.8%
11.5%
7.8%
(35,119)
(149,703)
$19.95
$40.68
C
35
3,653,565
152,509
4.2%
242,694
20.3%
6.6%
5.5%
2,485
(63,167)
$16.78
$35.30
All
109
33,615,743
2,304,907
6.9%
4,524,163
13.0%
13.5%
12.5%
630,572
555,805
$25.28
$50.17
A
26
1,227,383
82,909
6.8%
123,694
19.8%
10.1%
6.9%
9,391
32,279
$14.93
$31.01
B
54
2,024,145
90,055
4.4%
325,714
8.8%
16.1%
5.4%
(7,013)
(54,077)
$17.53
$31.28
C
28
807,115
61,396
7.6%
75,370
3.8%
9.3%
9.8%
(2,268)
16,799
$13.75
$4.27
All
108
4,058,643
234,359
5.8%
524,778
10.7%
12.9%
6.7%
110
(5,000)
$16.74
$27.10
A
14
5,659,400
152,613
2.7%
341,367
55.6%
6.0%
5.9%
1,021
25,988
$15.46
$36.60
B
31
6,520,918
157,147
2.4%
260,610
37.6%
4.0%
3.3%
(178,473)
(155,405)
$16.30
$34.94
C
29
2,579,978
27,513
1.1%
58,980
10.7%
2.3%
2.6%
9,697
24,661
$14.35
$31.32
All
74
14,760,296
337,274
2.3%
660,957
44.5%
4.5%
4.2%
(167,756)
(104,757)
$15.94
$34.59
A
3
949,922
52,658
5.5%
92,563
46.6%
9.7%
3.6%
(12,518)
(46,666)
$29.50
$51.33
B
4
1,197,050
40,119
3.4%
151,832
65.3%
12.7%
11.2%
2,040
11,316
$18.17
$34.30
C
7
283,859
All
14
2,430,831
-
0.0%
92,776
3.8%
A
46
4,154,594
359,806
8.7%
B
102
8,476,779
256,701
3.0%
-
#DIV/0!
0.0%
0.0%
(14,000)
(14,000)
$0.00
$0.00
58.2%
10.1%
7.0%
(24,478)
(49,349)
$21.71
$39.61
503,552
34.6%
12.1%
14.1%
61,207
7,543
$18.78
$30.08
743,743
11.5%
8.8%
3.5%
(14,520)
91,702
$18.00
$33.33
244,395
C
68
1,801,971
57,503
3.2%
145,463
5.0%
8.1%
6.1%
12,072
(37,788)
$16.29
$24.15
All
216
14,433,344
674,011
4.7%
1,392,758
19.2%
9.6%
6.8%
58,759
61,457
$18.08
$31.58
A
4
90,010
-
0.0%
7,529
0.0%
8.4%
0.0%
(3,227) 0
(3,227)
$11.75
Currently
0
0
0
$22.75
B
13
284,785
16,072
5.6%
18,807
0.0%
6.6%
4.6%
(19,432)
$8.64
$21.85
C
27
923,575
52,765
5.7%
55,764
0.0%
6.0%
9.7%
(37,696)
(46,293)
$15.53
$24.31
All
44
1,298,370
68,837
5.3%
82,100
0.0%
6.3%
7.9%
(40,923)
(68,951)
$12.26
$23.11
0
Information contained herein has been obtained from the owners or from other sources deemed reliable. We have no reason to doubt its accuracy but regret we cannot guarantee it. All properties subject to change or withdrawal without notice.
COLLIERS TORONTO ONE, OFFICE STATISTICS - Q4 2009 Midtown Q4 2009
December-09 Buildings Concentration
Class Surveyed
Q4 2008
Office
Vacant
Vacancy
Available
Sublet
Availability Availability Net Absorption
Inventory
Space
Rate
Space
Availability
Rate
Rate
Q4 2009
Net Absorption 12 Months
Avg.
Avg.
Net
Asking Net
Asking Gross
New Supply
Under
Q4 2009
Construction
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rental Rates Rental Rates
MIDTOWN
A
20
5,009,916
325,508
6.5%
558,405
26.5%
11.1%
9.3%
43,825
151,022
$18.37
$38.63
TOTAL:
B
81
9,572,217
290,939
3.0%
563,301
27.2%
5.9%
6.4%
(348,619)
(308,025)
$15.15
$33.61
C
65
2,763,837
198,107
7.2%
311,663
18.7%
11.3%
9.4%
(28,701)
29,445
$13.28
$29.34
All
166
17,345,970
814,554
4.7%
1,433,370
25.1%
8.3%
7.7%
(333,495)
(127,558)
$16.23
$35.05
A
8
2,653,810
174,041
6.6%
268,200
35.2%
10.1%
8.3%
21,206
105,350
$20.01
$39.77
B
37
5,631,289
138,827
2.5%
230,673
26.3%
4.1%
5.2%
(314,645)
(356,968)
$16.02
$36.38
C
28
1,414,301
106,382
7.5%
170,705
9.7%
12.1%
10.9%
8,682
30,893
$12.88
$30.33
All
73
9,699,400
419,250
4.3%
669,578
25.6%
6.9%
6.9%
(284,757)
(220,725)
$16.77
$35.96
A
8
1,554,762
97,684
6.3%
204,339
14.0%
13.1%
14.3%
33,659
70,412
$16.10
$36.18
B
26
2,378,068
126,247
5.3%
197,415
18.0%
8.3%
9.8%
(23,313)
30,924
$14.10
$31.85
C
22
841,529
50,605
6.0%
99,838
1.6%
11.9%
10.5%
(9,383)
28,619
$14.82
$25.48
All
56
4,774,359
274,537
5.8%
501,592
13.1%
10.5%
11.4%
962
129,955
$15.09
$33.24
Yonge-Bloor
Yonge-Eglinton
Yonge-St.Clair
A
4
801,344
53,783
6.7%
85,866
28.9%
10.7%
2.9%
(11,040)
(24,740)
$19.34
$41.28
B
18
1,562,860
25,864
1.7%
135,214
42.2%
8.7%
5.6%
(10,660)
18,018
$15.77
$33.41
C
15
508,007
41,120
8.1%
41,120
97.3%
8.1%
3.4%
(28,000)
(30,066)
$13.50
$28.65
All
37
2,872,211
120,767
4.2%
262,200
46.5%
9.1%
4.4%
(49,700)
(36,789)
$17.14
$36.42
Currently
Information contained herein has been obtained from the owners or from other sources deemed reliable. We have no reason to doubt its accuracy but regret we cannot guarantee it. All properties subject to change or withdrawal without notice.
COLLIERS TORONTO ONE, OFFICE STATISTICS - Q4 2009 GTA North Office
Vacant
Vacancy
Available
Sublet
Q4 2009 Availability
Q4 2008 Availability
Net Absorption
Net Absorption
Avg. Asking Net
Avg. Asking Gross
Net New Supply
Currently Under
Inventory
Space
Rate
Space
Availability
Rate
Rate
Q4 2009
12 Months
Rental Rates
Rental Rates
Q4 2009
Construction
0
63,515
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
63,515
0
0
December-09 Buildings Concentration
Class Surveyed
GTA NORTH
A
59
7,888,467
452,526
5.7%
959,872
33.9%
12.2%
8.9%
53,566
45,622
$19.20
$37.24
TOTAL:
B
85
6,128,912
154,381
2.5%
262,373
21.1%
4.3%
4.5%
15,181
(48,573)
$14.34
$29.99
C
54
1,409,798
32,944
2.3%
52,144
0.0%
3.7%
2.4%
10,420
(21,897)
$13.95
$22.61
All
198
15,427,177
639,851
4.1%
1,274,389
29.9%
8.3%
6.5%
79,167
(24,848)
$17.73
$34.88
Dufferin/Finch
A
3
42,500
-
0.0%
-
#DIV/0!
0.0%
32.9%
0
0
$0.00
$0.00
B
15
930,644
7,640
0.8%
24,329
4.6%
2.6%
4.4%
(660)
(2,090)
$9.50
$25.12
C
11
243,016
2,400
1.0%
16,400
0.0%
6.7%
1.2%
(400)
0
$7.95
$18.09
All
29
1,216,160
10,040
0.8%
40,729
2.7%
3.3%
4.7%
(1,060)
(2,090)
$9.36
$24.49
North Yonge
A
24
6,052,727
314,296
5.2%
814,646
40.0%
13.5%
8.2%
47,511
(66,874)
$19.43
$39.56
Corridor
B
26
2,546,517
107,874
4.2%
160,034
30.7%
6.3%
6.9%
14,865
10,056
$15.71
$33.65
C
16
293,061
#DIV/0!
0.0%
0.6%
640
1,680
$0.00
$0.00
All
66
8,892,305
422,170
4.7%
974,680
11.0%
7.6%
63,016
(55,138)
$18.55
$38.16
A
2
369,705
11,950
3.2%
15,071
0.0%
4.1%
1.2%
0
(11,950)
$17.00
$29.00
B
7
230,118
2,280
1.0%
2,280
0.0%
1.0%
4.1%
1,323
(2,280)
$14.00
$23.00
C
2
40,000
-
0.0%
-
#DIV/0!
