Fall 2012
A Thelma & Louise Moment?
T
he 1991 Oscar winning film Thelma & Louise (Starring Geena Davis, Susan Sarandon, and Brad Pitt) ends powerfully when Thelma and Louise choose to drive their 1966 Thunderbird convertible off a cliff into the Grand Canyon rather than surrender to law officers. Their bleak alternative was life in prison for the murders they had committed during their wild road trip across the Mountain states. Today the iconic image of that car going over the cliff seems applicable to the imminent fiscal consequences arriving this January thanks to the feckless Washington establishment. Financial commentators call the consequences the “fiscal cliff ”. We will outline some of the key facets of the fiscal cliff in the following paragraphs. Then the articles by Rachel Ayres, John Eubanks, and Bobby Futch will address some specific tax planning strategies which might prove useful to our readers.
The Fiscal Cliff Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke coined the phrase “fiscal cliff ” in his testimony to Congress in February 2012. He was referring to the large Federal spending cuts (about $110 billion) and even more massive tax increases ($399 billion) mandated by the Budget Control Act of 2011. That Federal statute ended the so-called “debt ceiling crisis” which had brought the U.S. Treasury to the brink of default in the summer of 2011. A critical provision of that statute was the creation of the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction which was supposed to produce a deficit reduction plan by November 2011. It failed to do so thereby triggering automatic tax and spending provisions as of January 1, 2013. The Act requires across-the-board spending cuts (“sequestration”) split 50-50 between defense spending and discretionary nondefense spending. Not surprisingly, Social Security, Federal pensions, and veterans’ benefits will be exempted from the cuts. On the tax side the Bush tax cuts will expire ($221 billion) as will the 2% payroll tax cut on Social Security contributions ($95 billion). In addition Obamacare taxes will kick in ($18 billion) bringing the estimated tax increases to $399 billion in 2013. Although the top income brackets will bear the brunt of the tax increases, the White House acknowledges that a family of four earning between $50,000 and $85,000 will University of Tennessee pay an additional $2,200 in – Chattanooga. He and Federal taxes. his wife, Angie, are both Many economists from Chattanooga and we predict the combination welcome them to the Patton of higher taxes and lower government spending will Albertson & Miller family. crash the economy next
Welcome Ricky Supan! We are pleased to announce that Ricky Supan will join our firm on November 1, 2012 and be located in our new Chattanooga office. Ricky has been a portfolio manager and investment strategist with SunTrust Bank in Chattanooga, Tennessee for the past 12 years. His experience in providing customized investment strategies and solutions to high net worth clients will be a valuable addition to our firm and we are proud to have him on our team. Ricky received his undergraduate degree and his Master’s degree of Business Administration from The
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year. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that real domestic product (GDP) will contract ½% and that the unemployment rate could climb back over 9%. On a positive note, the CBO sees the annual Federal deficit declining from $1.1 trillion to about $600 billion in 2013. Our Perspective First, we think sequestering $110 billion is a step in the right direction. Spending cuts will release resources back to the private sector which presumably does a better job allocating resources to the most urgent consumer needs than does government. Behavioral finance supports the assertion that people are much more thoughtful spending their own money than they are spending other people’s money. Unfortunately the sequestration mandates acrossthe-board spending cuts rather than targeted cuts to the least essential spending. Some Defense Department officials believe sequestration will be especially disruptive to key defense programs. Second, the impending increases in marginal tax rates on wages, investment Thelma continues on page 4