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
$0.00
$0.00
All
11
639,823
14,230
2.2%
17,351
0.0%
2.7%
2.2%
1,323
(14,230)
$16.61
$28.21
A
20
930,204
106,321
11.4%
110,195
0.0%
11.8%
19.6%
6,055
110,646
$19.49
$30.77
B
26
1,312,610
20,499
1.6%
56,380
8.9%
4.3%
1.9%
5,440
(24,997)
$14.12
$24.45
C
14
479,996
16,544
3.4%
21,744
0.0%
4.5%
2.1%
2,080
(14,977)
$16.00
$24.00
All
60
2,722,810
143,364
5.3%
188,320
2.7%
6.9%
7.3%
13,575
70,671
$17.52
$28.21
A
10
493,331
19,960
4.0%
19,960
0.0%
4.0%
4.2%
0
13,800
$14.00
$24.95
B
11
1,109,023
16,088
1.5%
19,350
0.0%
1.7%
2.2%
(5,788)
(29,262)
$9.89
$24.62
C
11
353,725
14,000
4.0%
14,000
0.0%
4.0%
5.5%
8,100
(8,600)
$3.95
$16.35
All
32
1,956,079
50,048
2.6%
53,310
0.0%
2.7%
3.3%
2,313
(24,062)
$11.80
$24.35
Richmond Hill
Vaughan/Woodbridge
Keele Hwy 401/Yorkdale
-
0.0%
-
0
Information contained herein has been obtained from the owners or from other sources deemed reliable. We have no reason to doubt its accuracy but regret we cannot guarantee it. All properties subject to change or withdrawal without notice.
COLLIERS TORONTO ONE, OFFICE STATISTICS - Q4 2009 GTA East Q4 2009
Q4 2008
Office
Vacant
Vacancy
Available
Sublet
Availability
Availability
Net Absorption
Net Absorption
Inventory
Space
Rate
Space
Availability
Rate
Rate
Q4 2009
12 Months
December-09 Buildings Concentration
Class Surveyed
Avg.
Avg.
Net
Asking Net
Asking Gross
New Supply
Under
Q4 2009
Construction
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rental Rates Rental Rates
GTA EAST
A
112
14,778,342
1,389,098
9.4%
1,890,240
17%
13%
12%
(134,755)
(154,916)
$14.15
$26.25
TOTAL:
B
216
16,119,305
1,254,075
7.8%
1,979,939
16%
12%
10%
85,158
(134,952)
$11.67
$24.20
C
132
4,263,640
174,514
4.1%
300,358
26%
7%
9%
3,957
(87,392)
$9.21
$18.10
All
460
35,161,287
2,817,687
8.0%
4,170,536
17%
12%
11%
(45,641)
(377,260)
$12.60
$24.71
A
6
1,305,506
100,215
7.7%
119,381
16%
9%
10%
1,369
(24,241)
$13.34
$29.62
B
16
1,970,719
163,979
8.3%
265,480
8%
13%
12%
11,392
7,752
$11.77
$23.03
Consumers Road
Duncan Mill
Don Mills
C
8
430,465
31,764
7.4%
34,044
0%
8%
2%
(4,853)
(8,962)
$11.08
$19.95
All
30
3,706,690
295,958
8.0%
418,905
10%
11%
10%
7,908
(25,451)
$12.16
$24.66
(1,216)
$14.29
$28.86
(2,597)
$9.07
$23.13
A
5
585,107
18,671
3.2%
30,305
38%
5%
42%
B
21
1,434,305
77,596
5.4%
135,762
33%
9%
3%
C
13
279,478
All
39
2,298,890
A
7
1,091,936
39,306
3.6%
78,828
31%
7%
4%
0
B
38
3,919,804
599,639
15.3%
812,442
20%
21%
17%
29,135
-
0.0%
41,000
0%
15%
0%
96,266
4.2%
207,067
47%
9%
13%
0 (14,723) 0 (14,723)
0 (3,813)
$0.00
$0.00
$10.35
$24.53
69,496
$12.00
$28.12
(81,747)
$11.69
$25.71
C
17
543,632
25,879
4.8%
28,879
0%
5%
3%
0
1,725
$8.68
$21.07
All
62
5,555,372
664,824
12.0%
920,148
21%
17%
13%
29,135
(10,525)
$11.61
$25.77
Highway 404
A
37
4,339,074
467,282
10.8%
595,058
29%
14%
13%
(11,497)
(134,612)
$16.72
$27.58
Corridor
B
45
2,535,980
140,621
5.5%
292,733
5%
12%
8%
26,428
(5,392)
$14.33
$25.61
C
43
1,494,387
74,780
5.0%
146,469
26%
10%
12%
8,159
(62,874)
$9.06
$15.69
All
125
8,369,441
682,683
8.2%
1,034,260
22%
12%
11%
23,090
(202,877)
$14.95
$25.42
A
Woodbine & Steeles
Markham
Pickering-Oshawa
16
3,328,669
217,644
6.5%
395,433
20%
12%
8%
7,195
(32,364)
$13.91
$28.60
B
20
1,419,638
80,578
5.7%
170,454
19%
12%
10%
1,967
(30,708)
$10.63
$19.04
C
14
347,131
12,314
3.5%
13,664
0%
4%
3%
0
All
50
5,095,438
310,535
6.1%
579,551
19%
11%
8%
9,161
A
13
1,273,233
122,628
9.6%
178,770
4%
14%
16%
3,829
B
22
1,724,126
27,898
1.6%
61,411
49%
4%
2%
3,010
(8,965)
C
8
183,832
6,736
3.7%
9,361
0%
5%
6%
0
(4,591)
$8.99
$17.73
All
43
3,181,191
157,262
4.9%
249,542
15%
8%
8%
6,839
$13.68
$21.01
A
10
844,095
-
0.0%
56,569
0%
7%
0%
1,967
1,967
$14.00
$27.02
B
14
519,373
17,649
3.4%
17,649
0%
3%
4%
20,644
3,651
$12.00
$21.50
350
$10.40
$19.16
(62,722)
$12.55
$24.67
119,626
$14.15
$20.47
$12.56
$24.92
106,069
C
6
186,620
-
0.0%
-
#DIV/0!
0%
16%
0
(10,663)
$0.00
$0.00
All
30
1,550,088
17,649
1.1%
74,218
0%
5%
4%
22,611
(5,046)
$13.70
$26.19
Scarborough
A
15
1,745,072
423,353
24.3%
435,896
1%
25%
17%
(137,618)
(153,572)
$12.03
$23.95
Town Centre
B
27
1,669,589
113,737
6.8%
191,628
8%
11%
9%
11,191
23,566
$9.94
$22.94
C
18
652,216
6,842
1.0%
10,742
0%
2%
16%
650
(1,178)
$8.27
$23.11
All
60
4,066,877
543,931
13.4%
638,266
3%
16%
13%
(131,184)
$11.29
$23.61
Toronto East
A
3
265,650
-
0.0%
-
#DIV/0!
0%
0%
B
13
925,771
32,379
3.5%
32,379
0%
3%
4%
C
5
145,879
16,200
11.1%
16,200
0%
11%
10%
All
21
1,337,300
48,579
3.6%
48,579
0.0%
4%
4%
(125,777)
0 (3,886) 0 (3,886)
0 (40,512)
$0.00
$0.00
$9.65
$23.74
(1,200)
$7.00
$20.43
(41,712)
$8.77
$22.64
Currently
Information contained herein has been obtained from the owners or from other sources deemed reliable. We have no reason to doubt its accuracy but regret we cannot guarantee it. All properties subject to change or withdrawal without notice.
COLLIERS TORONTO ONE, OFFICE STATISTICS - Q4 2009 GTA West December-09 Buildings
Q4 2009 Q4 2008 Availability Availability
Office
Vacant
Vacancy
Available
Sublet
Space
Rate
Space
Availability
Rate
Rate
Absorption
Net Absorption
Avg. Asking Net
Avg. Asking Gross
Net New Supply
Currently Under
Q4 2009
12 Months
Rental Rates
Rental Rates
Q4 2009
Construction
189,513
546,984
0
0
0
0
90,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
150,040
0
0
0
0
Concentration
Class Surveyed
Inventory
GTA WEST
A
220
22,354,946
1,626,585
7.3%
2,435,495
28%
11%
9%
81,816
529,742
$15.47
$27.29
TOTAL:
B
266
16,144,155
1,049,033
6.5%
1,603,608
18%
10%
7%
105,559
(651,316)
$14.03
$24.30
C
200
7,456,243
621,036
8.3%
826,704
8%
11%
8%
(108,836)
(374,238)
$12.89
$21.33
All
686
45,955,344
3,296,655
7.2%
4,865,807
21%
11%
8%
78,539
(495,812)
$14.51
$25.18
Airport Corporate
A
21
2,323,537
337,447
14.5%
411,281
39%
18%
17%
(45,779)
(166,176)
$16.32
$29.95
Centre
B
27
1,862,308
136,074
7.3%
170,565
36%
9%
6%
59,468
(68,701)
$14.76
$27.86
C
31
1,354,302
230,168
17.0%
310,883
8%
23%
14%
(41,700)
(102,793)
$14.45
$23.49
All
79
5,540,147
703,690
12.7%
892,730
27%
16%
12%
(28,011)
(337,670)
$15.28
$26.93
Airport East
Airport West
Bloor Islington
Brampton
Burlington
Cooksville
Hwy 401 Hurontario
A
8
953,164
117,210
12.3%
207,340
24%
22%
12%
(13,137)
(42,676)
$14.26
$28.36
B
33
2,180,742
425,563
19.5%
567,173
18%
26%
20%
32,123
(288,838)
$13.37
$24.48
C
28
961,197
157,460
16.4%
204,460
0%
21%
18%
(26,693)
(126,398)
$13.56
$20.31
All
69
4,095,103
700,234
17.1%
978,973
16%
24%
18%
(7,707)
(457,912)
$13.65
$24.42
A
22
2,586,335
94,727
3.7%
114,987
4%
4%
8%
91,800
505,038
$14.38
$23.07
B
22
1,365,133
24,860
1.8%
26,420
37%
2%
4%
0
(42,540)
$12.11
$22.20
C
13
530,819
48,565
9.1%
50,801
0%
10%
9%
10
(1,934)
$7.64
$16.54
All
57
4,482,287
168,153
3.8%
192,208
7%
4%
7%
91,810
460,564
$12.33
$21.26
A
16
2,420,985
180,553
7.5%
244,643
46%
10%
6%
(6,517)
(78,654)
$14.13
$30.09
B
30
1,449,255
67,417
4.7%
98,925
11%
7%
8%
(12,266)
(26,845)
$12.00
$26.50
C
24
583,479
19,510
3.3%
20,716
0%
4%
11%
0
(17,155)
$12.16
$18.96
All
70
4,453,719
267,481
6.0%
364,284
34%
8%
7%
(18,783)
(122,655)
$13.11
$27.68
A
17
864,299
36,790
4.3%
120,915
0%
14%
5%
(21,502)
(55,428)
$12.23
$15.99
B
9
1,448,293
3,100
0.2%
3,100
0%
0%
1%
3,497
3,505
$9.00
$17.64
C
2
44,946
8,046
17.9%
8,046
0%
18%
0%
(2,000)
(3,100)
$10.00
$20.00
All
28
2,357,538
47,936
2.0%
132,061
0%
6%
3%
(20,005)
(55,023)
$12.02
$12.02
A
20
1,781,029
164,900
9.3%
243,852
23%
14%
14%
27,222
(50,756)
$17.13
$27.92
B
31
1,422,232
41,076
2.9%
85,477
3%
6%
5%
3,660
(60,613)
$12.39
$21.76
C
27
1,032,123
66,662
6.5%
92,066
10%
9%
7%
(1,573)
(13,872)
$10.38
$17.16
All
78
4,235,384
272,638
6.4%
421,395
16%
10%
9%
29,310
(125,240)
$14.82
$24.51
A
9
745,927
11,922
1.6%
14,658
0%
2%
2%
3,200
6,683
$15.11
$29.02
B
14
736,027
77,964
10.6%
80,698
11%
11%
11%
19,179
3,805
$18.51
$28.90
C
14
332,368
32,365
9.7%
32,365
0%
10%
8%
0
(8,862)
$5.50
$16.50
All
37
1,814,322
122,251
6.7%
127,722
7%
7%
7%
22,379
1,626
$14.43
$25.60
A
15
1,858,384
108,543
5.8%
272,398
82%
15%
4%
(51,625)
(103,011)
$12.97
$24.53
B
11
711,944
36,150
5.1%
38,497
12%
5%
6%
22,120
49,528
$13.96
$24.78
C
12
638,500
1,300
0.2%
1,300
0%
0%
0%
0
(11,300)
$10.75
$20.00
All
38
3,208,828
145,993
4.5%
312,196
73%
10%
3%
(29,505)
(64,783)
$13.13
$24.55
Information contained herein has been obtained from the owners or from other sources deemed reliable. We have no reason to doubt its accuracy but regret we cannot guarantee it. All properties subject to change or withdrawal without notice.
COLLIERS TORONTO ONE, OFFICE STATISTICS - Q4 2009 GTA West December-09 Buildings
Q4 2009 Q4 2008 Availability Availability
Office
Vacant
Vacancy
Available
Sublet
Inventory
Space
Rate
Space
Availability
Rate
Absorption
Net Absorption
Avg. Asking Net
Avg. Asking Gross
Net New Supply
Currently Under
Rate
Q4 2009
12 Months
Rental Rates
Rental Rates
Q4 2009
Construction
0
0
99,513
375,700
0
0
0
21,244
Concentration
Class Surveyed
Mississauga
A
27
3,367,723
185,105
5.5%
269,219
8%
8%
8%
(5,123)
98,898
$17.54
$33.03
City Centre
B
9
396,735
4,934
1.2%
14,567
0%
4%
5%
(1,429)
(1,306)
$15.57
$27.07
C
0
-
0.0%
-
0%
0%
0%
0
0
$0.00
$0.00
All
36
3,764,458
A
14
2,608,148
B
33
2,199,084
C
29
1,263,183
All
76
6,070,415
A
13
1,167,628
B
22
1,026,449
C
11
409,662
All
65
3,301,770
Meadowvale
Oakville
Sheridan
-
190,039
5.0%
283,786
7%
8%
8%
(6,552)
97,593
$17.38
$32.55
93,728
3.6%
130,878
28%
5%
4%
96,125
310,935
$15.24
$24.90
38,826
1.8%
58,557
36%
3%
6%
(1,096)
(79,250)
$15.57
$27.03
10,771
0.9%
10,771
73%
1%
3%
(25,920)
(66,431)
$14.70
$26.00
143,325
2.4%
200,206
33%
3%
4%
69,109
165,253
$15.30
$25.83
71,298
6.1%
101,603
0%
9%
11%
7,153
50,252
$16.97
$29.04
32,518
3.2%
83,118
7%
8%
8%
43,571
(37,861)
$14.47
$18.07
6,750
1.6%
9,996
0%
2%
2%
(10,961)
(8,563)
$13.69
$26.49
165,735
5.0%
402,289
24%
12%
8%
39,763
3,828
$15.63
$23.48
A
7
392,049
48,535
12.4%
78,044
0%
20%
17%
0
54,638
$18.95
$30.75
B
22
1,333,685
42,531
3.2%
89,188
0%
7%
2%
(63,269)
(102,201)
$12.37
$21.85
C
9
372,365
17,019
4.6%
17,019
0%
5%
1%
0
(13,830)
$8.55
$16.89
All
38
2,098,099
108,085
5.2%
184,251
0%
9%
4%
(63,269)
(61,392)
$14.66
$24.97
Information contained herein has been obtained from the owners or from other sources deemed reliable. We have no reason to doubt its accuracy but regret we cannot guarantee it. All properties subject to change or withdrawal without notice.
CB RICHARD ELLIS
Toronto Office
www.cbre.ca/research
Fourth Quarter 2009
There were two significant turning points for the
not vacated their previous premises. This
the fourth quarter of 2009: the end of the
quarters
Greater Toronto Area (GTA) office market in Canadian recession; and the delivery of another major office tower in the Downtown
market, meaning that the bulk of the new office
Quick Stats Current Vacancy
9.4%
Net Rent (psf)
$17.35
Net Absorption (SF)
692,884
Completions (SF)
Change from last Yr.
Qtr.
1,225,623
*The arrows are trend indicators over the specified time period and do not represent a positive or negative value. (e.g., absorption could be negative, but still represent a positive trend over a specified period.)
developments in the GTA have been delivered to market. Statistics Canada confirmed in the fourth quarter that Canada came out of the
recession in September with a 0.4% increase in Gross Domestic Product (GDP), followed with a
gain of 0.2% in October. While this growth is
encouraging, the economy is still 3.2% smaller than in the same period of 2008.
With the delivery of Menkes’ Telus Tower at 25 York Street, the Downtown Toronto market has now received 3.1 million SF of the 4.6 million SF which has been under construction. The
Hot Topics
• Over 4.0 million SF of new supply was completed in 2009; a new single year record for the GTA.
• A statistical anomaly occurred in the
third and fourth quarters in terms of absorption, however, over the next two to four quarters this important demand benchmark should normalize.
• The Suburban market has given more
space back in the last four quarters than what was absorbed throughout 2008.
remaining 1.5 million SF will be delivered through Maple Leaf Square (200,000 SF), the
TEDCO Corus Building (450,000 SF), 18 York
Street (641,000 SF) and 111 Richmond Street West (225,000 SF). With the majority of new
construction (69.0%) successfully delivered to market and a further 657,000 SF expected in the first quarter of 2010, it seems that this
recession will not mirror the 1991-1992 period that was hallmarked by the failure of the original Bay-Adelaide Centre.
The statistical anomaly in absorption that was
reported in the third quarter continues to occur and has resulted in 692,884 SF of positive quarterly net absorption for the GTA. The
anomaly is rooted in the methodology used to
calculate absorption* which includes pre-leased new
construction
completions
as
positive
absorption despite the fact that tenants have
* CB Richard Ellis measures absorption by subtracting the change in inventory quarter-over-quarter (q/q) from the change in occupied space (q/q).
anomaly will work itself out in the coming with
exaggerated
negative
absorption as tenants vacate their old space.
The new inventory has helped to push the
GTA vacancy rate up 30 basis points (bps) to 9.4%, a level not seen since the third
quarter of 2006 and there is no indication that the vacancy level has topped out. Rising
vacancy rates were the prevailing story across the GTA with the exception of GTA
North, which experienced declining vacancy in all submarkets, and GTA West, which was virtually flat quarter-over-quarter. In
general,
the
Suburban
markets
outperformed the Central market in the
fourth quarter with vacancy increasing less than 10 bps and asking rents increasing
$0.10 psf, whereas the Central market experienced a 50 bps increase in vacancy
and a $0.53 psf decline in rental rates. The biggest asking rate decline was in the
Downtown Class A segment, which saw
almost an 8.0% decline in rates. This is
directly due to the supply-demand equation shifting strongly in favour of supply with the new office towers coming into play.
The market fundamentals all point to continuing weakness in the GTA office market; however, the pace of the decline has been much slower than thought due to
better job preservation than expected. There
will need to be significant job creation over the next few years for the market to fully
digest the new inventory. In the meantime, consolidation,
refurbishment,
and
realignment will be the industry buzzwords in 2010.
© 2010 CB Richard Ellis Limited, Real Estate Brokerage
Vacancy Rate
Sublease % of Vacancy
8.3%
26.1%
-100,411
30.1%
84,078
127,030
692,884
2,494,045
Submarket
Inventory
Downtown
63,329,759
East
25,050,589
13.9%
31,852,180
11.6%
Midtown
14,664,104
North
11,551,502
West GTA
146,448,134
7.1%
25.4% 16.8%
7.0%
22.0%
9.4%
New Construction
22.7%
Central Suburbs
2,500
SF (000's)
2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
Economic Trends
3Q09
1,498,000
-154,641
0
439,385
0
869,015
$24.08 $16.62 $12.92 $16.76 $14.60
$17.35
The total GTA inventory rose by 1.0% this quarter, the majority of which was delivered through the completion of the Menkes Telus Tower at 25 York Street (780,000 SF) in the Downtown South market. Of the major new builds in the Downtown market, only 15 York Street (207,000 SF), 18 York Street (641,000 SF), and the TEDCO Corus Building (450,000 SF) have yet to be completed. The remaining space was delivered in the GTA West with five new completions: Meadowvale saw the most activity with three completions totaling 275,000 SF; Mississauga South saw the completion of 100,000 SF project at 2699 Speakman Drive; and a 70,720 SF project was completed in the Highway 10 – Highway 401 Corridor at 75 Courtneypark Drive.
GDP % Change
Employment % Change
1.0% 0.0% -1.0%
3Q09
424,473
Net Rental Rate ($ psf/yr)
4Q09
2.0%
-2.0%
4Q09 Net 4Q09 Under Absorption (SF) Construction (SF)
MarketView Toronto Office
Market Statistics
4Q09
1Q10*
2Q10*
The Toronto economy continues to struggle, even in light of recent good news for the Ontario economy. The unemployment rate in Toronto settled at 9.7% in the fourth quarter, up from 9.2% in the previous quarter, while the rate in Ontario rose to 9.3% from 9.2% last quarter. Much of the provincial job losses are thought to be in manufacturing and construction which would have been the primary beneficiaries of stimulus spending and bailouts. The fourth quarter also marked the third consecutive quarter of GDP growth for Toronto and a return to levels not seen since the fourth quarter of 2008.
3Q10*
* Forecasted
Page 2 Š 2010 CB Richard Ellis Limited, Real Estate Brokerage
Fourth Quarter 2009
Source: Conference Board of Canada
Suburbs
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2%
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09 Central
Net Rental Rates
Suburbs
$25.00 $20.00 $ psf
$15.00 $10.00 $5.00
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
The fourth quarter of 2009 saw net rental rates begin to retreat in line with the rising vacancy rate in some markets. Most significantly, it appears as though the new supply and 1.5 million SF of sublease space in the Central market has finally caught up with rental rates as they fell 2.3%, or $0.53 psf, to $22.44 psf. Nowhere was this more pronounced than in the Downtown Class A category where a $2.40 psf drop was recorded, or almost 8.0%, to $27.63 psf, virtually the same level as this time last year. The Suburban markets edged up slightly by $0.10 psf, but rates are expected to decrease in 2010.
4Q09 Central
Absorption
Suburbs
1,600 1,200 800 SF (000's)
The overall GTA vacancy rate climbed another 30 bps in the fourth quarter to 9.4%. This is a full 260 bps higher and 4.1 million SF more vacant space than in the fourth quarter of 2008. Without a major unforeseen event, the vacancy rate will almost certainly enter into double-digit territory in the first quarter of 2010, a level not seen since 2005. Vacancy levels actually bucked the trend and dropped in all GTA North markets, and some GTA West markets. As a result, the Suburban markets look virtually flat in terms of vacancy rate growth, while the Central markets saw a 50 bps increase in the overall rate to 7.3%. This increase is principally due to the continued delivery of new product to the Downtown market.
MarketView Toronto Office
Central
Vacancy Rate
400 0
The Central market posted 324,062 SF of positive net absorption in the fourth quarter, but if you take out the 669,278 SF of positive absorption in the Downtown South Class A (Telus Tower), the story would be much the same as the third quarter with very little leasing activity and a large amount of negative absorption. The Suburban market recorded positive 368,822 SF of absorption in the fourth quarter, which breaks the streak of three consecutive quarters of negative net absorption. Absorption for the GTA as a whole was flat with only 131,756 SF of positive net absorption for the year.
-400 4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
Page 3 Š 2010 CB Richard Ellis Limited, Real Estate Brokerage
Fourth Quarter 2009
-800
Midtown Market
Notwithstanding the completion of the Telus Tower, it was another poor quarter for the Central market. If you strip out the 669,278 SF of positive absorption that was contributed by the Telus Tower, the result would be significant negative absorption. The new buildings masked the weak fundamentals that currently exist in the Central market. The vacancy rate climbed 50 bps to 7.3%, which is the highest rate since the fourth quarter of 2006. Sublet availabilities continued to increase as an additional 117,058 SF come onto the market in the third quarter.
The Midtown market posted 100,411 SF of negative absorption in the fourth quarter. This came on the heels of the first quarter of positive absorption for the Midtown market since the beginning of 2008. All three submarkets experienced negative absorption, although as a percentage of total inventory the St. Clair/Yonge market lost the most with negative 24,429 SF. The vacancy rate rose from 7.7% in the third quarter to 8.3%, the same level as in the second quarter of 2009.
The overall quoted asking net rental rate closed the quarter at $22.44 psf, down $0.53 psf from the third quarter. This remains close to the historical high for the Central market thanks to large block availabilities in Toronto’s new marquee towers. Significant Central market transactions this quarter include:
•Baker & McKenzie LLP renewed 38,000 SF at 181 Bay Street
•Department of Justice subleased 25,450 SF at 130 King Street West •Allianz Group leased 30,000 SF at 130 Adelaide Street West
Despite the negative absorption, the overall quoted asking net rental rate rose for the first time in 2009, ending the quarter up $0.09 psf at $16.62 psf. Significant Midtown market transactions this quarter include:
•Systemware Innovation Corp. leased 21,278 SF at 2300 Yonge Street •Ontario Education Collaborative Marketplace leased 12,000 SF at 90 Eglinton Avenue West •DIGI Group Inc. leased 6,171 SF at 1200 Bay Street
Greater Core
Financial Core
The statistical jumps that occurred in the Greater Core as a result of the opening of the RBC Centre last quarter were erased in the fourth quarter. Absorption had surged by 839,132 SF in the third quarter, but fell back to negative 56,238 SF in the fourth quarter. Net rental rates, which rose by an astonishing $3.87 psf in the third quarter, dropped $3.24 psf in the fourth quarter to end at $21.93 psf. Vacancy continued to rise, but at a more moderate pace of 30 bps to 7.0%. The market will take a few quarters to fully absorb the space in the new RBC Centre, which still has 320,000 SF available.
Similar to the Greater Core, the Financial Core changed course after the third quarter. Net rental rates fell $1.08 psf to $28.01 psf, the lowest level since the end of 2007. Similarly, after positive absorption in the third quarter due to the opening of the Bay-Adelaide Centre, the absorption number for the fourth quarter came in at negative 208,161 SF, in line with the rest of the City and expectations.
The Class B market fared the best this quarter, as both vacancy (6.5%) and net rental rates ($17.24 psf) dropped, while absorption remained positive. This resiliency is most likely due to economic considerations. Significant Greater Core transactions this quarter include:
•The Insurance Institute of Canada leased 22,361 SF at 18 King Street East •Genest Murray LLP leased 7,500 SF at 200 King Street West
MarketView Toronto Office
Central Toronto
The vacancy rate continued to climb, up 80 bps to 7.8%. This number is expected to climb further in the coming quarters as the market struggles with slow growth. Significant Financial Core transactions this quarter include:
•Beard Winter LLP renewed their lease of 40,000 SF at 130 Adelaide Street West
•Deloitte & Touche renewed their lease of 42,000 SF at 121 King Street West •MacQuarrie Bank Ltd. leased 34,000 SF at 181 Bay Street
© 2010 CB Richard Ellis Limited, Real Estate Brokerage
Fourth Quarter 2009
Page 4
North Market
In 2009, the Suburban market shed 100,000 SF more than it absorbed throughout all of 2008. Net absorption was positive 368,822 SF for the fourth quarter. This was largely due to 439,385 SF of absorption in the West. This was tempered by loses in the East, and a minor gain in the North. This caused the vacancy rate to remain virtually unchanged, up only 10 bps to 11.7%; the highest Suburban vacancy rate since the third quarter of 2005.
The North market built upon the gains reported in the third quarter with the second straight quarter of positive absorption, at 84,078 SF in the fourth quarter. Vacancy rates dropped from 7.7% to 7.0% and the net rental rate increased $0.04 psf to $16.76 psf. Again, similar to the third quarter, most of the leasing activity took place in the Class B market with the vacancy rate dropping 180 bps to 2.4%. This was driven by 64,998 SF of positive absorption in the North Yonge Class B market, which brought the North market as a whole to virtually flat absorption for 2009 at negative 472 SF, which is positive news in light of the economic environment.
The overall quoted asking net rental rate rose a nominal $0.10 psf to close the quarter at $14.00 psf. Significant Suburban market transactions this quarter include:
• Royal Bank of Canada renewed 37,000 SF at 3300 Highway 7 West, Vaughan
• Ontario Lottery and Gaming Corporation renewed 77,000 SF at 4120 Yonge Street, Toronto
MarketView Toronto Office
Suburban Toronto
Significant North market transactions include:
•Toronto Transit Commission subleased 33,000 SF at 5160 Yonge Street, Toronto •Ontario Realty Corporation leased 16,000 SF at 5001 Yonge Street, Toronto
• Just Energy Corporation leased 46,236 SF at 6345 Dixie Road, Mississauga.
East Market
West Market
The East market was a reflection of the GTA market as a whole this quarter. The vacancy rate rose 70 bps to a GTA high of 13.9% due to 154,641 SF of negative absorption and net rental rates dropped $0.07 psf to $12.92 psf. The malaise felt in the East market is symptomatic of conditions in the City at large. All submarkets experienced negative absorption, save minimal growth in Consumers Road and East York/Don Mills South.
After three difficult quarters, the West market showed some life in the fourth quarter. Almost 450,000 SF of new space was delivered this quarter, which resulted in 439,385 SF of positive absorption. Most of the absorption was located in the Meadowvale submarket where three new buildings totaling 275,000 SF were completed. Only Brampton and the 427 Corridor recorded negative absorption. As a result of this, the overall vacancy rate dropped 20 bps to 11.6%, the first decline in 12 months, but vacancy remains near a five year high.
The largest positive change came in the sublet market, as sublet space as a percentage of total vacant space fell from 22.5% to 16.8%. Significant East market transactions this quarter include:
•FinancialLinx renewed their 40,000 SF lease at 2001 Sheppard Avenue East, Toronto •DMTI Spatial Inc. subleased 25,500 SF at 15 Allstate Parkway, Markham
•CAA South Central Ontario subleased 25,000 SF at 100 Commerce Valley Drive, Markham
Net rental rates increased by $0.43 psf this quarter to $14.60 psf, which is down from the same time last year and reflects the worst annual performance for the West since 2003. Significant West market transactions include:
•S.P. Richards Company renewed for 66,779 SF at 1325 Clarke Street, Brampton
•Newell Industries Canada Inc. subleased 42,788 SF at 178 South Service Road, Oakville
Page 5 © 2010 CB Richard Ellis Limited, Real Estate Brokerage
Fourth Quarter 2009
•NCR Canada Ltd. leased 34,313 SF at 6865 Century Avenue, Mississauga
MarketView Toronto Office
Market Area Descriptions Central
78.0 million SF of office space representing 53.3% of the GTA office market
North
11.6 million SF of office space representing 7.9% of the GTA office market
East
25.1 million SF of office space representing 17.1% of the GTA office market
West
31.9 million SF of office space representing 21.8% of the GTA office market
GTA
146.5 million SF of office space
Average Asking Lease Rate Rate determined by multiplying the asking net lease rate for each building by its available space, summing the products, then dividing by the sum of the available space with net leases for all buildings in the summary.
Net Leases Includes all lease types whereby the tenant pays an agreed rent plus most, or all, of the operating expenses and taxes for the property, including utilities, insurance and/or maintenance expenses. Market Coverage Includes all competitive office buildings 10,000 square feet and greater in size. Net Absorption The change in occupied square feet from one period to the next.
Net Rentable Area The gross building square footage minus the elevator core, flues, pipe shafts, vertical ducts, balconies, and stairwell areas.
Submarket Map
Occupied Square Feet Building area not considered vacant.
Under Construction Buildings which have begun construction as evidenced by site excavation or foundation work.
Available Square Feet Available Building Area which is either physically vacant or occupied. Availability Rate Available Square Feet divided by the Net Rentable Area.
Vacant Square Feet Existing Building Area which is physically vacant or immediately available. Vacancy Rate Vacant Building Square Feet divided by the Net Rentable Area.
Normalization Due to a reclassification of the market, the base, number and square footage of buildings of previous quarters have been adjusted to match the current base. Availability and Vacancy figures for those buildings have been adjusted in previous quarters.
This disclaimer shall apply to CB Richard Ellis Limited, a real estate brokerage, and its Canadian affiliates, CB Richard Ellis Alberta Limited, CB Richard Ellis Manitoba Limited, CB Richard Ellis Advisory Services Inc., and CB Richard Ellis Québec Limitée (collectively “CBRE”). © 2010 CB Richard Ellis Limited, Real Estate Brokerage. The information set out herein (the "Information") is intended for informational purposes only. CBRE has not verified the Information and does not represent, warrant or guarantee the accuracy, correctness and completeness of the Information. CBRE does not accept or assume any responsibility or liability of any kind in connection with the Information and the recipient’s reliance upon the Information. The recipient of the Information should take such steps as the recipient may deem necessary to verify the Information prior to placing any reliance upon the Information. The Information may change and any property described in the Information may be withdrawn from the market at any time without notice or obligation to the recipient from CBRE.
For more information regarding the MarketView, please contact: Ian M. Thompson, Senior Research Analyst CB Richard Ellis 145 King Street West, Suite 600 Toronto ON M5H 1J8 T. 416.815.2346 F. 416.362.8085 Ian.Thompson@cbre.com
/pulse/ Americas Research Toronto Office Statistics - Q4 2009 Inventory (sf)
Total net absorption (sf)
YTD total net absorption (sf)
YTD total net absorption (% of stock)
Direct vacancy (sf)
Direct vacancy (%)
Total vacancy (sf)
3,066,335 0 0 3,066,335
42,736,765 17,024,126 8,170,582 67,931,473
598,883 -29,405 189,106 758,584
486,355 -153,119 124,569 457,805
1.2% -0.9% 1.5% 0.7%
2,618,512 836,477 591,260 4,046,249
6.1% 4.9% 7.2% 6.0%
4,199,036 1,037,143 677,067 5,913,246
10.1% 5.9% 4.8% 8.4%
$50.92 $37.16 $28.20 $44.74
1,754,176 0 0 1,754,176
0 0 0 0
6,588,756 8,395,905 1,470,850 16,455,511
-65,494 23,497 6,859 -35,138
-119,125 -26,047 7,926 -137,246
-1.8% -0.3% 0.5% -0.8%
365,855 455,012 529,973 1,350,840
5.6% 5.4% 36.0% 8.2%
676,652 542,851 538,798 1,758,301
10.3% 6.5% 36.6% 10.7%
$39.09 $33.69 $28.47 $32.84
0 0 0 0
Suburban Class A Class B Class C Totals
1,334,706 0 0 1,334,706
49,219,514 26,517,973 7,746,460 83,483,947
240,929 -417,001 -23,105 -199,177
-114,782 -776,579 11,104 -880,257
-0.2% -2.9% 0.1% -1.1%
3,644,785 2,731,888 748,173 7,124,846
7.4% 10.3% 9.7% 8.5%
5,247,716 3,481,272 839,213 9,568,201
10.7% 13.1% 10.8% 11.5%
$30.11 $25.61 $20.46 $27.79
1,067,451 0 0 1,067,451
Market Totals Class A Class B Class C Totals
4,401,041 0 0 4,401,041
98,545,035 51,938,004 17,387,892 167,870,931
774,318 -422,909 172,860 524,269
252,448 -955,745 143,599 -559,698
0.3% -1.8% 0.8% -0.3%
6,629,152 4,023,377 1,869,406 12,521,935
6.7% 7.7% 10.8% 7.5%
10,123,404 5,061,266 2,055,078 17,239,748
10.3% 9.7% 11.8% 10.3%
$39.74 $30.70 $24.78 $35.39
2,821,627 0 0 2,821,627
Downtown Class A Class B Class C Totals Midtown Class A Class B Class C Totals
YTD completion (sf)
Average asking rent Total vacancy (%) ($ psf)
Under construction / renovation (sf)
Kristian Halkias Senior National Research Analyst tel +1 416 304 6047 fax +1 416 304 6001 kristian.halkias@am.jll.com
Š 2009 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.
Pulse • Toronto Office Statistics - Q4 2009 • 2
Downtown
Inventory (sf)
Total net absorption (sf)
YTD total net absorption (sf)
YTD total net absorption (% of stock)
Direct vacancy (sf)
Direct vacancy (%)
Total vacancy (sf)
1,100,000 0 0 1,100,000
26,153,109 6,365,052 1,388,830 33,906,991
130,777 -1,580 167,692 296,889
-15,082 -112,581 146,546 18,883
-0.1% -1.8% 10.6% 0.1%
1,707,239 361,090 91,101 2,159,430
6.5% 5.7% 6.6% 6.4%
2,364,324 450,253 97,994 2,912,571
9.0% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1%
$56.52 $45.35 $33.72 $53.49
0 0 0 0
14,735 0 0 14,735
678,463 997,092 1,105,578 2,781,133
-27,760 28,705 747 1,692
-20,673 2,456 -26,281 -44,498
-3.1% 0.2% -2.4% -1.6%
61,631 169,836 178,477 409,944
9.1% 17.0% 16.1% 14.7%
72,114 211,326 191,651 475,091
10.6% 21.2% 17.3% 7.6%
$38.31 $32.63 $29.87 $32.92
0 0 0 0
Downtown North Class A Class B Class C Totals
0 0 0 0
5,532,458 5,969,355 964,869 12,466,682
646 10,271 -10,207 710
-1,289 -8,540 -18,726 -28,555
0.0% -0.1% -1.9% -0.2%
71,272 87,904 83,885 243,061
1.3% 1.5% 8.7% 1.9%
132,276 104,140 101,514 337,930
2.4% 1.7% 10.5% 2.6%
$39.85 $33.31 $27.08 $35.73
400,000 0 0 400,000
Downtown West Class A Class B Class C Totals
1,200,000 0 0 1,200,000
7,447,495 2,556,460 2,627,810 12,631,765
512,709 -47,596 1,871 466,984
499,640 -38,618 14,268 475,290
8.0% -1.5% 0.5% 4.2%
448,271 171,250 157,021 776,542
6.0% 6.7% 6.0% 6.1%
545,540 186,036 196,390 927,966
7.3% 7.3% 7.5% 12.5%
$41.97 $30.37 $28.62 $36.85
0 0 0 0
Downtown South Class A Class B Class C Totals
751,600 0 0 751,600
2,255,754 650,448 50,000 2,956,202
218 -18,874 -10,275 -28,931
-19,778 -14,316 -10,275 -44,369
-1.3% -2.2% -20.6% -2.0%
171,033 17,191 15,297 203,521
7.6% 2.6% 30.6% 6.9%
877,359 51,682 15,297 944,338
38.9% 7.9% 30.6% 29.7%
$52.52 $35.54 $26.50 $48.34
1,354,176 0 0 1,354,176
Financial Core Class A Class B Class C Totals Downtown East Class A Class B Class C Totals
YTD completion (sf)
Average asking rent Total vacancy (%) ($ psf)
Under construction / renovation (sf)
Kristian Halkias Senior National Research Analyst tel +1 416 304 6047 fax +1 416 304 6001 kristian.halkias@am.jll.com
© 2009 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.
Pulse • Toronto Office Statistics - Q4 2009 • 3
Downtown (continued)
King & Dufferin Class A Class B Class C Totals Market Totals Class A Class B Class C Totals
Inventory (sf)
Total net absorption (sf)
YTD total net absorption (sf)
YTD total net absorption (% of stock)
Direct vacancy (sf)
Direct vacancy (%)
Total vacancy (sf)
0 0 0 0
669,486 485,719 2,033,495 3,188,700
-17,707 -331 39,278 21,240
43,537 18,480 19,037 81,054
6.5% 3.8% 0.9% 2.5%
159,066 29,206 65,479 253,751
23.8% 6.0% 3.2% 8.0%
207,423 33,706 74,221 315,350
31.0% 6.9% 3.6% 9.2%
$30.73 $24.27 $23.56 $25.17
0 0 0 0
3,066,335 0 0 3,066,335
42,736,765 17,024,126 8,170,582 67,931,473
598,883 -29,405 189,106 758,584
486,355 -153,119 124,569 457,805
1.2% -0.9% 1.5% 0.7%
2,618,512 836,477 591,260 4,046,249
6.1% 4.9% 7.2% 6.0%
4,199,036 1,037,143 677,067 5,913,246
10.1% 5.9% 4.8% 8.4%
$50.92 $37.16 $28.20 $44.74
1,754,176 0 0 1,754,176
YTD completion (sf)
Average asking rent Total vacancy (%) ($ psf)
Under construction / renovation (sf)
Kristian Halkias Senior National Research Analyst tel +1 416 304 6047 fax +1 416 304 6001 kristian.halkias@am.jll.com
© 2009 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.
Pulse • Toronto Office Statistics - Q4 2009 • 4
Midtown
Inventory (sf)
Total net absorption (sf)
YTD total net absorption (sf)
YTD total net absorption (% of stock)
Direct vacancy (sf)
Direct vacancy (%)
Total vacancy (sf)
0 0 0 0
4,210,699 4,149,951 748,887 9,109,537
-21,163 -19,791 5,019 -35,935
-81,202 -70,084 -1,273 -152,559
-1.9% -1.7% -0.2% -1.7%
224,618 214,379 53,705 492,702
5.3% 5.2% 7.2% 5.4%
447,759 271,137 57,602 776,498
10.6% 6.5% 7.7% 8.5%
$40.84 $35.03 $29.50 $37.26
0 0 0 0
Eglinton Class A Class B Class C Totals
0 0 0 0
1,515,301 2,667,444 625,362 4,808,107
-56,852 50,785 1,840 -4,227
-48,237 47,821 9,199 8,783
-3.2% 1.8% 1.5% 0.2%
99,088 183,233 49,268 331,589
6.5% 6.9% 7.9% 6.9%
137,545 197,556 54,196 389,297
9.1% 7.4% 8.7% 8.1%
$34.79 $31.54 $26.79 $31.95
0 0 0 0
St. Clair Class A Class B Class C Totals
0 0 0 0
862,756 1,578,510 96,601 2,537,867
12,521 -7,497 0 5,024
10,314 -3,784 0 6,530
1.2% -0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
42,149 57,400 427,000 526,549
4.9% 3.6% 442.0% 20.7%
91,348 74,158 427,000 592,506
10.6% 4.7% 442.0% 23.3%
$38.09 $33.81 $31.35 $35.17
0 0 0 0
Market Totals Class A Class B Class C Totals
0 0 0 0
6,588,756 8,395,905 1,470,850 16,455,511
-65,494 23,497 6,859 -35,138
-119,125 -26,047 7,926 -137,246
-1.8% -0.3% 0.5% -0.8%
365,855 455,012 529,973 1,350,840
5.6% 5.4% 36.0% 8.2%
676,652 542,851 538,798 1,758,301
10.3% 6.5% 36.6% 10.7%
$39.09 $33.69 $28.47 $32.84
0 0 0 0
YTD completion (sf)
Bloor Class A Class B Class C Totals
Average asking rent Total vacancy (%) ($ psf)
Under construction / renovation (sf)
Kristian Halkias Senior National Research Analyst tel +1 416 304 6047 fax +1 416 304 6001 kristian.halkias@am.jll.com
© 2009 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.
Pulse • Toronto Office Statistics - Q4 2009 • 5
Suburban
Inventory (sf)
Total net absorption (sf)
YTD total net absorption (sf)
YTD total net absorption (% of stock)
Direct vacancy (sf)
Direct vacancy (%)
Total vacancy (sf)
157,200 0 0 157,200
17,152,563 10,431,360 2,789,422 30,373,345
3,599 -218,119 8,471 -206,049
28,218 -281,613 26,187 -227,208
0.2% -2.7% 0.9% -0.8%
1,647,613 1,312,484 199,716 3,159,813
9.6% 12.6% 7.2% 10.4%
2,190,987 1,787,095 233,882 4,211,964
12.8% 17.1% 8.4% 13.9%
$28.37 $24.92 $19.99 $26.42
0 0 0 0
North Class A Class B Class C Totals
102,923 0 0 102,923
9,084,362 3,430,950 1,018,767 13,534,079
-117,333 10,179 10,605 -96,549
-201,787 -5,793 41,101 -166,479
-2.2% -0.2% 4.0% -1.2%
531,661 102,211 79,316 713,188
5.9% 3.0% 7.8% 5.3%
805,099 164,821 79,316 1,049,236
8.9% 4.8% 7.8% 7.8%
$35.90 $30.85 $20.35 $33.45
273,515 0 0 273,515
West Class A Class B Class C Totals
1,074,583 0 0 1,074,583
22,982,589 12,655,663 3,938,271 39,576,523
354,663 -209,061 -42,181 103,421
58,787 -489,173 -56,184 -486,570
0.3% -3.9% -1.4% -1.3%
1,465,511 1,317,193 469,141 3,251,845
6.4% 10.4% 11.9% 8.2%
2,251,630 1,529,356 526,015 4,307,001
9.8% 12.1% 13.4% 10.9%
$29.13 $24.75 $20.83 $26.90
793,936 0 0 793,936
Market Totals Class A Class B Class C Totals
1,334,706 0 0 1,334,706
49,219,514 26,517,973 7,746,460 83,483,947
240,929 -417,001 -23,105 -199,177
-114,782 -776,579 11,104 -880,257
-0.2% -2.9% 0.1% -1.1%
3,644,785 2,731,888 748,173 7,124,846
7.4% 10.3% 9.7% 8.5%
5,247,716 3,481,272 839,213 9,568,201
10.7% 13.1% 10.8% 11.5%
$30.11 $25.61 $20.46 $27.79
1,067,451 0 0 1,067,451
YTD completion (sf)
East Class A Class B Class C Totals
Average asking rent Total vacancy (%) ($ psf)
Under construction / renovation (sf)
Kristian Halkias Senior National Research Analyst tel +1 416 304 6047 fax +1 416 304 6001 kristian.halkias@am.jll.com
© 2009 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.
Toronto, Ontario Te n a n t ’ s
Guide
North
American
Markets
Fourth
Quarter
Overview
Major Transactions
The final quarter of 2009 saw a continuing increase in availability rates and decrease in average occupancy costs per SF across the Greater Toronto Area (GTA). Overall availability rates for the city rose to 11.4% from 11.2% in the previous quarter. All areas of the city followed the same trend with regards to availability with the North District seeing the largest percentage increase from 8.5% in Q3 to 9.0% in Q4. Conversely, the West District remained almost flat with less than a 0.1% increase in availability.
Tenant/Buyer
Size
Ubisoft Toronto Inc.
134,845 Office
Stream International Canada
Availability in the CBD rose from 12.4% to 12.7% over the last quarter, though class A availability actually dropped from 13.6% to 13.1%. This decrease was offset primarily by class C space, where the availability rate leapt from 7.0% in Q3 to 24.6% in Q4 due to the remarketing of an entire 190,000 SF building. While the class C market in the CBD is relatively small in absolute terms, the increase in available square footage in this class still more than offsets the decrease in class A properties.
Type
2009
Lease/Sale Lease
89,237 Office
Lease
Mosaic Sales Solutions Canada 40,859 Office
Lease
Service Employees Int’l Union 39,455 Office
Sale
FinanciaLinx Corporation
37,454 Office
Lease
Toronto Central Community Care Access Centre
32,796 Office
Lease
Securitas Canada Limited
15,736 Office
Lease
Build Toronto
14,125 Office
Lease
Meyers Norris Penny LLP
13,827 Office
Lease
Breckles Insurance Brokers Ltd. 12,538 Office
Lease
Vacancy Rate Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
15%
As illustrated in the Q3 market report, average gross rental rates are becoming increasingly misleading since landlords are offering increased inducements in order to keep rates high. While this practice continues, it can't fully mask the fact that average rates are dropping. Average rates across the GTA fell by $0.26/SF in the last quarter to $34.40/SF. The drop was even larger in the CBD, with rates declining from $53.69/SF in Q3 to $52.96/SF by the end of the year.
10%
5%
0% Class A CBD
Market Trends While the overall availability rate has increased, the availability rate for class A properties declined in Q4 2009, indicating a flight to quality. After rapidly rising throughout late 2008 and most of 2009, the amount of sublease space available decreased by nearly 100,000 SF.
Tenant's Perspective The commercial real estate outlook for 2010 remains murky as the new year begins. Most analysts are predicting that availability rates will continue to rise for at least the next two quarters, while rental rates should continue to fall. However, given that certain building classes in certain areas are outperforming others, it is important that tenants be armed with as much information as possible before considering their next move.
Class B CBD
Class A Suburban
Class B Suburban
Average Rental Rates CBD
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Class A Office Class B Office
$56.60 $44.91
$57.01 $45.18
$56.52 $45.35
Suburban
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Class A Office Class B Office
$30.01 $25.53
$29.95 $25.46
$30.11 $25.62
Prepared By CresaPartners 170 University Avenue, Suite 1100 Toronto, Ontario M5H 3B3 416.862.2666 www.cresapartners.com
GREATER TORONTO AREA OFFICE REPORT 3Q09 ECONOMY Ontario is feeling the brunt of the global recession, with its overall unemployment rate up to a 15-year high of 9.4%. The Toronto Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) has an unemployment rate of 10.2%. Canada-wide, total employment has fallen by 387,000 jobs since October 2008, with 207,000 of those jobs—or 53% of the total—lost in Ontario. Manufacturing and construction took the greatest hits, with the ripple effect extending to the office sector, as evidenced by the number of tenants who have taken measures to reduce their occupancy. GDP growth for 2009 is expected to contract by 2.3%; however, employment has stabilized and some job growth was experienced in August 2009.
BEAT ON THE STREET “Tenants may be back on the street, addressing their occupancy decisions, but the likely outcome of those decisions will continue to be contractions for some time to come. With rental rates now shifting downward, the market is being perceived as much more of an opportunity – from a tenant perspective.” - Paul Morse, Senior Managing Director, Office Leasing
OVERVIEW GTA office markets saw absorption nudge its way into positive territory in the third quarter, providing some hope that the impact of the downturn will not be as severe as initially predicted. While the increase in absorption is a positive signal for GTA landlords, demand is expected to remain weak well into 2010 as a result of the severely impacted US economy. Tenants were more active in the marketplace in the third quarter, although they remain focused on the preservation of capital and minimizing cash outflow. This is resulting in a greater proportion of renewals and strong incentive to consolidate in cases where tenants have multiple locations. Overall, tenants are contracting, although there is evidence of some expansions in the government, banking and professional services sectors. While the amount of sublet space returning to market slowed over the third quarter, that could change should business continue to be pressured by weak economic fundamentals. Two significant office towers were completed in Downtown Toronto in the third quarter. Cadillac Fairview’s RBC Centre brings 1.25 million square feet (msf) of inventory to market, and Brookfield Properties’ Bay Adelaide Centre adds 1.16 msf. These buildings are approximately 73% leased, although a significant amount of space will be displaced as tenants relocate from existing buildings into these new locations. Suburban markets have been hit much harder during this downturn—relative to the first year of the 2001 contraction—from an absorption perspective. One reason for this is the close connection that many suburban businesses have to the US markets.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS GDP Growth
2007 2.3%
2008 0.4%
2009F -2.3%
CPI Growth
1.8%
2.4%
0.2%
Unemployment Employment Growth
6.4%
6.2%
8.4%
1.5%
1.4%
-1.7%
Source: TD Bank Financial – TD Economics Quarterly Economic Forecast
MARKET FORECAST VACANCY will continued to rise based on projected space returning to market. ABSORPTION will weaken below third quarter results over the next few quarters. SUBLET SPACE will increase at a slower rate over the next few quarters.
OUTLOOK
GREATER TORONTO AREA OFFICE REPORT 3Q09
OVERALL RENT VS. VACANCY CBD-Rent CBD-Vacancy
Non-CBD-Rent Non-CBD-Vacancy 15%
$25
12% $20
9%
psf/yr
Demand is expected to remain weak in the foreseeable future as tenants continue to take the measures necessary to limit capital expenditures and cash outflow. Tenants who address occupancy decisions will be more likely to contract than expand, and to take advantage of early renewals to either negotiate more favourable leases or relocate into new buildings. Menkes’ 680,000-square foot (sf) development located at 25 York Street in the Downtown south will open in the fourth quarter, with other smaller developments following in the coming quarters. These completions, along with the displacement of space resulting from the shifting of tenants from older to newer buildings, will result in high downtown vacancy rates for premium space in the next year. With over 2.1 msf of new development yet to be completed, vacancy will decrease only when existing businesses begin to expand and market conditions become more conducive to new business development.
6%
$15
3% $10
0% 2005
2006
2007
2008
3Q09
1
GTA OFFICE REPORT 3Q09
OVERALL GTA
OVERALL GTA
Vacancy All Classes
Leasing Activity All Classes
Vacancy SF
Leasing Activity
Vacancy Rate 8.0%
4,000
12,000 3,500
6.0% 9,000 5.0% 7,500
(000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
7.0% 10,500
4.0%
6,000 4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
2,500 2,000 1,500
3.0% 3Q08
3,000
1,000
3Q09
3Q08
GTA vacancy has increased from 5.1% to 7.2% since the downturn began. Total available space has increased by 3.7 msf, or 46%. In the same period during the 2001 contraction, available space had increased by 4.6 msf. The completion of the RBC Centre and the Bay Adelaide Centre in Downtown Toronto in the third quarter added 630,000 sf of vacant space to Downtown availabilities.
4Q08
2Q09
3Q09
Leasing activity spiked in the third quarter, due mainly to the opening of the new downtown towers. (Leasing activity associated with new inventory is recognized in the quarter the building is ready for occupancy.) Of the total 3.8 msf leased, 1.75 msf were in the RBC Centre and the Bay Adelaide Centre.
Sublease Availability All Classes
Absorption All Classes
Sublease Availability
Absorption
3,000
1,000 600 (000's of sf)
2,500 (000's of sf)
1Q09
2,000
200 (200)
1,500 (600) 1,000
(1,000) 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
While activity in a single quarter does not support a trend, it can be a leading indicator of change to come. One key observation in the third quarter is that the rate of growth in sublet space is slowing. Sublet space returning to market within suburban markets has begun to decelerate significantly, rising only 78,000 sf compared to almost 300,000 sf in the previous quarter. This may suggest short term market stability.
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Absorption showed some resilience over the third quarter. Central markets are expected to experience negative absorption in the coming quarters.
2
GTA OFFICE REPORT 3Q09
FINANCIAL CORE
FINANCIAL CORE
Vacancy All Classes
Leasing Activity All Classes
Vacancy SF
Vacancy Rate
2,500
Leasing Activity 8.0%
1,350
7.0%
1,200 1,050
6.0% 1,500
(000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
2,000
5.0% 4.0%
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
750 600
1,000
500
900
3.0%
450
2.0%
300
3Q09
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Available space has increased by approximately 1 msf during the past recessionary year. Of this increase, approximately 30% represents new available space introduced by the Bay Adelaide Centre. As the remaining tenants relocate into the Bay Adelaide Centre, a significant amount of space will be displaced, driving the vacancy rate up significantly in the next few quarters.
Leasing activity relating to tenants relocating into the Bay Adelaide Centre was recognized in the third quarter, as this development is now complete. Tenants became more active, as competitive opportunities and realigned business strategies are enticing them back to the negotiating table. The Laurentian Bank of Canada renewed and expanded at 130 Adelaide Street West, locking down some 90,000 sf for a 10-year term.
Sublease Availability All Classes
Absorption All Classes Absorption
600
200
500
100 (000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
Sublease Availability
400
0 (100)
300 (200) 200 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Sublet space continued to rise over the quarter, coming to rest at about 580,000 sf. A significant new sublet to market was 56,000 sf at 33 Yonge Street. This space was originally leased by EDS and comes to market six months after Hewlett Packard’s acquisition of EDS. It is very possible more sublet availabilities will hit the market before total sublet space finds its peak.
(300) 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
The most significant downward pressure on occupied space in the third quarter was caused by a return of space resulting from the relocation of RBC staff into the new newly completed RBC Centre and the 56,000-sf EDS sublet at 33 Yonge Street. During the 2001 downturn, over the 11-quarter down cycle, absorption in the financial core averaged negative 110,000 sf per quarter in premium space buildings. The market is now four quarters into this current recessionary cycle, and demand has been slightly stronger at an average of negative 68,000 sf per quarter.
3
GTA OFFICE REPORT 3Q09
DOWNTOWN FRINGE
DOWNTOWN FRINGE
Vacancy All Classes Vacancy SF
Leasing Activity All Classes Leasing Activity
Vacancy Rate 1,400 6.0%
1,700
1,200
1,400
4.0% 3.0%
1,100
1,000 (000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
5.0%
800 600
2.0%
400
1.0%
200
0.0%
0
800
500 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
3Q08
The Downtown Fringe vacancy rate rose to 5.2% from 4.4% last quarter. Approximately 330,000 sf of additional available space will come to market in the fourth quarter, barring transacted space. During the first quarter of 2010, in excess of 445,000 sf of additional available space will return to market, and vacancy will rise.
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
The spike in leasing activity relates in part to activity at the recently completed RBC Centre. Scotia Bank renewed 89,000 sf at 100 Yonge Street, and PricewaterhouseCoopers leased an additional 72,000 sf at 18 York Street.
Sublease Availability All Classes
Absorption All Classes
Sublease Availability
Absorption
400
400 300 (000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
300
200
200 100 0
100 (100) 0
(200) 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Very few new sublets hit the fringe markets in the third quarter of 2009 and the result was declining sublet availability. One significant sublet will bring approximately 27,000 sf to market in the fourth quarter. On the horizon, approximately 140,000 sf of new sublet space will hit the market in the first quarter of 2010 in the Downtown North market.
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
The spike in absorption above is for the most part a reflection of the occupied floors of the newly completed RBC Centre at the end of the third quarter. Some of the space returning to market as a result of the RBC relocation will be recognized in the fourth quarter.
4
GTA OFFICE REPORT 3Q09
MIDTOWN
MIDTOWN
Vacancy All Classes Vacancy Rate
Leasing Activity
1,400
8.0%
1,200
7.0%
(000's of sf)
1,000
6.0%
800 5.0% 600 4.0%
400
250 200 (000's of sf)
Vacancy SF
Leasing Activity All Classes
0
2.0% 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
100 50
3.0%
200
150
0
3Q09
3Q08
The Midtown vacancy rate has held remarkably flat during the past year, given the severity of the downturn. The vacancy rate actually fell to 5.9% from 6.4% in the Midtown Bloor market, and to 8.9% from 9.2% in the Midtown Eglinton market. Vacancy is likely to rise in the next four quarters, as approximately 260,000 sf of larger blocks of space are being tracked to return to the midtown markets in this period. The Yonge Eglinton Market will see the lion’s share of this space.
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Four-quarter average leasing activity of approximately 200,000 sf per quarter is 35% lower than levels achieved prior to the economic downturn. The Ontario College of Teachers purchased eight floors totaling approximately 85,000 sf at 101 Bloor St. West.
Sublease Availability All Classes
Absorption All Classes Absorption
Sublease Availability 300
100
250 (000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
0 200 150 100
(100)
(200) 50 0
(300) 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Total sublet space continued to rise over the third quarter, coming to rest at 266,000 sf by quarter-end. The Ontario College of Teachers transaction will result in a 64,000sf, short-term sublet coming to market, likely in the summer of 2010. This will result in about 64,000 sf returning to market at 121 Bloor Street East. Cryptologic Ltd brought 40,000 sf to market at 55 St. Clair Avenue West.
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Demand is expected to remain weak, and occupied space is likely to fall over the coming quarters. Most of the negative absorption in the second half of 2008 was generated by tenants relocating out of the Midtown market.
5
GTA OFFICE REPORT 3Q09
GTA EAST
GTA EAST
Vacancy All Classes Vacancy SF
Leasing Activity All Classes
Vacancy Rate
Leasing Activity 12.0%
800
10.0%
600
2,900 8.0% 2,600
2,300
2,000 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
(000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
3,200
400
6.0%
200
4.0%
0
3Q09
3Q08
Overall vacancy fell to 9.3% during the quarter, driven by leasing activity in class B space, which drove down vacancy in this asset class to 8.1% from 9.6% last quarter. Approximately 400,000 sf in significant blocks will be returning to market, putting upward pressure on vacancy over the next four quarters.
4Q08
2Q09
3Q09
Leasing activity is picking up in the GTA East, as evidenced by 470,000 sf completed in the third quarter. Thales Canada Inc. leased approximately 195,000 sf at 105 Moatfield Drive and will occupy the majority of the building beginning in the second quarter of 2010. It is expected that they will displace some 165,000 sf at 1235 Ormont Drive.
Sublease Availability All Classes
Absorption All Classes
Sublease Availability
Absorption
600
400
500
300 200
400
(000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
1Q09
300 200
100 0 (100)
100
(200)
0
(300) 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
It is expected that 30,000 sf of space displaced as a result of the relocation of Global Credit and Collection will return to market in the second quarter of 2010. Sublet availability is hitting its stride and will rise or fall based on transaction momentum in the quarters to come.
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
The completion of key transactions, some of which are highlighted above, helped push absorption into positive territory in the third quarter. With a large amount of available space expected to return to market in the next three quarters, absorption is likely to shift back into negative territory, although there is a renewed strength in tenant activity in the GTA East.
6
GTA OFFICE REPORT 3Q09
GTA NORTH
GTA NORTH
Vacancy All Classes Vacancy Rate
Leasing Activity
1,000
8.0%
900
7.0%
800
6.0%
700
5.0%
600
4.0%
500
3.0%
400
300
(000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
Vacancy SF
Leasing Activity All Classes
2.0% 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
200
100
0
3Q09
3Q08
The GTA North vacancy rate remains very tight at 6.6%, up from 5.8% last quarter. Approximately 170,000 sf in significant blocks of available space will return to market during the next two quarters, and this will continue to put upward pressure on vacancy.
4Q08
2Q09
3Q09
Leasing activity of 142,000 sf this quarter indicates that the GTA North is not yet experiencing a significant improvement in tenant activity. Chaitons LLP completed a 22,000-sf lease transaction at 5000 Yonge Street and will be relocating at the end of the first quarter of 2010. Collective Point of Sale Solutions leased 14,200 sf at 4576 Yonge Street and will be taking occupancy during the first quarter of 2010.
Sublease Availability All Classes
Absorption All Classes
Sublease Availability
Absorption
400
150 100 (000's of sf)
300 (000's of sf)
1Q09
200
50 0
100 (50) 0
(100) 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Sublet space continued to rise in the third quarter, coming to rest at 320,000 sf. There is little on the horizon in terms of additional blocks of sublet space expected to return to market.
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Absorption was negative 40,000 sf during the quarter, slightly above the four-quarter average of negative 53,000 sf. Some smaller transactions were completed, but the amount of space returning to market outweighed the completed transactions in the third quarter.
7
GTA OFFICE REPORT 3Q09
GTA WEST
GTA WEST
Vacancy All Classes Vacancy SF
Leasing Activity All Classes Leasing Activity
Vacancy Rate 800 9.0%
3,000
6.0%
2,000
(000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
600
3.0%
1,000
0
200
0.0% 3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
400
0
3Q09
3Q08
The vacancy rate in the GTA West is climbing, but remains very tight at 7.9%. Demand is currently weak and multiple-location tenants are more likely to consolidate to reduce occupancy costs, further reducing occupied space. Class A space will see over 500,000 sf come to market in the fourth quarter. This includes the completion of the 150,000-sf building at 1513 North Service Road.
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Leasing activity increased to 624,000 sf in the third quarter, still significantly below historical standards in a normal economic cycle. Most transactions are resulting in contractions of space. Takeda Pharmaceutical leased 25,300 sf at 6750 Century Avenue at the beginning of the third quarter, for first quarter 2010 occupancy. KCI leased 25,000 sf at 75 Courtneypark Drive for early 2010 occupancy.
Sublease Availability All Classes
Absorption All Classes Absorption
Sublease Availability 400
800
300 200 (000's of sf)
(000's of sf)
600
400
100 0 (100)
200
(200)
0
(300)
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Total sublet space rose to 621,000 sf in the third quarter of 2009. 5100 Spectrum Way and 110 Matheson Blvd West will see sublets of 40,000 sf and 46,000 sf respectively come to market over the fourth quarter, putting additional downward pressure on rental rates.
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Absorption showed significant improvements during the third quarter, but still only rising to approximately zero. Absorption should dip back into negative territory in the coming quarters, as over 750,000 sf of space will come to market across all classes over the fourth quarter of 2009.
8
GTA OFFICE REPORT 3Q09
MARKET/SUBMARKET STATISTICS Overall
Direct
YTD
YTD
YTD
No. of
Vacancy
Vacancy
Leasing
Under
Construction
Overall
Direct Wtd. Avg. Class A Net
Market/Submarket
Inventory
Bldgs.
Rate
Rate
Activity
Construction
Completions
Absorption
Rental Rate*
CENTRAL AREA
82,327,305
488
6.2%
4.7%
4,177,546
2,136,126
2,408,000
(521,350)
$24.22
Downtown
65,503,862
353
6.0%
4.5%
3,606,850
2,136,126
2,408,000
(464,513)
$25.34
Financial Core
34,359,930
116
6.7%
5.0%
1,954,398
0
1,159,000
(564,466)
$27.93
Downtown Fringe
31,143,932
237
5.2%
4.0%
1,652,452
2,136,126
1,249,000
99,953
$20.31
Midtown
16,823,443
135
6.9%
5.3%
570,696
0
0
(56,837)
$18.39
SUBURBAN AREA
83,321,038
850
8.2%
6.5%
2,860,786
980,940
752,769
(669,187)
$15.54
GTA East
33,272,514
321
9.3%
7.8%
1,046,289
0
160,000
(150,853)
$13.48
GTA North
14,738,070
131
6.6%
4.4%
367,532
57,330
162,538
(141,993)
$17.52
GTA West
35,210,454
398
7.9%
6.1%
1,446,965
923,610
430,231
(376,341)
$16.54
GTA Total
165,648,343
1,338
7.2%
5.6%
7,038,332
3,117,066
3,160,769
(1,190,537)
$19.78
* Rental rates reflect $psq. ft./year
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS SIGNIFICANT 3Q09 NEW LEASE TRANSACTIONS BUILDING
SUBMARKET
TENANT
SQ FT
BLDG CLASS
105 Moatfield Drive
GTA East
Thales Canada Inc.
195,000
B
100 Yonge Street 1790-1820-1830 Matheson Boulevard
Financial Core
Bank of Nova Scotia
89,000
A
GTA West
CCSI Technology Solutions Corp.
47,000
A
SQ FT
PURCHASE PRICE
85,000
$28,700,000
SQ FT
COMPLETION DATE
SIGNIFICANT 3Q09 SALE TRANSACTIONS BUILDING
SUBMARKET
BUYER
101 Bloor Street West
Midtown
The Ontario College of Teachers
SIGNIFICANT 3Q09 CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS BUILDING
SUBMARKET
MAJOR TENANT
333 Bay Street
Financial Core
KPMG Inc.
1,159,000
3Q 09
155 Wellington Street West
Downtown Fringe
RBC/RBC Dexia Investor Services
1,249,000
3Q 09
SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION BUILDING
SUBMARKET
MAJOR TENANTS
SQ FT
COMPLETION DATE
25 York Street
Downtown Fringe
TELUS
780,000
4Q 09
125 Queen’s Quay East
Downtown Fringe
Corus Entertainment
476,000
4Q 09
1315 North Service Road
GTA West
Liuna
150,000
4Q 09
2465 Argentia Road
GTA West
Bank of Montreal
248,110
1Q 10
Aerocentre V (5550 Explorer Drive)
GTA West
(Pre-leasing)
227,000
2Q 10
15 York Street (Maple Leaf Square)
Downtown Fringe
(Pre-leasing)
208,000
2Q 10
18 York Street
Downtown Fringe
PricewaterhouseCoopers
657,000
3Q 11
For industry-leading intelligence to support your real estate and business decisions, go to Cushman & Wakefield’s Knowledge Center at www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. 33 Yonge Street Toronto, ON M5E 1S9 (416) 862-0611
This report contains information available to the public and has been relied upon by Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. on the basis that it is accurate and complete. Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. accepts no responsibility if this should prove not to be the case. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. ©2009 Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. All rights reserved.